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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Chapter 21: Sustainable Technologies for Seaweed Conversion to Biofuels and Bioproducts

Seaweeds are attractive candidates to supply the future sustainable, photosynthetic, bioenergy feedstocks thanks to their cultivation promise in offshore marine farms, with year-round production, and no external nutrient requirements. Despite this potential, there are significant challenges associated with realizing both the cultivation and harvesting logistics, as well as in developing an efficient conversion platform to fuels and products. Effective and scalable and economically viable conversion processes tailored to a seaweed are discussed in detail and gaps on identified needs for yield and efficiency improvements. Among the conversion processes discussed here, anaerobic fermentation of seaweeds to bioenergy products, including organic acids and biomass, is promising to disrupt the current bioenergy landscape.

anaerobic digestion↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) option for the conversion of FRM II

The Forschungs-Neutronenquelle Heinz Maier-Leibnitz (FRM II) is Germany’s most powerful research reactor and uses Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) fuel enriched at 93 %. The Technical University of Munich (TUM) operates the reactor and has been mandated to convert the FRM II to a lower-enrichment fuel. In preparation for the lower-enrichment fuel downselection, planned for 2023, TUM is evaluating multiple conversion scenarios. In this paper, it is demonstrated that a conversion of FRM II to Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) is scientifically possible when using the novel monolithic U-10Mo fuel system, which is currently in the qualification process. As a research reactor, safety criteria, neutron flux distribution and cycle length are key metrics. To begin, neutronic and thermal-hydraulic models were created based on current technical drawings and relevant material properties. Specifically tailored computational methods and coupling schemes have also been developed to properly evaluate all relevant characteristics for the conversion of the FRM II reactor. Using these models and methods, a systematic parameter study was performed to explore the defined design space. The results of that study indicate that many LEU designs using monolithic U-10Mo appear to be viable to convert FRM II to LEU. One example of an LEU solution for the FRM II reactor that fulfills the stated safety, compatibility and scientific performance requirements is discussed in more detail.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Electrochemical conversion of methane to ethylene, olefins, and paraffins using metal-supported solid oxide cells

Electrochemical oxidative coupling of methane (E-OCM) with Sr 2 Fe 1·5 Mo 0·5 O 6–δ (SFM) catalyst is demonstrated with metal-supported solid oxide cells (MS-SOC). SFM anode and Pr 6 O 11 cathode catalysts are loaded into a porous symmetric-architecture cell by infiltration and firing. The most effective chelating agent (citric acid/ethyl glycol) and optimal firing/reducing temperatures (850 °C/750 °C) for the SFM catalyst precursor solution are selected and confirmed by cell testing. Operating temperature, cell voltage, and oxygen concentration at the cathode greatly affect the methane conversion rate and product selectivity by controlling the oxygen ion flow. CH 4 conversion of 85.8% is obtained, with C 2 H 4 , C 2 H 6 , and H 2 concentrations of 10.5%, 12.3%, and 25.6% at 800 °C, respectively, in the product exhaust gas. Reasonable stability of the current density and methane conversion is demonstrated during 200 h operation. Furthermore, this research demonstrates technical progress in catalyst and device development for the E-OCM reaction to synthesize valuable chemicals.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Biological conversion of methane to methanol at high H 2 S concentrations with an H 2 S-tolerant methanotrophic consortium

To develop biological biogas to methanol conversion technology without costly hydrogen sulfide (H 2 S) removal, a high H 2 S tolerant methanotrophic consortium (HTMC), was enriched from an anaerobic digester effluent in presence of 5.64 g/m 3 H 2 S in the gas phase. The HTMC can grow stably and produce methanol under conditions with CH 4 /air mixtures containing 5.64 g/m 3 of H 2 S. There is no significant (p>0.05) difference in cell yield or CH 4 to methanol conversion efficiency between trials with different H 2 S concentrations from 0 g/m 3 to 5.64 g/m 3 . Further, under optimal conditions, a cell yield of 0.333 g cells/g CH 4 , a methanol concentration of 0.28 mg/mL, and a CH 4 to methanol conversion efficiency of 0.22 mol/mol were obtained, respectively. Besides methanotrophs (14.85%) and other bacteria, Cyanobacteria were also identified in the HTMC with a high abundancy (32.16%), which could broaden the application of HTMC for simultaneous utilization of CH 4 and CO 2 from raw biogas.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Carbon Dioxide Conversion to Nanomaterials: Methods, Applications, and Challenges

Anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emission is one of the biggest global threats that we are confronted with in the 21st century. A lack of prompt action to mitigate the atmospheric CO 2 level could lead to global catastrophic events. As a result of the significance of the aforementioned threat, multiple nations have agreed to enact carbon capture, storage, utilization, and sequestration (CCUS) technologies at academic and industrial scales with the aim of lowering the atmospheric CO 2 level. Although there are many reviews on CCUS technologies, there is a lack of comprehensive review on CO 2 conversion to more economically valuable products, such as nanomaterials. Carbon dioxide capture and conversion into nanomaterials is an interesting research topic in many ways because it contributes to our fundamental knowledge of material conversion, provides alternative ways to reduce atmospheric pollution, and yields lucrative products, which has not been explored broadly. Aside from the positive outcomes, we have a moral obligation to rectify a global threat caused by anthropogenic emission. Herein, we present current methods of converting CO 2 into organic and inorganic nanomaterials with a focus on operating conditions and challenges as well as the potential of nanomaterials in specifically biomedical applications as opposed to extensively reviewed energy-related uses. Furthermore, our review emphasizes the toxicity issues related to using such nanomaterials in biological settings based on literature and other comparable studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Improving Conversion of Captured CO 2 on Mixed-Oxide Dual-Function Materials by Low-Concentration Metal Promotion

Reactive carbon capture (RCC) is a promising nascent approach to harness the untapped resource of waste CO 2 to produce fuels and platform chemicals. However, process economics relies on the design of dual-function materials (DFMs) that exhibit maximal conversion of captured CO 2 and high selectivity toward valuable carbon products (e.g., CO). Herein, we report the use of low-concentration (ca. 0.5 wt %) metal promotors (Pt and Au) to improve the conversion of captured CO 2 on a Zn-Al mixed-oxide DFM by >30%, while also more than doubling per-cycle CO yield due to enhanced retention of captured CO 2 and H 2 activation. In situ DRIFTS of bound CO 2 on the DFMs showed distinctions in surface carbonate formation for the Pt- and Au-modified materials that were correlated with product evolution during the reactive desorption step of RCC. Particularly, Pt afforded superior H 2 activation but formed irreversibly-bound bicarbonates, compromising overall productivity, while the Na/Au/ZA DFM predominantly adsorbed CO 2 on Na sites, resulting in polydentate carbonates that are retained until higher temperatures before conversion to CO. In conclusion, these results indicate that adding a low concentration of oxidation-resistant noble metals, especially Au, is an effective strategy for improving key performance metrics of Zn-Al mixed-oxide DFMs to further advance the development of scalable RCC technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Room-Temperature Pseudo-Solid-State Iron Fluoride Conversion Battery with High Ionic Conductivity

Li-metal batteries (LMBs) employing conversion cathode materials (e.g., FeF 3 ) are a promising way to prepare inexpensive, environmentally friendly batteries with high energy density. Pseudo-solid-state ionogel separators harness the energy density and safety advantages of solid-state LMBs, while alleviating key drawbacks (e.g., poor ionic conductivity and high interfacial resistance). In this work, a pseudo-solid-state conversion battery (Li-FeF 3 ) is presented that achieves stable, high rate (1.0 mA cm –2 ) cycling at room temperature. The batteries described herein contain gel-infiltrated FeF 3 cathodes prepared by exchanging the ionic liquid in a polymer ionogel with a localized high-concentration electrolyte (LHCE). The LHCE gel merges the benefits of a flexible separator (e.g., adaptation to conversion-related volume changes) with the excellent chemical stability and high ionic conductivity (~2 mS cm –1 at 25 °C) of an LHCE. The latter property is in contrast to previous solid-state iron fluoride batteries, where poor ionic conductivities necessitated elevated temperatures to realize practical power levels. Importantly, the stable, room-temperature Li-FeF 3 cycling performance obtained with the LHCE gel at high current densities paves the way for exploring a range of architectures including flexible, three-dimensional, and custom shape batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Highly Selective Methane to Methanol Conversion on Inverse SnO 2 /Cu 2 O/Cu(111) Catalysts: Unique Properties of SnO 2 Nanostructures and the Inhibition of the Direct Oxidative Combustion of Methane

