Results for “failure prediction” — Page 13

DOE OSTI2023

Health Assessment and Performance Monitoring of Large Machine Diagnostics

Diagnostic machines are a crucial component of the Stockpile Stewardship Program for data collection, toward the ultimate goal of improving our understanding of nuclear physics. These systems consist of interactions between many complex components, and require regular maintenance for acceptable performance. The Cygnus X-ray diagnostic located at the Nevada National Security Site's U1a underground facility which provides radiographic data for subcritical experiments, is a prime example of these systems. Component degradation and failures within Cygnus can result in system downtime and data loss, affecting schedules and increasing experiment costs. To evade such failures, years worth of data on machine performance has been collected on the two Cygnus axes in the form of voltage and current measurements of Cygnus' various components. Using these as input, we have developed machine learning techniques for assessing the health of Cygnus, with the ultimate goal of predicting declining performance and machine failure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

A macro-micro approach for identifying crystal plasticity parameters for necking and failure in nickel-based alloy haynes 282

Here, this work develops a two-scales macro-micro approach to address the challenge in calibrating crystal plasticity microstructural models when samples undergo necking prior to fracture. The crystal plasticity models are crucial for predicting the materials’ plastic deformation and failure at the microstructure level, identifying the materials’ intrinsic properties as well as investigating the microstructure-properties relationships. However, after necking occurs, the experimentally measured stress-strain curves fail to reflect the materials ‘true’ stress-strain behavior and cannot be directly fitted into crystal plasticity models. The proposed macro-micro approach employs a top-down strategy to address this challenge, which has been studied with experimental tests on precipitation-strengthened Ni-based superalloy Haynes® 282®. In this approach, a macro rate-dependent anisotropic plasticity model with Voce-type hardening and Rice-Tracey damage law is first utilized to model the deformation and failure of the tensile bar, and calibrated by matching the stress-strain curves, necking strain, and reduction of area. Especially, to match the testing results under different applied strain rates, the rate-sensitivity parameter m and saturation stress in the elasticity model are modified to incorporate dependence on the local strain rate. Then, the ‘true’ stress-strain behaviors are extracted from the necking zone of the macro-model, which are used to calibrate a micro-model with explicit microstructures and governed by an extended crystal plasticity law. The consistency between the micro-model and macro-model are enforced during calibration. The calibration outcomes from the crystal plasticity model elucidate the materials intrinsic properties for slip, hardening, and failure, which is vital for further investigations into the microstructure-properties relationship and for accurate prediction of the material behavior under various test and service conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic Temporal Graph Sequence Data for Resilience-Oriented Distribution Network Reconfiguration

This dataset comprises temporal dynamic graph sequences generated from power grid simulations focused on grid reconfiguration to enhance resilience. The simulations model failure propagation under varying conditions, with nodes assigned distinct failure probabilities. For each time step, the dataset captures the evolution of node states (functional or failed) and features critical to grid operations, such as pv_output, load_profile, load_dispatch, dg_output, loss, and voltage. Node types include sources, normal loads, and nodes with specific equipment like PVs, micro turbines, or shunt capacitors. The dataset is structured to support the training of dynamic graph neural networks, facilitating research on node feature prediction and edge dynamics under failure scenarios. Three distinct configurations are included, providing a robust foundation for modeling power grid resilience.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Digital Twin Model for Advanced Manufacture of a Rotating Detonation Engine Injector

