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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 235 records · Page 13
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2013

Effects of Type and Strength of Force Feedback on Movement Time in a Target Selection Task

Future cockpits will likely include new onboard technologies, such as cockpit displays of traffic information, to help support future flight deck roles and responsibilities. These new technologies may benefit from multimodal feedback to aid pilot information processing. The current study investigated the effects of multiple levels of force feedback on operator performance in an aviation task. Participants were presented with two different types of force feedback (gravitational and spring force feedback) for a discrete targeting task, with multiple levels of gain examined for each force feedback type. Approach time and time in target were recorded. Results suggested that the two highest levels of gravitational force significantly reduced approach times relative to the lowest level of gravitational force. Spring force level only affected time in target. Implications of these findings for the design of future cockpit displays will be discussed.

CDTI↗
NASA NTRS2013

Radiative Forcing Due to Major Aerosol Emitting Sectors in China and India

Understanding the radiative forcing caused by anthropogenic aerosol sources is essential for making effective emission control decisions to mitigate climate change. We examined the net direct plus indirect radiative forcing caused by carbonaceous aerosol and sulfur emissions in key sectors of China and India using the GISS-E2 chemistry-climate model. Diesel trucks and buses (67 mW/ sq. m) and residential biofuel combustion (52 mW/ sq. m) in India have the largest global mean, annual average forcings due mainly to the direct and indirect effects of BC. Emissions from these two sectors in China have near-zero net global forcings. Coal-fired power plants in both countries exert a negative forcing of about -30 mW/ sq. m from production of sulfate. Aerosol forcings are largest locally, with direct forcings due to residential biofuel combustion of 580 mW/ sq. m over India and 416 mW/ sq. m over China, but they extend as far as North America, Europe, and the Arctic

radiative forcing↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Managing Traffic on the Three-Way Street: Steps Toward Closing the Aerosol Forcing Uncertainty Gap

Understanding changes in the radiative forcing of climate is critical for any effort to attribute, mitigate, or predict climate change. Although greenhouse gases (GHGs) contribute most of the radiative forcing, uncertainty in the climate forcing by airborne particles (aerosols) dominates the uncertainty in forcing changes overall. Yet, aerosol forcing has remained virtually undiminished for more than 20 years despite considerable advances in most of the key contributing elements. Satellite and suborbital measurements, as well as modeling, each have essential roles to play in reducing the uncertainty in the aerosol forcing of climate. This presentation will begin by briefly covering the reasons why aerosols are important for climate study, and will then summarize what we are learning about aerosols from current satellite remote-sensing work, and allude to the roles of suborbital measurements and models. Emphasis will be placed on nascent efforts to link satellite data with models, the need to continue as planned current programs supporting advanced, global-scale satellite and surface-based aerosol and precursor gas observations, climate modeling, as well as intensive field campaigns aimed at characterizing the underlying physical and chemical processes involved. The talk will conclude by highlighting new efforts needed to obtain systematic in situ measurements of aerosol microphysical and chemical properties, along with a greater research focus on integrating the unique contributions of measurements and modeling toward reducing the aerosol climate forcing uncertainty gap.

aerosol↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Analysis of Pull Force Test Results for Crimped Connections

Crimped electrical contacts are reliable when strict process controls are followed during manufacturing and accompanied by continuous process verification through pull force testing. Cable and wire harness assemblies’ standards are developed and refined over time to provide the minimum pull force that a crimp contact must meet before it breaks from the wire. However, in practice the failures occur at a much higher tensile strength than the minimum required. The first section of this paper reviewed 780 pull force test results provided by NASA Centers were collected and analyzed to determine how the data compares to NASA’s pre-existing requirements from the cable/harness standards NASA-STD-8739.4 and IPC/WHMA-A-620B-S. The measured tensile strength of most of the contact/conductor pairs (i.e. Contact/Wires or C/W) exceeded the minimum pull force values of NASA-STD-8739.4 and IPC/WHMA-A-620 standards by at least 100 %. The tensile strength samples of the C/W pairs values followed a normal distribution with an average tensile strength value that was at least 182 % of the minimum requirement, and all the samples analyzed passed the pull force testing. In addition, the 95 % confidence interval of the average tensile strength distributions for several C/W pairs was determined and plotted as error bars to show that there is good likelihood to observe C/W pair normal distribution with a 95 % confidence interval that will meet and surpass the standard requirements. The frequency of pull force testing can be problematic for projects because of the cost and availability of spare contacts for the destructive test. It could be possible to reduce the frequency of pull force testing if at the beginning of the production run, the conditions of the crimp tool and materials are verified, and the settings of the tool remain unchanged throughout the process. However, the project must evaluate the impact to risk from reducing the frequency of testing.

