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At least 235 records · Page 13

Hydrogen and deuterium permeation in Hastelloy N

Hastelloy N was chosen as the fluoride salt-contacting structural material for the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment due to its excellent compatibility with the fuel salt FLiBe. FLiBe is currently investigated for several advanced fusion and fission reactor concepts where tritium generation in the FLiBe is anticipated. Knowledge of hydrogen transport properties through Hastelloy N is important to understand how tritium would permeate through this material and result in an unintentional release. In this study, the hydrogen and deuterium permeability, diffusivity, and solubility were measured from 500 to 700 °C at a primary-side pressure of 10 kPa in a well-characterized sample of Hastelloy N. The prepared polycrystalline Hastelloy N had C and O impurities present on the surface. These impurities were investigated using Auger Emission Spectroscopy and Ar depth profiling. Here, the adventitious C was removed upon the first Ar sputter cycle whereas O persisted deeper into the sample. For permeation experiments, applied deuterium pressures ranged from 13 Pa to 100 kPa and deuterium transport remained in the diffusion-limited regime (J ∝ P 0.5 ) throughout the pressure range examined. Two methods are employed to measure the effective hydrogen and deuterium diffusivity: rise and decline. The decline method produced improved statistical model fits for calculating the effective diffusion coefficient compared to the rise method. The resultant transport properties compared well to published values for other nickel alloys.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Novel ammonia recovery from anaerobic digestion by integrating biogas stripping and gypsum absorption

Recovering ammonia from anaerobic digestion (AD) effluent offers the opportunity to produce a renewablefertilizer and reduce environmental impact. A novel process developed for such an application was evaluatedduring this study. The feature of the process is integrating biogas stripping and gypsum (CaSO 4 •2H 2 O) absorption. The result revealed that the lower CO 2 content and the absorption temperature contributed the higherefficiency of ammonia recovery. The gypsum solution recovered around 95% of the stripped ammonia when thestripping gas contained 10% CO 2 and it rose to 100% when the gas contained more than 30% CO 2 . Furthermore,a statistical model and genetic algorithm were applied to estimate the total ammonia recovery and optimize theoperating parameters. The experimental and modeling results indicated that integrating biogas stripping withgypsum absorption can effectively harvest ammonia nitrogen and reduce CO 2 emissions while producing(NH 4 ) 2 SO 4 fertilizer from AD effluent.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A flexible class of priors for orthonormal matrices with basis function-specific structure

Statistical modeling of high-dimensional matrix-valued data motivates the use of a low-rank representation that simultaneously summarizes key characteristics of the data and enables dimension reduction. Low-rank representations commonly factor the original data into the product of orthonormal basis functions and weights, where each basis function represents an independent feature of the data. However, the basis functions in these factorizations are typically computed using algorithmic methods that cannot quantify uncertainty or account for basis function correlation structure a priori. While there exist Bayesian methods that allow for a common correlation structure across basis functions, empirical examples motivate the need for basis function-specific dependence structure. We propose a prior distribution for orthonormal matrices that can explicitly model basis function-specific structure. The prior is used within a general probabilistic model for singular value decomposition to conduct posterior inference on the basis functions while accounting for measurement error and fixed effects. We discuss how the prior specification can be used for various scenarios and demonstrate favorable model properties through synthetic data examples. Finally, we apply our method to two-meter air temperature data from the Pacific Northwest, enhancing our understanding of the Earth system’s internal variability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Elasto-viscoplastic fast Fourier transform modeling framework for assessing microstructural effects on stress intensity factors characterizing fracture toughness

A large-strain elasto-viscoplastic fast Fourier transform (LS-EVPFFT) model with non-periodic (NP) velocity-based boundary conditions is adapted to simulate the sensitivity of stress intensity factors on microstructure for 304L stainless steel. The material was characterized via electron backscattered diffraction (EBSD) serial-sectioning to obtain a measured 3-D microstructural cell to perform simulations. The NP-LS-EVPFFT model, including the simulation setup and boundary conditions, was verified using a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) model. To this end, the generation of meshes of notched specimens was developed, which involved creating Python scripts for mesh “cutting” in Abaqus, and Sculpt scripts in Cubit for meshing of the measured microstructural cell processed with DREAM.3D. The complexity of the mesh preparation highlighted the advantages of the FFT-based model, which circumvents the mesh generation process. Given the efficiency of the FFT-based model, statistical distribution of stress intensity factors in function of crystal orientation at the crack tip, grain structure, and crystallographic texture surrounding the crack tip were predicted. Further, the distributions reveal about 10% variation of stress intensity factors with microstructure with the most significant sensitivity found to be the crystal orientation at the crack tip. The methodology developed in this work is discussed as a practical simulation tool for predicting the sensitivity of stress intensity factors on microstructural variability in metallic materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Best practices in NMR metabolomics: Current state

