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At least 235 records · Page 13

Long-Term Stochasticity Combines With Short-Term Variability in Assembly Processes to Underlie Rice Paddy Sustainability

Revealing temporal patterns of community assembly processes is important for understanding how microorganisms underlie the sustainability of agroecosystem. The ancient terraced rice paddies at Longji provide an ideal platform to study temporal dynamics of agroecosystem sustainability due to their chronosequential records of soil physicochemistry and well-archived microbial information along 630-year rice cultivation. We used statistical null models to evaluate microbial assembly processes along the soil chronosequences of Longji rice paddies through time. Stochastic and deterministic assembly processes jointly governed microbial community composition within successional eras (less than 250 years), and within-era determinism was mainly driven by soil fertility and redox conditions alone or in combination. Conversely, across successional eras (i.e., over 300 years), stochasticity linearly increased with increasing duration between eras and was eventually predominant for the whole 630 years. We suggest that the impact of stochasticity vs. determinism on assembly is timescale-dependent, and we propose that the importance of stochastic assembly of microbial community at longer timescales is due to the gradual changes in soil properties under long-term rice cultivation, which in turn contribute to the sustainability of paddy ecosystem by maintaining a diverse community of microorganisms with multi-functional traits. In total, our results indicate that knowledge on the timescales at which assembly processes govern microbial community composition is key to understanding the ecological mechanisms generating agroecosystem sustainability.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Dark Radiation Constraints on Heavy QCD Axions

The naturalness problem of PQ symmetry motivates study of the heavy QCD axion, with masses m a > 1 MeV generated at scales above the QCD scale, and low values of the PQ symmetry breaking scale, ƒ a . We compute the abundance of such axions in a model-independent way, assuming only that they freeze-out after reheating from inflation, and are not subsequently diluted by new physics. If these axions decay between neutrino decoupling and the last scatter era of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB), they dilute the neutrinos and their abundance is constrained by CMB measurements of the energy density in dark radiation, N eff . We accurately compute this bound using a numerical code to evolve the axion momentum distribution, including many key processes and effects previously ignored. We assume that the only relevant axion decays are to final states involving Standard Model particles. We determine regions of (m a , ƒ a ) that will give a signal in N eff at CMB Stage 4 experiments. We similarly compute the N eff bound and CMB Stage 4 signal for heavy axions that can decay to light mirror photons. Finally, we compute the bounds on heavy axions with mass below 1 MeV that decay after the era of CMB last scatter, from their contribution to cold or hot dark matter or N eff at this era.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Synchronizing the consistency relation

We study the N-point function of the density contrast to quadratic order in the squeezed limit during the matter-dominated (MD) and radiation-dominated (RD) eras in synchronous gauge. Since synchronous gauge follows the free-fall frame of observers, the equivalence principle dictates that in the gradient approximation for the long-wavelength mode there is only a single, manifestly time-independent consistency relation for the N-point function. This simple form is dictated by the initial mapping between synchronous and local coordinates, unlike Newtonian gauge and its correspondingly separate dilation and Newtonian consistency relations. Dynamical effects only appear at quadratic order in the squeezed limit and are again characterized by a change in the local background, also known as the separate universe approach. We show that for the 3-point function the compatibility between these squeezed-limit relations and second-order perturbation theory requires both the initial and dynamical contributions to match, as they do in single-field inflation. This clarifies the role of evolution or late-time projection effects in establishing the consistency relation for observable bispectra, which is especially important for radiation acoustic oscillations and for establishing consistency below the matter-radiation equality scale in the MD era. Defining an appropriate angle and time average of these oscillations is also important for making separate universe predictions of spatially varying local observables during the RD era, which can be useful for a wider range of cosmological predictions beyond N-point functions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

PQML: Enabling the Predictive Reproducibility on NISQ Machines for Quantum ML Applications

