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At least 235 records · Page 13

Probabilistic Physics-Informed Graph Convolutional Network for Active Distribution System Voltage Prediction

Here this letter proposes a novel data-driven probabilistic physics-informed graph convolutional network (GCN) for active distribution system voltage prediction with PVs and EVs. It leverages both measurements and network topology to accurately and efficiently predict node voltages without the need for an accurate distribution system power flow model. The dropout-enabled Bayesian inference is developed to achieve uncertainty quantification of the voltage prediction. Thanks to the network model embedding, it also has robustness against topology changes, a key difference with existing machine learning-based approaches. Comparison results with other state-of-the-art machine learning methods on a realistic 759-node distribution system demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve better accuracy and robustness under different scenarios.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Special Section on Local and Distributed Electricity Markets

Driven by the goals of clean energy and zero carbon emissions, the power industry is undergoing significant transformations. The rapid growth of diverse distributed energy resources (DERs) at grid edge such as rooftop photovoltaics (PVs) and electric vehicles is transforming the traditional centralized power grid management to a decentralized, bottom-up, and localized control paradigm. Establishing local and distribution-level electricity markets provides an effective solution to managing large amounts of small-scale DERs. New regulations such as the recent FERC Order 2222 in the U.S. open the door to DERs in the wholesale markets. Through coordinating the local and distribution-level markets with the transmission-level wholesale market, the DERs and prosumers can trade energy and flexibility locally with each other and meanwhile provide energy, flexibility and ancillary services to the bulk power grid. During this transition, there are many new technical challenges to address, calling for innovative ideas and interdisciplinary research in this promising direction. Advanced information and communication technologies (ICT) are needed, as a key enabler, for the development and practical implementation of local and distribution electricity markets. Research into local and distribution markets is strongly interdisciplinary, involving the state of the art in power engineering, economics, and digital/information technology. A broad spectrum of contributors from universities, industry, research laboratories and policy makers is sought to develop and present solutions and technologies that will facilitate and advance practical applications and implementations of local and distribution-level electricity markets to uncover the values of DERs.

distributed energy resources↗

Robust Operation of Soft Open Points in Active Distribution Networks with High Penetration of Photovoltaic Integration

Distributed generators (DGs) including photovoltaic panels (PVs) have been integrated dramatically in active distribution networks (ADNs). Due to the strong volatility and uncertainty, the high penetration of PV generation immensely exacerbates the conditions of voltage violation in ADNs. However, the emerging flexible interconnection technology based on soft open points (SOPs) provides increased controllability and flexibility to the system operation. For fully exploiting the regulation ability of SOPs to address the problems caused by PV, this paper proposes a robust optimization method to achieve the robust optimal operation of SOPs in ADNs. A two-stage adjustable robust optimization model is built to tackle the uncertainties of PV outputs, in which robust operation strategies of SOPs are generated to eliminate the voltage violations and reduce the power losses of ADNs. A column-and-constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm is developed to solve the proposed robust optimization model, which are formulated as second-order cone program (SOCP) to facilitate the accuracy and computation efficiency. Here, case studies on the modified IEEE 33-node system and comparisons with the deterministic optimization approach are conducted to verify the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Status report on emerging photovoltaics

This report provides a snapshot of emerging photovoltaic (PV) technologies. It consists of concise contributions from experts in a wide range of fields including silicon, thin film, III-V, perovskite, organic, and dye-sensitized PVs. Strategies for exceeding the detailed balance limit and for light managing are presented, followed by a section detailing key applications and commercialization pathways. A section on sustainability then discusses the need for minimization of the environmental footprint in PV manufacturing and recycling. The report concludes with a perspective based on broad survey questions presented to the contributing authors regarding the needs and future evolution of PV.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

MO-A-BRD-08: Radiosurgery Beyond Cancer: Real-Time Target Localization and Treatment Planning for Cardiac Radiosurgery Under MRI Guidance

