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At least 217 records · Page 12

ELM2.1-XGBfire1.0: improving wildfire prediction by integrating a machine learning fire model in a land surface model

Wildfires have shown increasing trends in both frequency and severity across the contiguous United States (CONUS). However, process-based fire models have difficulties in accurately simulating the burned area over the CONUS due to a simplification of the physical process and cannot capture the interplay among fire, ignition, climate, and human activities. The deficiency of burned area simulation deteriorates the description of fire impact on energy balance, water budget, and carbon fluxes in the Earth system models (ESMs). Alternatively, fire models based on machine learning (ML), which capture statistical relationships between the burned area and environmental factors, have shown promising burned area predictions and corresponding fire impact simulation. We develop a hybrid framework (ELM2.1-XGBFire1.0) that integrates an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) wildfire model with the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) land model (ELM) version 2.1. A Fortran–C–Python deep learning bridge is adapted to support online communication between ELM and the ML fire model. Specifically, the burned area predicted by the ML-based wildfire model is directly passed to ELM to adjust the carbon pool and vegetation dynamics after disturbance, which are then used as predictors in the ML-based fire model in the next time step. Evaluated against the historical burned area from Global Fire Emissions Database 5 from 2001–2019, the ELM2.1-XGBFire1.0 outperforms process-based fire models in terms of spatial distribution and seasonal variations. The ELM2.1-XGBFire1.0 has proven to be a new tool for studying vegetation–fire interactions and, more importantly, enables seamless exploration of climate–fire feedback, working as an active component of E3SM.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A graph neural network (GNN) approach to basin-scale river network learning: the role of physics-based connectivity and data fusion

Abstract. Rivers and river habitats around the world are under sustained pressure from human activities and the changing global environment. Our ability to quantify and manage the river states in a timely manner is critical for protecting the public safety and natural resources. In recent years, vector-based river network models have enabled modeling of large river basins at increasingly fine resolutions, but are computationally demanding. This work presents a multistage, physics-guided, graph neural network (GNN) approach for basin-scale river network learning and streamflow forecasting. During training, we train a GNN model to approximate outputs of a high-resolution vector-based river network model; we then fine-tune the pretrained GNN model with streamflow observations. We further apply a graph-based, data-fusion step to correct prediction biases. The GNN-based framework is first demonstrated over a snow-dominated watershed in the western United States. A series of experiments are performed to test different training and imputation strategies. Results show that the trained GNN model can effectively serve as a surrogate of the process-based model with high accuracy, with median Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) greater than 0.97. Application of the graph-based data fusion further reduces mismatch between the GNN model and observations, with as much as 50 % KGE improvement over some cross-validation gages. To improve scalability, a graph-coarsening procedure is introduced and is demonstrated over a much larger basin. Results show that graph coarsening achieves comparable prediction skills at only a fraction of training cost, thus providing important insights into the degree of physical realism needed for developing large-scale GNN-based river network models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A new large-scale suspended sediment model and its application over the United States

Abstract. Suspended sediment plays a vital role in the regional and global cycling of carbon and nutrients by carrying carbon and nutrients from headwaters into lowland rivers and the oceans. Sediment transport through river systems is often fundamentally modified by human activities such as reservoir management. However, a physically based representation of sediment transport is still missing in most existing Earth system models (ESMs), which are essential tools for modeling and predicting Earth system changes. Here, we introduce a multi-process river sediment module for ESMs, which includes (1) hillslope soil erosion and sediment discharge into streams, (2) sediment transport processes through river networks, (3) reservoir operation based on the inflows from upstream areas and water demand from downstream areas, and (4) sediment trapping by reservoirs. All model parameters are estimated a priori without calibration. We apply this new sediment modeling framework to the contiguous United States and validate it against historical observations of monthly streamflow and sediment discharges at 35 river gauges. The model reasonably well captures the long-term balance and seasonal variations of suspended sediment in large river systems. Furthermore, our model results show that suspended sediment discharge in managed rivers is affected more by reservoirs' direct trapping of sediment particles than by their flow regulation. This new sediment module enables future modeling of the transportation and transformation of carbon and nutrients carried by the fine sediment along the river–ocean continuum to close the global carbon and nutrient cycles.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mapping Human Dynamics

Researchers at Oak Ridge National Laboratory are mapping the global footprints of human activity with unprecedented spatiotemporal resolution. With a global population now approaching 8 billion people, this herculean effort demands advanced machine learning, artificial intelligence, and one of the world’s fastest supercomputers.