Crimped connections↗
NASA NTRS2024

Forced Response Aeromechanics Analysis in MATLAB®-Based Environment Code With Application to Distortion-Tolerant Fan R24 Blade Geometry

Researchers at the NASA Glenn Research Center have developed a research-level code for forced response analysis for turbomachinery that provides a streamlined framework for aeromechanics analysis, as well as for generating Goodman diagrams. The Forced Response Aeromechanics Analysis in a MATLAB-Based Environment (FRAAME, Version 1) code is designed to accept blade surface unsteady pressure time histories generated by three-dimensional (3D) Unsteady Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (URANS) code TURBO and modal displacements, modal stresses, and static stresses generated via expanded ANSYS® (Ansys, Inc.) cyclic symmetry analysis. The code’s looping structure allows for largescale analyses, including many blade surface pressure files, modal displacements, and modal stress files for full annulus forced response analysis, including a modal summation method for multiple engine orders and modes. This code is applied to the R24 fan geometry for the Boundary Layer Ingesting Inlet/Distortion-Tolerant Fan (BLI2DTF) project, a propulsion system being developed to increase the fuel efficiency of future aircraft, to serve as validation of experimental data as well as external simulation results. This tool’s functional, modular form is intended to allow users to make modifications easily. Those modifications can include requests for information for any step in the analysis process, as well as adding various functions to compute additional information of interest. It is also written, given sufficient input information, as a general blade geometry forced response solver that is not necessarily specific to the R24 geometry but is used here for verification of code functionality and accuracy. Although forced response analysis tools are also available in commercially available code packages, the post-processing FRAAME code offers reliable, fast, and scalable forced response analysis and Goodman diagram generation for large cases utilizing, specifically, TURBO and ANSYS® results information in an effort to streamline forced response and high cycle fatigue analyses.

Aeromechanics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modulating Transition Metal Reactivity with Force

The reactivity and selectivity of a transition metal catalyst is intimately related to its ligand-sphere geometry, and, in many cases, the ideal ligand geometry for one step of a catalytic cycle is poorly matched to the ideal ligand geometry for another. For this reason, methods for reversibly modulating ligand geometry on the time scale of catalytic turnover or monomer enchainment are highly desirable. Mechanical force represents a heretofore untapped approach to modulate catalyst geometry and/or reactivity, with the potential to do so on the timescale of catalytic turnover or monomer enchainment. Macroscopic mechanical forces are large, directional and localized to an extent that differentiates them from other forms of energy input such as heat or light. Here, in this Concept, we describe our efforts to address the fundamental challenges associated with force-modulated transition metal catalysis by employing molecular force probe ligands comprising a stiff stilbene photoswitch tethered to rotationally flexible biaryl bisphosphine ligand. Our efforts to date include the modulation of catalytic activity through force-mediated ligand perturbations, quantification of the force-coupled ligand effects on the energetics of elementary organometallic transformations, and evaluation of the mechanisms of force transduction in these systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Understanding syringeability and injectability of high molecular weight PEO solution through time-dependent force-distance profiles

