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At least 217 records · Page 12

Greater committed warming after accounting for the pattern effect

Our planet’s energy balance is sensitive to spatial inhomogeneities in sea surface temperature and sea ice changes, but this is typically ignored in climate projections. Here, we show the energy budget during recent decades can be closed by combining changes in effective radiative forcing, linear radiative damping and this pattern effect. The pattern effect is of comparable magnitude but opposite sign to Earth’s net energy imbalance in the 2000s, indicating its importance when predicting the future climate on the basis of observations. Additionally, after the pattern effect is accounted for, the best-estimate value of committed global warming at present-day forcing rises from 1.31 K (0.99–2.33 K, 5th–95th percentile) to over 2 K, and committed warming in 2100 with constant long-lived forcing increases from 1.32 K (0.94–2.03 K) to over 1.5 K, although the magnitude is sensitive to sea surface temperature dataset. Further constraints on the pattern effect are needed to reduce climate projection uncertainty.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Direct Air Capture (DAC) Deployment Assessment in Deep Mitigation Pathways Toward 2075 in the U.S.: MARKAL-NETL Modeling Results

Presentation made at the 2024 Annual International Pittsburgh Energy and Carbon Management Conference (PECMC) OCTOBER 7 - 9, 2024 (virtual). The presentation summarized the methodology and results from energy market scenario analyses of the deployment of Direct Air Capture technologies under net-zero CO2 requirements by 2050. The results showed strong deployment of DAC under all scenarios, with increased value of the technology when other CO2 reduction pathways were unavailable or minimized.

Victor, Nadejda↗

Spatial profiles of photon chemical potential in near-field thermophotovoltaic cells

Emitted photons stemming from the radiative recombination of electron–hole pairs carry chemical potential in radiative energy converters. This luminescent effect can substantially alter the local net photogeneration in near-field thermophotovoltaic cells. Several assumptions involving the luminescent effect are commonly made in modeling photovoltaic devices; in particular, the photon chemical potential is assumed to be zero or a constant prescribed by the bias voltage. The significance of photon chemical potential depends upon the emitter temperature, the semiconductor properties, and the injection level. Hence, these assumptions are questionable in near-field thermophotovoltaic devices with nanoscale separation distances between the emitter and the cell. In the present work, an iterative solver that combines fluctuational electrodynamics with the drift-diffusion model is developed to tackle the coupled photon and charge transport problem, enabling the determination of the spatial profile of photon chemical potential beyond the detailed balance approach. Here, the difference between the results obtained by allowing the photon chemical potential to vary spatially and by assuming a constant value demonstrates the limitations of the conventional approaches. This study is critically important for performance evaluation of near-field thermophotovoltaic systems with nanoscale vacuum gaps.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Use of Diffusion Bonded Cu Strap and Integrated MLI for Thermal Control of 100 K IR Detector on L’Ralph Instrument

Passive cooling of cryogenic instruments is one of the most challenging aspects of spaceflight thermal control systems. They are highly sensitive to parasitic heat leaks from their warmer environment, especially the spacecraft components. The L’Ralph instrument on the Lucy mission is an example of such a system, with its LEISA detector requiring passive cooling to temperatures below 112 K. MLI performance can be measured in terms of estar, and analysts apply bias between a high and low estar value. This approach works well for conventional MLI at room temperature, however, it can be dangerous when a mission goes through a wide range of temperatures during its lifetime, with estar values increasing exponentially as temperatures get colder. Various estar correlations are presented as well as how L’Ralph is approaching the MLI problem with the use of IMLI. IMLI uses discrete spacers to isolate each layer, and doesn’t require intermediate layers such as dacron netting. This results in estar performance that can be more precisely estimated, and yields valuesaround 0.004 at the 112K operating temperature. L’Ralph is using IMLI on the backside of the radiator, which permits a more effective use of increased radiator area, by minimizing the area dependent heat leak impact from the instrument backloading. The detector is thermally coupled to the radiator via a diffusion bonded Cu strap. The diffusion bonding process chemically bonds the Cu foil ends in order to maximize heat transfer effectiveness across the multiple foils used. Employing a pressure compensation design via the use of Ti blocks and a clamp at the strap ends ensures that as temperatures go colder, pre-load is maintained in order to minimize resistance at the strap ends. The use of both of these technologies, and how they work together are crucial to the success of the L’Ralph thermal control system.

