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At least 235 records · Page 13

Diagnosing Near-Surface Model Errors with Candidate Physics Parameterization Schemes for the Multiphysics Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS) Ensemble during Winter over the Northeastern United States and Southern Great Plains

Abstract During the winter of 2020/21 an ensemble of FV3-LAM forecasts was produced over the contiguous United States for the Winter Weather Experiment using five physics suites. These forecasts are evaluated with the goal of optimizing physics parameterizations within the future operational Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS) in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) realm and for selecting suitable physics suites for a multiphysics RRFS ensemble. The five physics suites have different combinations of land surface models (LSMs), planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterizations, and surface layer schemes, chosen from those used in current and possible future operational systems and likely to be supported in the operational UFS. Full-season evaluation reveals a persistent near-surface cold bias in the U.S. Northeast from one suite and a nighttime warm bias in the southern Great Plains in another suite, while other suites have smaller biases. A representative case is chosen to diagnose the cause for each of these biases using sensitivity simulations with different physics combinations or modified parameters and verified with additional mesonet observations. The cold bias in the Northeast is attributed to aspects of the Noah-MP LSM over snow cover, where Noah-MP simulates lower soil water content, and thus lower thermal conductivity than other LSMs, leading to less upward ground heat flux during nighttime and consequently lower surface temperature. The nighttime warm bias found in the southern Great Plains is attributed to overestimation of vertical mixing in the K -profile-based eddy-diffusivity mass-flux (K-EDMF) PBL scheme and insufficient land–atmospheric coupling from the GFS surface layer scheme over short vegetation. A few key parameters driving these systematic biases are identified.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

Human Readiness Levels Explained

The Human Readiness Level scale complements and supplements the existing technology readiness level scale to support comprehensive and systematic evaluation of human system aspects throughout a system’s life cycle. The objective is to ensure humans can use a fielded technology or system as intended to support mission operations safely and effectively. This article defines the nine human readiness levels in the scale, explains their meaning, and illustrates their application using a helmet-mounted display example.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Assessment of Electric Grid Transmission System Simulator for Human Factors Research

Over the past decades, various technologies have been developed for electric grid operations to support clean energy, meet rising electricity demands, and address infrastructure concerns. However, the human factors aspect is often overlooked during rapid integration. Questions persist about how these technologies impact human performance. Simulators play a critical role in supporting investigation of human factors design concepts and conducting comprehensive usability testing to evaluate human performance and assess human reliability. This paper aims to address human factors research simulator requirements and conduct a comparative study of six different simulators. A detailed evaluation reveals that the evaluated simulators lack the ability to customize user interfaces. Additionally, their user interface designs do not fulfill the basic human factors design principles, potentially leading to increased response variability and reduced statistical power when conducting controlled experimental research. In the future, it is essential to develop scripting tools to integrate customizable user interfaces and simulation models, ensuring meeting research requirements.

Li, Ruixuan↗

Confidentiality-preserving machine learning algorithms for soft-failure detection in optical communication networks

Automated fault management is at the forefront of next-generation optical communication networks. The increase in complexity of modern networks has triggered the need for programmable and software-driven architectures to support the operation of agile and self-managed systems. In these scenarios, the European Telecommunications Standards Institute zero-touch network and service management approach is imperative. The need for machine learning algorithms to process the large volume of telemetry data brings safety concerns as distributed cloud-computing solutions become the preferred approach for deploying reliable communication network automation. This paper’s contribution is twofold. First, we propose a simple yet effective method to guarantee the confidentiality of the telemetry data based on feature scrambling. The method allows the operation of third-party computational services without direct access to the full content of the collected data. Additionally, the effectiveness of four unsupervised machine learning algorithms for soft-failure detection is evaluated when applied to the scrambled telemetry data. The methods are based on factor analysis, principal component analysis, nonlinear principal component analysis, and singular value decomposition. Most dimensionality reduction algorithms have the common property that they can maintain similar levels of fault classification performance while hiding the data structure from unauthorized access. Evaluations of the proposed algorithms demonstrate this capability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A retrospective review of von Neumann’s analysis of hidden variables in quantum mechanics

