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At least 235 records · Page 13

ZnTiN 2 as an Electron-Selective, Protective Layer on Si Photocathodes

Photoelectrochemical production of fuels requires photoelectrodes that efficiently convert sunlight to electrochemical energy by producing photovoltage and photocurrent and maintain this ability over time under a variety of pH, illumination, and applied bias conditions. Work in the photovoltaic community has demonstrated that interfaces with high charge carrier selectivity provide high photovoltages. This offers a co-design opportunity to create semiconductor photoelectrodes with contact layers that are both carrier-selective and offer protection from degradation in aqueous solutions. In this work, we explored the ternary nitride ZnTiN 2 as an electronselective, protective layer for Si-based photocathodes. We demonstrated that ZnTiN 2 formed a heterojunction with p-type Si that facilitated electron movement toward the ZnTiN 2 surface for light-driven reduction reactions. Across a variety of electrolyte conditions, ZnTiN 2 /Si produced an open circuit voltage of ca. 400 mV vs the solution potential, while bare Si produced 220−480 mV vs the solution potential depending on conditions. ZnTiN 2 was also shown to protect Si over 72 h at open circuit in the dark in 0.1 M KHCO 3 aqueous solution at pH 10.5, with a 2.4% loss in open circuit voltage compared to a 17% loss for unprotected Si. A protective effect was also observed under illumination during methyl viologen reduction at pH 3.5 for 21 h, with a 2.5% loss in open circuit voltage observed for ZnTiN 2 /Si compared to a 25% loss in open circuit voltage for unprotected Si under the same conditions. Elemental characterization revealed the presence of oxides on the surface of ZnTiN 2 that are consistent with the Pourbaix diagram after photoelectrochemical operation; these oxides appeared to support durability without hindering charge carrier extraction to drive electrochemical work. This work highlights the promise of ZnTiN 2 for durable photoelectrochemical applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Neutral leakage, power dissipation and pedestal fueling in open vs closed divertors

The effect of divertor closure on neutral leakage, power dissipation and pedestal fueling is explored using the SOLPS code for different densities including attached and detached divertor conditions for DIII-D open and closed divertors. Here, a metric for divertor closure in terms of the percentage of neutrals escaping the divertor is presented. At the detachment onset the population of neutrals escaping the divertor is 12% for the closed divertor and 35% for the open divertor. This results in a lower contribution of the convective term to the total heat flux and increased power losses in the closed divertor. The comparison between the two geometries reveals that for the same upstream density, the upstream temperature is 23% higher in the closed divertor. The physical mechanisms for detachment at lower upstream density in the closed divertor are also identified with the reduction of the convective term directly resulting in 40% decrease and the increased power losses contributing with a factor of 2. The baffling also lowers the neutral flux refueling the pedestal resulting in further reduction of the core density for achieving detachment. The results introduced here show that the divertor recycling is the primary fueling mechanism in DIII-D. It is shown that fueling occurring in the region between the X-point and the outer midplane is at least four times lower in the closed divertor due the baffling structure which enhances target neutral trapping and consequently reduced upstream leakage. Due to the openness of the inner leg to the common flux and HFS regions both open and closed divertor experience almost identical fueling at the HFS highlighting the need to also consider the inboard divertor for shape optimization.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evolutionary transition to the ectomycorrhizal habit in the genomes of a hyperdiverse lineage of mushroom-forming fungi

The ectomycorrhizal (ECM) symbiosis has independently evolved from diverse types of saprotrophic ancestors. In this study, we seek to identify genomic signatures of the transition to the ECM habit within the hyperdiverse Russulaceae. We present comparative analyses of the genomic architecture and the total and secreted gene repertoires of 18 species across the order Russulales, of which 13 are newly sequenced, including a representative of a saprotrophic member of Russulaceae, Gloeopeniophorella convolvens. The genomes of ECM Russulaceae are characterized by a loss of genes for plant cell wall-degrading enzymes (PCWDEs), an expansion of genome size through increased transposable element (TE) content, a reduction in secondary metabolism clusters, and an association of small secreted proteins (SSPs) with TE ‘nests’, or dense aggregations of TEs. Here, some PCWDEs have been retained or even expanded, mostly in a species-specific manner. The genome of G. convolvens possesses some characteristics of ECM genomes (e.g. loss of some PCWDEs, TE expansion, reduction in secondary metabolism clusters). Functional specialization in ECM decomposition may drive diversification. Accelerated gene evolution predates the evolution of the ECM habit, indicating that changes in genome architecture and gene content may be necessary to prime the evolutionary switch.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 based redox catalysts for chemical looping – Oxidative dehydrogenation of ethane: Effects of Na 2 MoO 4 promoter and degree of reduction on the reaction kinetics