Thermal↗

The moisture budget in relation to convection

An evaluation of the moisture budget in the environment of convective storms is presented by using the unique 3- to 6-h rawinsonde data. Net horizontal and vertical boundary fluxes accounted for most of the large amounts of moisture which were concentrated into convective regions associated with two squall lines that moved through the area during the experiment. The largest values of moisture accumulations were located slightly downwind of the most intense convective activity. Relationships between computed moisture quantities of the moisture budget and radar-observed convection improved when lagging the radar data by 3 h. The residual of moisture which represents all sources and sinks of moisture in the budget equation was largely accounted for by measurements of precipitation.

Scott, R. W.↗

Influence of clouds on the earth's radiation budget determined from GOES data

Estimates of the cloud radiative effects on the earth's regional and zonal radiation budgets derived from GOES data during November 1978 are presented. The diurnal cloud cover variability is shown to affect both the radiation-budget measurements and the estimation of the overall effect of clouds on the net flux. For this data set, the cloud cover causes a decrease in the net flux from the clear-sky value. Thus, the cloud albedo effect outweights the greenhouse effect of the clouds. It is found that the value of the change in the radiation balance is closely related to the amount of incident solar radiation and to the zonal distributions of low, middle, and high cloud cover.

Harrison, E. F.↗

Revised monthly energy generation estimates for 1,500 hydroelectric power plants in the United States

Abstract The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) conducts a regular survey (form EIA-923) to collect annual and monthly net generation for more than ten thousand U.S. power plants. Approximately 90% of the ~1,500 hydroelectric plants included in this data release are surveyed at annual resolution only and thus lack actual observations of monthly generation. For each of these plants, EIA imputes monthly generation values using the combined monthly generating pattern of other hydropower plants within the corresponding census division. The imputation method neglects local hydrology and reservoir operations, rendering the monthly data unsuitable for various research applications. Here we present an alternative approach to disaggregate each unobserved plant’s reported annual generation using proxies of monthly generation—namely historical monthly reservoir releases and average river discharge rates recorded downstream of each dam. Evaluation of the new dataset demonstrates substantial and robust improvement over the current imputation method, particularly if reservoir release data are available. The new dataset—named RectifHyd—provides an alternative to EIA-923 for U.S. scale, plant-level, monthly hydropower net generation (2001–2020). RectifHyd may be used to support power system studies or analyze within-year hydropower generation behavior at various spatial scales.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

The 63 micron radiation field in the earth's thermosphere and its influence on the atomic hydrogen temperature

The thermal escape of hydrogen from the earth's atmosphere is strongly affected by its temperature at the exobase. It has been suggested recently that the hydrogen temperature might be significantly lower than the thermospheric temperature as a result of a collisional exchange of energy with atomic oxygen. The tendency is to cool the hydrogen since the energy of the excited 3P1 level of oxygen can be lost from the atmosphere via magnetic dipole emission of the micron line (3P2-3P1). A detailed calculation of the net cooling effect as a function of altitude throughout the thermosphere is presented. The calculations have been performed for both day and night conditions and for periods of maximum and minimum solar activity conditions. It is found that its effect on Delta T/T varies from a very small value to a maximum of about 3%. The theoretical framework for describing deviations of the 63 micron emission from local thermodynamic equilibrium is given and it is shown that these effects can cause the emission to be reduced by as much as 40% near 500 km.

Durrance, S. T.↗

Comparison of longwave diurnal models applied to simulations of the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment

The Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) is a multisatellite experiment which is to be implemented in the mid 1980s. The experiment involves a utilization of instruments on one or more sun-synchronous satellites in the NOAA series, and the employment of a dedicated spacecraft, the ERBS, in a 57 deg orbit. One of the objectives of ERBE is related to an improvement of knowledge regarding the diurnal variability in the earth's radiation balance. In the present investigation, satellite samples of longwave (LW) radiation over land are simulated for both sun-synchronous and non-sun-synchronous orbits. Three different LW diurnal models are then applied to the sampled data, and the resulting modeled monthly net LW radiant exitances are compared against reference values based on complete hourly sampling of the area for a month. The results demonstrate the general usefulness of a trigonometric diurnal LW model for land regions with daytime heating trends.

