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At least 235 records · Page 13

Sensitivity of mesoscale modeling to urban morphological feature inputs and implications for characterizing urban sustainability

We examine the differences in meteorological output from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run at 270 m horizontal resolution using 10 m, 100 m and 1 km resolution 3D neighborhood morphological inputs and with no morphological inputs. We find that the spatial variability in temperature, humidity, and other meteorological variables across the city can vary with the resolution and the coverage of the 3D urban morphological input, and that larger differences occur between simulations run without 3D morphological input and those run with some type of 3D morphology. We also find that the inclusion of input-building-defined roughness length calculations would improve simulation results further. We show that these inputs produce different patterns of heat wave spatial heterogeneity across the city of Washington, DC. These findings suggest that understanding neighborhood level urban sustainability under extreme heat waves, especially for vulnerable neighborhoods, requires attention to the representation of surface terrain in numerical weather models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dislocation loop bias and void swelling in irradiated α-iron from mesoscale and atomistic simulations

Abstract Dislocation loops are ubiquitous in irradiated materials, and dislocation loop bias plays a critical role in void swelling. However, due to complicated interactions between dislocation loops and point defects, it is challenging to evaluate the bias factors of dislocation loops. Here, we determine the bias of sessile < 100 > loops in α-iron using a recently developed atomistic approach based on the lifetime of point defects. We establish a mechanistic understanding of the loop interaction based on the diffusion tendency of point defects near the loop core region. Mobile self-interstitial atoms tend to be absorbed from the edge of the loop, and a trapping region perpendicular to the habit plane of the loop exists. The dislocation loop bias is found to be substantially lower than those of straight dislocations in α-iron and should be included in swelling rate estimates. With the obtained sink strength and bias values, agreement is achieved with experimental results for both absolute values and temperature dependence.

Yu, Ziang↗

Mesoscale variations of the chemical and electronic landscape on the surface of the Weyl semimetal Co 3 ⁢Sn 2⁢ S 2 visualized by ARPES and XPS

The multiple crystalline terminations in magnetic Weyl semimetal Co 3 Sn 2 S 2 display distinct topological and trivial surface states, which have successfully been distinguished experimentally. However, a model of pure terminations is known to be inadequate because these surfaces exhibit a high degree of spatial heterogeneity and point disorder. Here, in this study, we perform a spectromicroscopy study of the surface chemistry and surface electronic structure using photoemission measurements in combination with first-principles calculations of core levels. We identify an intermediate region with properties distinct from both the sulfur and tin terminations, and demonstrate that the spectral features in this region can be associated with a disordered termination with a varying density of surface tin vacancies. This work establishes heuristics for identifying variable surface disorder using photoemission, an important prerequisite to experimentally establishing the behavior of momentum-space topological surface features subject to variable surface disorder on a single cleave.

Sreedhar, Sudheer Anand [Univ. of California, Davi↗

The Hazards Posed by Mesoscale Lightning Megaflashes

Lightning megaflashes extending over >100-km distances have been observed by the Geostationary Lightning Mappers (GLMs) on NOAA’s R-series Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES). The hazards posed by megaflashes are unclear, however, because of limitations in the GLM data. We address these by reprocessing GOES-16 GLM measurements from 1 January 2018 to 15 January 2020 and integrating them with Earth Networks Global Lightning Network (ENGLN) observations. ENGLN verified 194 880 GLM megaflashes as natural lightning. Of these, 127 479 flashes occurred following the October 2018 GLM software update that standardized GLM timing. Reprocessed GLM/ENGLN lightning maps from these postupdate cases provide a comprehensive view of how individual megaflashes evolve. This megaflash dataset is used to generate statistics that describe their hazards. The average megaflash produces 5–7 cloud-to-ground (CG) strokes that are spread across 40%–50% of the flash extent. As flash extent increases beyond 100 km, megaflashes become concentrated in key hot-spot regions in North and South America while the number of CG and intracloud events per flash and the overall peak current increase. CGs in the larger megaflashes occur over 80% of the flash extent measured by GLM, and the majority contain regions where the megaflash is the only lightning activity in the preceding hour. These statistics demonstrate that there is no safe location below an electrified cloud that is producing megaflashes, and current lightning safety guidance is not always sufficient to mitigate megaflash hazards.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Amplified Mesoscale and Submesoscale Variability and Increased Concentration of Precipitation under Global Warming over Western North America