Direct methane to methanol (CH 4 → CH 3 OH) conversion in heterogeneous catalysis has been a long-standing challenge due to the difficulties in equalizing the activation of methane and protection of the methanol product at the same reaction conditions. Here, we report an inverse catalyst, consisting of small structures of SnO 2 (0.5-1 nm in size) dispersed on Cu 2 O/Cu(111), for highly selective CH 3 OH production from CH 4 . This system was investigated by combining theoretical [density functional theory calculations (DFT), kinetic Monte Carlo simulations (KMC)] and experimental methods [scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), ambient-pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (AP-XPS)]. The DFT and AP-XPS studies showed that on SnO 2 /Cu 2 O/Cu(111) the conversion of CH 4 by oxygen (O 2 ) preferred complete combustion to carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). The addition of water (H 2 O) enhanced the production of CH 3 OH to nearly 100% selectivity in KMC simulations. This trend was consistent with results of AP-XPS. The presence of water in the reaction environment rendered an extremely high amount of methoxy species (*CH 3 O), a precursor for CH 3 OH production. Further, the high CH 3 OH selectivity of SnO 2 /Cu 2 O/Cu(111) reflected the unique atomic and electronic structure of the supported SnO 2 nanoparticles. As a result, the O 2 adsorption and dissociation, and thus the full combustion of CH 4 to CO 2 , was completely suppressed; while the H 2 O dissociative adsorption was still feasible, providing active hydroxyl species for a truly selective CH 4 to CH 3 OH conversion.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mechanism and Kinetics of Ethanol–Acetaldehyde Conversion to 1,3-Butadiene over Isolated Lewis Acid La Sites in Silanol Nests in Dealuminated Beta Zeolite

Biomass-derived ethanol (EtOH) and acetaldehyde (AcH) conversion to 1,3-butadiene (1,3-BD) is an alternative process for 1,3-BD production. The present investigation reports the preparation and characterization of isolated La sites introduced into the silanol nests in DeAlBEA as well as detailed studies of the mechanism and kinetics for the conversion of an EtOH-AcH mixture to 1,3-BD. La sites supported on DeAlBEA are found to be present as (≡SiO) 2 La-OH groups that are H-bonded with adjacent Si-OH groups, possessing high C-C coupling activity and stability, superior to state-of-the-art Y-DeAlBEA. La sites supported on silica (La-SiO 2 ) with a similar chemical structure but no H-bonding interaction with Si-OH groups were prepared for comparison. Lewis acid La sites promote AcH aldol condensation, and the activity of such sites is nearly identical for both La-DeAlBEA and La-SiO 2 . Further, the rate of C 4 product formation increases by a factor of 4.8 upon addition of EtOH to the feed of AcH over La-DeAlBEA, whereas that over La/SiO 2 remains unchanged. Investigation of the mechanism and kinetics of AcH aldol condensation and EtOH-AcH conversion to 1,3-BD revealed two C-C bond forming pathways-AcH aldol condensation by Lewis acid La sites and direct coupling of EtOH-AcH over H-bonded (≡SiO) 2 La-OH···HO-Si≡ sites. This study provides important information about the role of the local environment of isolated Lewis acid sites and their effects on the direct coupling of EtOH and AcH to form 1,3-BD.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Millisecond Conversion of Metastable 2D Materials by Flash Joule Heating

