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Results for “reasonable accuracy”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12

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NASA NTRS1992

Evaluating model accuracy for model-based reasoning

Described here is an approach to automatically assessing the accuracy of various components of a model. In this approach, actual data from the operation of a target system is used to drive statistical measures to evaluate the prediction accuracy of various portions of the model. We describe how these statistical measures of model accuracy can be used in model-based reasoning for monitoring and design. We then describe the application of these techniques to the monitoring and design of the water recovery system of the Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) of Space Station Freedom.

Chien, Steve↗

NASA NTRS1958

Free-Flight Investigation of Aerodynamic Heat Transfer to a Simulated Glide-Rocket Shape at Mach Numbers up to 10

Heat-transfer measurements were made on a simulated glide-rocket shape in free flight at Mach numbers up to 10 and free-stream Reynolds numbers of 2 x 10 based on distance along surface from apex and 3 x 10 based on nominal leading-edge diameter. The model simulated the bottom of a 75 deg delta wing at 8O deg angle of attack. The data indicated that for the test conditions a modified three-dimensional stagnation-point theory will predict to reasonable engineering accuracy the heating on a highly swept wing leading edge, the heating being reduced by sweep by the 3/2 power of the cosine of the sweep angle. The data also indicate that laminar heating rates over the windward surface of a highly swept flat glider wing at moderate angles of attack can be predicted with reasonable engineering accuracy by flat-plate theory using wedge local flow conditions and basing Reynolds numbers on lengths from the wing leading edge parallel to the surface center line.

FREE FLIGHT↗

DOE OSTI2022

Representative-cell-based Modeling of HTTF in SAM

Although the current nuclear power market is primarily occupied by the light water reactors (LWRs), the TRISO-fueled helium-cooled graphite-moderated high temperature gas reactors (HTGRs) are drawing growing attention as the nuclear power industry marches towards more advanced systems. Compared to that of conventional LWRs, the thermal hydraulics of HTGR cores show extra complexity from their multi-scale heat transfer mechanisms with varying importance during different operation modes or transient stages. The modeling of HTGR cores for the system analysis purpose therefore faces the challenge of reaching reasonable fidelity and accuracy while maintaining sufficient simplicity. Previous development and validation efforts have demonstrated that a “2-D ring model” with reasonable performance can be implemented in the System Analysis Module (SAM) for prismatic HTGR cores. In the current project, an alternative modeling methodology based on “representative cells” is proposed for the typical prismatic core of HTGRs. Different from the previous ring model approach, the proposed methodology first separately models and then combines the small- and large-scale thermal conductions, by connecting representative local heat transfer units (cells) with effective core- wise thermal resistance. A modeling practice for an integral high-temperature test facility (HTTF) elaborates the modeling details. Steady-state validation of the resultant candidate model is performed against a higher-resolution benchmark from a 3D-1D coupled simulation, which shows satisfactory prediction with reasonably captured global parameters and well-represented temperature fields. A postulated pressurized conduction cooldown (PCC) is also simulated and analyzed, demonstrating the model’s capability of transient prediction with physically captured phenomena resolved in both small and large temporal and spatial scales. In general, the current work achieves a preliminary success in proposing a methodology using representative cells to model prismatic HTGR cores in SAM. Future efforts are envisioned with more validation activities and with potential modeling improvements to eventually achieve the high confidence on a high-fidelity robust modeling methodology with reasonable accuracy.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

NASA NTRS1986

Validation of viscous and inviscid computational methods for turbomachinery components

An assessment of several three-dimensional computer codes used at the NASA Lewis Research Center is presented. Four flow situations are examined, for which both experimental data and computational results are available. The four flows form a basis for the evaluation of the computational procedures. It is concluded that transonic rotor flow at peak efficiency conditions may be calculated with a reasonable degree of accuracy, whereas, off-design conditions are not accurately determined. Duct flows and turbine cascade flows may also be computed with reasonable accuracy whereas radial inflow turbine flow remains a challenging problem.

Povinelli, L. A.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Validation of viscous and inviscid computational methods for turbomachinery components

Povinelli, L. A.↗

NASA NTRS1983

An eigenvalue method for solving transient heat conduction problems

The eigenvalue method, which has been used by researchers in structure mechanics, is applied to problems in heat conduction. Its formulation is decribed in terms of an examination of transient heat conduction in a square slab. Taking advantage of the availability of the exact solution, we compare the accuracy and other numerical properties of the eigenvalue method with those of existing numerical schemes. The comparsion shows that, overall, the eigenvalue method appears to be fairly attractive. Furthermore, only a few dominant eigenvalues and their corresponding eigenvectors need to be computed and retained to yield reasonably high accuracy. Greater savings are attained in the computation time for a transient problem with long time duration and a large computational domain.