Brooks, D. R.↗

Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling and Associated Ring Current Energization Processes

Adiabatic processes in the ring current are examined. In particular, an analysis of the factors that parameterize the net adiabatic energy gain in the inner magnetosphere during magnetic storms is presented. A single storm was considered, that of April 17, 2002. Three simulations were conducted with similar boundary conditions but with different electric field descriptions. It is concluded that the best parameter for quantifying the net adiabatic energy gain in the inner magnetosphere during storms is the instantaneous value of the product of the maximum westward electric field at the outer simulation boundary with the nightside plasma sheet density. However, all of the instantaneous magnetospheric quantities considered in this study produced large correlation coefficients. Therefore, they all could be considered useful predictors of the net adiabatic energy gain of the ring current. Long integration times over the parameters lessen the significance of the correlation. Finally, some significant differences exist in the correlation coefficients depending on the electric field description.

Liemohn, M. W.↗

Postoptimality Analysis in the Selection of Technology Portfolios

This slide presentation reviews a process of postoptimally analysing the selection of technology portfolios. The rationale for the analysis stems from the need for consistent, transparent and auditable decision making processes and tools. The methodology is used to assure that project investments are selected through an optimization of net mission value. The main intent of the analysis is to gauge the degree of confidence in the optimal solution and to provide the decision maker with an array of viable selection alternatives which take into account input uncertainties and possibly satisfy non-technical constraints. A few examples of the analysis are reviewed. The goal of the postoptimality study is to enhance and improve the decision-making process by providing additional qualifications and substitutes to the optimal solution.

prioritization↗

Gulf stream velocity structure through combined inversion of hydrographic and acoustic Doppler data

Near-surface velocities from an acoustic Doppler instrument are used in conjunction with CTD/O2 data to produce estimates of the absolute flow field off Cape Hatteras. The data set consists of two transects across the Gulf Stream made by the R/V Endeavor cruise EN88 in August 1982. An inverse procedure is applied which makes use of both the acoustic Doppler data and property conservation constraints. Velocity sections at approximately 73 deg. W and 71 deg. W are presented with formal errors of 1-2 cm/s. The net Gulf Stream transports are estimated to be 116 + or - 2 Sv across the south leg and 161 + or - 4 Sv across the north. A Deep Western Boundary Current transport of 4 + or - 1 Sv is also estimated. While these values do not necessarily represent the mean, they are accurate estimates of the synoptic flow field in the region.

Pierce, S. D.↗

The Earth Radiation Budget Experiment

The Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) data studied at present are as follows: (1) Solar Data from ERBS, NOAA-9, and NOAA-10. The solar total irradiance data obtained by the ERBE solar monitors serve as a calibration check on the earth viewing radiometers, as well as provide the experimental value of the solar constant needed in the net radiation computations. (2) The collocated satellite altitude irradiances from ERBS and Nimbus-7 Earth Radiation Budget Measurements are investigated. The sun-synchronous, near-local-noon Nimbus-7 satellite has coincident orbital intersections with the non-sun-synchronous ERBS spacecraft. The objective here is to compare the WFOV and MFOV (wide and medium field-of-view) observations of the ERBS/ERBE, and the Nimbus-7 ERB data sets at the points of their orbital intersections. (3) Globally and zonally averaged ERBE/ERBS data are examined. Investigations of the globally and zonally averaged ERB obtained from the ERBS SCANNER, MFOV and WFOV and the Nimbus-7 WFOV is being carried out to assess the sensor performance.

Mecherikunnel, A. T.↗

Spurious symptom reduction in fault monitoring

Previous work accomplished on NASA's Faultfinder concept suggested that the concept was jeopardized by spurious symptoms generated in the monitoring phase. The purpose of the present research was to investigate methods of reducing the generation of spurious symptoms during in-flight engine monitoring. Two approaches for reducing spurious symptoms were investigated. A knowledge base of rules was constructed to filter known spurious symptoms and a neural net was developed to improve the expectation values used in the monitoring process. Both approaches were effective in reducing spurious symptoms individually. However, the best results were obtained using a hybrid system combining the neural net capability to improve expectation values with the rule-based logic filter.

