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At least 253 records · Page 14

Extracting Lessons of Human Performance and Resilience Management from a Study of Weather-Related Safety Risks and Incidents Reported to NASA's Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS)

We present a study of weather-related incident reports submitted to NASA’s Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) by air carrier pilots and air traffic controllers in the US. Using specific examples, we examine the weather-related risks reported and the relevant aspects of human performance and resilience management exhibited during these incidents. We describe our methods of lesson extraction to maximize learning, including the use of advance algorithms, and we conclude with a review of the weather-related risks encountered and the resilient practices employed to mitigate them.

resilience↗

Cooperative and Non-Cooperative UAS Detection

This paper describes a system that enhances airspace situational awareness by detecting and identifying Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS). This multi-domain solution tracks both cooperative scientific flights as well as non-cooperative intrusions from "bad actors." The system supports a critical push towards safety within NASA’s advanced air mobility mission. After surveying the existing technologies at Langley Research Center, the radar and visual systems were chosen for the primary and secondary detection mechanisms, respectively. These systems were tuned an upgraded to become more sensitive to UAS activity. Additionally, a Remote Identification receiver was procured and integrated into the flight surveillance system.

Lucas Barduson↗

Resilience, ASRS, and the Narrative about Human Error

We present a study of weather-related incident reports submitted to NASA’s Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) by air carrier pilots in the US. Using specific examples, we examine the relevant aspects of human performance and resilience management exhibited during these incidents. We describe the common narrative about human error and how ASRS data can be used to change it.

resilience↗

Draft Environmental Impact Statement for Proposed Energy Conservation Standards for Manufactured Housing

This draft environmental impact statement (EIS) analyzes the impacts related to DOE’s proposed energy conservation standards for manufactured homes. DOE’s proposed energy conservation standards are based on the 2021 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) and relate to the building thermal envelope; air sealing; installation of insulation; duct sealing; heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC); service hot water systems; mechanical ventilation fan efficacy; and heating and cooling equipment sizing. The draft EIS evaluates DOE’s proposed action (energy conservation standards tiered based the manufacturers retail list price), alternatives to the proposed action (including energy conservation standards tiered based on size of the manufactured home and untiered standards), and a no action alternative. The draft EIS presents analysis of impacts related to (1) energy resources; (2) air resources (including greenhouse gases, climate change, ambient air quality and indoor air quality); (3) health and safety; (4) socioeconomics; and (5) environmental justice.

MacDonell, Margaret↗

NASA Aviation Safety Reporting System

Problems in briefing of relief by air traffic controllers are discussed, including problems that arise when duty positions are changed by controllers. Altimeter reading and setting errors as factors in aviation safety are discussed, including problems associated with altitude-including instruments. A sample of reports from pilots and controllers is included, covering the topics of ATIS broadcasts an clearance readback problems. A selection of Alert Bulletins, with their responses, is included.

Source record↗

Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks (OOBN) for Aviation Accident Modeling and Technology Portfolio Impact Assessment

The concern for reducing aviation safety risk is rising as the National Airspace System in the United States transforms to the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen). The NASA Aviation Safety Program is committed to developing an effective aviation safety technology portfolio to meet the challenges of this transformation and to mitigate relevant safety risks. The paper focuses on the reasoning of selecting Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks (OOBN) as the technique and commercial software for the accident modeling and portfolio assessment. To illustrate the benefits of OOBN in a large and complex aviation accident model, the in-flight Loss-of-Control Accident Framework (LOCAF) constructed as an influence diagram is presented. An OOBN approach not only simplifies construction and maintenance of complex causal networks for the modelers, but also offers a well-organized hierarchical network that is easier for decision makers to exploit the model examining the effectiveness of risk mitigation strategies through technology insertions.

Shih, Ann T.↗

Application of Aviation Turbulence Information to Air-Traffic Management (ATM): Chapter - 24

Unexpected turbulence especially in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere where cabin crews and passengers in cruising aircraft are likely to unbuckle causes in-flight injuries, structural damage, and flight delay. Therefore, turbulence information can be used to improve safety while pursuing efficiency in Air-Traffic Management (ATM). In this chapter, simple modeling of aircraft trajectories combined with wind and turbulence predictions can suggest the optimal solution of flight plans that minimizes both total flight time (e.g., fuel consumption) and potential encounters of turbulence from departure to arrival airports. Also, probabilistic ensemble turbulence forecasts are applied to suggest an optimal strategic and tactical ATM route planning in a given weather and turbulence condition in the United States which are evaluated against in situ Eddy Dissipation Rate observations from commercial aircraft. Finally, variations of long-haul trans-Oceanic flight routes and their turbulence potentials are investigated using a global reanalysis data to understand how the upper-level large-scale flow patterns can affect the long-term ATM planning through the changes of winds and turbulence conditions.

Wind Optimal↗

LiON: Lithium Oxygen Batteries for NASA Electric Aircraft

Li-Air batteries are a unique fit for electric aircraft due to their high theoretical energy densities and their potential to leverage on-board oxygen systems. Electrolytes are the limiting factor for advancing this technology. We will investigate novel "electrolyte engineering" concepts to enable Li-Air batteries with high practical energy densities, rechargeability and safety. New stable electrolytes will be designed and fabricated for Li-Air batteries and tested in an electric flight. An unprecedented "Dream Team" of experts from NASA, DOE, academia and industry will tackle this problem.

Lawson, John↗

Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Market Study

The Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Market Study is an in-depth study for ODM market leveraging identified key technical barriers to understand community interests and market conditions from all aspects such as regulations, economics, public acceptance, airspace operations and safety.

