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At least 253 records · Page 14

Probability of committed warming exceeding 1.5 ∘ C and 2.0 ∘ C Paris targets

Abstract The feasibility of achieving the Paris 1.5 ∘ C target continues to be a complex and hotly debated question. To help resolve this question we calculate probability distributions of the committed warming that would ensue if all anthropogenic emissions were stopped immediately, or at successive future times. We use a simple Earth system model together with a Bayesian approach that incorporates multiple lines of evidence and accounts for known model biases. This analysis reveals a wide range of possible outcomes, including no further warming, but also a 15% chance of overshooting the 1.5 ∘ C target, and 1%–2% chance for 2 ∘ C, even if all emissions had stopped in 2020. If emissions merely stabilize in 2020 and stop in 2040, these probabilities increase to 90% and 17%. The uncertainty arises mainly from that of present forcing by aerosols. Rather than there being a fixed date by which emissions must stop, the probability of reaching either target—which is already below 100%—gradually diminishes with delays in eliminating emissions, by 3%–4% per year for 1.5 ∘ C.

Sherwood, Steven C. (ORCID:0000000174208216)↗

Status on 12 C + 12 C fusion at deep subbarrier energies: impact of resonances on astrophysical S * factors

Since the discovery of molecular resonances in 12 C + 12 C in the early sixties a great deal of research work has been undertaken to study α-clustering and resonant effects of the fusion process at sub-Coulomb barrier energies. The modified astrophysical S* factors of 12 C + 12 C fusion have been extracted from direct fusion measurements at deep sub-barrier energies near the Gamow window. They were also obtained by the indirect Trojan horse method (THM). A comparison of direct measurements and the THM, which elucidates problems in the analysis of the THM, is discussed in this Letter to the Editor.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Xcel Energy’s electric carbon emissions reduction trajectories in the context of 1.5°C and 2°C warming pathways

In 2015 the Paris Agreement established the goals of limiting global average warming to well below 2°C and pursuing efforts to limit warming to below 1.5°C. A large and growing number of scenarios have been developed by the climate research community that explore global energy and emissions pathways that would achieve those goals. We draw on the most recent database of such scenarios to update a previous analysis of Xcel Energy’s emissions reduction goals in light of evolving climate science. We assess the outlook for the role of the US electricity sector in current economy-wide and global emissions pathways and compare it to Xcel Energy’s near-term resource plans to 2030. We find that global scenarios that achieve the 1.5°C goal span a range of US/North America electricity sector emissions reductions by 2030 of about 65-85%. Xcel Energy’s emissions reductions to date have exceeded those of the US electricity sector as a whole, and its projected trajectory to 2030 under current approved resource plans falls within this range. Scenarios achieving the 2°C goal have a wider range of reductions (about 40-85%). In scenarios achieving either goal, electricity sector emissions fall faster than economy-wide emissions, a robust feature of mitigation scenarios, which typically rely on low carbon electricity to achieve climate targets.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Oxygen stabilization induced enhancement in J(sub c) and T(sub c) of superconducting oxides

In an attempt to enhance the electrical and mechanical properties of the high temperature superconducting oxides, high T(sub c) composites were prepared composed of the 123 compounds and AgO. The presence of extra oxygen due to the decomposition of AgO at high temperature is found to stabilize the superconducting 123 phase. Ag is found to serve as clean flux for grain growth and precipitates as pinning center. Consequently, almost two orders of magnitude enhancement in critical current densities were also observed in these composites. In addition, these composites also show much improvement in workability and shape formation. On the other hand, proper oxygen treatment of Y5Ba6Cu11Oy was found to possibly stabilize superconducting phase with T(sub c) near 250 K. I-V, ac susceptibility, and electrical resistivity measurements indicate the existence of this ultra high T(sub c) phase in this compound. Detailed structure, microstructure, electrical, magnetic and thermal studies of the superconducting composites and the ultra high T(sub c) compound are presented and discussed.

Wu, M. K.↗

Calculation of (12)C(16)O and (13)C(16)O X(1)Sigma(+) rovibrational intensities for v less than or equal to 20 and J less than or equal to 150

Improved electric dipole transition matrix elements for rovibrational transitions in the ground state X(1)Sigma(+) of (12)C(6)O and (13)C(16)O are calculated for all the delta v = +1, +2, and +3 transitions for which v less than or equal to 20 and J less than or equal to 150. We have fitted polynomials to these matrix elements as a function of the parameter m which is defined in terms of the lower state angular momentum quantum number J. These convenient to use polynomial representations are given in Tables 1-4 for (12)C(16)O and in Tables 5-8 for (13)C(16)O. We observe that there is intensity enhancement due to vibration-rotation interaction for the P-branch transitions at the expense of the R-branch transitions for delta v = +1. This enhancement can be as large as 40% at the highest J. For the delta v = +2 and +3 transitions, the R-branch transitions are enhanced by as much as a factor of 2.75 and 10 at the highest J, respectively. The P-branch transitions exhibit only minor decreases. Comparisons with previous calculations show good agreement for the delta v = +1 transitions. The comparison for delta v = +2 and +3 transitions show differences as large as a factor of 5.

