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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 253 records · Page 14
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Integration of machine learning with neutron scattering for the Hamiltonian tuning of spin ice under pressure

Quantum materials research requires co-design of theory with experiments and involves demanding simulations and the analysis of vast quantities of data, usually including pattern recognition and clustering. Artificial intelligence is a natural route to optimise these processes and bring theory and experiments together. Here, we propose a scheme that integrates machine learning with high-performance simulations and scattering measurements, covering the pipeline of typical neutron experiments. Our approach uses nonlinear autoencoders trained on realistic simulations along with a fast surrogate for the calculation of scattering in the form of a generative model. We demonstrate this approach in a highly frustrated magnet, Dy 2 Ti 2 O 7 , using machine learning predictions to guide the neutron scattering experiment under hydrostatic pressure, extract material parameters and construct a phase diagram. Our scheme provides a comprehensive set of capabilities that allows direct integration of theory along with automated data processing and provides on a rapid timescale direct insight into a challenging condensed matter system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantifying uncertainty in machine learning for nuclear binding energy

Techniques from artificial intelligence and machine learning are increasingly employed in nuclear theory; however, the uncertainties that arise from the complex parameter manifold encoded by the neural networks are often overlooked. Epistemic uncertainties arising from training the same network multiple times for an ensemble of initial weight sets offer a first insight into the confidence of machine learning predictions, but they often come with a high computational cost. Instead, we apply a single-model uncertainty quantification method called Δ-UQ that gives epistemic uncertainties with one-time training. Here, we demonstrate our approach on a two-feature model of nuclear binding energies per nucleon with proton and neutron number pairs as inputs. We show that Δ-UQ can produce reliable and self-consistent epistemic uncertainty estimates and can be used to assess the degree of confidence in predictions made with deep neural networks.

Huang, Mengyao [Lawrence Livermore National Labora↗
DOE OSTI2024

BIORAD

Machine learning prediction of protein-protein binding affinity

Gans, Jason [Los Alamos National Laboratory]↗
DOE OSTI2021

Forecasting Marine Sediment Properties with Geospatial Machine Learning

Using a combination of geospatial machine learning prediction and sediment thermodynamic/physical modeling, we have developed a novel software workflow to create probabilistic maps of geoacoustic and geomechanical sediment properties of the global seabed. This new technique for producing reliable estimates of seafloor properties can better support Naval operations relying on sonar performance and seabed strength, can constrain models of shallow tomographic structure important for nuclear treaty compliance monitoring/detection, and can provide constraints on the distribution and inventory of shallow methane gas and gas hydrate accumulations on the continental shelves.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Catalog of Candidate Double and Lensed Quasars from Gaia and WISE Data

Making use of strong correlations between closely separated multiple or double sources and photometric and astrometric metadata in Gaia Early Data Release 3 (EDR3), we generate a catalog of candidate double- and multiply imaged lensed quasars and active galactic nuclei (AGNs), comprising 3140 systems. It includes two partially overlapping parts: a sample of distant (redshifts mostly greater than 1) sources with perturbed data; and systems that have been resolved into separate components by Gaia at separations less than 2''. For the first part, which is roughly one-third of the published catalog, we synthesized 0.617 million redshifts using multiple machine-learning prediction and classification methods, using independent photometric and astrometric data from Gaia EDR3 and the Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer, with accurate spectroscopic redshifts from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) as a training set. Using these synthetic redshifts, we estimate a 4.9% rate of interlopers with spectroscopic redshifts below 1 in this part of the catalog. Unresolved candidate double and dual AGNs and quasars are selected as sources with a marginally high BP/RP excess factor (phot_bp_rp_excess_factor), which is sensitive to source extent, limiting our search to high-redshift quasars. For the second part of the catalog, additional filters on measured parallax and near-neighbor statistics are applied to diminish the propagation of the remaining stellar contaminants. The estimated rate of the positives (double or multiple sources) is 98%, and the estimated rate of dual (physically related) quasars is greater than 54%. A few dozen serendipitously found objects of interest are discussed in more detail, including known and new lensed images, planetary nebulae, young IR stars of peculiar morphology, and quasars with catastrophic redshift errors in SDSS.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