Reduction kinetics and stability of 20 wt% Na 2 MoO 4 -promoted CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 were investigated for its applications in Chemical Looping – Oxidative Dehydrogenation (CL-ODH) of ethane, a potential alternative for ethylene production with higher efficiency and lower emissions. Here, the present work reports a kinetics model and parameters for a Na 2 MoO 4 -promoted, Ti-doped CaMnO 3 (CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 ) redox catalyst under H 2 and C 2 H 4 . A first-order reaction model provides the best fit for the reduction of Na 2 MoO 4 /CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 under H 2 , while the C 2 H 4 reduction is well described by an Avrami–Erofe’ev model. The activation energy for C 2 H 4 oxidation is approximately three times higher than that for H 2 conversion, showing that the activation of C 2 H 4 is significantly more difficult on the surface of the redox catalyst. The reduction rate of Na 2 MoO 4 /CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 under H 2 at 750 °C is more than two orders of magnitude greater than that under C 2 H 4 , while the reduction rate of unpromoted CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 is comparable under H 2 and C 2 H 4 , showing that the addition of Na 2 MoO 4 effectively suppresses C 2 H 4 combustion relative to H 2 oxidation. The kinetics results for Na 2 MoO 4 /CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 confirm its excellent selectivity towards hydrogen combustion, making it a promising candidate under CL-ODH. Additionally, the stability of the CaMn 0.9 Ti 0.1 O 3 @ Na 2 MoO 4 core-shell structure, which was the underlying reason for the excellent selectivity, was examined under both shallow and deep reductions. It was determined that deep reduction of the redox catalyst, e.g. higher than 80% solid conversion, would lead to loss of sodium and hence to decreased selectivity for hydrogen combustion. In contrast, the core-shell structure was well-maintained, exhibiting excellent performance after 50 redox cycles when deep reduction of the redox catalyst was avoided. This study offers a basis for both the CL-ODH reactor design and redox catalyst optimizations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Limited increases in Arctic offshore oil and gas production with climate change and the implications for energy markets

Climate change impacts on sea ice thickness is opening access to offshore Arctic resources. The degree to which these resources are exploited will depend on sea-ice conditions, technology costs, international energy markets, and the regulatory environment. We use an integrated human-Earth system model, GCAM, to explore the effects of spatial–temporal patterns of sea-ice loss under climate change on future Arctic offshore oil and gas extraction, considering interactions with global energy markets and emission reduction scenarios. We find that under SSP5, a “fossil-fueled development” scenario, the effects of sea-ice loss are larger for Arctic offshore oil production than gas. Under SSP5, future extraction of Arctic offshore oil and gas through 2100 adds roughly 0.8–2.6 EJ/year to oil and gas markets but does not have large impacts on global oil and gas markets. Surprisingly, a low-carbon scenario results in greater Arctic offshore oil production to offset the more emissions-intensive unconventional oil production.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Investigation of kinetic inductance and microwave loss in thin-film TaC x N 1−x superconducting resonators