Purpose: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, affecting >2.5M Americans and >4.5M Europeans. AF is usually treated with minimally-invasive, time consuming catheter ablation techniques. Radiosurgery of the pulmonary veins (PV) has been proposed for AF treatment, however is challenging due to the complex respiratory and cardiac motion patterns. We hypothesize that an MRI-linac could solve the difficult real-time targeting and adaptation problem. In this study we quantified target motion ranges on cardiac MRI and analyzed the dosimetric benefits of margin reduction assuming real-time MRI tracking was applied. Methods: For the motion study, four human subjects underwent real-time cardiac MRI under free breathing. The target motion on coronal and axial cine planes was analyzed using a template matching algorithm. For the planning study, an ablation line at each PV antrum was defined as target on an AF patient scheduled for catheter ablation. Various safety margins ranging from 0mm (perfect tracking) to 8mm (untracked motion) were added to the target defining the PTV. 30Gy single fraction IMRT plans were then generated. Finally, the influence of a 1T magnetic field on treatment beam delivery was calculated using the Geant4 Monte Carlo algorithm to simulate the dosimetric impact of MRI guidance. Results: The motion study showed the mean respiratory motion of the target area on MRI was 8.4mm (SI), 1.7mm (AP) and 0.3mm (LR). Cardiac motion was small (<2mm). The planning study showed that with increasing safety margins to encompass untracked motion, dose tolerances for OARs such as the esophagus and airways were exceeded by >100%. The magnetic field had little impact on the dose distribution. Conclusion: Our results indicate that real-time MRI tracking of the PVs seems feasible. Accurate image guidance for high-dose AF radiosurgery is essential since safety margins covering untracked target motion will result in unacceptable treatment plans.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Modeling Diurnal and Annual Ethylene Generation from Solar-Driven Electrochemical CO 2 Reduction Devices

Integrated solar fuels devices for CO 2 reduction (CO 2 R) are a promising technology class towards achieving net-negative carbon emissions. Designing integrated CO 2 R solar fuels devices requires careful co-design of electrochemical and photovoltaic components as well as consideration of the diurnal and seasonal effects of solar irradiance, temperature, and other meteorological factors expected for ‘on-sun’ deployment. Here, using a photovoltaic-electrochemical (PV-EC) platform, we developed a temperature and potential-dependent diurnal and annual model using experimental CO 2 R performance of Cu-based electrocatalysts, local meteorological data from the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRD), and modeled performance of commercial c-Si PVs. We simulated diurnal product outputs with and without the effects of ambient temperature to determine gaseous product temperature sensitivity. From these outputs, we observed seasonal variation in gaseous product generation, with up to two-fold increases in ethylene productivity between the Winter and Summer, analyzed the consequences of dynamic cloud coverage, and identified periods where device cooling/heating mechanisms could be implemented to maximize ethylene generation. Finally, we modeled the annual ethylene generation for a scaled 1 MW solar farm at three different locations (Beijing, CN; Sydney, AUS; Barstow, CA) to determine the consequences of local meteorological climates on PV-EC CO 2 R product output, recording a maximum ethylene output of 18.5 tonne/yr at Barstow. Overall, this model presents a critical tool for streamlining the translation of experimental solar-driven electrochemical research to real-world implementation.

Yap, Kyra M. K.↗

DERMS-RT (Distributed Energy Resource Management Solution using Real-Time Optimization) [SWR-20-46]

DERMS-RT provides a distributed energy resource management solution using real-time optimization to control different types of distributed energy resources (DERs) — such as rooftop PVs, battery energy storage systems, HVAC loads, electric water heater loads, and EV charging loads, and use these DERs to provide distribution voltage regulation and peak demand management services. The control approach implemented by DERM-RT is developed based on the real-time optimal power flow and distributed control previously developed by NREL researchers. The software codes are designed to provide modular DER management solution that can be easily applied to control heterogeneous DERs in distribution grids in coordination with centralized utility management systems. Also, DERMS-RT provides application programming interface (API) to extract useful grid model information from an open-source power system simulation software, use the information to solve the optimization problem, and apply the optimal set-points to the controlled DERs. In this way, DERMS-RT provides a plug-and-play function for implementing the real-time DER control on different utility system models, and it can be used as a simulation testbed to demonstrate the impact of real-time DER optimization on improving grid operations.

