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At least 235 records · Page 13

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2020

Hurricane-induced power outage risk under climate change is primarily driven by the uncertainty in projections of future hurricane frequency

Nine in ten major outages in the US have been caused by hurricanes. Long-term outage risk is a function of climate change-triggered shifts in hurricane frequency and intensity; yet projections of both remain highly uncertain. However, outage risk models do not account for the epistemic uncertainties in physics-based hurricane projections under climate change, largely due to the extreme computational complexity. Instead they use simple probabilistic assumptions to model such uncertainties. Here, we propose a transparent and efficient framework to, for the first time, bridge the physics-based hurricane projections and intricate outage risk models. We find that uncertainty in projections of the frequency of weaker storms explains over 95% of the uncertainty in outage projections; thus, reducing this uncertainty will greatly improve outage risk management. We also show that the expected annual fraction of affected customers exhibits large variances, warranting the adoption of robust resilience investment strategies and climate-informed regulatory frameworks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Local Bayesian Dirichlet mixing of imperfect models

Abstract To improve the predictability of complex computational models in the experimentally-unknown domains, we propose a Bayesian statistical machine learning framework utilizing the Dirichlet distribution that combines results of several imperfect models. This framework can be viewed as an extension of Bayesian stacking. To illustrate the method, we study the ability of Bayesian model averaging and mixing techniques to mine nuclear masses. We show that the global and local mixtures of models reach excellent performance on both prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification and are preferable to classical Bayesian model averaging. Additionally, our statistical analysis indicates that improving model predictions through mixing rather than mixing of corrected models leads to more robust extrapolations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Active Learning of Microgrid Frequency Dynamics Using Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

Accurate frequency modelling of inverter‐based resource (IBR)‐dominated power systems is crucial for ensuring stable, reliable and resilient operations, particularly given their inherent low‐inertia characteristics and fast dynamics that traditional swing equation‐based models inadequately capture. This paper explores neural ordinary differential equations (Neural ODEs) as a computationally efficient, data‐driven framework for modelling power system frequency dynamics, specifically within microgrids integrating high penetrations of distributed energy resources (DERs). The developed neural ODEs framework incorporates a neural network architecture designed to capture input dynamics. By actively perturbing the system with a known signal, the Python‐based neural ODEs framework was trained using measured system states and inputs, without the need for detailed system information. The framework, tested on a model of the Cordova, AK, microgrid, achieved a goodness of fit ranging from 60% to 99% across different state variables and maintained a mean square error in the 10 -6 p.u. range under square and step excitation signals. The proposed approach demonstrated robustness to measurement noise and initial condition variations while maintaining low computational complexity suitable for real‐time power system control applications. Furthermore, transfer learning enabled the neural ODEs model to adapt to the following changes in system topology or generator dispatch, highlighting its effectiveness for dynamic microgrids with frequently evolving configurations and diverse DERs.

Aryal, Tara [South Dakota State Univ., Brookings, ↗

DOE OSTI2022

Data-driven based coordinated smart inverter control for distributed energy resources

Smart inverters (SI) for distributed energy resources (DER) are becoming popular since they have the ability to stabilize as well as restore the voltage and frequency of power systems. Aiming at establishing the mathematical models combined with SI control methods, multiple optimization methods are developed. However, the computational complexity of solving such a mathematical model with various uncertainties limits the real-time application of the SI control. To conquer this challenge, a data-driven-based SI control approach is developed to achieve coordinated control in the high penetration DER system. First, an optimization problem for maximizing the active power generation and minimizing the power loss is designed using the Volt/VAR control. To reduce the time consumption, the recurrent neural network (RNN) is proposed to model the relationship between the uncertainties and control actions during the offline site. The RNN with different sub-structures such as the long short-term memory cell and gated recurrent unit cell are included to enrich the diversity of features. In the last stage, different experiment comparisons, including multiple uncertainties maps and stateof- art machine learning methods, are conducted to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method based on the IEEE 123 bus power system. The results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively achieve a rapid and coordinated control with a lower error rate.

