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At least 235 records · Page 13

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DOE OSTI2025

Impact of chemical ordering on thermodynamic properties of point defects and Xe substitutional in U-10Mo

The accurate knowledge of defect energetics is critical to understanding the aging and irradiation behavior of U-10Mo nuclear fuel, which is selected as the fuel type for conversion of the United States High-Performance Research Reactors (HPRRs). Furthermore, using hybrid molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo (MDMC) simulation, we studied the impact of chemical ordering on the formation energies of vacancies, interstitials, and the solution energy of the Xe substitutionals. Instead of forming a random solid solution (RSS), substantial short-range-order (SRO) develops in U-10Mo, particularly at low temperatures. Mo atoms are found to repel each other and prefer U-rich local atomic environments within the 1st nearest neighbor (1NN) cutoff. Compared to the case of a RSS, the state with equilibrated Mo ordering shifts the distributions of vacancy and interstitial formation energies due to the dependence of defect energies on the local atomic environment, without a clear effect on Xe solution energy. In the operation temperature range (100–250 °C) of U-Mo fuels, neglecting SRO can lead to an inaccurate estimate of thermal equilibrium point defect concentrations by over an order of magnitude and incorrectly predict the preference among different types of dumbbells, highlighting the critical importance of accounting for the impact of chemical ordering for accurate atomistic calculations of defect properties.

Molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo (MDMC)↗

DOE OSTI2025

An Analysis of Input Parameters for Film-Based Flash X-Ray Radiography

Flash X-ray radiography (flash) is a commonly used diagnostic technique in dynamic experiments. An analysis of the effects of input parameters on resulting metrics of image quality can aid the experimentalist in configuring the X-ray input parameters to produce the highest quality radiograph for a given experiment. Here, a flash X-ray test bed with HS800 film and a LANEX Medium F intensifier screen was used with an L3 450 kVp pulser and Scandiflash X-ray tube for this study. Input parameters including charge voltage, source filtering, and film-pack assembly were investigated for their impact on contrast-to-noise ratio (CNR), contrast, and contrast transfer function (CTF). Using VIDAR’s NDT Pro industrial film digitizer, scanner parameters such as optical density range, pixel spacing, scan mode, and digital bit-depth were also examined for their impact on image quality metrics. The highest CNR values were found with two LANEX intensifiers and no filtering. Charge voltage had no direct impact on CNR values. LANEX screen count and filtering resulted both in direct effects on CNR and interaction effects with each other and CNR value. Uncertainty bounds for CNR comparisons and repeatability of CTF evaluations are also discussed. Finally, the film results are compared with a previous study using other detector types, specifically Carestream INDUSTREX Flex GP, Flex HR, Flex XL Blue, and HPX-DR 3543.

dynamic radiography↗

DOE OSTI2025

Topological and magnetic properties of a noncollinear spin state on a honeycomb lattice in a magnetic field

Here, this paper studies the topological and magnetic properties of a noncollinear spin state on a honeycomb lattice that evolves from coplanar to ferromagnetic with a magnetic field applied along the z axis. The coplanar state is stabilized by nearest-neighbor ferromagnetic interactions, single-ion anisotropy along z, and DzyaloshinskiiMoriya interactions between next-nearest-neighbor sites. Below the critical field H$_c$ that aligns the spins, the magnetic unit cell contains six sites and the spin dynamics contains six magnon modes. Although the classical energy is degenerate with respect to the twist angle φ between nearest-neighbor spins, the dependence of the free energy on φ at low temperatures is dominated by the magnon zero-point energy, which contains extremum at φ = πl/3 for integer l. The only unique ground states GS(φ) have l = 0 or 1. For H < H$'_c$, the zero-point energy has minima at even l and the ground state is GS(0); for H$'_c$ < H < H$'_c$, the zero-point energy has minima at odd l and the ground state is GS(π/3). In GS(0), the magnon density of states exhibits five distinct topological phases with increasing field associated with the opening and closing of energy gaps between two or three magnonic bands. While the Berry curvature vanishes for the coplanar φ = 0 phase in zero field, the Berry curvature and Chern numbers exhibit signatures of the five topological phases below H$'_c$. Whereas the Berry curvature and Chern number are sensitive to changes in the magnon density of states within GS(π/3), the inelastic spectrum S(k,ω) is sensitive to changes in the intensity of the magnon modes in the different magnetic phases GS(0) and GS(π/3) rather than the five topological phases within GS(π/3).