DIP for Service Providers

The second DIP workshop’s topic is DIP for Service Providers. The workshop presentation covers topics such as DIP onboarding process, service authentication, catalog service capabilities, API requirements, NASA services and their access points, and data requirements for service providers. The Onboarding Process describes the required documentation that enables to collaborate with NASA as well as other industry partners through DIP. Also, step by step approach for the partner to take to register services or consme services through the DIP platform. The Catalog Service describes the different ways for the users to search for services that are of interest as well as registering services to the platform, so other users can search and discover. The API Requirements and Service Specifications describes the benefits of DIP's API management approach via API Gateway where services are managed centrally but ownership is decentralized and partners completely own the administration of their own services. NASA Services and Data Access Points topic describes the services, both data access service and machine learning prediction service, that NASA provides via the DIP platform in near time and post operations via REST API endpoints defined on the API Gateway. Also, NASA's approach for data storage process is explained. The Data Requirements for service providers describes the requirements for storing and exposing to support the performance of services that are provided by the service providers. Lastly, NASA's technology development plan with preliminary scheduler will be presented. There will be a Q&A session at the end of each segment of the presentation to solicit feedback from the participants.

ATM-X↗
DOE OSTI2022

Control systems and methods to enable autonomous drilling

A system or method for drilling includes autonomously controlling a rotary or percussive drilling process as it transitions through multiple materials with very different dynamics. The method determines a drilling medium based on real-time measurements and comparison to prior drilling data, and identifies the material type, drilling region, and approximately optimal setpoint based on data from at least one operating condition. The controller uses these setpoints initially to execute an optimal search to maximize performance by minimizing mechanical specific energy. Near-bit depth-of-cut estimations are performed using a machine learning prediction deployed in an embedded processor to provide high-speed ROP estimates. The sensing capability is coupled with a near-bit clutching mechanism to support drilling dysfunction mitigation.

Buerger, Stephen↗
DOE OSTI2023

Control systems and methods to enable autonomous drilling

A system or method for drilling includes autonomously controlling a rotary or percussive drilling process as it transitions through multiple materials with very different dynamics. The method determines a drilling medium based on real-time measurements and comparison to prior drilling data, and identifies the material type, drilling region, and approximately optimal setpoint based on data from at least one operating condition. The controller uses these setpoints initially to execute an optimal search to maximize performance by minimizing mechanical specific energy. Near-bit depth-of-cut estimations are performed using a machine learning prediction deployed in an embedded processor to provide high-speed ROP estimates. The sensing capability is coupled with a near-bit clutching mechanism to support drilling dysfunction mitigation.

Buerger, Stephen↗
DOE OSTI2023

Metallic glass coating material

A metallic glass coating material is composed of an alloy of Fe, B, and one of the metals Nb, Mo, Zr, or W. The ratios of Fe, B, and the metal are predetermined using machine learning predictions and high-throughput experiments. In one example, the material is an alloy of Fe, Nb, Mo and B, of the form Fe x (Nb, Mo) y B z , where x is in the range 18-28, y is in the range 35-45, and z is in the range 32-42. In another example, the material may be the alloy Fe 23 (Nb, Mo) 40 B 37 . The alloy may be doped with Zr and/or W, where the Zr and/or W comprises at most 10% of the alloy.

Mehta, Apurva↗
DOE OSTI2024

Defect Equilibria from First Principles: From Widegap Oxides to Topological Semimetals

