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At least 235 records · Page 13

The impact of long-range dispersal on gene surfing

Range expansions lead to distinctive patterns of genetic variation in populations, even in the absence of selection. These patterns and their genetic consequences have been well studied for populations advancing through successive short-ranged migration events. However, most populations harbor some degree of long-range dispersal, experiencing rare yet consequential migration events over arbitrarily long distances. Although dispersal is known to strongly affect spatial genetic structure during range expansions, the resulting patterns and their impact on neutral diversity remain poorly understood. Here, we systematically study the consequences of long-range dispersal on patterns of neutral variation during range expansion in a class of dispersal models which spans the extremes of local (effectively short-ranged) and global (effectively well-mixed) migration. We find that sufficiently long-ranged dispersal leaves behind a mosaic of monoallelic patches, whose number and size are highly sensitive to the distribution of dispersal distances. We develop a coarse-grained model which connects statistical features of these spatial patterns to the evolution of neutral diversity during the range expansion. We show that growth mechanisms that appear qualitatively similar can engender vastly different outcomes for diversity: Depending on the tail of the dispersal distance distribution, diversity can be either preserved (i.e., many variants survive) or lost (i.e., one variant dominates) at long times. Our results highlight the impact of spatial and migratory structure on genetic variation during processes as varied as range expansions, species invasions, epidemics, and the spread of beneficial mutations in established populations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Velocity dispersions and dynamical masses for a large sample of quiescent galaxies at z >1: Improved measures of the growth in mass and size

We present Keck LRIS spectroscopy for a sample of 103 massive (M > 10{sup 10.6} M {sub ☉}) galaxies with redshifts 0.9 < z < 1.6. Of these, 56 are quiescent with high signal-to-noise absorption line spectra, enabling us to determine robust stellar velocity dispersions for the largest sample yet available beyond a redshift of 1. Together with effective radii measured from deep Hubble Space Telescope images, we calculate dynamical masses and address key questions relating to the puzzling size growth claimed by many observers for quiescent galaxies over the redshift interval 0 < z < 2. Our large sample provides the first opportunity to carefully examine the relationship between stellar and dynamical masses at high redshift. We find this relation closely follows that determined locally. We also confirm the utility of the locally established empirical calibration which enables high-redshift velocity dispersions to be estimated photometrically, and we determine its accuracy to be 35%. To address recent suggestions that progenitor bias—the continued arrival of recently quenched larger galaxies—can largely explain the size evolution of quiescent galaxies, we examine the growth at fixed velocity dispersion assuming this quantity is largely unaffected by the merger history. Using the velocity dispersion-age relation observed in the local universe, we demonstrate that significant size and mass growth have clearly occurred in individual systems. Parameterizing the relation between mass and size growth over 0 < z < 1.6 as R∝M {sup α}, we find α = 1.6 ± 0.3, in agreement with theoretical expectations from simulations of minor mergers. Relaxing the assumption that the velocity dispersion is unchanging, we examine growth assuming a constant ranking in galaxy velocity dispersion. This approach is applicable only to the large-dispersion tail of the distribution, but yields a consistent growth rate of α = 1.4 ± 0.2. Both methods confirm that progenitor bias alone is insufficient to explain our new observations and that quiescent galaxies have grown in both size and stellar mass over 0 < z < 1.6.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Optical spectroscopy and velocity dispersions of galaxy clusters from the SPT-SZ survey

We present optical spectroscopy of galaxies in clusters detected through the Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (SZ) effect with the South Pole Telescope (SPT). We report our own measurements of 61 spectroscopic cluster redshifts, and 48 velocity dispersions each calculated with more than 15 member galaxies. This catalog also includes 19 dispersions of SPT-observed clusters previously reported in the literature. The majority of the clusters in this paper are SPT-discovered; of these, most have been previously reported in other SPT cluster catalogs, and five are reported here as SPT discoveries for the first time. By performing a resampling analysis of galaxy velocities, we find that unbiased velocity dispersions can be obtained from a relatively small number of member galaxies (≲ 30), but with increased systematic scatter. We use this analysis to determine statistical confidence intervals that include the effect of membership selection. We fit scaling relations between the observed cluster velocity dispersions and mass estimates from SZ and X-ray observables. In both cases, the results are consistent with the scaling relation between velocity dispersion and mass expected from dark-matter simulations. We measure a ∼30% log-normal scatter in dispersion at fixed mass, and a ∼10% offset in the normalization of the dispersion-mass relation when compared to the expectation from simulations, which is within the expected level of systematic uncertainty.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

