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At least 235 records · Page 13

Peculiar Behaviors of Faint Galactic Bulge Transients

The Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer PCA scans of the Galactic bulge (galactic longitude plus or minus 11 degrees) have detected 8 recent transients which have peak intensities of 10 to 400 mCrab. Some of the transient events have a fast rise and slow decay typical of accretion disk instabilities. It is common for these decays to be oscillatory, rather than steady, as if there are waves within the disk. There are also outbursts with symmetric light curves. In particular, the source in Terzan 2 which had a very long (decade) doubling of intensity peaking near the beginning of 1997, in 2004 has had two 30 day brightenings by a factor of 5 only 100 days apart. During each of these a burst was observed in snapshot observations near the peak. The source SLX 1735-269, also a burster, though not in our observations, has had irregularly repeated occurrences of fast swings between close to zero and 2-4 times normal. Some examples, such as the increase, drop, and slow recovery of GS 1826-238 suggest a change in the accretion disk such as emptying and refilling or a peculiar alignment. Follow up observations have provided deeper information about these transient sources and possible explanations for their behavior will be addressed.

Swank, J. H.↗

Searching for Quasi-periodic Oscillations in Astrophysical Transients Using Gaussian Processes

Analyses of quasi-periodic oscillations(QPOs)are important to understanding the dynamic behavior in manyastrophysical objects during transient events like gamma-ray bursts, solarflares, magnetarflares, and fast radiobursts. Astrophysicists often search for QPOs with frequency-domain methods such as(Lomb–Scargle)periodograms, which generally assume power-law models plus some excess around the QPO frequency. Time-series data can alternatively be investigated directly in the time domain using Gaussian process(GP)regression.While GP regression is computationally expensive in the general case, the properties of astrophysical data andmodels allow fast likelihood strategies. Heteroscedasticity and nonstationarity in data have been shown to causebias in periodogram-based analyses. GPs can take account of these properties. Using GPs, we model QPOs as astochastic process on top of a deterministicflare shape. Using Bayesian inference, we demonstrate how to infer GPhyperparameters and assign them physical meaning, such as the QPO frequency. We also perform model selectionbetween QPOs and alternative models such as red noise and show that this can be used to reliablyfind QPOs. Thismethod is easily applicable to a variety of different astrophysical data sets. We demonstrate the use of this methodon a range of short transients: a gamma-ray burst, a magnetarflare, a magnetar giantflare, and simulated solarflare data.

Moritz Hubner↗

Multi-Timescale Integrated Dynamics and Scheduling for Solar (MIDAS-Solar) (Final Technical Report)

Solar photovoltaic (PV) installations have experienced unprecedented growth in the United States. PV will become not only an energy producer but also a necessary provider of ancillary services at multiple timescales. Conventional methods to simulate power systems operations - such as long-term production simulation (which typically considers schedules from hours to minutes by using an optimization framework) and short-term transient studies (which simulate dynamics from seconds to sub-seconds using state variables and differential equations) - are not sufficient for studying the multiple-timescale variation of solar generation and its impact on system reliability. Long-term system economics and short-term system dynamics are highly coupled, particularly when the penetration level of renewable generation is extremely high, because the uncertainty and variability of solar generation will impact both power system steady-state and dynamic performance. This project helps meet and exceed the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Solar Energy Technologies Office goal of systems integration by directly addressing this stability and reliability challenge for power grid planning and operation. We have developed a temporally comprehensive, closed-loop simulation model, named Multi-timescale Integrated Dynamics and Scheduling (MIDAS), that seamlessly simulates power system operations from economic scheduling (day-ahead to hours) to dynamic response analysis (seconds to sub-seconds). For schedules with very high levels of inverter-based resources (IBRs), up to and including 100%, the stability of grid controls has been evaluated through electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulations and power-hardware-in-the-loop (PHIL) simulations of key transient events at key schedule points. Specifically, MIDAS provides: 1) a closed-loop simulation framework for simulating timescales from economic scheduling to dynamic stability analysis; 2) machine learning-based stability assessment; 3) EMT modeling and analysis for large-scale power systems; 4) MIDAS PHIL test bed. We worked with Hawaii Electric Companies to apply the MIDAS study framework to a Maui grid study. The entire island's transmission system was modeled in detail - from a yearly scheduling model, to a second-level frequency dynamic model, down to a sub-second-scale EMT model to address critical stability issues. The project demonstrated how MIDAS can help system planners and operators assess system reliability and stability while the power grid is marching toward a high-renewable, high-IBR future. In this Maui grid study, we found that 100% instantaneous IBR operation is achievable in EMT simulation and PHIL testing, and grid planners and operators might need new analysis/simulation tools to assess grid reliability and stability in the scheduling stage. MIDAS will bring Maui and other systems closer to 100% clean and stable energy futures. (In this study, we examined transient stability. Other topics necessary for 100% IBR operation, such as protection and resource adequacy, were not examined.)

