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At least 235 records · Page 13

Climate sensitivity with a seasonal cycle energy balance model

The sensitivity of climate which may have a local maximum as the ice cap passes through a midlatitude region where the atmosphere's transport efficiency varies strongly with latitude is examined. This behavior, found in a two level primitive equations climate model forced with annual mean insolation, was reproduced in an energy balance model (EBM) by making the diffusion coefficient a function of latitude. The two level seasonally varying EBM was applied and the global mean surface temperature vs. solar constant for this model are shown and two regions of enhanced sensitivity appear. The snowcover distributions around the year for three cases are shown.

Suarez, M. J.↗

Baseline ozone results from 1923 to 1955

Baseline total atmospheric ozone values from the year 1923 to 1955 are reported which have been derived from observations of the solar constant made by Smithsonian Institution sites in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Ozone was determined from absorption by the broad, weak Chappuis band near 0.6 microns as measured on 1194 days at Mt. Montezuma, Chile and 970 days at Table Mountain, California. Results show systematic changes on the order of 25 percent in the ozone level at Montezuma with a time scale of 10-20 years, although the previously reported 30 percent decrease between 1920-1930 and 1940-1950 is found to have been erroneous. Comparisons of ozone data with geomagnetic indices and sunspot number show a suggestive correlation of ozone with sunspot number, although the relation is not borne out by comparison of ozone and sunspot cycles, or by Fourier analysis. Comparison of ozone data in the Chappuis band obtained by a modern filter-wheel radiometer with that obtained from a Dobson spectrometer at Mauna Loa Observatory shows Chappuis band measurements to be 14 percent lower.

Angione, R. J.↗

The faint young sun-climate paradox - Crustal influences

The various mechanisms which have been proposed to compensate for the climatic effects of a 30 percent increase in the solar constant during the past 4.5 billion years are examined. Mechanisms besides the greenhouse effect could have provided significant compensation during the second half of this period. It is proposed that the development of continents during the past 2.5 billion years caused a secular evolution of the atmosphere-ocean heat transport system. As a result, past climates were less susceptible to complete freeze-over. The lower albedo of water would be another factor in this effect insofar as the early earth had smaller land masses. A complete or nearly complete freeze-over may have occurred as past glaciations were widespread. Climate models then suggest that the earth would have remained frozen through the present epoch and into a distant future. It is suggested that volcanic influences could allow a passage from the frozen branch onto the unfrozen branch of climate models should conditions on earth be suitable for that climate change. A broad equatorial belt of volcanic ash is one scenario which would allow a transfer from the frozen earth state into the unfrozen one.

Schatten, K. H.↗

Effects of dynamical heat fluxes on model climate sensitivity

A coupled high and low latitude radiative-dynamical model of the annual mean northern hemisphere has been constructed in order to study the interactions of the vertical and meridional heat fluxes and their feedback effect on model climate sensitivity. The model's climate sensitivity to solar constant changes and CO2 increases is investigated, and the effect of feedback in the dynamical fluxes on model climate sensitivity is examined. Nonlinear interactions between heat fluxes and other feedbacks such as radiation-temperature, ice albedo, and humidity are also discussed.

Wang, W.-C.↗

The Earth Radiation Budget (ERB) experiment - An overview

The development of ERB observational systems is traced from its beginnings in the late 1950's through to the current ERB on the Nimbus 7 satellite. The instruments comprising the current 22-channel ERB experiment are described in some detail. Noteworthy are the inclusion in one solar channel, of a self-calibrating cavity to measure the solar constant and the use of biaxial scanning telescopes to determine the angular reflection and emission model required for processing the narrow-angle radiometric data. A fairly detailed description of the prelaunch and in-flight calibrations is given along with an analysis of the radiometric performance of the instruments. The data processing system is traced with the aid of a schematic flow diagram showing the steps required to produce the many tape and microfilm products archived. Future plans for improving the quality and accuracy of the data products are discussed. Finally, the upcoming Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) is briefly mentioned. It will be capable of simultaneously measuring the radiation budget from three satellites, each having a different equator crossing time and angle.

