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At least 253 records · Page 14

History and Archives Contribute to the Success of Space Flight Programs

Final Paper, not the Abstract, is attached: This report discusses how history can be used by management, engineering, and operations personnel within space flight programs. Works by professional historians and sociologists inform key decision makers and policy specialists on lessons learned from space flight program management successes and failures, as well as from legislative affairs, policy making, and commercial space efforts. Vehicle engineering history written by engineers for an engineering or operations audience informs project management and technical personnel on lessons learned, best practices, and the rationale behind the design and operation of flight vehicles and supporting ground systems. Archives play a critical role in supporting the efforts of both professional historians and flight program personnel. Suggestions are made concerning how professional historians could leverage the interests and knowledge of flight program personnel to obtain more insight that is needed to support historical research efforts.

Archive↗

Interoffice Memorandum RE-04-21 "Advanced Test Reactor Power History Through Cycle 169A-1"

Table 1 lists the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) N-16 constrained power history data since the Beryllium VI Core Internals Changeout (CIC) Cycle 134A-1 through Cycle 169A-1. The powers tabulated for Cycles 159A-1, 163A-1, and 167A-1 are higher than powers observed during operation, because powers are computed from cycle exposure, which for these cycles includes operation during the low-power “soak” portion of each cycle; whereas cycle length in Effective Full Power Days (EFPD) includes only the high-power “casualty” portion occurring after NF is established. Table 2 lists the accumulated N-16 lobe and total core exposure, as obtained from the ATR Data Acquisition System (RDAS) for Cycles 134A-1 through 169A-1. Table 3 lists the startup and shutdown dates and times, as obtained from logbooks or RDAS, depending on availability. The ATR power history prior to Cycle 134A 1 is presented in references (a) through (d).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Quantifying melt production and degassing rate at mid-ocean ridges from global mantle convection models with plate motion history

The Earth's surface volcanism exerts first-order controls on the composition of the atmosphere and the climate. On Earth, the majority of surface volcanism occurs at mid-ocean ridges. In this study, based on the dependence of melt fraction on temperature, pressure, and composition, we compute melt production and degassing rate at mid-ocean ridges from three-dimensional global mantle convection models with plate motion history as the surface velocity boundary condition. By incorporating melting in global mantle convection models, we connect deep mantle convection to surface volcanism, with deep and shallow mantle processes internally consistent. We compare two methods to compute melt production: a tracer method and an Eulerian method. Our results show that melt production at mid-ocean ridges is mainly controlled by surface plate motion history, and that changes in plate tectonic motion, including plate reorganizations, may lead to significant deviation of melt production from the expected scaling with seafloor production rate. We also find a good correlation between melt production and degassing rate beneath mid-ocean ridges. The calculated global melt production and CO 2 degassing rate at mid-ocean ridges varies by as much as a factor of 3 over the past 200 Myr. We show that mid-ocean ridge melt production and degassing rate would be much larger in the Cretaceous, and reached maximum values at ~150–120 Ma. Our results raise the possibility that warmer climate in the Cretaceous could be due in part to high magmatic productivity and correspondingly high outgassing rates at mid-ocean ridges during that time.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Robust calibration of non-perturbative models with history matching

We apply, for the first time, Bayes Linear Emulation and History Matching to the calibration of non-perturbative models in Monte Carlo event generators. In contrast to the usual approach of "Monte Carlo tuning", History Matching does not result in best-fit plus ellipsoidal parameter uncertainty estimates but instead identifies all parameter space regions that are consistent with data. This approach leads to a systematic and robust quantification of parametric uncertainties in the models, especially in those challenging cases where different, possibly disjoint, regions of parameter space deliver similar results, which are usually not properly treated with current methodology. We highlight the power of this method with the hadronisation models available through Sherpa : the built-in cluster fragmentation Ahadic and string fragmentation through an interface to Pythia .