100% Renewables↗

The Changing Changing-Look AGN 1ES 1927+654

We report on X-ray follow-up observations of the March 2018 nuclear transient event AT2018zf (ASASSN-18el) from an ongoing campaign that includes XMM-Newton, NuSTAR, Swift, and high cadence (daily-to-weekly) NICER observations. The event was associated with the Seyfert galaxy 1ES 1927+654, a "True Type-2" that, nevertheless, showed an X-ray spectrum typical of an unobscured Type 1 AGN. Optical monitoring revealed the emergence of broad Balmer emission lines following the outburst, suggesting a transition from a Type 2 to a Type 1 AGN on timescales consistent with the light-travel time between the central black hole and the broad line region. The optical outburst was followed by a dramatic shift in the X-ray spectrum as the hard X-ray luminosity of the corona plunged by >2 orders of magnitude and the spectrum became dominated by a 10^6 K thermal component. The subsequent X-ray evolution of 1ES 1927+654 includes an additional two-order of magnitude decline in overall luminosity, followed by an extended period of quiescence, and re-brightening to levels that make it the brightest AGN currently in the X-ray sky. Throughout its evolution, the source has displayed X-ray flux variability of factors of several on timescales less than hour, and of ~100 on timescales less than a day. The X-ray spectrum varies along a consistent luminosity-dependent track, wherein increases in flux are accompanied by a spectral hardening. We seem to be witnessing the onset of an instability in the pre-existing AGN disc and corona, followed by a still-continuing re-emergence of the corona. If the initial transient is identified as the tidal disruption of a star, it is possible that this was the instigator of this unique behavior.

Loewenstein, M.↗

Metallic fuel transient fuel-cladding interface liquefaction model assessment platform enabled by integrating BISON with databases

A novel platform has been developed within the BISON fuel performance code to assess models of fuel-cladding interface liquefaction for sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) metallic fuels. Here, this platform is crucial because liquefaction at the fuel-cladding interface significantly impacts fuel performance and may compromise fuel pin integrity during transient events. To ensure accurate predictions, the platform integrates data collected during the Integral Fast Reactor (IFR) program, now archived in metallic fuel databases. This integration supports verification and validation (V&V) of the models in BISON. Leveraging the extensive US experience with metallic fuel liquefaction and the collections of preserved legacy data, the platform serves as a powerful tool for evaluating existing models and advancing the development of new ones.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Primer terminal ribonucleotide alters the active site dynamics of DNA polymerase η and reduces DNA synthesis fidelity

