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At least 235 records · Page 13

Comparing perceptions of a dimmable LED lighting system between a real space and a virtual reality display

Over the last several decades, designers have used digital screens to view images of real and simulated spaces and make critical design decisions. Screen technology has improved during this time, as technologies like OLED have replaced legacy displays (CRT, plasma, and LCD). These new screens provide a higher pixel resolution, luminous output and contrast ratio. Immersive head-mounted displays now allow designers to view immersive images, and recent developments in real-time rendering have encouraged the uptake of virtual reality (VR) head-mounted displays in mainstream practice and design education. This paper presents an experiment on lighting perception using a series of LED lighting conditions in a real space and a virtual representation of those conditions captured using a 360° high-dynamic-range camera and presented on an HTC Vive Pro HMD. Fifty-three participants were asked to rate each lighting condition by viewing it in a real space (n = 30) or via immersive HDR photographs displayed in a VR HMD (n = 23). The results show that ratings of visual comfort, pleasantness, evenness, contrast and glare are similar between the HTC Vive Pro HMD and our real space when evaluating well-lit scenes, but significant differences emerge in dim and highly contrasted scenes for a number of rating scales.

Rockcastle, S.↗

Evaluation of an open forecasting challenge to assess skill of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease prediction

Abstract Background West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne illness in the continental USA. WNV occurrence has high spatiotemporal variation, and current approaches to targeted control of the virus are limited, making forecasting a public health priority. However, little research has been done to compare strengths and weaknesses of WNV disease forecasting approaches on the national scale. We used forecasts submitted to the 2020 WNV Forecasting Challenge, an open challenge organized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, to assess the status of WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) prediction and identify avenues for improvement. Methods We performed a multi-model comparative assessment of probabilistic forecasts submitted by 15 teams for annual WNND cases in US counties for 2020 and assessed forecast accuracy, calibration, and discriminatory power. In the evaluation, we included forecasts produced by comparison models of varying complexity as benchmarks of forecast performance. We also used regression analysis to identify modeling approaches and contextual factors that were associated with forecast skill. Results Simple models based on historical WNND cases generally scored better than more complex models and combined higher discriminatory power with better calibration of uncertainty. Forecast skill improved across updated forecast submissions submitted during the 2020 season. Among models using additional data, inclusion of climate or human demographic data was associated with higher skill, while inclusion of mosquito or land use data was associated with lower skill. We also identified population size, extreme minimum winter temperature, and interannual variation in WNND cases as county-level characteristics associated with variation in forecast skill. Conclusions Historical WNND cases were strong predictors of future cases with minimal increase in skill achieved by models that included other factors. Although opportunities might exist to specifically improve predictions for areas with large populations and low or high winter temperatures, areas with high case-count variability are intrinsically more difficult to predict. Also, the prediction of outbreaks, which are outliers relative to typical case numbers, remains difficult. Further improvements to prediction could be obtained with improved calibration of forecast uncertainty and access to real-time data streams (e.g. current weather and preliminary human cases). Graphical Abstract

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessment of the Electrical Substation-Grid Testbed with Inside/Outside Devices and Distributed Ledger Technology