Goorvitch, D.↗

The NEXT-C Power Processing Unit: Lessons Learned from the Design, Build, and Test of the NEXT-C PPU for APL's DART Mission

NASA’s Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) will be the first-ever planetary defense mission to demonstrate asteroid deflection using kinetic impactor technology. The DART spacecraft will utilize the NASA Evolutionary Xenon Thruster (NEXT), which is a successor to the NSTAR ion propulsion system that successfully propelled NASA’s Deep Space 1 and Dawn spacecraft. In 2015, NASA partnered with Aerojet Rocketdyne and ZIN Technologies on the NEXT-Commercial (NEXT-C) effort to manufacture a Flight-Qualified (TRL 8) power processing unit (PPU). The NEXT-C PPU was based on the heritage gridded ion thruster PPU from NSTAR and NEXT, but with significant improvements in performance and manufacturability. The design goals of the NEXT-C PPU were to achieve the technical performance goals of the PPU in size, mass, and efficiency over a wide range of input voltage and output power. This paper discusses the lessons learned from the design, build, and test of the NEXT-C PPU, and how challenges were overcome to deliver a Flight PPU.

NEXT-C↗

Progressing -190 °C to +500 °C Durable SiC JFET ICs From MSI to LSI

This invited paper describes prototype SiC JFET integrated circuit (IC) and packaging technology that has produced arguably the most harsh-environment durable electronics ever demonstrated. Prototype medium-scale integration (MSI) ICs fabricated by NASA Glenn Research Center have successfully operated for over 1 year in 500 °C air-ambient, over 60 days in 460 °C and 9.3 MPa pressure caustic Venus surface environment test chamber, from -190 °C to +812 °C, and radiation exposure through 7 MRad(Si) total ionizing dose and 86 MeV-cm2/mg heavy ion strikes. Recent on-going work focused on upscaling this “go anywhere” IC capability from MSI to large-scale integration (LSI) prototype via benchmark memory ICs is described.

Integrated Circuits↗

Group additivity values for the heat of formation of C 2 –C 8 alkanes, alkyl hydroperoxides, and their radicals

A set of 58 group additivity values (GAV) for the calculation of the heat of formation is derived from an extensive and accurate database of 192 ab initio heats of formation. The ab initio values are from companion calculations at the CCSD(T)–F12/cc-pVTZ-F12//B2PLYPD3/cc-pVTZ level of theory employing second order connectivity based hierarchy reference reactions with ANL energies for the reference species. This database of 192 species consists of alkanes (RH), alkyl radicals ($\dot{\text {R}}$), alkyl hydroperoxides (RO 2 H), alkyl-peroxy (R$\dot{\text {O}}$ 2 ) radicals, and hydroperoxy-alkyl ($\dot{\text {Q}}$OOH) radicals of all of the isomers of C 2 –C 5 alkane fuels and a select set of C 6 –C 8 isomers. The GAV and ab initio based enthalpies for this dataset show excellent agreement, with an estimated 2σ uncertainty of 0.9 kcal mol –1 . Among the 58 GAV terms, 40 are refinements of previously reported terms, while 18 are newly developed. These new GAV terms are mainly non-next-nearest neighbor interactions (NNI) and β-corrections. The inclusion of these new groups significantly improves the accuracy of the GAV estimates of the heats of formation. Finally, the updated GAVs can be used with increased confidence to estimate the heats of formation of combustion relevant hydrocarbons and oxygenated hydrocarbons and their corresponding radicals, which are important in predicting low-temperature chemistry and are critical in the development of accurate chemical kinetic models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Group additivity values for entropy and heat capacities of C 2 –C 8 alkanes, alkyl hydroperoxides, and their radicals

