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At least 235 records · Page 13

Predictive turbulence-driven flux model of scrape-off layer widths across confinement regimes in tokamaks

Reliable scrape-off layer (SOL) profile decay lengths predictions are needed to design and operate future tokamaks. The present manuscript describes a new model based on turbulent transport that is able to predict SOL widths for both L-mode and H-mode plasmas. The model is based upon the sheared-spectral filament paradigm (Peret et al (WEST Team) 2022 Phys. Plasmas 29 072306), however, incorporating the effects of thermal transport in order to calculate the parallel heat fluxes. The effects of magnetic shear and ExB shear on the cross-field transport are crucial to explain the shorter SOL decay lengths found in H-mode. The model is validated against a database of thousands of DIII-D L-mode and H-mode SOL profiles. We also calculate SOL decay length predictions in terms of plasma and engineer control parameters, which are in agreement with the multi-machine empirical H-mode scaling (Eich et al (ASDEX Upgrade Team and JET EFDA Contributors) 2013 Nucl. Fusion 53 093031), however, with an additional device geometry dependence. ITER SOL width predictions by the model are 3 times higher than the empirical scaling.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Reconnection-driven Particle Acceleration in Relativistic Shear Flows

Particle energization in shear flows is invoked to explain nonthermal emission from the boundaries of relativistic astrophysical jets. Yet the physics of particle injection, i.e., the mechanism that allows thermal particles to participate in shear-driven acceleration, remains unknown. With particle-in-cell simulations, we study the development of Kelvin–Helmholtz (KH) instabilities seeded by the velocity shear between a relativistic magnetically dominated electron–positron jet and a weakly magnetized electron–ion ambient plasma. Here, we show that, in their nonlinear stages, KH vortices generate kinetic-scale reconnection layers, which efficiently energize the jet particles, thus providing a first-principles mechanism for particle injection into shear-driven acceleration. Our work lends support to spine-sheath models of jet emission—with a fast core/spine surrounded by a slower sheath —and can explain the origin of radio-emitting electrons at the boundaries of relativistic jets.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Establishing charge-transfer excitons in 2D perovskite heterostructures

Charge-transfer excitons (CTEs) immensely enrich property-tuning capabilities of semiconducting materials. However, such concept has been remaining as unexplored topic within halide perovskite structures. Here, we report that CTEs can be effectively formed in heterostructured 2D perovskites prepared by mixing PEA 2 PbI 4 :PEA 2 SnI 4 , functioning as host and guest components. Remarkably, a broad emission can be demonstrated with quick formation of 3 ps but prolonged lifetime of ~0.5 μs. This broad PL presents the hypothesis of CTEs, verified by the exclusion of lattice distortion and doping effects through demonstrating double-layered PEA 2 PbI 4 /PEA 2 SnI 4 heterostructure when shearing-away PEA 2 SnI 4 film onto the surface of PEA 2 PbI 4 film by using hand-finger pressing method. The below-bandgap photocurrent indicates that CTEs are vital states formed at PEA 2 PbI 4 :PEA 2 SnI 4 interfaces in 2D perovskite heterostructures. Electroluminescence shows that CTEs can be directly formed with electrically injected carriers in perovskite LEDs. Clearly, the CTEs presents a new mechanism to advance the multifunctionalities in 2D perovskites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Finite-Time Ensemble Method for Mixed Layer Model Comparison

Here, this work evaluates the fidelity of various upper-ocean turbulence parameterizations subject to realistic monsoon forcing and presents a finite-time ensemble vector (EV) method to better manage the design and numerical principles of these parameterizations. The EV method emphasizes the dynamics of a turbulence closure multimodel ensemble and is applied to evaluate 10 different ocean surface boundary layer (OSBL) parameterizations within a single-column (SC) model against two boundary layer large-eddy simulations (LES). Both LES include realistic surface forcing, but one includes wind-driven shear turbulence only, while the other includes additional Stokes forcing through the wave-average equations that generate Langmuir turbulence. The finite-time EV framework focuses on what constitutes the local behavior of the mixed layer dynamical system and isolates the forcing and ocean state conditions where turbulence parameterizations most disagree. Identifying disagreement provides the potential to evaluate SC models comparatively against the LES. Observations collected during the 2018 monsoon onset in the Bay of Bengal provide a case study to evaluate models under realistic and variable forcing conditions. The case study results highlight two regimes where models disagree 1) during wind-driven deepening of the mixed layer and 2) under strong diurnal forcing.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Verification and Regression Testing of a Physically Stabilized Layered Solid Element Formulation in DYNA3D/Paradyn