A literature survey was conducted to identify current practices used by NMR metabolomics investigators when conducting and reporting their metabolomics studies. A total of 463 papers from 2020 and 80 papers from 2010 were selected from PubMed and were manually analyzed by a team of investigators to assess the extent and completeness of the experimental procedures and protocols reported. A significant number of the papers did not report on essential experimental details, incompletely stated which statistical methods were used, improperly applied supervised multivariate statistical analyses, or lacked validation of statistical models. A large diversity of protocols and software were identified, which suggests a lack of consensus and a relatively limited use of commonly agreed upon standards for conducting and reporting NMR metabolomics studies. In conclusion, the overall intent of the survey is to inform and encourage the NMR metabolomics community to develop and adopt best-practices for the field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Delineating the Effects of Counterions on the Structural and Vibrational Properties of U(IV) Lindqvist Polyoxometalate Complexes

Herein we conducted a full investigation into the fundamental structural and vibrational properties of uranium(IV) Peacock−Weakley-type lacunary Lindqvist (W 10 ) polyoxometalate (POM) complexes. We recently demonstrated the importance of the secondary lattice elements in tuning the distortion of the D 4d symmetry in W 10 POM complexes, and here, we synthesized eight UW 10 complexes with different alkali metal counterions and evaluated how the composition and packing of counterion species affected complex structural and vibrational properties. Single-crystal X-ray diffraction analysis on complexes 1−8 revealed changes in structural distortion parameters as a function of differences in counterion configurations, while far-infrared and Raman spectra for 1−8 also demonstrated that vibrational mode frequencies were sensitive to changes in counterion composition and packing. To more effectively compare different counterion configurations, we developed counterion effective ionic radius (eIR) as a new structural parameter, and comparisons between structural distortion parameters and eIR values strongly suggested that modulation by the secondary lattice elements can affect structural and vibrational manifolds within POM complexes. Partial least squares (PLS) analysis was used to quantitatively evaluate correlations observed within this investigation, and PLS statistical models showed a strong correlation between counterion eIR and both structural distortion parameters and vibrational mode frequencies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Understanding kinetics of defect annihilation in chemoepitaxy-directed self-assembly.

Directed self-assembly (DSA) of block copolymers (BCP) has attracted considerable interest from the semiconductor industry because it can achieve semiconductor-relevant structures with a relatively simple process and low cost. However, the self-assembling structures can become kinetically trapped into defective states, which greatly impedes the implementation of DSA in high-volume manufacturing. Understanding the kinetics of defect annihilation is crucial to optimizing the process and eventually eliminating defects in DSA. Such kinetic experiments, however, are not commonly available in academic laboratories. To address this challenge, we perform a kinetic study of chemoepitaxy DSA in a 300 mm wafer fab, where the complete defectivity information at various annealing conditions can be readily captured. Through extensive statistical analysis, we reveal the statistical model of defect annihilation in DSA for the first time. The annihilation kinetics can be well described by a power law model, indicating that all dislocations can be removed by sufficiently long annealing time. We further develop image analysis algorithms to analyze the distribution of dislocation size and configurations and discover that the distribution stays relatively constant over time. The defect distribution is determined by the role of the guiding stripe, which is found to stabilize the defects. Although this study is based on polystyrene-b-poly(methyl methacrylate) (PS-b-PMMA), we anticipate that these findings can be readily applied to other BCP platforms as well.

block copolymer↗

Heterogeneous and Framework-Bound Copper Species Contribute to Catalytic Partial Methane Oxidation in Cu–Chabazite Zeolites