A digital twin material model (DTMM) of an additive manufacturing (AM) process was created to advance the state of the art in rotating detonation engine (RDE) injector design. Current RDE injectors are designed with large pressure drops, enabling a stable and repeatable combustion process. However, this comes at the cost of system efficiency. For the technology to transition to commercial fossil-based power generation, it is important to develop injectors with reduced flow losses. Low-loss injectors are difficult to design and manufacture with conventional manufacturing techniques. AM enables new design options, but the AM manufacturing process must be thoroughly understood to result in a robust design. A DTMM provides the necessary insight by defining the cause-effect relationships between process parameters, microstructure features, and properties. Therefore, a DTMM to support the design and manufacturing process was developed and applied to the design of a new additively manufactured low-loss injector. The injector combustion behavior was characterized through hot-fire tests, and mechanical performance was compared to the DTMM predictions. The two project goals were the successful development of the DTMM and the demonstration of an improved RDE injector design. The RDE injector design and DTMM developments occurred on parallel but dependent paths. The injector was designed to reduce pressure drop by increasing the cross-sectional flow area ratio between the injector air passages and the combustor annulus. This resulted in less structural material, raising the concern that thin members would be susceptible to high-cycle fatigue (HCF) under the periodic loading inherent to an RDE. It was most important for the DTMM to predict behavior in these features; therefore, the injector design concept guided the material thicknesses used in fatigue tests. The DTMM development started by manufacturing a series of coupons over the range of possible AM process variations. A design-of-experiment approach was used to select which process variable combinations gave the most efficient coverage relevant to the injector design space. The microstructure in each of these coupons was characterized, and then computational methods were used to create a numerical model of the correlation between process variables and microstructure. Next, a set of HCF samples were tested to calibrate existing models that map microstructure to HCF performance. Together, these two links formed the DTMM that calculates HCF behavior from AM process variables. Two injector prototypes were additively manufactured. The first injector design strategy aggressively pursued low-loss performance by substantially increasing the oxidizer flow area. The combination of manufacturing lead times and the fatigue testing schedule meant that the DTMM was not available when building this first prototype. Therefore, its process parameters were chosen based on a manual review of the available coupon data. This prototype was built successfully and evaluated in 58 combustion tests. Sustained detonation was achieved with remarkably reduced pressure loss, and some tests even displayed pressure loss characteristics similar to conventional gas turbine combustors. This achieved the project goal of improving RDE injector design. The second injector was manufactured according to the optimized parameters predicted by the DTMM. The flow area modifications of this injector were less aggressive than the first injector since demonstrating low pressure loss was not an objective of the second hot-fire test series. Rather, the test objective was to cause high cycle fatigue failure in the part due to periodic loading from the rotating detonation wave. The observed number of cycles to failure was to be compared to the number predicted by the DTMM and thereby assess the utility of the DTMM in component design. However, the required level of vibration was not obtained during combustion. Therefore, high cycle fatigue was not experienced in the hot-fire tests of the second injector. Fatigue data was obtained by further testing the second injector in a conventional HCF test apparatus. The injector demonstrated HCF strength above the DTMM prediction. In fact, it did not fail and testing was only discontinued due to reaching the end of the period of performance. This points to some success in the project’s primary goal of successfully developing and applying the DTMM to a component design. Implementing the DTMM recommendations for optimal processing parameters led to a part with acceptable properties. The DTMM was also shown to be an efficient correlator of data and to provide insight into the relationship between process settings, microstructure, and property performance. However, the failure of the DTMM prediction to match the experimental result of the injector fatigue test also points to the need to include significantly more data in the model development. In this project, coupons made with identical processing parameters exhibited drastically different properties from each other and from the injector part, which clearly influences the accuracy of a model that predicts performance based on parameters. Uncertainties in the build process must be quantified to develop more robust models. A denser and broader matrix of coupon process and geometry variations, several repeated builds of every point, more in-situ build process measurements, and direct observation of tensile and HCF sample microstructure (as opposed to separate microstructure specimens) are recommendations to improve future AM modeling efforts.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Scalable Unit Commitment with Security Constrained AC Power Flow via ADMM and Hybrid Modeling Strategies