DNA polymerases catalyze DNA synthesis with high efficiency, which is essential for all life. Extensive kinetic and structural efforts have been executed in exploring mechanisms of DNA polymerases, surrounding their kinetic pathway, catalytic mechanisms, and factors that dictate polymerase fidelity. Recent time-resolved crystallography studies on DNA polymerase η (Pol η) and β have revealed essential transient events during the DNA synthesis reaction, such as mechanisms of primer deprotonation, separated roles of the three metal ions, and conformational changes that disfavor incorporation of the incorrect substrate. DNA-embedded ribonucleotides (rNs) are the most common lesion on DNA and a major threat to genome integrity. While kinetics of rN incorporation has been explored and structural studies have revealed that DNA polymerases have a steric gate that destabilizes ribonucleotide triphosphate binding, the mechanism of extension upon rN addition remains poorly characterized. Using steady-state kinetics, static and time-resolved X-ray crystallography with Pol η as a model system, we showed that the extra hydroxyl group on the primer terminus does alter the dynamics of the polymerase active site as well as the catalysis and fidelity of DNA synthesis. During rN extension, Pol η error incorporation efficiency increases significantly across different sequence contexts. Finally, our systematic structural studies suggest that the rN at the primer end improves primer alignment and reduces barriers in C2'-endo to C3'-endo sugar conformational change. Overall, our work provides further mechanistic insights into the effects of rN incorporation on DNA synthesis.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Expanded analysis of machine learning models for nuclear transient identification using TPOT

Industries around the world are becoming more and more data driven. The nuclear field is no exception with several different applications being proposed. One popular area of research is the use of machine learning in transient detection. This paper seeks to build upon a previous study which made use of the AutoML package TPOT to train traditional machine learning models to classify transient events occurring with a reactor. Synthetic data was once again collected using a GPWR reactor simulator. Data on 12 different events was collected using 15 different initial conditions. Here, a dataset consisting of over 100,000 data points was compiled and used to train 7 different machine learning models using a pre-defined TPOT dictionary with 12 different preprocessing techniques. Three of the trained models were able to produce validation results in the 90s with the expanded dataset. Once the models were trained, it was possible to look into where during the simulation, misclassifications occurred. Using these three models, analysis was done to determine if TPOT could be used to train models that were effective if important features were missing. The results from this were positive with the newly trained models scoring close to the original models. Finally, to conclude this study, the three high performing models were retrained using different random states to see if there was any major variation when different states were used.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Model for determining rupture area in Zircaloy cladding under LOCA conditions

The dispersal of nuclear fuel through a cladding rupture opening during a transient event is the primary safety concern preventing the United States nuclear industry from extending burnup beyond a peak rod average burnup of 62 GWd/tU. The majority of research thus far has prioritized understanding, or at a minimum prioritized quantifying, fuel fragmentation and pulverization as a function of burnup and to a lesser extent onset temperature. Early high burnup loss-of-coolant accident tests performed at the Halden Boiling Water Reactor evaluated the impact of relocation on cladding temperature, whereas historical and recent cladding burst tests focused primarily on generating data related to cladding balloon and burst timing. However, very little effort has been put forth to develop a relationship for determining the rupture opening dimensions for Zircaloy cladding tubes bursting during a simulated light water reactor loss-of-coolant accident. This is significant because high burnup loss-of-coolant accident data suggest dispersal could be limited by the size of the rupture opening or rupture dimensions, thereby minimizing the safety concern. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to build a database composed of all simulated loss-of-coolant accident data to develop an empirical model that conservatively captures the rupture opening dimensions and translates those dimensions to rupture area. Analysis of the experimental data indicates the rupture dimensions are strongly correlated to the peak balloon strain. This relationship is leveraged to develop a rupture length empirical correlation as a function of peak balloon strain and a rupture width empirical correlation as a function of rupture length. Outliers in the experimental data are identified and discussed. Finally, the rupture opening empirical model is presented in such a way for general implementation into high fidelity fuel performance codes or fuel performance codes used for safety analyses.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Revisiting the Detection of Optical Lightning Superbolts