An accurate and efficient algorithm for detection of radio bursts with an unknown dispersion measure, for single-dish telescopes and interferometers

Astronomical radio signals are subjected to phase dispersion while traveling through the interstellar medium. To optimally detect a short-duration signal within a frequency band, we have to precisely compensate for the unknown pulse dispersion, which is a computationally demanding task. We present the “fast dispersion measure transform” algorithm for optimal detection of such signals. Our algorithm has a low theoretical complexity of 2N{sub f}N{sub t}+N{sub t}N{sub Δ}log{sub 2}(N{sub f}), where N{sub f}, N{sub t}, and N{sub Δ} are the numbers of frequency bins, time bins, and dispersion measure bins, respectively. Unlike previously suggested fast algorithms, our algorithm conserves the sensitivity of brute-force dedispersion. Our tests indicate that this algorithm, running on a standard desktop computer and implemented in a high-level programming language, is already faster than the state-of-the-art dedispersion codes running on graphical processing units (GPUs). We also present a variant of the algorithm that can be efficiently implemented on GPUs. The latter algorithm’s computation and data-transport requirements are similar to those of a two-dimensional fast Fourier transform, indicating that incoherent dedispersion can now be considered a nonissue while planning future surveys. We further present a fast algorithm for sensitive detection of pulses shorter than the dispersive smearing limits of incoherent dedispersion. In typical cases, this algorithm is orders of magnitude faster than enumerating dispersion measures and coherently dedispersing by convolution. We analyze the computational complexity of pulsed signal searches by radio interferometers. We conclude that, using our suggested algorithms, maximally sensitive blind searches for dispersed pulses are feasible using existing facilities. We provide an implementation of these algorithms in Python and MATLAB.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Velocity Dispersion, Size, Sérsic Index, and D{sub n}4000: The Scaling of Stellar Mass with Dynamical Mass for Quiescent Galaxies

We examine the relation between stellar mass, velocity dispersion, size, Sérsic index, and D{sub n}4000 for a volume-limited sample of ∼40,000 quiescent galaxies in the SDSS. At a fixed stellar mass, galaxies with higher D{sub n}4000 have larger velocity dispersions and smaller sizes. D{sub n}4000 is a proxy for stellar population age, thus these trends suggest that older galaxies typically have larger velocity dispersions and smaller sizes. We combine velocity dispersion and size into a dynamical mass estimator, σ{sup 2}R. At a fixed stellar mass, σ{sup 2}R depends on D{sub n}4000. The Sérsic index is also correlated with D{sub n}4000. The dependence of σ{sup 2}R and Sérsic index on D{sub n}4000 suggests that quiescent galaxies are not structurally homologous systems. We derive an empirical correction for non-homology which is consistent with the analytical correction derived from the virial theorem. After accounting for non-homologous galactic structure, we measure M{sub ∗}∝M{sub d}{sup 0.998±0.004}, where M {sub *} is the stellar mass and M {sub d} is the dynamical mass derived from the velocity dispersion and size; stellar mass is directly proportional to dynamical mass. Quiescent galaxies appear to be in approximate virial equilibrium, and deviations of the fundamental plane parameters from the expected virial relation may result from mass-to-light ratio variations, selection effects, and the non-homology of quiescent galaxies. We infer the redshift evolution of velocity dispersion and size for galaxies in our sample assuming purely passive evolution. The inferred evolution is inconsistent with direct measurements at higher redshifts. Thus quiescent galaxies do not passively evolve. Quiescent galaxies have properties that are consistent with standard galaxy formation in ΛCDM. They form at different epochs and evolve modestly, increasing their size, velocity dispersion, and Sérsic index after they cease star formation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Network Polymer Properties Engineered Through Polymer Backbone Dispersity and Structure

Abstract Dispersity ( Ð or M w /M n ) is an important parameter in material design and as such can significantly impact the properties of polymers. Here, polymer networks with independent control over the molecular weight and dispersity of the linear chains that form the material are developed. Using a RAFT polymerization approach, a library of polymers with dispersity ranging from 1.2—1.9 for backbone chain‐length (DP) 100, and 1.4—3.1 for backbone chain‐length 200 were developed and transformed to networks through post‐polymerization crosslinking to form disulfide linkers. The tensile, swelling, and adhesive properties were explored, finding that both at DP 100 and DP 200 the swelling ratio, tensile strength, and extensibility were superior at intermediate dispersity (1.3—1.5 for DP 100 and 1.6—2.1 for DP 200) compared to materials with either substantially higher or lower dispersity. Furthermore, adhesive properties for materials with chains of intermediate dispersity at DP 200 revealed enhanced performance compared to the very low or high dispersity chains.

