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At least 253 records · Page 14

Modelica-json: Transforming energy models to digitize the control delivery process

Building simulation models are typically not used to generate the documentation required for bidding and project delivery of commercial building systems, or for their semantic modeling and commissioning. This paper presents a software tool that aids in digitizing the control delivery process, spanning simulation during design to implementation and formal verification during commissioning. The tool can generate from Modelica models digital documentation of control sequences. This digital documentation, along with other project drawings and specifications can be used for project bidding. It can also be used for implementation of control sequences through machineto-machine translation to commercial legacy control products, for which we are currently developing the proposed ASHRAE Standard 231P based on the presented work. Moreover, as-installed control sequences can be formally verified against the design specification, and a semantic model in Brick can be exported to aid in configuration of building analytics and fault detection. The paper presents what we believe is the first translation of a Modelica-implemented control sequence to a native implementation on a commercial control platform, using the webCTRL product line from Automated Logic. The paper also shows how a webCTRL implementation can be formally verified against its Modelica specification. These use cases have all been demonstrated with a prototype implementation that is now being further developed.

Wetter, Michael↗

Pathways to a Sustainable Aviation Ecosystem: Modeling Energy Generation at Airports

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has proven expertise in analyzing and visualizing complex energy landscapes in support of bold energy goals - from renewable energy resolutions in large metropolitan areas to incremental changes in remote communities. Now, NREL is extending those same capabilities to airports of all sizes, creating actionable insights for the aviation sector as it works to become more sustainable, resilient, and economical.

airport↗

Modeling hydrogen markets: Energy system model development status and decarbonization scenario results

Hydrogen can be used as an energy carrier and chemical feedstock to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, especially in difficult-to-decarbonize markets such as medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, aviation and maritime, iron and steel, and the production of fuels and chemicals. Significant literature has been accumulated on engineering-based assessments of various hydrogen technologies, and real-world projects are validating technology performance at larger scales and for low-carbon supply chains. While energy system models continue to be updated to track this progress, many are currently limited in their representation of hydrogen, and as a group they tend to generate highly variable results under decarbonization constraints. Here, the present work provides insights into the development status and decarbonization scenario results of 15 energy system models participating in study 37 of the Stanford Energy Modeling Forum (EMF37), focusing on the U.S. energy system. The models and scenario results vary widely in multiple respects: hydrogen technology representation, scope and type of hydrogen end-use markets, relative optimism of hydrogen technology input assumptions, and market uptake results reported for 2050 under various decarbonization assumptions. Most models report hydrogen market uptake increasing with decarbonization constraints, though some models report high carbon prices being required to achieve these increases and some find hydrogen does not compete well when assuming optimistic assumptions for all advanced decarbonization technologies. Across various scenarios, hydrogen market success tends to have an inverse relationship to success with direct air capture (DAC) and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies. While most model-scenario combinations predict modest hydrogen uptake by 2050 – <10 million metric tons (MMT) – aggregating the top 10 % of market uptake results across sectors suggests an upper range demand potential of 42–223 MMT. The high degree of variability across both modeling methods and market uptake results suggests that increased harmonization of both input assumptions and subsector competition scope would lead to more consistent results across energy system models. The wide variability in results indicates strongly divergent conclusions on the role of hydrogen in a decarbonized energy future.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modeling

Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modeling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a community of practice in energy-climate modeling has started to form that aims to better integrate energy system models with weather and climate models. In this work, we evaluate the disconnects between the energy system and climate modeling communities, then lay out a research agenda to bridge those disconnects. In the near-term, we propose interdisciplinary activities for expediting uptake of future climate data in energy system modeling. In the long-term, we propose a transdisciplinary approach to enable development of (1) energy-system-tailored climate datasets for historical and future meteorological conditions and (2) energy system models that can effectively leverage those datasets. This agenda increases the odds of meeting ambitious climate mitigation goals by systematically capturing and mitigating climate risk in energy sector decision-making.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

The seasonal CO2 cycle on Mars - An application of an energy balance climate model

Energy balance climate models of the Budyko-Sellers variety are applied to the carbon-dioxide cycle on Mars. Recent data available from the Viking mission, in particular the seasonal pressure variations measured by Viking landers, are used to constrain the models. No set of parameters was found for which a one-dimensional model parameterized in terms of ground temperature gave an adequate fit to the observed pressure variations. A modified, two-dimensional model including the effects of dust storms and the polar hood reasonably reproduces the pressure curve, however. The implications of these results for Martian climate changes are discussed.