Quantum computing represents a groundbreaking approach to high-performance computing. In recent years, quantum computers have progressed from single-qubit processors to systems boasting over 400 qubits. The presence of such a large number of qubits offers significant advantages, including enhanced computational speed—a capability beyond classical computing methods. However, the current stage of quantum computing is referred to as the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era. The existence of noise in this era presents challenges in testing quantum computing applications, leading to considerable variance in application results. Furthermore, the diverse noise characteristics observed across different machines exacerbate this issue, complicating the selection of the appropriate machine for application execution. In response to these challenges, we introduce our Predictive Quantum Machine Learning (PQML) tool. This tool is designed to predict outcomes when executing identical quantum machine learning applications—specifically, a critical suite of variational quantum algorithms—across various quantum computers during the NISQ era. This effort relies on data collected over a 12-month period. To the best of our knowledge, this study represents the first attempt to ensure reproducibility across quantum computers for complex circuits. Additionally, we have developed a model capable of forecasting the accuracy of quantum computers for variational quantum algorithms, with a particular emphasis on quantum machine learning as a case study.

Senapati, Priyabrata [Kent State University]↗

Microbial Diversity and Sulfur Cycling in an Early Earth Analogue: From Ancient Novelty to Modern Commonality

Life emerged and diversified in the absence of molecular oxygen. The prevailing anoxia and unique sulfur chemistry in the Paleo-, Meso-, and Neoarchean and early Proterozoic eras may have supported microbial communities that differ from those currently thriving on the earth’s surface. Zodletone spring in southwestern Oklahoma represents a unique habitat where spatial sampling could substitute for geological eras namely, from the anoxic, surficial light-exposed sediments simulating a preoxygenated earth to overlaid water column where air exposure simulates oxygen intrusion during the Neoproterozoic era. We document a remarkably diverse microbial community in the anoxic spring sediments, with 340/516 (65.89%) of genomes recovered in a metagenomic survey belonging to 200 bacterial and archaeal families that were either previously undescribed or that exhibit an extremely rare distribution on the current earth. Such diversity is underpinned by the widespread occurrence of sulfite, thiosulfate, tetrathionate, and sulfur reduction and the paucity of sulfate reduction machineries in these taxa.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

West African Monsoon System’s Responses to Global Ocean–Regional Atmosphere Coupling

This study explores the added value (AV) of a regional Earth system model (ESM) compared to an atmosphere-only regional climate model (RCM) in simulating West African monsoon (WAM) rainfall. The primary goals are to foster discussions on the suitability of coupled RCMs for WAM projections and deepen our understanding of ocean–atmosphere coupling’s influence on the WAM system. The study employs results from dynamical downscaling of the ERA-Interim reanalysis and Max Plank Institute ESM, low resolution (MPI-ESM-LR), by two RCMs, atmosphere only (REMO) and REMO coupled with Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPIOM) (ROM), at ~25-km horizontal resolution. Results show that in regions distant from coupling domain boundaries such as West Africa (WA), constraint conditions from ERA-Interim are more beneficial than coupling effects. REMO, reliant on oceanic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) from observations and influenced by ERA-Interim, is biased under coupling conditions, although coupling offers potential advantages in representing heat and mass fluxes. Contrastingly, as intended, coupling improves SSTs and monsoon fluxes’ relationships under ESM-forced conditions. In this latter case, the coupling features a dipole-like spatial structure of AV, improving precipitation over the Guinea Coast but degrading precipitation over half of the Sahel. Our extensive examination of physical processes and mechanisms underpinning the WAM system supports the plausibility of AV. Additionally, we found that the monsoonal dynamics over the ocean respond to convective activity, with the Sahara–Sahel surface temperature gradient serving as the maintenance mechanism. While further efforts are needed to enhance the coupled RCM, we advocate for its use in the context of WAM rainfall forecasts and projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Compilation of a Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog and Relocations in the Caucasus Region