The promise of tantalum for realizing superconducting quantum devices has generated interest in its compound films, particularly nitrides. Among these, cubic-phase tantalum carbonitride (TaC x N 1−x ) offers reduced susceptibility to oxidation and a high critical temperature, yet its microwave properties remain largely unexplored. Here, in this study, we investigate plasma-enhanced atomic layer deposition of cubic-phase TaC x N 1−x thin films for superconducting microwave circuits. Structural and transport measurements reveal nanocrystalline morphology with sub-10 nm grains and superconductivity in the dirty limit. Coplanar waveguide resonators exhibit moderately high kinetic inductance (16.8 pH/sq for 30 nm films) with potential for enhancement through dimensional scaling. The films also support high internal quality factors exceeding 10 5 at 50 mK in the single-photon regime, comparable to granular aluminum. Loss analysis identifies the two-level systems as the dominant limiting mechanism, with potential for further reduction through interface engineering. These results establish atomic layer deposited TaC x N 1−x as a promising material for scalable, low-loss, high-inductance superconducting circuits.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Sparsified time-dependent Fourier neural operators for fusion simulations

This paper presents a sparsified Fourier neural operator for coupled time-dependent partial differential equations (ST-FNO) as an efficient machine learning surrogate for fluid and particle-based fusion codes such as NIMROD (Non-Ideal Magnetohydrodynamics with Rotation - Open Discussion) and GTC (Gyrokinetic Toroidal Code). ST-FNO leverages the structures in the governing equations and utilizes neural operators to represent Green's function-like numerical operators in the corresponding numerical solvers. Once trained, ST-FNO can rapidly and accurately predict dynamics in fusion devices compared with first-principle numerical algorithms. In general, ST-FNO represents an efficient and accurate machine learning surrogate for numerical simulators for multi-variable nonlinear time-dependent partial differential equations, with the proposed architectures and loss functions. The efficacy of ST-FNO has been demonstrated using quiescent H-mode simulation data from NIMROD and kink-mode simulation data from GTC. The ST-FNO H-mode results show orders of magnitude reduction in memory and central processing unit usage in comparison with the numerical solvers in NIMROD when computing fields over a selected poloidal plane. The ST-FNO kink-mode results achieve a factor of 2 reduction in the number of parameters compared to baseline FNO models without accuracy loss.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Austin Sustainable and Holistic Integration of Energy Storage and Solar PV [Austin SHINES]. Final Report, Version 2

