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NASA NTRS2020

Hybrid Electric MC-12 Ground Testing Plan Chapter

In the commercial aviation world, hybrid/electric propulsion is a promising technology for fuel, emissions, and noise reduction in support of the challenging goals established by 2050 EU Flightpath/SRIA, NASA ARMD Strategic Implementation Plan, and the US Air Force ATTAM programs. Ongoing results indicate operational benefits are possible in those three technical areas. Considering military applications, hybrid/electric propulsion may yield further significant improvements by enabling new, unorthodox mission capabilities. Potential benefits are expected in the areas of vehicle signature reduction (lower noise, lower exhaust signature), usage in enhanced flight environments, minimized human-in-the-loop workload by offering a platform compatible with future goals of autonomous operations facilitation, maintenance cost reductions, and performance burst/dash energy. Additional synergies are likely when used in conjunction with energy weapons. Some potential areas of mutual interest could include, dusty operations capability, remote supply capability, extended surveillance, dispatch able power, fuel-flexible vehicles, and autonomous rescue equipment. Many of the key technologies that have been demonstrated in ground operation must now be qualified for altitude conditions. We expect to have many flight qualified powertrain systems over the next decade for military planners to choose from for new future battlefield capability. This requires new flight-weight and flight-efficient powertrain components, fault tolerant power management, and electromagnetic interference mitigation technologies. Moreover, initial studies indicate some combination of ambient and cryogenic thermal management and relatively high bus voltages when compared to state of practice will be required to achieve a net system benefit. Developing all these powertrain technologies within a realistic aircraft architectural geometry and under realistic operational conditions requires a unique electric aircraft test bed. The MC-12 surveillance aircraft is an ideal military aircraft for demonstrating some of the benefits of incorporating hybrid electric propulsion. This report details an approach for full-scale ground-based altitude testing the hybrid electric MC-12 powertrain through a full flight profile.

military electric aircraft propulsion↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Large Primtive Asteroids: Thermal and Dynamical Context

Primitiveasteroids, most of which are located in the outer belt and Jupiter’s Trojan clouds, provide information related to the origin and evolution of the solar system and the conditions in which the solar nebula was formed. These asteroids are widely thought to be the origin of the least-altered car-bonaceous chondrite that allow us to put crucial con-straints on the current dynamical and thermal theories of the formation and evolution of the early solar sys-tem. The nature of surface composition of large and low-albedo asteroids, like (1) Ceres, (10) Hygiea and (52) Europa, is still under intense debate and different interpretations have beenput forth to explain the ab-sorption features in these objects (e.g.,[1, 2, 3,4,5,6]). Laboratory and spectroscopic experiments on me-teorites that represent all nine carbonaceous chondrite types also found no spectral matches for these large asteroids (e.g.,[7]). Previous studies of asteroid Ceres (the largest primitive asteroid in the solar system) have been conducted to constrain and estimate its surface composition (e.g., [2, 5]). Using linear mixing,[2]found hydroxide brucite, serpentines, and carbonates, to be consistent with Ceres’ ground-based spectra.[5]estimated the surface composition of Ceres and found evidence of widespread NH3-phyllosilicates across its surface using best-fit solutions to Dawn’s NIR spectra. The presence of NH3-phyllosilicates implies that mate-rial from the outer solar system was incorporated into large primitive asteroids, either during their formation at great heliocentric distance or by incorporation of material transported into the Main Belt region. Here we presentnew largeand primitive asteroidsthat share the same spectral similaritieswith the largest asteroid in the solar system, Ceres.We also present the context of these new observations in terms oftheirthermal and dynamicalevolution.Large Primitive Asteroids: Dynamical and Thermal Context:Orbital Distribution of LargePrimitiveAsteroids: Constraining the mineralogy and surface composition of large primitive asteroids will place crucial con-straints on existing dynamical and thermal theories of the formation of the early solar system. We identified several additional asteroids in the Europa-like group in addition to asteroids Europa, Euphrosyne, and Patien-tia, that wereidentified in [8]using NASA IRTFtele-scope (e.g.,Figure 1). These new asteroids along with the already-observed Ceres-and Europa-like group members are localized in the 2.8 < a < 3.4 AU region and characterized by larger sizes, showing an interest-ing orbital distribution (Figure 2). Ceres-likeand Eu-ropa-like groups, which include the largest asteroids in the solar system, show an interesting orbital distribu-tion. These groups are located in the 2.6 < a < 3.6 AU region that contains the snow-line. The snow-line’s location may have been driftedinwards due to the disk’s cooling and evolution[9,10]. Recent dynamical models[11,12]suggested that a substantial fraction of primitive asteroids originated between or beyond the giant planets (a > 5 AU), where water ice would have been stable, and then implanted in the outer Main Belt region because of the giant planets’ growth.Figure 1. Two asteroids, 94 Aurora and 423 Diotima, showing spectra similar to asteroids (1)Ceres and (52)Europa.Thermal modeling and evolution of primitive aster-oids:Primitive water-rich asteroids are thought to be originally composed of mixtures of anhydrous materi-als and water ice that waslater melted by heating sources such as the decay of 26Al, reacting with anhy-drous materials to form H2O/OH-rich minerals. Calcu-lations of the evolution of the temperature and struc-ture of icy planetesimals were performedusing a 1D finite differences thermal evolution model[13, 14] for 26Al-heated planetesimals. In particular, thermally activated compaction due to hot pressing of bodies with an initially unconsolidated porous structure is included. An ice-rich initial composition that leads to a material dominated by phyllosilicates upon aqueous alteration (with 25 vol% H2O and a rock fraction that contains 85 vol% phyllosilicates and 15 vol% olivine upon aque-ous alteration, similar to CIand CM chondrites) was assumed. Atypical initial porosity of 40%[15] is re-duced following the change of the strain rate that is calculated as Voigt approximation from the strain rates of components[16]. Material properties (thermal con-ductivity, density, heat capacity, etc.) correspond to the composition assumed and are adjusted with tempera-ture and porosity. Melting of the water ice as well as water-rock separation are included[14]. Both short-and long-lived radionuclides are consideredas heat sources. Figure 3 shows the maximum temperature calculated as a function of radius and accretion time. A variety of internal structures is obtained, ranging from primordial (no melting of water ice) over partially melted or partially differentiated (melting of water ice, hydration, formation of a rocky core and water ocean below an undifferentiated layer) to completely differ-entiated ones (rocky core, water mantle, Enceladus-like case). The heating and differentiation of planetesi-mals is determined by the availability of 26Al, i.e., by the accretion time t0 relative to the formation of the calcium-aluminum-rich inclusions (CAIs), such that maximum temperatures and structures vary stronglyfor t0< 6 Myr rel. to CAIs. However, for a later accre-tion only the size of the body determines its maximum tempera-ture and structure due to the nearly constant heating by long-lived radionuclides. Average densities of Ceres-and Europa-like group membersimply high-ly porous interiors and, consequently, relatively late accretion at t0> 3 Myr rel. to CAIs with a maximum temperature of < 600 K (Figure3)