Ding, Fei↗

Dynamic Temporal Graph Sequence Data for Resilience-Oriented Distribution Network Reconfiguration

This dataset comprises temporal dynamic graph sequences generated from power grid simulations focused on grid reconfiguration to enhance resilience. The simulations model failure propagation under varying conditions, with nodes assigned distinct failure probabilities. For each time step, the dataset captures the evolution of node states (functional or failed) and features critical to grid operations, such as pv_output, load_profile, load_dispatch, dg_output, loss, and voltage. Node types include sources, normal loads, and nodes with specific equipment like PVs, micro turbines, or shunt capacitors. The dataset is structured to support the training of dynamic graph neural networks, facilitating research on node feature prediction and edge dynamics under failure scenarios. Three distinct configurations are included, providing a robust foundation for modeling power grid resilience.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The promise of metal-halide-perovskite solar photovoltaics: A brief review

Solar photovoltaics (PVs) based on metal-halide perovskites (MHPs) have taken the renewable-energy world by storm. The excitement stems from the promise of a high-efficiency, low-cost, and low “carbon-footprint” new PV technology. Here, a brief overview of the important topics pertaining to MHPs, perovskite solar cells (PSCs) and perovskite solar modules (PSMs) is presented. The topics include: (1) PSC architectures, (2) MHPs, (3) synthesis and processing of MHP thin films, (4) MHP thin-film microstructures, (5) PSC functional layers, (6) interfacial engineering in PSCs, (7) PSC performance, (8) PSC stability, (9) PSMs, (10) lead toxicity, and (11) mechanical behavior and reliability. The significant challenges in the path toward commercialization of this burgeoning PV technology are also highlighted. Chief among them are scalability, stability, reliability, and safety, while achieving high efficiency, low cost, and low “carbon-footprint.” Furthermore, the promise of this new PV technology and the fascinating underlying science make it a worthwhile endeavor to address these challenges.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Halide Perovskite Solar Photovoltaics

Technological progress in photovoltaic (PV) technologies provides hope that a comprehensive and desperately needed decarbonization of the energy sector is possible. Commercially successful PV technologies based predominantly on silicon wafer technology are reliable and cost-effective, but remain capital- and carbon-intensive. In this context, emerging PV technologies, such as metal-halide perovskites (MHPs), could further catalyze the energy transition by providing technological opportunities for even lower-cost, mass-producible, high-efficiency solar cells with a significantly reduced "carbon footprint." This themed issue of MRS Bulletin on "Halide perovskite solar photovoltaics summarizes the current state of the art, challenges, and opportunities of perovskite photovoltaics with contributions and perspectives from six expert teams worldwide. The topics covered provide a status update on perovskite PV, remaining hurdles to their deployment, and challenges to realizing the potential of this technology to impact climate goals. Articles in this collection address scalability of perovskite PV and prospects for industrial manufacturing; perovskite PV as an add-on technology on top of commercial silicon PV; environmental and sustainability considerations; and durability and reliability considerations. Further considerations include prospects of automation, coupled to artificial intelligence and machine learning, for accelerating material-based solutions to these outstanding challenges including the possibilities of discovering new absorber and device component materials to enable success and ultimately deployment of these next-generation PVs.

metal-halide perovskites↗

Polymer Retention “Tailing” Phenomenon Associated with the Milne Point Polymer Flood

Summary Associated with the Milne Point polymer flood (on Alaska’s North Slope), this paper explores the unusual shape of hydrolyzed polyacrylamides (HPAM) breakout/propagation during dynamic polymer retention measurements in Milne Point core material. In contrast to conventional expectations, polymer retention does not delay the initial polymer arrival at the end of a Milne Point core. However, after effluent polymer concentrations rapidly rise to at least 50% of the injected value, the concentration gradually “tails” up over many pore volumes (PVs) before it finally achieves the injected value. To understand the origin and significance of this behavior, a wide range of core experiments were performed, including substantial variations in polymer concentration and molecular weight, core length, preservation state, sand grain size, and mineral composition. Illite was identified as primarily responsible for the tailing phenomenon. This phenomenon has important consequences that must be considered when projecting the performance of the field project. This work suggests that mineralogy analysis (especially for illite and kaolinite) may reveal whether tailing should be accounted for during simulations of polymer propagation/retention in a given field application.