Fishman, Randy S. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (↗

DOE OSTI2026

Decoding THz‐Driven Dynamic Fingerprints of Ferroelectric Nanotwin Networks

Ultrafast polarization dynamics in ferroelectrics are of considerable interest for high-speed tunable dielectrics and electro-optics. Extended domain wall networks formed in ferroelectric twin nanodomains can support collective dynamics in the terahertz regime but require techniques that track polarization and strain evolution driven by ultrafast stimulus. Here, we use multi-modal probing of THz-pulse-driven excitations in PbTiO 3 /SrTiO 3 superlattices by combining X-ray free electron laser measurements that directly tracks lattice changes, with optical second harmonic generation that tracks the electronic potential coupled with the lattice potential. Dynamical phase-field modeling enables fingerprinting of these collective modes as superpositions of domain “breathing” through wall oscillations and polarization “rotations” with still walls. Ultrafast domain wall motion at 0.1–0.5 THz is observed at practical fields of 100 kV/cm with wall velocities of >4000 m/s, approaching typical speed of sound in PbTiO 3 . A unique “charging” mode is discovered that can electrically charge and discharge domain walls on ∼4 ps time scale thus dynamically tuning wall conductivity. Integrated experimental and theoretical fingerprinting of the dynamical landscape presented here enables ultrafast control of ferroics for high-speed microelectronics and optical applications.

THz dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Retrofittable Thermal Switches for Dynamic Building Envelopes Integrated with Thermal Energy Storage: Preprint

Buildings in the United States consume about 40 quadrillion BTU of primary energy annually, which accounts for the nation's 40% of total energy use, 75% of all electricity use, and 35% of the net carbon emissions. Deploying thermal energy storage in the form of phase change material (PCM) in building envelopes is an effective method to reduce space heating/cooling loads, provide load shedding, and shift demand to periods of lower energy cost. However, the full potential of PCM-integrated envelopes can only be realized if the PCM undergoes complete phase change using free ambient heating/cooling, and the stored energy is effectively transferred between the exterior and the interior environments. Conventional thermal insulation (with a fixed thermal resistance) limits PCM utilization, particularly with the increasing emphasis on higher R-value in building envelopes, which negatively affects the energy-saving potential of a PCM-integrated envelope. In contrast, dynamic building envelopes integrated with PCMs provide the option of varying the thermal resistance based on the indoor and outdoor conditions, thereby enhancing utilization of free ambient cooling and heating to charge/discharge the PCM thermal storage, reducing the buildings' heating and cooling load, and shifting the peak energy demand. In this study, we demonstrate innovative retrofittable thermal switches in the form of the insertable plugs inside an insulation to provide variable thermal resistance depending on the operating temperature and direction of temperature gradient, thus allowing preferential directional heat flow. Notably, they are passive in nature, requiring no external power, and work solely based on the ambient temperature.

buildings↗

DOE OSTI2022

Reinforcement learning for online adaptation of model predictive controllers: Application to a selective catalytic reduction unit

Here we present a novel application of reinforcement learning (RL) for online dynamic tuning of model predictive controllers (MPC). Applying a state-action-reward-state-action (SARSA) algorithm for temporal difference learning with a control-specific reward function improves the error tracking performance of a standard MPC formulation. The proposed RL approach is also readily adaptable to other MPCs, or entirely different control approaches. Practical details for the implementation of the RL-MPC algorithm are also presented. The proposed algorithm is applied to a case study of controlling nitrogen oxide (NO x ) emissions in an industrial selective catalytic reduction (SCR) unit, a control problem characterized by significant nonlinearity and time delay. Along with an RL-MPC formulation for NOx control, another MPC is proposed to mitigate ammonia slip and decrease ammonia consumption in the SCR. Results showing the efficacy of the RL-MPC for NO x control through learning and implementation on the nonlinear SCR dynamic model are presented.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Supercell precipitation contribution to the United States hydroclimate