This study uses Fast On-Orbit Detection of Transient Events (FORTE) satellite observations to identify superbolt-class optical lightning events and evaluate their origins. Superbolts have been defined by Turman as lightning pulses whose peak optical power exceeds 1011 W. However, it has been unclear whether superbolts resulted from particular types of high-energy lightning process or whether they were the result of measurement bias. In the latter case, any decently bright lightning process could be recorded as a superbolt if the sensor had a particularly clear sight line to the hot channel without thick clouds diluting the optical signals. Here, our 12-year analysis of FORTE superbolt detections indicates that the lower optical superbolt energy range (~100 GW) is dominated by normal lightning, but brighter cases are predominantly strong +CG strokes that originate from specific types of storms. Oceanic storm systems, particularly during the winter, and especially those located around Japan are shown to produce these intense superbolts. We suggest that some optical superbolts result from favorable viewing conditions and would not be identified as such by another instrument located elsewhere and that others are associated with a unique set of physics that may merit the “superbolt” distinction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Combined Optical and Radio-Frequency Perspectives on a Hybrid Cloud-To-Ground Lightning Flash Observed by the FORTE Satellite

In this work, we use the coincident optical and radio-frequency (RF) measurements taken by the Fast On-orbit Recording of Transient Events (FORTE) satellite to shed light on common optical signatures recorded by NASA and NOAA lightning imagers during Cloud-to-Ground (CG) lightning. We build flash cluster data for FORTE using the same techniques as the NASA/NOAA instruments to document the optical/RF evolution of an oceanic hybrid -CG flash. The flash began with strong Very High Frequency (VHF)-band emission from a Narrow Bipolar Event (NBE) that initiated a period of normal bilevel intracloud (IC) activity in two vertical layers (8 and 12 km) that lasted for 490 ms. VHF waveforms show step leader activity ahead of the return stroke. All impulsive VHF sources after the stroke come from the lower (8 km) layer. K-changes are noted following the return stroke, but no subsequent strokes are detected. The optical flash began 136 ms after the NBE RF pulse. Twenty-two of the 33 optical groups were dim and occurred during the in-cloud phase of the flash. This activity included both isolated pulses and sustained periods of illumination over tens of milliseconds. Initial cloud pulses accounted for 23% of the total optical radiance from the flash. Illumination during the return stroke contributed 58% of the total radiance, and the K-changes and cloud pulses after the stroke supplied the remaining 19%. These results highlight the benefit of having RF alongside optical lightning measurements for clarifying signatures in the optical data and providing information on their physical origins.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Combined Optical and Radio-Frequency Measurements of a Lightning Megaflash by the FORTE Satellite

The optical and VHF instrumentation on the Fast On-Orbit Recording of Transient Events (FORTE) satellite is used to document the combined phenomenology evolution of a lightning “megaflash” – mesoscale lightning that propagates laterally over exceptional distances. We identify a FORTE flash whose maximum extent was 82 km and inferred length over multiple distinct branches exceeded 100 km. This flash lasted 1.2 s and produced 250 optical and 591 RF events. We find that the channel development mapped by FORTE’s pixelated lightning imager (LLS) occurred at a typical speed of 2.6x10 5 m s -1 and was accompanied by sustained periods of VHF emission that could individually exceed 100 ms in duration. The impulsive IC events generated by the flash indicate that this development occurred at altitudes between 3 and 8 km. Four +CG strokes were identified in the VHF waveform data that are responsible for two of the three highly-radiant LLS groups (two of the +CGs were not as optically bright as the others). These strokes occurred at different locations throughout the flash footprint with the most distant strokes separated by approximately 50 km. These space-based observations match previous observations of megaflashes as well as ground-based measurements of negative leader development during “spider” lightning, suggesting that FORTE is sensing the same phenomena.