The electrical substation-grid testbed was created to integrate the GOOSE and/or DNP (Distributed Network Protocol) messages with time synchronized sources and Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT). The objective was to study the impact of faults and cyber-events at an electrical substation with inside (protective relays) and outside (power meters) substation devices. The electrical substation-grid testbed was based on the design of a 34.5/ 12.47 kV electrical substation (sectionalized bus configuration) with two power transformers, connected to radial power lines and load feeders. The electrical substation-grid testbed was installed at 252 lab space (Advanced Power System Protection), Grid Research Integration and Deployment Center (GRID-C), Oak Ridge National Laboratory. This testbed was created for Task 5, DarkNet project. The electrical substation-grid testbed was created to simulate fault and/or cyber events that could potentially result in damage to the electrical infrastructure. In addition, tests were run that are usually not allowed to be performed in an operational electrical power grid, because these test scenarios could trip breakers and/or generate fault situations that could potentially damage equipment. The number of tests performed in the electrical substation-grid testbed were executed in a better way than in a real electrical substation and/or power grid, because multiple tests could be run in a short period of time, and complex permits, and safety/ schedule restrictions like in a real electrical substation environment were not needed. The electrical substation-grid testbed was created using real measurement, communication, and protection devices that are used by electrical utilities, to have same conditions that we could observe in a real power grid or electrical substation. The electrical substation-grid testbed was based on using a real time simulator and expansion box with amplifiers that were wired to electrical substation-grid devices. This hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) was provided by protective relays, power meters, ethernet switches, remote terminal units, synchronized timing network clock, DLT devices, workstations, and servers. This report includes the design, installation, and assessment of the electrical substation-grid testbed that was similar to an operational electrical substation, integrating the power system protection, communication, and control systems. The results for the electrical substation-grid testbed were based on:• verifying the analog signals for protective relays and power meters, • observing the synchronized time source frame at devices, • authenticating the GOOSE (IEC 61850) and DNP messages from power meters and protective relays, and • verifying the trip conditions of protective relays at fault tests with the power system fault event detection, using DLT devices. For future work, the electrical substation-grid testbed with protective relays and power meters, using DLT and synchronized time source from DarkNet, will be used to study the impact of cyber-events at inside and outside substation devices. Advanced algorithms for detecting cyber-events produced by non-desired protective relay settings will be studied, to improve the detection and reliability of protection, control, and communication systems at power grids.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Deep Learning-based Parameterization of Complex 3D CO2 Saturation Data in Large-scale Geological Carbon Storage

In deep learning (DL), dimension reduction plays a pivotal role in improving training efficiency and minimizing overfitting, especially when working with complex datasets like three-dimensional (3D) saturation data. In the context of geological carbon storage (GCS), 3D saturation data introduces unique challenges due to its sparse nature and sharp transitions at plume boundaries, known as shock fronts. To tackle these challenges, we developed a novel DL framework that combines dimension reduction with advanced 3D reconstruction techniques. Our approach utilizes latent variables derived from 2D average saturation fields to efficiently capture the essential features of high-dimensional data while reducing the number of variables. This enhances both the robustness and accuracy of DL models, making the framework more practical for real-world applications. By offering a tailored solution for modeling complex 3D saturation dynamics, this framework holds significant potential for environmental monitoring, energy storage, and other geological applications.

Wang, Hongsheng [University of Texas at Austin]↗

Precision Agriculture using Networks of Degradable Analytical Sensors (PANDAS) (Final Technical Report)

Precision agriculture, where sensing of soil, environment and crop conditions are used to precisely synchronize inputs (such as water and fertilizer) to crop needs enhances input use efficiency. This can improve yields and farm profitability while mitigating environmental losses, improving soil carbon content and substantially decreasing energy use for food, feed and fuel crops. Unfortunately, farmers are not yet able to harness the full potential of these management technologies as there is a lack of available management information, and there is therefore a need for sensors that are able to economically measure spatio-temporal variability in soil and crop properties of extremely heterogeneous farm fields precisely at high resolution and at low cost. Real-time, in-situ monitoring of agricultural soil conditions is today carried out using devices that limit the total number of nodes that can be used economically to typically one per acre or less. Higher spatio-temporal resolution sensing would enable more precise agricultural input optimization, with significant benefits to the farmer and the environment. In order to address this issue, this project focused on developing additively manufactured, biodegradable, soil sensors with predicted costs of < $\$$1 per unit to monitor crop inputs (such as water and fertilizer) that predictably, harmlessly degrade away into the soil when no longer needed. These sensor nodes should be easy to place, accurately and continuously monitor soil and crop conditions for an entire season, be read remotely using existing farm equipment, require no ongoing maintenance, not impede farm operations and produce no persistent waste. This approach could enable a >100× increase in information density over current solutions for precision farming of row and other crops, and lead to significant reductions in input energy use and provide increased yield for biofuel crops. Over the course of this project the team at the University of Colorado Boulder, University of California Berkeley, and Colorado State University/Kansas State University investigated a wide range of printable biodegradable electronic materials and sensor designs for determining soil moisture and soil nitrate concentration. These efforts expanded the available materials set for printed soil degradable electronic materials, particularly for conductors, enabling high conductivity and stability. Printed soil moisture and nitrate sensors with suitable sensitivity and selectivity were developed and characterized. Low power and passive wireless electronic systems were integrated with the soil sensors, and testing was carried out with completed sensors to understand their functionality under agricultural conditions. Additionally, other sensor types enabled by the biodegradable materials set created during this project, such as soil microbial activity sensors, were also developed and demonstrated. Project outputs include 10 peer reviewed publications, 4 patent applications, 21 technical presentations, 3 PhD thesis, 10 media reports, 8 additional grants worth over $\$$6M, and the formation of 3 start-up companies.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Zeteotech, LLC TRGR Project Final Report

