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At least 235 records · Page 13

The Role of Internal Variability in Springtime Arctic Amplification from 1980 to 2022

Arctic amplification (AA) refers to the enhanced warming of the Arctic relative to the global average due to rising greenhouse gases, measured as the ratio of Arctic-mean to global-mean surface air temperature (SAT) trends. From 1980 to 2022, annual-mean AA reached 4.2 (Arctic defined as north of 70°N). Climate models simulate AA but fail to reproduce its magnitude. Sweeney et al. attributed much of this model–observation discrepancy to internal variability. AA shows seasonality and so does the discrepancy. Spring (March–May) shows the largest gap: Observed AA is 4.2, while the multimodel mean is 2.7. This raises several questions: 1) What role does internal variability play in observed spring AA? 2) How does simulated spring AA compare to observations when internal variability is removed? 3) If internal variability is significant, what mechanisms drive it? To address these, we adapted the machine learning algorithm from Sweeney et al., training on simulated multidecadal spring SAT and sea level pressure (SLP) trend maps. Our results show that internal variability enhanced spring Arctic warming by 37% and reduced global warming by 10%. Removing internal variability reconciles the spring AA discrepancy. The estimated internal contribution to Arctic spring warming is supported by an independent dynamical adjustment approach. We identify an atmospheric circulation pattern in observations associated with this internal warming. Observed internal Siberian SAT and SLP trends follow the simulated SAT–SLP relationship but lie at the distribution’s extreme, suggesting models generally underestimate internal variability unless the observed configuration reflects a rare real-world realization.

Arctic↗

Amplification-free nucleic acid detection with a fluorescence-based waveguide biosensor

Early detection of pathogens using nucleic acids in clinical samples often requires sensitivity at the single-copy level, which currently necessitates time-consuming and expensive nucleic acid amplification. Here, we describe 1) a redesigned flow cell in the shape of a trapezoid-subtracted geometric stadium, and 2) modified experimental procedures that allow for the measurement of sub-attomolar analytes in microliter quantities on a fluorescence-based waveguide biosensor. We verified our instrumental sensitivity with a 200-μL sample of a fluorescent streptavidin conjugate at 100 zM (100 zeptomolar, or 100·10 −21 mol L −1 ) and theoretically explored the applicability of this modified sensing platform in a sandwich immunoassay format using a Langmuir adsorption model. We present assays that demonstrate specific detection of synthetic influenza A DNA (in buffer) and RNA (in saliva) oligonucleotides at the single-copy level (200 μL at 10 zM) using a fluorescent molecular beacon. Lastly, we demonstrate detection of isolated genomic influenza A RNA at a clinically relevant concentration. This work constitutes a sensitivity improvement of over twelve orders of magnitude compared to our previous nucleic acid detection work, illustrating the significant enhancements that can be gained with optimized experimental design.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Arctic Amplification in the Community Earth System Models (CESM1 and CESM2)

We compare the Arctic amplification (AA) produced by the two Community Earth System Models CESM1 and CESM2, members of the CEMIP5 (Coupled Models Intercomparison Project phase 5) and CEMIP6 collections, respectively. We find that the CESM1 model reproduces the recent high values of the AA deduced from the observed temperature much better than the CESM2. The correlation coefficient within the 1970–2012 time period between CESM1-simulated AA and the observed one is 0.47, while the CESM2 simulation leads to an anticorrelation of r = –0.53. Even the more successful model (CESM1) is not able to reproduce recent high AA values of 4–5. The main cause of this failure is the model’s overestimate of the rate of increase in the mean global temperature in years post 1990. When the CESM1 model’s simulated trend of the mean global temperature is replaced in the expression for the AA by the observed temperature trend, the correlation coefficient increases from 0.47 to 0.75. The CESM1 model is among the best north American models in AA simulation while the CESM2 model is among the least successful.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Development of a Colorimetric Loop-Mediated Isothermal Amplification Assay for the Detection of Trypanosoma cruzi in Low-Resource Settings

Chagas disease is an inflammatory parasitic infection caused by Trypanosoma cruzi (T. cruzi). Early diagnosis is crucial in guiding treatment and slowing disease progression; however, current diagnostic methods have insufficient detection limits and often require skilled technicians. Molecular tests, especially isothermal nucleic acid assays, are advantageous due to their excellent sensitivity, specificity, speed, and simplicity. Here, we optimized a colorimetric loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) assay for T. cruzi. We can detect as few as 2 genomic copies/reaction using three different T. cruzi strains. We examined selectivity using other parasitic protozoans and successfully detected T. cruzi DNA extracted from parasites in human whole blood down to 1.2 parasite equivalents/reaction. We also performed a blinded study using canine blood samples and established a 100% sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for the colorimetric LAMP assay. Finally, we used a heated 3D printer bed and an insulated thermos cup to demonstrate that the LAMP incubation step could be performed with accessible, low-cost materials. Altogether, we have developed a high-performing assay for T. cruzi with a simple colorimetric output that would be ideal for rapid, low-cost screening at the point of use.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Propidium Monoazide (PMAxx)-Recombinase Polymerase Amplification Exo (RPA Exo) Assay for Rapid Detection of Burkholderia cepacia Complex in Chlorhexidine Gluconate (CHX) and Benzalkonium Chloride (BZK) Solutions