The Austin SHINES project and solution is a software management platform, for an electric grid with a high penetration of dispersed photovoltaic (PV) solar generation sites, which maintains the traditional power quality and reliability associated with grid service. This project developed and deployed the platform as a Distributed Energy Resource Management System (DERMS), engaging multiple advanced controls, to evaluate operation and optimization of a fleet of diverse DER assets, installed at several locations among Austin Energy’s customers and distribution system. The project also produced a methodology to create a replicable DERMS template, adaptable to other regions and market structures. Last, Austin SHINES aimed to demonstrate the solution’s methodology would enable the DER grid ecosystem to serve load at a technical cost (System Levelized Cost of Electricity, or System LCOE) of less than the U.S. Department of Energy SHINES program metric of $0.14/kWh, in a defined boundary, while enabling a high penetration of distributed PV. Research was categorized in 6 reports (Final Deliverables = FD) listed below, with titles and descriptions indicating which area of understanding was investigated: FD-1: System Levelized Cost of Electricity (System LCOE) Methodology The creation and use of the System LCOE to Serve Load metric that encompasses the holistic, system-level costs and benefits of all resources, and enables them to be evaluated based on their ability to support an efficient and low-cost integrated grid ecosystem. FD-2: Software Platform Product Description The creation of new DER control methodologies deployable within a utility-grade software platform that enable DER's to maximize their benefit within a grid, that is capable of serving load enabling a high penetration of distributed PV generation. FD-3: Optimal Design Methodology Optimal design methodologies for individual DER installations that enable utilities to determine the optimal combinations and sizing for individual DER sites. FD-4: Austin SHINES Ownership and Operation Models for DER System Performance A comparison of multiple DER aggregation and ownership methodologies including direct utility control, third-party aggregator, and autonomous. FD-5: Economic Modeling & Optimization A comparison of multiple DER technology mixes and configurations within the distribution system, providing insight into an optimal blend of technologies that best enable the distribution system to serve load at the lowest cost at high penetrations of solar. FD-6: Fielded Assets Deployed DER assets within the Austin Energy SHINES circuits. Austin SHINES provided an opening for state-of-the-art technology products to be deployed, providing a rich opportunity for improving how each of the products perform as stand-alone products, and in concert with other complementary products. The Austin SHINES project comprised of two key metrics for System LCOE: SystemLCOE_SHINES<$0.14/kWh Modeled ΔSystemLCOE_SHINES/ΔSystemLCOE_Base≥20% at same solar penetration The System LCOE calculation uses the costs of the utility-owned infrastructure as it exists today, the cost of the DERs that exist in the system today, and the cost of the purchase of energy from ERCOT wholesale markets over the course of the calendar year. All costs are on an annualized basis. The capital and operating costs are derived from the rate case, which produces a yearly cost. The net cost of energy and services imported to the system is integrated over the test year, as is the load served and solar penetration. The first metric was easily achieved by every scenario considered. The goal was set when the Department of Energy’s SHINES Funding Opportunity Announcement was written in 2015 and was a more difficult target at the time. Due mostly to rapidly declining costs for DERs and the significant decrease in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) energy market prices, which results in lower net cost of energy purchases, the System LCOE is well below this target for all scenarios considered. A fleet of DERs can assume different mixtures, each of which serves the load at a different LCOE. The optimal mixture of DERs serves load at the smallest System LCOE. The second metric (hereinafter %delta metric) asks that the holistic DERMS controls reduce the incremental cost above the baseline of going to a high solar penetration future by at least 20% as compared to the case of a DER deployment with no sophisticated controls (autonomous). Many comparison sets were created throughout this project. Physical technology was installed for informing utility engineering and testing several types of operational control schemes, through the DERMS. The types of operational control which were compared for valuation of the System LCOE Metric were: Holistic control = using the full suite of the DERMS platform to decide and optimize how/why the systems operate depending on weather, market, and reliability signal input. Autonomous control = a local mode at the asset site, wherein a schedule operates the asset, with visibility into performance only No control = the baseline for comparing value against the other two types of control The types of ownership control included: Direct Utility control = the utility dispatches a signal to each asset Third-Party Aggregator = a third party aggregates a fleet of assets and the utility dispatches one signal for all Autonomous = a local mode is set for operation at the asset site, wherein a schedule operates the asset, with visibility into performance only The types of control methodologies deployable within a utility-grade software platform included: Utility Peak Load Reduction = Lower transmission cost obligation Day-Ahead Energy Arbitrage = Realize economic value through price differential Real-Time Price Dispatch = Realize economic value from real-time price spikes Voltage support = Reduce losses and increase solar generation Distribution Congestion Management = Increase local grid reliability Demand Charge Reduction = Lower customer bills and realize system benefit The fielded assets deployed for the project were: Utility Scale Kingsbery Energy Storage System: 1.5 MW / 3 MWh Li-Ion battery storage Mueller Energy Storage System: 1.75 MW / 3.2 MWh Li-Ion battery storage, 7 Energy Storage Units (250 kW each) La Loma Community Solar: 2.6 MW Commercial Scale Aggregated storage installations at 3 sites, with existing solar (300+ kW): One 18 kW / 36 kWh Li-Ion battery storage Two 72 kW / 144 kWh Li-Ion battery storage Residential Scale Aggregated storage installations: -Six stationary battery storage systems (10 kWh each) at homes with existing solar -One Electric Vehicle installed as Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) Utility-Controlled Solar via Smart Inverters at 12 homes Autonomously-Controlled Smart Inverters at 6 homes Over the course of the project, Austin SHINES undertook installing more than 3 MW of distributed battery energy storage, smart PV inverters, a DER control platform, and other enabling technologies utilizing customer and utility locations and aggregation models. All of these resources were to be integrated and optimized at the utility level. DER assets and control methodologies were designed to achieve a credible pathway to a System LCOE for energy delivered to load of $0.14//kWh or less by 2020, while maximizing distributed solar generation and maintaining acceptable standards of power quality. The project also established a template for other regions to follow, to maximize the adoption of distributed solar PV in support of an economic and efficient grid. In total, the Austin SHINES project added value to the DER subject area in each layer of integration. From utility, to commercial to residential scales, the sheer hierarchy of communication and coordination was a significant accomplishment in addition to learnings from what these communications revealed was unique to each. Economically, the most effective method demonstrated was the criticality of planning phases. Contingencies and multiple projection scenarios helped guide the project to deploy optimal design as close as feasible, in real world conditions. The project and reports will serve public benefit by outlining specific areas of DER strategy and installation where many stakeholders and needs can be addressed with improved efficiency. Overall, communities and utilities should use the results to guide the increasing options available for powering the grid with DER, renewables, and carbon considerate energy.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Analysis of pressure test results of tube fittings for the potential application in cryo systems for helium leak rate reduction