Recent modeling of filament-wound composite structures drove the need for a new element type within the finite element code DYNA3D/Paradyn. This new layered solid element was implemented and designed to capture the kinematics and constitutive be havior of various lamina layers defined with arbitrary orientations and volume fractions within the element to accurately model a laminated composite material. The new el ement uses a single integration point in each of the lamina layers defined to capture the constitutive behavior, and a novel physical stabilization routine is used to prevent hourglassing while mitigating shear and volumetric locking. This report documents the verification testing and the regression tests added to the DYNA3D/Paradyn software quality assurance test suite to assess the proper implementation of the new layered solid element. There were a total of 27 tests added the DYNA3D test suite, which consist of problems using the layered solid element with a single layer or multiple layers for isotropic and orthotropic material models. These tests are a combination of simple kinematically driven patch tests, beam bending tests, plate bending tests, and more complicated problems. Ultimately, the testing done verifies that the element behaves as expected and is implemented correctly.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Phase transition in bilayer MoS 2 under tensile loading: a molecular dynamics study

Abstract Molybdenum disulfide (MoS 2 ), especially single-layer MoS 2 , has been experimentally and computationally discovered to exist in several different polymorphs exhibiting various electronic and mechanical properties. The morphology of MoS 2 can be tuned through strain engineering. Molecular dynamics simulations are conducted to systematically study the phase transition of single-layer MoS 2 and bilayer MoS 2 under the uniaxial tensile condition at room temperature. The roles of edge and S-line vacancy are investigated. Phase transitions are always triggered near the edge and vacancy sites. The initiation of the metastable T″ phase can release the tensile stress in the lattice, followed by I4/mmm phase initiation, regardless of the edge conditions. The growth of the I4/mmm phase can cause the local buckling of the MoS 2 plane. With a tilted S-line vacancy, I4/mmm phase is first initiated to reduce the local shear stress accumulated near the vacancy line. Overall, the phase transition mechanism of single layer and bilayer MoS 2 under the uniaxial tensile loading is provided, which guides the future strain engineering of MoS 2 in nanoelectronics applications.

Materials Science↗

pH-Driven Restructuring of Hydration Layers and Cation Ad-sorption at the Alumina-Water Interface

Oxide-water interfaces underpin ion separation, catalysis, and electrochemical energy technologies, where the electrical double layer (EDL) controls adsorption, transport, and reactivity. Yet, the molecular-scale link between pH-dependent surface protonation, hydration-layer structure, and counter-ion adsorption remains poorly defined. Here, we combine in situ crystal truncation rod (CTR) and resonant anomalous X-ray reflectivity (RAXR) with streaming potential measurements and ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations to resolve the chemical and structural evolution of the EDL at the single-crystal alumina (012)-water interface in 10 mM Rb+ over pH 3-12. CTR measurements reveal two distinct adsorbed water layers at ~2.2 and ~3.5 Å above the surface that each shift toward the substrate at transition pHs near 6.5 and 10.6, respectively, directly reflecting changes in primary hydration layer structure in response to the deprotonation of bridging and terminal aluminol groups. RAXR shows a 10-fold increase in Rb+ coverage and a decrease in mean adsorption height from ~3.5 to ~2.7 Å with increasing pH, indicating enhanced counter-ion binding accompanied by Stern layer contraction. Streaming potential measurements demonstrate that the zeta potential, i.e., potential at the hydrodynamic shear plane, is positive at pH 3 and becomes negative at pH ≥3.5. This negative charge magnitude increases with increasing pH, consistent with progressive surface deprotonation at higher pH. AIMD identifies inner- and outer-sphere Rb+ complexes whose adsorption heights and coordination geometries depend sensitively on the protonation state of surface oxygens, providing atomistic support for the experimentally inferred trends. These measurements establish two discrete, site-specific pH transitions in hydration-layer structure that track aluminol (de)protonation and quantitatively link them to a pH-driven contraction of the Stern layer (increasing Rb+ coverage and decreasing adsorption height). This provides a direct structural basis for connecting surface acid-base chemistry to ion binding distances at an oxide-water interface.