Both sterile and non-sterile pharmaceutical products, which include antiseptics, have been recalled due to Burkholderia cepacia complex (BCC) contamination. Therefore, minimizing the frequency of outbreaks may be conducive to the development of a quick and sensitive approach that can distinguish between live and dead loads of BCC. We have assessed an exo probe-based recombinase polymerase amplification (RPA) with 10 µM propidium monoazide (PMAxx) for selective detection of live/dead BCC cells in various concentrations of antiseptics (i.e., chlorhexidine gluconate (CHX) and benzalkonium chloride (BZK) solutions) after 24 h. The optimized assay conducted using a set of primer–probes targeting gbpT was performed at 40 °C for 20 min and shows a detection limit of 10 pg/µL of genomic DNA from B. cenocepacia J2315, equivalent to 10 4 colony-forming units (CFU/mL). The specificity of a newly designed primer and probe was 80% (20 negatives out of 25). The readings for total cells (i.e., without PMAxx) from 200 µg/mL CHX using PMAxx-RPA exo assay was 310 relative fluorescence units (RFU), compared to 129 RFU with PMAxx (i.e., live cells). Furthermore, in 50–500 µg/mL BZK-treated cells, a difference in the detection rate was observed between the PMAxx-RPA exo assay in live cells (130.4–459.3 RFU) and total cells (207.82–684.5 RFU). This study shows that the PMAxx-RPA exo assay appears to be a valid tool for the simple, rapid and presumptive detection of live BCC cells in antiseptics, thereby ensuring the quality and safety of pharmaceutical products.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Coherent Raman amplification.

Coherent Raman amplification dynamics, considering pump depletion and coupling saturation and stimulated Raman scattering by polarization waves

POLARIZATION CHARACTERISTICS↗

Evidence that Horizontal Moisture Advection Regulates the Ubiquitous Amplification of Rainfall Variability over Tropical Oceans

The column moist static energy (MSE) budget equation approximates the processes associated with column moistening and drying in the tropics, and is therefore predictive of precipitation amplification and decay. We use ERA-Interim (ERA-I) and TRMM 3B42 data to investigate day-to-day convective variability and distinguish the roles of horizontal MSE (or moisture) advection versus vertical advection, sources, and sinks. Over tropical convergence zones, results suggest that horizontal moisture advection is a primary driver of day-to-day precipitation fluctuations; when drying via horizontal moisture advection is smaller (greater) than Chikira’s “column process,” precipitation tends to amplify (decay). In the absence of horizontal moisture advection, precipitation tends to increase spontaneously almost universally through a positive column process feedback. This bulk positive feedback is characterized by negative effective gross moist stability (GMS), which is maintained throughout the tropical convergence zones. How this positive feedback is achieved varies geographically, depending on the shape of vertical velocity (omega) profiles. In regions where omega profiles are top-heavy, the effective GMS is negative primarily owing to strong feedbacks between convection and diabatic MSE sources (radiative and surface fluxes). In these regions, vertical MSE advection stabilizes the atmosphere (positive vertical GMS). Where omega profiles are bottom-heavy, by contrast, a positive feedback is primarily driven by import of MSE through a shallow circulation (negative vertical GMS). The diabatic feedback and vertical GMS are in a seesaw balance, offsetting one another. Our results suggest that ubiquitous convective variability is amplified by the same mechanism as moisture-mode instability.

horizontal moisture advection↗

String Potentiometers for Supersonic Split-Line Thrust Vector Amplification Factor Verification

The static fire of NASA’s Mars Ascent Vehicle (MAV) first stage Solid Rocket Motor (SRM1) Demonstration Motor-1 (DM-1) occurred at Edwards Air Force Base (AFB) on April 7, 2023. Among other objectives, this test successfully demonstrated the Thrust Vector Control (TVC) system, including the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) of the Supersonic Split-Line (SSSL) nozzle. An essential characteristic of the SSSL is the thrust vector amplification factor (TVAF) it exhibits; however, empirically quantifying this behavior is difficult due to the limitations of measuring the internal nozzle gas dynamics of a Solid Rocket Motor (SRM) during burn. Using four string potentiometers mounted inside the test chamber connected to the nozzle and motor case and a thrust measurement system (TMS), the TVAF can be derived from the known nozzle and motor geometry. Increasing the accuracy of the TVAF is essential for certain groups working on the MAV including the Guidance, Navigation, and Control (GN&C) group, who prior to DM-1, solely relied on Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) data in their Monte Carlo simulations for TVAF. The methodology shown in this paper can be generally applied to any test article implementing a SSSL nozzle, presuming string potentiometers are a viable option and the facility is conducive of their implementation.