Shih, T. M.↗

NASA NTRS2011

Validation and Simulation of ARES I Scale Model Acoustic Test -1- Pathfinder Development

The Ares I Scale Model Acoustics Test (ASMAT) is a series of live-fire tests of scaled rocket motors meant to simulate the conditions of the Ares I launch configuration. These tests have provided a well documented set of high fidelity measurements useful for validation including data taken over a range of test conditions and containing phenomena like Ignition Over-Pressure and water suppression of acoustics. To take advantage of this data, a digital representation of the ASMAT test setup has been constructed and test firings of the motor have been simulated using the Loci/CHEM computational fluid dynamics software. Within this first of a series of papers, results from ASMAT simulations with the rocket in a held down configuration and without water suppression have then been compared to acoustic data collected from similar live-fire tests to assess the accuracy of the simulations. Detailed evaluations of the mesh features, mesh length scales relative to acoustic signals, Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy numbers, and spatial residual sources have been performed to support this assessment. Results of acoustic comparisons have shown good correlation with the amplitude and temporal shape of pressure features and reasonable spectral accuracy up to approximately 1000 Hz. Major plume and acoustic features have been well captured including the plume shock structure, the igniter pulse transient, and the ignition overpressure. Finally, acoustic propagation patterns illustrated a previously unconsidered issue of tower placement inline with the high intensity overpressure propagation path.

Putnam, G. C.↗

NASA NTRS1981

On a fourth order accurate implicit finite difference scheme for hyperbolic conservation laws. I - Nonstiff strongly dynamic problems

An implicit finite difference method of fourth order accuracy in space and time is introduced for the numerical solution of one-dimensional systems of hyperbolic conservation laws. The basic form of the method is a two-level scheme which is unconditionally stable and nondissipative. The scheme uses only three mesh points at level t and three mesh points at level t + delta t. The dissipative version of the basic method given is conditionally stable under the CFL (Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy) condition. This version is particularly useful for the numerical solution of problems with strong but nonstiff dynamic features, where the CFL restriction is reasonable on accuracy grounds. Numerical results are provided to illustrate properties of the proposed method.

Harten, A.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Predicting the evolution of biomass bulk density through feedstock preprocessing: Discrete element modeling, regression analysis, and pilot-scale validation

Bulk density is an important material property of biomass feedstocks, influencing handling, storage, transport costs, and conversion efficiency. In this study, predictive regression models for loose and tapped bulk densities of Alamo and Cave-in-Rock switchgrass are developed using a comprehensive dataset generated via calibrated bonded-sphere discrete element method (DEM) simulations. Here, a key contribution of this study is the use of a DEM-based approach, which correlates density with moisture content and particle size distribution parameters and enables analysis across a continuous particle size range, overcoming limitations of purely experimental data. For comparison, regression models are also developed using only experimental data from pilot-scale runs at the Biomass Feedstock National User Facility at Idaho National Laboratory. Validation against pilot-scale data showed reasonable prediction accuracy for both model types, particularly for smaller particle sizes (post-secondary grinding). While the experimental model showed slightly better performance matching the validation data in some cases, the DEM-based model benefits from a much larger dataset, reduced predictor multicollinearity, and continuous parameter coverage, highlighting the utility of validated simulation models for developing robust predictive tools for biomass preprocessing applications.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A phase-field diffraction model for thermo-hydro-mechanical propagating fractures

