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At least 217 records · Page 12

Scalable Wind Turbine Generator Bearing Fault Prediction Using Machine Learning: A Case Study

Operation and maintenance (O&M) costs for wind turbines pose a risk to competitiveness and asset owners. With machine-learning technologies and digitalization rapidly maturing, the wind industry is actively investigating these new technologies to optimize O&M practices and reduce costs. This paper reviews recent work on machine-learning approaches to generator bearing failure prediction and presents a relevant real-world case study through a collaboration between the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Envision Digital Corporation. In the case study, we evaluate the performance of representative machine-learning algorithms for predicting wind turbine generator bearing failures. Operational supervisory control and data acquisition data from one wind power plant was used to train and test the machine-learning models. The investigated data channels are chosen based on whether physically they reflect the failed generator bearing conditions and the component historical usage, including both environmental and operational conditions. Benefits and drawbacks of different methods are identified.

generator bearing failures↗

Daikin Advanced Lithium Ion Battery Technology - High Voltage Electrolyte

An evaluation of high voltage electrolytes which contain fluorochemicals as either co-solvents or additives has been completed. The project objective was to identify a cell chemistry and electrolyte formulation which is capable of operating at 4.6 V. Stable cycle performance has been demonstrated in LiNi0.50Mn0.30Co0.20O2 (NMC532)/Artificial Graphite pouch cells to 4.6 V, with a discharge capacity retention greater than 80% after 300 cycles. A multitude of physical and chemical changes between 4.2 and 4.6V were investigated, with the goal of correlating identified degradation mechanisms with premature cell failure.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Cyber-Informed Engineering Implementation Guide: Version 1.0 [Slides]

This Implementation Guide describes the principles of Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) and outlines questions that engineering teams should consider during each phase of a system's lifecycle to effectively employ these principles. It describes what it means to engineer systems in a cyber-informed way, rather than offering a comprehensive, step-by-step process or procedure for CIE implementation. This guide complements - but does not replace - the application of cybersecurity standards or practices currently in place within an organization. Engineers and technicians that design critical energy infrastructure installations can use this Implementation Guide to integrate the 12 principles of CIE into each phase of the engineering lifecycle, from concept to retirement. The guide is aimed at system or design engineers, rather than software engineers or operational cybersecurity practitioners. The engineers who design, build, operate, and maintain the physical infrastructure are best positioned to leverage a system's engineering design to diminish the severity of cyber attacks or digital technology failures. CIE expands cybersecurity decisions into the engineering space, not by asking engineers to become cyber experts, but by calling on engineers to apply engineering tools and make engineering decisions that improve cybersecurity outcomes. CIE examines the engineering consequences that a sophisticated cyber attacker could achieve and drives engineering changes that may provide deterministic mitigations to limit or eliminate those consequences.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Cyber-Informed Engineering Implementation Guide

This Implementation Guide describes the principles of Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) and outlines questions that engineering teams should consider during each phase of a system’s lifecycle to effectively employ these principles. It describes what it means to engineer systems in a cyber-informed way, rather than offering a comprehensive, step-by-step process or procedure for CIE implementation. This guide complements—but does not replace—the application of cybersecurity standards or practices currently in place within an organization. Engineers and technicians that design critical energy infrastructure installations can use this Implementation Guide to integrate the 12 principles of CIE into each phase of the engineering lifecycle, from concept to retirement. The guide is aimed at system or design engineers, rather than software engineers or operational cybersecurity practitioners. The engineers who design, build, operate, and maintain the physical infrastructure are best positioned to leverage a system’s engineering design to diminish the severity of cyber attacks or digital technology failures. CIE expands cybersecurity decisions into the engineering space, not by asking engineers to become cyber experts, but by calling on engineers to apply engineering tools and make engineering decisions that improve cybersecurity outcomes. CIE examines the engineering consequences that a sophisticated cyber attacker could achieve and drives engineering changes that may provide deterministic mitigations to limit or eliminate those consequences.