Supersonic Split-Line↗

Polygold‐FISH for signal amplification of metallo‐labeled microbial cells

An improved in situ hybridization approach (Polygold‐FISH) using biotinylated probes targeting multiple locations of the 16 S ribosomal subunit, followed by fluoronanogold‐streptavidin labeling and autometallographic enhancement of nanogold particles was developed as a means of signal amplification of metallo‐labeled cells, without the need for Catalyzed Reporter Deposition (CARD). Bacterial cells were readily detected based on their gold‐particle signal using scanning‐electron microscopy and energy‐dispersive X‐ray spectroscopy when contrasted with controls or cells hybridized with a single probe. Polygold‐FISH presents an alternative to CARD‐FISH, circumventing the need for aggressive oxidants, which is useful when products of microbial respiration such as those relevant at the microbe‐mineral interface could be altered during processing for visualization.

Almstrand, Robert↗

Linear Regression Based Multi-fidelity Surrogate for Disturbance Amplification in Multi-phase Explosion

When simulations are very expensive and many are required, as for optimization or uncertainty quantification, a way to reduce cost is using surrogates. With multiple simulations to predict the quantity of interest, some being very expensive and accurate (high-fidelity simulations) and others cheaper but less accurate (low-fidelity simulations), it may be worthwhile to use multifidelity surrogates (MFSs). Moreover, if we can afford just a few high-fidelity simulations or experiments, MFS becomes necessary. Co-Kriging, which is probably the most popular MFS, replaces both low-fidelity and high-fidelity simulations by a single MFS. A recently proposed linear regression–based MFS (LR-MFS) offers the option to correct the LF simulations instead of correcting the LF surrogate in the MFS. When the low-fidelity simulation is cheap enough for use in an application, such as optimization, this may be an attractive option. Here, we explore the performance of LR-MFS using exact and surrogate-replaced low-fidelity simulations. The concern studied is a cylindrical dispersal of 100-μ m-diameter solid particles after detonation and the quantity of interest is a measure of the amplification of the departure from axisymmetry. We find very substantial accuracy improvements for this problem using the LR-MFS with exact low-fidelity simulations. Inspired by these results, we also compare the performance of co-Kriging to the use of Kriging to correct exact low-fidelity simulations and find a similar accuracy improvement when simulations are directly used. For this problem, further improvements in accuracy are achievable by taking advantage of inherent parametric symmetries. These findings may alert users of MFSs to the possible advantages of using exact low-fidelity simulations when this is affordable.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Amplification of Waveguide Teleconnections in the Boreal Summer

While the influence of climate change on mid-latitude atmospheric circulation remains uncertain, hypotheses based on linear waveguide dynamics have been proposed suggesting amplification of circumglobal quasi-stationary Rossby wave events, which may have led to persistent and high-impact extremes in recent boreal summers. Furthermore, it is thus useful to synthesize these hypotheses and to discuss limitations of this simplified dynamical framework for explaining observed features.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Extension of the input–output relation for a Michelson interferometer to arbitrary coherent-state light sources: Gravitational-wave detector and weak-value amplification

An extension of the input–output relation for a conventional Michelson interferometric gravitational-wave detector is carried out to treat an arbitrary coherent state for the injected optical beam. This extension is one of necessary researches toward the clarification of the relation between conventional gravitational-wave detectors and a simple model of a gravitational-wave detector inspired by weak-measurements in Nishizawa (2015). The derived input–output relation describes not only a conventional Michelson-interferometric gravitational-wave detector but also the situation of weak measurements. As a result, we may say that a conventional Michelson gravitational-wave detector already includes the essence of the weak-value amplification as the reduction of the quantum noise from the light source through the measurement at the dark port.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Strong quadrature squeezing and quantum amplification in a coupled Bose–Einstein condensate—optomechanical cavity based on parametric modulation