Qiu, Wei↗

DOE OSTI2025

On-the-fly data set combinations with RNTuple

With the expected data volume increase for HL-LHC and the even more complex computing challenges set by future colliders, the need for efficient data storage and processing becomes more pressing. ROOT’s next-generation data format and I/O subsystem, RNTTuple, is designed to address these challenges. RNTTuple already demonstrates a clear improvement in storage and I/O efficiency, as well as overall stability and robustness with respect to its predecessor, TTTree. These improvements provide a solid baseline to introduce novel extensions to common high-energy and nuclear physics (HENP) workflows. Notably, many workflows could benefit from the ability to arbitrarily join and chain data set samples at runtime, which could reduce overall storage requirements and improve application runtime and ergonomics. In this paper, we present the RNTupleProcessor, which enables HENP data set combinations with RNTuple. We will discuss the main design considerations, present the interfaces to support data set combinations and show how they integrate in typical workflows.

de Geus, Florine Willemijn [CERN; Twente U., Ensch↗

DOE OSTI2020

Rapid data-driven model reduction of nonlinear dynamical systems including chemical reaction networks using ℓ 1 -regularization

We develop a new data-driven paradigm for efficient model reduction of a broad class of nonlinear dynamical systems. Our model reduction method directly enables the interpretation of key components of the dynamical system, unlike traditional projection-based model reduction methods that focus on reducing computational complexity more than interpretability. Our method is not application specific and is simple to implement on nonlinear dynamical systems arising from a variety of different fields. It requires minimal parameterization using a single parameter to trade-off between model complexity and estimation error. We use a data-driven paradigm to formulate model reduction as an efficient convex optimization problem that scales polynomially in the original size of the complex system, enabling systems with as many as thousands of components to be reduced in a matter of minutes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Dalton Project: A Python platform for molecular- and electronic-structure simulations of complex systems

The Dalton Project provides a uniform platform access to the underlying full-fledged quantum chemistry codes Dalton and LSDalton as well as the PyFraME package for automatized fragmentation and parameterization of complex molecular environments. The platform is written in Python and defines a means for library communication and interaction. Intermediate data such as integrals are exposed to the platform and made accessible to the user in the form of NumPy arrays, and the resulting data are extracted, analyzed, and visualized. Complex computational protocols that may, for instance, arise due to a need for environment fragmentation and configuration-space sampling of biochemical systems are readily assisted by the platform. The platform is designed to host additional software libraries and will serve as a hub for future modular software development efforts in the distributed Dalton community.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Correction and verification of x-ray imaging crystal spectrometer analysis on Wendelstein 7-X through x-ray ray tracing

X-ray ray tracing is used to develop ion-temperature corrections for the analysis of the X-ray Imaging Crystal Spectrometer (XICS) used at Wendelstein 7-X (W7-X) and perform verification on the analysis methods. The XICS is a powerful diagnostic able to measure ion-temperature, electron-temperature, plasma flow, and impurity charge state densities. While these systems are relatively simple in design, accurate characterization of the instrumental response and validation of analysis techniques are difficult to perform experimentally due to the requirement of extended x-ray sources. For this reason, a ray tracing model has been developed that allows characterization of the spectrometer and verification of the analysis methods while fully considering the real geometry of the XICS system and W7-X plasma. Through the use of ray tracing, several important corrections have been found that must be accounted for in order to accurately reconstruct the ion-temperature profiles. The sources of these corrections are described along with their effect on the analyzed profiles. The implemented corrections stem from three effects: (1) effect of sub-pixel intensity distribution during de-curving and spatial binning, (2) effect of sub-pixel intensity distribution during forward model evaluation and generation of residuals, and (3) effect of defocus and spherical aberrations on the instrumental response. Possible improvements to the forward model and analysis procedures are explored, along with a discussion of trade-offs in terms of computational complexity. Finally, the accuracy of the tomographic inversion technique in stellarator geometry is investigated, providing for the first time a verification exercise for inversion accuracy in stellarator geometry and a complete XICS analysis tool-chain.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Stochastic density functional theory: Real- and energy-space fragmentation for noise reduction