Controllable phase engineering is vital for precisely tailoring material properties since different phase structures have various electronic states and atomic arrangements. Rapid synthesis of thermodynamically metastable materials, especially two-dimensional metastable materials, with high efficiency and low cost remains a large challenge. Here we report flash Joule heating (FJH) as an electrothermal method to achieve the bulk conversion of transition metal dichalcogenides, MoS 2 and WS 2 , from 2H phases to 1T phases in milliseconds. The conversions can reach up to 76% of flash MoS 2 using tungsten powder as conductive additive. Different degrees of phase conversion can be realized by controlling the FJH conditions, such as reaction duration and additives, which allows the study of ratio-dependent properties. First-principles calculations confirm that structural processes associated with the FJH, such as vacancy formation and charge accumulation, result in stabilization of the 1T phases. Furthermore, FJH offers rapid access to bulk quantities of the hitherto hard-to-access 1T phases, a promising method for further fundamental research and diverse applications of metastable phases.

2D materials↗
DOE OSTI2020

Anaerobic Storage and Conversion of Microalgal Biomass to Manage Seasonal Variation in Cultivation

Seasonal variation in microalgal biomass production is a well-known challenge when optimizing economics for algal fuel conversion, especially given the fluctuation in biomass production between winter and summer. Wet storage offers significant potential for cost and energy savings compared to dewatering and dry storage. This study demonstrates the feasibility of preserving harvested Scenedesmus acutus biomass through wet anaerobic storage for use in biochemical conversion. Anaerobic storage effectively preserved biomass with minimal degradation of carbohydrates and preservation of lipids and proteins. Screening experiments identified optimal pretreatment conditions for stored biomass. Scale-up of pretreatment enabled fermentation of the hydrolysate to butyric acid and indicated no observable difference in conversion between unstored and stored biomass. Lipid extraction improved by a relative 12% for stored biomass. These results suggest that wet anaerobic storage can effectively manage seasonal variation in biomass production and is compatible with biochemical approaches for biofuel production.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Mechanistic Insights into the Conversion of Biorenewable Levoglucosanol to Dideoxysugars

Here, a molecular understanding of the conversion of biorenewable threo- and erythro-levoglucosanol (LGOL) to 3,4-dideoxysugars in aqueous medium is provided based on first-principles simulations. The synthetic importance of this transformation is that these intermediates can be quantitatively hydrogenated to (S,S)/(S,R) hexane-1,2,5,6-tetrol (tetrol), whose stereochemistry depends on which dideoxy sugar intermediates are formed during LGOL conversion. The thermodynamic and kinetic feasibility of the acetal (R 2 C(OR) 2 ) hydrolysis in LGOL is investigated via computing the free energy profile. In aqueous medium, the rate-determining step of LGOL hydrolysis is the protonation of the anhydro-bridge oxygen atom of LGOL concurrent with ring opening, yielding the cyclic forms of 3,4-dideoxymannose (DDM) and 3,4-dideoxyglucose (DDG) from threo- and erythro-LGOL, respectively. The measured activation energies of LGOL hydrolysis are 20.5 and 23.6 kcal/mol for DDM and DDG formation, respectively. These values are in agreement with the computed protonation free energies of 17.1 and 18.2 kcal/mol, respectively. Based on the simulations, a Bronsted base-catalyzed isomerization from DDG or DDM to 3,4-dideoxy fructose (DDF) is preferred with lower apparent activation free energy barriers compared to the acid-catalyzed isomerization. In summary, this study provides mechanistic information about the conversion of the biomass-derived anhydro-sugar LGOL to 3,4-dideoxy sugars, which are precursors to renewable high-value chemicals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Six-junction III–V solar cells with 47.1% conversion efficiency under 143 Suns concentration