Iskauskas, Andrew [Durham U. (main)] (ORCID:000000↗

Expert Text Analysis in the Inclusion of History and Philosophy of Science in Higher Education

The history and philosophy of science (HPS) plays a special role in education. An elective HPS course onthe philosophy of scientific experimentation for young scientists and graduate students of natural scienceis presented. The course bears a pragmatic character, and its main aims include the development of criticalthinking (CT), familiarization with philosophical problems in the relevant areas of knowledge, and thecultivation of a taste for reflective, critical analysis, both individual and group-based, which contributes todeeper understanding of the features of scientific practice in the context of modern complex groupcooperation. Students are offered a classical HPS program that included debates on the relationship betweenempiricism and rationalism, the role of Kant’s transcendental philosophy, modern topics associated withthe practical success of rationalism in the emergence of modern natural science, and the theory-ladennessof experimentation. Particular attention during the course is paid to the problems of megascience, theinclusion of which is justified by the specifics of the students’ engagement with science, technology,engineering, and mathematics (STEM). Emphasis is placed on the structure and typology of the collectivesubject in the modern educational process as well as in experimental practice. Lessons on the methodologyof expert text analysis (META), which are aimed at the development of critical thinking skills and thecreation of an interdisciplinary discussion space, are included in the course and relied on the example ofthe history and philosophy of high energy physics to motivate professional reflection. META classesincluded in the course prepare graduate students for teamwork in big science, proto-megascience, andmegascience. The course offers practical recommendations that could be applied to students’ own researchand could be useful for practitioners.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Effect of Diets, Familial History, and Alternative Therapies on Genomic Instability of Breast Cancer Patients

This study evaluates a correlation between family history, micronutrients intake, and alternative therapies with genetic instability, before and during breast cancer treatment. For this study, a total of 150 women were selected. Among those, 50 women were breast cancer patients on chemotherapy, while 50 breast cancer patients were on radiotherapy, and 50 were healthy females. All the participants signed the informed consent form and answered the public health questionnaire. Samples of buccal epithelial and peripheral blood cells were collected and analyzed through micronucleus and comet assays. The cells were evaluated for apoptosis and DNA damage. Results showed the association of patients’ family history with an increase in toxicogenetic damage before and during cancer therapy. On the other hand, patients with late-onset cancer also presented genetic instability before and during therapy, along with those who did not take sufficient vegetables and alternative therapies. A positive correlation was observed between the genetic instability and alternative therapies, while inverse correlation was recorded with the vegetable consumption. Results clearly explain that the nutritional aspects and alternative therapies influence the genetic instability before and during cancer therapies especially in radiotherapy treated patients. Our data could be used for the monitoring therapies and management of breast cancer patients.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Correlations between thermal history and keyhole porosity in laser powder bed fusion

Additive manufacturing has the potential to revolutionize the production of metallic components as it yields near net shape parts with complex geometries and minimizes waste. At the present day, additively manufactured components face qualification and certification challenges due to the difficulty in controlling defects. This has driven a significant research effort aimed at better understanding and improving processing controls – yielding a plethora of in-situ measurements aimed at correlating defects with material quality metrics of interest. In this work, we develop machine-learning methods to learn correlations between thermal history and subsurface porosity for a variety of print conditions in laser powder bed fusion. Un-normalized surface temperatures (in the form of black-body radiances) are obtained using high-speed infrared imaging and porosity formation is observed in the sample cross-section through synchrotron x-ray imaging. To demonstrate the predictive power of these features, we present four statistical machine-learning models that correlate temperature histories to subsurface porosity formation in laser fused Ti-6Al4V powder.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Shock tube ignition delay times and methane time-histories measurements during excess CO 2 diluted oxy-methane combustion