Raji, Ibrahim O.↗

A Simple Correction for Nonadditive Dispersion within Extended Symmetry-Adapted Perturbation Theory (XSAPT)

Extended symmetry-adapted perturbation theory (XSAPT), in conjunction with empirical “+aiD” potentials fit to ab initio dispersion data, is a low-scaling approach to compute intermolecular interaction energies in noncovalent clusters. One shortcoming is that the aiD atom–atom dispersion potentials are independent of the chemical environment of the atoms in question and therefore neglect nonadditive dispersion effects. These can be significant in large systems, so to account for them we test a simple correction to XSAPT(KS)+aiD, where “KS” indicates the use of Kohn–Sham orbitals. This correction, which can be evaluated at fourth-order cost using double-ζ basis sets, is based on comparing second-order SAPT dispersion with and without a self-consistent charge embedding for the monomer wave functions. The correction amounts to ~1.4 kcal/mol in (H 2 O) 6 but ~5.5 kcal/mol in (H 2 O) 20 . With the nonadditive dispersion correction, XSAPT(KS)+aiD affords errors of ~1 kcal/mol for isomers of F–(H 2 O) 10 and (H 2 O) 20 , where the benchmarks are complete-basis CCSD(T) energies, as well as for ion–water clusters X(H 2 O)n where n ≤ 6 and X = F – , Cl – , SO 4 2– , Li + , Na + , or K + . We also test the MP2 method and a variety of density-functional methods that have been specifically recommended for noncovalent interactions. Among the latter, only ωB97X-V and ωB97M-V can be recommended for ion–water clusters, as mean errors for other popular approaches (including ωB97X-D3 and several Minnesota functionals) exceed 1 kcal/mol. Lastly, we examine clathrate-hydrate host/guest complexes whose mixture of hydrogen bonding and dispersion make them challenging tests for noncovalent quantum chemistry. Although the B97-D2 functional performs best for clathrate hydrates and has been previously recommended in other studies of these inclusion complexes, its performance for other systems examined here is quite poor. We are unable to find a functional whose accuracy is ≲1 kcal/mol accuracy for both clathrate hydrates and ion–water clusters. However, the XSAPT(KS)+aiD method with the nonadditive dispersion correction can achieve this, with a mean error for the clathrate hydrates of 0.3 kcal/mol.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Assessing Electronic Structure Methods for Long-Range Three-Body Dispersion Interactions: Analysis and Calculations on Well-Separated Metal Atom Trimers

Three-body dispersion interactions are much weaker than their two-body counterpart. However, their importance grows quickly as the number of interacting monomers rises. To explore the numerical performance of correlation methods for long-range three-body dispersion, we performed calculations on eight very simple dispersion-dominated model metal trimers: Na 3 , Mg 3 , Zn 3 , Cd 3 , Hg 3 , Cu 3 , Ag 3 , and Au 3 . One encouraging aspect is that relatively small basis sets of augmented triple-ζ size appear to be adequate for three-body dispersion in the long-range. Coupled cluster calculations were performed at high levels to assess MP3, CCSD, CCSD(T), empirical density functional theory dispersion (D3), and the many-body dispersion (MBD) approach. We found that the accuracy of CCSD(T) was generally significantly lower than for two-body interactions, with errors sometimes reaching 20% in the investigated systems, while CCSD and particularly MP3 were generally more erratic. MBD is found to perform better than D3 at large distances, whereas the opposite is true at shorter distances. When computing reference numbers for three-body dispersion, care should be taken to appropriately represent the effect of the connected triple excitations, which are significant in most cases and incompletely approximated by CCSD(T).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Structure and Dynamics of Bimodal Colloidal Dispersions in a Low-Molecular-Weight Polymer Solution