Peterson, Michael Jay↗

FORTE Measurements of Global Optical Lightning Waveforms and Implications for Optical Lightning Detection

Lightning processes generate a diverse collection of optical pulses from current traversing the lightning channels. These signals are then broadened spatially and temporally via scattering in the clouds. The resulting waveforms measured from space with instruments like the photodiode detector (PDD) on the Fast On-orbit Recording of Transient Events (FORTE) satellite have a variety of shapes. In this study, we use coincident optical and Radio-Frequency measurements to document the properties of optical PDD waveforms associated with different types of lightning, estimate delays from scattering in the clouds, and comment on how pulse shape impacts optical lightning detection. We find that the attributes of optical pulses recorded by the PDD are consistent with prior studies, but vary globally and with event amplitude. The most powerful lightning tends to be single-peaked with faster rise times (median: ~100 µs) and shorter effective widths (median: ~400 µs) than normal lightning. Particularly dim events, meanwhile, include cases of broad optical waveforms with sustained optical emission throughout the PDD record, which the pixelated FORTE Lightning Location System (LLS) instrument has difficulty detecting. We propose that this is due to the optical signal being divided between individual LLS pixels that are each, individually, not bright enough to trigger. We use PDD waveforms and Monte Carlo radiative transfer modeling to demonstrate that increasing the temporal and spatial resolution of a pixelated lightning imager will make it more difficult to detect these broad/dim pulses as their energy becomes divided between additional pixels/integration frames.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Combined Optical and Radio–Frequency Perspectives on the Time Evolution of Lightning Measured by the FORTE Satellite

We use a cluster feature data set for the Fast On-orbit Recording of Transient Events (FORTE) satellite that combines detections from its pixelated Lightning Locating System (LLS), photodiode detector (PDD) and Radio-Frequency (RF) instrumentation to generate statistics describing the frequency and timing of lightning events detected by each instrument during lightning flashes. Coincident observations from the same vantage point allow us to directly compare flash details that can be resolved by the wide Field of View (FOV) instruments relative to the pixelated LLS—whose design is based on NASA's Lightning Imaging Sensor. We find that both the PDD and RF system typically generate more detections than the lightning imager (mean: 1.5 PDD events per LLS group, 2 RF events per LLS group) from pulses that are either not sufficiently bright in the optical band (in the case of RF) or that lack the optical energy density (in the case of the PDD) required to trigger one of the pixels on the LLS imaging array. This includes additional activity before the first LLS group or after the final LLS group. These FORTE results demonstrate that certain lightning processes would be better resolved by wide-FOV optical and RF instruments than lightning imagers. Current/future space-based missions that use/plan to use similar instruments will improve our understanding of flash evolution by resolving details missed by lightning imagers.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Making a Superbolt: Reconciling Observations of the Optically Brightest Lightning on Earth From Different Satellites

We previously documented geographic distributions of the optically brightest lightning on Earth—known as “superbolts”—using two space-based instruments: the photodiode detector (PDD) on the Fast On-orbit Recording of Transient Events (FORTE) satellite and the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) on NOAA's Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites. In this study, we further examine the superbolts identified by the PDD and GLM to reconcile the differences between their geographic distributions. We find that both the physical extent of the parent flash and the development speed of its leaders are important for making a superbolt. The oceanic PDD superbolts tend to occur early in flashes that rapidly expand laterally into long horizontal “megaflashes.” The top GLM superbolts occur over land at later times in particularly large megaflashes. These land-based flashes grow more slowly until they extend over multiple hundreds of kilometers. The FORTE PDD missed these delayed superbolts due to limitations in its triggering. Coincident Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission measurements show that the warm season megaflash superbolts detected by Lightning Imaging Sensor/GLM and wintertime oceanic superbolts observed by the PDD occur in otherwise similar thunderstorm environments. Both are marked by: low storm heights (<10 km), widespread precipitation near the surface, small infrared brightness temperature gradients, and low flash rates. We suggest that the vertically compact, stratiform nature of these clouds provides favorable conditions for superbolt production.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Liquid lithium as divertor material to mitigate severe damage of nearby components during plasma transients