Instrumental seismic monitoring has a long history in the Caucasus and started in 1899 when the first seismograph was installed in Tbilisi, Georgia. Much of the analog paper records from this time period are preserved in the Tbilisi archives because Georgia served as the regional data center. In the 1990s, due to the collapse of the Soviet Union and the political turmoil in the region, the analog networks and the communication between the newly formed national networks deteriorated. In Georgia, for the next 13 yr, the seismic network coverage was poor until the 2002 Tbilisi earthquake. Following this earthquake, the first permanent digital seismic station in Georgia was established in Tbilisi in 2003. The digital era progressively improved the ability to collect and archive data and today more than a hundred broadband seismic stations (including temporary arrays) are operating in the southern Caucasus. Until recently, the region lacked a coordinated effort to catalog all analog and digital era data collected by different countries into a single repository. As a result of collaboration between Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, the Ilia State University, and the Republican Seismic Survey Center of Azerbaijan, a comprehensive earthquake catalog was compiled for the Caucasus and neighboring areas as part of a broader probabilistic seismic hazard assessment project. Here this project digitized Soviet-era paper bulletins, compiled a unified earthquake catalog from regional bulletins, developed 1D reference velocity model, and used it to relocate the events. The final catalog contains 16,963 events with magnitudes 3.7 and above, bringing together all the available data sets in the Caucasus region from 1900 to 2015, significantly improving locations, and generating the most complete earthquake catalog in the region, temporally and geographically.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

IOTA experiment for proton pulse compression at extreme space-charge

A gammaT scheme may be required for the PIP-II era performance or ACE-MIRT era performance of the Booster. PIP-II era operations of the Fermilab proton complex will require the Fermilab Booster to increase beam intensity from 4.5e12 to 6.5e12 protons, while also increasing its ramp from 15 Hz to 20 Hz. These changes pose particular challenges for transition-crossing in the Booster, where longitudinal beam quality must be controlled in order to facilitate slip-stacking in the Recycler Ring later in the Main Injector cycle. Two novel gammaT jump schemes are proposed, termed “double gammaT jump” and “partial gammaT jump”, which optimize the magnitude of the gammaT jump within optics and power supply constraints.

Eldred, Jeffrey [Fermilab]↗

Fundamental Algorithmic Research for Quantum Computing (FAR-QC) (Final Technical Report)

Anticipation of the noisy intermediate‐scale quantum (NISQ) era has sparked unprecedented interest in quantum computing, yet we still lack a clear understanding of how NISQ‐era applications will perform relative to the best classical algorithms solving the same problems. The goals of this project include: (1) Developing better tools for characterizing the performance of NISQ devices and for assessing whether such devices can achieve a quantum advantage. (2) Conceiving and analyzing potential applications of quantum computing technology in the NISQ era and beyond.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Design of a GammaT-Jump System for Fermilab Booster

A gammaT scheme may be required for the PIP-II era performance or ACE-MIRT era performance of the Booster. PIP-II era operations of the Fermilab proton complex will require the Fermilab Booster to increase beam intensity from 4.5e12 to 6.5e12 protons, while also increasing its ramp from 15 Hz to 20 Hz. These changes pose particular challenges for transition-crossing in the Booster, where longitudinal beam quality must be controlled in order to facilitate slip-stacking in the Recycler Ring later in the Main Injector cycle. Two novel gammaT jump schemes are proposed, termed double gammaT jump and partial gammaT jump, which optimizes the magnitude of the gammaT jump within optics and power supply constraints.

Eldred, Jeffrey Scott [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000344↗

Design of a GammaT-Jump System for Fermilab Booster

A $\gamma_{T}$ scheme may be required for the PIP-II era performance or ACE-MIRT era performance of the Booster. PIP-II era operations of the Fermilab proton complex will require the Fermilab Booster to increase beam intensity from 4.5e12 to 6.7e12 protons, while also increasing its ramp from 15 Hz to 20 Hz. These changes pose particular challenges for transition-crossing in the Booster, where longitudinal beam quality must be controlled in order to facilitate slip-stacking in the Recycler Ring later in the Main Injector cycle. Two novel $\gamma_{T}$-jump schemes are proposed, termed Double $\gamma_{T}$ jump and Partial $\gamma_{T}$-jump , which optimize the magnitude of the $\gamma_{T}$-jump within optics and power supply constraints.