Electrical double layer (EDL), Surface protonation↗

Critical Shear Stress for Erosion Under Laminar Jet Flow

Particle erosion is an important process in both natural and manmade environments. For example, in natural environments particle or sediment erosion rates determine the course of rivers, depth of streams, and fate of deltas. The interplay between erosion rates and flow patterns can have dramatic impact on shorelines. Where hydrodynamic jet flows or rip currents change direction, sediments may accumulate or disperse altering the shape of coastlines and the ecosystems and economies that rely on them. In man-made systems, jet flows may be used to mobilize particles from surfaces or within industrial scale mixing tanks. For example, in the nuclear industry, impinging jet mixers may be used to mobilize and suspend sludges at the bottom of waste tanks. In each of these examples, the Shields diagram is useful to determine the conditions under which erosion occurs. This diagram plots the scaled critical shear stress for erosion as a function of the particle size as embedded in particle Reynolds numbers, Archimedes numbers, or their equivalents. Although the data, that carries a large spread, is largely in agreement with mathematical models, for the smallest particles, model predictions diverge from each other and from experimental data. Indeed, there is substantial uncertainty about the Shields diagrams at relatively small particle sizes and flow rates. Here we evaluate critical shear stresses for erosion under laminar jet flow. To date critical shear stresses for erosion, as embodied in Shields diagrams, have largely been developed for turbulent flow both experimental and mathematically. However, curves on the Shields diagrams diverge among various models at lower particle Reynolds numbers. Indeed, how critical shear stresses for erosion develop under fully laminar jet flow conditions (not simply laminar boundary layers under turbulent flow) remains unclear. Here we address this gap, which is particularly important for mobilization of the smallest particles. We find the Shields parameter to be inversely proportional to the particle Reynolds numbers under laminar jet flow conditions similar to turbulent conditions.

critical shear stresses, erosion rates, effective ↗

Modeling the effect of wind speed and direction shear on utility‐scale wind turbine power production

Abstract Wind speed and direction variations across the rotor affect power production. As utility‐scale turbines extend higher into the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) with larger rotor diameters and hub heights, they increasingly encounter more complex wind speed and direction variations. We assess three models for power production that account for wind speed and direction shear. Two are based on actuator disc representations, and the third is a blade element representation. We also evaluate the predictions from a standard power curve model that has no knowledge of wind shear. The predictions from each model, driven by wind profile measurements from a profiling LiDAR, are compared to concurrent power measurements from an adjacent utility‐scale wind turbine. In the field measurements of the utility‐scale turbine, discrete combinations of speed and direction shear induce changes in power production of −19% to +34% relative to the turbine power curve for a given hub height wind speed. Positive speed shear generally corresponds to over‐performance and increasing magnitudes of direction shear to greater under‐performance, relative to the power curve. Overall, the blade element model produces both higher correlation and lower error relative to the other models, but its quantitative accuracy depends on induction and controller sub‐models. To further assess the influence of complex, non‐monotonic wind profiles, we also drive the models with best‐fit power law wind speed profiles and linear wind direction profiles. These idealized inputs produce qualitative and quantitative differences in power predictions from each model, demonstrating that time‐varying, non‐monotonic wind shear affects wind power production.

Energy & Fuels↗

Mechanochemical α to β phase transition of U 3 O 8

Recognized as the most stable phase of uranium oxide, α-U 3 O 8 is widely used throughout the nuclear fuel cycle for safe storage and transportation. There is, however, a lack of understanding of the thermodynamic relationship between α-U 3 O 8 and its polymorph, β-U 3 O 8 . This research contributes new knowledge regarding the kinetics and mechanism of a previously described mechanochemical phase transition between the α- and β-U 3 O 8 polymorphs to improve the understanding of their thermodynamic relationship. In this work, tumble milling of α-U 3 O 8 using different milling media shows an ingrowth of the β-phase over time, with an observed correlation between media density, percent conversion and lattice strain. Anisotropic peak broadening observed within collected X-ray diffraction powder patterns suggests the preservation of uranium polyhedral layered sheets throughout the milling process. Preservation of the sheets implies a shear-induced slip mechanism occurring through in-plane shifting of uranium polyhedra along lattice planes perpendicular to the polyhedral sheets.