Single-junction flat-plate terrestrial solar cells are fundamentally limited to about 30% solar-to-electricity conversion efficiency, but multiple junctions and concentrated light make much higher efficiencies practically achievable. Until now, four-junction III–V concentrator solar cells have demonstrated the highest solar conversion efficiencies. Here, we demonstrate 47.1% solar conversion efficiency using a monolithic, series-connected, six-junction inverted metamorphic structure operated under the direct spectrum at 143 Suns concentration. Furthermore, when tuned to the global spectrum, a variation of this structure achieves a 1-Sun global efficiency of 39.2%. Nearly optimal bandgaps for six junctions were fabricated using alloys of III–V semiconductors. To develop these junctions, it was necessary to minimize threading dislocations in lattice-mismatched III–V alloys, prevent phase segregation in metastable quaternary III–V alloys and understand dopant diffusion in complex structures. Further reduction of the series resistance within this structure could realistically enable efficiencies over 50%.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Fuel Fabrication Specification Impact Analysis for NBSR LEU Conversion

As part of a national initiative to enhance nuclear security and reduce proliferation risks, significant efforts have been undertaken by the National Nuclear Security Administration Material Management and Minimization Office of Reactor Conversion Program to convert U.S. high performance research reactors (USHPRRs) from the use of highly enriched uranium (HEU) to low-enriched uranium (LEU), including the National Bureau of Standards Reactor (NBSR). The current plan is to procure LEU fuel assemblies from commercial fabricators according to fuel specifications tailored for each USHPRR. The analysis conducted at Brookhaven National Laboratory was part of an effort to identify the sources of uncertainty in the fuel specifications that may impact the performance of the NBSR core after its conversion and, in particular, to assess the range of acceptable tolerance limits from the perspective of core safety and reactor performance. Using the stochastic neutronics code MCNP 6.2, the variations in important NBSR neutronics characteristics were analyzed as a function of the specification parameters independently and in combination. The important NBSR specification parameters analyzed were the fuel isotopic composition, the amount of impurity content in cladding, the fuel plate thickness, and the fuel element 235U mass loading. The range of variation of each specification parameter was based on the technical specification limit or available as-fabricated assay data and uncertainties. The NBSR neutronics characteristics selected for analysis were the reactor reactivity characteristics at equilibrium and the equilibrium fuel cycle length. Results show that with variations in the fabrication parameters of the as-fabricated U-10Mo fuel within the specification limitations, the excess reactivity of the NBSR LEU core remains well below the 15% Δk/k technical specification limit, and the shutdown margin is always significantly greater than the required 0.68% Δk/k. This ensures that the NBSR can be operated safely and reliably shut down for all analyzed cases within the specified fabrication limits after the LEU conversion. In the prototypic case, the fuel cycle length was 1.5 days longer than the targeted 38.5 days. In a credible worst-case scenario, where all low-reactivity parameters were combined, the fuel cycle length was reduced to 35.5 days, which is still considered manageable for reactor operations. Variations in cycle length are primarily driven by changes in 235U loading, with other parameters having secondary effects.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Triboplasma assisted chemical conversion in granular systems: a semi-analytic model

We present a semi-analytic model for a novel plasma-assisted chemical conversion pathway using triboplasmas generated in granular flows. Triboelectric charge relaxation is a well known phenomena where the potential generated from contact charging of particles exceeds the breakdown voltage of the background gas. In this work, we extend the triboelectric charge relaxation theory to include non equilibrium plasma energy and particle balance equations to predict the formation of dissociated and excited species that act as precursors to chemical conversion, for example in plasma-assisted ammonia synthesis. Our example case study with nitrogen background gas and teflon/aluminum tribomaterial system yielded high excited nitrogen species densities per collision that are comparable to current plasma-assisted conversion pathways. We also present a regime diagram for various gases where Paschen breakdown parameters are used to determine whether triboplasmas can be formed for a given effective work-function difference between two materials. Our sensitivity studies indicate particle velocity, particle radius, solids fraction and space charge effects play a critical role in overall plasma densities and excited species production.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Carbon Budget of Land Conversion: Sugarcane Expansion and Implications for a Sustainable Bioenergy Landscape in Southeastern United States