Materials functionality and performance is rarely determined by the ideal crystal alone but is usually affected by formation of imperfections and the solution of impurities. In some applications, such as solar thermochemical hydrogen generation, defect formation is the fundamentally enabling mechanism of the desired functionality. In other cases, such as Cd3As2 topological semimetals, unintentional self-doping presents an obstacle to the access to the unique electronic properties. In either case, a quantitative understanding of the relevant defect mechanism is essential for developing design strategies. This presentation will touch upon numerous aspects in the computational simulation of defect equilibria, including non-equilibrium design strategies, the coupling of solid state and gas-phase reactions, dopant-defect and defect-defect interactions, both attractive and repulsive, the accuracy of total energy functionals and electronic structure methods, and the role of the shape of the density of states for the charge balance condition and Fermi level position, as well as machine-learning prediction of defect energies (1). Specific materials systems include Ga2O3 (2), Cd3As2 (3), and (Sr,Ce)MnO3 (4). (1) M.D. Witman, A. Goyal, T. Ogitsu, A.H. McDaniel, S. Lany, Nat. Comput. Sci. 3, 675 (2023). (2) A. Goyal, A. Zakutayev, V. Stevanovic, S. Lany, J. Appl. Phys. 129, 245704 (2021). (3) C. Brooks, M. van Schilfgaarde, D. Pashov, J.N. Nelson, K. Alberi, D.S. Dessau, S. Lany, Phys. Rev. B 107, 224110 (2023). (4) A. Goyal, M.D. Sanders, R.P. O'Hayre, S. Lany, PRX Energy 3, 013008 (2024).

CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSICS,M↗
DOE OSTI2020

Exploiting Machine Learning to Efficiently Predict Multidimensional Optical Spectra in Complex Environments

The excited-state dynamics of chromophores in complex environments determine a range of vital biological and energy capture processes. Time-resolved, multidimensional optical spectroscopies provide a key tool to investigate these processes. Although theory has the potential to decode these spectra in terms of the electronic and atomistic dynamics, the need for large numbers of excited-state electronic structure calculations severely limits first-principles predictions of multidimensional optical spectra for chromophores in the condensed phase. In this work, we leverage the locality of chromophore excitations to develop machine learning models to predict the excited-state energy gap of chromophores in complex environments for efficiently constructing linear and multidimensional optical spectra. By analyzing the performance of these models, which span a hierarchy of physical approximations, across a range of chromophore–environment interaction strengths, we provide strategies for the construction of machine learning models that greatly accelerate the calculation of multidimensional optical spectra from first principles.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Digital Twin Framework Utilizing Machine Learning for Robust Predictive Maintenance: Enhancing Tire Health Monitoring

We introduce a novel digital twin (DT) framework for the predictive maintenance of long-term physical systems. Using monitoring tire health as an application, we show how the DT framework can be used to enhance automotive safety and efficiency, and how the technical challenges can be overcome using a three-step approach. First, to manage the data complexity over a long operation span, we employ data reduction techniques to concisely represent physical tires using historical performance and usage data. Relying on these data, for fast real-time prediction, we train a transformer-based model offline on our concise dataset to predict future tire health over time, represented as remaining casing potential (RCP). Based on our architecture, our model quantifies both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties, providing reliable confidence intervals around predicted RCP. Second, to incorporate real-time data, we update the predictive model in the DT framework, ensuring its accuracy throughout its lifespan with the aid of hybrid modeling and the use of the discrepancy function. Third, to assist decision-making in predictive maintenance, we implement a tire state decision algorithm, which strategically determines the optimal timing for tire replacement based on RCP forecasted by our transformer model. This approach ensures that our DT accurately predicts system health, continually refines its digital representation, and supports predictive maintenance decisions. Furthermore, our framework effectively embodies a physical system, leveraging big data and machine learning (ML) for predictive maintenance, model updates, and decision-making.

advanced computing infrastructure↗
NASA NTRS2021

A Machine Learning Approach to Predict Aircraft Landing Times using Mediated Predictions from Existing Systems

We developed a novel approach for predicting the landing time of airborne flights in real-time operations. The first step predicts a landing time by using mediation rules to select from among physics-based predictions (relying on the expected flight trajectory) already available in real time in the Federal Aviation Administration System Wide Information Management system data feeds. The second step uses a machine learning model built upon the mediated predictions. The model is trained to predict the error in the mediated prediction, using features describing the current state of an airborne flight. These features are calculated in real time from a relatively small number of data elements that are readily available for airborne flights. Initial results based on five months of data at six large airports demonstrate that incorporating a machine learning model on top of the mediated physics-based prediction can lead to substantial additional improvements in prediction quality.