Due to the nature of Helium, it is notoriously difficult to maintain a closed system without experiencing helium inventory loss through leakage in large tubing and piping runs. There are two standard fitting options readily available for piping and tubing assemblies, welded fittings or Swagelok ® . Welding is the best option for leak rate reduction, but more costly than Swagelok ® . A new style of fitting has come to the attention of BNL C-AD Cryo group, and a pressure test and leak rate analysis were performed to evaluate the viability of incorporating this new style fitting into current engineering design of warm helium tubing runs for the purpose of leak rate reduction.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Through‐Plane Conductive Hydrophobic Electrodes for CO 2 Electrolysis to Ethylene

Copper catalyst gas diffusion electrodes (GDEs) have demonstrated unique electrochemical selectivity converting CO 2 to C 2 -hydrocarbons such as ethylene and ethanol but have been challenged by their hydrophobic chemical stability and internal electrical resistance leading to low energy efficiency. Carbon-supported GDEs have low electrical resistance but lack sufficient stability at industrially relevant current densities. While polymer-supported GDEs have improved hydrophobicity, they also display high in-plane electrical resistance, particularly at industrial scales. Here, in this work, we demonstrate a composite gas diffusion layer that combines hydrophobic porous polymers with an electrically conductive backbone addressing these core gas diffusion electrode (GDE) scaling challenges. We investigate the material properties of standalone porous perfluoropolyether (PFPE) polymers, including porosity and surface morphology, under varying processing conditions and then incorporate these polymers into a porous copper foam. This composite enhances the mechanical rigidity necessary for cell assembly and provides a through-plane electrical conduction path to reduce electrical resistive losses. This enhanced PFPE composite GDE displays efficient CO 2 reduction, achieving 15% ethylene energy efficiency at 100 cm 2 . These findings contribute to the development of advanced catalyst materials and electrode architectures and promote scalable strategies for electrochemical conversion of CO 2 into high-value carbon products.

Chemistry↗

Inhibition of Micro-pitting by Tribofilm-Forming ZrO 2 Nanocrystal Lubricant Additives: A Micro-pitting Rig and Transmission Electron Microscope Study

The drive to reduce fuel consumption in transportation has encouraged the emergence of low viscosity lubricants to reduce viscous losses in the engine, drivetrain, and other components. However, viscosity reduction increases the risk of surface damage, thus motivating the development of new anti-wear (AW) additives. Capped ZrO 2 nanocrystals (NCs) in base oils have been shown to form AW tribofilms within microscale sliding contacts. However, the potential of ZrO 2 NCs to protect surfaces subjected to rolling-sliding contact from macroscale damage, such as micro-pitting, remains unexplored. Here, we explore the ability of ZrO 2 NCs to form protective tribofilms under harsh conditions using a micro-pitting rig (MPR), consisting of a three ring-on-roller configuration. The experiments were conducted in polyalphaolephin (PAO) base oil, with and without 5 nm diameter ZrO 2 NCs, at two levels of slide-to-roll ratio (SRR) (30% and 0%) and at variable test durations up to long durations (119 h). MPR results showed the use of ZrO 2 NCs gives rise to the formation of a tribofilm covering the roller surfaces and decreases the initiation and propagation of micro-pits compared to tests in pure PAO base stock. Transmission electron microscopy (TEM) performed on focused ion beam (FIB) milled cross-sectional samples of the roller surfaces revealed the growth of dense and 50–100 nm thick ZrO 2 -based tribofilms independent of (SRR), indicating the potential for robust micro-pitting fatigue protection. Nevertheless, small cracks localized within the near surface region of the roller tested at the most severe conditions (30% SRR and 119 h) were observed. The initiation of these cracks was directly related to the presence of manganese sulphide (MnS) inclusions in the steel, revealed using TEM combined with energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS). Furthermore, the results highlight the benefits of the protective tribofilms formed by ZrO 2 NCs and suggest approaches for further optimizing their use.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