Abstract This research seeks to understand simulated supercell precipitation characteristics across the conterminous United States (CONUS) using high‐resolution, convection‐permitting, dynamically downscaled simulations for three 15‐year epochs. Epochs include a historical end‐of‐20th‐century period (1990–2005) and two end‐of‐21st‐century (2085–2100) scenarios for intermediate and pessimistic greenhouse gas concentration trajectories. Simulated updraft helicity, which measures the corkscrew flow within a storm's updraft, is used as a proxy for supercells. An algorithm tracks and catalogues updraft helicity swaths that, when buffered, are used to acquire simulated precipitation from supercells. The historical epoch provides a baseline climatology of supercell precipitation for a contemporary climate, which is then compared against the two future epochs to assess how supercell precipitation may change during the 21st century. Despite their relatively small size, supercells provide critical precipitation to the Wheat and Corn Belts, large expanses of CONUS pasture and rangeland, regional aquifers and several large river basins. Many areas in the central CONUS receive upwards of 3%–6% of their annual and 5%–8% of their warm‐season precipitation from these storms. Results suggest that precipitation contribution from supercells will decrease in the future across most of the High Plains and Central and Northern Great Plains with robust increases likely across the south‐central and Southeast regions. Supercell precipitation rates are expected to increase for large portions of the CONUS by the end‐of‐the‐21st‐century, suggesting a growing threat for flash floods from these storms as they become more efficient precipitation producers. This research provides an initial perspective on the magnitude of supercell precipitation and potential changes to this important hydrologic input to assist water‐sensitive industries, private and public insurance markets, agriculture entities, as well as inform plans to mitigate and build resilience to rapid environmental and societal change.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

DOE OSTI2020

Toward large-scale simulation of residual stress and distortion in wire and arc additive manufacturing

In this study, we aim to advance the structural analysis of wire and arc additive manufacturing (WAAM) by considering the thermomechanical features inherent in direct energy deposition. Simulation approaches including the iterative substructure method (ISM), dynamic mesh refining method (DMRM), and graphics processing unit (GPU) based explicit finite element method (FEM) were developed for accelerating additive manufacturing stress analysis that is very time consuming by conventional numerical methods. ISM and DMRM take advantage of the strong nonlinearity phenomenon near the moving heat source by reducing the global iterations and refining the local mesh, respectively. In addition to the use of GPUs, the explicit FEM is accelerated by a time scaling technique based on the inherent strain concept. The residual stress and distortion of two large builds were analyzed, showing very consistent numerical results and good agreement with experiments. Compared with the commercial software Abaqus, the novel approaches reduced the computational cost substantially without compromising accuracy. The GPU code showed the highest computational efficiency (30~70×), while DMRM and ISM had acceleration factors of 9× and 3×, respectively. Finally, such high-fidelity modeling approaches will be very useful for building up a digital twin of WAAM to reduce development time and cost.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Hybrid combustion modeling approach for turbulent jet ignition in natural-gas pre-chamber spark-ignition engines at high EGR

Here, this study presented a hybrid modeling approach for simulating turbulent jet ignition and combustion processes in a natural-gas pre-chamber spark-ignition engine operating under exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) diluted conditions. In-depth analyses of experimental data and simulation results from previous work [Chinnathambi et al., ICEF2021-67836; Kim et al., Fuel 409: 137815, 2026] revealed two key findings: (i) the magnitude of pressure difference between the pre-chamber and main chamber ($∆P_{PC-MC}$) was positively correlated with the combustion duration from the moment of $∆P_{PC-MC}=0$ to the point of 5% mass fraction burned, with larger $∆P_{PC-MC}$ associated with longer duration; and (ii) the turbulent combustion regime in the main chamber transitioned from the broken reaction zone to the corrugated flamelet regime, with the Karlovitz number exceeding 100 immediately after turbulent hot jets were ejected from nozzles, coinciding with observed local extinction events. To accurately simulate the entire combustion process, a hybrid approach was developed under Reynolds-Averaged Navier Stokes framework, combining the G-equation model for pre-chamber combustion with the multi-zone well-stirred reactor approach and a turbulence-chemistry interaction (TCI) submodel for main chamber combustion. The TCI submodel accounted for the attenuation of reaction rates due to turbulent strain and modeled local extinction by suppressing reaction rates under certain flow and flame conditions. When applied to three EGR rate conditions toward the dilution limit, the hybrid modeling approach accurately reproduced experimental data in terms of cylinder pressure, apparent heat release rate, and the observed positive correlation, including the delayed onset of main chamber combustion—a feature not captured by existing combustion models.