This article reviews the history of J. von Neumann’s analysis of hidden variables in quantum mechanics and the subsequent analysis by others. In his book The Mathematical Foundations of Quantum Mechanics , published in 1932, von Neumann performed an analysis of the consequences of introducing hidden parameters (hidden variables) into quantum mechanics. He arrived at two principal conclusions: first, hidden variables cannot be incorporated into the existing theory of quantum mechanics without major modifications, and second, if they did exist, the theory would have already failed in situations where it has been successfully applied. This analysis has been taken as an “incorrect proof” against the existence of hidden variables, possibly due to a mistranslation of the German word prufen . von Neumann’s so-called proof isn’t even wrong as such a proof does not exist, but it is an examination of the limitations imposed by internal consistency of the Hilbert space formulation of the theory. One of the earliest attempts to eliminate uncertainty, by D. Bohm, requires a major modification of quantum mechanics (observables are not represented by Hermitian operators), which supports von Neumann’s first principal conclusion. However, testing the Bohm theory requires constructing a physically impossible initial state. As such, the theory has no experimental consequences, so W. Pauli referred to it as an “uncashable check”. As there are no observable consequences, the Bohm theory is possibly a counterexample to von Neumann’s second conclusion that hidden variables in particular would have already led to a failure of the theory.

density matrix↗

AMPP Newsletter - Feb 2020

I‘m proud to introduce this quarter’s AMPP Division newsletter, with a focus on “operational and process improvement.” AMPP is known for excellence in our NNSA and DOE missions, as well as our operations that support those missions, but that does not mean that we can’t be even better. This quarter’s newsletter is devoted to how we are accomplishing the goal of improving not only what we do but how we do it.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Y-12 Groundwater Protection Program Monitoring Well Inspection and Maintenance Plan

This plan describes the systematic approach for: inspecting the physical condition of monitoring wells at Y-12, determining maintenance needs that extend the life of a well, and identifying those wells that no longer meet acceptable monitoring well design or well construction standards and require plugging and abandonment. The inspection and maintenance of groundwater monitoring wells is one of the primary management strategies of the Y-12 Groundwater Protection Program (GWPP) Management Plan, that is, the “proactive stewardship of the extensive monitoring well network at Y-12" (Consolidated Nuclear Security, L.L.C. [CNS], 2018). Effective stewardship, and a program of routine inspections of the physical condition of each monitoring well, ensures that representative water-quality samples and hydrologic data are obtained from the well network and protects the subsurface environment. In accordance with the Y-12 GWPP Monitoring Optimization Plan (MOP) for Groundwater Monitoring Wells at the Y-12 National Security Complex, Oak Ridge, Tennessee (CNS, 2017), the status designation (active or inactive) for each well determines the scope and extent of well inspections and maintenance activities. This plan, in conjunction with the above document, formalizes the GWPP approach to focus available resources on monitoring wells which provide the most useful data, and for that reason the GWPP inspects and performs maintenance on the wells sampled by the GWPP. This plan applies to groundwater monitoring wells installed at Y-12 and the related waste management facilities located within the three hydrogeologic regimes: (1) the Bear Creek Hydrogeologic Regime (Bear Creek Regime), (2) the Upper East Fork Poplar Creek Hydrogeologic Regime (East Fork Regime), and (3) the Chestnut Ridge Hydrogeologic Regime (Chestnut Ridge Regime). The Bear Creek Regime encompasses the section of Bear Creek Valley (BCV) immediately west of Y-12. The East Fork Regime encompasses most of the Y-12 process, operations, and support facilities in BCV west of Scarboro Road. The Chestnut Ridge Regime is directly south of Y-12 and encompasses a section of Chestnut Ridge that is bounded to the west by a surface drainage feature (Dunaway Branch, located immediately west of Industrial Landfill II) and by Scarboro Road to the east. The GWPP maintains an extensive database of geographic and construction details and related information for the monitoring wells in each hydrogeologic regime in the Updated Subsurface Database for Bear Creek Valley, Chestnut Ridge, and Parts of Bethel Valley on the U.S. DOE Oak Ridge Reservation (CNS, 2019). A detailed description of the hydrogeologic framework at Y-12 can be found in the GWPP Management Plan (CNS, 2018).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Forecasting Marine Sediment Properties with Geospatial Machine Learning

Using a combination of geospatial machine learning prediction and sediment thermodynamic/physical modeling, we have developed a novel software workflow to create probabilistic maps of geoacoustic and geomechanical sediment properties of the global seabed. This new technique for producing reliable estimates of seafloor properties can better support Naval operations relying on sonar performance and seabed strength, can constrain models of shallow tomographic structure important for nuclear treaty compliance monitoring/detection, and can provide constraints on the distribution and inventory of shallow methane gas and gas hydrate accumulations on the continental shelves.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Conduct weld campaign (FY-21-1) on irradiated materials provided by the Canadian Nuclear Laboratory (CNL), including baseline post-weld evaluation and testing

A collaborative research on developing advanced welding technologies for irradiated stainless steel 304 materials between CNL and ORNL has been established to support both U.S. and Canadian interests in evaluation of weld repair techniques on irradiated materials to support continuous operation of commercial nuclear power. The work utilizes unique material from the National Research Universal (NRU) reactor and the specialized welding hot cell facility at ORNL. The objective is to explore suitable welding technique and parameters and to determine the helium concentration limitation in terms of irradiated stainless-steel weldability. An additional objective is to develop the knowledge and understanding of cracking mechanisms induced by high concentration of helium in the process of weld repair of the irradiated structural alloys. This report summarizes the experimental welding evaluation on irradiated material from the NRU reactor containing helium concentrations ranging from 12 to 45 atomic parts per million (appm).