This research introduces a more efficient way to optimize power grid operations, breaking the problem into manageable steps and using advanced mathematical techniques to speed up calculations. By incorporating smart heuristics, improved preprocessing, and contingency analysis, the approach allows operators to make better decisions faster. These innovations enhance our understanding of how to optimize energy generation, making it possible to anticipate failures before they happen, reduce system costs, and improve overall grid performance. Ultimately, this research helps bridge the gap between theoretical models and real-world applications, paving the way for a smarter, more resilient power grid. This research directly benefits the public by making electricity more affordable, reliable, and sustainable. By improving how power grids schedule and distribute electricity, the project helps energy providers reduce operational costs, which can lead to lower electricity prices for consumers. Additionally, the ability to predict and prevent power system failures enhances grid reliability, reducing the likelihood of blackouts that can disrupt homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure such as hospitals. From an environmental perspective, optimizing power generation reduces energy waste and lowers carbon emissions, contributing to cleaner air and a more sustainable energy system. Furthermore, with extreme weather events becoming more frequent, these advancements make the power grid more resilient, ensuring communities are better prepared for emergencies and natural disasters. By strengthening the nation's energy infrastructure, this research plays a crucial role in improving economic stability, public safety, and environmental sustainability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Reliability modeling in a predictive maintenance context: A margin-based approach

Current system reliability methods (typically based on fault trees or reliability block diagrams) can effectively propagate reliability data from the asset to the system level in order to identify system critical points. However, employed asset reliability data are an approximated integral representation of the past industrywide operational experience, and they neglect the present asset health status (available, for example, from online monitoring data and diagnostic assessments) and forecasted health projection (when available from prognostic models). Asset health should be informed solely by that specific asset’s current and historical performance data and should not be an approximated integral representation of the past industrywide operational experience (as currently performed by system reliability models through Bayesian updating processes). Sensor data, diagnostic assessments, and prognostic assessments are in fact not considered in plant reliability models used to inform system engineers on the most critical assets. In addition, the propagation of quantitative health data from the asset to the system level is a challenge given the diverse nature and structure of health data elements (e.g., vibration spectra, temperature readings, expected failure time). Ideally, in a predictive maintenance context, system reliability models should support decision making by propagating available health information from the asset to the system level in order to provide a quantitative snapshot of system health and identify the most critical assets. Here, this paper is directly addressing these two goals by proposing a different approach for reliability modeling that relies on asset diagnostic and prognostic assessments, along with monitoring data to measure asset health. The propagation of health data from the asset to the system level is performed through fault tree models not in probability terms, but in terms of margin where margin is the “distance” between the present status and an undesired event (e.g., failure or unacceptable performance). Through a cause-effect lens, while classical reliability models target the effect associated with asset performance, a margin-based approach focuses on the cause of an undesired asset performance (i.e., its health). Hence, thinking of reliability in terms of margins implies decision-making based on causal reasoning. We will show how fault tree models can be solved using a margin language and how this process can effectively assist system engineers to identify the most critical assets.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying adherence of oxide scales on steels exposed to high temperature and pressure steam

Oxide scale exfoliation is a major concern in fossil fuel power generation because it can cause tube blockages and erode valves and steam turbine components downstream. There is still considerable scientific and commercial interest to improve the mechanistic understanding of oxide failures by developing models to predict exfoliation and the extent of tube blockage as a function of operating conditions and component geometries. Tensile testing inside a scanning electron microscope was conducted on ferritic–martensitic and austenitic steel specimens with the steam side (Fe,Cr)-rich oxides grown after exposures for up to 1000 h in steam with ~100 ppb O 2 at 276 bar and 550°C. Multiple oxide layer cracks and delamination events were observed and analyzed in detail during the tests. Results from the testing agreed well with earlier observations that had identified the failure location at the outer–inner oxide layer for all tested materials. Calculated adhesion energies identified the outer–inner oxide interface of alloy 347HFG as the weakest interface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Thermomechanical Microstructural Predictions of Fracture Nucleation of Zircaloy-4 Alloys With δ and ε Hydride Distributions