computational fluid dynamics simulation↗

DOE OSTI2025

Reaction-induced departures from continuum Navier–Stokes turbulence

Reactive hydrodynamic turbulence is an inherently multiscale phenomenon, characterized by the separation between energy-containing, viscous, and molecular length and time scales. The separation between the viscous scale (the Kolmogorov scale) and the molecular mean free path ostensibly justifies a macroscopic description of reactive turbulence via the Navier–Stokes (NS) equations. However, here we use molecular-level simulations to demonstrate that exothermic bimolecular reactions can cause the NS description of turbulence to break down in the near-continuum regime. Sufficiently energetic heat-releasing reactive collisions strongly distort the Maxwell–Boltzmann velocity distribution function, modifying not only the macroscopic chemical rate law but the kinetic-energy-transfer processes as well. This translational nonequilibrium ultimately introduces significant departures from the NS description in the kinetic energy spectra at scales orders of magnitude larger than both the molecular mean free path and the Kolmogorov length scale. These departures prove substantial enough to meaningfully alter integrated quantities, including the overall turbulence kinetic energy itself.

molecular gas dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Interplay between aging and rejuvenation in spin glasses

Aging in a single-crystal spin glass (Cu 0.92 ⁢Mn 0.08 ) has been measured using ac susceptibility techniques over a temperature range of 0.3–0.8𝑇 𝑔 . In these studies, traditional aging experiments (or “quench” aging protocols) are compared to aging curves constructed from finite-cooling-rate curves. By comparing the growth rates of spin glass order between the two types of aging curves, it is determined that quantitative comparisons between protocols that are taken by quenching and protocols using a finite cooling rate are not possible without a deeper understanding of the interplay between aging and rejuvenation. Finally, we then demonstrate that the data presented indicate that rejuvenation, rather than cumulative aging, is the cause of the discrepancies between the two growth rates.

dynamical phase transitions↗

DOE OSTI2025

Amplification of turbulence through multiple planar shocks

We study the amplification of isotropic, incompressible turbulence through multiple planar, collisional shocks, using analytical linear theory. There are two limiting cases we explore. The first assumes shocks occur rapidly in time such that the turbulence does not evolve between shocks. Whereas the second case allows enough time for turbulence to isotropize between each shock. For the latter case, through a quasi-equation-of-state, we show that the weak multishock limit is agnostic to the distinction between thermal and vortical turbulent pressures, like an isotropic volumetric compression. When turbulence does not return to isotropy between shocks, the generated anisotropy—itself a function of shock strength—can feedback on amplification by further shocks, altering choices for maximal or minimal amplification. In addition for this case, we find that amplification is sensitive to the shock ordering. As a result, we map how choices of shock strength can impact these amplification differences due to ordering, finding, for example, shock pairs which lead to identical mean postshock fields (density, temperature, pressure) but maximally distinct turbulent amplification.

Astrophysical fluid dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Green's function fast multipole method for continuum mechanics (SM-FMM)

Solid Mechanics Fast Multipole Method based on elastic Green's function and accelerated using FFTs The code calculates the mechanical fields (stress and strain) for a heterogeneous elasto-plastic material unit cell under quasi-static conditions (no dynamic effects). The fields are calculated using a Green's function method, where the strain field is given by a discrete convolution of Green's operator with an auxiliary stress field. The convolution is calculated using the fast multipole method.