Reliable detection of aerosolized pathogens is difficult due to need to distinguish between the benign bioaerosols such as dander and pollen and the thousands of pathogens capable of infecting people. Accurate identification of airborne pathogens of concern in the past has required the collection of aerosol samples in a filter, periodic collection of the samples, and processing and identification in the laboratory. This process is labor intensive and expensive. Additionally, this method necessarily has a time to detection window of hours to days depending on the collection frequency. Biological pathogens have an incubation period before the onset of symptoms and severe health effects and/or mortality, people will typically be exposed to them without realizing it. This has resulted in a detect to treat strategy for protection against bio releases. While prophylactic measures can still be effective over these time scales, reducing the time to detection will significantly improve the effectiveness of these measures and subsequently reduce the consequences of a release. Various attempts to reduce the time to detection and identification have been plagued by highly undesirable false-positives which degrade confidence in the system. Zeteotech, LLC has developed a mass spectrometer based bioaerosol sensing system which is capable of autonomously identifying airborne pathogens of concern and alert authorities within minutes instead of hours to days. They have deployed these instruments to protect high-risk facilities by alerting authorities of public health events and intentional bioterrorism events in near real time. This makes it possible to more accurately identify the time and location of the release and minimize the number of people that are exposed through prompt quarantining of affected areas.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

SLOPE daily and 250 m gross primary productivity (GPP) for the CONUS, 2000-2019, Carbon Monitoring System (CMS)

The SatelLite Only Photosynthesis Estimation (SLOPE) GPP product is a daily, 250 m GPP dataset covering the Contiguous United States (CONUS) from 2000 to present with 1 day latency. Gross primary productivity (GPP) quantifies the amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) fixed by plants through photosynthesis. Although as a key quantity of terrestrial ecosystems, there is a lack of high-spatial-and-temporal-resolution, real-time, and observation-based GPP products. This product has been developed to address this critical gap, leveraging a number of MODIS land and atmosphere products. There are three distinct features of the SLOPE GPP production algorithm. (1) SLOPE couples machine learning models with MODIS atmosphere and land products to accurately estimate PAR. (2) SLOPE couples highly efficient and pragmatic gap-filling and filtering algorithms with surface reflectance acquired by both Terra and Aqua MODIS satellites to derive a soil-adjusted NIRv (SANIRv) dataset. (3) SLOPE couples a temporal pattern recognition approach with a long-term Crop Data Layer (CDL) product to predict dynamic C4 crop fraction. PAR, SANIRv and C4 fraction are used to drive a parsimonious model with only two slope parameters to estimate GPP along with a quantitative uncertainty on a per-pixel and daily basis. The slope GPP product has a R2 = 0.84 and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 1.65 gC m-2 d-1, evaluated against from 50 AmeriFlux eddy covariance sites (332 site-years). Archived data from 2000 to 2019 are publicly available at the NASA's Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center (ORNL DAAC). Data from 2020 are available from the authors upon request. All data are projected in the standard MODIS Land Integerized Sinusoidal tile map projection. Each processing tile is in size of 4800 pixels by 4800 pixels, representing approximately 1200 km by 1200 km land region. In addition to the GPP product, SLOPE PAR, SANIRV, and C4 fraction, along with their uncertainties, are also released.

