Results for “generalized predictive control” — Page 13

NASA NTRS1992

Creep fatigue life prediction for engine hot section materials (isotropic)

A series of high temperature strain controlled fatigue tests have been completed to study the effects of thermomechanical fatigue, multiaxial loading, reactive environments, and imposed mean stresses. The baseline alloy used in these tests was cast B1900+Hf (with and without coatings); a small number of tests of wrought INCO 718 are also included. A strong path dependence was demonstrated during the thermomechanical fatigue testing, using in-phase, out-phase, and non-proportional (elliptical and 'dogleg') strain-temperature cycles. The multiaxial tests also demonstrated cycle path to be a significant variable, using both proportional and non-proportional tension-torsion loading. Environmental screening tests were conducted in moderate pressure oxygen and purified argon; the oxygen reduced the specimen lives by two, while the argon testing produced ambiguous data. Both NiCoCrAlY overlay and diffusion aluminide coatings were evaluated under isothermal and TMF conditions; in general, the lives of the coated specimens were higher that those of uncoated specimens. Controlled mean stress TMF tests showed that small mean stress changes could change initiation lives by orders of magnitude; these results are not conservatively predicted using traditional linear damage summation rules. Microstructures were evaluated using optical, SEM and TEM methods.

Nelson, R. S.↗

DOE OSTI2020

High-Frequency, Multiclass Nonintrusive Load Monitoring for Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings

Smart buildings with net-load metering and control capabilities can provide valuable flexibility to grid operators. This article develops a novel approach for high-frequency, multiclass nonintrusive load monitoring (NILM) that enables effective net-load monitoring capabilities with minimal additional equipment and cost. Relative to existing NILM work, the proposed solution operates at a faster timescale, providing accurate multiclass state predictions for each 60-Hz ac cycle without relying on event-detection techniques. The approach is validated using a test bed with residential appliances and shown to have high accuracy, good generalization properties, and sufficient response time to support building grid-interactive control at fast timescales relevant to the provision of grid frequency support services.

27 ARPA - Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy↗

DOE OSTI2020

High-Frequency, Multiclass Nonintrusive Load Monitoring for Grid-Interactive Residential Buildings

Smart buildings with net-load metering and control capabilities can provide valuable flexibility to grid operators. This article develops a novel approach for high-frequency, multiclass nonintrusive load monitoring (NILM) that enables effective net-load monitoring capabilities with minimal additional equipment and cost. Relative to existing NILM work, the proposed solution operates at a faster timescale, providing accurate multiclass state predictions for each 60-Hz ac cycle without relying on event-detection techniques. The approach is validated using a test bed with residential appliances and shown to have high accuracy, good generalization properties, and sufficient response time to support building grid-interactive control at fast timescales relevant to the provision of grid frequency support services.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

NASA NTRS1975

The next forty years in aviation

A prediction of the status of various types of aviation activities which may be expected in twenty years is presented. The basic assumptions are that the population of the nation will continue to grow at more than 7 percent and that the need for air transportation of passengers and cargo will increase accordingly. Various predictions are also made for the developments in vertical takeoff aircraft, short haul airline operations, general aviation, and military aircraft. Areas of improvement are indicated for air navigation, air traffic control, night vision, quiet aircraft, and the use of hydrogen as a fuel.

Hawkins, W. M.↗

NASA NTRS1994

USAF single-event sonic boom prediction model: PCBoom3

The Air Force has developed PCBoom3, a general-purpose, single-event sonic boom prediction model. The model operates on an IBM PC or compatible, under DOS or Windows. It is accessed via an integrated environment which controls building of input cases, running boom calculations, displaying contours and signatures, and managing all associated data. The primary boom calculation is via a variation of FOBOOM, the focus-boom extension of Thomas's program. Aircraft input is either via a user-provided F-function, or simple N-wave F-functions tabulated for about 20 current aircraft. A fast boom calculation, based on Plotkin's SBORT algorithms, is included for simple N-wave F-functions in a windless atmosphere and flight altitudes up to 60,000 feet. After a run is complete, the user can access an index identifying significant events (focal zones, beginning of footprint, etc.), then plot boom amplitude contours and signatures or spectra at any point in the footprint. The primary uses of this program are expected to be operational planning and boom incident investigation. However, because of the commonality between FOBOOM and the MDBOOM program currently being used for low boom configuration design, this program is of interest to the HSCT community, especially as supersonic route planning activity increases. The Air Force recently conducted a flight test program to evaluate the focal zone capabilities of PCBoom3. Initial results of that program validate the prediction of focal zone geometry, amplitudes, and waveforms.

