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At least 235 records · Page 13

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Going beyond reliability to robustness and resilience in space systems

The words reliability, robustness, and resilience, are often used interchangeably to describe tough and dependable systems but the distinctions between them suggest how to design more serviceable space systems. Reliability is simply the quality of consistently performing well. A system that dependably meets its design requirements in the specified environments is reliable. The designers may not consider themselves responsible for failures under unanticipated conditions. Robustness is the capability of performing without failure under a wide range of conditions, which can go beyond the expected range to include possible off-nominal conditions. Resilience is the ability to recover from or adapt to damaging events, such as failures, accidents, external disruptions, and repurposing. Such changes are usually unanticipated. They often invalidate the usual operating assumptions and cause system failure. Reliability, robustness, and resilience describe dependable performance under increasingly difficult conditions, first the specified environment, then a wider possible environment, and finally unanticipated damaging events. These three are increasingly desirable and increasingly difficult to achieve. Engineering for resilience would design systems that can ignore or repair failures, survive accidents, and recover from disruptions. Increasing the resilience of space systems, the ability to perform after unanticipated events, would greatly increase space crew safety. Improving reliability and robustness can be done by dealing with known sources of problems, but improving resilience requires implementing a general approach to reducing the impact of unknown future events. Two contrasting approaches are reducing system complexity and adding supervisory control. The need for resilience has been claimed for decades but little has been accomplished. Systems designers assume that they understand requirements, technologies, designs, architectures, integration, testing, operations, and environments. The potential problems of changes, failures, accidents, unknown environments, and unknown unknowns are ignored. Systems designers are typically overconfident and ignore the need for robustness and resilience.

Harry W Jones↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Robust Design Under Uncertainty of Hypersonic Inlets

The objective of this work is to optimize scramjet inlet designs under uncertainty at multiple fidelity levels. Optimizations are performed for both deterministic and stochastic conditions. For stochastic conditions, robust design is used to minimize the variance in system performance in addition to optimizing mean system performance. Uncertainty quantification is performed using non-intrusive polynomial chaos. Comparisons are made between low-fidelity analysis and high-fidelity analysis, as well as deterministic optimization and robust optimization. Results indicate that the general design trend of previous inlet optimization techniques is recovered for the external compression portion of an inlet. For the internal compression portion of an inlet, when viscous effects become more significant and boundary layer separation becomes more likely, the optimal trend departs from previous results. Multifidelity uncertainty quantification methods are found to substantially reduce the computation time of robust design while obtaining results that nearly match those of high-fidelity analysis. Robust optimization is found to decrease the standard deviation of throat Mach number by up to 40% compared to deterministic optimization. Changes in the design variables and total turning that lead to robust scramjet inlets are identified and linked back to fundamental physical principles through the theta-beta-Mach function.

Hypersonic↗

NASA NTRS2022

Robust Controller Synthesis for Vision-based Spacecraft Guidance and Control

This work develops a method for Robust Controller for Vision-based Spacecraft (RCVS) guidance and control, integral to the robust autonomy framework for multi-spacecraft for- mation control and reconfiguration applications. The method is built around the use of a photo-realistic simulator, where a camera is deployed on a tracking spacecraft (ego) in order to observe an uncontrolled spacecraft (target) in a Low Earth Orbit (LEO). In this direction, the proposed approach performs the relative state (attitude and position) estimation of the target spacecraft using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The state estimation error is then modeled and the corresponding error-bounds are obtained around a nominal trajectory of the ego and target spacecraft. Next, this work proposes a linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) based approach to controller synthesis, guaranteed to be robust against both model uncertainties and measurement errors, resulting from vision-based estimation. This controller is comprised of two distinct components, one synthesized based on the nominal trajectory, while the “robust” component corrects for deviations from the nominal trajectory. Finally, a tracking scenario that directly utilize the image data for spacecraft guidance and control, is presented to showcase the performance of the proposed robust autonomy framework.

Rahmani, Amir↗

DOE OSTI2021

Two-stage dynamic deregulation of metabolism improves process robustness & scalability in engineered E. coli.