LuGo: An enhanced quantum phase estimation implementation

Quantum Phase Estimation (QPE) is a cardinal algorithm in quantum computing that plays a crucial role in various applications, including cryptography, molecular simulation, and solving systems of linear equations. However, the standard implementation of QPE faces challenges related to time complexity and circuit depth, which limit its practicality for large-scale computations. We introduce LuGo, a novel framework designed to enhance the performance of QPE by reducing circuit duplication, as well as using parallelization techniques to achieve faster generation of the QPE circuit and gate reduction. We validate the effectiveness of our framework by generating quantum linear solver circuits, which require both QPE and inverse QPE, to solve linear systems of equations. LuGo achieves significant improvements in both computational efficiency and hardware requirements without compromising on accuracy. Compared to a standard QPE implementation, LuGo reduces time consumption to generate a circuit that solves a 2 6 × 2 6 system matrix by a factor of 50.68 and over 31× reduction of quantum gates and circuit depth, with no fidelity loss on an ideal quantum simulator. Furthermore, we demonstrated the versatility and scalability of LuGo enabled HHL algorithm by simulating a canonical Hele-Shaw fluid problem using a quantum simulator. With these advantages, LuGo paves the way for more efficient implementations of QPE, enabling broader applications across several quantum computing domains.

Quantum algorithm↗

Particle resonances in toroidal fusion devices

Resonances of high energy particles in magnetic confinement devices due to electromagnetic instabilities can strongly modify the distribution, leading to a reduction in fusion power and even discharge termination and particle loss to the device walls through avalanche. The existence of a mode particle resonance depends on properties of the equilibrium, particle trajectories, and perturbation mode harmonic content. Resonance location is a function of particle energy and equilibrium field line helicity. Different methods for finding resonance location and energy dependence are developed. The properties of resonances are discussed using examples from magnetic fusion devices. Here, we show that if mode resonances exist at low particle energy, they very likely also exist at high energy, thus modifying high energy beam particles and fusion products. It is possible for a resonance to appear due to mode induced orbit helicity modification when it is forbidden at low mode amplitude.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Particle resonances in stellarators

Resonances of high energy particles in magnetic confinement devices due to electromagnetic instabilities can strongly modify the particle distribution, leading to a reduction in fusion power and even discharge termination and particle loss to the device walls through an avalanche. The existence of a mode particle resonance depends on the properties of the equilibrium and particle parameters, and their number, location, and density can vary with device design. Recently, the advent of more powerful computing capabilities and advanced theoretical understanding has led to the design of non-axisymmetric devices or stellarators, which could prove to be more advantageous than tokamaks. Stellarators have the advantage of being immune to major disruptions because of the very low plasma current. One of the problems shared by both types of devices is the existence of resonances in particle orbits, which can lead to large amplitude high frequency instabilities and subsequent induced particle loss. We examine the number of resonances, their location, and dependence on particle energy for some stellarator designs.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Detectability of subsolar mass neutron stars through a template bank search

Here, we study the detectability of gravitational-wave signals from subsolar-mass binary neutron star systems by the current generation of ground-based gravitational-wave detectors. We find that finite size effects from large tidal deformabilities of the neutron stars and lower merger frequencies can significantly impact the sensitivity of the detectors to these sources. By simulating a matched-filter based search using injected binary neutron star signals with tidal deformabilities derived from physically motivated equations of state, we calculate the reduction in sensitivity of the detectors. We conclude that the loss in sensitive volume can be as high as 78.4% for an equal mass binary system of chirp mass 0.17M ⊙ , in a search conducted using binary black hole template banks. We use this loss in sensitive volume, in combination with the results from the search for subsolar-mass binaries conducted on data collected by the LIGO-Virgo observatories during their first three observing runs, to obtain a conservative upper limit on the merger rate of subsolar-mass binary neutron stars. Since the discovery of a low-mass neutron star would provide new insight into formation mechanisms of neutron stars and further constrain the equation of state of dense nuclear matter, our result merits a dedicated search for subsolar-mass binary neutron star signals.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Modified Network Alteration Model to Predict Quasi-Static Behavior of the Cross-Linked Polymers During Hydrolytic Aging