Jacobowitz, H.↗

Effects of nontropical forest cover on climate

The albedo of a forest with snow on the ground is much less than that of snow-covered low vegetation such as tundra. As a result, simulation of the Northern Hemisphere climate, when fully forested south of a suitably chosen taiga/tundra boundary (ecocline), produces a hemispheric surface air temperature 1.9 K higher than that of an earth devoid of trees. Using variations of the solar constant to force climate changes in the GLAS Multi-Layer Energy Balance Model, the role of snow-albedo feedback in increasing the climate sensitivity to external perturbations is reexamined. The effect of snow-albedo feedback is found to be significantly reduced when a low albedo is used for snow over taiga, south of the fixed latitude of the ecocline. If the ecocline shifts to maintain equilibrium with the new climate - which is presumed to occur in a prolonged perturbation when time is sufficient for trees to grow or die and fall - the feedback is stronger than for a fixed ecocline, especially at high latitudes. However, this snow/vegetation-albedo feedback is still essentially weaker than the snow-albedo feedback in the forest-free case. The loss of forest to agriculture and other land-use would put the present climate further away from that associated with the fully forested earth south of the ecocline and closer to the forest-free case. Thus, the decrease in nontropical forest cover since prehistoric times has probably affected the climate by reducing the temperatures and by increasing the sensitivity to perturbations, with both effects more pronounced at high latitudes.

Otterman, J.↗

A Survey for Photometric Variability from Space

A survey for photometric variability in a wide variety of astronomical objects would produce much new information about their interiors and dynamics. Reasons for such a survey are given, as well as an example of the solar-constant variations that can be used as a guide to what may be expected from main-sequence stars. A concept for a satellite dedicated to a survey of photometric variability is proposed.

Hudson, H. S.↗

Autumn and Winter Anomalies in Ionospheric Absorption as Measured by Riometers

Seasonal variations of ionospheric absorption were studied using riometer (A2) measurements over a wide latitude range. In agreement with the results of earlier studies of A1 radiowave absorption, equinoctial maxima of approximately equal amplitude are observed in the auroral zone and near the equator. However, at intermediate latitudes riometer absorption maximizes during the fall season, whereas the A1 data show a semi-annual variation with maxima occurring in summer and winter. The autumn anomaly in riometer absorption is observed at much higher geographic latitude in the Southern Hemisphere, but at comparable geomagnetic latitudes in both hemispheres. The winter anomaly was seen only in absorption values calculated at constant solar zenith angle.

Ranta, H.↗

Mars: Long Term Changes in the State and Distribution of H2O

A model for H2O distribution and migration on Mars was formulated which takes into account: (1) thermal variations at all depths in the regolith due to variations in obliquity, eccentricity and the solar constant; (2) variations in atmospheric PH2O caused by corresponding changes in polar surface insolation; and (3) the finite kinetics of H2O migration in both the regolith and atmosphere. Results suggest that regolith H2O transport rates are more strongly influenced by polar-controlled atmospheric PH2O variations than variations in pore gas PH2O brought about by thermal variations at the buried ice interface. The configuration of the ice interface as a function of assumed soil parameter and time is derived. Withdrawal of ice proceeds to various depths at latitudes less than 50 deg and is accompanied by filling of regolith pores at latitudes greater than 50 deg and transfer of H2O to the polar cap. The transfer has a somewhat oscillatory character, but only less than 1g/sq cm is shifted into and out the regolith during each obliquity cycle. It is concluded that this process combined with periodic thermal cycles played a major role in development of the fretted terrain, deflationary features in general, patterned ground, the north polar cap and the layered terrain.

Fanale, F. P.↗

Data on total and spectral solar irradiance - Reply to comments

The letter is a response to Frohlich's (1983) comments on an earlier paper (Mecherikunnel et al., 1983) containing a brief survey of the available data on the solar constant and its spectral distribution. The sources of the initial data used in the above study are mentioned, and comments are made on the accuracy of the measurements. Reasons are given for using NASA/ASTM data in the computations.

Mecherikunnel, A. T.↗

A survey for photometric variability from space

A survey for photometric variability in a wide variety of astronomical objects would produce much new information about their interiors and dynamics. Reasons for such a survey are given, as well as an example of the solar-constant variations that can be used as guide to what may be expected from main-sequence stars. A concept for a satellite dedicated to a survey of photometric variability is proposed.

Hudson, H. S.↗

Simple models of climate and radiation

The validity of several energy balance climate models and the infrared terrestrial radiation rule are reassessed in the context of determining the effect of the adjustable parameters present in phenomenological and semiempirical model on the validity of their predictions. The study includes comparisons between modeled and observed amplitudes of the annual and semiannual surface temperature cycles, phase lag of the annual surface temperature cycle, and amplitude response to a high-frequency solar constant oscillation of 0.8 percent.