The relationship between continuous partial methane oxidation (PMO) rates and Cu site speciation in Cu-CHA zeolite catalysts is explored through differential rate measurements across a series of samples of varying compositions combined with density functional theory, first-principles thermodynamics, and statistical models that characterize Cu speciation. Under continuous PMO conditions (573 K, 0.07 kPa O 2 , 3 kPa H 2 O), Cu ions are shown to anchor to the CHA framework in both monomeric (Z 2 Cu and Z 2 CuH 2 O) and dimeric (O- and OH-bridged Cu) forms that are sensitive to the identity of the local framework anchoring site. Consequently, across the studied compositional range, Cu-CHA catalysts are predicted to contain a mixture of monomeric and dimeric Cu sites. Cu-normalized CH 3 OH formation rates extrapolated to zero conversion reflect contributions from multiple site types. Predicted CH 3 OH formation rates indicate that the Cu site reactivity toward CH 4 is influenced by zeolite composition and is likely limited by the reduction half-cycle.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Data Science-Driven Analysis of Substrate-Permissive Diketopiperazine Reverse Prenyltransferase NotF: Applications in Protein Engineering and Cascade Biocatalytic Synthesis of (-)-Eurotiumin A

Prenyltransfer is an early-stage carbon-hydrogen bond (C-H) functionalization prevalent in the biosynthesis of a diverse array of biologically active bacterial, fungal, plant, and metazoan diketopiperazine (DKP) alkaloids. Toward the development of a unified strategy for biocatalytic construction of prenylated DKP indole alkaloids, we sought to identify and characterize a substrate-permissive C2 reverse prenyltransferase (PT). As the first tailoring event within the biosynthesis of cytotoxic notoamide metabolites, PT NotF catalyzes C2 reverse prenyltransfer of brevianamide F. Solving a crystal structure of NotF (in complex with native substrate and prenyl donor mimic dimethylallyl S-thiolodiphosphate (DMSPP)) revealed a large, solvent-exposed active site, intimating NotF may possess a significantly broad substrate scope. To assess the substrate selectivity of NotF, we synthesized a panel of 30 sterically and electronically differentiated tryptophanyl DKPs, the majority of which were selectively prenylated by NotF in synthetically useful conversions (2 to > 99%). Quantitative representation of this substrate library and development of a descriptive statistical model provided insight into the molecular origins of NotF's substrate promiscuity. This approach enabled the identification of key substrate descriptors (electrophilicity, size, and flexibility) that govern the rate of NotF-catalyzed prenyltransfer, and the development of an "induced fit docking (IFD)-guided" engineering strategy for improved turnover of our largest substrates. We further demonstrated the utility of NotF in tandem with oxidative cyclization using flavin monooxygenase, BvnB. This one-pot, in vitro biocatalytic cascade enabled the first chemoenzymatic synthesis of the marine fungal natural product, (-)-eurotiumin A, in three steps and 60% overall yield.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Anthropogenic Impacts on Atmospheric Carbonyl Sulfide Since the 19th Century Inferred From Polar Firn Air and Ice Core Measurements

Carbonyl sulfide (COS) was measured in firn air collected during seven different field campaigns carried out at four different sites in Greenland and Antarctica between 2001 and 2015. A Bayesian probabilistic statistical model is used to conduct multisite inversions and to reconstruct separate atmospheric histories for Greenland and Antarctica. The firn air inversions cover most of the 20th century over Greenland and extend back to the 19th century over Antarctica. The derived atmospheric histories are consistent with independent surface air time series data from the corresponding sites and the Antarctic ice core COS records during periods of overlap. Atmospheric COS levels began to increase over preindustrial levels starting in the 19th century, and the increase continued for much of the 20th century. Atmospheric COS peaked at higher than present-day levels around 1975 CE over Greenland and around 1987 CE over Antarctica. An atmosphere/surface ocean box model is used to investigate the possible causes of observed variability. The results suggest that changes in the magnitude and location of anthropogenic sources have had a strong influence on the observed atmospheric COS variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Climate-Driven Limits to Future Carbon Storage in California's Wildland Ecosystems