Rose, Amy↗

Quantifying Movement Motivations, Demand, and Inflow-Outflow Dynamics in Four Cities (New York, Chicago, Austin, and San Diego) During COVID-19: Preprint

COVID-19 has impacted human activities ranging from food delivery habits to major moving and travel decisions. It’s clear that multiple pandemic-related factors have influenced millions of relocation decisions by Americans (e.g. health risk, financial pressures, more space, employment). There are positive economic and social outcomes of this influence (e.g. remote work and education) enabling more affordable living and opportunity. This paper addresses COVID-19 impacts on mobility, especially the mobility that involves permanent relocation from place to place. Survey design and data analysis with U-Haul targeted customers in Austin, New York, San Diego, and Chicago to understand mobility, new moving dynamics, and motivations.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

The Circular Economy Lifecycle Assessment and Visualization Framework - CELAVI

A circular economy (CE) aims to decouple human activities from economic growth and resource use, and its overall goal is reducing or avoiding negative environmental externalities. The newly developed Circular Economy Lifecycle Assessment and Visualization (CELAVI) framework simulates changes in supply chain environmental impacts as it transitions toward circularity. This study expands CELAVI by incorporating detailed spatial resolution and real-world road routes connecting all facilities within the system. The case study on end-of-life decision making of wind turbine blades in the states of Iowa and Missouri explores how supply chain circularity and environmental impacts are affected by pathway costs and level of wind turbine installations. It demonstrates how high circularity costs might be beneficial for circularity transitions given revenue generated from circular pathways. Finally, impacts have important contributions to the supply chain design and thus show the importance of including detailed spatial resolution in CELAVI and CE studies in general.

circular economy↗

Agent-Based Modeling for the Circular Economy: Lessons Learned From Three Case Studies

The circular economy (CE) aims at decoupling human activities from resource use, creating wealth in the process. Recently, many scholars have questioned the link between increased circularity and sustainability, resulting in many methodological approaches being developed for that purpose. This presentation summarizes the insights gained from the application of agent-based modeling (ABM) to study the techno-economic and social conditions promoting circularity and sustainability of three technologies: photovoltaic (PV) modules, hard disk drives (HDDs), and wind blades. Four main categories of agents are defined in the ABM: asset owners, service providers (e.g., refurbishers), recyclers, and manufacturers. Two main CE strategies are represented: lifetime extension (through repair or reuse) and recycling. The developed models start by projecting installed capacities and end-of-life (EOL) quantities. Then the theory of planned behavior - a social psychology model explaining behavior adoption based on attitude, peer influence, and costs - is used to model the asset owners' EOL decision (i.e., landfill, recycle or extend the lifetime of the asset). Then, the quantities of assets flowing to the recycler and service provider agents and quantities of materials flowing to manufacturers are computed. Recyclers' economies of scale are dynamically modeled, and the value generated by the CE strategies for the recyclers, service providers, and manufacturers is computed within the model. When data are available, avoided greenhouse gas emissions resulting from the CE strategies adoption are calculated exogenously from the ABM simulations. Results show that with improved used PV modules warranties, the reuse CE strategy adoption increases from 1% to 23% between 2020 and 2050. Similarly, improved standards could enhance HDDs end-users trust in data-wiping - a prerequisite to reuse - leading to a 3-fold increase in the reuse rate and avoid about 5 million tons of CO2 eq by 2050. Regarding wind blades, 5-15 years lifetime extension could reduce EOL blade quantities by 13%. High costs and logistic issues prevent blades from being recycled in greater quantities. One insight from the case studies is the necessity to have mature secondary markets for reuse to be a viable option. Interestingly, PV reuse is limited by the willingness of PV owners to purchase used modules (on the demand side), while HDDs reuse is constrained by the lack of trust toward data-wiping (limiting the supply of used HDDs). The six limits of the CE concepts presented by Korhonen et al. (2018) are finally used to interpret the results. The HDD case study is an exemplary lock-in, where the first accepted practice (shredding) retains most of the market. The PV results illustrate the technical limitation to reuse, as the growing demand cannot be supplied entirely with used PV modules. The wind case study shows the relevance of clearly defining physical flows - what type of waste should wind blades be considered, how should they be transported and landfilled? - a crucial consideration that also applies to PV modules. Finally, the three case studies highlight the relevance of studying a technology's technical, economic, and market material efficiency potentials altogether and the potential benefit of coupling ABM to life cycle assessment.