The expansion of sugarcane onto land currently occupied by improved (IMP) and semi-native (SN) pastures will reshape the U.S. bioenergy landscape. We combined biometric, ground-based and eddy covariance methods to investigate the impact of sugarcane expansion across subtropical Florida on the carbon (C) budget over a 3-year rotation. With 2.3- and 5.1-fold increase in productivity over IMP and SN pastures, sugarcane displayed a C use efficiency (CUE; i.e., fraction of gross C uptake allocated to plant growth) of 0.59, well above that of pastures (0.31–0.23). Sugarcane also had greater C allocation to aboveground productivity and hence, harvestable biomass relative to IMP and SN. Cane heterotrophic respiration over the 3-year rotation (903 ± 335 gC m −2 year −1 ) was 1% and 14% higher than IMP and SN pastures, respectively. These soil C losses responded largely to disturbance over the first year after conversion (1510 ± 227 gC m −2 year −1 ) but declined in subsequent years to an average 599 ± 90 gC m −2 year −1 —well below those of IMP (933 ± 140 gC m −2 year −1 ) and SN (759 ± 114 gC m −2 year −1 ) pastures—despite a significant 40%–61% increase in soil C inputs. Soil C inputs, however, shifted from root-dominated in pastures to litter-dominated in sugarcane, with only 5% C allocation to roots. Reduced decomposition rates in sugarcane were likely driven by changes in the recalcitrance and distribution rather than the size of the newly incorporated soil C pool. As a result, we observed a rapid shift in the net ecosystem C balance (NECB) of sugarcane from a large source immediately following conversion to approaching the net C losses of IMP pastures only 2 years after conversion. The environmental cost of converting pasture to sugarcane underscores the importance of implementing management practices to harness the soil C storage potential of sugarcane in advancing a sustainable bioeconomy in Southeastern United States.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Review of Direct Neutron Conversion and Detection Processes

Commercial and laboratory neutron detection systems use indirect neutron response of materials like pressurized helium-3 (via nuclear reaction 3He(n, p)3H) to measure and count neutrons emanating from a source. Recently a host of semiconductors, especially a ternary semiconductor of lithium indium diselenide (6LiInSe2) and a quaternary alloy of enriched lithium-6, indium, phosphorous, and selenium (6LiInP2Se6), have shown promising neutron counting possibilities by directly converting neutrons into charge-carrying elements within the body of the semiconductor. These semiconductors have high thermal neutron capture cross sections, suitable energy bandgaps (~2.0 electron volts) for room-temperature operations, and a favorable electronic band structure for efficient electron charge transport. The article examines the semiconductor properties of these compounds in terms of their neutron counting capabilities and possible ways to extract neutron energy information from them. Lithium-6 and boron-10 (with thermal neutron absorption cross sections of 938 ± 6 and 3855 ± 26 barns, respectively) produce charged particles to be measured via indirect neutron interactions. The efficiency of indirect conversion neutron detectors is limited because of the inefficiencies in conversion mechanism. In case of direct conversion, the neutrons create charged particles in a single material for neutron capture and charge collection, increasing detection efficiency. Unlike 3He proportional counters, which provide no neutron energy information, the semiconductors can be used as neutron energy spectrometer. Fully resolved neutron energy by 6LiInP2Se6 from a plutonium-beryllium source has been reported in the literature. We will discuss the influence of these multilayered semiconductors’ crystallographic structures and growth techniques on neutron energy determination.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗
DOE OSTI2020

The Critical Role Of Conversion Cost And Comparative Advantage In Modeling Agricultural Land Use Change

The difference in land use modeling approaches is an important uncertain factor in evaluating future climate scenarios in global economic models. We compare five widely used land use modeling approaches: constrained optimization, constant elasticity of transformation (CET), the additive form of constant elasticity of transformation (ACET), logit, and Ricardian. We demonstrate that the approaches differ not only by the extent of parameter uses but also by the definition of conversion cost and the consideration of comparative advantage implied by land heterogeneity. We develop a generalized hybrid approach that incorporates ACET/logit and Ricardian to account for both conversion cost and comparative advantage. We use this hybrid approach to estimate future climate impacts on agriculture. We find a welfare loss of about 0.38–0.46% of the global GDP. We demonstrate that ignoring land heterogeneity or land conversion costs underestimates climate impacts on agricultural production and welfare.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