Plotkin, Kenneth J.↗

DOE OSTI2023

Test of Causal Nonlinear Quantum Mechanics by Ramsey Interferometry with a Trapped Ion

Quantum mechanics requires the time evolution of the wave function to be linear. While this feature has been associated with the preservation of causality, a consistent causal nonlinear theory was recently developed. Interestingly, this theory is unavoidably sensitive to the full physical spread of the wave function, rendering existing experimental tests for nonlinearities inapplicable. Here, in this work, using well-controlled motional superpositions of a trapped ion, we set a stringent limit of 5.4×10 –12 on the magnitude of the unitless scaling factor $\tilde{ε}_γ$ for the predicted causal nonlinear perturbation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Assessing time-dependent temperature profile predictions using reduced transport models for high performing NSTX plasmas

Time-dependent, predictive simulations were performed with the 1.5D tokamak integrated modeling code TRANSP on a large set of well-analyzed, high performing discharges from the National Spherical Torus Experiment (NSTX) in order to evaluate how well modern reduced transport models can reproduce experimentally observed temperature profiles in spherical tokamaks. Overall, it is found that simulations using the Multi-Mode Model (MMM) more consistently agree with the NSTX observations than those using the Trapped Gyro-Landau Fluid (TGLF) model, despite TGLF requiring orders of magnitude greater computational cost. When considering all examined discharges, MMM has median overpredictions of electron temperature (T e ) and ion temperature (T i ) profiles of 28% and 27%, respectively, relative to the experiment. TGLF overpredicts T e by 46%, with much larger variance than MMM, and underpredicts T i by 25%. As the ratio of kinetic to magnetic field pressure (β) is increased across NSTX discharges, TGLF predicts lower T e and significant flattening of the T i profile, conflicting with NSTX observations. When using an electrostatic version of TGLF, both T e and T i are substantially overpredicted, underscoring the importance of electromagnetic turbulence in the high β spherical tokamak regime. Additionally, calculations with neural net surrogate models for TGLF were performed outside of TRANSP with a time slice flux matching transport solver, finding better agreement with experiment than the TRANSP simulations, highlighting the impact of different transport solvers and simulation techniques. Furthermore, the reasonable agreement with experiment of temperature profiles predicted by MMM motivates a more detailed examination of the sensitivities of the TRANSP simulations with MMM to different NSTX plasma regimes in a companion paper (Lestz et al Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 67 105030), in preparation for self-consistent, time-dependent predictive modeling of NSTX-U scenarios.

Lestz, J. B. [General Atomics, San Diego, CA (Unit↗

DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning modeling and model predictive control of a closed-circuit reverse osmosis system

Closed-circuit reverse osmosis (CCRO) offers a flexible and energy-efficient alternative to conventional reverse osmosis by operating in a semi-batch mode that recycles brine, enabling higher recovery rates and reduced specific energy consumption (SEC). However, developing accurate, system-level dynamic models for CCRO remains challenging due to its nonlinear, multi-phase operation and sensitivity to variable feed water conditions. Traditional modeling approaches, such as NARMAX (nonlinear autoregressive moving average with exogenous inputs), often struggle to generalize across varying inlet feed concentrations, necessitating frequent parameter re-estimation and limiting their utility for real-time control applications. To address these limitations, we developed a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model trained on an extensive experimental data set from a CCRO pilot plant. The model accepts three inputs, feed flow rate, recirculation flow rate, and initial feed conductivity, and predicts three key outputs: reject conductivity, feed pump power draw, and recirculation pump power draw. We validated the LSTM model against experimental data, demonstrating its ability to distinguish between different feed conductivities and adapt to variable flow rates. Subsequently, we incorporated the LSTM model within a nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) scheme and conducted closed-loop simulations to optimize the integrated SEC (iSEC). In conclusion, the results project up to a 6% reduction in iSEC by using MPC to optimize performance over the entire experiment duration, without requiring any random excitation for data collection or parameter re-estimation.

