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At least 235 records · Page 13

Deep learning forecasts the spatiotemporal evolution of fluid-induced microearthquakes

Microearthquakes generated by subsurface fluid injection record the evolving stress state and permeability of reservoirs. Forecasting their spatiotemporal evolution is therefore critical for applications such as enhanced geothermal systems, carbon dioxide sequestration and other geoengineering applications. Here we propose a transformer neural network model that ingests hydraulic stimulation history and prior microearthquake observations to forecast four key quantities: cumulative microearthquake count, cumulative logarithmic seismic moment, and the 50th- and 95th-percentile extents of the microearthquake cloud. Applied to the EGS Collab Experiment 1 dataset, the model achieves R2 > 0.98 for the 1-s forecast horizon and R2 > 0.88 for the 15-s forecast horizon across all targets, and supplies uncertainty estimates through a learned standard deviation term. These accurate, uncertainty-quantified forecasts enable real-time inference of fracture propagation and permeability evolution, demonstrating the strong potential of deep-learning approaches to improve seismic-risk assessment and guide mitigation strategies in future fluid-injection operations.

Chung, Jaehong↗

The potential for New Mexico basalts to sequester CO 2 with a focus on critical element mobility

This study evaluates the potential of New Mexico basaltic rocks and mafic mine waste for CO₂ sequestration via mineral carbonation. Batch experiments up to 200 days at 40°C simulated CO₂-bearing fluid interactions with various crushed basaltic materials at different grain sizes. Results showed that 70–80% of injected CO₂ was mineralized, with the finest grain sizes showing the most rapid and effective drawdown. The experiments also assessed the mobility of critical metals (Cu, Ni, Zn, Co), revealing trends tied to mineral dissolution and secondary mineral formation. The findings support the dual potential of mine waste for CO₂ sequestration and critical element recovery, informing future carbon capture and resource upcycling strategies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Coordinate versus momentum cuts and effects of collective flow on critical fluctuations

We analyze particle number fluctuations in the crossover region near the critical endpoint of a first-order phase transition by utilizing molecular dynamics simulations of the classical Lennard-Jones fluid. We extend our previous study [V. A. Kuznietsov , ] by incorporating longitudinal collective flow. The scaled variance of particle number distribution inside different coordinate and momentum space acceptances is computed through ensemble averaging and found to agree with earlier results obtained using time averaging, validating the ergodic hypothesis for fluctuation observables. Presence of a sizable collective flow is found to be essential for observing large fluctuations from the critical point in momentum space acceptances. We discuss our findings in the context of heavy-ion collisions. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Development of Conceptual Lead Cartridge Design to Perform Irradiation Experiments in VTR

This paper seeks to introduce the latest design of the Extended Length Test Assembly–Cartridge Lead (ELTA-CL) with associated thermal-hydraulic (TH) assessment and related experiment activities to support the critical component development performed by the ELTA-CL team (Los Alamos National Laboratory, Westinghouse Electric Company, and the University of New Mexico). The goal of the ELTA-CL program is to develop and validate an experimental capability to perform irradiation experiments in the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) addressing Lead Fast Reactor (LFR) technology gaps, in support of the commercial development of advanced lead-cooled fast reactor concepts. Through a design maturation process and parametric study, a conceptual design is proposed to meet the requirements for material and corrosion testing. Thermal-hydraulic characteristics for the conceptual design at desired operating conditions are assessed with systems-level (one-dimensional) and computational fluid dynamics (three-dimensional) simulations. Along with the conceptual design work, experimental activities for the development of critical components such as the pump and flowmeter are undertaken. From both the modeling study and the experimental results, the design requirements of the Phase 1 ELTA-CL (e.g., 500°C and 2 m/s) are achievable with the current conceptual design. Additional design improvements and safety assessments at both steady-state and transient conditions for the final ELTA-CL design will be pursued.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Experiments and Modeling of Proppant Embedment and Fracture Conductivity for the Caney Shale, Oklahoma, USA