D Takir↗
NASA NTRS2019

Global Carbon Budget 2019

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere – the “global carbon budget” – is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe data sets and methodology to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. Fossil CO2 emissions (E(FF)) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, while emissions from land use change (E(LUC)), mainly deforestation, are based on land use and land use change data and bookkeeping models. Atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its growth rate (G(ATM)) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The ocean CO2 sink (S(OCEAN)) and terrestrial CO2 sink (S(LAND)) are estimated with global process models constrained by observations. The resulting carbon budget imbalance (B(IM)), the difference between the estimated total emissions and the estimated changes in the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere, is a measure of imperfect data and understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ. For the last decade available (2009–2018), E(FF) was 9.5±0.5 GtC/yr, E(LUC) 1.5±0.7 GtC/yr, G(ATM) 4.9±0.02 GtC/yr (2.3±0.01 ppm/yr), S(OCEAN) 2.5±0.6 GtC/yr, and S(LAND) 3.2±0.6 GtC/yr, with a budget imbalance B(IM) of 0.4 GtC/yr indicating overestimated emissions and/or underestimated sinks. For the year 2018 alone, the growth in E(FF) was about 2.1 % and fossil emissions increased to 10.0±0.5 GtC/yr, reaching 10 GtC/yr for the first time in history, E(LUC) was 1.5±0.7 GtC/yr, for total anthropogenic CO2 emissions of 11.5±0.9 GtC/yr (42.5±3.3 GtCO2). Also for 2018, G(ATM) was 5.1±0.2 GtC/yr (2.4±0.1 ppm/yr), S(OCEAN) was 2.6±0.6 GtC/yr, and S(LAND) was 3.5±0.7 GtC/yr, with a B(IM) of 0.3 GtC. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 407.38±0.1 ppm averaged over 2018. For 2019, preliminary data for the first 6–10 months indicate a reduced growth in E(FF) of +0.6 % (range of −0.2 % to 1.5 %) based on national emissions projections for China, the USA, the EU, and India and projections of gross domestic product corrected for recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy for the rest of the world. Overall, the mean and trend in the five components of the global carbon budget are consistently estimated over the period 1959–2018, but discrepancies of up to 1 GtC/yr persist for the representation of semi-decadal variability in CO2 fluxes. A detailed comparison among individual estimates and the introduction of a broad range of observations shows (1) no consensus in the mean and trend in land use change emissions over the last decade, (2) a persistent low agreement between the different methods on the magnitude of the land CO2 flux in the northern extra-tropics, and (3) an apparent underestimation of the CO2 variability by ocean models outside the tropics. This living data update documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new global carbon budget and the progress in understanding of the global carbon cycle compared with previous publications of this data set (Le Quéré et al., 2018a, b, 2016, 2015a, b, 2014, 2013).