Jiang, Chongya↗

Processing Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties in Experimental Data From Sparse Replicate Tests of Stochastic Systems for Real-Space Model Validation

This paper presents a practical methodology for propagating and processing uncertainties associated with random measurement and estimation errors (that vary from test-to-test) and systematic measurement and estimation errors (uncertain but similar from test-to-test) in inputs and outputs of replicate tests to characterize response variability of stochastically varying test units. Also treated are test condition control variability from test-to-test and sampling uncertainty due to limited numbers of replicate tests. These aleatory variabilities and epistemic uncertainties result in uncertainty on computed statistics of output response quantities. The methodology was developed in the context of processing experimental data for “real-space” (RS) model validation comparisons against model-predicted statistics and uncertainty thereof. The methodology is flexible and sufficient for many types of experimental and data uncertainty, offering the most extensive data uncertainty quantification (UQ) treatment of any model validation method the authors are aware of. It handles both interval and probabilistic uncertainty descriptions and can be performed with relatively little computational cost through use of simple and effective dimension- and order-adaptive polynomial response surfaces in a Monte Carlo (MC) uncertainty propagation approach. A key feature of the progressively upgraded response surfaces is that they enable estimation of propagation error contributed by the surrogate model. Sensitivity analysis of the relative contributions of the various uncertainty sources to the total uncertainty of statistical estimates is also presented. Finally, the methodologies are demonstrated on real experimental validation data involving all the mentioned sources and types of error and uncertainty in five replicate tests of pressure vessels heated and pressurized to failure. Simple spreadsheet procedures are used for all processing operations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Finding diverse ways to improve algebraic connectivity through multi-start optimization

The algebraic connectivity, also known as the Fiedler value, is a spectral measure of network connectivity that can be increased through edge addition. We present an algorithm for producing many diverse ways to add a fixed number of edges to a network to achieve a near optimal Fiedler value. Previous Fielder value optimization algorithms (i.e. the greedy algorithm) output only one solution. Obtaining a single solution is rarely good enough for real-world network redesign problems, as practical constraints (political, physical or financial) may prevent implementation. Our algorithm takes a multi-start optimization approach, adding a random initial edge and then applies a greedy heuristic to improve the Fiedler value. The random choice moves us to a new region of the search space, enabling discovery of diverse solutions. Additionally, we present a Determinantal Point Process framework for quantifying diversity. We then apply a Markov chain Monte Carlo technique to sift through the large number of output solutions and locate a smaller, more manageable collection of highly diverse solutions that can be presented to network redesign engineers. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm on real-world graphs with varied structures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Capacitated p -hub approach for park-and-ride facility location problem under nested logit demand function: polyhedral approaches

By generalizing the unconstrained p-hub approach for the park-and-ride (P&R) facility location problem under the multinomial logit demand function, the capacitated p-hub approach for the problem under the nested logit demand function captures a broader range of real-world cases. To solve this problem optimally, we introduce a mixed-integer linear program and accelerate its solution by enhancing the branch-and-cut procedure. To address the problem at a large scale, we introduce two other polyhedral approaches: variable neighborhood search (VNS) and adaptive randomized rounding (ARR). Downtown areas in Seoul have a high modal share of public transportation and congested road traffic, yet P&R has not been widely implemented. Therefore, we apply the ARR procedure to solve a real-world problem using traffic and geographic data from the Seoul metropolitan area. ARR performs better than VNS and addresses real-world cases. The solutions obtained by ARR present a phased expansion plan that encourages policymakers to start installing a small number of P&Rs immediately.