Desalination↗

NASA NTRS2017

Stall Recovery Guidance Using Fast Model Predictive Control

Based on a detailed analysis of recent loss-of-control events, the Aircraft State Awareness Joint Safety Analysis Team has identified the need to develop algorithms and display strategies to provide control guidance for recovery from approach-to-stall or stall. In order to be effective, such guidance should enhance the pilots ability to execute the Federal Aviation Administrations recommended stall recovery procedure. This paper explores the use of a fast model predictive control algorithm that determines near optimal recovery guidance, which quantifies the aircraft configuration and situation dependent recovery information required to maximize the effectiveness of the recovery. This information includes the magnitude of the initial pitch down maneuver, the specific amount of airspeed and thrust needed before pulling out of the recovery dive, as well as the maximum pitch-up rate that can be sustained without causing a secondary stall. The algorithm was integrated and tested with an in-house desktop simulator that implements the General Transport Aircraft model and the associated stall aircraft dynamics. Preliminary results are presented to demonstrate the use of the proposed approach as a recovery aid for pilots.

predictive control↗

DOE OSTI2024

EFIT-Prime: Probabilistic and physics-constrained reduced-order neural network model for equilibrium reconstruction in DIII-D

We introduce EFIT-Prime, a novel machine learning surrogate model for EFIT (Equilibrium FIT) that integrates probabilistic and physics-informed methodologies to overcome typical limitations associated with deterministic and ad hoc neural network architectures. EFIT-Prime utilizes a neural architecture search-based deep ensemble for robust uncertainty quantification, providing scalable and efficient neural architectures that comprehensively quantify both data and model uncertainties. Physically informed by the Grad–Shafranov equation, EFIT-Prime applies a constraint on the current density J tor and a smoothness constraint on the first derivative of the poloidal flux, ensuring physically plausible solutions. Furthermore, the spatial location of the diagnostics is explicitly incorporated in the inputs to account for their spatial correlation. Extensive evaluations demonstrate EFIT-Prime's accuracy and robustness across diverse scenarios, most notably showing good generalization on negative-triangularity discharges that were excluded from training. Timing studies indicate an ensemble inference time of 15 ms for predicting a new equilibrium, offering the possibility of plasma control in real-time, if the model is optimized for speed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

An Open-Source Frequency-Domain Model for Floating Wind Turbine Design Optimization

A new frequency-domain dynamics model has been developed that uses open-source components to efficiently represent a complete floating wind turbine system. The model, called RAFT (Response Amplitudes of Floating Turbines), incorporates quasi-static mooring reactions, strip-theory and potential-flow hydrodynamics, blade-element-momentum aerodynamics, and linear turbine control. The formulation is compatible with a wide variety of support structure configurations and no manual or time-domain preprocessing steps are required, making RAFT very practical in design and optimization workflows. The model is applied to three reference floating wind turbine designs and its predictions are compared with results from time-domain OpenFAST simulations. There is good agreement in mean offsets as well the statistics and spectra of the dynamic response, verifying RAFT’s general suitability for floating wind analysis. Follow-on work will include verification of potential-flow and turbine-control features and application to optimization problems.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

MHD, disruptions and control physics: Chapter 4 of the special issue: on the path to tokamak burning plasma operation