Opioid medications play a vital role in treating moderate to severe pain. Unfortunately, many drug misusers and abusers attempt to alter the formulations or properties of these drugs by manipulation, (e.g., crushing, chewing, smoking, snorting, injecting). The intravenous (IV) route is most dangerous to abusers, as the drugs directly enter the circulatory system and produce intense euphoria. To obtain a full understanding of the impact of syringe factors (e.g., needle gauge size, needle length, syringe barrel size), on the ease of injection, we undertook a comprehensive assessment of syringeability and injectability of manipulated abuse-deterrent formulations (ADFs). A texture analyzer-based testing method was developed for the measurement of the resistance force of pulling, holding, and pushing phases of injections. Results showed that the finer needle gauge sizes required higher injection force to withdraw drug solutions. In addition, the syringed liquid volume was highly dependent on needle gauge size, holding time, and sample viscosity. In most cases, a lower needle gauge number and a longer holding time increased the syringed volume. Needle length was highly correlated to injection force (R 2 = 0.99). Using longer needles to inject drug solution requires greater force. Furthermore, large barrel size was correlated to pushing force (R 2 = 0.99); thus, increasing the difficulty of pushing the plunger of a large syringe with one hand. Lastly, relationships between injection force, sample viscosity, and testing conditions were elucidated using a mathematical model, which could be used in the future to assess and predict injection force of solution samples.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Influence of Heave Plate Topology on Reaction Force

In this study, we explore the role of heave plate topology on fluid reaction forces using three, representative shapes: a hexagonal flat plate, a hexagonal conic with an open top, and the same with a closed top that encloses a fluid mass. We force each test article sinusoidally in a quiescent tank and decompose the reaction force using forms of the Morison equation for phase-invariant and phase-dependent parameterizations. We find that a flat plate generates 5.3 % more fluid reaction force than the open conic topology, and 21.4% more than the enclosed conic. Asymmetric topologies generate asymmetric reaction forces, but the magnitude of asymmetry is limited by nearly symmetric fluid inertia forces, which dominate over drag for these test articles. Additionally, we observe asymmetric vortex dynamics for the flat plate when the Keulegan-Carpenter number is between 1 and 2, accompanied by a shift in the phase of the peak force by of the oscillation period. As a consequence of this shift, the hydrodynamic coefficients estimated from the phase-dependent Morison equation decomposition are asymmetric, suggesting that phase-dependent representations may not provide physical insight in some hydrodynamic regimes.

added mass↗
DOE OSTI2020

Capturing Deuteration Effects in a Molecular Mechanics Force Field: Deuterated THF and the THF–Water Miscibility Gap

Deuteration is a common chemical modification used in conjunction with experiments such as neutron scattering, NMR, and Fourier-transform infrared for the study of molecular systems. Under the Born–Oppenheimer (BO) approximation, while the underlying potential energy surface remains unchanged by isotopic substitutions, isotopic substitution still alters intramolecular vibrations, which in turn may alter intermolecular interactions. Molecular mechanics (MM) force fields used in classical molecular dynamics simulations are assumed to represent local approximations of the BO potential energy surfaces, and hence, MD simulations using simple isotopic mass substitutions should capture BO-compatible isotope effects. However, standard MM force-field parameterizations do not directly fit to the local harmonic quantum mechanical (QM) Hessian that describes the BO surface, but rather to QM normal-modes and/or mass-dependent internal-coordinate derived distortion energies. In this study, using tetrahydrofuran (THF)–water mixtures as our model system, we show that not only does a simple mass-substitution approach fail to capture an experimentally characterized deuteration effect (the loss of the closed-loop miscibility gap associated with the complete deuteration of THF) but also it is necessary to generate new MM force-field parameters that correctly describe isotopic dependent vibrations to capture the experimental deuteration effect. We show that the origin of this failure is a result of using mass-dependent features to fit the THF MM force field, which unintentionally biases the bonded terms of the force field to represent only the isotopologue used during the original force-field parameterization. In addition, we make use of our isotopologue-corrected force field for D 8 THF to examine the molecular origins of the isotope-dependent loss of the THF–water miscibility gap.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Force-Modulated C–C Reductive Elimination from Nickel Bis(polyfluorophenyl) Complexes

