A Case Study to Quantify Variability in Building Load Profiles
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32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Distinct Depth-Discrete Profiles of Microbial Communities and Geochemical Insights in the Subsurface Critical Zone
Microbial assembly and metabolic potential in the subsurface critical zone (SCZ) are substantially impacted by subsurface geochemistry and hydrogeology, selecting for microbes distinct from those in surficial soils. In this study, we integrated metagenomics and geochemistry to elucidate how microbial composition and metabolic potential are shaped and impacted by vertical variations in geochemistry and hydrogeology in terrestrial subsurface sediment. A sediment core from an uncontaminated, pristine well at Oak Ridge Field Research Center in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, including the shallow subsurface, vadose zone, capillary fringe, and saturated zone, was used in this study. Our results showed that subsurface microbes were highly localized and that communities were rarely interconnected. Microbial community composition as well as metabolic potential in carbon and nitrogen cycling varied even over short vertical distances. Further analyses indicated a strong depth-related covariation of community composition with a subset of 12 environmental variables. An analysis of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) quality via ultrahigh resolution mass spectrometry suggested that the SCZ was generally a low-carbon environment, with the relative portion of labile DOC decreasing and that of recalcitrant DOC increasing along the depth, selecting microbes from copiotrophs to oligotrophs and also impacting the microbial metabolic potential in the carbon cycle. Our study demonstrates that sediment geochemistry and hydrogeology are vital in the selection of distinct microbial populations and metabolism in the SCZ.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
Multi-Frequency Analysis of Simulated versus Observed Variability in Tropospheric Temperature
Studies seeking to identify a human-caused global warming signal generally rely on climate model estimates of the “noise” of intrinsic natural variability. Assessing the reliability of these noise estimates is of critical importance. We evaluate here the statistical significance of differences between climate model and observational natural variability spectra for global-mean mid- to upper-tropospheric temperature (TMT). We use TMT information from satellites and large multimodel ensembles of forced and unforced simulations. Our main goal is to explore the sensitivity of model-versus-data spectral comparisons to a wide range of subjective decisions. These include the choice of satellite and climate model TMT datasets, the method for separating signal and noise, the frequency range considered, and the statistical model used to represent observed natural variability. Of particular interest is the amplitude of the interdecadal noise against which an anthropogenic tropospheric warming signal must be detected. We find that on time scales of 5–20 years, observed TMT variability is (on average) overestimated by the last two generations of climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. This result is relatively insensitive to different plausible analyst choices, enhancing confidence in previous claims of detectable anthropogenic warming of the troposphere and indicating that these claims may be conservative. A further key finding is that two commonly used statistical models of short-term and long-term memory have deficiencies in their ability to capture the complex shape of observed TMT spectra.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Enhancing Multi-Step Reservoir Inflow Forecasting: A Time-Variant Encoder–Decoder Approach
Accurate reservoir inflow forecasting is vital for effective water resource management. Reliable forecasts enable operators to optimize storage and release strategies to meet competing sectoral demands—such as water supply, irrigation, and hydropower scheduling—while also mitigating flood and drought risks. To address this need, in this study, we propose a novel time-variant encoder–decoder (ED) model designed specifically to improve multi-step reservoir inflow forecasting, enabling accurate predictions of reservoir inflows up to seven days ahead. Unlike conventional ED-LSTM and recursive ED-LSTM models, which use fixed encoder parameters or recursively propagate predictions, our model incorporates an adaptive encoder structure that dynamically adjusts to evolving conditions at each forecast horizon. Additionally, we introduce the Expected Baseline Integrated Gradients (EB-IGs) method for variable importance analysis, enhancing interpretability of inflow by incorporating multiple baselines to capture a broader range of hydrometeorological conditions. The proposed methods are demonstrated at several diverse reservoirs across the United States. Our results show that they outperform traditional methods, particularly at longer lead times, while also offering insights into the key drivers of inflow forecasting. These advancements contribute to enhanced reservoir management through improved forecasting accuracy and practical decision-making insights under complex hydroclimatic conditions.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Analysis of nonconstant area combustion and mixing in ramjet and rocket-ramjet hybrid engines
One-dimensional analysis of variable area mixing and combustion process in supersonic ramjet and rocket-ramjet hybrid engines
HYBRID ROCKET↗
A control system study for an in-core thermionic reactor.