We consider an optomechanical cavity with a movable end-mirror as a quantum mechanical oscillator (MO) containing an interacting cigar-shaped Bose–Eisenstein condensate (BEC). It is assumed that both the MO and the BEC interact with the radiation pressure of the cavity field in the red-detuned and weak coupling regimes while the two-body atomic collisions frequency of the BEC and the mechanical spring coefficient of the MO are coherently modulated. By analyzing the scattering matrix, we show that in the largely different cooperativities regime together with strong modulations, the mechanical mode of the MO and the Bogoliubov mode of the BEC exhibit quadrature squeezing which can surpass the so-called 3dB limit (up to 75 dB) with high robustness to the thermal noises. Surprisingly, in this regime by controlling the system and modulation parameters, a very high degree of squeezing (up to 16 dB) together with high purity of quantum state for the output cavity field is achievable. Furthermore, one can attain simultaneous strong quantum amplification, added-noise suppression, and controllable gain-bandwidth for the complementary quadratures of squeezed ones in the subsystems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Tension amplification in tethered layers of bottle-brush polymers

In this paper, molecular dynamics simulations of a coarse-grained bead–spring model have been used to study the effects of molecular crowding on the accumulation of tension in the backbone of bottle-brush polymers tethered to a flat substrate. The number of bottle-brushes per unit surface area, Σ, as well as the lengths of the bottle-brush backbones N bb (50 ≤ N bb ≤ 200) and side chains N sc (50 ≤ N sc ≤ 200) were varied to determine how the dimensions and degree of crowding of bottle-brushes give rise to bond tension amplification along the backbone, especially near the substrate. From these simulations, we have identified three separate regimes of tension. For low Σ, the tension is due solely to intramolecular interactions and is dominated by the side chain repulsion that governs the lateral brush dimensions. With increasing Σ, the interactions between bottle-brush polymers induce compression of the side chains, transmitting increasing tension to the backbone. For large Σ, intermolecular side chain repulsion increases, forcing side chain extension and reorientation in the direction normal to the surface and transmitting considerable tension to the backbone.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

An Enzyme-Free Signal Amplification Technique for Ultrasensitive Colorimetric Assay of Disease Biomarkers

Enzyme-based colorimetric assays have been widely used in research labs and clinical diagnosis for decades. Nevertheless, as constrained by the performance of enzymes, their detection sensitivity has not been substantially improved in recent years, which inhibits many critical applications such as early detection of cancers. In this work, we demonstrate an enzyme-free signal amplification technique, based on gold vesicles encapsulated with Pd-Ir nanoparticles as peroxidase mimics, for colorimetric assay of disease biomarkers with significantly enhanced sensitivity. This technique overcomes the intrinsic limitations of enzymes, thanks to the superior catalytic efficiency of peroxidase mimics and the efficient loading and release of these mimics. Using human prostate surface antigen as a model biomarker, we demonstrated that the enzyme-free assay could reach a limit of detection at the femtogram/mL level, which is over 10 3 -fold lower than that of conventional enzyme-based assay when the same antibodies and similar procedure were used.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Carbon-13 Radiofrequency Amplification by Stimulated Emission of Radiation of the Hyperpolarized Ketone and Hemiketal Forms of Allyl [1- 13 C]Pyruvate

13 C hyperpolarized pyruvate is an emerging MRI contrast agent for sensing molecular events in cancer and other diseases with aberrant metabolic pathways. This metabolic contrast agent can be produced via several hyperpolarization techniques. Despite remarkable success in research settings, widespread clinical adoption faces substantial roadblocks because the current sensing technology utilized to sense this contrast agent requires the excitation of 13 C nuclear spins that also need to be synchronized with MRI field gradient pulses. Here, we demonstrate sensing of hyperpolarized allyl [1- 13 C]pyruvate via the stimulated emission of radiation that mitigates the requirements currently blocking broader adoption. Specifically, 13 C Radiofrequency Amplification by Stimulated Emission of Radiation ( 13 C RASER) was obtained after pairwise addition of parahydrogen to a pyruvate precursor, detected in a commercial inductive detector with a quality factor (Q) of 32 for sample concentrations as low as 0.125 M with 13 C polarization of 4%. Moreover, parahydrogen-induced polarization allowed for the preparation of a mixture of ketone and hemiketal forms of hyperpolarized allyl [1- 13 C]pyruvate, which are separated by 10 ppm in 13 C NMR spectra. This is a good model system to study the simultaneous 13 C RASER signals of multiple 13 C species. This system models the metabolic production of hyperpolarized [1- 13 C]lactate from hyperpolarized [1- 13 C]pyruvate, which has a similar chemical shift difference. Our results show that 13 C RASER signals can be obtained from both species simultaneously when the emission threshold is exceeded for both species. On the other hand, when the emission threshold is exceeded only for one of the hyperpolarized species, 13 C stimulated emission is confined to this species only, therefore enabling the background-free detection of individual hyperpolarized 13 C signals. Furthermore, the reported results pave the way to novel sensing approaches of 13 C hyperpolarized pyruvate, potentially unlocking hyperpolarized 13 C MRI on virtually any MRI system–an attractive vision for the future molecular imaging and diagnostics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