James, P. B.↗

Development of Energy Storage: Cost models

Energy storage technologies offer a promising solution to electric grid stability issues associated with the integration of variable renewable generators. The capability to match the electrical power output to instantaneous fluctuations in grid demand is crucial to ensure continuity of service. Including energy storage capability in an integrated energy system (IES) can provide the flexibility needed to meet variable electric demand and reduce the load following demands place on the reactor. In this report, economic data collected for energy storage (ES) technologies are described to support the objective of assessing the profitability of ES integration within the IES framework. In particular, there is a growing interest in thermal energy storage (TES) given its unique capability for long-duration storage for improving electricity reliability at a low levelized cost. It is common practice to evaluate the total lifetime cost and profitability before commercializing new technologies. In this report we identify and examine the models needed to better understand the economics of thermal energy storage. We extend the TES cost model in RAVEN in the context of a balance of plant (BOP) that incorporates thermal storage. To focus the discussion, following a general overview of the most promising TES technologies, we consider a use case that involves a sensible heat, two-tank, molten-salt system. Structural and operational details are reported to identify the source of construction capital expenditure and operation and maintenance cost. A detailed description of the different cost items is provided as well as the cost scaling with different storage capacity and power ratings for capacity optimization purpose. In addition, the capital expenditure and the recurring cost of representative two-tank, molten salt coupled with concentrated solar plants are provided for readers’ reference. The ES use case is noteworthy as it is in the pilot stage of commercialization. We identify those areas that would benefit from an increased economic focus to obtain a more complete compilation of cost data. We also describe the thermal coupling issues that arise from integration of the two-tank molten salt thermal energy storage system with a BOP, which is the subject of our current research. Some components of costs will need to be evaluated through dedicated technoeconomic analysis in future modeling activities using modeling procedures proposed in this report. With the data presented and the procedures described in this report, sufficiently accurate models can be implemented for the solution of both the power dispatch and the capacity expansion problems within the RAVEN-based HYBRID framework.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Overcoming Communications Outages in Inverter Downtime Analysis: Preprint

Inverters are often reported to be the highest-impact failure point in PV systems. This importance is belied by the simplistic assumptions about inverter downtime losses used in industrial energy modeling. Energy models often assume the extent of inverter-related losses is limited to 1% of annual production from scheduled inverter preventative maintenance. In reality, inverter-related production losses are much more variable, although data from large-scale surveys of fielded systems are rare. Here we present a method of detecting inverter downtime events and estimating the associated lost production using inverter- and meter-level power data. Because communications outages are of similar frequency to true production outages, the method pays particular attention to distinguishing communications outages from true production outages. The results of applying the method at fleet-scale are presented and discussed.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Improving Characterization of Miscellaneous Energy Loads in Energy Demand Models

Miscellaneous energy loads (MELs) comprise a significant and growing portion of total building energy consumption. However relatively little is known about the products that make up MELs end uses, and MELs are modeled with less granularity than major end uses in energy demand models such as the U.S. Department of Energy’s Scout energy efficiency impact analysis tool or the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). This paper identifies differences in the way MELs versus major building end uses are modeled, and then reviews potential sources of MELs baseline technology data that could be used to improve their characterization in energy demand models. Case studies of dry distribution transformers, hot water circulation pumps, and Japanese-style automatic bidets are presented to compare and contrast the level of baseline data available for different end uses. We show that there is potential to use data from energy conservation standards and other sources to significantly improve representation of some MELs in energy demand models, while other emerging MELs require further data collection before they can be modeled precisely.

Miscellaneous Electric Loads, MELs, Models, Nation↗

Improving Characterization of Miscellaneous Energy Loads in Energy Demand Models

Miscellaneous energy loads (MELs) comprise a significant and growing portion of total building energy consumption. However relatively little is known about the products that make up MELs end uses, and MELs are modeled with less granularity than major end uses in energy demand models such as the U.S. Department of Energy's Scout energy efficiency impact analysis tool or the U.S. Energy Information Administration's National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). This paper identifies differences in the way MELs versus major building end uses are modeled, and then reviews potential sources of MELs baseline technology data that could be used to improve their characterization in energy demand models. Case studies of dry distribution transformers, hot water circulation pumps, and Japanese-style automatic bidets are presented to compare and contrast the level of baseline data available for different end uses. We show that there is potential to use data from energy conservation standards and other sources to significantly improve representation of some MELs in energy demand models, while other emerging MELs require further data collection before they can be modeled precisely.