Roach, Jordan M. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (O↗

Scaling of the mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress in turbulent plane jet

Here, proper scaling for the mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress in a turbulent plane jet is determined using a scaling patch approach. By seeking an admissible scaling, a key concept in the scaling patch approach, for the mean continuity equation, a proper scale for the mean transverse flow in a turbulent plane jet is found as V ref = –δdU ctr /dx, where δ is the jet half width and dU ctr /dx is the decay rate of the mean axial velocity at the jet centerline. By seeking an admissible scaling for the mean axial momentum equation, a proper scale for the kinematic Reynolds shear stress is found as R uv,ref =U ctr V ref , which is a mix of the velocity scales in the axial and transverse directions. Approximation functions for the scaled mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress are developed and found to agree well with experimental and numerical data. Similarities and differences between the scales of the mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress in turbulent plane jets and zero-pressure-gradient turbulent boundary layer flows are clarified.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Rupture Dynamics Simulations of Shallow Crustal Earthquakes on Reverse Slip Faults

The main goal of this study was to perform dynamic rupture simulations in order constrain the characterization of kinematic rupture models implemented in techniques for simulating strong ground motion for crustal earthquakes. First, we investigated the rupture process of the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake by developing a dynamic rupture model on a reverse fault using a trial-and-error technique that produced a slip distribution and near-fault ground motion that matched the recorded ones. The simulations were performed in the frequency range 0-2 Hz, using a 3D staggered grid finite-difference method and a linear slip weakening friction law. Constrained by the observed slip distribution and consistent with dynamic rupture models, the derived kinematic rupture model of the Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake contains areas with relatively large slip rate, representing strong motion generation areas, set against lower amplitude heterogeneous background slip, and a relatively low slip rate in the weak zone of the top-most crust (upper 3km). Second, we performed rupture dynamics modeling to constrain shallow slip characterization in rupture models for strike-slip crustal earthquakes. The objective was to establish general rules about the characterization of slip rate function and slip at shallow depths and in the strong motion generation areas (SMGAs). The simulations of spontaneous rupture were performed in the frequency range 0-2.0Hz, using a 3D staggered-grid finite-difference method and a layer over half-space 1D crustal velocity model with a minimum shear-wave velocity of 2.8 km/s. In order to account for changes in material ductility and reduction of stress drop, observed in the shallow crust (upper 3-5 km), and the transition from ductile state to brittle state in the upper seismogenic zone, in our stress models we included a shallow weak zone (<4km). In this zone the stress drop was set to zero at the free surface and gradually increased with depth, while the slip weakening distance was set to 75 cm at the free surface and decreased to 50 cm at the base of the weak zone. As in the case of reverse faulting during the Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, from these computations we found a systematic change in the shape of the slip-rate function, from Kostrov-type in the deeper part of the fault to a more symmetric cosine-type in the upper few kilometers, near the free-surface. Moreover, the average slip duration in the weak zone, with respect to slip duration in the deeper parts of the fault, increases by at most a factor of 1.5. We found a systematic and gradual change in the shape of the slip-rate function from Kostrov-type in the asperity areas (SMGAs), to more symmetric cosine-type in the upper few km near the free-surface, on the long period motion generation area (LMGA). The effective rise time in the LMGA, with respect to that in the SMGAs, increases by at most a factor of 2. Effective rise time is the time difference between the time at which the slip rate drops to a level that is equal to 25% of its peak and the onset time of the signal. In addition, the slip in the LMGA located above the SMGAs is almost the same as the one in the SMGAs, and about 1.5 times larger than the average slip.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

pH-Driven Restructuring of Hydration Layers and Cation Adsorption at the Alumina–Water Interface