Here, we report that two-stage dynamic control improves bioprocess robustness as a result of the dynamic deregulation of central metabolism. Dynamic control is implemented during stationary phase using combinations of CRISPR interference and controlled proteolysis to reduce levels of central metabolic enzymes. Reducing the levels of key enzymes alters metabolite pools resulting in deregulation of the metabolic network. Deregulated networks are less sensitive to environmental conditions improving process robustness. Process robustness in turn leads to predictable scalability, minimizing the need for traditional process optimization. We validate process robustness and scalability of strains and bioprocesses synthesizing the important industrial chemicals alanine, citramalate and xylitol. Predictive high throughput approaches that translate to larger scales are critical for metabolic engineering programs to truly take advantage of the rapidly increasing throughput and decreasing costs of synthetic biology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2014

Modeling transmission line constraints in two-stage robust unit commitment problem

Integration of renewable energy sources and demand response poses new challenges to system operators as they increase the uncertainty of the power supply and demand. Recently, robust optimization techniques are applied to the unit commitment problem with uncertainty as an alternative to the stochastic programming approaches. However, it remains challenging to solve the robust unit commitment model with full transmission line constraints. In this paper, we propose novel acceleration techniques for solving two-stage robust unit commitment problem with consideration of full transmission line constraints. We use 1) the cutting-plane algorithm for the master problem, which dynamically includes critical transmission line constraints, and 2) column-generation methods, including the branch-and-price-and-cut algorithm and heuristic approaches, for the subproblems, which add only necessary transmission line dual variables on the fly. Furthermore, computational results for the modified IEEE 118-bus system show that the combination of the cutting-plane algorithm and the heuristic column-generation approach greatly reduces the total solution time of the two-stage robust unit commitment problem.

Heuristic algorithms↗

DOE OSTI2014

A Cutting Surface Algorithm for Semi-Infinite Convex Programming with an Application to Moment Robust Optimization

In this paper, we present and analyze a central cutting surface algorithm for general semi-infinite convex optimization problems and use it to develop a novel algorithm for distributionally robust optimization problems in which the uncertainty set consists of probability distributions with given bounds on their moments. Moments of arbitrary order, as well as nonpolynomial moments, can be included in the formulation. We show that this gives rise to a hierarchy of optimization problems with decreasing levels of risk-aversion, with classic robust optimization at one end of the spectrum and stochastic programming at the other. Although our primary motivation is to solve distributionally robust optimization problems with moment uncertainty, the cutting surface method for general semi-infinite convex programs is also of independent interest. The proposed method is applicable to problems with nondifferentiable semi-infinite constraints indexed by an infinite dimensional index set. Examples comparing the cutting surface algorithm to the central cutting plane algorithm of Kortanek and No demonstrate the potential of our algorithm even in the solution of traditional semi-infinite convex programming problems, whose constraints are differentiable, and are indexed by an index set of low dimension. After the rate of convergence analysis of the cutting surface algorithm, we extend the authors' moment matching scenario generation algorithm to a probabilistic algorithm that finds optimal probability distributions subject to moment constraints. The combination of this distribution optimization method and the central cutting surface algorithm yields a solution to a family of distributionally robust optimization problems that are considerably more general than the ones proposed to date.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Designing robust energy policy packages under deep uncertainty: A multi-metric decision support framework

The complexity of transitioning to sustainable energy systems requires policy frameworks capable of balancing multiple objectives while addressing deep uncertainty. However, existing approaches often lack systematic methods to identify combinations of policy levers that remain effective across a wide range of uncertain futures. This paper presents a novel decision support framework that guides the selection of robust policy packages based on their performance across multiple objectives under uncertainty. Our method leverages a large ensemble of scenarios and applies scenario discovery techniques to identify influential policy levers. Here, we introduce new indicators to assess the robustness of policies by evaluating their ability to mitigate adverse outcomes across metrics. These indicators support an iterative process to build a robust policy package. Finally, we map the technological and energy pathways associated with the robust policy package by leveraging an energy system optimization model. We illustrate the application of this framework to the Spanish energy system, providing insights into how specific combinations of policy levers shape decarbonization pathways under uncertainty.