The successful operation of thermonuclear fusion reactors such as ITER, DEMO, and future commercial plants is mainly determined by the optimum choice of materials for various components. The objective of this work is to accurately and comprehensively simulate the entire device in 3D to predict pros and cons of various materials, e.g., liquid lithium in comparison to tungsten and carbon to predict future ITER-like and DEMO divertor performances. We used our comprehensive HEIGHTS simulation package to investigate ITER-like components response during transient events in exact 3D geometry. Starting from the lost hot core plasma particles through SOL, deposition on the divertor surface, and the generation of secondary plasma of divertor materials. Our simulations predicted significant reduction in the heat loading and damage to the divertor nearby and internal components in the case when lithium is used on the divertor plates. While if tungsten or carbon are used on the divertor plate, significant melting areas and vaporization spots can occur (less for carbon) on the reflector, dome, and stainless steel tubes, and even parts of the first walls can melt due to the high radiation power of the secondary divertor plasma. Lithium photon radiation deposition into the divertor and nearby surfaces was decreased by two orders of magnitude compared to tungsten and by one order of magnitude compared to carbon. This analysis showed that using liquid lithium for ITER-like surfaces and future DEMO can lead to significant enhancement in components lifetime.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Design study of an edge current density diagnostic using new high-performance single-channel beam emission spectrometers at DIII-D

A novel Motional Stark Effect spectroscopy system has been designed for application at the DIII-D tokamak. The system is optimized for studies of the poloidal and toroidal magnetic field in the plasma pedestal region with frame rates of up to 10 kHz. Further, light from an existing high-photon-throughput collection lens is analyzed using four single-channel f/2.8 Czerny–Turner spectrometers that use custom-made lens systems instead of mirrors. Each spectrometer has two separate outgoing legs and is operated in a positive grating order, which allows for simultaneous observations of D-alpha and D-beta spectra. Forward modeling using the code FIDASIM shows a radial resolution of the system close to 0.6 cm and sufficiently good spectral resolution when masking the high throughput light collection lens in the horizontal direction to avoid overly strong Doppler broadening of beam emission lines. Moreover, a detailed sensitivity study considering realistic levels of readout and photon noise shows that the poloidal and toroidal magnetic field strengths can be inferred with an uncertainty of less than 1%, which will allow the inference of changes of the plasma current during transient events.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Demonstration of reconstruction-free static magnetic control of DIII-D plasma with deep reinforcement learning

This paper presents the development and experimental validation of a reinforcement learning (RL)-based magnetic controller on the DIII-D tokamak. The controller directly maps raw magnetic diagnostic signals to actuator commands, replacing the traditional isoflux control algorithm based on equilibrium reconstruction. Four RL controllers are trained using the Soft Actor–Critic algorithm with an asymmetric Actor–Critic architecture in the NSFsim simulator. All controllers are deployed in the DIII-D Plasma Control System and operated with a 4 kHz feedback loop. Two randomization strategies are evaluated during training: evolving kinetic profiles and fixed kinetic profiles within each episode. The latter approach is found to better capture experimental deviations in the current density profile and to provide overall improved control performance. Robust operation is demonstrated across heating power scans in both L- and H-mode plasmas, as well as during transient events such as L–H transitions and pellet injections. Control errors in plasma shape and radial position remained within 1.5–2.0 cm and 1 cm, respectively. A notable discrepancy was observed in the vertical X-point position, with errors of up to approximately 4 cm, attributed to the current density distribution mismatches between simulations and experiments.

DIII-D↗

Measurements of Single Event Upset in ATLAS IBL

Effects of Single Event Upsets (SEU) and Single Event Transients (SET) are studied in the FE-I4B chip of the innermost layer of the ATLAS pixel system. SEU/SET affect the FE-I4B Global Registers as well as the settings for the individual pixels, causing, among other things, occupancy losses, drops in the low voltage currents, noisy pixels, and silent pixels. Quantitative data analysis and simulations indicate that SET dominate over SEU on the load line of the memory. Operational issues and mitigation techniques are presented.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