Fares, Robert↗

Exascale Programming Approaches for Accelerated Climate Modeling for Energy

The Accelerated Climate Modeling for Energy (ACME) program is a leading-edge climate and Earth system model designed to address the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) mission needs. The ACME project involves collaboration between seven National Laboratories, the National Center for Atmospheric Research, four academic institutions, and one private-sector company. The ACME project funds ongoing efforts to ensure the model continues to make efficient use of DOE Leadership Computing Facilities (LCFs) in order to best address the three driving grand challenge science questions:Water cycle: How will more realistic portrayals of features important to the water cycle (resolution, clouds, aerosols, snowpack, river routing, land use) affect river flow and associated freshwater supplies at the watershed scale?Cryosphere systems: Could a dynamical instability in the Antarctic ice sheet be triggered within the next 40 years?Biogeochemistry: What are the contributions and feedbacks from natural and managed systems to current greenhouse gas fluxes, and how will those factors and associated fluxes evolve in the future?

Norman, Matthew↗

Simplifying Energy Efficiency for Homeowners - Results from a California Utility's Pilot Study of a Scalable Solution to Assess Retrofit and Solar Opportunities: Preprint

For homeowners, typical choices to reduce net energy use in their homes include: upgrading their home with a tailored efficiency retrofit or investing in roof-top solar. Determining the unique combination of these options that will provide the most cost-effective solution requires analysis for each home. This analysis needs to be presented in a simple and actionable way to homeowners. The solution should also be easily scalable to thousands of homes to enable utilities to better target efficiency program options and support solar installations. Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) piloted a new tool developed by Vistar Energy called XeroHome that automates the assessment of energy efficiency and solar opportunities in existing homes. XeroHome demonstrates an approach to using building energy modeling, energy use data analytics and homeowner engagement to identify and target energy efficiency opportunities at scale. XeroHome uses automation to build an EnergyPlus model for each home, based on information from public data sources such as property assessment records, building permit records, aerial/satellite photography, and template models derived from ResStock. Utilizing cloud computing, machine learning and optimization algorithms, energy upgrade packages are ranked by cost-effectiveness for each home and presented over an interactive web-portal. This paper discusses SMUD's pilot project using XeroHome to conduct analysis for 1,500 existing homes in Sacramento, CA. Development of XeroHome's advanced analytics capabilities are discussed in the context of applicability for utility programs.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Simplifying Energy Efficiency for Homeowners - Results from a California Utility's Pilot Study of a Scalable Solution to Assess Retrofit and Solar Opportunities

For homeowners, typical choices to reduce net energy use in their homes include: upgrading their home with a tailored efficiency retrofit or investing in roof-top solar. Determining the unique combination of these options that will provide the most cost-effective solution requires analysis for each home. This analysis needs to be presented in a simple and actionable way to homeowners. The solution should also be easily scalable to thousands of homes to enable utilities to better target efficiency program options and support solar installations. Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) piloted a new tool developed by Vistar Energy called XeroHome that automates the assessment of energy efficiency and solar opportunities in existing homes. XeroHome demonstrates an approach to using building energy modeling, energy use data analytics and homeowner engagement to identify and target energy efficiency opportunities at scale. XeroHome uses automation to build an EnergyPlus model for each home, based on information from public data sources such as property assessment records, building permit records, aerial/satellite photography, and template models derived from ResStock. Utilizing cloud computing, machine learning and optimization algorithms, energy upgrade packages are ranked by cost-effectiveness for each home and presented over an interactive web-portal. This paper discusses SMUD's pilot project using XeroHome to conduct analysis for 1,500 existing homes in Sacramento, CA. Development of XeroHome's advanced analytics capabilities are discussed in the context of applicability for utility programs.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Coupling Noah-Multiparameterization land-surface Model with Energy Research and Forecasting Model