Eldred, J. [Fermilab] (ORCID:000000034432072X)↗

Machine-Learning Microstructure for Inverse Material Design

Metallurgy and material design have thousands of years’ history and have played a critical role in the civilization process of humankind. The traditional trial-and-error method has been unprecedentedly challenged in the modern era when the number of components and phases in novel alloys keeps increasing, with high-entropy alloys as the representative. New opportunities emerge for alloy design in the artificial intelligence era. Here a successful machine-learning (ML) method is developed to identify the microstructure images with eye-challenging morphology for a number of martensitic and ferritic steels. Assisted by it, a new neural-network method is proposed for the inverse design of alloys with 20 components, which can accelerate the design process based on microstructure. The method is also readily applied to other material systems given sufficient microstructure images. This work lays the foundation for inverse alloy design based on microstructure images with extremely similar features.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-Performance Computing for Earth System Modeling

High-performance computing (HPC) plays an important role during the development of Earth system models. This chapter reviews HPC efforts related to Earth system models, including community Earth system models and energy exascale Earth system models. Specifically, this chapter evaluates computational and software design issues, analyzes several current HPC-related model developments, and provides an outlook for some promising areas within Earth system modeling in the era of exascale computing.

Wang, Dali↗

Extrapolating Contaminant Effects from Individuals to Populations: A Case Study on Nanoparticle Toxicity to Daphnia Fed Environmentally Relevant Food Levels

Ecological risk assessment (ERA) is charged with assessing the likelihood a chemical will have adverse environmental or ecological effects. When assessing the risk of a potential contaminant to biological organisms, ecologists are most concerned with the sustainability of populations of organisms, rather than protecting every individual. However, ERA most commonly relies on data on the effect of a potential contaminant on individuals because these experiments are more feasible than costly population-level exposures. In this work, we address the challenge of extrapolating these individual-level results to predict population-level effects. Previous per-capita population growth rate estimates calculated from individual-level exposures of Daphnia pulicaria to silver nanoparticles (AgNPs) at different food rations predict a critical daily food requirement for daphnid populations exposed to 200 μg/L AgNPs to avoid extinction. To test this, we exposed daphnid populations to the same AgNP concentration at three different food inputs, with the lowest ration close to the extinction threshold predicted from data on individuals. The two populations with the higher food inputs persisted, and the population with the lowest food input went extinct after 50 days but did persist through two generations. Further, we demonstrate that we can extrapolate between these levels of biological organization by parameterizing an individual-level biomass model with data on individuals’ response to AgNPs and using these parameters to predict the outcome for control and AgNP-exposed populations. Key to successful extrapolation is careful modeling of temporal changes in resource density, driven by both the experimental protocols and feedback from the consumer. The implication for ecotoxicology is that estimates of extinction thresholds based on studies of individuals may be reliable predictors of population outcomes, but only with careful treatment of resource dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Lacustrine leaf wax hydrogen isotopes indicate strong regional climate feedbacks in Beringia since the last ice age

The Late-Quaternary climate of Beringia remains unresolved despite the region's role in modulating glacial-interglacial climate and as the likely conduit for human dispersal into the Americas. In this work, we investigate Beringian temperature change using an ~32,000-year lacustrine record of leaf wax hydrogen isotope ratios (δ2Hwax) from Arctic Alaska. Based on Monte Carlo iterations accounting for multiple sources of uncertainty, the reconstructed summertime temperatures were ~3 °C colder (range: –8 to +3 °C) during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; 21-25 ka) than the pre-industrial era (PI; 2–0.1 ka). This ice-age summer cooling is substantially smaller than in other parts of the Arctic, reflecting altered atmospheric circulation and increased continentality which weakened glacial cooling in the region. Deglacial warming was punctuated by abrupt events that are largely synchronous with events seen in Greenland ice cores that originate in the North Atlantic but which are also controlled locally, such as by the opening of the Bering Strait between 13.4 and 11 ka. Our reconstruction, together with climate modeling experiments, indicates that Beringia responds more strongly to North Atlantic freshwater forcing under modern-day, open-Bering Strait conditions than under glacial conditions. Furthermore, a 2 °C increase (Monte Carlo range: –1 to +5 °C) over the anthropogenic era reverses a 6 °C decline (Monte Carlo range: –10 to 0 °C) through the Holocene, indicating that recent warming in Arctic Alaska has not surpassed peak Holocene summer warmth.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Gate-All-Around Nanowire Field-Effect Transistors: A Historical Perspective