Abstract A crystalline dislocation-density formulation that was incorporated with a nonlinear finite-element (FE) method was utilized to understand and to predict the thermomechanical behavior of an hexagonal closest packed (h.c.p.) zircaloy system with hydrides with either face-centered cubic (f.c.c.) or body-centered cubic (b.c.c.) hydrides. This formulation was then used with a recently developed fracture methodology that is adapted for finite inelastic strains and multiphase crystalline systems to understand how different microstructurally based fracture modes nucleate and propagate. The interrelated microstructural characteristics of the different crystalline hydride and matrix phases with the necessary orientation relationships (ORs) have been represented, such that a detailed physical understanding of fracture nucleation and propagation can be predicted for the simultaneous thermomechanical failure modes of hydride populations and the matrix. The effects of volume fraction, morphology, crystalline structure, and orientation and distribution of the hydrides on simultaneous and multiple fracture modes were investigated for radial, circumferential, and mixed distributions. Another key aspect was accounting for temperatures changes due to the effects of thermal conduction and dissipated plastic work and their collective effects on fracture. For hydrided aggregates subjected to high temperatures, thermal softening resulted in higher ductility due to increased dislocation-density activity, which led to higher shear strain accumulation and inhibited crack nucleation and growth. The predictions provide validated insights into why circumferential hydrides are more fracture-resistant than radial hydrides for different volume fractions and thermomechanical loading conditions.

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2021

A REDUCED ORDER MODELING APPROACH TO PROBABILISTIC CREEP-DAMAGE PREDICTIONS IN FINITE ELEMENT ANALYSIS

This paper introduces a computationally efficient Reduced Order Modeling (ROM) approach for the probabilistic prediction of creep-damage failure. Component-level probabilistic simulations are needed to assess the reliability and safety of high-temperature components. Full-scale probabilistic creep-damage modeling in finite element (FE) approach is computationally expensive requiring many hundreds of simulations to replicate the uncertainty of component failure. To that end, ROM is proposed to minimize the elevated computational cost while controlling the loss of accuracy. It is proposed that full-scale probabilistic simulations can be completed in 1D at a reduced cost, the extremum conditions extracted, and those conditions applied for lower-cost 2D/3D probabilistic simulations of components that capture the mean and uncertainty of failure. The probabilistic Sine-hyperbolic (Sinh) model is selected which in previous work was calibrated to alloy 304 stainless steel. The Sinh model includes probability density functions (pdfs) for test condition (stress and temperature), initial damage (i.e. microstructure), and material properties uncertainty. The Sinh model is programmed into ANSYS finite element software using the USERCREEP.F material subroutine. First, the Sinh model and FE code are subject to verification and validation to ensure the accuracy of the simulations. Numerous Monte Carlo simulations are executed in a 1D model to generate probabilistic creep deformation, damage, and rupture data. This data is analyzed and the probabilistic parameters corresponding to extreme creep response are extracted. The ROM concept is applied where only the extreme conditions are applied in the 2D probabilistic prediction of a component. The probabilistic predictions between the 1D and 2D geometry is compared to assess ROM for creep. The accuracy of the probabilistic prediction employing the ROM approach will potentially reduce the time and cost of simulating complex engineering systems. Future studies will introduce multi-stage Sinh, stochasticity, and spatial uncertainty for improved prediction.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Sequential Model Predictive and Deep Reinforcement Learning-Based Controller for Distribution System Outage Mitigation under Hurricane Events

This paper proposes a proactive outage mitigation framework for power distribution networks to withstand hurricane-induced disruptions. It leverages Model Predictive Control (MPC) to identify safe lines for proactive switching during hurricanes, minimizing the risk of cascading failures and voltage violations. The switching strategies optimized by MPC are sequentially integrated with a Deep Reinforcement Learning agent using the Advantage Actor-Critic algorithm, enabling dynamic line switching to maximize connected buses and minimize voltage violations in real time. Using a probabilistic hurricane model, the framework predicts line failures and adapts to varying conditions to enhance grid resilience. Simulations on the IEEE 123-bus system demonstrate its effectiveness in maintaining high connectivity and minimizing disruptions. Real-time testing with an RTDS confirms the practicality and reliability of the proposed approach.