ABSTRACT: The ultimate aim of hydraulic fracturing is to have a long and conductive flow path that extends from the wellbore into the formation. The effective fracture length is part of a hydraulically propped fracture which contributes to production. The difficulty in achieving economical production targets from shale reservoirs is at the forefront in many exploration companies. Fracture conductivity loss is related to; proppant embedment under depletion, proppant crushing, damage as a result of fracturing fluid, fines migration and proppant-pack permeability-damage are some of the factors that contribute to production decline after hydraulic fracturing in shale reservoirs. The Caney Shale is a calcareous organic-rich mudrock. Various studies have investigated the effect that clay on shale well productivity, however, there is currently no literature on the Caney shale in relation to horizontal wells; all available literature exists in vertical wells as well as on formations of the Caney that are shallow in comparison to an emerging play which is twice the depth. In this paper we investigate stress-dependent fracture conductivity of proppant-filled fractures and proppant embedment in Caney shale through laboratory and modeling studies. API fracture conductivity tests were conducted using 2% KCl on five locations within the Caney shale that consisted of selecting three brittle(reservoir) zones and two ductile zones. Confining pressures range from 1,000 psi to 12,000 psi at 210°F. Conductivity, permeability as well as embedment were measured during the test. Our experimental results have confirmed that improved fracture conductivity is attributed to; proppant size, the increase in porosity of the proppant pack, closure pressure changes and the reduction in fracture conductivity are a function of many factors such as fracture closure stress. The findings from this study could help the stimulation design by providing new insights into the critical factors that are to be determined to facilitate the choice of proppants as well as fracturing fluids for long term production and recovery from shale reservoirs. 1 INTRODUCTION The development of low permeability formations, like shales, has been aided by hydraulic fracturing of horizontal wells (Radonjic et al., 2020). Hydraulic fracturing fluid is injected at a high pressure to induce tensile fractures that can link to and stimulate natural fractures (Katende et al., 2021a,b). Preserving adequate conductivity in hydraulic fractures over the life of the wells is required for economic production; nevertheless, conserving such conductivity can be difficult in some circumstances, particularly in soft, clay-rich formations (Wang et al., 2021). Proppant particles help to keep the fractures open when the pumping stops and the fracturing fluid returns to the wellbore, producing one or more propped hydraulic fractures of varying length, breadth, and height (Katende et al., 2021a). The proppant pack within the hydraulic fracture boosts well output by providing a greater permeability flowpath for hydrocarbons (Duenckel et al., 2016). Proppant in the fracture is under complicated stress conditions, and the interplay between the rock formation and the proppant pack has a significant impact on proppant-pack permeability (Karazincir et al., 2019). Proppant may be embedded (Katende et al., 2021a) in the rock or crushed into small pieces if the proppant size and strength characteristics are not specified appropriately, resulting in a loss in proppant-pack permeability and fracture aperture, and consequently a fall in well output.

Katende, A.↗

Studying the effect of the upper internal structure design on thermal stratification in sodium fast reactors

Thermal stratification and mixing in large reactor pools can pose significant issues with regard to operation and safety of nuclear plants. While significant work has been done in this area on light water reactors it is more critical for sodium reactors and there is far less data with regard to low Prandtl number fluids. Here this paper focuses on the effect of the upper internal structure on the formation of thermal stratification in a scaled sodium fast reactor upper plenum. Six different upper internal structure configurations were tested to observe the effect on thermal stratification. The degree of stratification was quantified using the stratification number. Each configuration was tested from low to high flow rates at a temperature difference of 50 and 100 °C. Over this broad array of testing, it was observed that higher flow rates, more porosity in the upper internal structure design, and a smaller temperature difference yielded a lower degree of stratification. This information can be used to aid in the design of the upper internal structure in a sodium fast reactor. Furthermore, this high resolved temperature data can be used to verify models under prototypic low Prandtl numbers.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Reduced methane recovery at high pressure due to methane trapping in shale nanopores

By 2050, shale gas production is expected to exceed three-quarters of total US natural gas production. However, current unconventional hydrocarbon gas recovery rates are only around 20%. Maximizing production of this natural resource thus necessitates improved understanding of the fundamental mechanisms underlying hydrocarbon retention within the nanoporous shale matrix. In this study, we integrated molecular simulation with high-pressure small-angle neutron scattering (SANS), an experimental technique uniquely capable of characterizing methane behavior in situ within shale nanopores at elevated pressures. Samples were created using Marcellus shale, a gas-generative formation comprising the largest natural gas field in the United States. Our results demonstrate that, contrary to the conventional wisdom that elevated drawdown pressure increases methane recovery, a higher peak pressure led to the trapping of dense, liquid-like methane in sub-2 nm radius nanopores, which comprise more than 90% of the measured nanopore volume, due to irreversible deformation of the kerogen matrix. These findings have critical implications for pressure management strategies to maximize hydrocarbon recovery, as well as broad implications for fluid behavior under confinement.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Establishing criteria for the transition from kinetic to fluid modeling in hollow cathode analysis