Engineering↗

Literature Review and Experimental Observations of the Effects of Salinity, Hardness, Lithology, and ATBS Content on HPAM Polymer Retention for the Milne Point Polymer Flood

Summary At the Milne Point polymer flood (North Slope of Alaska), polymer retention is dominated by the clay, illite. Illite, and kaolinite cause no delay in polymer propagation in Milne Point core material, but they reduce the effective polymer concentration and viscosity by a significant amount (e.g., 30%), thus reducing the efficiency of oil displacement until the full injected polymer concentration is regained [which requires several pore volumes (PVs) of throughput]. This work demonstrates that polymer retention on illite is not sensitive to monovalent ion concentration, but it increases significantly with increased divalent cation concentration. The incorporation of a small percentage of acrylamido tertiary butyl sulfonic acid (ATBS) monomers into hydrolyzed polyacrylamide (HPAM) polymers is shown to dramatically reduce retention. The results are discussed in context with previous literature reports. Bridging adsorption was proposed as a viable mechanism to explain our results. Interestingly, an extensive literature review reveals that polymer retention (on sands and sandstones) is typically only modestly sensitive to the presence of oil. Extensive examination of the literature on inaccessible pore volume (IAPV) suggests the parameter was commonly substantially overestimated, especially in rock/sand more permeable than 500 md (which comprises the vast majority of existing field polymer floods).

Engineering↗

The Interactions Between Shading and Organic Fertilizer Application on Dry-farmed Tomato Grown Between Photovoltaic Panels

Agrivoltaic systems are mixed systems of solar photovoltaic (PV) panels and agricultural production, where shade from the panels can result in lower evapotranspiration for crops, which is of particular interest for dryland agriculture. Dry-farmed tomato (Solanum lycopersicum) production in the Willamette Valley of Oregon has lower total yields and higher rates of blossom-end rot (BER) than irrigated tomato production, resulting in reduced marketable yields. To determine how dry-farmed ‘Early Girl’ tomato performed in an agrivoltaics system, a trial was conducted at the Valley Creek Solar Project (Salem, OR, USA) in 2020, using three different amendment treatments and three levels of shading from the panels. Amendment treatments were 0N (receiving no fertilizer), 84N (receiving 84 kg·ha −1 N), and 168N (receiving 168 kg·ha −1 N), applied as processed chicken manure. Plants were estimated to receive an irradiance factor of 30%, 76%, and 89% for full-shade, partial-shade, and full-sun treatments respectively. There was an interaction between amendment treatments and shading treatments in their effects on unblemished yield (yield of fruit without BER or sunscald). The optimum fertilizer application for full-shade and partial-shade rows was 84N, the optimum for full-sun rows was 0N. Fertilizing these rows at these rates resulted in an unblemished yield for the aisle of 11.1 t·ha −1 , which was lower than unblemished yields reported in previous experiments and trials in open fields. However, these results are from a single location and a single year, and other solar sites may behave more similar to open-field conditions. Shading from the panels increased average fruit weight and decreased incidence of BER and sunscald, suggesting that crops were less drought stressed. This resulted in similar unblemished yields for the full-shade and full-sun plots at 84N and 168N. Applying fertilizer resulted in higher total yields, smaller average fruit weight, increased BER incidence, and decreased sunscald incidence. The results suggest a possible synergy between dry-farmed tomato production and agrivoltaics, although several concerns remain, including difficulties managing the vegetation under panels, rules restricting PVs on high-value agricultural soils, and the possibility of soil compaction during PV installation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