Machine learning↗
NASA NTRS2021

A Machine Learning Approach to Predict Aircraft Landing Times using Mediated Predictions from Existing Systems

We developed a novel approach for predicting the landing time of airborne flights in real-time operations. The first step predicts a landing time by using mediation rules to select from among physics-based predictions (relying on the expected flight trajectory) already available in real time in the Federal Aviation Administration System Wide Information Management system data feeds. The second step uses a machine learning model built upon the mediated predictions. The model is trained to predict the error in the mediated prediction, using features describing the current state of an airborne flight. These features are calculated in real time from a relatively small number of data elements that are readily available for airborne flights. Initial results based on five months of data at six large airports demonstrate that incorporating a machine learning model on top of the mediated physics-based prediction can lead to substantial additional improvements in prediction quality.

Machine learning↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improved machine learning algorithm for predicting ground state properties

Finding the ground state of a quantum many-body system is a fundamental problem in quantum physics. In this work, we give a classical machine learning (ML) algorithm for predicting ground state properties with an inductive bias encoding geometric locality. The proposed ML model can efficiently predict ground state properties of an n-qubit gapped local Hamiltonian after learning from only $\mathcal{O}$(log(n)) data about other Hamiltonians in the same quantum phase of matter. This improves substantially upon previous results that require $\mathcal{O}$(n c ) data for a large constant c. Furthermore, the training and prediction time of the proposed ML model scale as $\mathcal{O}$(n log n) in the number of qubits n. Numerical experiments on physical systems with up to 45 qubits confirm the favorable scaling in predicting ground state properties using a small training dataset.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Accuracy of predictions made by machine learned models for biocrude yields obtained from hydrothermal liquefaction of organic wastes

Hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) has potential for converting abundant wet organic wastes into renewable fuels. Because HTL consists of a complex reaction network, deterministic, physics-based prediction of its biocrude yield is prohibitively difficult. Data-driven methods provide an alternative to the physics-based approach; however, rigorous testing must be performed to ensure the accuracy of predictions made by data-driven methods. To this end, a data set was assembled consisting of 570 data points appearing in the open literature. The data set was divided into training, validation, and test sub-sets and used for evaluating different machine learning regression approaches to predict biocrude yield. Among the tested algorithms, Random Forest and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) predicted biocrude yields in a test set that had not been used for training with the greatest accuracy, with root mean square errors (RMSE) of 8.34 and 8.57, respectively. Further refinement of the Random Forest model reduced its RMSE to 8.07. In comparison, predictions of a series of literature models resulted in RMSE ranging from 9.16 in the most accurate case to 27.6 in the least accurate; most literature models yielded RMSE values > 10. Using biocrude yield predictions from the most accurate Random Forest model and a probabilistic economic analysis found that the model accuracy is sufficient to prioritize allocation of resources based on projected minimum fuel selling price. In our report the models and analysis represent a major advance in the ability to use readily available data to predict biocrude yields on new feedstocks that have not previously been studied.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Feature engineering for machine learning enabled early prediction of battery lifetime

Accurate battery lifetime estimates enable accelerated design of novel battery materials and determination of optimal use protocols for longevity in deployments. Unfortunately, traditional battery testing may take years to reach thousands of cycles. Recent studies have shown that machine learning (ML) tools can predict lithium-ion battery lifetimes from 100 or fewer preliminary cycles, representing only a few weeks of cycling. Until now, conclusions about the efficacy and broad applicability of these predictions across a variety of cathode chemistries have been limited by available experimental information. In this work, we leverage a battery cycling dataset representing six cathode chemistries (NMC111, NMC532, NMC622, NMC811, HE5050, and 5Vspinel), multiple electrolyte/anode compositions, and 300 total carefully prepared pouch batteries to explore feature selection and battery chemistry's role in ML battery lifetime predictions. Here, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 78 cycles in prediction was seen for a chemistry-spanning test set from 100 preliminary cycles. Furthermore, an MAE of 103 cycles was seen when using only the first cycle. This study represents an in-depth investigation of strategies for feature selection for battery lifetime prediction, ML models' generalization across multiple battery chemistries, and predictions beyond the training set in the chemical space.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