This paper introduces a novel diffraction based thermo-hydraulic–mechanical (THM) model for fracture propagation using a phase-field fracture (PFF) approach. The key innovation of the THM-PFF model lies in its integrated treatment of four solution variables—displacements, phase-field, pressure, and temperature—each governed by a combination of conservation of momentum (mechanics problem), a variational inequality (constrained minimization problem), mass conservation (pressure problem), and energy conservation (temperature problem). This leads to a new formulation of a coupled variational inequality system. A major advancement is the development of an extended fixed-stress algorithm, where displacements, phase-field, pressures, and temperatures are solved in a staggered sequence. An important aspect of this work is the global coupling of pressures and temperatures across the domain using diffraction systems, with diffraction coefficients defined by material parameters weighted by the diffusive phase-field variable. To ensure robust local mass conservation, we employ enriched Galerkin finite elements (EG) for both pressure and temperature diffraction equations. By enriching the continuous Galerkin basis functions with discontinuous piecewise constants, EG accurately represents solution and parameter discontinuities while preserving local mass and energy conservation—crucial aspects for THM problems and realistic behavior. Moreover, the use of a predictor–corrector local mesh adaptivity scheme is employed, allowing the model to handle small phase-field length-scale parameters while maintaining high numerical accuracy and reasonable computational cost. Furthermore, these new model and algorithmic developments represent significant advances in the field and have been substantiated through rigorous numerical tests.

Diffraction systems↗

DOE OSTI2021

Particle track classification using quantum associative memory

Pattern recognition algorithms are commonly employed to simplify the challenging and necessary step of track reconstruction in sub-atomic physics experiments. Aiding in the discrimination of relevant interactions, pattern recognition seeks to accelerate track reconstruction by isolating signals of interest. In high collision rate experiments, such algorithms can be particularly crucial for determining whether to retain or discard information from a given interaction even before the data is transferred to tape. As data rates, detector resolution, noise, and inefficiencies increase, pattern recognition becomes more computationally challenging, motivating the development of higher efficiency algorithms and techniques. Quantum associative memory is an approach that seeks to exploits quantum mechanical phenomena to gain advantage in learning capacity, or the number of patterns that can be stored and accurately recalled. Here, we study quantum associative memory based on quantum annealing and apply it to the particle track classification. We focus on discrimination models based on Ising formulations of quantum associative memory model (QAMM) recall and quantum content-addressable memory (QCAM) recall. We characterize classification performance of these approaches as a function detector resolution, pattern library size, and detector inefficiencies, using the D-Wave 2000Q processor as a testbed. Discrimination criteria is set using both solution-state energy and classification labels embedded in solution states. We find that energy-based QAMM classification performs well in regimes of small pattern density and low detector inefficiency. In contrast, state-based QCAM achieves reasonably high accuracy recall for large pattern density and the greatest recall accuracy robustness to a variety of detector noise sources.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2025

Propagating synthetic populations with dynamic Bayesian networks: a framework for long-horizon demographic forecasting

This study presents a dynamic demographic microsimulator using dynamic Bayesian networks to forecast long–term changes in household and individual life events. Leveraging longitudinal Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) data, two networks for individuals and households were modeled to simulate transitions in employment, income, education, marriage, childbirth, leaving the parental home, home ownership, mortality, and household formation or dissolution. Across 1,000 simulation runs spanning 24 years, household–level outcomes remain highly accurate and individual–level predictions reasonable. Although accuracy naturally declines with projection horizon, performance remains promising at both levels. This study addresses a key limitation of existing population synthesis models, which typically generate only a single static snapshot of the population. In conclusion, by introducing a framework that propagates cross-sectional outputs into the future, the microsimulator enables the tracking of demographic evolution over time, enhances realism in population-based simulations, and supplies credible inputs to agent-based travel demand models.

Demographic modeling↗

DOE OSTI2021

pKPDB: a protein data bank extension database of p Ka and pI theoretical values

Abstract Summary pKa values of ionizable residues and isoelectric points of proteins provide valuable local and global insights about their structure and function. These properties can be estimated with reasonably good accuracy using Poisson–Boltzmann and Monte Carlo calculations at a considerable computational cost (from some minutes to several hours). pKPDB is a database of over 12 M theoretical pKa values calculated over 120k protein structures deposited in the Protein Data Bank. By providing precomputed pKa and pI values, users can retrieve results instantaneously for their protein(s) of interest while also saving countless hours and resources that would be spent on repeated calculations. Furthermore, there is an ever-growing imbalance between experimental pKa and pI values and the number of resolved structures. This database will complement the experimental and computational data already available and can also provide crucial information regarding buried residues that are under-represented in experimental measurements. Availability and implementation Gzipped csv files containing p Ka and isoelectric point values can be downloaded from https://pypka.org/pKPDB. To query a single PDB code please use the PypKa free server at https://pypka.org. The pKPDB source code can be found at https://github.com/mms-fcul/pKPDB. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Reis, Pedro B. P. S. (ORCID:0000000335636239)↗