Stochastic density functional theory (sDFT) is becoming a valuable tool for studying ground-state properties of extended materials. The computational complexity of describing the Kohn-Sham orbitals is replaced by introducing a set of random (stochastic) orbitals leading to linear and often sub-linear scaling of certain ground-state observables at the account of introducing a statistical error. Schemes to reduce the noise are essential, for example, for determining the structure using the forces obtained from sDFT. Recently, we have introduced two embedding schemes to mitigate the statistical fluctuations in the electron density and resultant forces on the nuclei. Both techniques were based on fragmenting the system either in real space or slicing the occupied space into energy windows, allowing for a significant reduction in the statistical fluctuations. For chemical accuracy, further reduction of the noise is required, which could be achieved by increasing the number of stochastic orbitals. However, the convergence is relatively slow as the statistical error scales as 1 / N χ according to the central limit theorem, where N χ is the number of random orbitals. In this paper, we combined the embedding schemes mentioned above and introduced a new approach that builds on overlapped fragments and energy windows. The new approach significantly lowers the noise for ground-state properties, such as the electron density, total energy, and forces on the nuclei, as demonstrated for a G-center in bulk silicon.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Scalable ab initio fragmentation methods based on a truncated expansion of the non-orthogonal molecular orbital model

An alternative formulation of the non-orthogonal molecular orbital model of electronic structure theory is developed based on the expansion of the inverse molecular orbital overlap matrix. From this model, a hierarchy of ab initio fragment-based quantum chemistry methods, referred to as the nth-order expanded non-orthogonal molecular orbital methods, are developed using a minimal number of approximations, each of which is frequently employed in intermolecular interaction theory. These novel methods are compared to existing fragment-based quantum chemistry methods, and the implications of those significant differences, where they exist, between the methods developed herein and those already existing methods are examined in detail. Computational complexities and theoretical scaling are also analyzed and discussed. Future extensions for the hierarchy of methods, to account for additional intrafragment and interfragment interactions, are outlined.

Westheimer, Bryce M. (ORCID:0000000267645714)↗

DOE OSTI2022

Investigation of plasmon relaxation mechanisms using nonadiabatic molecular dynamics

Hot carriers generated from the decay of plasmon excitation can be harvested to drive a wide range of physical or chemical processes. However, their generation efficiency is limited by the concomitant phonon-induced relaxation processes by which the energy in excited carriers is transformed into heat. However, simulations of dynamics of nanoscale clusters are challenging due to the computational complexity involved. Here, in this paper, we adopt our newly developed Trajectory Surface Hopping (TSH) nonadiabatic molecular dynamics algorithm to simulate plasmon relaxation in Au 20 clusters, taking the atomistic details into account. The electronic properties are treated within the Linear Response Time-Dependent Tight-binding Density Functional Theory (LR-TDDFTB) framework. The relaxation of plasmon due to coupling to phonon modes in Au 20 beyond the Born–Oppenheimer approximation is described by the TSH algorithm. The numerically efficient LR-TDDFTB method allows us to address a dense manifold of excited states to ensure the inclusion of plasmon excitation. Starting from the photoexcited plasmon states in Au 20 cluster, we find that the time constant for relaxation from plasmon excited states to the lowest excited states is about 2.7 ps, mainly resulting from a stepwise decay process caused by low-frequency phonons of the Au 20 cluster. Furthermore, our simulations show that the lifetime of the phonon-induced plasmon dephasing process is ~10.4 fs and that such a swift process can be attributed to the strong nonadiabatic effect in small clusters. Our simulations demonstrate a detailed description of the dynamic processes in nanoclusters, including plasmon excitation, hot carrier generation from plasmon excitation dephasing, and the subsequent phonon-induced relaxation process.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