In-situ Neutron Scattering Determination of 3D Phase-Morphology Correlations in Fullerene Block Copolymer Systems

High efficiency solar energy devices can potentially meet all global energy requirements by efficiently harvesting energy from the solar spectrum. However, for solar technologies to be ubiquitous and meet the global power requirements, innovative and revolutionary approaches to trap solar energy are needed. In this regard, organic photovoltaics (OPVs) have drawn much attention, largely due to the ease with which OPVs can be manufactured at much lower costs compared to conventional inorganic PVs. Currently the most efficient OPV devices (at ~10%) are still below a technologically useful efficiency (~15%). It can be argued that to date most of the development of the OPVs has been driven by their electronic properties, without much consideration or understanding of the structure and morphology of the organic components and in particular how these affect the performance of the solar cell devices. It is only in the last few years that the latter has begun to be addressed. Arguably, without a complete understanding of the effect of morphology and structure on device performance, the theoretical maximum efficiency of these devices is unlikely to ever be realized. A thorough understanding of the structure and morphology of the polymers and how this affects device efficiency is vital to achieve the full potential of OPVs. If OPV devices with 15% efficiency can be achieved, coupled with the predicted low cost of processing, such devices would create an enabling technology, making these types of solar cells significant power generators and thereby reduce the dependency on conventional energy sources. This would fulfill the economic solar energy challenge identified by the NAE in their Grand Challenges of the 21st Century. In this project, we conducted a directed series of experiments to determine morphology-property correlations in bulk heterojunction films by careful control of the OPV structure and morphology. Unlike most research undertaken in the PV arena, this is mostly a fundamental study that does not set out to evaluate new materials or produce devices, but rather we wish to understand from first principles how the molecular structure of polymer-fullerene mixtures determined using neutron scattering (small angle neutron scattering and neutron reflection) affects device characteristics and consequently performance. While this seems a very obvious question to ask, this critical understanding is far from being realized despite the wealth of studies into OPV’s and is severely limiting organic PV devices from achieving their theoretical potential. Despite the fundamental nature of proposed work, it is essential to remain technologically relevant and therefore to ensure we address these issues we have developed relationships on the fundamental nature of structure-processing-property paradigm as applied to future need for large area, flexible OPV devices. Nanoscale heterojunction systems consisting of fullerenes dispersed in conjugated polymers are promising materials candidates for achieving high performance organic photovoltaic (OPV) devices. In order to understand the phase behavior in these devices, neutron reflection is used to determine the behavior of model conjugated polymer-fullerene mixtures. Neutron reflection is particularly useful for these types of thin film studies since the fullerene generally have a high scattering contrast with respect to most polymers. We are studying model bulk heterojunction (BHJ) films based on mixtures of poly(3-hexyl thiophene)s (P3HT), a widely used photoconductive polymer, and different fullerenes (C60, PCBM and bis-PCBM). The characterization technique of neutron reflectivity measurements have been used to determine film morphology in a direction normal to the film surfaces. The novelty of the approach over previous studies is that the BHJ layer is sandwiched between a PEDOT/PSS and Al layers in real device configuration. Using this model system, the effect of typical thermal annealing processes on the film development as a function of the polythiophene-fullerene mixtures is measured.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Materials Science of Electrodes and Interfaces for High-Performance Organic Photovoltaics