We present an experimental study of the structural and dynamical properties of bimodal, micrometersized colloidal dispersions (size ratio ≈ 2) in an aqueous solution of low-molecular weight polymer (polyethylene glycol 2000) using synchrotron ultra-small angle X-ray scattering (USAXS) and USAXSbased X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy. We fixed the volume fraction of the large particles at 5 % and systematically increased the volume fraction of the small particles from 0 % to 5 % to evaluate its effect on the structure and dynamics. The bimodal dispersions were homogenous through the investigated parameter space. We found that the partial structure factors can be satisfactorily retrieved for the bimodal colloidal dispersions using a Percus-Yevick hard sphere potential when the particle size distributions of the particles were taken into account. We also found that the partial structure factor between the large particles does not exhibit significant variation with increasing volume fraction of small particles, whereas the isothermal compressibility of the binary mixture was found to decrease with increasing volume fraction of small particles. The dynamics of single-component large particle dispersion obey the principles of de Gennes narrowing, where the wave vector dependence of the interparticle diffusion coefficient is inversely proportional to the interparticle structure factor. The dynamics of the bimodal dispersions demonstrate strong dependence on the fraction of small particles. As a result, we also made a comparison between the experimental effective dynamic viscosity of the bimodal dispersion with theoretical predictions, which suggest that the complex mutual interactions between large and small particles have a strong effect on the dynamic behaviors of bimodal dispersions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Order and Disorder in High $χ$/Low N , Broad Dispersity ABA Triblock Polymers

Using a combination of small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM), we document the composition-dependent morphologies of 39 new poly(lactide- block -1,4-butadiene- block -lactide) (LBL) block polymers, comprising a broad dispersity B segment ( M n = 4.5–17.7 kg/mol; Ð = M w / M n = 1.72–1.88) and narrow dispersity L end blocks ( M n = 0.6–15.3 kg/mol; Ð = 1.10–1.21) with volume fractions 0.26 ≤ $f$ B ≤ 0.95. A subset of these samples undergo melt self-assembly into cylindrical, lamellar, and apparently bicontinuous morphologies. By assessing the states of order and disorder in these triblock polymer melts using temperature-dependent SAXS, we find that broad B segment dispersity increases the minimum segregation strength $χ$ N ≳ 27 required for LBL triblock self-assembly relative to the self-consistent mean-field theory prediction $χ$ N ≥ 17.9 for narrow dispersity analogues. While B segment dispersity has previously been shown to thermodynamically stabilize the self-assembled morphologies of low $χ$/high N ABA triblocks, in contrast, the present study indicates that broad B block dispersity in related high $χ$/low N systems destabilizes the microphase-separated melt. These observations are rationalized in terms of recent theories that suggest that broad segmental dispersity substantially enhances fluctuation effects at low N , thus disfavoring melt segregation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantification of Dispersion for Weakly and Strongly Correlated Nanofillers in Polymer Nanocomposites

The dispersion of nanoparticles in viscous polymers is dictated by kinetics, interaction potentials between particles, and interfacial compatibility between the matrix and dispersed phases. It was previously proposed that an analogy can be made between thermally dispersed colloids and kinetically dispersed nanoparticles in viscous media when weak interactions exist between particles allowing for a mean-field description under the Ginzburg criterion such as for carbon black dispersed in polybutadiene elastomer. For these cases, the second virial coefficient can be used to quantify the quality of dispersion; additionally, the nanoscale network mesh size can be calculated, which is related to dynamic properties. However, this approach fails for nanoparticles with surface charges or other specific interactions that lead to correlations. Here, these correlated systems are investigated in the context of the mean-field systems in order to gain a comparative description of dispersion using the network mesh size and a derived virial coefficient. The physical origin of the structural parameters from the proposed model for these correlated systems is investigated.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Planck intermediate results: LIII. Detection of velocity dispersion from the kinetic Sunyaev-Zeldovich effect

Using the Planck full-mission data, we present a detection of the temperature (and therefore velocity) dispersion due to the kinetic Sunyaev-Zeldovich (kSZ) effect from clusters of galaxies. To suppress the primary CMB and instrumental noise we derive a matched filter and then convolve it with the Planck foreground-cleaned `2D-ILC' maps. By using the Meta Catalogue of X-ray detected Clusters of galaxies (MCXC), we determine the normalized rms dispersion of the temperature fluctuations at the positions of clusters, finding that this shows excess variance compared with the noise expectation. We then build an unbiased statistical estimator of the signal, determining that the normalized mean temperature dispersion of 1526 clusters is ((ΔT/T) 2 ) = (1.64±0.48)×10 -11 . However, comparison with analytic calculations and simulations suggest that around 0.7σ of this result is due to cluster lensing rather than the kSZ effect. By correcting this, the temperature dispersion is measured to be ((ΔT/T) 2 ) = (1.35±0.48)×10 -11 , which gives a detection at the 2.8σ level. We further convert uniform-weight temperature dispersion into a measurement of the line-of-sight velocity dispersion, by using estimates of the optical depth of each cluster (which introduces additional uncertainty into the estimate). We find that the velocity dispersion is (v 2 )=(123000±71000)(kms -1 ) 2 , which is consistent with findings from other large-scale structure studies, and provides direct evidence of statistical homogeneity on scales of 600 h -1 Mpc. Our study shows the promise of using cross-correlations of the kSZ effect with large-scale structure in order to constrain the growth of structure.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Exchange bias magnetism in films of NiFe/(Ni,Fe)O nanocrystallite dispersions