In this chapter, we review the progress in MHD stability, disruptions and control in magnetic fusion research that has occurred over the past (more than) one and a half decades since the publication by Hender et al in 2007 on the same topic as part of the update of ITER Physics Basis. During this period, remarkable progress has been achieved in the understanding of the basic physics and overall control of MHD instabilities through a wide spectrum of dedicated experiments, theory and modeling. The sawtooth activities are probably today one of the best understood of MHD events and very robust control schemes have been developed for reliable operation of tokamaks through core heating. Similarly, significant improvements have been achieved in understanding and control of neoclassical tearing modes, resistive wall modes or locked modes and their control through ECCD or error field control. The field of disruption prediction through application of artificial intelligence, machine learning or deep learning methods, which had already started at the time of the 2007 review, has progressed significantly due to general progress in these fields and application of newer, more sophisticated algorithms. However, although remarkable progress has been achieved in the field of Disruptions, their understanding, prediction, possible avoidance and mitigation still remain probably the most active fields of R&D globally in this field. This is especially because reactor grade machines like ITER and DEMO will be much less tolerant in respect of disruptions and runaway currents, and their occurrences must be either avoided altogether or minimized to an acceptable value without causing any significant hindrance to robust machine operations. This review is intended to present a broad spectrum of the R&D that has occurred in this field in support of ITER, which will also be of immense significance for all future machines, especially reactors like DEMO.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Machine-learning based prediction of injection rate and solenoid voltage characteristics in GDI injectors

We report that current state-of-the-art gasoline direct-injection (GDI) engines use multiple injections as one of the key technologies to improve exhaust emissions and fuel efficiency. For this technology to be successful, secured adequate control of fuel quantity for each injection is mandatory. However, nonlinearity and variations in the injection quantity can deteriorate the accuracy of fuel control, especially with small fuel injections. Therefore, it is necessary to understand the complex injection behavior and to develop a predictive model to be utilized in the development process. This study presents a methodology for rate of injection (ROI) and solenoid voltage modeling using artificial neural networks (ANNs) constructed from a set of Zeuch-style hydraulic experimental measurements conducted over a wide range of conditions. A quantitative comparison between the ANN model and the experimental data shows that the model is capable of predicting not only general features of the ROI trend, but also transient and non-linear behaviors at particular conditions. In addition, the end of injection (EOI) could be detected precisely with a virtually generated solenoid voltage signal and the signal processing method, which applies to an actual engine control unit. A correlation between the detected EOI timings calculated from the modeled signal and the measurement results showed a high coefficient of determination.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NASA NTRS2012

Flow Control Under Low-Pressure Turbine Conditions Using Pulsed Jets

This publication is the final report of research performed under an NRA/Cooperative Interagency Agreement, and includes a supplemental CD-ROM with detailed data. It is complemented by NASA/CR-2012-217416 and NASA/CR-2012-217417 which include a Ph.D. Dissertation and an M.S. thesis respectively, performed under this contract. In this study the effects of unsteady wakes and flow control using vortex generator jets (VGJs) were studied experimentally and computationally on the flow over the L1A low pressure turbine (LPT) airfoil. The experimental facility was a six passage linear cascade in a low speed wind tunnel at the U.S. Naval Academy. In parallel, computational work using the commercial code FLUENT (ANSYS, Inc.) was performed at Cleveland State University, using Unsteady Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (URANS) and Large Eddy Simulations (LES) methods. In the first phase of the work, the baseline flow was documented under steady inflow conditions without flow control. URANS calculations were done using a variety of turbulence models. In the second phase of the work, flow control was added using steady and pulsed vortex generator jets. The VGJs successfully suppressed separation and reduced aerodynamic losses. Pulsed operation was more effective and mass flow requirements are very low. Numerical simulations of the VGJs cases showed that URANS failed to capture the effect of the jets. LES results were generally better. In the third phase, effects of unsteady wakes were studied. Computations with URANS and LES captured the wake effect and generally predicted separation and reattachment to match the experiments. Quantitatively the results were mixed. In the final phase of the study, wakes and VGJs were combined and synchronized using various timing schemes. The timing of the jets with respect to the wakes had some effect, but in general once the disturbance frequency was high enough to control separation, the timing was not very important.