Oxide−water interfaces underpin ion separations, catalysis, and electrochemical energy technologies, where the electrical double layer (EDL) controls adsorption, transport, and reactivity. However, the molecular-scale links between pHdependent surface protonation, hydration-layer structure, and counterion adsorption remain poorly defined. Here, we combine in situ crystal truncation rod (CTR) and resonant anomalous X-ray reflectivity (RAXR) with streaming potential measurements and ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations to resolve the chemical and structural evolution of the EDL at the single-crystal alumina (012)−water interface in 10 mM Rb + over pH 3−12. CTR measurements reveal two distinct adsorbed water layers at ∼2.2 and ∼3.5 Å above the surface. Each water layer shifts toward the substrate at transition pHs near 6.5 and 10.6, respectively, reflecting changes in primary hydration layer structure in response to the deprotonation of bridging and terminal aluminol groups. RAXR shows a 10-fold increase in Rb + coverage and a decrease in mean adsorption height from ∼3.5 to ∼2.7 Å with increasing pH, indicating enhanced counterion binding accompanied by Stern layer contraction. Streaming potential measurements demonstrate that the zeta potential, i.e., the potential at the hydrodynamic shear plane, is positive at pH 3 and becomes negative at pH ≥ 3.5. The negative charge magnitude increases with increasing pH, consistent with progressive surface deprotonation at higher pH. AIMD identifies inner- and outer-sphere Rb+ complexes whose adsorption heights and coordination geometries depend sensitively on the protonation state of surface oxygens, providing atomistic support for the experimentally inferred trends. These measurements establish two discrete, site-specific pH transitions in hydration-layer structure that track aluminol (de)protonation and quantitatively link them to a pH-driven contraction of the Stern layer (increasing Rb + coverage and decreasing adsorption height). This provides a direct structural basis for connecting surface acid−base chemistry to ion binding distances at an oxide−water interface.

Adsorption↗

Analysis of Fault Zone Resonance Modes Recorded by a Dense Seismic Array Across the San Jacinto Fault Zone at Blackburn Saddle

We present observations and modeling of spatial eigen-functions of resonating waves within fault zone waveguide, using data recorded on a dense seismic array across the San Jacinto Fault Zone (SJFZ) in southern California. The array consists of 5-Hz geophones that cross the SJFZ with ~10-30 m spacing at the Blackburn Saddle near the Hemet Stepover. Wavefield snapshots after the S wave arrival are consistent for more than 50 near-fault events, suggesting that this pattern is controlled by the fault zone structure rather than source properties. Data from example event with high signal to noise ratio shows three main frequency peaks at ~1.3 Hz, ~2.0 Hz, and ~2.8 Hz in the amplitude spectra of resonance waves averaged over stations near the fault. The data are modeled with analytical expressions for eigen-functions of resonance waves in a low-velocity layer (fault zone) between two quarter-spaces. Using a grid search-based method, we investigate the possible width of the waveguide, location within the array, and shear wave velocities of the media that fit well the resonance signal at ~1.3 Hz. The results indicate a ~300 m wide damaged fault zone layer with ~65% S wave velocity reduction compared to the host rock. The SW edge of the low-velocity zone is near the mapped fault surface trace, indicating that the damage zone is asymmetrically located at the regionally faster NE crustal block. The imaging resolution of the fault zone structure can be improved by modeling fault zone resonance modes and trapped waves together.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Pervasive low-velocity layer atop the 410-km discontinuity beneath the northwest Pacific subduction zone: Implications for rheology and geodynamics

Regional triplication waveforms of five intermediate-depth events are modeled to simultaneously obtain the compressional (P) and shear (SH) wave velocity structure beneath northwestern Pacific subduction zone. Both the P- and SH-wave velocity models for three different sub-regions show a low-velocity layer (LVL) with a thickness of ~55-80 km lying above the 410-km discontinuity with a ~900 km lateral extent from the Japan Sea to the northeastern Asian continental margin. With the dihedral angle approaching to zero around 400 km, a minute amount of melt atop the 410-km discontinuity caused by the hydrous slab might completely wet olivine grain boundaries and result in a low seismic velocity layer in this specific subduction zone. This mechanism suggests that the 410-LVL is a low viscosity zone that would partially decouple the upper mantle from the transition zone. We infer that the widespread 410-LVL provides evidence for a water-bearing mantle transition zone beneath the western Pacific subduction zone.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Enhanced Stability and Sensitivity for CA-125 Detection Under Microfluidic Shear Flow Using Polyethylene Glycol-Coated Biosensor