Abstract Cold-season precipitation statistics in simulations from the storm-resolving WRF Model at 6-km and 1-h resolution over western North America are analyzed. Pseudo–global warming future simulations for the 2041–80 period, constrained by GCMs under the RCP8.5 scenario, are compared to the 1981–2020 historical simulation. The analysis focuses on the dynamical properties of precipitation time series at subdaily scales and on the morphology of storms. The statistical distribution of precipitation intensities in each pixel of the simulation domain is characterized through nonparametric statistical indicators: frequency of wet hours, mean wet-hour precipitation intensity, and Gini coefficient as a measure of the temporal concentration of the precipitation volume. Additionally, the temporal and spatial Fourier power spectra of precipitation time series and precipitation fields are analyzed. The half-power period (HPP) and half-power wavelength (HPW) are defined as spectral measures of the characteristic scales of precipitation’s temporal and spatial patterns. The results show statistically significant increases in the mean wet-hour precipitation intensity and in the Gini coefficient in 99% of the pixels, indicating that the seasonal precipitation volume becomes more concentrated within a smaller number of hours with higher precipitation intensity. The statistics of change in the frequency of wet hours are more contrasted across the simulation domain. The changes are also reflected in the power spectra, which show the spatial and temporal variability increasing proportionally more with finer spatial and temporal scales and the HPW and HPP decreasing. These projected changes are expected to have consequences, not only in terms of hydrologic impacts but also in terms of the predictability of precipitation patterns. Significance Statement The precipitation characteristics of winter storms over the western United States and southwestern Canada are analyzed in future climate simulations for the 2041–80 period. As compared to present-day climate, the most intense parts of the storms are projected to produce a higher rainfall volume, with increased concentration over smaller areas and shorter time intervals. The propensity of rainfall intensity to vary rapidly over time will be enhanced in the future according to the simulations. These model predictions imply an increased risk of rapid flooding in small basins. They also suggest that predicting several hours ahead the time and location at which a storm will produce maximum rainfall may become more challenging in the future.

Climate change↗

Identify the influence of microstructure on mesoscale creep and fatigue damage

This report describes the development of a microstructural model that can quantify the uncertainty in the observed rupture life of Grade 91 steel. The model is microstructural, meaning it relates microstructural characteristics of the material to the resulting material response. As such, one of the uses of this model is to identify the key microstructural parameters controlling the development of damage in Grade 91 operating at elevated temperatures. The report describes two veins of work: improvements to the crystal plasticity model required to run the uncertainty quantification analysis and the results of that UQ analysis. For creep, the model identifies the grain boundary diffusivity as the critical parameter controlling the rupture life of the material. The report demonstrates that a reasonable microstructural distribution of grain boundary diffusivity can account for the observed macroscale variation in rupture life at fixed temperature and load.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Early Career: Mesoscale Fragments of Crystalline Silicon by Chemical Synthesis (Final Technical Report)

Silicon has transformed the modern era, with applications in computing, solar cells, energy storage, and beyond. The traditional approach to making silicon is a high-temperature “top-down” process that affords only the most stable form of silicon, leaving hidden vast swathes of structure-function space. The goal of this program was to establish new approaches to making silicon-based materials from the bottom-up, allowing structural precision from the atomic level up to the bulk, and to understand how structure influences function. Key results included the development of the cyclosilane building blocks and low-temperature methods for their polymerization, as well as new tools for spectroscopic characterization. In addition to revealing new materials chemistry insights, in the five-year period covered by this award, this work resulted in 11 publications and three graduate student theses.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Bias Characterization, Vertical Interpolation, and Horizontal Interpolation for Distributed Wind Siting Using Mesoscale Wind Resource Estimates