The approximate second order coupled-cluster method based on a size-consistent Brillouin–Wigner partitioning

We present a variant of the approximate second order coupled-cluster method (CC2) with a two-parameter size-consistent Brillouin–Wigner (BW-s) partitioning instead of a Møller–Plesset (MP) partitioning for the unperturbed Hamiltonian, which we refer to as BWs-CC2. The computational complexity of this model scales identically to CC2 with molecular size. Conventional CC2 and its regularized BWs-CC2 variants, as well as conventional MP2 and two of its regularized BW-s2 variants, were assessed on a 535 element database spanning thermochemistry, non-covalent interactions, barrier heights, and isomerization energies. To ensure a well-defined model chemistry, the assessment was performed using internally stable spin-polarized Hartree–Fock (HF) orbitals in the finite aug-cc-pVQZ basis without counterpoise corrections. As a result of using stable orbitals, contrary to conventional wisdom, we find that CC2 substantially outperforms MP2 on molecules with significantly spin contaminated reference orbitals without a significant increase in error on systems with a spin-pure reference, showing the value of its single substitutions. While no single choice of regularization parameters can be optimal for all datasets, we find that BWs-CC2 generally outperforms both CC2 and BW-s2 with a single judicious parameter choice. Additional tests on dipole moments and bond lengths of diatomics provide further support for the utility of this choice. Furthermore, the main outliers and poorest performing cases are associated with large amounts of spin-contamination in the HF reference, which is indicative of systems with either strong correlation or extensive artificial symmetry breaking. Overall, these findings argue that the perception of the quality of the CC2 ground state should be reevaluated and that it can be further improved upon by the soundly based BWs-CC2 variant with the recommended parameter choice.

Correlation energy↗

DOE OSTI2021

Exploring metastable states in UO 2 using hybrid functionals and dynamical mean field theory

A detailed exploration of the f-atomic orbital occupancy space for UO2 is performed using a first principles approach based on density functional theory (DFT), employing a full hybrid functional within a systematic basis set. Specifically, the PBE0 functional is combined with an occupancy biasing scheme implemented in a wavelet-based algorithm which is adapted to large supercells. The results are compared with previous DFT + U calculations reported in the literature, while dynamical mean field theory is also performed to provide a further base for comparison. This work shows that the computational complexity of the energy landscape of a correlated f-electron oxide is much richer than has previously been demonstrated. The resulting calculations provide evidence of the existence of multiple previously unexplored metastable electronic states of UO 2 , including those with energies which are lower than previously reported ground states.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

The Gutzwiller conjugate gradient minimization method for correlated electron systems

In this report we review our recent work on the Gutzwiller conjugate gradient minimization method, an ab initio approach developed for correlated electron systems. The complete formalism has been outlined that allows for a systematic understanding of the method, followed by a discussion of benchmark studies of dimers, one- and two-dimensional single-band Hubbard models. In the end, we present some preliminary results of multi-band Hubbard models and large-basis calculations of F 2 to illustrate our efforts to further reduce the computational complexity.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2025

Next-generation tunnel FETs: exploring material perspectives and areal tunneling configurations

The end of Dennard scaling, which facilitated proportional increases in computing power without added energy costs until the mid-2000s, has underscored the urgent need for innovative semiconductor devices that can enhance energy efficiency. Tunnel field-effect transistors (TFETs) have emerged as promising candidates to surpass the energy efficiency of conventional metal oxide semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs). Unlike MOSFETs, which rely on thermionic emission to overcome the source-channel potential barrier, TFETs operate through quantum tunneling, potentially enabling sub-60 mV dec −1 subthreshold swing (SS) for low-voltage operation. However, lateral TFETs have faced challenges in achieving adequate on-state current (I ON ) and a broad SS operation window, limiting their practical utility. This review article advocates for areal TFETs, which utilize face-to-face tunnel junctions that ideally offer step-function current turn-on characteristics and allow I ON to scale with device area rather than width. We highlight recent advancements in integrating 2D materials into tunneling structures, which could facilitate efficient band-to-band tunneling through atomically thin layers, while addressing challenges of gate field screening. We then discuss the nearer-term prospects of epitaxial areal TFETs comprising III–V compound semiconductors and group-IV semiconductors based on recent experimental progress. The review examines both quantum mechanical and semiclassical modeling approaches for TFETs, including techniques to reduce the computational complexity. The article delves into ongoing challenges in material synthesis, interface engineering, device fabrication, and integration pathways, concluding with recommendations for future research directions to overcome the fundamental power density limitations of conventional transistor technology.