Decision-support method↗

DOE OSTI2020

Media Robustness and Scalability of Phosphate Regulated Promoters Useful for Two-Stage Autoinduction in E. coli

A key challenge in synthetic biology is the successful utilization of characterized parts, such as promoters, in different biological contexts. We report the evaluation of the media robustness of a small library of E. coli PhoB regulated promoters that enable heterologous protein production in two-stage cultures. Expression levels were measured both in a rich Autoinduction Broth as well as a minimal mineral salts media. Expression was both media and promoter dependent. Of the 16 promoters tested, 4 were identified to have tightly controlled expression, which was also robust to media formulation. Improved promoter robustness led to more predictable scale up and consistent expression in instrumented bioreactors. Furthermore, this subset of PhoB activated promoters, useful for two-stage autoinduction, highlights the impact of the environment on the performance of biological parts and the importance of robustness testing in synthetic biology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2017

Robust optimisation-based microgrid scheduling with islanding constraints

This paper proposes a robust optimization based optimal scheduling model for microgrid operation considering constraints of islanding capability. Our objective is to minimize the total operation cost, including generation cost and spinning reserve cost of local resources as well as purchasing cost of energy from the main grid. In order to ensure the resiliency of a microgrid and improve the reliability of the local electricity supply, the microgrid is required to maintain enough spinning reserve (both up and down) to meet local demand and accommodate local renewable generation when the supply of power from the main grid is interrupted suddenly, i.e., microgrid transitions from grid-connected into islanded mode. Prevailing operational uncertainties in renewable energy resources and load are considered and captured using a robust optimization method. With proper robust level, the solution of the proposed scheduling model ensures successful islanding of the microgrid with minimum load curtailment and guarantees robustness against all possible realizations of the modeled operational uncertainties. Numerical simulations on a microgrid consisting of a wind turbine, a PV panel, a fuel cell, a micro-turbine, a diesel generator and a battery demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheduling model.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Robustness of quasi-symmetry along parametric boundary variation

Quasi-symmetry is a guiding principle to modern stellarator optimization for improved plasma confinement. However, the robustness of optimized configurations, which can be crucial for maintaining performance under diverse engineering constraints and practical limitations, has received relatively little attention. Here, in this work, we present various case studies on this robustness, by investigating variations in 1/ v neoclassical transport when plasma configurations are smoothly altered across distinct optimized targets. These targets, optimized from different families—quasi-axisymmetric, quasi-helical, and quasi-isodynamic—are approximately matched in major radius as part of a flexible stellarator design. Our study shows that an optimized target does not always represent a local minimum in transport and that the robustness of a local minimum when present can vary significantly. Furthermore, there are configurations which belong to no established families but have transport levels as low as those of optimized targets. These results highlight the importance of conducting extended searches with key parametric variations around optimized configurations, to ensure its robustness as well as flexibility if desired.

neoclassical transport↗

DOE OSTI2020

Robust Matrix Completion State Estimation in Distribution Systems

Due to the insufficient measurements in the distribution system state estimation (DSSE), full observability and redundant measurements are difficult to achieve without using the pseudo measurements. The matrix completion state estimation (MCSE) combines the matrix completion and power system model to estimate voltage by exploring the low-rank characteristics of the matrix. This paper proposes a robust matrix completion state estimation (RMCSE) to estimate the voltage in a distribution system under a low-observability condition. Tradition state estimation weighted least squares (WLS) method requires full observability to calculate the states and needs redundant measurements to proceed a bad data detection. The proposed method improves the robustness of the MCSE to bad data by minimizing the rank of the matrix and measurements residual with different weights. It can estimate the system state in a low-observability system and has robust estimates without the bad data detection process in the face of multiple bad data. The method is numerically evaluated on the IEEE 33-node radial distribution system. The estimation performance and robustness of RMCSE are compared with the WLS with the largest normalized residual bad data identification (WLS-LNR), and the MCSE.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Distributionally Robust Variational Quantum Algorithms With Shifted Noise