The science of organic photovoltaic (OPV) cells has made dramatic advances over the past three years with power conversion efficiencies (PCEs) now reaching ~12%. The upper PCE limit of light-to-electrical power conversion for single-junction OPVs as predicted by theory is ~23%. With further basic research, the vision of such devices, composed of non-toxic, earth-abundant, readily easily processed materials replacing/supplementing current-generation inorganic solar cells may become a reality. Organic cells offer potentially low-cost, roll-to-roll manufacturable, and durable solar power for diverse in-door and out-door applications. Importantly, further gains in efficiency and durability, to that competitive with inorganic PVs, will require fundamental, understanding-based advances in transparent electrode and interfacial materials science and engineering. This team-science research effort brought together an experienced and highly collaborative interdisciplinary group with expertise in hard and soft matter materials chemistry, materials electronic structure theory, solar cell fabrication and characterization, microstructure characterization, and low temperature materials processing. We addressed in unconventional ways critical electrode-interfacial issues underlying OPV performance -- controlling band offsets between transparent electrodes and organic active-materials, addressing current loss/leakage phenomena at interfaces, and new techniques in cost-effective low temperature and large area cell fabrication. The research foci were: 1) Theory-guided design and synthesis of advanced crystalline and amorphous transparent conducting oxide (TCO) layers which test our basic understanding of TCO structure-transport property relationships, and have high conductivity, transparency, and tunable work functions but without (or minimizing) the dependence on indium. 2) Development of theory-based understanding of optimum configurations for the interfaces between oxide electrodes/interfacial layers and OPV active layer organic molecules/polymers. 3) Exploration and perfection of new processing strategies and cell architectures for the next-generation, large-area flexible OPVs. The goal has been to develop for the solar energy community the fundamental scientific understanding needed to design, fabricate, prototype, and ultimately test high-efficiency cells incorporating these new concepts. We achieved success in all of these directions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Screening Distribution Feeders: Alternatives to the 15 Percent Rule

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) and the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) collaborated to develop new methods that utilities can use to quickly and accurately determine the capacity of individual distribution feeders to accept new photovoltaic (PV) projects without the risk of impacting the grid. A key outcome will be a data-driven, validated approach to determining feeder limits that can simplify interconnection processes and lead to greater PV adoption across the California distribution system. Additionally, project developers and potential PV system owners will be able to identify locations best suited to accommodate adding PV without the high capital cost for grid infrastructure. These results will directly contribute to the goals of the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) to enable and enhance integrating PVs on the electric grid.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

CSI4 Analysis to Inform California Grid Integration Rules for PV

Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) and Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. (EPRI) are collaborated to develop guidelines for effective use of smart inverters given the unique hosting capacity of the California grid. A key outcome of this project will be recommended settings for the smart inverter functions currently being considered as part of the modification to Rule 21. Additionally, this project will provide thresholds of smart inverter set points for which manufacturers can specify their equipment and suggested default settings that are applicable for most utility needs and feeder configurations in California. These results will directly contribute to the goals of the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) to enable and enhance integrating PVs on the electric grid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Enabling Staged Pressurized Oxy-Combustion: Improving Flexibility and Performance at Reduced Cost