Ni{sub 3}Fe/(Ni,Fe)O thin films having a nanocrystallite dispersion morphology were prepared by a reactive ion beam-assisted deposition technique. The crystallite sizes of these dispersion-based films were observed to decrease from 8.4 ± 0.3 nm to 3.4 ± 0.3 nm as the deposition flow-rate increased from 2.78% to 7.89% O{sub 2}/Ar. Thin film composition was determined using selective area electron diffraction images and Multislice simulations. Through a detailed analysis of high resolution transmission electron microscopy images, the nanocrystallites were determined to be Ni{sub 3}Fe (a ferromagnet), NiO, and FeO (both antiferromagnets). It was determined that the interfacial molar Ni{sub 3}Fe ratio in the nanocrystallite dispersions increased slightly at first, then decreased as the oxygen content was increased; at 7.89% O{sub 2}/Ar, the interfacial molar ratio was essentially zero (only NiO and FeO remained). For nanocrystallite dispersion films grown with O{sub 2}/Ar flow-rate greater than 7.89%, no interfacial (intermixed) Ni{sub 3}Fe phase was detected, which resulted in no measurable exchange bias. Comparing the exchange bias field between the nanocrystallite dispersion films at 5 K, we observed a decrease in the magnitude of the exchange bias field as the nanocrystallite size decreased. The exchange bias coupling for all samples measured set in at essentially the same temperature (i.e., the exchange bias blocking temperature). Since the ferromagnetic/anti-ferromagnetic (FM/AFM) contact area in the nanocrystallite dispersion films increased as the nanocrystallite size decreased, the increase in the magnitude of the exchange bias could be attributed to larger regions of defects (vacancies and bond distortions) which occupied a significant portion of the FM/AFM interfaces in the nanocrystallite dispersion films.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Non-pairwise additivity of the leading-order dispersion energy

The leading-order (i.e., dipole-dipole) dispersion energy is calculated for one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) infinite lattices, and an infinite 1D array of infinitely long lines, of doubly occupied locally harmonic wells. The dispersion energy is decomposed into pairwise and non-pairwise additive components. By varying the force constant and separation of the wells, the non-pairwise additive contribution to the dispersion energy is shown to depend on the overlap of density between neighboring wells. As well separation is increased, the non-pairwise additivity of the dispersion energy decays. The different rates of decay for 1D and 2D lattices of wells is explained in terms of a Jacobian effect that influences the number of nearest neighbors. For an array of infinitely long lines of wells spaced 5 bohrs apart, and an inter-well spacing of 3 bohrs within a line, the non-pairwise additive component of the leading-order dispersion energy is −0.11 kJ mol{sup −1} well{sup −1}, which is 7% of the total. The polarizability of the wells and the density overlap between them are small in comparison to that of the atomic densities that arise from the molecular density partitioning used in post-density-functional theory (DFT) damped dispersion corrections, or DFT-D methods. Therefore, the nonadditivity of the leading-order dispersion observed here is a conservative estimate of that in molecular clusters.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Calibration of proton dispersion for the NIF electron positron proton spectrometer (NEPPS) for short-pulse laser experiments on the NIF ARC

Experiments using the Advanced Radiographic Capability (ARC) laser at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) aim to characterize short-pulse-driven proton beams for use as both probes and drivers for high-energy-density physics experiments. Measurements of ARC-driven proton beam characteristics, such as energy spectrum and conversion efficiency, rely on the NIF Electron Positron Proton Spectrometer (NEPPS). The NEPPS diagnostic is a version of an existing particle spectrometer which is used for detecting MeV electron and positron spectra via permanent magnetic field dispersion. These spectrometers have not yet been calibrated for protons and instead use an analytical calculation to estimate the dispersion. Small variations in the field uniformity can affect the proton dispersion due to the relatively small resolving power (E/dE) for this diagnostic. A broadband energy, laser-accelerated proton source was produced at the Titan laser to experimentally calibrate the proton dispersion. These experimental data were used to test the theoretical dispersion. Numerical simulations using measurements of the magnetic field variation within the diagnostic were used to obtain a realistic proton dispersion curve for the new NEPPS units. In conclusion, this procedure for obtaining each independent dispersion is applicable to all EPPS and NEPPS diagnostics, given the axial magnetic field profile.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Phase-weighted slant stacking for surface wave dispersion measurement