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Federated Architecture for Secure and Transactive Distributed Energy Resource Management Solutions (FAST-DERMS)

This document provides system-level specifications for a federated architecture for secure and transactive distributed energy resource management solutions (FAST-DERMS), presents a solution, and describes operational concepts for the proposed solution. FAST-DERMS enables the provision of reliable, resilient, and secure transmission and distribution (T&D) grid services through the scalable aggregation and near-real-time management of utility-scale and small-scale distributed energy resources (DERs). We first present the principles and objectives of FAST-DERMS. Then, after discussing important system concepts, we present the specifications for FAST-DERMS and a solution that employs a distributed and federated control methodology in which the DERs connected to a single point of common coupling with the rest of the system, such as individual substations, are optimized coordinately to provide system-level grid services. FAST-DERMS aims to aggregate and coordinate the operations of DERs to support T&D grid operations. The key optimization and control component of this FAST-DERMS reference implementation is a flexible resource scheduler (FRS) that aggregates the DERs within a substation service area. These FRSs operate at the substation level and perform constrained economic dispatch of DERs, either directly or through a transactive market or aggregator, as shown in Figure ES-1. An FRS Coordinator at the distribution system operator (DSO) level aggregates distribution substations operated by FRSs and interfaces with the transmission system operator (TSO) to provide transmission services. FAST-DERMS also allows for the integration of the FRS Coordinator with an existing distribution utility management system that could be employed by the DSO to enhance distribution grid operations.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Roadmap for Advanced Power System Measurements

Conditions in the electric power grid are changing rapidly. Changes are driven, in particular, by the increased penetration of renewable resources in the generation mix. Part of the solution to dealing with the changing conditions is the better use of measurement systems, taking advantage of the better understanding of measurements that was heralded by digital technology. Another part of the solution is the communication of samples of the directly observable voltages and currents by means of continuous point-on-wave values. The increased bandwidth capability of such a system allows more complicated measurement models to be built at the point of use. Additional measurements and analyses can then be performed. This Roadmap hinges on these two aspects of measuring: improved measurements supported by high-bandwidth (raw data) communications. Following an introduction to the overall subject, the report explores the impact of what can be thought of as the digital revolution in measurement. In essence, that revolution has served to clarify ideas about measurement and is continuing to lead to improved processes. An extensive survey of the relevant literature was performed . Webinars were held to learn from the wider community of practitioners. Based on this information, a number of gaps were identified whose continued existence would hamper the solution of the challenges now facing measurement and communication in the power grid. The underlying value propositions are interoperability (presently not very satisfactory in many measurements); greater (and less challenging) adoption of distributed energy resources; and improved international competitiveness. Underlying all that, of course, is progress toward a more reliable and resilient power system. The identified gaps were addressed in four major thrusts: technology deployment and demonstration, education, instrumentation testing and standards, and analytical methods. For each of the thrusts, multiple goals are defined to guide the implementation. The thrusts were designed to close gaps and unlock high-value use cases. After discussing the literature review, gap analysis, high-value use cases, and research thrusts in chapters 2-5, the report culminates in chapter 6 with a roadmap that links each aspect together to form a unified plan. Developing a research portfolio aligned with this plan will ensure that advanced measurement systems are in place to support reliable operation of the power system as it modernizes.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Collaborative Study on Weldability of Irradiated Stainless Steel 304 Materials Removed from The NRU Reactor

A collaborative research on developing advanced welding technologies for irradiated stainless steel 304 materials between CNL and ORNL has been established to support both U.S. and Canadian interests in evaluation of weld repair techniques on irradiated materials to support continuous operation of commercial nuclear power. The work utilizes unique material from the National Research Universal (NRU) reactor and the specialized welding hot cell facility at ORNL. The objective is to explore suitable welding technique and parameters and to determine the helium concentration limitation in terms of irradiated stainless-steel weldability. An additional objective is to develop the knowledge and understanding of cracking mechanisms induced by high concentration of helium in the process of weld repair of the irradiated structural alloys. This report summarizes the experimental welding evaluation on irradiated material from the NRU reactor containing helium concentrations ranging from 12 to 45 atomic parts per million (appm).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cosmic Signatures of Fundamental Physics (Final Technical Report)