42 ENGINEERING↗

wtDigiTwin (Wind Turbine Digital Twin) [SWR-21-15]

This wind turbine digital twin software (wtDigiTwin) provides a digital twin solution for wind turbine applications. The focus of wtDigiTwin is to estimate loads, motions and environmental conditions for an operating wind turbine. The program uses supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) measurements as inputs, together with a wind turbine model. The wind industry is currently challenged by the high cost of operation and maintenance. These costs could be mitigated if component failures are predicted, but such predictions are difficult unless the turbines are equipped with expensive measuring devices. The alternative is to use a digital twin such as wtDigiTwin to estimate the necessary signals. wtDigiTwin can perform online prediction of signals that are otherwise not measured, using a limited set of reliable measurements and a physics-based model. The predicted signals can be used in applications that have direct cost benefits: 1) real-time estimation of the fatigue consumption of key components of the wind turbine; 2) root cause analyses and failure detections ; 3) lifetime reassessments ; 4) improvements to follow-on designs. The current version provides examples to estimate wind speed, thrust, torque, tower-top position, and tower loads on an onshore wind turbine using the following measurements tower top acceleration, generator torque, pitch, and rotational speed. The model combines a linear state-space model, a wind speed estimator, and a Kalman filter algorithm that integrates measurements with the state model to perform state estimations. The state space model is obtained either using OpenFAST linearizations, or using the yams package provided with the software.

Branlard, Emmanuel↗

A Review of the Mechanical Properties of Materials Used in Nb 3 Sn Magnets for Particle Accelerators

Superconducting magnets experience significant thermo-mechanical loads throughout their life cycle. These are introduced by the electro-magnetic forces during powering, but also by the prestress applied in many magnet designs. Further to this, the large thermal excursion that components of different materials experience can generate significant internal forces. The loads are also experienced by the superconducting coils, whose critical current can decrease as a consequence of the applied strain. It is then crucial to predict the overall mechanical behavior and conservatively design a magnet, avoiding failure of the mechanical components and of the superconducting coils. Finite Element Analysis (FEA) is generally used to perform these tasks, but its results rely heavily on the material properties and models used. This is in particular true for the coil composite, which is simplified to allow reasonable model sizes in full magnet models. Here we present the state-of-art knowledge of the mechanical properties of the materials mostly used in superconducting magnet construction. We review elastic and plastic properties at room and cryogenic temperature, thermal contraction, and summarize the state-of-art failure criteria for these materials. Finally, the paper summarizes the present understanding of the mechanical behavior and limits of Nb3Sn coils. For the first time, an orthotropic failure criteria is proposed.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Stress relaxation cracking susceptibility evaluation in 347H stainless steel welds

Abstract Stress relaxation cracking (SRC) has been reported as a dominant failure mechanism for 347H stainless steel welds at elevated service temperatures, occurring in either the heat-affected zone (HAZ) or fusion zone (FZ). In this study, SRC susceptibility of physically simulated HAZ and cross-welded E347-347H stainless steel welds was studied using a four-step accelerated SRC test with a thermomechanical physical simulator. The stress and temperature range studied represents weld-induced residual stress at 150–600 MPa and post-weld heat treatment temperatures between 800 and 1050 °C. For all temperature conditions, the cross-welded samples failed at a lower critical stress threshold than the simulated HAZ. A finite element model of a 50.8-mm-thick single-V groove weld was used to generate the residual stress maps induced by a 40-pass welding procedure, which in combination with the experimental threshold stress map predicted potential SRC failure locations. Postmortem microstructural evaluations were performed to identify contributing characteristics to SRC. It was found that HAZ samples exhibited a combination of creep void development, secondary cracks with intergranular fracture near grain boundary carbides, and eutectic phases. FZ samples showed brittle fracture with cracks propagating along straight, non-tortuous interdendritic grain boundaries.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Aging and Lifetimes Milestone 7777, G.C. #4: Assess the ability of MRI to identify chemical and mechanical heterogeneity in polymers at various length scales

Polysiloxane foams utilized for stockpile applications experience changes over time induced by exposure to thermal, radiative, and mechanical stresses. The interplay of these stresses can lead to chemical and/or physical changes in the polymer, such as compression set and material degradation over time. Understanding the mechanisms of material aging and identifying material degradation prior to failure are critical in maintaining the integrity of the nuclear stockpile. Our prior work using solid-state NMR spectroscopy has shown that we can observe signatures of thermal, radiative, and mechanical aging of silicone elastomers using differences in NMR parameters such as relaxation (T1 and T2). However, most of our measurements have been on bulk samples and have only provided an average aging behavior of each sample. Here, we have used magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to provide relaxation-weighted images that are a metric of structural heterogeneity (cross-link density) in polymers across multiple length scales. In addition, the larger sample size that can be accommodated in animal MRI scanners has the potential to make the technique adaptable to detecting heterogeneities whole parts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Benchmark for Fuel Shuffling and Depletion for Pebble-Bed Reactors