We have analyzed the rate of C(sp 2 )–C(sp 2 ) reductive elimination from nickel(II) bis(2,4,6-trifluorophenyl) complex-es (P–P)Ni(2,4,6-C 6 H 2 F 3 ) 2 containing either MeOBiPhep (3a) or macrocyclic bisphosphine ligand (3b-3e) as a func-tion of force applied to the biaryl backbone of these ligands through intramolecular tension generated by a molecular force probe. Nickel complexes 3 were isolated in 22-60% yield from reaction of bisphosphine with the bis(tetrahydrofuranyl) complex (THF) 2 Ni(2,4,6-C 6 H 2 F 3 ) 2 followed by chromatography. Thermolysis of complexes 3 in C 6 D 6 at 68 °C leads to first-order decay through > 3 half-lives to form 2,2',4,4',6,6'-hexaflurorobiphenyl as the exclusive fluorine-containing product in ≥93% yield. Whereas compressive forces up to –65 pN have no significant effect on the rate of reductive elimination, extension forces increase the rate of reductive elimination by a factor of three over a ~230 pN range of restoring forces relative to the strain-free MeOBiphep complex. Furthermore, the rate response of reductive elimination from nickel(II) bis(trifluorophenyl) complexes as a function of extension force is similar to the previously reported 2.8-fold increase in the rate of reductive elimination from platinum diaryl complexes (P–P)Pt(4-C 6 H 4 NMe 2 ) 2 over the same range of forces

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Shear-induced lift force on spheres in a viscous linear shear flow at finite volume fractions

Several studies have shown a significant increase in drag on a distribution of solid spherical particles within a fluid with increasing particle volume fraction. As a result, many empirical drag laws accounting for the dependence on the Reynolds number and volume fraction can be found in the literature. This study investigates the possibility of a similar effect of the particle volume fraction on the mean hydrodynamic lift force on randomly distributed spherical particles in a linear shear flow. Particle-resolved direct numerical simulations are performed to evaluate the mean lift force, and the results are compared with the case of an isolated particle in a linear shear flow for the same Reynolds number and shear rate. The mean lift force acting on the particles appears to remain nearly the same as that on an isolated particle. However, due to the influence of neighboring particles, there is a substantial force variation in transverse directions on each individual particle, whose magnitude is comparable to the mean drag force. The distribution of drag force in a linear shear flow is shown to be nearly the same as in a uniform flow at the same volume fraction and Reynolds number. A simple stochastic model based on a Gaussian distribution is presented for the lift force variation, and its performance is compared to the prediction of the deterministic pairwise interaction extended point-particle model.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Fingerprints of external forcings on Sahel rainfall: aerosols, greenhouse gases, and model-observation discrepancies

Over the 20th and 21st centuries, both anthropogenic greenhouse gas increases and changes in anthropogenic aerosols have affected rainfall in the Sahel. Using multiple characteristics of Sahel precipitation, we construct a multivariate fingerprint that allows us to distinguish between the model-predicted responses to greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Models project the emergence of a detectable signal of aerosol forcing in the middle of the 20th century and a detectable signal of greenhouse gas forcing at the beginning of the 21st. However, the signals of both aerosol and greenhouse gas forcing in observations emerge earlier and are stronger than in the models, far stronger in the case of aerosols. The similarity between the response to aerosol forcing and the leading mode of internal variability makes it difficult to attribute this model-observation discrepancy to errors in the forcing, errors in the forced response, model inability to capture the amplitude of internal variability, or some combination of these. For greenhouse gases, however, the forced response is distinct from internal variability as estimated by models, and the observations are largely commensurate with the model projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Compressible pairwise interaction extended point-particle model for force prediction of shock-particle bed interaction

We propose a pairwise influence framework for the complex unsteady compressible particle-laden flow problem by accounting for the scattered hydrodynamic waves emitting from neighboring particles in a Euler-Lagrange simulation. It has been observed from particle-resolved (PR) simulations of randomly dispersed particle beds under a loading shock that the compressible pseudoturbulence dominates the flow system even after the primary shock has passed, which causes fluctuations observed in the forces experienced by the particle. Moreover, the fact that each particle exists in the vicinity of a random arrangement of other particles modifies the time history of the drag force experienced by each particle during and after the passage of the shock. First, the scattering flow field due to an incoming shock interacting with a single sphere is constructed using an analysis of the flow in the acoustic limit. Then we examine the validity of the compressible Maxey-Riley-Gatignol force model by comparing the force prediction against a PR simulation of two interacting particles for various particle arrangements and incoming shock strength. Subsequently, the neighboring influences are stored as a library of maps that can be used readily in the calculation of the perturbation force. Lastly, the pairwise interaction assumption is evaluated by comparing the force predicted with the model with PR simulations of a randomly packed particle bed of 10% volume fraction for both water and air as the fluid medium for an incoming shock Mach number 1.22. With a considerably lower cost for the implementation of the model compared to PR simulations, it is verified that the model is reasonably accurate in pinpointing particles whose peak force is significantly larger or smaller than the mean drag but also to capture the prolonged fluctuations after the initial shock.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Resonantly Enhanced Electromigration Forces for Adsorbates on Graphene

