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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

FECM/NETL Unconventional Shale Well Economic Model (UShWEM): Description and User’s Manual

FECM/NETL Unconventional Shale Well Economic Model (UShWEM) is an Excel-based model that evaluates the economics of an unconventional shale well on a per-well and per-pad basis. This document serves as the user’s manual for the model with descriptions of the procedures the user must follow to run the model. This document also describes the capabilities of the model and provides the equations that are used by the model to calculate technical quantities and key model outputs including net cash flow, internal rate of return (IRR), net present value (NPV), earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), payout month and year, and breakeven price (for either oil- or gas-wells).

Sheriff, Alana↗
DOE OSTI2022

FECM/NETL Unconventional Shale Well Economic Model (UShWEM): Production Data for UShWEM

The Production Data for UShWEM.xlsx is an Excel file that is formatted and organized similarly to the Production Streams sheet of the FECM/NETL Unconventional Shale Well Economic Model (UShWEM). The purpose of this file is to allow the user to import completion design and time-series production data for hundreds of wells into the UShWEM easily and quickly, and have their well data saved safely in an external location. For instructions on how to use the Production Data for UShWEM.xlsx file, see section 2.3 of the FECM/NETL Unconventional Shale Well Economic Model: User’s Manual.

Sheriff, Alana↗
DOE OSTI2022

FECM/NETL Unconventional Shale Well Economic Model (UShWEM)

FECM/NETL Unconventional Shale Well Economic Model (UShWEM) is an Excel-based model that evaluates the economics of an unconventional shale well on a per-well and per-pad basis. The model calculates the net cash flow, internal rate of return (IRR), net present value (NPV), earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), payout month and year, and breakeven price (for either oil- or gas-wells). The model can be used to estimate the economics of a well or pad over its lifetime (development through site reclamation) based on (1) the capital and operating costs associated with well/pad development and operations, (2) the revenue associated with oil, gas, and condensate production streams, and (3) accounting for relevant tax policies and asset depreciation applicable for oil and gas operations. The main input for the model is the completion design and production data. Key financial considerations in the model include oil, gas, and condensate market prices, tax-related settings, royalty rates, the discount rate, minimum economic hurdle (IRR) [if performing break-even analysis], and project contingency. The financial consideration can be adjusted to reflect the level of granularity the user requires as input when calculating the economics for a well or pad development. In addition, the model affords users the option to provide their user inputs for all cost categories considered. As a result, the model can be used to generate a multitude of scenario cases for sensitivity analysis of the various financial considerations, as well as production and cost profiles. To make this seamless, the model has the capability for key economic outputs to be exported in large batches through macros-enabled functions on its “Model Output Summary” and “Multi-Well Cost Analysis. The spreadsheet model includes macros and user-defined functions, so the user must enable Excel’s macro capability for the model to function correctly.

Sheriff, Alana↗
DOE OSTI2021

Marcellus Shale Energy and Environment Laboratory (MSEEL) (Final Report)

The objective of the Marcellus Shale Energy and Environment Laboratory (MSEEL) was to provide a long-term field site to develop and validate new knowledge and technology to improve recovery efficiency and minimize environmental implications of unconventional resource development. MSEEL initiated in October 2014 and completed in September 2021. Total project value was $\$29,765,067$, support from the US Department of energy totaled $\$16,608,355$ with a cost share of $\$13,156,712$ primarily from Northeast Natural Energy. This report in a departure from previous reports summarizes the overarching results and outlines the approach taken. We cover two recent efforts in machine learning and reservoir characterization and simulation. Numerous quarterly reports, public presentations and numerous external publications cover specific results by subtopic and in detail. Publications are listed in the Appendix.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Paw-Net: Stacking ensemble deep learning for segmenting scanning electron microscopy images of fine-grained shale samples

Segmentation of scanning electron microscopy (SEM) images is critical yet time-consuming for geological analyses, as it needs to differentiate the boundaries for different mineral objects to facilitate subsequent analyses, such as porosity calculation. Recently, various machine learning methods, especially convolutional neural networks (CNNs), have been explored to segment SEM images of fine-grained shale samples. However, we found that general CNNs do not yield optimal performance due to insufficient training data and imbalanced objects in SEM images. This work has revised the U-Net architecture, a popular approach for biomedical image analyses, by incorporating a loss function that addresses the imbalance issue. Furthermore, we used the ensemble learning method to train multiple models and combined the results to improve the overall performance of segmentation. We prepared 2162 sub-images from raw SEM images in our experiments and divided them into training, validation, and testing datasets. The overall results show that our method improves the average Intersection over Union (IOU) of mineral objects from 0.49 to 0.58, compared to the original U-Net model. Our method can clearly distinguish each object from others with boundaries, even in highly imbalanced images. Training our models takes less than three minutes using a single GPU, while manual labeling can take up to three hours for each image. Furthermore, the method helps geoscientists gain insights quickly and effectively by building neural network models from a small dataset of SEM images.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Machine-learning predictions of the shale wells’ performance