The combustion of methane in air results in large amounts of CO 2 and NO X emissions. In order to reduce the NO X emissions, one possible solution is the oxy-methane combustion with large CO 2 dilution so that the combustion products can be reduced mainly to CO 2 and H 2 O. However, there are very few studies on the chemical kinetics of oxy-methane combustion in a CO 2 diluted environment. In this study, methane time-histories, CH* emission profiles, and pressure time-histories measurements were conducted behind reflected shock waves to gain insight into the effects of CO 2 dilution of the gas mixtures on the ignition of methane. The measurements were carried out for mixtures of CH 4 , CO 2 and O 2 in argon bath gas at temperatures of 1577–2144 K, pressures of 0.53–4.4 atm, equivalence ratios (Φ) of 0.5, 1, and 2, and CO 2 mole fractions (X CO2 ) of 0, 30, and 60%. The laser absorption measurements were conducted using a continuous wave distributed feedback interband cascade laser (DFB ICL) centered at 3403.4 nm. The results showed the decrease of activation energy and the increase of ignition delay time as the amount of CO 2 dilution was increased. However, the changes were minor and within the experimental uncertainties of the measurements. Also, the results were compared to the predictions of two different natural gas mechanisms: GRI 3.0 and AramcoMech 1.3 mechanisms. In general the predictions were reasonable when compared to the experimental data; however, there were discrepancies at some conditions. Three different influences of CO 2 addition to the argon bath gas in regards to chemistry, collision efficiencies, and heat capacities were examined. In addition, the present study included experimentally obtained correlations for absorption cross sections of methane for its P(8) line in the v3 band in argon bath gas with and without carbon-dioxide dilutions at temperatures between 1200 < T < 2000 K and pressures between 0.7 < P < 1.2 atm.

42 ENGINEERING↗

High-pressure shock tube study of ethanol oxidation: Ignition delay time and CO time-history measurements

Ethanol oxidation was studied by measuring CO time-histories and ignition delay times behind reflected shockwaves at elevated pressures. In this study, experimental conditions included a temperature range of 960–1580 K, pressure range of 17.8–23.9 atm, and initial fuel concentrations of 6.54% and 0.25% with nitrogen and argon used as bath gasses, respectively. The equivalence ratio for high fuel loading was kept constant at 1.0, and for low fuel loading equivalence ratios were 1.0 and 0.5. For high fuel loading, early heat/energy release was observed in nearly all ignition delay time measurements, indicative of preignition; however, data collected are in good agreement with model predictions. These events are interpreted as a transition from mild to strong ignition. For the low fuel loading cases (Φ = 1.0 and 0.5), no early heat/energy release was observed. Comparisons of measured CO concentration profiles with the predictions from kinetic mechanisms of Metcalfe et al. (2013), Mittal et al. (2014), and Zhang et al. (2018) were made assuming constant internal energy and volume for the test gas. Such comparisons in addition with performed sensitivity and pathway analyses for CO formation revealed lower temperature sensitivity to the bimolecular reaction of methyl and hydroperoxyl radicals given by CH 3 + HO 2 CH 3 O + OH, and H-atom abstraction by the hydroperoxyl radical at the alpha site on ethanol given by elementary reaction C 2 H 5 OH + HO 2 =sC 2 H 4 OH + H 2 O 2 . Furthermore, the current study provides important validation targets for ethanol chemical kinetic mechanisms and highlights the benefits of time-history measurements at various temperatures and pressures in a shock tube, which are scare in the literature.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Application of Diversity Indices to Quantify Early Life-History Diversity for Chinook Salmon

We developed an index of early life history diversity (ELHD) for Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) Early life history diversity is the variation in morphological and behavioral traits expressed within and among populations by individual juvenile salmon during their downstream migration. A standard quantitative method does not exist for this prominent concept in salmon biology.

Johnson, Gary E.↗

“I'm Just Guessing These Answers!” An Evaluation of the (In)Accuracy of Patient-Reported Medical History Collected as Part of a Breast Imaging Program

Hundreds of thousands of Ontario women receive breast screening imaging each year. The patient's medical history is a vital tool used to personalize breast screening approaches. This study evaluated the accuracy of self-reported medical and imaging history in patients about to receive breast imaging procedures in a large urban Canadian hospital. The patient experience with using a blank screening form vs. a novel prefilled screening form was also evaluated.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

History and status of spent fuel treatment at the INL Fuel Conditioning Facility

Experimental Breeder Reactor II (EBR-II) had an illustrious operational history from 1964 to 1994 as one of the first sodium-cooled fast reactors to use sodium-bonded metallic driver fuels and blankets. EBR-II was a testbed for fuel development and reactor design principles. Following shutdown, it was decided to use electrometallurgical methods to treat the spent fuel and blanket materials for final disposition. Here, this paper provides a brief history of U.S. liquid metal cooled reactor development with emphasis on EBR-II, and a technical description of the electrometallurgical methods.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Ethanol pyrolysis kinetics using H 2 O time history measurements behind reflected shock waves