Pebble bed reactors have specific operational characteristics when their fuel-cycle and fueling operations are considered. They are specifically distinguished by other type of nuclear reactor designs by their online fuel recycling scheme, where the fuel elements that have not yet reached discharge burnup can be reloaded and recycled continuously during normal operation. The fuel in a pebble bed reactor is not stationary and stochastically moves through the core once or several times during its lifetime, which allows them to operate without requiring a large excess reactivity hold for the burnup. However, this characteristic of pebble bed reactors introduces challenges in simulation, as each pebble can take many different trajectories through the core, its composition depends on the details of the irradiation history that is unique to its aggregated path through the core. For predicting the safety performance characteristics, such as source term, maximum fuel temperatures and fuel failure rates, etc., it is important to accurately incorporate the movement of pebbles through the core during their lifetime in a multi-physics simulation together with other phenomena. The equilibrium core analysis for pebble bed reactors are performed with multi-physics tools including fuel depletion in a multi pass reload coupled to the fuel movement. Currently, there are only a few legacy multi-physics simulation tools that can implement the pebble flow characteristics and perform equilibrium core analysis for pebble bed reactors. However, there are development efforts on-going under Department of Energy's Nuclear Energy Advanced Modelling and Simulation program and also in private industry for including these capabilities into their modelling and simulation tools. Any new development in the modelling and simulation tools needs to be validated by using tools such as experiments, analytical solutions or code-to-code benchmarks. In this work, a code-to-code benchmark for the equilibrium core analysis capability of pebble bed reactors was developed. Multiple cases were identified to capture different fuel cycle strategies that can be used in PBRs. The results of each case are presented in terms of overall equilibrium core characteristics: the discharge burnup; spatial burnup distribution; spatial isotopic distributions; axial and radial neutron flux distributions and power history of fuel elements per pass through the core for both a prototypical pebble bed High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor and a prototypical pebble bed Fluoride-salt cooled High temperature Reactor.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Quantitative insights for diagnosing performance bottlenecks in lithium–sulfur batteries

Lithium–sulfur (Li–S) batteries hold significant promise for electric vehicles and aviation due to their high energy density and cost-effectiveness. However, understanding the root causes of performance degradation remains a formidable challenge, as the interplay of multiple factors obscures key failure mechanisms. A major limitation has been the inability to quantify soluble sulfur species within practical detection limits accurately and to correlate electrochemical processes with associated physical inventory changes. Here, we introduce the high-performance liquid chromatography-ultraviolet spectroscopy and gas chromatography sequential characterization (HUGS) toolkit, capable of precisely quantifying seven distinct sulfur and polysulfide species at concentrations as low as 40 ppb. HUGS has been successfully applied to practical coin and pouch cells without requiring cell modification. Furthermore, our self-developed software, Dr HUGS, enhanced the data analysis speed by over 30 times, enabling multi-source data integration and delivering comprehensive analysis results within minutes. Using HUGS, we identify significant capacity losses from inactive lithium and sulfur during initial cycles and sulfide-rich solid–electrolyte interphase (SEI) formation on the anode during later cycles. Notably, our findings reveal that soluble polysulfides have minimal contributions to capacity loss, challenging long-standing assumptions. Moreover, HUGS demonstrates that constant-pressure setups in Li–S pouch cells improve compositional uniformity compared to constant-gap configurations. For sulfurized polyacrylonitrile (SPAN) cathodes, unique issues such as non-sulfide SEI formation and lithium pulverization are observed, which can be mitigated through localized high-concentration electrolytes to enhance lithium inventory retention. By enabling precise quantification of critical inventory components, HUGS provides transformative insights into failure mechanisms across various electrolytes and cathode chemistries, guiding rational design strategies for next-generation energy storage systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Microreactor Automated Control System Test Bed Digital Architecture for Real-Time, Hardware-in-the-Loop Simulation

This work describes progress made towards the development of a real-time hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) test bed for non-nuclear testing of microreactor control schemes and failure modes. Non-nuclear testing is a crucial step in developing robust control algorithms for managing microreactor dynamics. The creation of an HIL simulation harnesses the realistic dynamics of physical analogue systems while additionally considering the challenges of variable communication delay. This collaborative effort between Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Idaho National Laboratory has resulted in a LabVIEW-based gRPC communication protocol which couples a TRANSFORM Modelica simulation of nuclear components to the ViBRANT physical hardware for realistic feedback and visual representation of control action in real time. A modular python client structure is developed to manage FMU-based Modelica simulation and real-time gRPC communication. HIL testing suggests that the modeled reactor with natural convection molten salt loop coolant configuration responds well to PID control of drum positioning for modulation of reactor core power, however, future efforts will be made to explore the added thermal inertial delay of system level control and downstream demand changes. Development of this platform with a generalized methodology provides a foundation for exploring a variety of reactor configurations and failure modes in rapid order to provide insight into the most effective avenues of study for further research and development.

