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At least 235 records · Page 13

Financial Analysis of the Smallmouth Bass Flows implemented at the Glen Canyon Dam during 2025

The Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) is a Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) power resource that is a component of the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects (SLCA/IP). The 2016 record of decision (ROD) for the GCD long-term experimental and management plan (LTEMP) final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) specifies criteria for GCD monthly water releases, daily and hourly operating limits, and experimental releases.

Ploussard, Quentin [Argonne National Laboratory (A↗

Augmentation of WRF-Hydro to simulate overland-flow- and streamflow-generated debris flow susceptibility in burn scars

In steep wildfire-burned terrains, intense rainfall can produce large runoff that can trigger highly destructive debris flows. However, the ability to accurately characterize and forecast debris flow susceptibility in burned terrains using physics-based tools remains limited. Here, we augment the Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrological modeling system (WRF-Hydro) to simulate both overland and channelized flows and assess postfire debris flow susceptibility over a regional domain. We perform hindcast simulations using high-resolution weather-radar-derived precipitation and reanalysis data to drive non-burned baseline and burn scar sensitivity experiments. Our simulations focus on January 2021 when an atmospheric river triggered numerous debris flows within a wildfire burn scar in Big Sur – one of which destroyed California's famous Highway 1. Compared to the baseline, our burn scar simulation yields dramatic increases in total and peak discharge and shorter lags between rainfall onset and peak discharge, consistent with streamflow observations at nearby US Geological Survey (USGS) streamflow gage sites. For the 404 catchments located in the simulated burn scar area, median catchment-area-normalized peak discharge increases by ~ 450 % compared to the baseline. Catchments with anomalously high catchment-area-normalized peak discharge correspond well with post-event field-based and remotely sensed debris flow observations. We suggest that our regional postfire debris flow susceptibility analysis demonstrates WRF-Hydro as a compelling new physics-based tool whose utility could be further extended via coupling to sediment erosion and transport models and/or ensemble-based operational weather forecasts. Given the high-fidelity performance of our augmented version of WRF-Hydro, as well as its potential usage in probabilistic hazard forecasts, we argue for its continued development and application in postfire hydrologic and natural hazard assessments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Calculation of Groundwater Pathway Radiological Dose for the Hanford Site Composite Analysis Null-Space Model Carlo Flow Model Set

The purpose of this environmental calculation file (ECF) is to present the results of the exposure route-specific and total radiological dose assessments for the groundwater pathway based on the null space Monte Carlo (NSMC) groundwater concentrations as a part an uncertainty analysis for the updated Hanford Site Composite Analysis (CA). The Plateau-to River (P2R) Groundwater Model (CP-57037, Model Package Report: Plateau to River Groundwater Model Version 8.3) is the CA base case that simulates the fate and transport of radiological contaminants within the saturated zone of the uppermost aquifer beneath the Central Plateau and downgradient to the Columbia River. An NSMC analysis was performed to identify and quantify the potential uncertainties associated with the P2R Model. The result of the NSMC analysis is a set of flow and transport simulations that provide an estimated range of possible outcomes that are used to quantify the uncertainty associated with the simulated base case concentrations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Improving I/O-aware Workflow Scheduling via Data Flow Characterization and trade-off Analysis

The scientific computing paradigm has transitioned from compute-intensive to I/O-intensive and memory-intensive in the past decade, especially when data-driven science has become common practice. Numerous empirical I/O-aware scheduling optimizations have been developed by incorporating I/O capacity and bandwidth as constraints into scheduling. Unfortunately, there is a lack of data flow (I/O) characterization tool and an understanding of trade-offs between concurrency, locality, and I/O bandwidth. To bridge the gap, this work 1) presents a set of descriptors to characterize, organize, and visualize I/O profiles, including flow size, I/O bandwidth, and operation count, which group data flows by I/O types, tasks, and files; 2) proposes an I/O Roofline model-based trade-off analysis to find the optimal trade-off between flow operational intensity, concurrency, and flow performance. The I/O descriptors generate useful insights into complicated I/O behaviors, suggesting distinct concurrency, storage, and scheduling to be used by types, tasks, and files. The proposed trade-off analysis guides scheduling decisions that generate resource assignment with the best flow parallelism. We evaluate our I/O-aware scheduling methodology on a highly I/O-intensive workflow–1000 Genomes. The experimental results demonstrate speedups of up to 2.4× compared to the state-of-the- art methods.