Given their potential to demonstrate near-term quantum advantage, variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) have been extensively studied. Although numerous techniques have been developed for VQA parameter optimization, it remains a significant challenge. A practical issue is the high sensitivity of quantum noise to environmental changes, and its propensity to shift in real time. This presents a critical problem as an optimized VQA ansatz may not perform effectively under a different noise environment. For the first time, we explore how to optimize VQA parameters to be robust against unknown shifted noise. We model the noise level as a random variable with an unknown probability density function (PDF), and we assume that the PDF may shift within an uncertainty set. This assumption guides us to formulate a distributionally robust optimization problem, with the goal of finding parameters that maintain effectiveness under shifted noise. We utilize a distributionally robust Bayesian optimization solver for our proposed formulation. This provides numerical evidence in both the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) and the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) with hardware-efficient ansatz, indicating that we can identify parameters that perform more robustly under shifted noise. We regard this work as the first step towards improving the reliability of VQAs influenced by real-time noise.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Attribute-Guided Adversarial Training for Robustness to Natural Perturbations

We report while existing work in robust deep learning has focused on small pixel-level norm-based perturbations, this may not account for perturbations encountered in several real world settings. In many such cases although test data might not be available, broad specifications about the types of perturbations (such as an unknown degree of rotation) may be known. We consider a setup where robustness is expected over an unseen test domain that is not i.i.d. but deviates from the training domain. While this deviation may not be exactly known, its broad characterization is specified a priori, in terms of attributes. We propose an adversarial training approach which learns to generate new samples so as to maximize exposure of the classifier to the attributes-space, without having access to the data from the test domain. Our adversarial training solves a min-max optimization problem, with the inner maximization generating adversarial perturbations, and the outer minimization finding model parameters by optimizing the loss on adversarial perturbations generated from the inner maximization. We demonstrate the applicability of our approach on three types of naturally occurring perturbations --- object-related shifts, geometric transformations, and common image corruptions. Our approach enables deep neural networks to be robust against a wide range of naturally occurring perturbations. We demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed approach by showing the robustness gains of deep neural networks trained using our adversarial training on MNIST, CIFAR-10, and a new variant of the CLEVR dataset.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2019

Bison Robustness and Performance Improvements

In last year’s Bison robustness report, the authors demonstrated that improving the Jacobian matrix can drastically increase solution convergence rates. The development of an automatic differentiation (AD) capability in the MOOSE framework has created the possibility of having exact Jacobian matrices for all of our material models. A large focus in this year’s report is the application of AD to MOOSE physics modules, such as the tensor mechanics module, and the application to Bison fuel and cladding material models. A second main focus in this year’s report is the investigation of a set of algorithmic solver changes to improve the robustness and performance of Bison LWR simulations. Beyond providing increased solver robustness, the ability to solve strongly coupled multiphysics problems, and solving large deformation problems with ease, these automatically generated perfect Jacobians also drastically reduce development time for new models. In models converted to AD, Jacobian computation made up the majority of the code base. With this code removed, both readability and maintainability of the MOOSE/Bison code base are improved. The work documented here significantly improved the robustness of the Bison LWR assessment case suite. Through algorithmic changes in solver infrastructure, such as the application of predictors and improvements in timestepping, tangible improvements in performance were observed. These improvements are documented using a new standard set of metrics that are collected in all assessment cases, and a suite of statistical analysis tools developed for this report.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Robust Matrix Completion State Estimation in Distribution Systems: Preprint

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2018

Thermoacoustic range verification in the presence of acoustic heterogeneity and soundspeed errors - Robustness relative to ultrasound image of underlying anatomy