agent-based modeling↗

Circular Economy Modeling Efforts at NREL: Circular Economy Lifecycle Analysis and Visualization (CELAVI) and the Circular Economy Agent-Based Model (ABM)

Circular Economy (CE) aims at decoupling human activities from economic growth and resource use. While CE economic and environmental benefits are often touted by its proponents, increased circularity and improved sustainability do not necessarily go hand-in-hand. The Circular Economy Lifecycle Assessment and Visualization (CELAVI) framework simulates the transition of renewable energy technology supply chains towards circularity and quantifies spatially explicit environmental impacts and supply chain costs. Using wind blade end-of-life (EOL) management as a case study, this presentation will highlight CELAVI's features. Furthermore, envisioned extension to the framework could improve the stakeholder decision model by accounting for logistical and other factors. The CELAVI framework could be leveraged to answer crucial questions regarding renewables EOL management.

circular economy↗

An Open-Source Framework for Characterizing Urban Energy Models: Integrating Top-Down and Bottom-Up Methods to Predict Residential Buildings Characteristics: Preprint

Bottom-up urban energy models are crucial for understanding current energy use patterns and informing design strategies. However, accurately characterizing these models to represent different communities remains a challenge due to the extensive data needed for simulating existing energy use behavior. This data includes information related to human activities and building characteristics, all of which correlate with socioeconomic factors. To overcome this challenge, we developed an automated framework that utilizes both top-down and bottom-up data, to predict unknown building and occupant characteristics that are needed for more accurate and equitable modeling and analytics. Our framework, integrated into the URBANopt district energy modeling platform, uses statistical data models from ResStock. URBANopt models co-located buildings and neighborhoods. At this scale there are data gaps in building characteristic data, such as materials, insulation, occupancy, income, and energy usage of the buildings. To address this data gap, we use ResStock data, representative at the census tract scale, and develop machine-learning and deeplearning techniques to disaggregate it to individual buildings. By mapping unique occupant, building and economic properties to URBANopt energy models, we gain detailed insights into the variability of building energy use across different neighborhoods. This insight helps deploy technologies for co-located buildings and supports targeted upgrades for communities with unique economic and demographic characteristics, ensuring energy equity. Accurate characterization of energy models allows us to develop equitable strategies tailored to diverse neighborhoods, whether underserved or affluent. Our automated framework streamlines energy modeling and provides a reliable tool for building energy characterization.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION↗

Water innovation and ecological transformation: entrepreneurial approaches to advancing sustainable solutions

Climate change and decades of water mismanagement have created a "three-headed" global water crisis. People have contaminated water and depleted water sources, and human activity like deforestation and agriculture has altered rainfall patterns; we face the prospect of a 40% shortfall in freshwater supply by 2030. Meanwhile, climate change, water mismanagement and biodiversity loss interact to cause more frequent and severe episodes of too much or too little water, such as storms, floods, droughts, and wildfires.