Cosmology is the study of the history of the Universe. Major topics of current cosmology research include the nature of the dark energy which today is causing the Universe to accelerate, and the nature of cosmic inflation which is our best theory of the very early evolution of the Universe. Each of these topics can be explored with modern cosmological data, and rely on our theories of fundamental physics to operate. Research supported by this grant has led to advances in all these areas. We developed specific models of cosmic inflation and explored potential observations signatures. We explored observational constraints on the number of dimensions of space, which in certain modern theories can take in different values, and developed the specific “brane theories” of dark energy. The possibility that novel quantum effects (“quantum entanglement”) during cosmic inflation could lead to interesting observable phenomena was also explored.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Workshop on Establishing and Operating a National Nuclear Security Support Centre Hypothetical Scenario: “Centralia Nuclear Security Support Centre Technical Support Plan”

This plan outlines the systemic and coordinated management of the CNSSC technical support programme. In accordance with the CNSSC Strategy Implementation Plan and Memoranda of Understanding among stakeholders, Centralia Border Guards (CBG) and Centralia Nuclear Energy Agency (CNEA) will lead the effort to develop standardized approach to technical support and will provide technical support to the following CNSSC stakeholders: CBG, CNEA, Centralia National Police (CNP), Centralia Coast Guard (CCG), and CentrAtom/Centralia Nuclear Power Plant (CNPP).

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Citadels Final Report (GMLC 2.2.1: Citadels)

This is the final project report for the Grid Modernization Laboratory Consortium (GMLC) Resilient Distribution System (RDS) Citadels project. The primary goal of this GMLC project was to increase the operational flexibly of power systems by engaging microgrids distributedly, coordinated using consensus algorithms. The primary goal was successfully achieved. The primary goal was divided into three areas: Implement peer-to-peer control between microgrid controllers using the Open Field Message Bus (OpenFMB) approach; Develop and implement consensus algorithms on commercially available hardware that allows a group of microgrids to distributedly implement operational controls; Develop the architectures and controls to enable groups of microgrids to coordinate their operations to support the bulk power system during abnormal events, and end-use loads in the event the bulk power systems fail.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Implementing a Terrestrial Timing Solution: Best Practices

This document is an overview and guide on the concept of precision time and how an alternative terrestrial timing solution to the Global Positioning System (GPS) can be implemented. What follows is a set of recommendations and best practices, derived from research at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), across industry, and within the U.S. government, to implement a system of precision timing synchronization to support resilient operations for the U.S. grid. Precision time is a fundamental necessity for operating the grid today, and it becomes even more important as the grid modernizes with clean energy sources, microgrids, and precision sensors placed throughout the grid system to ensure failureresistant operations. The Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), which includes (GPS), is currently the primary provider of precision timing today. A terrestrial-based system for time delivery and synchronization to augment GPS is outlined below and it would provide secure time, synchronized with Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), in the event of outages or other interruptions associated with time delivery.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Communications Plan for the Radiochemical Processing Laboratory Life Extension Plan

The Radiochemical Processing Laboratory Life Extension Plan (RPL-ELP) is a collection of independent projects that enable the life extensions of the Radiochemical Processing Laboratory to provide continuous, safe, and secure research operations in support of Department of Energy missions. The ELP includes facility infrastructure upgrades, laboratory and equipment upgrades, and increased research capacity through conversion of existing spaces to the current Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) standards. This communications plan is a living document that outlines the goals, target audiences and objectives, key messages, communications opportunities, and tactics for those communications products. This plan will help to make sure communications are coordinated and consistent. Periodically, PNNL will review the communications plan to make sure it addresses current needs of the RPL-ELP.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Sludge Processing Options for early HLW Treatment at Hanford

The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Hanford Site has 177 underground storage tanks that contain wastes from past nuclear fuel reprocessing and waste-management operations. Over 20% of this waste is in the form of an insoluble sludge that will require solids concentration and washing prior to vitrification for long-term disposal. An assessment of potential flowsheet operations to support feed preparation activities prior to high level waste (HLW) vitrification has been conducted to better evaluate pretreatment processing options. Settling studies assessing the baseline approach of a settle-decant method were explored as well as a crossflow filtration system to be used alternatively for concentrating and washing HLW sludge. Significant variations in behavior of settling rates and sludge characteristics give reason to evaluate alternative pretreatment options for the HLW. Non-radioactive sludge containing iron oxide, boehmite, and gibbsite were evaluated via gravity settling and crossflow filtration to determine the behavior of these compounds in various tank waste matrices. Understanding the predictive capabilities of HLW solids settling as well as sludge concentration via crossflow filtration can help provide technical guidance during flowsheet planning.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