global carbon budget 2019↗
NASA NTRS2022

Pre- and Post-Production Processes Increasingly Dominate Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Agri-Food Systems

We present results from the FAOSTAT emissions shares database, covering emissions from agri-food systems and their shares to total anthropogenic emissions for 196 countries and 40 territories for the period 1990–2019. We find that in 2019, global agri-food system emissions were 16.5 (95 %; CI range: 11–22) billion metric tonnes (GtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1)), corresponding to 31%(range: 19 %–43 %) of total anthropogenic emissions. Of the agri-food system total, global emissions within the farm gate – from crop and livestock production processes including on-farm energy use – were 7.2 GtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1); emissions from land use change, due to deforestation and peatland degradation, were 3.5 GtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1); and emissions from pre- and post-production processes – manufacturing of fertilizers, food processing, packaging, transport, retail, household consumption and food waste disposal – were 5.8 GtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1). Over the study period 1990–2019, agri-food system emissions increased in total by 17 %, largely driven by a doubling of emissions from pre- and post-production processes. Conversely, the FAOSTAT data show that since 1990 land use emissions decreased by 25 %, while emissions within the farm gate increased 9 %. In 2019, in terms of individual greenhouse gases (GHGs), pre- and postproduction processes emitted the most CO2 (3.9 GtCO2 yr(exp -1)), preceding land use change (3.3 GtCO2 yr(exp -1)) and farm gate (1.2 GtCO2 yr(exp -1)) emissions. Conversely, farm gate activities were by far the major emitter of methane (140 MtCH4 yr(exp -1)) and of nitrous oxide (7.8 MtN2Oyr(exp -1)). Pre- and post-production processes were also significant emitters of methane (49 MtCH4 yr(exp -1)), mostly generated from the decay of solid food waste in landfills and open dumps. One key trend over the 30-year period since 1990 highlighted by our analysis is the increasingly important role of food-related emissions generated outside of agricultural land, in pre- and post-production processes along the agri-food system, at global, regional and national scales. In fact, our data show that by 2019, pre- and post-production processes had overtaken farm gate processes to become the largest GHG component of agri-food system emissions in Annex I parties (2.2 GtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1)). They also more than doubled in non-Annex I parties (to 3.5 GtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1)), becoming larger than emissions from land use change. By 2019 food supply chains had become the largest agri-food system component in China (1100 MtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1)), the USA (700 MtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1)) and the EU-27 (600 MtCO2 eq. yr(exp -1)). This has important repercussions for food-relevant national mitigation strategies, considering that until recently these have focused mainly on reductions of non-CO2 gases within the farm gate and on CO2 mitigation from land use change. The information used in this work is available as open data with DOI https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5615082 (Tubiello et al., 2021d). It is also available to users via the FAOSTAT database (https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/EM; FAO, 2021a), with annual updates.

FAOSTAT agri-food systems emissions database↗
NASA NTRS2023

Temperature Effect on Silicate Melt-Sulfide-Metal Trace Element Partitioning in the Presence of Sulfur Under Reduced Conditions