Guo, Luanzheng [BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)]↗

ANALYSIS OF SUITABLE METHODOLOGIES FOR COMPRESSOR MASS FLOW RATE CORRECTION TO OTHER SUPERHEAT LEVELS AND REFRIGERANTS

This paper investigates the impact of suction conditions and refrigerant on scroll compressor mass flow rate by using calorimeter tests from AHRI-11 and AHRI-21 reports, published by AHRI's Low-GWP Alternative Refrigerants Evaluation program. Two Copeland scroll compressors (20 and 51 cm3) have been analyzed including different suction conditions (SH = 11K, SH = 22K, Ti = 18ºC) and several refrigerants (R134a, R32, R410A, R404A, etc.). Previous studies have explored response surfaces for energy consumption and mass flow rate variables. This study aims to expand the analysis by identifying the optimal approach to extrapolate mass flow rate from specific suction conditions to others SH or suction temperature levels and refrigerants. The current compressor characterization standard relies on the 1981 Dabiri correlation to correct compressor mass flow rate with suction conditions. Thus, this study aims to assess the adequacy of this correction and explore alternative correction methods for improved results.

Marchante Avellaneda, Javier↗

Two-Phase Fluid Flow Properties of Rough Fractures With Heterogeneous Wettability: Analysis With Lattice Boltzmann Simulations

Fractures are conduits for fluid flow in low-permeability geological formations. Multiphase flow properties of fractures are important in natural processes and in engineering applications such as the evaluation of the sealing capacity of caprocks and productivity of hydrocarbon-bearing tight rocks. Investigations of flow and transport through fractures typically focus on the effects of fracture geometric and mechanical factors such as aperture, roughness, and compressibility. The wettability of the fracture surfaces and its influence on microscale interfacial phenomena and macroscale effective transport properties are seldom studied. In this study, we investigated the effect of heterogeneous wetting properties on the displacement of water by supercritical CO2 through a series of lattice Boltzmann method simulations. The results show the evolution of the CO2 plume within a fracture is controlled by both the roughness of the aperture field and the wetting distribution. We combined these factors into a capillary pressure map that can be related to the macroscopic flow behavior of the fracture. We observed that heterogeneous wetting distributions promote the residual trapping of water where lower capillary pressures allowed for isolated water pockets in higher capillary pressure zones. Analysis of fracture unsteady relative permeability shows the effect of wetting on permeability evolution and provides support for the viscous-coupling relative permeability model. Finally, analysis of the steady-state relative permeability and saturation demonstrates a strong correlation between permeability and the standard deviation of the capillary pressure field. Thus, characterizing the distribution of wetting properties of fractures is crucial to understanding multiphase fracture flow and transport properties.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Extracting dependencies between network assets using deep learning

A network analysis tool receives network flow information and uses deep learning—machine learning that models high-level abstractions in the network flow information—to identify dependencies between network assets. Based on the identified dependencies, the network analysis tool can discover functional relationships between network assets. For example, a network analysis tool receives network flow information, identifies dependencies between multiple network assets based on evaluation of the network flow information, and outputs results of the identification of the dependencies. When evaluating the network flow information, the network analysis tool can pre-process the network flow information to produce input vectors, use deep learning to extract patterns in the input vectors, and then determine dependencies based on the extracted patterns. The network analysis tool can repeat this process so as to update an assessment of the dependencies between network assets on a near real-time basis.