Much like their counterparts in utility-scale wind energy, developers of industrial, small-scale and distributed wind turbine deployments need to understand and accurately characterize the wind resource to properly assess the power generation and financial ramifications during siting and planning. National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s WIND (Wind Integration National Dataset) Toolkit (WTK) provides a best-in-class wind resource dataset generated using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. This dataset includes parameters such as the wind speed, wind direction, and temperature at various heights, plus atmospheric stability near the surface. This data is available at 2-km spatial resolution and five-minute temporal resolution across 7 years, from 2007 to 2013 through a publicly accessible API interface. The Tools Assessing Performance (TAP) project seeks to extend this dataset to allow long term resource estimates and leverage it to better equip distributed wind equipment manufacturers, owner-operators, and installation professionals with better tools for practical siting applications. In this report, we present the results from our investigation within the TAP project focused on characterization of bias in WTK-based wind speed estimates and evaluation of vertical and horizontal interpolation techniques. We discuss the tradeoffs between different techniques and their combinations, as well as describe the lower bounds we determine for the studied validation errors. While the specific estimates we present are specific to WTK and the validation dataset we have chosen for this investigation (NREL's Wind Resource Meteorological Database), the overall analysis and the studied techniques are general enough to be applied to a broader set of wind datasets, both simulation-based and observational.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Atomistic and mesoscale simulations to determine effective diffusion coefficient of fission products in SiC

The silicon carbide (SiC) layer in tristructural isotropic (TRISO) particles serves as the barrier to prevent escape of fission products produced in the fuel kernel. Knowing the diffusion coefficient of fission products through SiC is critical to determining whether fission gas can escape from the particle. It has been observed in experiments that Ag accumulated in grain boundaries and triple junctions in SiC. It is hypothesized that grain boundary diffusion is the primary pathway by which fission products penetrate the SiC layer. In this report, the effective diffusion coefficient of the fission product Ag through the grain boundary network is calculated using a combination of atomistic and phase-field methods. The grain boundary diffusion coefficient is calculated using molecular dynamics simulations. The bulk diffusion coefficient is determined using a combination of density functional theory and nudged elastic band methods. An effective diffusion coefficient is calculated, accounting for the grain structure using a phase-field method. The effective diffusion coefficient will be incorporated into Bison and fission product release calculations are compared to available experimental data.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Non-Empirical and Self-Interaction Corrections for DFTB: Towards Accurate Quantum Simulations for Large Mesoscale Systems (Final Report)

This project was comprised of two complementary (but parallel) thrusts: (1) implementing massively-parallelized computing hardware (with new computational hardware that may replace GPUs) in the density functional tight binding (DFTB) approach and (2) developing new capabilities in DFTB to calculate the electronic structure and dynamics of large chemical systems. While classical molecular dynamics can handle hundreds of thousands of atoms, it cannot provide a first-principles based description of chemical systems at the quantum level. At the other extreme, conventional Kohn-Sham DFT methods can probe the true quantum mechanical nature of chemical systems; however, these methods cannot tackle the large sizes and length scales relevant to dynamics simulations of realistic systems. The DFTB formalism utilized in this project provides a viable approach for probing these large systems at a quantum mechanical level of detail. However, to utilize the DFTB approach for accurate calculations of electronic properties, it is crucial to incorporate quantum-based corrections in DFTB since exchange-correlation effects can still remain very strong in these large systems. At the same time, enhancing the computational efficiency of DFTB is also essential since optimal computational performance is required for addressing the large size scales associated with realistic chemical systems. As such, the new non-empirical corrections and computing hardware enhancements implemented in this project will enable accurate and computationally efficient approaches to directly probe electronic properties in these large, complex systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