The microfluidic-based point-of-care (POC) diagnostic tool has garnered significant interest in recent years, offering rapid and cost-effective disease detection. There is a growing trend toward integrating microfluidic platforms with biosensors, aligning lab-on-a-chip technologies with POC diagnostic devices. Despite numerous efforts to incorporate biosensors into microfluidic systems, researchers have performed very limited investigations on the stability of biomarker detection when biosensors operate under microfluidic shear flow conditions. Gold nanoparticles (AuNPs) are a widely employed material in capacitive biosensors for antibody immobilization and sensitivity enhancement. However, AuNPs have limitations in providing stable detection of biomarkers within microfluidic shear flow due to their agglomeration nature. This study addresses these limitations by employing 2 kDa polyethylene glycol (PEG) as an intermediate biofunctional layer to immobilize CA-125 antibodies on gold-interdigitated electrodes for the stable and accurate detection of CA-125 antigens. The stabilities and sensitivities of AuNPs and PEG-coated biosensors are evaluated under both static drop and microfluidic shear flow conditions for CA-125 antigen detection. The experimental results demonstrate a capacitive signal response (5660 pF at 10 kHz) 2.2 times higher using the PEG-coated biosensor than the signal (2551 pF at 10 kHz) measured by the AuNP-coated biosensor in the detection of CA-125 antigen–antibody conjugation under static drop conditions, indicating the higher sensitivity of the PEG-coated biosensor. Additionally, the PEG-coated biosensor exhibits better consistency for the CA-125 antigen detection between static drop and microfluidic shear flow conditions (Cp decrease in percentage (ΔCp%↓) = 2.9% at 10 kHz) compared to the electrical signals measured using the AuNP-coated biosensor (ΔCp%↓ = 32.4% at 10 kHz), which suggests that the PEG-coated biosensor demonstrates higher stability for CA-125 antigen detection under microfluidic shear flow conditions. With these significant improvements brought by the PEG-coated biosensor, especially under microfluidic conditions, a substantial hurdle in developing electrical biosensors for POC diagnostic applications has been overcome, expediting further advancements in the field.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Low-Reynolds-number oscillating boundary layers on adiabatic slopes

We investigate the instabilities and transition mechanisms of Boussinesq stratified boundary layers on sloping boundaries when subjected to oscillatory body forcing parallel to the slope. We examine idealized forms of boundary layers on hydraulically smooth abyssal slopes in tranquil mid- to low-latitude regions, where low-wavenumber internal tides gently heave isopycnals up and down adiabatic slopes in the absence of mean flows, high-wavenumber internal tides, shelf breaks, resonant tide–bathymetry interactions (critical slopes) and other phenomena associated with turbulence ‘hot spots’. In non-rotating low-Reynolds-number flow, increased stratification on the downslope phase has a relaminarizing effect, while on the upslope phase we find transition-to-turbulence pathways arise from shear production triggered by gravitational instabilities. When rotation is significant (low slope Burger numbers) we find that boundary layer turbulence is sustained throughout the oscillation period, resembling stratified Stokes–Ekman layer turbulence. Simulation results suggest that oscillating boundary layers on smooth slopes at low Reynolds number ($Re\leqslant 840$), unity Prandtl number and slope Burger numbers greater than unity do not cause significant irreversible turbulent buoyancy flux (mixing), and that flat-bottom dissipation rate models derived from the tide amplitude are accurate within an order of magnitude.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Relating storm-snow avalanche instabilities to data collected from the Differential Emissivity Imaging Disdrometer (DEID)

Storm-snow avalanches are challenging to forecast due to complex alpine terrain and during rapidly changing weather conditions. They can result in loss of lives and significant economic impact. We describe how a new device that continuously measures with high-frequency snowflake mass, size, density, and type, the Differential Emissivity Imaging Disdrometer (DEID), and show how the DEID can be used to aid avalanche forecasting when coupled with a storm-snow stability model. DEID measurements of snow accumulation, snow water equivalent (SWE), and snow density obtained during seventeen storms taken at the mid-Collins Snow-Study Plot at Alta Ski Area in Utah's Central Wasatch mountain range during winter 2020–2021 show excellent agreement with infrequent manual measurements. Additionally, two new variables, the Shape Density Index (SDI) and Complexity, are proposed and used to classify snowflake habit and estimate storm-snow shear strength. We illustrate how these DEID-derived data can be used to identify layers of concern in the storm snow such as density inversions, in real-time without digging snow pits. Furthermore, the DEID-data are used to run four variations of the SNOw Slope Stability model (SNOSS) for the storms investigated. The results are evaluated with data collected from tilt-board tests, infrasound measurements, and visual observations of avalanches. For a total fourteen storms analyzed, the DEID-driven SNOSS-modeled minimum stability index predicts the general stability of the storm-snow as indicated by observed avalanches, both natural and of unknown cause. Finally, the results provide a promising approach for nowcasting instabilities within storm-snow layers with a single instrument.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