Introduction: The staged pressurized oxy-combustion (SPOC) process, developed by Washington University in St. Louis (WUSTL), is an oxy-combustion carbon capture technology that employs a steam power cycle to generate electricity. As with atmospheric-pressure oxy-combustion processes, carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture rates of 90% or higher can be achieved. The staged-combustion approach of the SPOC process, when operated at elevated gas pressure, allows for near elimination of flue gas recycle (FGR) and leads to significant improvements in efficiency and reduced costs. The primary goal of this project was to investigate the potential for SPOC for flexible operation beyond the capabilities of conventional coal-fired power plants, particularly those employing carbon capture and storage (CCS). Oxy-combustion differs from conventional coal combustion in that the combustion of coal is carried out using oxygen as opposed to air. The resultant flue gas is a mixture of primarily CO 2 and water, greatly simplifying CO 2 capture. As SPOC does the oxy-combustion process under pressure, it is higher efficiency and lower cost than atmospheric oxy-combustion. The project was led by the Electric Power Research Institute, Inc., with the assistance of WUSTL, Doosan Babcock (DBL – boiler plant original equipment manufacturer), and Air Liquide (AL – air separation experts). The specific objectives of the project were to: (1) Evaluate the SPOC concept and develop a risk-based approach to the heating surface layout ensuring that performance (gas and steam side), manufacturing, transportation, and plant erection considerations were fully accounted for in the system design. (2) Improve the technology to ensure its performance and cost potential are substantially better than today’s baseline pulverized coal power plant with post-combustion capture (PCC) or atmospheric oxy-combustion, and show progress toward performance commensurate with projected commercial operation, including 90% or more CO 2 capture. (3) Address critical technology gaps and improving overall system performance for the technology. (4) Perform combustion tests at scale under commensurate pressure to the commercial operating system validate combustor and advance the SPOC combustion modeling tools that will facilitate full-scale design. Combustion Testing: Testing was initially carried out at atmospheric pressure with methane to ensure that all systems were correctly operating. Following this, the testing then proceeded to moderate pressure operation at 4 bara, where different stoichiometric conditions were used across an extended heat input range, showing that a stable flame could be maintained. Testing then proceeded at 10 and 15 bara where it was shown that the ignition system needed to be replaced at these operating conditions. When testing recommenced, a similar stable flame shape was achieved, without any methane support, and the full 100 kWth coal oxy-combustion was demonstrated. Heat flux measurements showed 400 kW/m 2 (0.126 MMBtu/hr-ft 2 ) from the flame, within the 450 kW/m 2 (0.142 MMBtu/hr-ft 2 ) preferred limit defined by DBL for the full-scale design case. Carbon monoxide and carbon-in-ash measurements showed that complete combustion was possible with ultra-low excess oxygen at 1 vol % in the product flue gas. This allowed the full-scale models to be calculated based on this level of excess oxygen, improving the performance of the system as lower feed oxygen is produced in the air separation unit (ASU), saving auxiliary power. Full-Scale Design: The full-scale design is sized to deliver 550 MWe net electrical power output to allow direct comparison with the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) baseline cases using the same Montana Powder River Basin (PRB) fuel. The cases used for direct comparison are: Case S12A (supercritical [SC] coal without CO 2 capture), Case S12B (SC coal with PCC at 90% CO 2 capture, and Case S12F (atmospheric oxy-combustion SC coal with 90% CO 2 capture). The SPOC stages were configured to be identical arrangements, allowing for a more straightforward design, construction, and control strategy. Each stage consists of two PVs, the first being the combustor PV module and the second being the convective PV module. The combustor module is the tallest vessel, with local coal feeding equipment and the burner FGR and oxygen plenums at the top and ash management at the bottom. The combustor module is effectively an open cross section with membrane tubes around the circumference – this unobstructed slender profile ensures that the relatively slower burnout mechanism needed for the low-speed turbulent mixing burner can proceed unimpeded and that molten ash will not attach to any surfaces at an angle to the predominant flue gas flow. The steam turbine used in the SPOC design is essentially the same unit utilized in the atmospheric oxy-combustion case except the degree of heat recovery possible allows the low-pressure (LP) feedwater heater train to be eliminated. This is a result of being able to capture the latent heat of evaporation of the moisture produced in the combustion (normally lost to the stack). The SPOC system outperforms the NETL atmospheric oxy-combustion baseline case by 3.3% points and the PCC case by 7.5% points. This performance increase is mainly a result of the improved heat recovery possible from the product flue gas and from the reduced auxiliary power consumption from the ASU and the CO 2 compression and purification unit over the atmospheric equivalent. The combined improvement in boiler efficiency and reduction in the steam turbine heat rate resulted in a net improvement in the overall plant efficiency by 0.61%, to 35.6% on a HHV basis. This relatively small improvement in plant efficiency between sub-bituminous and bituminous