Hollow cathodes for plasma switch applications are investigated via 2D3V particle-in-cell simulations of the channel and plume region. The kinetic nature of the plasma within the channel is dependent on the thermalization rate of electrons, emitted from the insert. When Coulomb collisions occur at a much greater rate than ionization or excitation collisions, the electron energy distribution function rapidly relaxes to a Maxwellian and the plasma within the channel can be described accurately via a fluid model. In contrast, if inelastic processes are much faster than Coulomb collisions, then the electron energy distribution function in the channel exhibits a notable high-energy tail, and a kinetic treatment is required. This criterion is applied to hollow cathodes from the literature, revealing that a fluid approach is suitable for most electric propulsion applications, whereas a kinetic treatment can be more critical to accurate modeling of plasma switches.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Ion temperature anisotropy in the tokamak scrape-off layer

Understanding tokamak exhaust-power heat loads on divertor plates depends critically on having a realistic model of the scrape-off layer (SOL) plasma. The Braginskii fluid model is often solved to understand the SOL plasma behavior. This model is based on the collisional limit for transport along the magnetic field B → . The ions and electron gyrofrequencies are assumed to be much larger than the Coulomb collision frequencies, which are nonetheless, sufficiently large to yield common parallel and perpendicular temperatures for each species, i.e. the temperatures are assumed to be isotropic. Additionally, in certain circumstances such as encountered for the tokamak H-mode, the ion temperature can be quite anisotropic. In this work, the anisotropy effects are implemented in the two-dimensional (2D) transport code UEDGE. Various geometries (1D slab, 2D slab and a toroidal tokamak geometry) are used to study the 2D structure of ion temperature anisotropy and its effects on plasma transport in detail. Results show that the effects of ion temperature anisotropy on the plasma parallel transport are substantial near the magnetic X-point, which leads to different steady state density profiles in the divertor regions. The extra mirror force introduced by ion temperature anisotropy can be one of the main forces contributing to the plasma flow in the SOL.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Prediction of Alfvén eigenmode energetic particle transport in ITER scenarios with a critical gradient model

A reduced 1D, local, critical-gradient model of energetic particle (EP) transport by Alfvén eigenmodes (AEs)—the TGLF-EP+Alpha model—is applied to a much-studied ITER base case and variations with lower plasma current and lower current penetration. The TGLF-EP+Alpha model is a greatly reduced and computationally inexpensive model of EP transport. Such a reduced critical gradient model, while inapplicable to transport driven by strongly nonlinear or non-local abrupt events, is a valuable tool for scoping studies needed in scenario optimization for ITER and beyond. Furthermore, it relies on the assumption of critical-gradient AE transport with the critical EP density gradient determined by linear AE stability calculations in the TGLF gyro-Landau fluid code automated with the parallel-processed TGLF-EP wrapper. EP transport is treated with simultaneous drive of AEs by fusion-born alpha particles and fast ions born from a 1 MeV neutral beam injection (NBI) heating. The effect of simultaneous drive creates about 50% increased particle transport in both EP channels. High magnetic safety factor q and low shear $\hat{s}$ are generally destabilizing to AEs, but low shear tends to be more important. A tailored q-profile, steady-staterelevant scenario can reduce AE-induced EP redistribution by better than 25% over the ITER base case despite having half the total current.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Impact of high-fidelity temperature feedback modeling on fusion blanket neutronics

Accurate modeling and simulation of neutron and gamma transport and interactions within fusion tokamaks represents a critical area of research for fusion energy development. This paper presents a method to couple computational fluid dynamics (CFD) results to high-fidelity neutronics analyses, to explore the fusion neutronics’ feedback to blanket temperature and density. This method is demonstrated on a sector model of a tokamak with immersion molten salt blanket, and the relative differences in tritium breeding ratio (TBR) with spatially-resolved temperature modeling are explored. Additionally, the influence of higher fidelity neutronics results on the subsequent CFD analysis is explored. Results show that global TBR changes $<$0.1% due to temperature spatial distribution modeling. However, local TBR in areas with high temperature variability can have up to ∼4% difference.

blanket fusion↗

NEWTS Integrated Dataset (version 2.0)

The National Energy Water Treatment and Speciation (NEWTS) Integrated Dataset v2.0 provides water researchers, community leaders, regulators, and industry stakeholders with a unified and standardized energy-process wastewater chemistry database. This resource is derived from 39 state and federal entities, and scientific publications, and contains more than 700,000 sample records, many of which also provide geospatial information. The dataset includes chemistry data for several different energy-process wastewater types including produced water, other oil and gas wastewaters, mine drainage, coal ash leachate, power plant wastewater, and geothermal fluids. The NEWTS Integrated Dataset was built to support prudent decision-making, characterization of potential critical mineral sources, and modeling of treatment and valorization options. A subset of this novel resource is also featured on the NEWTS State-Level Database Dashboard. Additional data can be found in the NEWTS EDX Group and the NEWTS Federal Database Dashboard.