Enhanced ecosystem carbon storage is a key component of many climate mitigation pathways. The State of California has set an ambitious goal of carbon neutrality by 2045, relying in part on enhanced carbon sequestration in natural and working lands. We used statistical modeling, including random forest and climate analog approaches, to explore the climate-driven challenges and uncertainties associated with the goal of long-term carbon sequestration in forests and shrublands. We found that seasonal patterns of temperature and precipitation are strong controllers of the spatial distribution of aboveground live carbon. RCP8.5 projections of temperature and precipitation are estimated to drive decreases of 16.1% ± 7.5% in aboveground live carbon by the end of the century, with coastal areas of central and northern California and low/mid-elevation mountain areas being most vulnerable. With RCP4.5 projections, declines are less severe, with 8.8% ± 5.3% carbon loss. In either scenario, increases in temperature systematically cause biomass declines, and the spread of projected precipitation across 32 CMIP5 models contributes to substantial uncertainty in the magnitude of that decline. Projected changes in the environmental niche for the 20 most biomass-dominant tree species revealed widespread replacement of conifers by oak species in low elevation regions of central and northern California, with a corresponding decline in carbon storage depending on expected migration rates. The spatial patterns of vulnerability we identify may allow policymakers to assess where carbon sequestration in aboveground biomass is an appropriate part of a climate mitigation portfolio, and where future climate-driven carbon losses may be a liability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Improving the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation via a Surrogate‐Accelerated Multi‐Objective Optimization

Accurate simulation of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is challenging due to uncertainties in representing convectively generated gravity waves. We develop an end-to-end uncertainty quantification workflow that calibrates these gravity wave processes in E3SM for a realistic QBO. Central to our approach is a domain knowledge-informed, compressed representation of high-dimensional spatio-temporal wind fields. By employing a parsimonious statistical model that learns the fundamental frequency from complex observations, we extract interpretable and physically meaningful quantities capturing key attributes. Building on this, we train a probabilistic surrogate model that approximates the fundamental characteristics of the QBO as functions of critical physics parameters governing gravity wave generation. Leveraging the Karhunen–Loève decomposition, our surrogate efficiently represents these characteristics as a set of orthogonal features, capturing cross-correlations among multiple physics quantities evaluated at different pressure levels and enabling rapid surrogate-based inference at a fraction of the computational cost of full-scale simulations. Finally, we analyze the inverse problem using a multi-objective approach. Our study reveals a tension between amplitude and period that constrains the QBO representation, precluding a single optimal solution. To navigate this, we quantify the bi-criteria trade-off and generate a set of Pareto optimal parameter values that balance the conflicting objectives. This integrated workflow improves the fidelity of QBO simulations and offers a versatile template for uncertainty quantification in complex geophysical models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Determination of X-ray detection limit and applications in perovskite X-ray detectors

X-ray detection limit and sensitivity are important figure of merits for perovskite X-ray detectors, but literatures lack a valid mathematic expression for determining the lower limit of detection for a perovskite X-ray detector. In this work, we present a thorough analysis and new method for X-ray detection limit determination based on a statistical model that correlates the dark current and the X-ray induced photocurrent with the detection limit. The detection limit can be calculated through the measurement of dark current and sensitivity with an easy-to-follow practice. Alternatively, the detection limit may also be obtained by the measurement of dark current and photocurrent when repeatedly lowering the X-ray dose rate. While the material quality is critical, we show that the device architecture and working mode also have a significant influence on the sensitivity and the detection limit. Our work establishes a fair comparison metrics for material and detector development.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Bayesian tomography of high-dimensional on-chip biphoton frequency combs with randomized measurements

Abstract Owing in large part to the advent of integrated biphoton frequency combs, recent years have witnessed increased attention to quantum information processing in the frequency domain for its inherent high dimensionality and entanglement compatible with fiber-optic networks. Quantum state tomography of such states, however, has required complex and precise engineering of active frequency mixing operations, which are difficult to scale. To address these limitations, we propose a solution that employs a pulse shaper and electro-optic phase modulator to perform random operations instead of mixing in a prescribed manner. We successfully verify the entanglement and reconstruct the full density matrix of biphoton frequency combs generated from an on-chip Si 3 N 4 microring resonator in up to an 8 × 8-dimensional two-qudit Hilbert space, the highest dimension to date for frequency bins. More generally, our employed Bayesian statistical model can be tailored to a variety of quantum systems with restricted measurement capabilities, forming an opportunistic tomographic framework that utilizes all available data in an optimal way.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Inequalities in global residential cooling energy use to 2050