The reduced nature of Mercury, enstatite chondrites, and the aubrite parent bodies (APB) have raised many questions regarding the geochemical behavior of typically lithophile, heat-producing, and rare-earth elements (REE) in magmas at low oxygen fugacity (fO2). Due to decreasing O availability at these low fO2, and an abundance of S(sup 2(-)), sulfur (S) acts as an important anion that changes the partitioning behavior of many elements and modifies the physical properties of silicate melts. Preliminary observations suggest that major and minor elements exhibit different geochemical affinities in highly reduced, S-rich systems compared to terrestrial rocks. The speciation and bonding environment of S, dictated by P/T/fO2 conditions, may strongly influence the degree to which S affects partitioning behavior. Here we investigate the partitioning behavior of major, minor, and trace elements between silicate melt, sulfide melt, and metal as well as the coordination chemistry of S in highly reduced silicate melts. Our work is focused on investigating solely the entropy-dependent temperature effect on partitioning of elements for which we currently have MESSENGER data (K, Na, Th, U, Si, Mg, Fe, Ti, Ca, Al, Cr, Mn, S, Cl) as well as a host of geochemically relevant trace elements such as REEs (P, Co, Ni, Mo, Ce, Nd, Sm, Eu, Gd, Dy, Yb). Previous studies in which temperature, pressure, and fO2 were co-varied found that as fO2 decreases, heat-producing elements U and Th become more chalcophile, while K becomes less chalcophile. Concurrently, nominally lithophile elements Mg and Ca become more chalcophile and were observed as minor elements in exsolved sulfides and bonded with S species in silicate melt. These studies, however, could not disentangle entropic effects from changes in the fO2. New temperature-dependent partitioning data from our work will be used to determine which elements are most likely to retain their lithophile character and hence be incorporated into silicates, and which elements are likely contained within the sulfide (chalcophile) and metal core (siderophile), setting the stage for the thermal and magmatic evolution of reduced planetary bodies.

B A Anzures↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

3-D Mapping of the Magnetic Field in the Active Region by the CLASP2.1 Rocket Experiment

Comprehensive magnetic field measurements of the solar atmosphere are crucial for understanding energy transport from the photosphere to the corona and its dissipation. However, observations of the magnetic field in the chromosphere and the upper atmospheric layers above the chromosphere, where the gas pressure dominance changes from (β>1) to magnetic pressure dominance (β<1), are overwhelmingly lacking. Therefore, we have focused on the polarization of ultraviolet radiation emitted from the upper chromosphere and transition layer and have conducted the Japan-U.S.-EU observation rocket experiment CLASP in order to demonstrate its usefulness. In CLASP2.1 conducted on October 8, 2021, scan observations were made at 16 locations in the active region, and Stokes (intensity $I$, linearly polarized $Q$, $U$, circularly polarized $V$) spectra in the 280~nm wavelength range were obtained. Looking at the observed region with AIA 171~{¥AA} on board the SDO satellite, we see that it consists of a region where a structure corresponding to the foot of a high-temperature loop called moss (moss) is seen, and a region where a low-temperature loop spreading from a sunspot is seen. We focused on the ionized magnesium $h$ & $k$ lines (emitted from the middle and uppermost of the chromosphere) and the manganese lines (emitted from the low part of the chromosphere), which show particularly prominent circular polarization, and derived the line-of-sight magnetic fields in the low, middle and uppermost parts of the chromosphere by applying weak field approximation to them. Furthermore, by combining the results with observations by the Solar Optical Telescope onboard the solar observing satellite HINODE, we obtained three-dimensional information on the magnetic field in the active region from the photosphere to the uppermost part of the chromosphere. In general, the magnetic field in the active region becomes weaker and smoother as one goes up in the sky, as reported by the CLASP2 observation (Ishikawa et al. 2021). However, in some regions, polarity reversal was observed only in the uppermost part of the chromosphere, and comparison with high spatial resolution transition layer and coronal images recorded by SDO/AIA revealed the connection between the magnetic field structure in the chromosphere and coronal loops.

R. Ishikawa↗
NASA NTRS2024

Downscaled and Bias-Adjusted Climate Projections for Afghanistan

Climate change is already having devastating impacts on human communities and natural landscapes, from increasing severity and frequency of natural disasters to drought and desertification that degrade both natural ecosystems and human livelihoods. However, the impacts of climate change are not evenly distributed across the world—some places are at far greater risk than others. These highly vulnerable places should be a higher priority for investments and interventions to help people and nature adapt to changing climatic conditions. Afghanistan is one of the most at-risk countries from climate change. Within the country, the river basins are particularly sensitive as climate change will dramatically alter their water regimes upon which ecosystems and a vast proportion of the Afghan population and millions of people in neighbouring countries rely. As part of an EU-funded project implemented by the Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS), WCS conducted a vulnerability assessment for the Amu Darya River Basin that drains c. 14% of Afghanistan’s land area and is critically important for supporting both people and sensitive biodiversity (Elsen et al., 2023). Central to the vulnerability assessment was the development of downscaled and bias-adjusted climate projections, produced by the Center for Climate Systems Research (CCSR)1. The climate projections were produced at a much higher resolution (1 km2) than were otherwise available and were tailored to the local environment.

climate projections↗