Capacitated p-hub approach↗

First direct observations of gear-changing in a collider

In this work we perform the first demonstration of gear-changing in a real world collider. Gear-changing refers to a collision scheme where each ring of a collider stores a different harmonic number of bunches. These bunches are kept synchronized using different velocities. Such a system has been theorized, but has now been demonstrated using the Double ElectroStatic Ion Ring ExpEriment (DESIREE) in Stockholm Sweden. The experiment was able to demonstrate a gear-changing system, with both four on three bunches and five on four bunches. We determined a measurable parameter that shows a gear-changing system out to $37500$ turns of the slow beam (1 second). We were also able to detect a measurable longitudinal beam-beam interaction. We developed insights into how to control this type of system, opening up new possibilities, and showing that DESIREE can be used for gear-changing research.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Eutectic melting of alloy microparticles upon low velocity impact

Although impact melting has been quantified in a number of pure metals, alloyed microparticles have access to low melting-point eutectics that can promote earlier melting. Through real-time monitoring of single particle impacts resolved at the nanosecond- and micron-scales, we explore the impact melting of AA7075 from high velocities, where it is abundant and clear, to velocities as low as ∼269 m/s. Here, by using a hard substrate to isolate the deformation largely to the particle, we show that the adiabatic heat produced by the plasticity of the impact can explain the onset of melting at low velocity.

Additive manufacturing↗

Probing for the Trace Estimation of a Permuted Matrix Inverse Corresponding to a Lattice Displacement

We report thatpProbing is a general technique that is used to reduce the variance of the Hutchinson stochastic estimator for the trace of the inverse of a large, sparse matrix A. The variance of the estimator is the sum of the squares of the off-diagonal elements of A -1 . Therefore, this technique computes probing vectors that when used in the estimator annihilate the largest off-diagonal elements. For matrices that display decay of the magnitude of |A$^{-1}_{ij}$| with the graph distance between nodes i and j, this is achieved through graph coloring of increasing powers A k . Equivalently, when a matrix stems from a lattice discretization, it is computationally beneficial to find a distance-k coloring of the lattice. Previously, a hierarchical coloring was proposed so that k can be increased at runtime as needed without discarding previous work. In this work, we study probing for the more general problem of computing the trace of a permutation of A -1 , say PA -1 . The motivation comes from lattice quantum chromodynamics (QCD), where we need to construct “disconnected diagrams” to extract flavor-separated generalized parton functions. In lattice QCD, where the matrix has a four-dimensional toroidal lattice structure, these nonlocal operators correspond to a PA -1 , where P is the permutation relating to some displacement $\vec{p}$ in one or more dimensions. We focus on a single dimension displacement (p), but our methods are general. We show that probing on A k or (PA) k does not annihilate the largest magnitude elements. To resolve this issue, our displacement-based probing works on PA k using a new coloring scheme that works directly on appropriately displaced neighborhoods on the lattice. We prove lower bounds on the number of colors needed and study the effect of this scheme on variance reduction, both theoretically and experimentally on a real-world lattice QCD calculation. We achieve orders of magnitude speedup over the unprobed or the naively probed methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Designing an Optimal Sensor Network via Minimizing Information Loss

Optimal experimental design is a classic topic in statistics, with many well-studied problems, applications, and solutions. The design problem we study is the placement of sensors to monitor spatiotemporal processes, explicitly accounting for the temporal dimension in our modeling and optimization. We observe that recent advancements in computational sciences often yield large datasets based on physics-based simulations, which are rarely leveraged in experimental design. We introduce a novel model-based sensor placement criterion, along with a highly-efficient optimization algorithm, which integrates physics-based simulations and Bayesian experimental design principles to identify sensor networks that “minimize information loss” from simulated data. Our technique relies on sparse variational inference and (separable) Gauss-Markov priors, and thus may adapt many techniques from Bayesian experimental design. We validate our method through a case study monitoring air temperature in Phoenix, Arizona, using state-of-the-art physics-based simulations. Our results show our framework to be superior to random or quasi-random sampling, particularly with a limited number of sensors. We conclude by discussing practical considerations and implications of our framework, including more complex modeling tools and real-world deployments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Feasibility of Realizing a Universal Identifier Based on Fiber Bragg Grating Technology