Purpose: To demonstrate robustness of thermooacoustic range verification to acoustic heterogeneity and discrepancies between assumed and true propagation speed, i.e., soundspeed errors. Methods: A beam sweeper was used to deliver 250 ns pulses that deposited 0.26 Gy of 16 MeV protons and 2.3 Gy of 60 MeV helium ions into water and oil targets, respectively. Thermoacoustic signals were detected by a 96-channel ultrasound array with a 1-4 MHz sensitivity band (-6 dB), bandpass filtered and backprojected to create thermoacoustic images in the plane of the ultrasound array. The same soundspeed and transducer array were used to estimate range and generate the ultrasound images onto which Bragg peak locations were overlaid. An air-gap phantom that displaced the Bragg peak by 6.5 mm demonstrated accuracy. Robustness to soundspeed errors was demonstrated in a waterbath as the assumed propagation speed scanner setting was altered by +/- 5%. Tissue-mimicking gelatin and a bone sample were introduced to demonstrate robustness to acoustic heterogeneity relative to ultrasound images of the underlying morphology. Results: Single ion pulse measurements sufficed during the helium run, but signal averaging was required for protons. Moreover, range and entry point into the target were estimated from data collected by transducers placed at least 6 cm distal to the Bragg peak. When ultrasound images depicted the air-target interface where the beam enters, estimates of the entry point agreed with ultrasound images and range estimates agreed with Monte Carlo simulations to within 300 mu m, even when thermoacoustic emissions traveled through a strongly scattering bone sample. Estimated Bragg peak locations were translated 6.5 mm by the air-gap phantom and correctly identified scenarios when the beam stopped inside the bone. Conclusions: Soundspeed errors dilate and acoustic heterogeneities deform ultrasound images. When thermoacoustic receivers are co-located with the ultrasound imaging array, the same transformations shift thermoacoustic range estimates. Hence, thermoacoustic range verification is robust relative to ultrasound images of underlying anatomy. When the treatment target is visible in ultrasound, e.g., prostate, online thermoacoustic range estimates could verify that the treatment spot is inside the target.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2017

Robust control of a family of uncertain nonminimum‐phase systems via continuous‐time and sampled‐data output feedback

Summary The problem of global robust stabilization is studied by both continuous‐time and sampled‐data output feedback for a family of nonminimum‐phase nonlinear systems with uncertainty. The uncertain nonlinear system considered in this paper has an interconnect structure consisting of a driving system and a possibly unstable zero dynamics with uncertainty, ie, the uncertain driven system. Under a linear growth condition on the uncertain zero dynamics and a Lipschitz condition on the driving system, we show that it is possible to globally robustly stabilize the family of uncertain nonminimum‐phase systems by a single continuous‐time or a sampled‐data output feedback controller. The sampled‐data output feedback controller is designed by using the emulated versions of a continuous‐time observer and a state feedback controller, ie, by holding the input/output signals constant over each sampling interval. The design of either continuous‐time or sampled‐data output compensator uses only the information of the nominal system of the uncertain controlled plant. In the case of sampled‐data control, global robust stability of the hybrid closed‐loop system with uncertainty is established by means of a feedback domination method together with the robustness of the nominal closed‐loop system if the sampling time is small enough.

Lin, Wei↗

DOE OSTI2020

Stochasticity and robustness in spiking neural networks

Despite drawing inspiration from biological systems which are inherently noisy and variable, artificial neural networks have been shown to require precise weights to carry out the task which they are trained to accomplish. This creates a challenge when adapting these artificial networks to specialized execution platforms which may encode weights in a manner which restricts their accuracy and/or precision.Reflecting back on the non-idealities which are observed in biological systems, we investigated the effect these properties have on the robustness of spiking neural networks under perturbations to weights. First, we examined techniques extant in conventional neural networks which resemble noisy processes, and postulated they may produce similar beneficial effects in spiking neural networks. Second, we evolved a set of spiking neural networks utilizing biological non-idealities to solve a pole-balancing task, and estimated their robustness. We showed it is higher in networks using noisy neurons, and demonstrated that one of these networks can perform well under the variance expected when a hafnium-oxide based resistive memory is used to encode synaptic weights. Lastly, we trained a series of networks using a surrogate gradient method on the MNIST classification task. We confirmed that these networks demonstrate similar trends in robustness to the evolved networks. We discuss these results and argue that they display empirical evidence supporting the role of noise as a regularizer which can increase network robustness.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