Bryan, Scott↗

A short hepatitis C virus NS5A peptide expression by AAV vector modulates human T cell activation and reduces vector immunogenicity

Viral vector-mediated gene therapies have the potential to treat many human diseases; however, host immune responses against the vector and/or the transgene pose a safety risk to the patients and can negatively impact product efficacy. Thus, novel strategies to reduce vector immunogenicity are critical for the advancement of these therapies. T cell activation (TCA) is required for the development of immune responses during gene therapy. We hypothesized that modulation of TCA by incorporating a novel viral immunomodulatory factor into a viral vector may reduce unwanted TCA and immune responses during gene therapy. To test this hypothesis, we identified an immunomodulatory domain of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) NS protein 5A (NS5A) protein and studied the effect of viral vectors expressing NS5A peptide on TCA. Lentiviral vector-mediated expression of a short 20-mer peptide derived from the NS5A protein in human T cells was sufficient to inhibit TCA. Synthetic 20-mer NS5A peptide also inhibited TCA in primary human T cells. Mechanistically, the NS5A protein interacted with Lck and inhibited proximal TCR signaling. Importantly, NS5A peptide expression did not cause global T cell signaling dysfunction as distal T cell signaling was not inhibited. Finally, recombinant adeno-associated virus (AAV) vector expressing the 20-mer NS5A peptide reduced both the recall antigen and the TCR-mediated activation of human T cells and did not cause global T cell signaling dysfunction. Together, these data suggest that expression of a 20-mer NS5A peptide by an AAV vector may reduce unwanted TCA and may contribute to lower vector immunogenicity during gene therapy.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Structural and mechanistic insights into activation of the human RNA ligase RTCB by Archease

Abstract RNA ligases of the RTCB-type play an essential role in tRNA splicing, the unfolded protein response and RNA repair. RTCB is the catalytic subunit of the pentameric human tRNA ligase complex. RNA ligation by the tRNA ligase complex requires GTP-dependent activation of RTCB. This active site guanylylation reaction relies on the activation factor Archease. The mechanistic interplay between both proteins has remained unknown. Here, we report a biochemical and structural analysis of the human RTCB-Archease complex in the pre- and post-activation state. Archease reaches into the active site of RTCB and promotes the formation of a covalent RTCB-GMP intermediate through coordination of GTP and metal ions. During the activation reaction, Archease prevents futile RNA substrate binding to RTCB. Moreover, monomer structures of Archease and RTCB reveal additional states within the RNA ligation mechanism. Taken together, we present structural snapshots along the reaction cycle of the human tRNA ligase.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Human NLRP3 inflammasome activation leads to formation of condensate at the microtubule organizing center

The NLRP3 inflammasome is a multiprotein molecular machine that drives inflammatory responses in innate immunity. Although its dysregulation is implicated in numerous human diseases, its structural organization in cells remains poorly understood. Here, we used precise fluorescence-guided cryo–focused ion beam (cryo-FIB) milling and cryo–electron tomography (cryo-ET) to visualize NLRP3 inflammasomes in situ within human macrophages at various stages of activation. After priming and activation, we observed expansion and dispersion of Golgi cisternae, along with the emergence of 50-nanometer NLRP3-associated vesicles, which likely transport NLRP3 to the MTOC. Dense NLRP3-containing condensates then formed in and around the MTOC. In later stages, the condensates solidified, coincident with widespread mitochondrial damage, autophagy, and pyroptotic cell death.