Zecevic, Miroslav↗

DOE OSTI2023

Wettability Alteration with Weak Acid-Assisted Surfactant Flood

Oil-wetness and heterogeneity are two key reasons for low oil recovery by waterflooding in carbonate reservoirs. Surfactants have been effective in altering the oil-wet matrix to a more water-wet condition and initiating spontaneous imbibition. Because it takes time for the surfactant to alter wettability, oil recovery from the tight matrix is slow and sometimes not economically feasible. Acids have the potential of dissolving minerals, which may alter wettability. In this study, the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) performance of an acid-assisted surfactant solution, a novel technique, was evaluated for low-temperature applications. A set of acids and their acetates were tested. Bulk rock-acid reaction, wettability alteration (WA) tests, and spontaneous imbibition measurements were conducted at reservoir temperature (35°C) to identify effective candidates. Coreflood tests were then performed to evaluate the selected acid-surfactant formulations. Before and after a coreflood test, the core was scanned using micro-computed tomography (CT) to investigate pore structure alteration. Bulk reaction measurements showed that weak acids, especially acetic acid (AA), have the desired low reaction rates at 35°C. WA tests showed that AA can remove the crude oil off the rock surface and alter wettability through mineral dissolution. The surfactant can reduce contact angles from 160° to 58°; adding acid into the surfactant can further reduce it to 52°. Spontaneous imbibition experiments showed the synergy between the acid and the surfactant; the AA-surfactant solution had the highest oil recovery (62.6%) among acid-surfactant formulations. The acid improves the WA efficiency by the surfactant through surface mineral dissolution and lower ζ-potential. The imbibition transports the acid-surfactant solutions into the matrix, which minimizes face dissolution. Coreflood tests show that the AA-surfactant flood can increase the oil recovery rate and recover about 8% more oil compared to the surfactant flood. Micro-CT showed that a few mineral particles were transported along the core and partially plugged pore throats, which reduced permeability and diverted flow leading to improved oil recovery. Here, the transport of the acid in reservoirs and the potential plugging issues have to be carefully evaluated in future studies.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design Basis Document / Owner’s Technical Specification for Nitrate Salt Systems in CSP Projects: Volume 1 Specifications for Parabolic Trough Projects, Volume 2 - Specifications for Central Receiver Projects, Volume 3 - Narrative

Design Basis Documents / Owner’s Technical Specifications are developed for parabolic trough and central receiver power plants using nitrate salt as the heat transport fluid and the thermal storage medium. The goals were to 1) distill the successful experience with nitrate salt systems from as many commercial projects as possible, 2) provide technical bases for equipment design/selection that an owner can impose on an EPC contractor, 3) compile this information in one location to provide guidance on salt systems that is as broadly applicable to as many projects as possible, and 4) work toward an industry consensus on a Design Basis Document that reflects the lessons learned from earlier commercial projects. The document allows an owner to provide design guidance, and to impose a minimum set of requirements, above and beyond those in the normal Codes and Standards, on an EPC contractor in an effort to avoid a repeat of past mistakes. If successful, this would allow salt systems to achieve the same levels of reliability and availability as commercial parabolic trough plants using diphenyl oxide / biphenyl (i.e., Dowtherm A, Therminol VP-1) as the heat transfer fluid. The report consists of 3 volumes: • Volume 1 - Specifications for Parabolic Trough Projects • Volume 2 - Specifications for Central Receiver Projects • Volume 3 - Narrative Volumes 1 and 2 include discussions of the following topics: • Plant functional requirements for the salt systems • Plant operating states, and transitions between states, for the salt systems • Risk analysis of the principal salt components • Plant requirements for the salt systems to meet the functional and the operating requirements • Type of specification for the principal salt components: functional; or prescriptive • Current state of the art for salt systems. Volume 3 discusses a number of cases in which the salt equipment at commercial parabolic trough and central receiver projects has not met the projected levels of reliability and availability. Possible reasons for the sources of the problems are discussed, as is a range of possible alternate designs that could avoid the known problems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design Basis Document / Owner’s Technical Specification for Nitrate Salt Systems in CSP Projects (Final Technical Report)