The ultra-low permeability nature of shale reservoirs leads to an extended linear flow and necessitates horizontal wells with multi-stage engineered fractures to efficiently extract hydrocarbons resources. These artificially-generated and naturally-occurring fractures form complex networks that create complex flow regimes which control oil production. These fractures are neither identical nor equally-spaced, which leads to a production profile with a masked onset of the boundary-dominated flow. The combination of the extended linear flow with the indeterminate onset of the boundary-dominated flow challenges the current deterministic analytic approaches to forecast the estimated ultimate recovery (EUR). In this work, we propose a novel machine-learning approach which overcomes these challenges and provides reliable EUR estimates based on field-wide analyses. We implement a novel unsupervised machine learning (ML) methodology, which allows for automatic identification of the optimal number of features (signals) present in the data based on non-negative matrix/tensor factorization coupled with k-means clustering incorporating regularization and physics constraints. In the presented analyses, the input data to the ML algorithm is the available (public) production history from the field collected at existing unconventional reservoirs. We validate our approach through hindcasting of the production data, where we achieved an excellent agreement. In addition, our approach is able to identify the poorly-performing wells, which could benefit from early refracing. Our approach provides fast and accurate estimations of the well performance without presumptions about the state of the well or the flow regime.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Coupled hydro-thermal flow and radionuclide transport driven by spatial variation of heat-generating radioactive wastes in shale formations

Deep geologic disposal of multiple nuclear waste packages with various heat sources can induce nonuniform hydro-thermal behaviors in the near-field of the repository, consequently influencing the long-term radionuclide transport in the far-field once waste form breach initiates. Here, this study looks into three cases with variation in the spatial order of six groups of heat sources (10th, 50th, 75th, 90th, 95th, and 99th percentiles of heat outputs generated from 1,981 as-loaded dual-purpose canisters in the field site) in a shale-hosted repository with respect to the uni-directional groundwater flow (from west to east): (1) cooler waste packages from west to east, (2) hotter waste packages from west to east, and (3) hottest waste packages in the middle of the repository. Our field-scale PFLOTRAN simulation represents heat-driven multiphysics coupled mechanisms, including multiphase flow, heat transfer, and chemical/radioactive transport, and also, calculates the onset of waste form breach based on temperature-dependent canister vitality. The results from this sensitivity study will quantify the short- (less than 1 × 10 3 years) and long-term (up to 1 × 10 6 years) impacts of sporadic heat pulses from waste package on the spatio-temporal perturbation in hydro-thermal flow quantities and the rate of radionuclide transport in both near- and far-field of the repository system.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2021

Permeability Evolution of Fractures in Shale in the Presence of Supercritical CO 2

We experimentally examined the impact of supercritical carbon dioxide (scCO 2 ) on fracture permeability and fracture surface characteristics in shales of various compositions. We measured permeability and fracture normal displacement at different effective stresses using both argon and scCO 2 as pore fluids. Both natural fractures and saw cuts in intact samples were used in our study. The permeability and fracture normal displacement decrease after multiple loading/unloading cycles, apparently as the result of inelastic compaction. In samples with high carbonate content, we observe an increase in permeability and fracture surface degradation after more than 3.5 days of exposure to scCO 2 , apparently due to carbonate dissolution. We demonstrate that the sensitivity of permeability to effective normal stress correlates well with the fracture normal displacement. The dependence of permeability on effective normal stress increases after exposure to scCO 2 as the fracture surface became more compliant.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ecological Assembly Processes Are Coordinated between Bacterial and Viral Communities in Fractured Shale Ecosystems

The ecological drivers that concurrently act upon both a virus and its host and that drive community assembly are poorly understood despite known interactions between viral populations and their microbial hosts. Hydraulically fractured shale environments provide access to a closed ecosystem in the deep subsurface where constrained microbial and viral community assembly processes can be examined. Here, we used metagenomic analyses of time-resolved-produced fluid samples from two wells in the Appalachian Basin to track viral and host dynamics and to investigate community assembly processes. Hypersaline conditions within these ecosystems should drive microbial community structure to a similar configuration through time in response to common osmotic stress. However, viral predation appears to counterbalance this potentially strong homogeneous selection and pushes the microbial community toward undominated assembly. In comparison, while the viral community was also influenced by substantial undominated processes, it assembled, in part, due to homogeneous selection. When the overall assembly processes acting upon both these communities were directly compared with each other, a significant relationship was revealed, suggesting an association between microbial and viral community development despite differing selective pressures. These results reveal a potentially important balance of ecological dynamics that must be in maintained within this deep subsurface ecosystem in order for the microbial community to persist over extended time periods. More broadly, this relationship begins to provide knowledge underlying metacommunity development across trophic levels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Micro-CT Imaging and Fluid Flow Simulations of Fractures in MSEEL Shale

micro-CT scans of a naturally fractured MSEEL shale sample as a shear fracture is generated and displaced in the center, intact region of the sample. Steady State laminar fluid flow simulations were then performed on each individual fracture during each experimental segment as effective stress and shear displacement changed. Released under LA-UR-21-24335.