Carroll, Thomas E.↗

Prediction of PbLi fluid flow and temperature field in a thermal convection loop for qualification of fusion materials

Two modeling tools, a thermohydraulics code and a computational model in COMSOL Multiphysics, have been developed, tested and then applied to the analysis of fluid flow and heat transfer in a thermal convection loop (TCL). Such a device has recently been used to experimentally evaluate corrosion compatibility of APMT (Fe–21Cr–5Al–3Mo) steel with high-temperature molten eutectic lead-lithium (PbLi) alloy at Oak Ridge National Lab, TN, USA. Here, the 1-D thermohydraulics code allows for rapid calculations of the loop parameters as a function of the applied heat flux. The supplemental COMSOL finite-element computations provide detailed 3-D velocity and temperature field data but are much more time consuming. Both modelling tools demonstrate an excellent agreement in the computed circulation velocity as well as maximum and minimum temperatures. The performed TCL analysis focuses on flow development in the “hot” and “cold” legs, formation of Dean vortices in corner regions, blocking effect of the immersed samples, and radiative and convective cooling effects under the experiment-relevant conditions for Prandtl number Pr = 0.015, Grashof numbers Gr ~10 7 , and Reynolds numbers Re ~10 4 .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Are the U.S. Biorefineries Over the Hurdle of 2000 Ton Daily Throughput Yet?

The efficient utilization of lignocellulosic biomass for biofuel and biochemical production is hindered by material handling issues such as clogging and segregation among other challenges. Preprocessing methods such as drying, screening, and milling have improved conversion yield but have not sufficiently enhanced flowability, especially herbaceous biomass. The poor flowability of herbaceous biomass is rooted in some particle attributes that remain less altered by those methods, e.g., irregular particle shape, high roughness, and high compressibility, making it hard to scale up throughput to a key benchmark for a biorefinery – 2000 ton per day. Applying additional preprocessing methods like pelletization and torrefaction to drastically change those particle attributes can improve flow and handling but has not been comprehensively verified through test. The flowability of herbaceous biomass feedstock formats generated by three different preprocessing methods was recently assessed at Idaho National Laboratory’s Biomass Feedstock National User Facility: first, loose particles size reduced from as-received materials; second, pellets produced from an efficient densification process; and third, powders milled from torrefied pellets. Benchmarking tests including static angle of repose, basic flow energy measured in a powder rheometer, and discharge flow in an adjustable hopper, were conducted to evaluate those feedstock formats. Beyond the capacity of existing experimental apparatuses, a digital engineering approach involving flow simulations and AI models were used to identity the material attributes and processing parameters that have dominant influences on flow throughput. Techno-economic analysis focusing on hopper flow as a typical material handling operation was conducted for those feedstock formats. Perspectives will be discussed on whether the 2000-ton daily throughput for a biorefinery is achievable at an acceptable cost by using any of the tested preprocessing methods.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

Financial Analysis of the 2019 Glen Canyon Dam Bug Flow Experiment

This report was prepared by Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) in support of a financial analysis of the Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) flow experiment that was intended to support downstream macroinvertebrate production that are a primary food supply for fishes in the Colorado River. Also known as “bug flow” experiments, these experimental water releases were conducted on the weekends and holidays from the beginnings of May 2019 through the end of August 2019. This analysis was funded by the Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) Office of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). CRSP markets electricity produced by hydroelectric facilities collectively known as the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects including dams equipped for power generation on the Colorado, Green, Gunnison, and Rio Grande Rivers and on Plateau Creek in the states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Staff members in Argonne’s Energy Systems Division prepared this technical memorandum with assistance from WAPA’s CRSP and Energy Marketing and Management Offices (EMMO).

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

On the Cutting of Metals: A Mechanics Viewpoint

The mechanics of large-strain deformation in cutting of metals is discussed, primarily from viewpoint of recent developments in in situ analysis of plastic flow and microstructure characterization. It is shown that a broad range of deformation parameters can be accessed in chip formation—strains of 1–10, strain rates of 10–10 5 /s, and temperatures up to 0.7T m —and controlled. This range is far wider than achievable by any other single-stage, severe plastic deformation (SPD) process. The resulting extreme deformation conditions produce a rich variety of microstructures in the chip. Four principal types of chip formation—continuous, shear-localized, segmented, and mushroom-type—as elucidated first by Nakayama (1974, “The Formation of ‘Saw-Toothed Chip’ in Metal Cutting,” Proceedings of International Conference on Production Engineering, Tokyo, pp. 572–577) are utilized to emphasize the diverse plastic flow phenomena, especially unsteady deformation modes that prevail in cutting. These chip types are intimately connected with the underlying flow, each arising from a distinct mode and triggered by an instability phenomenon. The role of plastic flow instabilities such as shear banding, buckling, and fracture in mediating unsteady flow modes is expounded, along with consequences of the flow modes and chip types for the cutting. Sinuous flow is shown to be the reason why gummy (highly strain-hardening) metals, although relatively soft, are so difficult to cut. Synthesizing the various observations, a hypothesis is put forth that it is the stability of flow modes that determines the mechanics of cutting. Furthermore, this leads to a flow-stability phase diagram that could provide a framework for predicting chip types and process attributes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Benefit Analysis of CO 2 Delivery Options for Offshore Storage or Enhanced Oil Recovery