Intersecting socio-demographic transformations and warming climates portend increasing worldwide heat exposures and health sequelae. Cooling adaptation via air conditioning (AC) is effective, but energy-intensive and constrained by household-level differences in income and adaptive capacity. Using statistical models trained on a large multi-country household survey dataset (n = 673,215), we project AC adoption and energy use to mid-century at fine spatial resolution worldwide. Globally, the share of households with residential AC could grow from 27% to 41% (range of scenarios assessed: 33-48%), implying up to a doubling of residential cooling electricity consumption, from 1220 to 1940 (scenarios range: 1590-2377) terawatt-hours yr. –1 , emitting between 590 and 1,365 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO 2 e). AC access and utilization will remain highly unequal within and across countries and income groups, with significant regressive impacts. Up to 4 billion people may lack air-conditioning in 2050. Our global gridded projections facilitate incorporation of AC’s vulnerability, health, and decarbonization effects into integrated assessments of climate change.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Temperature measurement of Quark-Gluon plasma at different stages

In a Quark-Gluon Plasma (QGP), the fundamental building blocks of matter, quarks and gluons, are under extreme conditions of temperature and density. A QGP could exist in the early stages of the Universe, and in various objects and events in the cosmos. The thermodynamic and hydrodynamic properties of the QGP are described by Quantum Chromodynamics (QCD) and can be studied in heavy-ion collisions. Despite being a key thermodynamic parameter, the QGP temperature is still poorly known. Thermal lepton pairs (e + e − and μ + μ − ) are ideal penetrating probes of the true temperature of the emitting source, since their invariant-mass spectra suffer neither from strong final-state interactions nor from blue-shift effects due to rapid expansion. Here we measure the QGP temperature using thermal e+e− production at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC). The average temperature from the low-mass region (in-medium ρ 0 vector-meson dominant) is (2.01 ± 0.23) × 10 12 K, consistent with the chemical freeze-out temperature from statistical models and the phase transition temperature from Lattice QCD. The average temperature from the intermediate mass region (above the ρ0 mass, QGP dominant) is significantly higher at (3.25 ± 0.60) × 10 12 K. This work provides essential experimental thermodynamic measurements to map out the QCD phase diagram and understand the properties of matter under extreme conditions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Assessing the impact of human mobility to predict regional excess death in Ecuador

Abstract COVID-19 outbreaks have had high mortality in low- and middle-income countries such as Ecuador. Human mobility is an important factor influencing the spread of diseases possibly leading to a high burden of disease at the country level. Drastic control measures, such as complete lockdown, are effective epidemic controls, yet in practice one hopes that a partial shutdown would suffice. It is an open problem to determine how much mobility can be allowed while controlling an outbreak. In this paper, we use statistical models to relate human mobility to the excess death in Ecuador while controlling for demographic factors. The mobility index provided by GRANDATA, based on mobile phone users, represents the change of number of out-of-home events with respect to a benchmark date (March 2nd, 2020). The study confirms the global trend that more men are dying than expected compared to women, and that people under 30 show less deaths than expected, particularly individuals younger than 20 with a death rate reduction between 22 and 27%. The weekly median mobility time series shows a sharp decrease in human mobility immediately after a national lockdown was declared on March 17, 2020 and a progressive increase towards the pre-lockdown level within two months. Relating median mobility to excess deaths shows a lag in its effect: first, a decrease in mobility in the previous two to three weeks decreases excess death and, more novel, we found an increase of mobility variability four weeks prior increases the number of excess deaths.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Heterogeneous climate change impacts on electricity demand in world cities circa mid-century

Rising ambient temperatures due to climate change will increase urban populations’ exposures to extreme heat. During hot hours, a key protective adaptation is increased air conditioning and associated consumption of electricity for cooling. But during cold hours, milder temperatures have the offsetting effect of reducing consumption of electricity and other fuels for heating. We elucidate the net consequences of these opposing effects in 36 cities in different world regions. We couple reduced-form statistical models of cities’ hourly responses of electric load to temperature with temporally downscaled projections of temperatures simulated by 21 global climate models (GCMs), projecting the effects of warming on the demand for electricity circa 2050. Cities' responses, temperature exposures and impacts are heterogeneous, with changes in total annual consumption ranging from –2.7 to 5.7%, and peak power demand increasing by as much as 9.5% at the multi-GCM median. The largest increases are concentrated in more economically developed mid-latitude cities, with less developed urban areas in the tropics exhibiting relatively small changes. The results highlight the important role of the structure of electricity demand: large temperature increases in tropical cities are offset by their inelastic responses, which can be attributed to lower air-conditioning penetration.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