Control systems design for in-core thermionic reactor space power plants, using variable feedback analysis and analog simulation
Davis, J. P.↗
Fuel droplet burning rates at high pressures
Combustion of methanol, ethanol, propanol -1, n - pentane, n - heptane and n - decane was observed in air under natural convection conditions at pressures up to 100 atm. The droplets were simulated by porous spheres with diameters in the range 0.63 - 1.90 cm. The pressure levels of the tests were high enough so that near critical combustion was observed for methanol and ethanol. Measurements were made of the burning rate and liquid surface temperatures of the fuels. The data were compared with variable property analysis of the combustion process, including a correction for natural convection. The burning rate predictions of the various theories were similar and in fair agreement with the data. The high pressure theory gave the best prediction for the liquid surface temperatures of ethanol and propanol -1 at high pressure. The experiments indicated the approach of critical burning conditions for methanol and ethanol at pressures on the order of 80 - 100 atm, which was in good agreement with the predictions of both the low and high pressure analysis.
Canada, G. S.↗
High purity silica reflective heat shield development
A high purity slip cast silica material has been developed for use as a reflective heat shield for entries into the atmospheres of the outer planets. The several stages leading to the development of this material are described and details of raw material selection, preparation of the slip material and casting techniques are discussed. Optical (reflectance and transmittance), physical and chemical properties measurements were performed as a function of the important material and processing variables. Performance analysis of a reflective heat shield fabricated from the high purity silica slip shows that approximately 90 percent of the radiant bow shock energy incident on the heat shield during entry into the atmosphere of Jupiter will be reflected.
Blome, J. C.↗
NECAP: NASA's Energy-Cost Analysis Program. Part 1: User's manual
The NECAP is a sophisticated building design and energy analysis tool which has embodied within it all of the latest ASHRAE state-of-the-art techniques for performing thermal load calculation and energy usage predictions. It is a set of six individual computer programs which include: response factor program, data verification program, thermal load analysis program, variable temperature program, system and equipment simulation program, and owning and operating cost program. Each segment of NECAP is described, and instructions are set forth for preparing the required input data and for interpreting the resulting reports.
Henninger, R. H.↗
A theoretical study of heterojunction and graded band gap type solar cells
A computer program was designed for the analysis of variable composition solar cells and applied to several proposed solar cell structures using appropriate semiconductor materials. The program simulates solar cells made of a ternary alloy of two binary semiconductors with an arbitrary composition profile, and an abrupt or Gaussian doping profile of polarity n-on-p or p-on-n with arbitrary doping levels. Once the device structure is specified, the program numerically solves a complete set of differential equations and calculates electrostatic potential, quasi-Fermi levels, carrier concentrations and current densities, total current density and efficiency as functions of terminal voltage and position within the cell. These results are then recorded by computer in tabulated or plotted form for interpretation by the user.
Sutherland, J. E.↗
Photometry of slow X-ray pulsars. III - The GX 17 + 2 candidate
The optical pulsations from the faint star assumed to be the optical counterpart of the intense X-ray source GX 17 + 2 are analyzed. The X-ray source is of interest because of its associated radio emission, and the 1913 sec periodic modulation of the X-ray flux, which makes the source the slowest X-ray pulsar yet observed. The photoelectric photometry of the star provides no evidence for variability. The analysis indicates that any binary period in GX 17 + 2 is most likely longer than two days.
Margon, B.↗
Development and demonstration of manufacturing processes for fabricating graphite/PMR-15 polyimide structural elements
The processing requirements for graphite/PMR-15 polyimide composites developed to demonstrate the structural integrity of polyimide composite structural elements at temperatures up to 589K (600 F) are described. Major tasks included: quality assurance development; materials and process development; specification verification; flat panel fabrication; stiffened panel fabrication; honeycomb panel fabrication; chopped fiber moldings; and demonstration component fabrication. Materials, processing, and quality assurance documents were prepared from experimentally derived data. Structural elements consisting of flat panels, corrugated stiffeners, I-beams, hat stiffeners, honeycomb panels, and chopped fiber moldings were made and tested. Property data from 219K (-65 F) to 589K (600 F) were obtained. All elements were made in a production environment. The size of each element was sufficient to insure production capability and structural component applicability. Problems associated with adhesive bonding, laminate and structural element analysis, material variability, and test methods were addressed.