Selim, Alaa [University of Connecticut]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel Jana Howard1,3, Guang Yang3, Haiyan Zhao1*, Patrick Warren4, Tiankai Yao3, Steven Cavazos4 Elizabeth Sooby Wood4*, Ching-heng Shiau2 1 University of Idaho, Environmental Science, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 2 Boise State University, Microscopy and Characterization Suite, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 3 Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 4 University of Texas San Antonio, Department of Physics and Astronomy, San Antonio, Texas, USA *Corresponding author: haiyanz@uidaho.edu; elizabeth.soobywood@utsa.edu Tri-structural Isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel is the preferred choice for the newest and next-generation high-temperature nuclear reactors due to its robust construction [1]. The fuel design effectively contains fission products inside the particle at extremely high temperatures [2]. However, the effect of transition metal fission products on fuel performance and structural integrity remains largely unknown, creating uncertainties in predicting fuel performance and potential failure mechanisms [2]. For example, palladium (Pd) has a strong tendency to form intermetallic phases with uranium (U). These new phases tend to be hard and brittle which could lead to fracture of fuel kernel during irradiation [3,4]. Pd is not normally produced in high concentrations in normal fission reactions however, driving the production of Pd into the locality of a Uranium Oxycarbide (UCO) nuclear fuel provides an opportunity to closely observe the diffusion and chemical interactions. This study focuses on detailed transmission electron microscopy characterization of the intermetallic phases formed by the interaction between a UCO kernel and a Pd bar after annealing at 1100 °C for 100 hours. Figure 1 provides an overview of the UCO kernel in contact with the Pd bar. The UCO-Pd sample surface was examined using a Focused Ion Beam (FIB) Quanta 3D FEG FEI in VCD detector mode at 10kV, 83pA to reveal surface features. Several key surface features in the interaction region were observed including: (1) a small area with dendritic microstructure, (2) color contrast near the UCO kernel and Pd boundary, and (3) darker and lighter regions throughout the sample surface. To analyze diffusion behavior, FIB was used to prepare lamellae from five different areas of the UCO-Pd sample, as well as one for the as-received sample. These lamellae were examined using a Scanning Transmission Electron Microscope ThermoFisher Spectra 300 (STEM-Spectra). Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy results confirmed the diffusion between the UCO fuel and Pd bar. Figure 2 shows the identified phases of UC, UO2, and Pd dispersed throughout the interaction region. It was also found that the Pd concentration decreases as the radial distance from the UCO-Pd interface increases. The Pd concentration was 36.93% atomic fraction 11µm from the interaction region then decreased to 7.51% atomic fraction at 257 µm away from the interaction region. Figure 3 shows how concentrations of U and Pd vary across the interaction zone, highlighting the extent of diffusion. This study confirms that Pd interacts with surrounding material to form U-Pd phase and diffusion zones. These diffusion zones vary in composition depending on its radial distance from the point of contact with the Pd bar. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the fission product behavior in high temperature nuclear fuels, aiding in the prediction and mitigation of potential fuel degradation mechanisms. A B C Fig. 1. SEM micrographs of UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar and the lift out locations. Figure 1A shows UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar. Figure 1B shows a higher magnification image of the UCO fuel-Pd interaction zone. Figure 1C shows lift out sites for the lamellae. A B C Fig 2. EDS maps reveal the distribution of U, O, and Pd in location 3. Figure 2A shows the distribution of uranium. Figure 2B shows the distribution of oxygen. Figure 2C shows the distribution of palladium. A B C Fig 3. Palladium and uranium concentration across interaction zone in location 2. Figure 3A shows EDS map of lift out number 2. Figure 3B shows a zoomed in EDS map taken from the interaction zone. Figure 3C shows a line graph of uranium and palladium concentrations across the interaction zone. References: 1. B.E. Wells, N.R. Phillips, K.J. Geelhood. Pacific West Laboratory. (2021). TRISO Fuel: Properties and Failure Modes. https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2117/ML21175A152.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025). 2. American Nuclear Society. TRISO Fuel Development Progresses in INL, ORNL. https://www.gen-4.org/gif/upload/docs/application/pdf/2014-03/nov13nn_fuel_reprint.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025) 3. Clark R.A., M.A. Con