The Energy Research and Forecasting (ERF) model is a high-performance atmospheric model built on the AMReX adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) framework, enabling efficient simulations on heterogeneous computing platforms that combine multicore processors with hardware accelerators. To support land–atmosphere interactions within ERF’s AMR-based environment, a land-surface model must be capable of operating directly on hierarchically refined meshes. In this work, we present a methodology for coupling the Fortran-based Noah-Multiparameterization (Noah-MP) land-surface model with ERF’s C++ codebase. Rather than rewriting Noah-MP, we construct a Fortran–C interoperability layer using CodeScribe, a tool that leverages large language models (LLMs) to automate the generation of interface code. CodeScribe applies structured prompting techniques to generate bindings that support efficient data exchange and function calls between ERF and Noah-MP. The coupling framework also incorporates AMR-aware data handling strategies, allowing NoahMP to operate seamlessly within ERF’s hierarchical mesh structure. This work provides a structured approach for integrating legacy Fortran models into modern C++-based modeling systems using LLM-assisted code generation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Building ENergy Demand (BEND) Model: A Comprehensive Composite Building Energy Modeling Framework

The Building ENergy Demand (BEND) model was developed at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to simulate climate-dependent hourly building energy demand with the ability to disaggregate down to or aggregate up to any geographic area of interest, including counties, states, electric utility service territories, and census regions. The BEND modeling framework is designed to study the effects of climate change, economics, technology advancement, and various mitigation policies on aggregate building energy demand. To make the process computationally feasible, BEND reduces granularity in building characteristics and weather forcing while maintaining enough detail to minimize systematic differences (biases) between BEND results and data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Based on the Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) and Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) databases, BEND establishes a set of representative buildings with predefined sets of building types, sizes, and vintages. These representative buildings are defined for each of the four U.S. census regions and the five climate zones used by the EIA for building surveys (hereafter “EIA climate zones”). BEND’s representative buildings are based on a statistical analysis of the CBECS and RECS databases that infers detailed parameters such as construction type, thermal properties, internal loads, equipment and mechanical systems, and operation schedules from the high-level descriptors in those databases (building type, vintage, size, and location). The representative buildings are simplified and consolidated into a set of prototype buildings for the purpose of simulating building energy demand. Combining the prototype buildings with weather files from selected locations and years, BEND creates a set of simulation-ready building models to be run using the EnergyPlus simulation engine (EnergyPlus). The base spatial unit of each BEND simulation is a subregion that is the intersection of an International Energy Conservation Code climate zone, a census region, and an EIA climate zone; analysis for each spatial unit is influenced by the weather file BEND selects to represent the climate-similar area. The major simulation outputs of interest to BEND are hourly energy consumption values for each simulated year, possibly for multiple fuel types. Based on building-stock weights derived from the CBECS/RECS data, the hourly output streams are aggregated to a single, 8760-hour load profile for each of the major building categories—residential and commercial—with the possibility of segregating by fuel types. To correct for biases inherent in the use of a limited suite of representative buildings, BEND is calibrated against observational targets of total annual building energy consumption and hourly load profiles (including peak demand) obtained for the decision-relevant geographic scales of interest (e.g., total electric load data for individual balancing authorities available from EIA). Based on available data such as population distribution, BEND is able to aggregate both up and down scales, allowing the study of building energy demand over a range of spatial scales (e.g., states or counties within the Western Electricity Coordinating Council, Eastern Interconnection, or the entire U.S.) and/or subsets of building types (e.g., office buildings with particular size ranges).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Wave Energy Converter Modeling

Wave Energy Converter Modeling presentation from the Water Power Technologies Office Peer Review, FY14-FY16. WECs are typically made up of multiple bodies and are designed to maximize their relative motion at dominant sea states (as resonant devices), resulting in complex nonlinear hydrodynamics, particularly during extreme sea states.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

ReEDS™ 2.0 Model (Regional Energy Deployment System Model) Version 2.0 [SWR-20-36 and SWR-09-14]

ReEDS™ is a capacity planning and dispatch model for the U.S. electricity system. As the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR's) flagship long-term power sector model, ReEDS has served as the primary analytic tool for many studies of electricity sector research questions. Example model results are available in the Scenario Viewer here: https://scenarioviewer.nlr.gov/. Quick-start guide The ReEDS model is written in Python, GAMS, and Julia. Python and Julia are free, open-source languages; GAMS requires a software license from the vendor. A step-by-step guide for getting started with ReEDS is available here: https://pages.github.nrel.gov/ReEDS/ReEDS-2.0/setup.html.

Short, Walter↗