Over the past year we have collected data on different fiber Bragg gratings (FBG) with the end goal of understanding their suitability for use in a new type of unique identifier (UID) that could be used in both tags and seals for high-value, high-risk assets. The ideal UID will have a complex signature that allows items to be uniquely identified by that signature. Tamper indication must be an integral part of the tag/seal process with measurable changes to the device signature indicative of any attempt to tamper with the monitored item. Further, the signature must be so difficult to reproduce that even state-actors with significant resources at their disposal will be discouraged from attempting it. Finally, readout verification of the product must be simple and secure, while providing red-light/green-light results in real time. To evaluate how well an FBG-based UID could meet these goals, we collected data on a large number of FBG samples from different vendors. Measurements included the response of the devices to uniform tension, tension when wrapped on a mandrel, and the response to changes in temperature and humidity, as well as the effect of simple potting in expanding and nonexpanding potting materials. We tested FBG samples written into single-mode fibers that were coated with the two commonly used materials, polyimide and acrylate and gratings that were both uniform and those with an apodized response (i.e., the intensity of the grating was varied to minimize sidelobes). The result of the work to date did not find any significant issues with the design concept for a UID based on this technology. Specific findings include a baseline design comprising five FBGs with distinct spectral returns analyzed using a difference-correlation approach. To realize this device, careful attention must be given to the impact of environmental factors on the UID response, limiting the properties of the potting compounds and FBG coating materials that can be used.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Cavity-modified molecular dipole switching dynamics

Polaritonic states, which are formed by resonances between a molecular excitation and the photonic mode of a cavity, have a number of useful properties that offer new routes to control molecular photochemistry using electric fields. To provide a theoretical description of how polaritonic states affect the real-time electron dynamics in molecules, a new method is described where the effects of strong light–molecule coupling are implemented using real-time electronic structure theory. The coupling between the molecular electronic states and the cavity is described by the Pauli–Fierz Hamiltonian, and transitions between polaritonic states are induced via an external time-dependent electric field using time-dependent configuration interaction (TDCI) theory, producing quantum electrodynamics TDCI (QED-TDCI). This method is used to study laser-induced ultrafast charge transfer and dipole-switching dynamics of the LiCN molecule inside a cavity. The increase in cavity coupling strength is found to have a significant impact on the energies and transition dipole moments of the molecule–cavity system. The convergence of the polaritonic state energies as a function of the number of included electronic and photonic basis states is discussed.

Chemistry↗

Exact quantum scars in the chiral nonlinear Luttinger liquid

While the chiral linear Luttinger liquid is integrable via bosonization, its nonlinear counterpart does not admit for an analytic solution. In this work, we find a subextensive number of exact eigenstates for a large family of density-density interaction terms. These states are embedded in a continuum of strongly correlated excited states. The real-space entanglement entropy of some exact states scales logarithmically with system size while that of others has volume-law scaling. We introduce momentum-space entanglement as an unambiguous differentiator between these exact states and the remaining excited states. With regard to momentum space, the exact states behave as bona fide quantum many-body scars: they exhibit identically zero momentum-space entanglement, while typical eigenstates behave thermally. We corroborate this finding by a level statistics analysis. Here we detail the general formalism for systematically finding all interaction terms and associated exact states, and present a number of infinite exact state sequences extending to arbitrarily high energies. Unlike many previous examples of quantum many-body scars, the exact states uncovered here do not lie at equidistant energies and do not follow from a special operator algebra. Instead, they are uniquely enabled by the interplay of Fermi statistics and chirality.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