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel Jana Howard1,3, Guang Yang3, Haiyan Zhao1*, Patrick Warren4, Tiankai Yao3, Steven Cavazos4 Elizabeth Sooby Wood4*, Ching-heng Shiau2 1 University of Idaho, Environmental Science, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 2 Boise State University, Microscopy and Characterization Suite, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 3 Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 4 University of Texas San Antonio, Department of Physics and Astronomy, San Antonio, Texas, USA *Corresponding author: haiyanz@uidaho.edu; elizabeth.soobywood@utsa.edu Tri-structural Isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel is the preferred choice for the newest and next-generation high-temperature nuclear reactors due to its robust construction [1]. The fuel design effectively contains fission products inside the particle at extremely high temperatures [2]. However, the effect of transition metal fission products on fuel performance and structural integrity remains largely unknown, creating uncertainties in predicting fuel performance and potential failure mechanisms [2]. For example, palladium (Pd) has a strong tendency to form intermetallic phases with uranium (U). These new phases tend to be hard and brittle which could lead to fracture of fuel kernel during irradiation [3,4]. Pd is not normally produced in high concentrations in normal fission reactions however, driving the production of Pd into the locality of a Uranium Oxycarbide (UCO) nuclear fuel provides an opportunity to closely observe the diffusion and chemical interactions. This study focuses on detailed transmission electron microscopy characterization of the intermetallic phases formed by the interaction between a UCO kernel and a Pd bar after annealing at 1100 °C for 100 hours. Figure 1 provides an overview of the UCO kernel in contact with the Pd bar. The UCO-Pd sample surface was examined using a Focused Ion Beam (FIB) Quanta 3D FEG FEI in VCD detector mode at 10kV, 83pA to reveal surface features. Several key surface features in the interaction region were observed including: (1) a small area with dendritic microstructure, (2) color contrast near the UCO kernel and Pd boundary, and (3) darker and lighter regions throughout the sample surface. To analyze diffusion behavior, FIB was used to prepare lamellae from five different areas of the UCO-Pd sample, as well as one for the as-received sample. These lamellae were examined using a Scanning Transmission Electron Microscope ThermoFisher Spectra 300 (STEM-Spectra). Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy results confirmed the diffusion between the UCO fuel and Pd bar. Figure 2 shows the identified phases of UC, UO2, and Pd dispersed throughout the interaction region. It was also found that the Pd concentration decreases as the radial distance from the UCO-Pd interface increases. The Pd concentration was 36.93% atomic fraction 11µm from the interaction region then decreased to 7.51% atomic fraction at 257 µm away from the interaction region. Figure 3 shows how concentrations of U and Pd vary across the interaction zone, highlighting the extent of diffusion. This study confirms that Pd interacts with surrounding material to form U-Pd phase and diffusion zones. These diffusion zones vary in composition depending on its radial distance from the point of contact with the Pd bar. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the fission product behavior in high temperature nuclear fuels, aiding in the prediction and mitigation of potential fuel degradation mechanisms. A B C Fig. 1. SEM micrographs of UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar and the lift out locations. Figure 1A shows UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar. Figure 1B shows a higher magnification image of the UCO fuel-Pd interaction zone. Figure 1C shows lift out sites for the lamellae. A B C Fig 2. EDS maps reveal the distribution of U, O, and Pd in location 3. Figure 2A shows the distribution of uranium. Figure 2B shows the distribution of oxygen. Figure 2C shows the distribution of palladium. A B C Fig 3. Palladium and uranium concentration across interaction zone in location 2. Figure 3A shows EDS map of lift out number 2. Figure 3B shows a zoomed in EDS map taken from the interaction zone. Figure 3C shows a line graph of uranium and palladium concentrations across the interaction zone. References: 1. B.E. Wells, N.R. Phillips, K.J. Geelhood. Pacific West Laboratory. (2021). TRISO Fuel: Properties and Failure Modes. https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2117/ML21175A152.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025). 2. American Nuclear Society. TRISO Fuel Development Progresses in INL, ORNL. https://www.gen-4.org/gif/upload/docs/application/pdf/2014-03/nov13nn_fuel_reprint.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025) 3. Clark R.A., M.A. Con