We investigate the electromigration forces for weakly bonded adsorbates on graphene by using density-functional based calculations. We find that the nature of electromigration forces on an adsorbate critically depends on the energy level alignment between the adsorbate state and the Fermi level of the graphene. For a resonant adsorbate, whose frontier orbitals lie close to the Fermi level, the electromigration force is dominated by the electron wind force that is strongly enhanced along the electron flow direction, irrespective of the sign of the adsorbate charge. For a nonresonant adsorbate, the electromigration force is essentially the direct force that depends on the adsorbate charge. We also show that the magnitude of electromigration forces can be continuously tunable through electrostatic gating for resonant adsorbates. Our results provide new insight for understanding and controlling how nanoscale objects behave in or on host materials.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2022

Atomic Force Microscope Active Optical Probe for Single-Molecule Imaging and Time-Resolved Optical Spectroscopy (DOE SBIR Phase II/IIA Final Report)

Actoprobe LLC reports on the results of its DOE SBIR Phase II/IIA project on the development of Atomic Force Microscope Active Optical Probe for Single-Molecule Imaging and Time-Resolved Optical Spectroscopy. While chemistry science and technology greatly benefit from Atomic Force Microscopy in surface characterization, time-resolved chemical imaging on the single-molecule level lags far behind. Current scanning probe microscopy only obtains information about mechanical but not optical/chemical properties. To address this problem, the Actoprobe LLC research team has proposed a novel class of Atomic Force Microscopy probes, Ultra-Fast Pulsed Active Atomic Force Microscopy Optical Probes (UFP AAOPs), that will allow ultrafast time-resolved optical and chemical imaging at the nanoscale. As envisioned, these unique optical probes will perform the functions of conventional Atomic Force Microscopy probes and, in addition, will simultaneously provide chemical information about molecular scale interactions. This innovation is accomplished by integrating an ultrafast pulsed Quantum Dot laser source into an Atomic Force Microscopy probe. This report describes our progress with the fabrication of an ultrafast micrometer-size semiconductor laser, based on “artificial atoms” - Quantum Dots, integrated with an Atomic Force Microscopy probe. In this Phase II/IIA project, we have demonstrated the feasibility of the UFP AAOP concept by fabricating a first prototype of the UFP AAOP. The excellent performance of the probe has been proven in terms of AFM and optical spatial resolution through rigorous tests. The UFP AAOP provides pulses with less than 4 ps duration and higher than 11 GHz repetition rate, and spatial resolution better than 300 nm at 1240 nm wavelength. Technically, it is possible to reduce the pulse width to less than 1 ps and to improve lateral resolution to ~ 0.5 nm, which implies the potential capability for the probe to characterize chemical compounds with single-molecule resolution. The UFP AAOP fabrication procedure has been developed for wafer-scale production of multiple devices, with the yield of the process estimated to be lower than 1% with the limited fabrication capabilities and equipment available for use in the research project. However, using high-volume production tools and special GaAs processing equipment, the yield can be significantly improved, theoretically to ~ 50%. Finally, economic feasibility and scale-up manufacturing potential were analyzed for UFP AAOP and found to be very promising. In summary, the Actoprobe team has successfully demonstrated the feasibility of the UFP AAOP concept.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Effect of Acceleration on the Separation Force in Constrained-Surface Stereolithography

Constrained-surface-based stereolithography has recently attracted much attention from both academic and industrial communities. Despite numerous experimental, numerical and theoretical efforts, the fundamental need to reduce the separation force between the newly cured part and constrained surface has not yet been completely solved. In this paper, we develop a fluid dynamics approach, proposed in our previous work, to theoretically model the separation force in 3D printing of a cylindrical part for flat and patterned windows. We demonstrate the possibility of separation force reduction with an accelerated movement of the printing platform. In particular, we investigate behaviors of transient parameter, its reduction rate, and separation force reduction with respect to elevation speed and time. The proposed approach involves deceleration and acceleration stages and allows to achieve the force reduction for the entire printing process. Finally, we provide implicit analytical solutions for time moments when switching between the stages can be done without noticeable increase of separation force and explicit expression for separation force in case of patterned window.