Volino, Ralph J.↗

NASA NTRS2012

Flow Control Under Low-Pressure Turbine Conditions Using Pulsed Jets: Experimental Data Archive

This publication is the final report of research performed under an NRA/Cooperative Interagency Agreement, and includes a supplemental CD-ROM with detailed data. It is complemented by NASA/CR-2012-217416 and NASA/CR-2012-217417 which include a Ph.D. Dissertation and an M.S. thesis respectively, performed under this contract. In this study the effects of unsteady wakes and flow control using vortex generator jets (VGJs) were studied experimentally and computationally on the flow over the L1A low pressure turbine (LPT) airfoil. The experimental facility was a six passage linear cascade in a low speed wind tunnel at the U.S. Naval Academy. In parallel, computational work using the commercial code FLUENT (ANSYS, Inc.) was performed at Cleveland State University, using Unsteady Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (URANS) and Large Eddy Simulations (LES) methods. In the first phase of the work, the baseline flow was documented under steady inflow conditions without flow control. URANS calculations were done using a variety of turbulence models. In the second phase of the work, flow control was added using steady and pulsed vortex generator jets. The VGJs successfully suppressed separation and reduced aerodynamic losses. Pulsed operation was more effective and mass flow requirements are very low. Numerical simulations of the VGJs cases showed that URANS failed to capture the effect of the jets. LES results were generally better. In the third phase, effects of unsteady wakes were studied. Computations with URANS and LES captured the wake effect and generally predicted separation and reattachment to match the experiments. Quantitatively the results were mixed. In the final phase of the study, wakes and VGJs were combined and synchronized using various timing schemes. The timing of the jets with respect to the wakes had some effect, but in general once the disturbance frequency was high enough to control separation, the timing was not very important. This is the supplemental CD-ROM

Volino, Ralph J.↗

DOE OSTI2023

Microscopic activated dynamics theory of the shear rheology and stress overshoot in ultradense glass-forming fluids and colloidal suspensions

We formulate a particle and force level, activated dynamics-based statistical mechanical theory for the continuous startup nonlinear shear rheology of ultradense glass-forming hard sphere fluids and colloidal suspensions in the context of the elastically collective nonlinear Langevin equation approach and a generalized Maxwell model constitutive equation. Activated structural relaxation is described as a coupled local-nonlocal event involving caging and longer range collective elasticity which controls the characteristic stress relaxation time. Theoretical predictions for the deformation-induced enhancement of mobility, the onset of relaxation acceleration at remarkably low values of stress, strain, or shear rate, apparent power law thinning of the steady-state structural relaxation time and viscosity, a nonvanishing activation barrier in the shear thinning regime, an apparent Herschel–Buckley form of the shear rate dependence of the steady-state shear stress, exponential growth of different measures of a yield or flow stress with packing fraction, and reduced fragility and dynamic heterogeneity under deformation were previously shown to be in good agreement with experiments. The central new question we address here is the defining feature of the transient response—the stress overshoot. In contrast to the steady-state flow regime, understanding the transient response requires an explicit treatment of the coupled nonequilibrium evolution of structure, elastic modulus, and stress relaxation time. We formulate a new quantitative model for this aspect in a physically motivated and computationally tractable manner. Theoretical predictions for the stress overshoot are shown to be in good agreement with experimental observations in the metastable ultradense regime of hard sphere colloidal suspensions as a function of shear rate and packing fraction, and accounting for deformation-assisted activated motion appears to be crucial for both the transient and steady-state responses.

Mechanics↗

NASA NTRS1973

Assuring reliability program effectiveness.

An attempt is made to provide simple identification and description of techniques that have proved to be most useful either in developing a new product or in improving reliability of an established product. The first reliability task is obtaining and organizing parts failure rate data. Other tasks are parts screening, tabulation of general failure rates, preventive maintenance, prediction of new product reliability, and statistical demonstration of achieved reliability. Five principal tasks for improving reliability involve the physics of failure research, derating of internal stresses, control of external stresses, functional redundancy, and failure effects control. A final task is the training and motivation of reliability specialist engineers.

Ball, L. W.↗

NASA NTRS1974

Stellar tracking attitude reference system

A satellite precision attitude control system was designed, based on the use of STARS as the principal sensing system. The entire system was analyzed and simulated in detail, considering the nonideal properties of the control and sensing components and realistic spacecraft mass properties. Experimental results were used to improve the star tracker noise model. The results of the simulation indicate that STARS performs in general as predicted in a realistic application and should be a strong contender in most precision earth pointing applications.

Klestadt, B.↗