Shontz, William D.↗

The effects of expression of a hyperthermophilic endoglucanase and nutrient conditions on poplar growth and physiology

Abstract Efficient production and processing of poplar biomass feedstock requires costly pretreatments and enzyme additives. Transgenic alterations of poplar can reduce the need for these inputs by increasing biomass, improving lignocellulose quality and enhancing nutrient uptake. Previously, a transgenic line of poplar expressing a bacterial hyperthermophilic endoglucanase (TnCelB) in Populus alba × grandidentata (P39) was developed and characterized. This study reports the effects on the TnCelB transgenic poplar line under a reduced nutrient treatment. Overall, the nutrient treatment was the source of more observed significant differences than the genotype. Wild type and TnCelB poplar had similar responses in biomass allocation and net photosynthesis. TnCelB trees had a wrinkled leaf phenotype and relative to wild type, had reduced total biomass, reduced water-use efficiency, and a decreased proportion of cellulose to hemicellulose and lignin. In low nutrient conditions, TnCelB trees had increased structural carbohydrates with stable lignin values. The TnCelB line presents a viable option for poplar biomass feedstock, offering biomass comparable to wild type poplar and more efficient processing, with only mild negative phenotypes.

Natalie, Bethanie M. (ORCID:0009000843856585)↗

Long-term productivity in the cryptoendolithic microbial community of the Ross Desert, Antarctica

Annual gross productivity of the lichen-dominated cryptoendolithic community was calculated from a computer analysis of photosynthetic response based on laboratory measurements of CO2 exchange and three years (1985-1988) of field nanoclimate data. Photosynthetic optimum increased from -3 to 2 degrees C between irradiance levels of 100 and 1500 micromoles photons m-2 s-1, while the upper compensation point rose from 1 to 17 degrees C. The mean yearly total time available for metabolic activity (temperature above -10 degrees C and moisture present) was 771.3 h for horizontal rock, 421.5 h for northeast-oriented sloped rock, and 1042.2 h for a small depression in horizontal rock (the characteristic site of occasional lichen apothecia). The calculated mean gross productivity value for a horizontal rock was 1215 mg C m-2 y-1, and net photosynthetic gain was 606 mg C m-2 y-1. Net ecosystem productivity (annual accretion of cellular biomass) estimated from long-term events amounted to only about 3 mg C m-2 y-1. The difference between these two values may represent the long-term metabolic costs of the frequent dehydration-rehydration and freezing-thawing cycles or of overwintering, and may account for the leaching of organic substances to the rock. The yearly gross productivity of the cryptoendolithic microbial community of the entire Ross Desert area was estimated at approximately 120,000-180,000 kg C. Of this, 600-900 kg C is in microbial biomass, and much of the rest is soluble compounds that leach into the rocks and possibly percolate to the valleys, providing a source of organic matter for lakes, rivers, and soils.

NASA Program Exobiology↗

Focusing of nonducted whistlers by the equatorial anomaly

Impulsive ELF/VLF electric field bursts observed by the vector electric field instrument (VEFI) on the Dynamics Explorer 2 (DE 2) satellite on almost every crossing of the geomagnetic equator in the evening hours are interpreted as originating in lightning discharges. These signals that peak in intensity near the magnetic equator are observed within 5-20 deg latitude of the geomagnetic equator at altitudes of 300-500 km with amplitudes of the order of approximately mV/m in the 512- or 1024-Hz frequency band of the VEFI instrument. Whistler-mode ELF/VLF wave propagation through a horizontally stratified ionosphere predicts strong attenuation of subionospheric signals reaching the equator at low altitudes. However, ray tracing analysis shows that the presence of the equatorial density anomaly, commonly observed in the upper ionosphere during evening hours, leads to the focusing of the wave energy from lightning near the geomagnetic equator at low altitudes, thus accounting for all observed aspects of the phenomenon. The observations presented here indicate that during certain hours in the evening, almost all the energy input from lightning discharges entering the ionosphere at less than 30 deg latitude remains confined to a small region (in altitude and latitude) near the geomagnetic equator. The net wideband electric field, extrapolated from the observed electric field values in the 512- to 1024-Hz band, can be approximately 10 mV/m or higher. These strong electric fields generated in the ionosphere by lightning at local evening times may be important for the equatorial electrodynamics of the ionosphere.

Sonwalkar, Vikas S.↗

Skin friction measurements following manipulation of a turbulent boundary layer

Results are presented from three experiments in which direct, local measurements of the skin friction reduction due to flat-plate turbulence manipulators for overall viscous drag reduction were obtained. The results suggest that only a very small overall net drag reduction will be possible for such devices at moderate momentum thickness-derived Reynolds number values, since maximum skin friction drag is neither large nor sustained.

Nguyen, V. D.↗