2D materials↗

DOE OSTI2021

A variant selection framework for genome graphs

Abstract Motivation Variation graph representations are projected to either replace or supplement conventional single genome references due to their ability to capture population genetic diversity and reduce reference bias. Vast catalogues of genetic variants for many species now exist, and it is natural to ask which among these are crucial to circumvent reference bias during read mapping. Results In this work, we propose a novel mathematical framework for variant selection, by casting it in terms of minimizing variation graph size subject to preserving paths of length α with at most δ differences. This framework leads to a rich set of problems based on the types of variants [e.g. single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), indels or structural variants (SVs)], and whether the goal is to minimize the number of positions at which variants are listed or to minimize the total number of variants listed. We classify the computational complexity of these problems and provide efficient algorithms along with their software implementation when feasible. We empirically evaluate the magnitude of graph reduction achieved in human chromosome variation graphs using multiple α and δ parameter values corresponding to short and long-read resequencing characteristics. When our algorithm is run with parameter settings amenable to long-read mapping (α = 10 kbp, δ = 1000), 99.99% SNPs and 73% SVs can be safely excluded from human chromosome 1 variation graph. The graph size reduction can benefit downstream pan-genome analysis. Availability and implementation https://github.com/AT-CG/VF. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Asynchronous quadratic control for constrained hidden markov jump linear systems with incomplete MTPM and MOCPM

Abstract This paper investigates the quadratic optimal control problem for constrained Markov jump linear systems with incomplete mode transition probability matrix (MTPM). Considering original system mode is not accessible, observed mode is utilized for asynchronous controller design where mode observation conditional probability matrix (MOCPM), which characterizes the emission between original modes and observed modes is assumed to be partially known. An LMI optimization problem is formulated for such constrained hidden Markov jump linear systems with incomplete MTPM and MOCPM. Based on this, a feasible state-feedback controller can be designed with the application of free-connection weighting matrix method. The desired controller, dependent on observed mode, is an asynchronous one which can minimize the upper bound of quadratic cost and satisfy restrictions on system states and control variables. Furthermore, clustering observation where observed modes recast into several clusters, is explored for simplifying the computational complexity. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the validity.

Zhu, Jin↗

DOE OSTI2022

Computational properties of finite PNmatrices

Abstract Recent compositionality results in logic have highlighted the advantages of enlarging the traditional notion of logical matrix semantics, namely by incorporating non-determinism and partiality. Still, several important properties which are known to be computable for finite logical matrices have not been studied in the wider context of partial non-deterministic matrices (PNmatrices). In this paper, we study how incorporating non-determinism and/or partiality in logical matrices impacts on the computational properties of some natural problems regarding their induced logics and concretely their sets of theorems. We show that, while for some of these problems there is no relevant computational impact, there are problems whose computational complexity increases and still other problems that simply become undecidable. In particular, we show that the problem of checking whether the logics characterized by two finite PNmatrices have the same set of theorems is not decidable. This undecidability result explores the connection between PNmatrices and term-DAG-automata, where the universality problem is known to be undecidable. This link also motivates a final contribution, in the form of a pumping-like lemma, which can be used, in some cases, to show that a given logic cannot be characterized by a finite PNmatrix.

Filipe, Pedro↗