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

First Principles Study of Aluminum Doped Polycrystalline Silicon as a Potential Anode Candidate in Li‐ion Batteries

Addressing sustainable energy storage remains crucial for transitioning to renewable sources. While Li‐ion batteries have made significant contributions, enhancing their capacity through alternative materials remains a key challenge. Micro‐sized silicon is a promising anode material due to its tenfold higher theoretical capacity compared to conventional graphite. However, its substantial volumetric expansion during cycling impedes practical application due to mechanical failure and rapid capacity fading. A novel approach is proposed to mitigate this issue by incorporating trace amounts of aluminum into the micro‐sized silicon electrode using ball milling. Density functional theory (DFT) is employed to establish a theoretical framework elucidating how grain boundary sliding, a key mechanism involved in preventing mechanical failure is facilitated by the presence of trace aluminum at grain boundaries. This, in turn, reduces stress accumulation within the material, reducing the likelihood of failure. To validate the theoretical predictions, capacity retention experiments are conducted on undoped and Al‐doped micro‐sized silicon samples. In conclusion, the results demonstrate significantly reduced capacity fading in the doped sample, corroborating the theoretical framework and showcasing the potential of aluminum doping for improved Li‐ion battery performance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Parametric analysis of anodic degradation mechanisms for fast charging lithium batteries with graphite anode

In this work, we report the impact of the temperature-driven synergistically-coupled anodic degradation mechanisms on the electrochemical performance of lithium batteries with graphite anode over multiple cycles. Temperature dependence of electrochemical reactions and damage mechanisms, such as solid electrolyte interface (SEI) growth, lithium plating/stripping, dead lithium storage/dissolution, and film cracking are incorporated into the degradation model. Results of a parametric analysis are presented, evaluating the effects of charging rates (1–6 C), operating temperatures (-15 – 45°C) and electrode design parameters, on the relative performance fade in the lithium-ion battery. Thermo-electrochemical process maps are developed to provide insights into the relationship between electrode performance and failure mechanisms. The simulation results predict a severe capacity loss due to lithium plating at low temperatures, which is further aggravated at high charging rates. A common strategy for mitigating lithium plating, through charging at high temperatures, also results in rapid capacity loss due to accelerated SEI formation. Simulation results are used to identify the combination of operating conditions and electrode design parameters that improve the electrochemical performance of the battery. These results demonstrate an opportunity to design safe and high-performance lithium-ion batteries, guided by anodic degradation models.

Battery design↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modeling Time to Failure in Potential-Induced Degradation of Silicon Solar Modules based on Quantitative Sodium Kinetics

We present a physics-based simulation environment for the prediction of potential-induced-degradation (PID) failure time in silicon solar modules. Our model is based on experimental sodium migration kinetics obtained from our recently developed trap-corrected bias-stress-temperature method and from secondary ion mass spectrometry measurements. Furthermore, we model sodium migration to stacking faults and subsequent formation of conductive pathways through the p-n junction, which causes a decrease of the shunt resistance and loss of efficiency.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Modeling and Analysis of a Novel Offshore Binary Species Free-Floating Longline Macroalgal Farming System