McConnell, Jono [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000238984741)↗

On principles of emergent organization

After more than a century of concerted effort, physics still lacks basic principles of spontaneous organization. To appreciate why, we first state the problem, outline historical approaches, and survey the present state of the physics of self-organization. This frames the particular challenges arising from mathematical intractability and the resulting need for computational approaches, as well as those arising from a chronic failure to define structure. Then an overview of two modern mathematical formulations of organization—intrinsic computation and evolution operators—lays out a way to overcome these challenges. Together, the vantage point they afford shows how to account for the emergence of structured states via a statistical mechanics of systems arbitrarily far from equilibrium. The result is a constructive path forward to principles of organization that builds on mathematical identification of structure.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Alternating Direction Decomposition with Strong Bounding and Convexification (ADDSBC) for Solving Security Constrained AC Unit Commitment Problems

This project aims to develop efficient and robust computational methods for solving the security-constrained unit commitment and alternating current optimal power flow problem (SC-UC-ACOPF). The SC-UC-ACOPF problem is at the center of the short-term operation of the U.S. Power Grid. It is solved every week, every day, and every 10 minutes to plan for the optimal action of electricity generation and consumption by minimizing the generation cost and maintaining power system reliability against potential disruptions of equipment failures. In mathematical terms, SC-UC-ACOPF is a challenging large-scale mixed-integer nonlinear optimization model. This means that the decisions involve both discrete variables, e.g. the turning on and off of generators and switching of transmission lines and transformers, and continuous decisions, e.g. the amount of energy generated by each generator and the power flows in the power grid. The physics of the power flow is described by nonlinear equations involving real and reactive power and bus voltages. Another key feature is the large number of contingencies, i.e. the system needs to stay reliable in face of failure of any one equipment, such as transmission lines and generators. The U.S. power grids are extremely complicated and large scale with more than 5,000 generators, 50,000 buses, and 100,000 high-voltage transmission lines, making the SC-UC-ACOPF a very large-scale computation challenge. The research developed in this project aims to solve the SC-UC-ACOPF problems in the three timescales, i.e. weekly, daily, and every 10-min. The proposed computational methods are built on a principled algorithmic approach of decomposition and penalization. More specifically, the algorithm develops spatial and temporal decomposition by exploiting the strong temporal coupling and weak spatial coupling of the UC problem and the complementary feature, i.e. weak temporal coupling and strong spatial coupling of the ACOPF problem. The algorithm also leverages recent progresses in strong convex relaxation of ACOPF. A unique feature of the proposed approach is that it generates a valid, global upper bound on the optimal maximum profit. In this way, a global optimality gap is available to measure the quality of the solution. To further speed up computation, the research team has developed a plethora of effective heuristics to strengthen the iterative penalty-based decomposition framework. For instance, a heuristic is developed to construct inner approximations of the time coupling constraints within the time decoupled problems. Contingencies are pre-screened and low-rank matrix computation is exploited to find the almost unique solution to each contingency. A novel heuristic for line switching is proposed and tested with positive impacts on instances where line switching is beneficial. Taking a systematic approach and carefully handling every detail of the problem pays off. The TIM-GO’s performance throughout the trials and the final event was stellar. TIM-GO garnered the second highest total prize money and is ranked in the top three positions across all categories of comparison.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Stress Relaxation Cracking in 347H Stainless Steel Arc Welds: Susceptibility Evaluation of Heat-Affected Zone

Stress relaxation cracking (SRC) is considered one of the major failure mechanisms for 347H stainless steel welds at elevated service temperatures or during post weld heat treatment (PWHT), especially within the heat-affected zone (HAZ). This work focuses on the characterization of SRC susceptibility within 347H physically simulated arc welded HAZ at elevated temperatures. A four-step SRC thermomechanical test in combination with finite element modeling (FEM) of the welding and testing processes is developed to establish a susceptibility map for HAZ. The test first runs a thermal cycle with three different peak temperatures (1335, 1275, and 1150 °C) to duplicate representative HAZ subzone microstructures, followed by time-to-failure examination under a variety of pre-stress (260–600 MPa) and pre-strain conditions (0.03–0.19) as a function of reheat temperatures between 750 and 1050 °C. With the aid of FEM, SRC susceptibility maps are generated to identify the threshold stress, plastic strain, and creep strain as a function of test temperature. It was found out that HAZ subzone with a lower peak temperature (1150 °C) appears to be slightly less susceptible to SRC than the other two subzones that experienced higher peak temperatures. Generally, time-to-fracture reduces with increasing initially applied stress and strain for all test temperatures. The pre-stress thresholds decrease from about 500 to 330 MPa as the testing temperature increases from 800 to 1050 °C, while the corresponding initial plastic strain thresholds reduces from 0.15 to 0.06. The SRC susceptibility was also evaluated through the Larson–Miller Parameter (LMP) analysis as a function of plastic strain, initial stress and starting stress upon reaching the testing temperature, respectively. The 1050 °C test with a high pre-applied strain (0.1) exhibits an extremely short time to failure (t = 3 s) that lies outside the general trend in LMP analysis. Additionally, it was identified that a plastic strain above 0.07 is identified to significantly reduce the bulk creep strain tolerance to fracture and therefore increases SRC susceptibility. Hardness measurement and fractography analysis indicated that the strain aging of niobium carbonitrides and other potential phases in conjunction with intergranular precipitates contributes to an increase in microhardness and increased intergranular cracking susceptibility.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Simulation of Creep Deformation and Failure in Graded AM Microstructures