The number of commercial coal, gas, and nuclear projects built over the past 100 years number in the thousands. As such, there is a large database, available to a wide range of commercial engineering contractors, on proven designs. In essence, unsuccessful designs have, through generations of iterations, been identified and then deleted from further consideration. In contrast, the number of commercial parabolic trough projects using nitrate salt for the thermal storage media is perhaps 60. Further, the number of commercial central receiver projects using nitrate salt as the working fluid is on the order of 20, including estimates for China. Given the relative immaturity of salt technology, and commercial pressures to successfully bid new solar projects into a mature electricity market, solar projects often promise more than has been delivered. The Design Basis Document / Owner’s Technical Specification is a first step in the iteration process. The report describes the successful features of commercial projects, outlines a range equipment and system failures in projects that didn’t operate as intended, and provides a draft set of design changes intended to correct the known problems. The product of the study is 3 volumes of technical material; one volume is on parabolic trough technologies; a second is on central receiver technologies, and the third is on potential design changes to parabolic trough and central receiver projects. The 3 volumes, which total some 590 pages, can be found at https://www.solardynllc.com/csp-plant-technologies. One of the principal topics in the report is the use of functional or prescriptive specifications. Functional specifications describe what the equipment needs to do, consistent with the minimum legal requirements of the local jurisdictions. The details of how this is to be accomplished is developed by the engineering contractor. Prescriptive specifications, which are developed by the Owner, prescribe to the engineering contractor how the functional requirements are to be met. This arrangement ensures that the favorable experience from a previous project is repeated. One example is the design code for the hot salt tank in central receiver projects. The closest design basis is API Standard 650 Welded Steel Tanks for Oil Storage. However, the maximum design temperature in API 650 is 260 °C. As such, solar projects have typically adopted a hybrid Code approach, in which allowable material stresses are taken from ASME Section II Materials. Further, since the tanks experience daily changes in temperature and in (static) pressure, and since portions of the tank can operate at stresses beyond the elastic range, the low cycle fatigue life of the tank is conducted using the rules of Section VIII Division 2. However, in a recent study by NREL, the principal damage mechanism was identified as creep rather than fatigue. Further, design stresses permitted under Section VIII Division 2, corresponding to a fatigue life of 30 years, result in projected creep lifetimes of only 2 to 5 years. An alternate design approach, prescribed by the Owner, would be based on Code sections intended for high temperature service in the creep regime. A candidate is Section III Division 5. Granted, this is a nuclear code section, and it’s use would not likely be mandated by local jurisdictions. However, the effects of creep have been deemed to be of sufficient importance that one nuclear project developer, and one central receiver project developer, have stipulated in the tank design specification that the equipment be designed to the requirements of Section III Division 5.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Dynamic Tripolar Strategic Balance: A Net Assessment (Workshop Summary)

On December 9-10, the Center for Global Security Research (CGSR) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) hosted a workshop titled “The Dynamic Tripolar Strategic Balance: A Net Assessment.” The discussion was guided by the following key questions: • By what metrics should the strategic balance be assessed? • How dynamic is the balance? How fragile? • Is the United States gaining strategic advantage, losing it, or holding steady, overall? • In order to gain new advantages or re-gain advantages lost, can or should the United States prioritize some domains and accept more risk in others? If so, which ones?

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2023

Towards a Circular Economy for PET Bottles in the US

The United States generates the most plastic waste of any country. Along with that GHG emissions from the global plastic economy are expected to increase to 15% of the global carbon budget by 2050. It is imperative that plastic recycling is made a reality to reduce both plastic pollution in the environment and GHG emissions. A portfolio of end-of-life strategies must be implemented to minimize environmental impacts and retain valuable plastic material, but it is challenging to compare options that generate products with different utility and lifetime. Plastic use reduction, reuse and recycling are thus increasingly important, but making informed policy and research decisions within this space can be challenging given the diverse range of available solutions. The novel analysis framework, Plastic Parallel Pathways Platform (4P) has been equipped with consequential life cycle assessment, techno-economic analysis, and a plastic circularity indicator to estimate the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, circularity, and cost of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) down-cycling to lower-quality resin, closed-loop recycling to food-grade PET bottles, up-cycling to fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP), and conversion to non-plastic products (electricity, oil) on a United States economy-wide basis. Integrating system dynamics into this robust plastics model that already incorporates techno-economics, circularity, and environmental impacts will enable identification of key bottlenecks between manufacturers, waste sorters, and reclaimers that currently prevent rapid decarbonization of the plastics economy. System dynamics (SD) explore the evolution of activities and technologies based on changed macro parameters such as plastic demand and supply, market shifts, and cross-sectoral interactions. This project particularly aims to explore the interplay between, waste collection, plastic waste sorting, recycling, and manufacturing, as well as the effect of plastic bale quality and plastic reuse initiatives on the surrounding process stages. This functionality will facilitate combinatory analysis in which a portfolio of end-of-life pathways are assessed simultaneously, with the exact makeup of that portfolio affected by parameters such as technology scales, resource constraints, and waste mitigation efforts. Integrating SD with the 4P framework enables analyzing the effect of increased revenue and reinvestment into improving process efficiencies, sorting and collection quantities. Through that, market effects of increased recycled resin availability can be studied for the plastics systems model for the US. The results will help identify technical or economic bottlenecks that currently limit efforts to decarbonize the U.S. plastics economy.

circular economy↗