Fractures,Fracturing Initiation,Marcellus Shale↗
DOE OSTI2021

Computed Tomography Scans of Naturally Mineralized Fractures in Upper Wolfcamp Shale

Computed tomography scans of fractures in small samples of Wolfcamp Shale from the Permian Basin and a depth of approximately 10,400 feet that have been cemented through natural processes. These samples were CT scanned at NETL. The data sets compliment the manuscript by Hajirezaie et al entitled "Mineral characterization of a sealed fracture: A multiscale multimodal imaging study of a syntaxial vein"

Computed Tomography↗
DOE OSTI2021

Core Characterization of Bakken Shale from the Bedwell 33-52-1-1H Well, Sheridan County, Montana

The computed tomography (CT) facilities and the Multi-Sensor Core Logger (MSCL) at the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) in Morgantown, West Virginia were used to characterize core of the Bedwell 33-52-1-1H well (API 25-091-21920), a wildcat field in Sheridan County, Montana. The primary impetus of this work is to provide a unique dataset to researchers at universities, national laboratories, geological surveys, and other locations for additional analyses. The resultant datasets are presented in this report and can be accessed from NETL's Energy Data eXchange (EDX) online system using the following link: https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/bedwell-33-52-1-1h-well. The equipment and techniques used to characterize the full core were non-destructive, enabling future examinations and analyses to be performed on these cores. However, none of the equipment used was suitable for direct visualization of the pore space in fine-grained structures such as those found in shales; fractures, discontinuities, and millimeter scale features were readily detectable with the methods tested. Imaging with the NETL medical CT scanner was performed on the entire core. Qualitative analysis of the medical CT images, coupled with X-ray fluorescence (XRF), P-wave, and magnetic susceptibility measurements from the MSCL were useful in identifying zones of interest for more detailed analysis. A selection of samples (Table 1) were cored, sliced, and powdered for additional characterization analyses. These analyses did involve destructive subsampling of the full core at discrete sections, and the results are presented here in the context of the larger core description. Selected sections of the core were removed from the full core for detailed analyses using the following destructive techniques: bulk inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectroscopy (ICP-OES), isolation of carbon and sulfur, Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy, scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and higher resolution CT scan with NETL’s micro-CT scanning systems. The ability to quickly identify key areas for more detailed study with higher resolution will save time and resources in future studies. The combination of methods used provides a multi-scale analysis of the core; the resulting macro and micro descriptions are relevant to many subsurface energy related examinations traditionally performed at NETL.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Report on Mowry Shale Thermal Maturity Mapping in the Powder River Basin, Wyoming

The Enhanced Oil Recovery Institute (EORI) has completed a map of thermal maturity of the Mowry Shale in the Powder River Basin (PRB). Thermal maturity, the degree to which the total organic carbon in a formation has been transformed from kerogen to producible hydrocarbons due to heat and pressure, is an important measure for not just the quality of a source rock, but also helps for delineating areas more favorable for unconventional drilling. There is a dearth of published Mowry maturity maps available for the PRB and this publication endeavors to provide a detailed map based on a large, public data set covering the Wyoming portion of the PRB. Additional data, currently held confidential by operators in the basin, would be of benefit to future iterations of this map.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2022

Fractal Characterization of Multimodal, Multiscale Images of Shale Rock Fracture Networks

An array of multimodal and multiscale images of fractured shale rock samples and analogs was collected with the aim of improving the numerical representation of fracture networks. 2D and 3D reconstructions of fractures and matrices span from 10 –6 to 100 m. The origin of the fracture networks ranged from natural to thermal maturation to hydraulically induced maturation. Images were segmented to improve fracture identification. Then, the fractal dimension and length distribution of the fracture networks were calculated for each image dataset. The resulting network connectivity and scaling associations are discussed at length on the basis of scale, sample and order of magnitude. Fracture network origin plays an important role in the resulting fracture systems and their scaling. Rock analogs are also evaluated using these descriptive tools and are found to be faithful depictions of maturation-induced fracture networks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Learnings from the Marcellus Shale Energy and Environmental Lab (MSEEL) Using Fiber Optic Tools and Geomechanical Modeling

The study focuses on the MIP and Boggess pads of the MSEEL (Marcellus Shale Energy and Environmental Laboratory), a public-private partnership with a mandate to publicly release data for scientists and engineers to engage with. Multiple diagnostic tools are used to characterize the formation and monitor fracture treatment and propagation. Geomechanical modeling is used to understand the insitu stresses, microseismic to describe half-lengths and heights, and fiber optics to characterize offset well. Fracture Driven Interactions (FDI’s) and interstage communication. Recent publications covering the MSEEL MIP-3H and MIP-5H wells are reviewed and discussed. A preview of the findings from the Boggess pad (first production in November 2019) is also shared here

03 NATURAL GAS↗