The analysis presented in this report evaluates the benefits of CO₂ offshore transport via pipeline or ship within the GOM. It takes a top-down framework to estimate the costs. First, this analysis designed a reduced-order model (ROM) based on the cash flows in the FECM/NETL CO₂ Transport Cost Model (also known as CO2_T_COM). The ROM takes capital expenses (CAPEX) and operating expenses (OPEX) to calculate the CO₂ breakeven price based on the cash flows. Second, this analysis developed regression models utilizing published data from other analyses to estimate CAPEX and OPEX. Since the ROM is a simplified cash flow calculation, it is easy to exchange the core regression models to estimate various costs. The ROM and regression models provided a framework that can be easily used by other researchers, decision-makers, operators, and regulators. The objective of this analysis is to assess the CO₂ breakeven cost range for pipeline and ship transport of captured CO₂ given the CO₂ source and storage reservoir located in the GOM.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Role of Subsurface Flow on Evapotranspiration: A Global Sensitivity Analysis

Abstract Water resources are impacted by water‐energy balance fluxes at the land surface, most notably evapotranspiration ( ET ), the largest component of surface energy balance. While integrated hydrologic models show promise in quantifying the nonlinear dynamics at this interface, the model results are plagued by parametric uncertainties. Given the high computational demand of running multiple parameter spaces of these models, little is known about how these uncertainties propagate into land surface processes. In this work, we perform a global sensitivity analysis by computing Sobol and AMAE indices using a surrogate model constructed with a polynomial chaos expansion to assess the impacts of the subsurface physical properties on ET . We do so by modeling a semisynthetic test case. Our results show that the effects of vertical hydraulic conductivity, porosity, and the water retention curve parameter Van Genuchten α mainly control ET . However, we note that while evaporation ( E ) shows behavior similar to the ET with high sensitivity to the parameters controlling the flow in the unsaturated zone, transpiration ( T ) is very sensitive to the saturated zone parameters and groundwater flow, especially during periods without rain. Our results also show that heterogeneities in land cover impact the flow in the saturated zone. Furthermore, our work demonstrates that reduced‐order models can be developed to make integrated models more accessible for rigorous sensitivity analyses and calibration purposes.

Maina, Fadji Zaouna↗

Describing the Mechanism of Instability Suppression Using a Central Pilot Flame With Coupled Experiments and Simulations

Pilot flames are commonly used to extend combustor operability limits and suppress combustion oscillations in low-emissions gas turbines. Combustion oscillations, a coupling between heat release rate oscillations and combustor acoustics, can arise at the operability limits of low-emissions combustors where the flame is more susceptible to perturbations. While the use of pilot flames is common in land-based gas turbine combustors, the mechanism by which they suppress instability is still unclear. In this study, we consider the impact of a central jet pilot on the stability of a swirl-stabilized flame in a variable-length, single-nozzle combustor. Previously, the pilot flame was found to suppress the instability for a range of equivalence ratios and combustor lengths. We hypothesize that combustion oscillation suppression by the pilot occurs because the pilot provides hot gases to the vortex breakdown region of the flow that recirculate and improve the static, and hence dynamic, stability of the main flame. This hypothesis is based on a series of experimental results that show that pilot efficacy is a strong function of pilot equivalence ratio but not pilot flow rate, which would indicate that the temperature of the pilot products as well as the combustion intensity of the pilot flame play more of a role in oscillation stabilization than the length of the pilot flame relative to the main flame. Further, the pilot-flame efficacy increases with pilot-flame equivalence ratio until it matches the main-flame equivalence ratio; at pilot equivalence ratios greater than the main equivalence ratio, the pilot-flame efficacy does not change significantly with pilot equivalence ratio. To understand these results, we use large-eddy simulation (LES) to provide a detailed analysis of the flow in the region of the pilot flame and the transport of radical species in the region between the main flame and pilot flame. Furthermore, the simulation, using a flamelet/progress variable-based chemistry tabulation approach and standard eddy viscosity/diffusivity turbulence closure models, provides detailed information that is inaccessible through experimental measurements.