AMD↗

SAM Code Enhancements for Modeling of Liquid Metal-Cooled Fast Reactor Concepts

The SAM code is under development and supported by DOE-NE’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program as a modern system-level modeling and simulation tool for advanced non-light water reactor safety analyses. These advanced reactor concepts incorporate novel and improved approaches to achieve safety and economic feasibility. This report summarizes two major efforts in addressing the modeling gaps in SAM for liquid-metal-cooled fast reactor (LMFR) applications, i.e. thermal mixing and stratification phenomena in large pools and corrosion-oxidation of components in flowing lead. A new one-dimensional model for thermal mixing and stratification effects in large pools and enclosures is developed and implemented. Thermal mixing and stratification occur when fluid enters a pool at a temperature different than the bulk fluid itself, a scenario often encountered during transients in pool-type systems. These phenomena are critical for the safety of reactors, impacting phenomena like natural circulation, which is essential for passive cooling. The improved model in SAM addresses limitations of state-of-the-art approaches by combining one-dimensional (1D) channels, representing the coolant jet flow, with lumped-parameter zero-dimensional (0D) pools, representing the rest of coolant in the tank. Energy exchange between the 1D jet and the 0D pools is based on heat transfer correlations calibrated against 3D simulations. It is verified that this model can handle various flow configurations, including hot jets in colder pools, cold jets in hotter pools, and the presence of features like ceilings, free surfaces, and obstacles. Additionally, validation against experimental data demonstrates the ability of the model to capture mixing and stratification effects in a wide range of conditions. The flexibility and improved accuracy of the new model make it a valuable tool for reactor safety analysis, allowing for the simulation of different geometries encountered in advanced reactors. A system-level corrosion modeling capability is developed and implemented in SAM to support Lead Fast Reactor (LFR) development. Although the initial focus of this capability will be on LFR application, this can later be expanded to include other liquid metals such as Lead-Bismuth Eutectic (LBE) and PbLi. This report summarizes the common corrosion mitigation strategies and outlines the progress on implementing and validating a corrosion-oxidation model in SAM. Verification and validation of the corrosion-oxidation portion of the model was performed using analytical solution and measured data from samples tested in the non-isothermal pumped lead loop at IPPE Obninsk. The iron transport and corrosion/precipitation portion of the model was assessed using an analytical model and measured corrosion depths from a natural convection lead loop experiment performed at CEA. It is demonstrated that the model implemented in SAM performed well in these assessments.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Surfactant Effects on Carbon Black Slurries for Aqueous Flow-Electrode Applications

Aqueous carbon black (CB) slurries are promising for flow-electrode applications due to their low cost and high electrical conductivity. Here, in this study, we investigate the impact of introducing a nonionic surfactant (Tween 20) on the rheological and electrical properties of 5 wt % Vulcan XC72R CB slurries in a 50 mM NaCl aqueous solution. We observe a Tween 20 critical concentration around 1.2 wt % that triggers an abrupt transition from a conductive gel to a high-resistance Newtonian fluid. This sudden network collapse coincides with a 250-fold reduction in settled mass, a 1–2 order of magnitude drop in viscosity, and a nearly 100-fold decrease in slurry conductivity. Centrifuged pellet conductivity measurements support the conclusion that this performance loss is largely due to the destruction of the gel network, rather than increased particle-to-particle resistance. SEM imaging suggests that the network is built from large 10 to 50 μm agglomerates that are fully dissolved above the critical surfactant concentration. We found that subcritical surfactant addition improved slurry shelf stability over 90 days, but that electrochemical cell testing revealed progressive performance degradation during operation. These results highlight the need for strategies that maximize long-term electrical conductivity without compromising viscosity, sedimentation stability, or resistance to accumulation on internal surfaces.