Urban Air Mobility Parcel Delivery Air Taxi Air Me↗

Analysis of Airport Ground Delay Program Decisions Using Data Mining Techniques

Air traffic service providers have to make decisions regarding changes to air traffic flow in the event of major weather disturbances and traffic congestions to maintain safety of the system. The behavior of the air traffic management system will be more predictable if consistent decisions are made under similar traffic and weather conditions. Consistency of deciding on control action depends on the weather and traffic conditions as well as accuracy in predicting these conditions. Weather parameters (defined in terms of forecast and actual weather and traffic conditions) on different days can be used to categorize days into days with little decision consistency, days with moderate decision consistency and days with high decision consistency. Four years of traffic, weather and ground delay program decisions data at major airports in the United States are used in the analysis. This paper examines performance of different data mining methods in the three regions of decision consistency. Not surprisingly, data mining methods have the best performance in the region of most decision consistency and have the poorest performance in the region of little decision consistency. In applications where data mining methods have differing performance in differing regions, it would be more useful to characterize the region specific performance instead of characterizing performance by a single parameter. Finally, the results show no significant variation in the performance of different data mining methods for this particular problem. The fact that different mining methods show no significant variation also provides further confidence in the results of data mining methods. Work in this abstract discusses initial results. This paper describes the results in terms of both forecast and actual environmental conditions and discusses how prediction errors impact decision consistency.

Kulkarni, Deepak↗

An Analysis of the Role of Safety Nets in the National Airspace System

Safe operations of aircraft in the National Airspace System (NAS) may be attributed to many factors, including the application of a variety of safety nets (SNs) as a last line of defense. In preparation for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), a review of Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) reports for incidents with positive outcomes was conducted to investigate the importance of current safety nets. The examination of positive outcomes not only shows what went wrong, but also what went right to prevent accidents and “save the day.” More than 400 incident reports for 2015 from the voluntary ASRS reporting database were studied in detail to create event sequence diagrams (ESDs), illustrating the effectiveness of SNs. The developed ESDs are considered top-level, representative models and are limited with respect to being reliably quantitative because they are based on only reports from a single year. The ESDs could offer insights into human systems integration research, such as strategically using technologies as SNs without human interface or alleviating human workload with new technologies to provide resilient recovery from off-nominal conditions ensuring flight safety.

Geuther, Steven↗

A Safety Risk Assessment Methodology for Decision Support Systems with an Application to the Expedite Departure Path Tool

In support of the NASA Advanced Air Transportation Technologies Project, the Volpe National Transportation Systems Center has developed a methodology to perform safety risk assessments for air traffic control/air traffic management decision Support systems and concepts. Changes in controller, pilot, and/or airline dispatcher tasks that are affected by the decision support system are related to associated hazards. These hazards are then assessed either qualitatively or quantitatively in terms of likelihood of occurring and the impact if they do occur. Those items that show a potential safety hazard level increase can then have research plans developed to address those safety risks areas. An application of this methodology will he demonstrated using the AATT decision support tool Expedite Departure Path.

Snyder, Phillip T.↗

Safety Assessment of Conformance Monitoring for Situational Awareness in UTM Operations

This report presents a systematic approach to evaluating the safety benefit of utilizing strategic deconfliction and Conformance Monitoring for Situational Awareness to manage the traffic that is comprised of both conforming aircraft and contingent aircraft. First, we developed a Monte-Carlo-based simulation platform that generates a range of nominal flight paths, a set of flight paths associated with contingent aircraft, encounters between conforming and contingent aircraft, and simulates aircraft's reported positions within conformance bounds. Next, we derived the mathematical equations for quantifying the level of safety, represented by the probability of mid-air collision per flight hour, using the flight data from the simulation platform. Finally, we compared the safety benefit of CMSA services in scenarios generated at different traffic densities and rates of contingent aircraft. This study suggests that strategic deconfliction and CMSA services can collaboratively handle traffic mixed with conforming and contingent aircraft more safely than strategic deconfliction alone.

CMSA↗

Analysis of Conflicts among Urban Air Mobility Aircraft and with Traditional Aircraft

This paper provides an initial analysis of conflicts among Urban Air Mobility aircraft and with traditional aircraft based on fast-time simulations of 20 full-day scenarios. Several sets of separation minima with added performance-based separation are applied, and the resulting separation conflicts are classified. Safety metrics relevant to separation standards are evaluated. The results shed light on future performance-based separation standards and safety metrics for separation standards involving Urban Air Mobility aircraft.

urban air mobility↗

Analysis of Conflicts among Urban Air Mobility Aircraft and with Traditional Aircraft

This paper provides an initial analysis of conflicts among Urban Air Mobility aircraft and with traditional aircraft based on fast-time simulations of 20 full-day scenarios. Several sets of separation minima with added performance-based separation are applied, and the resulting separation conflicts are classified. Safety metrics relevant to separation standards are evaluated. The results shed light on future performance-based separation standards and safety metrics for separation standards involving Urban Air Mobility aircraft.

urban air mobility↗

The In-time Aviation Safety Management System Concept for Part 135 Operators

Transformations of the National Airspace System, such as envisioned with Advanced Air Mobility, will enable improvements for managing and assuring safety for Part 135 transportation of passengers and cargo. The purpose of this paper is to describe the In-time Aviation Safety Management System (IASMS) Concept of Operations (ConOps) and how its innovations such as using predictive analytics could benefit operators for risk management and safety assurance. The National Academies recommended development of an IASMS ConOps to secure a safe future NAS. Part 135 operators are currently not required to have a formal safety management system.

Kyle K. Ellis↗