Group additivity values for the thermodynamic properties of oxygenated radicals are poorly determined due to the absence of high quality reference data. Here, a set of 58 group additive values (GAV) for the standard entropy and heat capacity of relevance to alkane oxidation is derived from fits to an extensive and accurate database of standard entropies (298.15 K) and heat capacities (300–3000 K) recently calculated with the “STAR-1D” formalism. The 192 species in this database represent the alkanes (RH), alkyl radicals ($\dot{R}$), alkyl hydroperoxides (RO 2 H), alkyl-peroxy (R$\dot{O}$ 2 ) and hydroperoxy-alkyl ($\dot{Q}$OOH) radicals for all of the isomers of C 2 –C 5 alkane fuels and a select number of isomers of C 6 –C 9 species. The STAR-1D thermochemical data for this set of species was previously obtained from a coupling of scaled B2PLYPD3/cc-pVTZ vibrational analyses with scaled ωB97X-D/cc-pVTZ one-dimensional hindered rotor corrections. The 2σ uncertainties in the GAV results relative to the STAR-1D data set are 2.4 cal K –1 mol –1 for the entropies and at most 2.0 cal K –1 mol –1 for the heat capacities in the temperature range 500–800 K. The 2σ fitting uncertainties in the heat capacity gradually reduce at higher temperatures reaching a value of 0.8 cal K –1 mol –1 at 2000 K decreasing to only 0.5 cal K –1 mol –1 at 3000 K. The high degree of accuracy for the GAV representations is obtained through the introduction of various new group terms, together with the re-optimization of existing group terms. Among the full set of 58 GAV terms, 25 include non-next-nearest neighbor interactions (NNI) and β-corrections. The updated GAVs can be applied in the prediction of entropies and heat capacities for a wide range of hydrocarbons and hydroperoxide species and their radicals, which is important to the accurate prediction of fuel reactivity at low-temperatures in the range 600–1000 K.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Automotive fuel cell stack and system efficiency and fuel consumption based on vehicle testing on a chassis dynamometer at minus 18 °C to positive 35 °C temperatures

In this work we present an in-depth laboratory technology assessment of a 2016 Toyota Mirai Fuel Cell (FC) vehicle based on chassis dynamometer testing. The 114.6 kW FC stack has a high dynamic response, which makes this powertrain a FC-dominant hybrid electric vehicle. The measured peak efficiency is 66.0% FC stack and 63.7% FC system with an idle hydrogen flow rate of 4.39 g/hr. The high FC system efficiencies at low loads match typical vehicle power spectrums, resulting in a high average vehicle efficiency of 62% compared to 45% and 23% for a hybrid electric vehicle and a conventional vehicle, respectively. An energy breakdown accounts for the FC stack losses, FC system losses, air compressor loads, and heater loads for different drive cycles and different thermal conditions. The cold-start North American city drive cycle (UDDS) energy consumption values are, respectively, 758, 581, 226, and 321 Wh/km at ambient conditions of -18 degrees C, -7 degrees C, -25 degrees C and 35 degrees C with 850 W/m 2 of solar loading. The FC system shutdown and startup processes at temperatures below the freezing point contribute to the increased hydrogen consumption. Additionally, the raw test data files are available for download, thus providing the research community with a public reference data on a modern production automotive FC system.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Kinetics for the reaction between the solvated electron and dissolved oxygen in n-dodecane from 2.5 to 40 °C

Temperature-controlled, time-resolved picosecond electron pulse radiolysis was utilized to measure the rate of reaction between the solvated electron (eS–) and dissolved oxygen in n-dodecane solutions from 2.5 to 40 °C for the first time. At 20.0 °C, the reaction rate was determined to be k(eS– + O2) = (4.54 ± 0.21) × 1010 M-1 s-1, with an activation energy of Ea = 14.4 ± 1.3 kJ mol-1. These newly determined kinetic parameters are important for predicting and managing the effects of aerated environments on the degradation of organic solvents used in nuclear fuel reprocessing technologies.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Powder X-ray diffraction of nintedanib esylate hemihydrate, (C 31 H 33 N 5 O 4 )(C 2 H 5 O 3 S)(H 2 O) 0.5

The crystal structure of nintedanib esylate hemihydrate was refined using synchrotron X-ray powder diffraction data and optimized using density functional theory techniques. Nintedanib esylate hemihydrate crystallizes in space groupP-1(#2) witha= 11.5137(1),b= 16.3208(4),c= 19.1780(5) Å,α= 69.0259(12),β= 84.4955(8),γ= 89.8319(6)°,V= 3347.57(3) Å 3 , andZ= 4 at 295 K. Hydrogen bonds are prominent in the crystal structure. The water molecule forms two medium-strength O–H⋯O hydrogen bonds to one of the esylate anions. The protonated nitrogen atom in each cation forms a N–H⋯O hydrogen bond to an esylate anion. The ring N–H groups form strong intramolecular N–H⋯O hydrogen bonds to carbonyl groups. The ring N–H groups form intramolecular N–H⋯O hydrogen bonds to esylate anions. Many C–H⋅⋅⋅O hydrogen bonds (and one C–H⋯N hydrogen bond), with aromatic C–H, methylene groups and methyl groups as donors, are present. The hydrogen bonding patterns of the two cations differ considerably. The powder pattern has been submitted to ICDD for inclusion in the Powder Diffraction File™ (PDF®)