Materials science↗

Assessing Critical Conditions for Scour Near Obstructions using Bed Shear, Particle Onset of Motion Balances, and CFD-DEM Modeling of Granular Beds

Computational Fluid Dynamics combined with a Discrete Element Method is one of the computational methods that can be used to model multiphase flows. In this method various phases, gas and liquid or solid, are present in the same computational domain. The local averaged Navier–Stokes equations determine the flow of the continuous phase fluid and are solved using the traditional CFD finite volume approach. DEM is based on a Lagrangian formulation, which solves the equations of motion, expressed in ordinary differential equations, for representative particles as they move in space and time. The interactions between the continuous fluid phase and discrete solid phase are modeled with the use of Newton’s laws of motion via drag force. The particles interact with each other and with the boundaries of the fluid continuum, and the resulting contact forces are included in the equations of motion. The properties of solid particles and boundaries are treated as elastic bodies, with specified density, elastic modulus, and Poisson’s ratio. Particle shapes may vary from single spherical particles to more complex-shaped composite particles. The particles may be introduced into the domain by random or structured injection at a point, surface, or volume, depending on the application. More details on the formulation can be found in the Simcenter STAR-CCM+ User’s Manual and OpenFOAM website.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

What Controls the Entrainment Rate of Dry Buoyant Thermals with Varying Initial Aspect Ratio?

Here, this study uses theory and numerical simulations to analyze the nondimensional spreading rate a (change in radius with height) of buoyant thermals as they rise and entrain surrounding environmental fluid. A focus is on how a varies with initial thermal aspect ratio A r , defined as height divided by width of the initial buoyancy perturbation. An analytic equation for thermal ascent rate w t that depends on a is derived from the thermal-volume-averaged momentum bud get equation. The thermal top height when w t is maximum, defining a critical height z c , is inversely proportional to a. The height z c also corresponds to the thermal top height when buoyant fluid along the thermal’s vertical axis is fully replaced by entrained nonbuoyant environmental fluid rising from below the thermal. The time scale for this process is controlled by the vertical velocity of parcels rising upward through the thermal’s core. This parcel vertical velocity is approximated from Hill’s analytic spherical vortex, yielding an analytic inverse relation between a and A r . Physically, this a–A r relation is connected to changes in circulation as A r is modified. Numerical simulations of thermals with A r varied from 0.5 to 2 give a values close to the analytic theoretical relation, with a factor of ~3 decrease in a as A r is increased from 0.5 to 2. The theory also explains why a of initially spherical thermals from past laboratory and modeling studies is about 0.15. Overall, this study provides a theoretical underpinning for understanding the entrainment behavior of thermals, relevant to buoyantly driven atmospheric flows.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The heat transfer coefficient associated with a moving packed bed of silica particles flowing through parallel plates

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) with thermal energy storage has the potential to be a renewable energy technology with long duration, inexpensive energy storage. Higher temperature operation increases the conversion efficiency and reduces the cost of energy storage. Several emerging CSP designs utilize particles as the solar receiver due to their high temperature stability and low cost. In some designs, the particles are also used as the thermal energy storage (TES) media. In either configuration, an energy transfer is required between the hot particles and the working fluid in the power cycle in a Particle-to-Fluid Heat Exchanger (PtFHX). Understanding the heat transfer between a moving packed bed and a stationary surface is critical to the successful design of a PtFHX. In this paper, a test facility is described in which a moving packed bed of silica sand with particle size 100–600 μm is introduced into the channel formed by two parallel plates, one of which is heated. The effective static thermal conductivity of the particles used for the test are separately measured over the entire range of test temperatures. The inlet and outlet bulk temperatures of the particle flow are measured as are the surface temperatures at several axial locations along the centerline of the plate. The result is the measurement of heat transfer coefficient as a function of temperature for several velocities. The uncertainty of the measurements is presented and the results are compared to model results found in the literature.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Critical Review of the Physicochemical Impacts of Water Chemistry on Shale in Hydraulic Fracturing Systems

Hydraulic fracturing of unconventional hydrocarbon resources involves the sequential injection of a high-pressure, particle-laden fluid with varying pH’s to make commercial production viable in low permeability rocks. This process both requires and produces extraordinary volumes of water. The water used for hydraulic fracturing is typically fresh, whereas “flowback” water is typically saline with a variety of additives which complicate safe disposal. As production operations continue to expand, there is an increasing interest in treating and reusing this high-salinity produced water for further fracturing. Here in this paper we review the relevant transport and geochemical properties of shales, and critically analyze the impact of water chemistry (including produced water) on these properties. We discuss five major geochemical mechanisms that are prominently involved in the temporal and spatial evolution of fractures during the stimulation and production phase: shale softening, mineral dissolution, mineral precipitation, fines migration, and wettability alteration. A higher salinity fluid creates both benefits and complications in controlling these mechanisms. For example, higher salinity fluid inhibits clay dispersion, but simultaneously requires more additives to achieve appropriate viscosity for proppant emplacement. In total this review highlights the nuances of enhanced hydrogeochemical shale stimulation in relation to the choice of fracturing fluid chemistry.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