coals shows the value of useful moisture latent heat recovery offered by the SPOC system when using low rank fuels. Flexibility and Turndown: The SPOC system has inherent high turndown capabilities because of a demonstrated high range of combustion stability and the ability to bypass stages, thereby reducing steam generation rates proportionally without altering firing rates in operating stages. ASU units do not generally offer significant turndown opportunities as they are limited by the performance of the compression plant. The baseline SPOC design has a 2-train ASU configuration, needed to be able to meet the 10,500 tonnes per day duty, that can deliver efficient turndown points between 85–100% load with both trains operating, and at 45–50% load with a single train operating. Outside these operating points, the flexibility and efficiency are limited and may be uncompetitive at loads below 45% as the ASU systems are unable to turndown beyond 85% for the base case and 70% for the flexible case. The ASU cold box for the flexible case was designed to operate at loads between 40-100%, below this operating range the purity of the produced oxygen cannot be guaranteed, resulting in additional load for the CPU equipment. The additional power consumption of these cases yields an uneconomic operating condition with poor efficiency when operating at low loads such as 25% and 12%. To address this flexibility constraint, AL evaluated how the ASU configuration could be altered to deliver efficient oxygen supply over the load range. This involved integrating the compressor duties across both ASU trains into a shared duty arrangement with multiple compressors, strategically sized to deliver the duty required across all load ranges between 40–100% by enabling different combinations of the main air compressors and the booster air compressors. The oxygen purity cannot be guaranteed below 40% load for each train – the power consumption at 25% and 12% loads were estimated based on the multi-compressor configuration at maximum turndown as these load cases were not considered in the flexible ASU design. With a different cold box configuration, i.e. number of trains, the entire load range could be delivered within oxygen purity specifications. Although there is a small efficiency reduction at full load, there are significant improvements in overall plant performance during low-load operation. The exact ASU configuration needed will therefore be dependent on the expected operating profile of the unit. Economic Analysis: Cost estimates for the baseline and the flexible cases were developed using NETL baseline case data for common BOP items and an Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International Class 5 (conceptual/screening study) assessment of key components unique to the SPOC system. The capital, operating, and maintenance costs were assessed along with the first-year power cost, levelized cost of electricity, and CO 2 captured and avoided cost for the SPOC cases were compared against the relevant NETL baseline cases in January 2019 dollars. Both SPOC cases achieve a lower cost that the alternative NETL baseline cases (with the flexible SPOC case being slightly higher than the baseline SPOC case due to the compounded impact of higher capital costs and lower efficiency at full load). The SPOC cases deliver a lower cost of CO 2 avoided than the NETL baseline cases due to greater efficiency in generating low-carbon power. However, the cost of CO 2 captured is higher because the higher efficiency of the SPOC process generates less CO 2 , hence less needs to be captured, resulting in a high capital cost being shared over a reduced CO 2 quantity. The flexible ASU adds 1.6% overall to the plant cost in comparison to the baseline case, but the efficiency improvements at loads below 50% are significant. Subsequently, depending on the plant load-profile expectation, the flexible ASU would be beneficial if the plant spends a significant portion of its operating life below 50% load. This kind of operating profile is likely to be required for all fossil plants when more renewable electricity generators are installed on the local grid, particularly solar power that can be predicted ahead of time, allowing for appropriate pricing signals to be incorporated into the diurnal cycle. R&D Recommendations: SPOC, while a promising technology, is a relatively recent concept and, as such, operability issues of combustor design and steam-side integration for such systems at a scale relevant to commercial deployment have not been evaluated. WUSTL has conducted extensive small pilot-scale (100 kWth) research to understand and advance pressurized oxy-combustion processes, including investigation of combustion and flame characteristics, radiative heat flux, burner operability, turn down, char burnout, ash characteristics, water-wash column operation, etc. for pressurized oxy-combustion systems. Nonetheless, at this stage in the development of the SPOC process, what is needed is a large-scale pilot plant that can serve to study pressurized oxy-combustion systems and components at a scale commensurate with the maturity of the technology. A scale of 10 MWth, which includes steam-side integration and two stages would yield essential information with respect to heat transfer characteristics both in the radiative and convective sections of the pressure vessels, and the ability to operate the fuel staging process. In addition, while modeling results indicate that combustion and flame characteristics improve with scale, direct studies of the combustor at this scale will ensure that the models can be relied upon for scale up to commercial scale. Furthermore, a detailed analysis must be performed to understand the scaling aspects of key components and systems.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