The investigation of innovative macroalgal cultivation is important and needed to optimize farming operations, increase biomass production, reduce the impact on the ecosystem, and lower system and operational costs. However, most macroalgal farming systems (MFSs) are stationary, which need to occupy a substantial coastal area, require extensive investment in farm infrastructure, and cost high fertilizer and anchoring expenses. This study aims to model, analyze, and support a novel binary species free-floating longline macroalgal cultivation concept. The expected outcomes could provide a basis for the design and application of the novel MFS to improve biomass production, decrease costs, and reduce the impact on the local ecosystem. In this paper, Saccharina latissima and Nereocystis luetkeana were modeled and validated, and coupled with longline to simulate the binary species MFS free float in various growth periods and associated locations along the US west coast. Further, the numerical predictions indicated the possibility of failure on the longline and breakage at the kelp holdfasts is low. However, the large forces due to an instantaneous change in dynamic loads caused by loss of hydrostatic buoyancy when the longline stretches out of the water would damage the kelps. Buoy-longline contact interactions could damage the buoy, resulting in the loss of the system by sinking. Furthermore, the kelp-longline and kelp-kelp entanglements could potentially cause kelp damage.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

University of Missouri Research Reactor LEU Fuel Element Flow Test Conceptual Design—Hydraulic Reactor Design Parameters

The University of Missouri-Columbia Research Reactor (MURR®) is one of five U.S. high performance research reactors (USHPRR), plus one critical facility, that actively collaborates with the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) Material Management and Minimization(M 3 ) Reactor Conversion Program to convert to the use of low-enriched uranium (LEU, < 20 wt.% U-235) fuel. A new type of LEU fuel with very high density, based on an alloy of uranium and 10 weight percent molybdenum (U-10Mo), is expected to allow the conversion to LEU of USHPRR that have been found unable to be converted with previously qualified uranium silicide-aluminum (U 3 Si 2 -Al) dispersion fuel. MURR has been working with the USHPRR Reactor Conversion (RC) Pillar at Argonne National Laboratory to perform fuel element design and fuel cycle performance analyses, steady-state thermal hydraulics safety analyses, and accident safety analyses in preparation for the conversion of MURR and to support a preliminary Safety Analysis Report (SAR) for conversion to LEU fuel. This work is performed in preparation for the flow test campaign that will be conducted by the USHPRR RC Pillar. The purpose of the hydraulic performance evaluation of the MURR LEU fuel element designed by the RC Pillar is to test a prototypic commercially fabricated LEU fuel element to determine whether any failure modes are observed or predicted in the fuel element, including significant deformations such as plate bending, twisting, or plate detachment from the side plate under selected safety-basis limits for reactor hydraulic conditions. To support the design of the flow test for MURR LEU fuel element hydraulic performance evaluation, design parameters for hydraulic testing of the LEU fuel element are laid out in this report.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Results of the Micromorphic Upscaling Workflow for the PSAAP III Year 3 Report

Predicting the mechanical response and failure of heterogeneous materials has proven difficult. Multiscale numerical methods based in higher order continuum theories attempt to bridge the gap between microscale and macroscale structural behavior. Micromorphic continuum theories have shown promise. The Tardigrade software package is an implementation of Eringen’s micromorphic continuum theory with capabilities to support multiscale material modeling workflows. These include homogenization through the Micromorphic Filter, calibration of micromorphic material models, and macroscale simulation in Tardigrade-MOOSE. This work discusses micromorphic upscaling efforts of the University of Colorado Boulder PSAAP III multidisciplinary simulation center (MSC). Verification studies are presented that compare the accuracy of the upscaling workflow with analytical solutions for a trivial stress state and homogeneous material using direct numerical simulations (DNS) conducted in the Ratel finite element method (FEM) and GEOS material point method (MPM) codes. These verification studies consider upscaling using the Micromorphic Filter for a “single filter domain”. Finally, DNS of a heterogeneous composite material is upscaled using a “multiple filter domain” method.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