SUMMARY Surface wave retrieval from ambient noise records using seismic interferometry techniques has been widely used for multiscale shear wave velocity (Vs) imaging. One key step during Vs imaging is the generation of dispersion spectra and the extraction of a reliable dispersion curve from the retrieved surface waves. However, the sparse array geometry usually affects the ability for high-frequency (>1 Hz) seismic signals’ acquisition. Dispersion measurements are degraded by array response due to sparse sampling and often present smeared dispersion spectra with sidelobe artefacts. Previous studies usually focus on interferograms’ domain (e.g. cross-correlation function) and attempt to enhance coherent signals before dispersion measurement. We propose an alternative technique to explicitly deblur dispersion spectra through use of a phase-weighted slant-stacking algorithm. Numerical examples demonstrate the strength of the proposed technique to attenuate array responses as well as incoherent noise. Three different field examples prove the flexibility and superiority of the proposed technique: the first data set consists of ambient noise records acquired using a nodal seismometer array; the second data set utilizes distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) and a marine fibre-optic cable to acquire a similar ambient noise data set; the last data set is a vibrator-based active-source surface wave data. The enhanced dispersion measurements provide cleaner and higher-resolution spectra without distortions which will assist both human interpreters as well as ML algorithms in efficiently picking curves for subsequent Vs inversion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Rayleigh-Darcy convection with hydrodynamic dispersion

We investigate the effect of hydrodynamic dispersion on convection in porous media by performing direct numerical simulations (DNS) in a two-dimensional Rayleigh-Darcy domain. Scaling analysis of the governing equations shows that the dynamics of this system are not only controlled by the classical Rayleigh-Darcy number based on molecular diffusion, Ra m , and the domain aspect ratio, but also controlled by two other dimensionless parameters: the dispersive Rayleigh number Ra d =H/α t and the dispersivity ratio r=α l /α t , where H is the domain height and αt and αl are the transverse and longitudinal dispersivities, respectively. For Δ=Ra d /Ra m >O(1), the influence from the mechanical dispersion is minor; for Δ≲0.02, however, the flow pattern is determined by Rad while the convective flux is F~c(Ra d )Ra m for large Ram. Our DNS results also show that the increase of mechanical dispersion, i.e., decreasing Rad, will coarsen the convective pattern by increasing the plume spacing. Moreover, the inherent anisotropy of mechanical dispersion breaks the columnar structure of the megaplumes at large Ra m , if Ra d <5000. This results in a fan-flow geometry that reduces the convective flux.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Conditions for successful range shifts under climate change: The role of species dispersal and landscape configuration

Abstract Aim Ongoing climate change is currently modifying the geographical location of areas that are climatically suitable for species. Understanding a species’ ability to successfully shift its geographical range would allow us to assess extinction risks and predict future community compositions. We investigate how habitat configuration impedes or promotes climate‐driven range shifts, given different speeds of climate change and dispersal abilities. Location Theoretical, but illustrated with European examples. Methods We model how a species’ ability to track a directional shift in climatic conditions is affected by (a) species’ dispersal abilities; (b) speed of climatic shift; and (c) spatial arrangement of the habitat. Our modelling framework includes within‐and between‐patch population dynamics and uses ecologically realistic habitat distributions and dispersal scenarios (verified with data from a set of European mammal species) and, as such, is an improvement of classical range shift models. Results In landscapes with a homogeneous distribution of suitable habitats, all but the least dispersive species will be able to range shift. However, species with high dispersal ability will have lower population densities after range shift. In heterogeneous landscapes species’ ability to range shift is far more variable and heavily dependent on the habitat configuration. This means that landscape configuration in combination with the speed of climate change and species dispersal abilities give rise to nonlinear effects on population sizes and survival after a climatic shift. Main conclusions Our analyses point out the importance of accounting for the interplay of species dispersal and the landscape configuration when estimating future climate impact on species. These results link ecologically important attributes of both species and their landscapes to outcomes of species range shift, and thereby long‐term persistence of ecological communities.

Årevall, Jonatan↗