DOE OSTI2022

Predicting the location of shear band initiation in a metallic glass

We report atomistic simulation results which indicate that the location of shear banding in a metallic glass (MG) can be ascertained with reasonably high accuracy solely from the undeformed static structure. Correlation is observed between the location of the initiation of shear bands in a simulated MG and the initial distribution of the density of fertile sites (DFS) for stress-driven shear transformations identified a priori based on a deep learning model devised in our recent work. In addition, we demonstrated that one can judge whether a glass is brittle or ductile solely based upon its initial DFS distribution. These validate that shear bands in MG arise from nonlinear instabilities and that the as-quenched glass structure contains inhomogeneities that influence these instabilities. In this study, we also reveal an important subtlety regarding the nondeterministic nature of athermal quasistatic shear simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Modeling Toolkit for Comparing AC and DC Electrical Distribution Efficiency in Buildings

Recently, there has been considerable research interest in the potential for DC distribution systems in buildings instead of the traditional AC distribution systems. Due to the need for performing power conversions between DC and AC electricity, DC distribution may provide electrical efficiency advantages in some systems. To support comparative evaluations of AC-only, DC-only, and hybrid AC/DC distribution systems in buildings, a new modeling toolkit called the Building Electrical Efficiency Analysis Model (BEEAM) was developed and is described in this paper. To account for harmonics in currents or voltages arising from nonlinear devices, the toolkit implements harmonic power flow, along with nonlinear device behavioral descriptions derived from empirical measurements. This paper describes the framework, network equations, device representations, and an implementation of the toolkit in an open source software package, including a component library and graphical interface for creating circuits. Simulations of electrical behavior and device and system efficiencies using the toolkit are compared with experimental measurements of a small office environment in a variety of operating and load configurations. A detailed analysis of uncertainty estimation is also provided. Key findings were that a comparison of predicted versus measured efficiencies and power losses in the validation testbed using the initial toolkit implementation predicted device- and system-level efficiencies with reasonably good accuracy under both balanced and unbalanced AC scenarios. An uncertainty analysis also revealed that the maximum estimated error for system efficiency across all scenarios was 3%, and measured and modeled system efficiency agreed within the experimental uncertainty in approximately half of the scenarios. Based on the correspondence between simulation and measurement, the toolkit is proposed by the authors as a potentially useful tool for comparing efficiency in AC, DC, and hybrid AC/DC distribution systems in buildings.

DC distribution↗

NASA NTRS1975

Learjet model 25 drag analysis

Procedures and data for estimating drag were used to calculate the drag characteristics of the Model 25 airplane. Based on cruise flight test data obtained on the Model 25, these methods generally predicted the total drag characteristics within current acceptable and reasonable engineering accuracy.

Ross, R.↗

NASA NTRS1976

Polyatomic molecule vibrations

Polyatomic molecule vibrations are analyzed as harmonic vibrations along normal coordinates. The energy eigenvalues are found for linear and nonlinear symmetric triatomic molecules for valence bond models of the potential function with arbitrary coupling coefficients; such models can usually be fitted to observed energy levels with reasonably good accuracy. Approximate normal coordinates for the H2O molecule are discussed. Degenerate vibrational modes such as occur in CO2 are analyzed and expressions for Fermi resonance between close-lying states of the same symmetry are developed. The bending modes of linear triatomic molecules are expressed in terms of Laguerre polynomials in cylindrical coordinates as well as in terms of Hermite polynomials in Cartesian coordinates. The effects of large-amplitude bending such as occur in the C3 molecule are analyzed, along with anharmonic effects, which split the usually degenerate bending mode energy levels. Finally, the vibrational frequencies, degeneracies, and symmetry properties of XY3, X2Y2, and XY4 type molecules are discussed.

Source record↗

NASA NTRS1985

Burgers flow past an arbitrary ellipse

The two-dimensional steady flow past an ellipse of arbitrary aspect ratio is investigated analytically, applying a linearized version of the Navier-Stokes equation based on the approximation of Burgers (1928). The resulting infinite system of linear equations is truncated to give reliable results for Reynolds numbers between zero and five, and separation, drag, and boundary-layer phenomena are characterized and illustrated with graphs. The Burgers approximation is found to provide good qualitative results near the ellipse, with reasonable quantitative accuracy for the special case of a circular cylinder.

Dorrepaal, J. M.↗