42 ENGINEERING↗

In situ feature analysis for large-scale multiphase flow simulations

The study of multiphase flow is essential for designing chemical reactors such as fluidized bed reactors (FBR), as a detailed understanding of hydrodynamics is critical for optimizing reactor performance and stability. An FBR allows scientists to conduct different types of chemical reactions involving multiphase materials, especially interaction between gas and solids. During such complex chemical processes, the formation of void regions in the reactor, generally termed as bubbles, is an important phenomenon. The study of these bubbles has a deep implication in predicting the reactor’s overall efficiency. But physical experiments needed to understand bubble dynamics are costly and non-trivial due to the technical difficulties involved and harsh working conditions of the reactors. Therefore, to study such chemical processes and bubble dynamics, a state-of-the-art computational simulation MFIX-Exa is being developed. Despite the proven accuracy of MFIX-Exa in modeling bubbling phenomena, the large-scale output data prohibits the use of traditional post hoc analysis capabilities in both storage and I/O time. Herein, to address these issues and allow the application scientists to explore the bubble dynamics in an efficient and timely manner, we have developed an end-to-end analytics pipeline that enables in situ detection of bubbles, followed by a flexible post hoc visual exploration methodology of bubble dynamics. The proposed method enables interactive analysis of bubbles, along with quantification of several bubble characteristics, enabling experts to understand the bubble interactions in detail. Positive feedback from the experts has indicated the efficacy of the proposed approach for exploring bubble dynamics in very-large-scale multiphase flow simulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Two-phase flow measurements and observations in a cooling panel of the reactor cavity cooling system

The analysis of the flow behavior within a cooling panel of a scaled water-cooled reactor cavity cooling system has been performed supported by high-resolution measurements of the void fraction at the risers’ outlet. The results have shown a stable, symmetric distribution of the flow through the risers during subcooled boiling conditions, characterized by small, slow bubbles with average void fraction lower than 0.3 for all risers. As the temperature increased to saturation, flow distribution appeared strongly asymmetrical and unstable, with peaks of void fraction as high as 0.9. Large, faster bubbles were observed during these peaks, immediately followed by flow of subcooled liquid water. Flow stagnation and inversion has also been observed. The high resolution void fraction results, complemented by the measurements of the coolant flow rate and temperatures, not only have further described the behavior of the system under hypothetical accident conditions, but represent a unique set of data to support the validation of system-level codes, and more advanced computational tools.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Modeling study of divertor particle flow pattern and in–out plasma density asymmetry due to drifts with SOLPS and BOUT++

A study of the effects of drifts on the particle flow pattern and in–out divertor plasma density asymmetry for L-mode and H-mode plasmas is carried out for EAST discharges by the edge plasma transport codes SOLPS and BOUT++. The simulation of L-mode plasmas is done by SOLPS while the simulation of H-mode plasmas is done by BOUT++. The toroidal magnetic field direction for the simulated discharge is artificially reversed in the codes to study the effects of different drift directions on the divertor particle flow pattern and the in–out asymmetry of divertor plasma density. The divertor particle flows induced by diamagnetic and E × B drifts are found to have similar directions in the divertor region for the same discharge. The directions of the flows induced by drifts would be reversed with the reverse of toroidal magnetic field direction. The diamagnetic drift seems to have no effect on the in–out asymmetry of divertor plasma density due to its divergence-free nature. However, the E × B drift could result in a pronounced asymmetry of plasma density between the inner and outer divertor targets. The density in–out asymmetry caused by E × B drift is reversed with the reverse of E × B drift flow direction. Detailed analysis shows that the radial component of the E × B drift flow is the main cause of density asymmetry. The results from the simulation of H-mode plasmas with BOUT++ are similar to those of the L-mode plasmas with SOLPS except that the drift effects seem to be slightly larger in the H-mode plasmas compared to the L-mode plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