North, G. R.↗

Sensitivity of an energy balance climate model with predicted snowfall rates

A snowfall parameterization and a polar-ice-sheet model are developed and applied to the two-level zonally averaged seasonal energy-balance climate model of Held and Suarez (1979), and sensitivity experiments involving changes in insolation are performed both with and without ice sheets. The results are presented in tables and graphs, and the hydrological-cycle response to insolation changes is found to be similar to that predicted by global-circulation models employing prescribed precipitation levels, with a somewhat higher sensitivity in the snow line. The area covered by ice sheets in the ice-sheet models is shown to be greater than that covered by permanent snow in the models without ice sheets, an effect attributed to lower surface temperatures over the ice. It is inferred that an increase in the solar constant can cause increased high-latitude precipitation but not an ice age.

Bowman, K. P.↗

A model for the kinetics of a solar-pumped long path laser experiment

A kinetic model for a solar-simulator pumped iodine laser system is developed and compared to an experiment in which the solar simulator output is dispersed over a large active volume (150 cu cm) with low simulator light intensity (approx. 200 solar constants). A trace foreign gas which quenches the upper level is introduced into the model. Furthermore, a constant representing optical absorption of the stimulated emission is introduced, in addition to a constant representing the scattering at each of the mirrors, via the optical cavity time constant. The non-uniform heating of the gas is treated as well as the pressure change as a function of time within the cavity. With these new phenomena introduced into the kinetic model, a best reasonable fit to the experimental data is found by adjusting the reaction rate coefficients within the range of known uncertainty by numerical methods giving a new bound within this range of uncertainty. The experimental parameters modeled are the lasing time, laser pulse energy, and time to laser threshold.

Stock, L. V.↗

Atmospheric, climatic and environmental research

Research conducted during the past year in the climate and atmospheric modeling programs was focused on the development of appropriate atmospheric and upper ocean models, and preliminary applications of these models. Prinicpal models are a one-dimensional radiative-convection model, a three-dimensional global climate model, and an upper ocean model. Principal application is the study of the impact of CO2, aerosols and the solar constant on climate. Also the performance of the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project cloud detection algorithm was evaluated, concentrating initially on its application to geosynchronous data, with an eventual switch of the developed methodologies to data from polar orbiting satellites. In the process, a number of improvements were made, in particular: an improved technique for tracking small scale day to day variability in clear sky continental temperatures; a number of techniques for the statistical assessment of cloud detection uncertainties due to cloud types which are spatially and temporally invariant; and a method used to detect those cloudy regions which have long term spatial and temporal stability.

Broecker, W. S.↗

Effects of dynamic heat fluxes on model climate sensitivity Meridional sensible and latent heat fluxes

The high- and low-latitude radiative-dynamic (HLRD) climatic model of Wang et al. (1984) was used to study the effect of meridional heat (MH) fluxes on climate changes caused by increases of CO2 abundance and solar constant variations. However, the empirical MH parameterization of the HLRD model was replaced by physically based parameterization, which gives separate meridional sensible and latent heat fluxes and provides a complete representation of the dependence of the flux on the mean temperature field. Both parameterization methods yielded about the same changes in global mean surface temperature and ice line, and both produced only small changes in meridional temperature gradient, although the latter were even smaller with the physically based parameterizations. At any latitude, the hemispheric mean surface temperature, rather than MH fluxes, dominates the surface temperature changes.

Gutowski, W. J., Jr.↗

Characterization and Discrimination of Selected Vegetation Canopies from Field Observations of Bidirectional Reflectances

A full evaluation of the bidirectional reflectance properties of different vegetated surfaces was limited in past studies by instrumental inadequacies. With the development of the PARABOLA, it is now possible to sample reflectances from a large number of view angles in a short period of time, maintaining an almost constant solar zenith angle. PARABOLA data collected over five different canopies in Texas are analyzed. The objective of this investigation was to evaluate the intercanopy and intracanopy differences in bidirectional reflectance patterns. Particular attention was given to the separability of canopy types using different view angles for the red and the near infrared (NIR) spectral bands. Comparisons were repeated for different solar zenith angles. Statistical and other quantitative techniques were used to assess these differences. For the canopies investigated, the greatest reflectances were found in the backscatter direction for both bands. Canopy discrimination was found to vary with both view angle and the spectral reflectance band considered, the forward scatter view angles being most suited to observations in the NIR and backscatter view angles giving better results in the red band. Because of different leaf angle distribution characteristics, discrimination was found to be better at small solar zenith angles in both spectral bands.

Donovan, Sheila↗

First data from the earth radiation budget experiment (ERBE)

The first data obtained from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) are presented. These data include emitted infrared radiation, albedo, and estimated scene types for Nov. 15, 1984, as well as measurements of the 'solar constant'. Images from the GOES on the same day are included for comparison with the ERBE scene identification. On an instantaneous basis, clouds appear colder and more reflective than seems to have been noted before. The experiment data will be applied to several key studies of cloud-radiation-climate interactions.

Barkstrom, B. R.↗