The development of transistor architectures, evolving from 2D planar metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs) to FinFETs and then to gate-all-around nanowire (GAANW) FETs, plays a crucial role in downscaling technology nodes in the semiconductor industry. This perspective reviews the concept of MOSFETs and summarizes this historical development with particular emphasis on GAANW transistors due to their importance in next-generation technology for nodes below 3 nm. Specifically, the concept of GAANW transistors and their advantages over planar and FinFET devices for further scaling are presented, along with a discussion of their transition from early conceptual ideas to laboratory demonstrations and, ultimately, industrial adoption. Furthermore, potential solutions, such as complementary FETs (CFETs) and 2D semiconductor-based FETs, and their associated challenges for the future generation, known as the Angstrom Era, are discussed in a technological roadmap. In conclusion, this perspective may inspire both industry and academia in future research directions for realizing the Angstrom Era.

gate-all-around transistors↗

Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change

Abstract Aerosols interact with radiation and clouds. Substantial progress made over the past 40 years in observing, understanding, and modeling these processes helped quantify the imbalance in the Earth's radiation budget caused by anthropogenic aerosols, called aerosol radiative forcing, but uncertainties remain large. This review provides a new range of aerosol radiative forcing over the industrial era based on multiple, traceable, and arguable lines of evidence, including modeling approaches, theoretical considerations, and observations. Improved understanding of aerosol absorption and the causes of trends in surface radiative fluxes constrain the forcing from aerosol‐radiation interactions. A robust theoretical foundation and convincing evidence constrain the forcing caused by aerosol‐driven increases in liquid cloud droplet number concentration. However, the influence of anthropogenic aerosols on cloud liquid water content and cloud fraction is less clear, and the influence on mixed‐phase and ice clouds remains poorly constrained. Observed changes in surface temperature and radiative fluxes provide additional constraints. These multiple lines of evidence lead to a 68% confidence interval for the total aerosol effective radiative forcing of ‐1.6 to ‐0.6 W m −2 , or ‐2.0 to ‐0.4 W m −2 with a 90% likelihood. Those intervals are of similar width to the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment but shifted toward more negative values. The uncertainty will narrow in the future by continuing to critically combine multiple lines of evidence, especially those addressing industrial‐era changes in aerosol sources and aerosol effects on liquid cloud amount and on ice clouds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessing the Representation of Synoptic Variability Associated With California Extreme Precipitation in CMIP6 Models

Abstract Days of extreme precipitation over California are evaluated in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models and the ERA‐Interim reanalysis. In the current climate, the model spread in composited precipitation on extreme precipitation days is closely related to the magnitude of composited integrated vapor transport (IVT) across models, a proxy for the intensity of atmospheric rivers. Most models underestimate the magnitude of IVT associated with extreme precipitation, according to ERA‐Interim. This is due mostly to the contribution of moisture, which almost all models overestimate, while the contribution of lower‐tropospheric wind speed is generally closer to the reanalyses. Moreover, most models underestimate the variance in the latitude of maxima of numerous variables among days of extreme California precipitation. That is, in the general circulation models there is a lack of diversity in the latitude of the disturbances bringing winter precipitation to California. In the future climate, most models project a decrease in the frequency of southward‐displaced disturbances among California extreme precipitation days. Hence, the greatest increases in extreme precipitation are over northern California. However, the historical underestimate of the latitudinal variance of disturbances calls into question the reliability of these projections. This bias should be especially considered for dynamical downscaling efforts over the region.

Norris, Jesse↗