The thermal decomposition of ethanol has been studied under pyrolytic conditions behind reflected shock waves in the 1250 to 1677 K temperature range, at an average pressure of 1.31 atm for a mixture highly diluted in Ar. A laser absorption technique was utilized to measure H 2 O time-histories, and the detailed kinetics mechanism (AramcoMech2.0) was selected among various models from the literature based on its a priori agreement with the experimental data. Sensitivity and rate-of-production analyses were performed and showed that the C 2 H 5 OH→C 2 H 4 + H 2 O (R1) decomposition pathway is almost the sole reaction contributing to H 2 O formation at the early times under the present conditions, allowing an a priori direct measurement of its rate coefficient k 1 . The rate coefficient was determined to be defined as the Arrhenius equation k 1 (s -1 ) = 3.37 × 10 11 exp (–27174 K/T), which is in very good agreement with Kiecherer et al. (2015), where k 1 was also directly determined under similar conditions. Secondary chemical reactions taking place in the thermal decomposition have very low influence in the H 2 O formation during the time-frame selected, leading to an uncertainty for k 1 of approximately 20%. The full H 2 O time histories are useful for validating the full ethanol kinetics mechanism for future validation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Cosmogenic surface exposure ( 10 Be) dating of raised beaches in Marguerite bay, Antarctic Peninsula: Implications for relative sea-level history

Understanding the dynamics of ice mass loss in polar regions is crucial for deciphering climate change and Glacio Isostatic Adjustment patterns. This study focuses on Marguerite Bay, located in the south-central Antarctic Peninsula. We dated raised beaches to investigate relative sea-level changes using the cosmogenic surface exposure ( 10 Be) method. Previous studies have provided valuable insights into the region's glacial history, but limitations in dating techniques and age estimates necessitate further investigation. By analysing raised shingle beaches in Gaul Cove of Horseshoe Island and the southern coast of Calmette Bay, this research aims to contribute relative sea-level change history for these areas. In Horseshoe Island's Gaul Cove, raised beaches clustered on prominent steps reveal a 15 m relative sea-level change over the last 3.31 ka. Differently, Calmette Bay exhibits a 36 m relative sea-level fall over the last 7.29 ka. Finally, these findings indicate significant and differential glacial-isostatic adjustments in both regions during the middle and late Holocene. Additionally, our data reveal accelerated sea-level fall periods corresponding to Holocene deglaciation and glacial advance events, indicating the shorelines' relative sea-level change sensitivity to climate change.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Role of Stratigraphy and Loading History in Generating Complex Compaction Bands in Idealized Field-Scale Settings

The Buckskin Gulch locality in Utah is a landmark example of compaction localization. The outcrop of this locality involves distinct stratigraphic heterogeneity and was exposed to complex loading history. It features multiple sets of deformation bands with different kinematics and orientation. Similar formations were seen in the Valley of Fire, Nevada, and the Orange quarry, France, among other localities. The formation of such complex structures, their propagation mechanisms, and frequency is affected by numerous local and ambient factors whose impacts are not yet fully understood. The simulation of the above-mentioned localities is not feasible because of the limited amount of available information. This work, instead, investigates from a geomechanics standpoint how the interplay among material nonlinearity, outcrop stratigraphy, and loading history interconnects with specific spatiotemporal patterns of compaction band propagation. Our study shows that the system stratigraphy can be responsible for the emergence of coexisting compaction bands with different inclination and kinematics. Specifically, we show that stiffness contrasts induce nonlocal stress changes which may favor the initiation of secondary structures with different compaction localization characteristics. Furthermore, systems of inclined compaction bands induced by burial increase display secondary, noncontemporaneous sets of vertical compaction bands under the effects of postburial shortening. Our results indicate that stages of intermediate burial decrease prior to tectonic shortening can promote the formation of such complex systems. Despite the simplifications involved in our analyses, these findings show how geomechanics computations complement field observations and could provide a mechanics-based validation of site-specific reconstruction hypothesis.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