Materials Science↗

Li2[SeC2Se] · 2 NH3: A Crystalline Ammoniate with a-Se-C=C-Se- Dianion

Reaction of Li2C2 with elemental selenium in a molar ratio of 1:2 in liquid ammonia led to the formation of the ammoniate Li2[SeC2Se] ? 2 NH3. Its crystal structure was solved and refined from high-resolution synchrotron powder diffraction data (P21/c, Z = 4). It contains the ?Se-C?C-Se? anion, unprecedented in a crystalline material, whose existence was corroborated by IR/Raman spectra and electronic-structure theory, showing an almost perfect agreement with calculated spectra. Elaborated magnetic-bottle and velocity-map imaging photoelectron spectroscopic investigations show that the ?Se-C?C-Se? radical anion can be transferred to the gas phase, where it was analyzed by NIPE (Negative Ion Photoelectron) and VMI (Velocity-Map Imaging) spectra, which correlate nicely with simulated spectra based on 2?u ? 3Sg – and 2?u ?1Sg + transitions including spin-orbit couplings

Hetzert, Marc↗

Identification of the Elusive Methyl-Loss Channel in the Crossed Molecular Beam Study of Gas-Phase Reaction of Dicarbon Molecules (C 2 ; X 1 Σ g + /a 3 Π u ) with 2-Methyl-1,3-butadiene (C 5 H 8 ; X 1 A')

The crossed molecular beams technique was utilized to explore the reaction of dicarbon C 2 (X 1 Σ g + /a 3 Π u ) with 2-methyl-1,3-butadiene (isoprene, CH 2 C(CH 3 )CHCH 2 ; X 1 A') at a collision energy of 28 ± 1 kJ mol⁻¹ using a supersonic dicarbon beam generated via photolysis (248 nm) of helium-seeded tetrachloroethylene (C 2 Cl 4 ). Here, experimental data combined with previous ab initio calculations provide evidence of the detection of the hitherto elusive methyl elimination channels leading to acyclic resonantly stabilized hexatetraenyl radicals: 1,2,4,5-hexatetraen-3-yl (CH 2 CC•CHCCH 2 ) and/or 1,3,4,5-hexatetraen-3-yl (CH 2 CHC•CCCH 2 ). These pathways are exclusive to the singlet potential energy surface, with the reaction initiated by the barrierless addition of dicarbon to one of the carbon-carbon double bonds in the diene. In combustion systems, both hexatetraenyl radicals can isomerize to the phenyl radical (C 6 H 5 ) through a hydrogen atom assisted isomerization – the crucial reaction intermediate and molecular mass growth species step toward the formation of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and soot.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Surface Chemistry of Methanol on TiO 2 (110): Effects of Pressure and Temperature on the Stability of C–O and C–H Bonds

Synchrotron-based ambient pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (AP-XPS) was used to study the surface chemistry of methanol on TiO 2 (110), examining the effects of methanol pressure, oxide temperature, and coadsorption with H 2 . At 300 K, the adsorption of methanol on TiO 2 (110) leads to the formation of CH 3 O on the surface with a minor amount of CH 3 OH present. The easy cleavage of the O–H bond in the alcohol agrees with the predictions of theoretical calculations, and most of the adsorbed CH 3 O was not associated with the presence of Ti 3+ sites in the oxide substrate. The adsorbed CH 3 O was removed from the TiO 2 (110) surface by heating to 600 K without the deposition of CH x fragments or C on the oxide. The results of temperature-programmed desorption (TPD) showed the evolution of methanol and formaldehyde at 360 and 490 K as a result of a disproportionation reaction: 2CH 3 O → CH 3 OH + CH 2 O. This surface chemistry, where there is no rupture of the C–O bond, and only selective cleavage of O–H and C–H bonds, is very different from that found on metals used in catalysts for methanol reforming, where massive conversion of the alcohol into CO, CH x and C species is seen. Furthermore, the TPD data indicate that any CH 3 O formed on the oxide surface can be hydrogenated and desorbed as CH 3 OH at temperatures below 550 K. In this respect, titania is an ideal support for catalysts employed to achieve methanol synthesis through CO 2 hydrogenation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