This report describes modeling tools and techniques developed to simulate the long-term material performance of 316H stainless steel manufactured using Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF). A physics-based Crystal Plasticity Finite Element model is used to simulate creep in microstructures and to study the roles of grain morphology, porosity, and texture. We describe our modeling methodology, including an orientation-mapping technique to capture the spatially varying crystallographic orientation that results from the build conditions. Our study of microstructural features shows that AM microstructures produced by LPBF tend to creep faster in the build direction, while texture and grain boundaries strengthen the transverse directions. However, when grain-boundary porosity and the consequent cavity growth are included in the model, the transverse directions begin to creep faster. In examining texture, the results indicate that spatially varying orientation arising from the build conditions increases anisotropy in the material, making it critical to account for orientation gradients in the material to accurately model its mechanical behavior. We also describe a material-model calibration campaign in which we calibrated the constitutive model specifically for LPBF 316H stainless steel at 725℃ for both solution-annealed and as-built conditions. Finally, these tools and techniques are used to model creep in microstructures representing different regions of an LPBF material with graded microstructure, owing to intentional variation in processing conditions. The creep simulation results show good agreement with experimental data across all three microstructures, with future work planned to study rupture in the material.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Four-Stage Multi-Physics Simulations to Assist Temperature Sensor Design for Industrial-Scale Coal-Fired Boiler

The growth of renewable energy sources presents a pressing challenge to the operation and maintenance of existing fossil fuel power plants, given that fossil fuel remains the predominant fuel source, responsible for over 60% of electricity generation in the United States. One of the main concerns within these fossil fuel power plants is the unpredictable failure of boiler tubes, resulting in emergency maintenance with significant economic and societal consequences. A reliable high-temperature sensor is necessary for in situ monitoring of boiler tubes and the safety of fossil fuel power plants. In this study, a comprehensive four-stage multi-physics computational framework is developed to assist the design, optimization installation, and operation of the high-temperature stainless-steel and quartz coaxial cable sensor (SSQ-CCS) for coal-fired boiler applications. With the consideration of various operation conditions, we predict the distributions of flue gas temperatures within coal-fired boilers, the temperature correlation between the boiler tube and SSQ-CCS, and the safety of SSQ-CCS. With the simulation-guided sensor installation plan, the newly designed SSQ-CCSs have been employed for field testing for more than 430 days. The computational framework developed in this work can guide the future operation of coal-fired plants and other power plants for the safety prediction of boiler operations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multi-arrival infrasound from meteoroids: Fragmentation signatures versus propagation effects in a fine-scale layered atmosphere

Infrasonic signatures of meteoroid fragmentation are frequently ambiguous: do multiple arrivals signify a complex breakup or merely the distorting effects of a layered atmosphere? Resolving this ambiguity is critical for accurate energy estimates and source reconstruction. In this study, we address this challenge by analyzing a unique regional dataset of well-constrained meteoroid events observed by the Southern Ontario Meteor Network and the co-located Elginfield Infrasound Array. We employ pseudo-differential parabolic equation (PPE) simulations to quantify how fine-scale gravity-wave structures in the stratosphere and lower thermosphere modify acoustic waveforms at ranges <300 km. Our modeling reveals that while fine-scale layering can stretch signals and generate diffuse oscillatory tails, it does not produce discrete, high-amplitude pulse splitting at ranges below ∼140 km. By applying these results to the rare multi-arrival event 20060305, we demonstrate that its distinct double arrival at 100 km range is inconsistent with atmospheric multipathing and provides definitive evidence of separate fragmentation episodes. These findings establish new diagnostic criteria for separating source physics from propagation artifacts, improving the reliability of infrasound as a monitoring tool for natural bolides, space debris re-entries, and catastrophic launch failures.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