Abstract The network alteration theory is utilized to capture the effects of hydrolytic aging on the mechanical integrity of the polymer matrix. Hydrolytic degradation generally considered as a result of two simultaneous chemical phenomena; (i) reduction of the cross-links, and (ii) active chain loss. Assuming the alteration of the chain density is identical to the change of the number average molecular weight along the aging trajectory, the strain energy of polymer matrix can be rewritten as a function of deformation, deformation history, storage time, and aging temperature. The proposed model includes only five physically inspired material parameters. Thus, while it is computationally efficient, it shows good agreement with own experimental data, which performed on various range of accelerated aging temperatures and times. With respect to its computational efficiency, simplicity, accuracy, and interpret-ability, the model is a good choice for advanced implementations in FE programs.

Bahrololoumi, Amir↗

A Micro-Mechanical Constitutive Model to Predict Hygrothermal Aging of Cross-Linked Polymers

Abstract A multi-physics material model is presented to describe the effects of temperature, oxygen, and humidity on the constitutive response of cross-linked polymers. The effect of hygrothermal damage on the mechanical integrity of the polymer matrix can be considered as the result of damage accumulation of two independent aging mechanism namely, i) thermo-oxidative, and ii) hydrolytic aging. In order to capture the mutual effects of thermo-oxidative and hydrolytic aging, an assumption has been made that each of the aging phenomenon can be superposed to each other. In fact, each of them works independently and as a result, they can compete with each other. Utilizing the theory of network decomposition, all phenomena and their correlation were modeled and thus, the strain energy function of the polymer matrix is written with respect to four independent mechanisms, i) the shrinking original matrix that has neither been attacked by water nor oxygen, ii) conversion of the first network to two new network due to the reduction and formation of cross-links, and iii) energy loss from network degradation due to attack of the water molecules to polymer active agents. Moreover, the proposed model is micro-mechanically based and is mainly relevant on thin samples due to our underlying assumption of homogeneous diffusion of oxygen and water throughout the matrix. The model has been validated against extensive data-sets obtained from experiments we specifically designed for concept validation.

Bahrololoumi, Amir↗

Uncertainty-Guided Prediction Horizon of Phase-Resolved Ocean Wave Forecasting Under Data Sparsity: Experimental and Numerical Evaluation

Accurate short-term wave forecasting is critical for the safe and efficient operation of marine structures that rely on real-time, phase-resolved ocean wave information for control and monitoring purposes (e.g., digital twins). These systems often depend on environmental sensors (e.g., waverider buoys, wave-sensing LIDAR). Challenges arise when upstream sensor data are missing, sparse, or phase-shifted due to drift. This study investigates the performance of two machine learning models, time-series dense encoder (TiDE) and long short-term memory (LSTM), for forecasting phase-resolved ocean surface elevations under varying degrees of data degradation. We introduce the τ-trimming algorithm, which adapts the prediction horizon based on uncertainty thresholds derived from historical forecasts. Numerical wave tank (NWT) and wave basin experiments are used to benchmark model performance under short- and long-term data masking, spatially coarse sensor grids, and upstream phase shifts. Results show under a 50% probability of upstream data loss, the τ-trimmed TiDE model achieves a 46% reduction in error at the most upstream target, compared to 22% for LSTM. Furthermore, phase misalignment in upstream data introduces a near-linear increase in forecast error. Under moderate model settings, a ±3 s misalignment increases the mean absolute error by approximately 0.5 m, while the same error is accumulated at ±4 s using the more conservative approach. These findings inform the design of resilient, uncertainty-aware wave forecasting systems suited for realistic offshore sensing environments.

42 ENGINEERING↗