Sheppard, C. H.↗
A short-range objective nocturnal temperature forecasting model
A relatively simple, objective, nocturnal temperature forecasting model suitable for freezing and near-freezing conditions has been designed so that a user, presumably a weather forecaster, can put in standard meteorological data at a particular location and receive an hour-by-hour prediction of surface and air temperatures for that location for an entire night. The user has the option of putting in his own estimates of wind speeds and background sky radiation which are treated as independent variables. An analysis of 141 test runs show that 57.4% of the time the model predicts to within 1 C for the best cases and to within 3 C for 98.0% of all cases.
Sutherland, R. A.↗
Improvement of Rocket Engine Plume Analysis Techniques
A nozzle plume flow field code was developed. The RAMP code which was chosen as the basic code is of modular construction and has the following capabilities: two phase with two phase transonic solution; a two phase, reacting gas (chemical equilibrium reaction kinetics), supersonic inviscid nozzle/plume solution; and is operational for inviscid solutions at both high and low altitudes. The following capabilities were added to the code: a direct interface with JANNAF SPF code; shock capturing finite difference numerical operator; two phase, equilibrium/frozen, boundary layer analysis; a variable oxidizer to fuel ratio transonic solution; an improved two phase transonic solution; and a two phase real gas semiempirical nozzle boundary layer expansion.
Smith, S. D.↗
Embedded cavity drag in steady and unsteady flows
The numerical solution of the laminar boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is studied. The purpose is to examine the relevant drag characteristics of laminar cavity flow. The solution field is obtained in terms of velocity and vorticity variables, with the stream function and pressure derivable from the directly computed variables. An analysis and comparison is made among four square cavities, ranging in size from 0.25 to 1.00 boundary-layer thicknesses deep. The dominant flow features are examined in the vicinity of the cavity by means of the stream function and iso-vorticity contours. The dominant physics in the overall drag characteristics of the flow is examined by an analysis of the pressure and wall shear stress distributions in the cavity, and upstream and downstream of the cavity. Pressure forces and frictional forces in, and in the vicinity of, the cavity are determined. Stress relaxation distances, both upstream and downstream of the cavity, are calculated and analyzed. The flow dynamics of the boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is summarized. Finally, the relevance of the results to the control of flow separation in such flows is discussed.
Gatski, T. B.↗
Analysis of the Earth's variable rotation
The objective was to analyze the Earth's rotation, and to compare the observations with the atmospheric and seismic excitation functions. The variation in the Earth's rotation can be separated into the length-of-day (LOD) variation and the polar motion. Possible driving mechanisms include: atmospheric/oceanic circulations, seismic activities, solar-lunar tides, mantle convection, core-mantle coupling, and solar activities. The major problem of concern was the identification of these dynamical processes as primary driving mechanisms for the various features in the variation of the Earth's rotation.
Chao, B. F.↗
Embedded cavity drag in steady and unsteady flows
The numerical solution of the laminar boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is studied. The purpose of the study is to examine the relevant drag characteristics of laminar cavity flow. The solution field is obtained in terms of velocity and vorticity variables, with the stream function and pressure derivable from the directly computed variables. An analysis and comparison is made among four square cavities, ranging in size from 0.25 to 1.00 boundary-layer thicknesses deep. The dominant flow features are examined in the vicinity of the cavity by means of the stream function and iso-vorticity contours. The dominant physics in the overall drag characteristics of the flow is examined by an analysis of the pressure and wall shear stress distributions in the cavity, and upstream and downstream of the cavity. Pressure forces and frictional forces in, and in the vicinity of, the cavity are determined. Stress relaxation distances, both upstream and downstream of the cavity, are calculated and analyzed. The flow dynamics of the boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is summarized. Finally, the relevance of the present results to the control of flow separation in such flows is discussed.
Gatski, T. B.↗