Gritsenko, Dmitry (ORCID:0000000248181512)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Quantifying CanESM5 and EAMv1 sensitivities to Mt. Pinatubo volcanic forcing for the CMIP6 historical experiment

Large volcanic eruptions reaching the stratosphere have caused marked perturbations to the global climate including cooling at the Earth's surface, changes in large-scale circulation and precipitation patterns and marked temporary reductions in global ocean heat content. Many studies have investigated these effects using climate models; however, uncertainties remain in the modelled response to these eruptions. This is due in part to the diversity of forcing datasets that are used to prescribe the distribution of stratospheric aerosols resulting from these volcanic eruptions, as well as uncertainties in optical property derivations from these datasets. To improve this situation for the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), a two-step process was undertaken. First, a combined stratospheric aerosol dataset, the Global Space-based Stratospheric Aerosol Climatology (GloSSAC; 1979–2016), was constructed. Next, GloSSAC, along with information from ice cores and Sun photometers, was used to generate aerosol distributions, characteristics and optical properties to construct a more consistent stratospheric aerosol forcing dataset for models participating in CMIP6. This “version 3” of the stratospheric aerosol forcing has been endorsed for use in all contributing CMIP6 simulations. Recent updates to the underlying GloSSAC from version 1 to version 1.1 affected the 1991–1994 period and necessitated an update to the stratospheric aerosol forcing from version 3 to version 4. As version 3 remains the official CMIP6 input, quantification of the impact on radiative forcing and climate is both relevant and timely for interpreting results from experiments such as the CMIP6 historical simulations. This study uses two models, the Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5) and the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Atmosphere Model version 1 (EAMv1), to estimate the difference in instantaneous radiative forcing in simulated post-Pinatubo climate response when using version 4 instead of version 3. Differences in temperature, precipitation and radiative forcings are generally found to be small compared to internal variability. An exception to this is differences in monthly temperature anomalies near 24 km altitude in the tropics, which can be as large as 3 °C following the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Exploring ice sheet model sensitivity to ocean thermal forcing and basal sliding using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM)

Abstract. Multi-meter sea level rise (SLR) is thought to be possible within the next few centuries, with most of the uncertainty originating from the Antarctic land ice contribution. One source of uncertainty relates to the ice sheet model initialization. Since ice sheets have a long response time (compared to other Earth system components such as the atmosphere), ice sheet model initialization methods can have significant impacts on how the ice sheet responds to future forcings. To assess this, we generated 25 different ice sheet spin-ups, using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) at a 4 km resolution. During each spin-up, we varied two key parameters known to impact the sensitivity of the ice sheet to future forcing: one related to the sensitivity of the ice shelf melt rate to ocean thermal forcing (TF) and the other related to the basal friction. The spin-ups all nudge toward observed thickness and enforce a no-advance calving criterion, such that all final spin-up states resemble observations but differ in their melt and friction parameter settings. Each spin-up was then forced with future ocean thermal forcings from 13 different CMIP6 models under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP)5-8.5 emissions scenario and modern climatological surface mass balance data. Our results show that the effects of the ice sheet and ocean parameter settings used during the spin-up are capable of impacting multi-century future SLR predictions by as much as 2 m. By the end of this century, the effects of these choices are more modest, but still significant, with differences of up to 0.2 m of SLR. We have identified a combined ocean and ice parameter space that leads to widespread mass loss within 500 years (low friction and high melt rate sensitivity). To explore temperature thresholds, we also ran a synthetically forced CISM ensemble that is focused on the Amundsen region only. Given certain ocean and ice parameter choices, Amundsen mass loss can be triggered with thermal forcing anomalies between 1.5 and 2 ∘C relative to the spin-up. Our results emphasize the critical importance of considering ice sheet and ocean parameter choices during spin-up for SLR predictions and suggest the importance of including glacial isostatic adjustment in ice sheet simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