Abstract An observationally constrained time series of historical aerosol effective radiative forcing (ERF) from 1750 to 2019 is developed in this study. We find that the time history of aerosol ERFs diagnosed in CMIP6 models exhibits considerable variation and explore how the time history of aerosol forcing influences the probability distributions of present‐day aerosol forcing and emergent metrics such as climate sensitivity. Using a simple energy balance model, trained on CMIP6 climate models and constrained by observed near‐surface warming and ocean heat uptake, we derive estimates for the historical aerosol forcing. We find 2005–2014 mean aerosol ERF to be −1.1 (−1.8 to −0.5) W m −2 relative to 1750. Assuming recently published historical emissions from fossil fuel and industrial sectors and biomass burning emissions from SSP2‐4.5, aerosol ERF in 2019 is −0.9 (−1.5 to −0.4) W m −2 . There is a modest recovery in aerosol forcing (+0.025 W m −2 decade −1 ) between 1980 and 2014. This analysis also gives a 5%–95% range of equilibrium climate sensitivity of 1.8°C –5.1°C (best estimate 3.1°C) with a transient climate response of 1.2°C –2.6°C (best estimate 1.8°C).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Precambrian Crystalline Basement Properties From Pressure History Matching and Implications for Induced Seismicity in the US Midcontinent

Injection-induced seismicity across the US midcontinent has almost exclusively occurred in the crystalline basement that underlies the Arbuckle Group aquifer and its equivalents, the primary wastewater disposal zone in this region. However, the properties of the basement are not well known. Newly compiled data, from Class I wells in Kansas, provide a unique record of pressures in the Arbuckle and an opportunity to constrain the reservoir-scale properties of the basement such as permeability, diffusivity, and specific storage. Constraints on these parameters are critical for modeling fluid flow and pressures across the entire Arbuckle-basement system, and are necessary for accurate evaluation and prediction of injection-induced earthquakes. Here, we present a detailed, three-dimensional geological and pressure history-matched numerical model for the Arbuckle and basement, based on data from >400 wells covering a large region in south-central Kansas, where injection-induced seismicity has been concentrated since 2014. Simulations of dynamic data from 319 wells indicate that Arbuckle pressures have increased by 1.1 MPa in high injection rate areas and an overpressure of <0.1 MPa may be the cause of seismicity in the basement. Pressure-history matching also yields the likely range in porosity (0.3%–7%), permeability (0.1–0.7 mD), and diffusivity (0.004–0.07 m2 /s) for the basement. The resulting estimates suggest reservoir-scale properties of the basement are enhanced by faults and fractures. Importantly, the diffusivities determined in this study are lower than estimates derived from Kansas earthquake triggering fronts, and suggest that such seismicity-based techniques may have limitations, particularly where spacetime patterns between injection and seismicity are complex.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Mystery of Baselevel Controls in the Incision History of the Central Colorado Plateau

Erosion can remain active and changing in landscapes long after tectonic drivers have ceased, potentially due to local-geologic controls, climate changes, or geodynamics. We present new fluvial incision-rate histories and terrain analyses of the Colorado River system through the central Colorado Plateau to understand what has caused the variable erosion across this post-orogenic landscape. Results from new cosmogenic and luminescence dating of fluvial terrace and upland gravel deposits in Glen and Meander Canyons establish incision-rate histories that are marked by an Early-Middle Pleistocene erosion hiatus, followed by ~200 m of rapid incision over the last ~350 kyr. Projection of fluvial topography from above knickzones of the Colorado River drainage system roughly agree with the observed magnitude of recent incision and reflect a common baselevel fall from Pliocene river integration through Grand Canyon, which is still propagating through the drainage. A response-time model indicates that baselevel fall from integration likely took 2–4 Myr to reach the central Colorado Plateau and 100s kyr to travel across the study area, potentially accounting for incision rate changes in the fluvial terrace records of Meander and Glen Canyons. The upstream-migrating incision has likely been partitioned into multiple waves across the landscape due to the local geologic controls of lava damming, salt tectonics, and heterogenous bedrock. As baselevel fall from Pliocene Colorado River integration diffuses upstream, it can only account for perhaps a quarter of the total ~2 km of exhumation in the central Colorado Plateau, demanding an unknown driver for significant erosion in the Pliocene.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