Wang, Jue [Division of Chemistry and Chemical Engi↗

An examination of the metal ion content in the active sites of human endonucleases CPSF73 and INTS11

Human cleavage and polyadenylation specificity factor (CPSF)73 (also known as CPSF3) is the endoribonuclease that catalyzes the cleavage reaction for the 3'-end processing of pre-mRNAs. The active site of CPSF73 is located at the interface between a metallo-β-lactamase domain and a β-CASP domain. Two metal ions are coordinated by conserved residues, five His and two Asp, in the active site, and they are critical for the nuclease reaction. The metal ions have long been thought to be zinc ions, but their exact identity has not been examined. Here we present evidence from inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry and X-ray diffraction analyses that a mixture of metal ions, including Fe, Zn, and Mn, is present in the active site of CPSF73. The abundance of the various metal ions is different in samples prepared from different expression hosts. Zinc is present at less than 20% abundance in a sample expressed in insect cells, but the sample is active in cleaving a pre-mRNA substrate in a reconstituted canonical 3'-end processing machinery. Zinc is present at 75% abundance in a sample expressed in human cells, which has comparable endonuclease activity. We also observe a mixture of metal ions in the active site of the CPSF73 homolog INTS11, the endonuclease for Integrator. Taken together, our results provide further insights into the role of metal ions in the activity of CPSF73 and INTS11 for RNA 3'-end processing.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Gating choreography and mechanism of the human proton-activated chloride channel $\mathrm{ASOR}$

The proton-activated chloride channel ASOR (TMEM206/PAC) permeates anions across cellular membranes in response to acidification, thereby enhancing acid-induced cell death and regulating endocytosis. The molecular mechanisms of pH-dependent control are not understood, in part because structural information for an activated conformation of ASOR is lacking. Here, we reconstitute function from purified protein and present a 3.1-Å-resolution cryo–electron microscopy structure of human ASOR at acidic pH in an activated conformation. The work contextualizes a previous acidic pH structure as a desensitized conformation. Combined with electrophysiological studies and high-resolution structures of resting and desensitized states, the work reveals mechanisms of proton sensing and ion pore gating. Clusters of extracellular acidic residues function as pH sensors and coalesce when protonated. Ensuing conformational changes induce metamorphosis of transmembrane helices to fashion an ion conduction pathway unique to the activated conformation. The studies identify a new paradigm of channel gating in this ubiquitous ion channel.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A Mathematical Model of the Dynamics of Cytokine Expression and Human Immune Cell Activation in Response to the Pathogen Staphylococcus aureus

Cell-based mathematical models have previously been developed to simulate the immune system in response to pathogens. Mathematical modeling papers which study the human immune response to pathogens have predicted concentrations of a variety of cells, including activated and resting macrophages, plasma cells, and antibodies. This study aims to create a comprehensive mathematical model that can predict cytokine levels in response to a gram-positive bacterium, S. aureus by coupling previous models. To accomplish this, the cytokines Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha (TNF-α), Interleukin 6 (IL-6), Interleukin 8 (IL-8), and Interleukin 10 (IL-10) are included to quantify the relationship between cytokine release from macrophages and the concentration of the pathogen, S. aureus, ex vivo. Partial differential equations (PDEs) are used to model cellular response and ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model cytokine response, and interactions between both components produce a more robust and more complete systems-level understanding of immune activation. In the coupled cellular and cytokine model outlined in this paper, a low concentration of S. aureus is used to stimulate the measured cellular response and cytokine expression. Results show that our cellular activation and cytokine expression model characterizing septic conditions can predict ex vivo mechanisms in response to gram-negative and gram-positive bacteria. Our simulations provide new insights into how the human immune system responds to infections from different pathogens. Novel applications of these insights help in the development of more powerful tools and protocols in infection biology.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

The nitrosoamphetamine metabolite is accommodated in the active site of human hemoglobin: Spectroscopy and crystal structure

Amphetamine-based (Amph) drugs are metabolized in humans to their hydroxylamine (AmphNHOH) and nitroso (AmphNO) derivatives. The latter metabolites are known to bind to the Fe centers of cytochrome P450 and other heme enzymes to inhibit their activities. Although these AmphNHOH/AmphNO metabolites are present in vivo, their interactions with the blood protein hemoglobin (Hb) and the muscle protein (Mb) have been largely discounted due to a perception that the relatively small heme active sites of Hb and Mb will not be able to accommodate the large AmphNO group. Here, we report the 2.15 Å resolution X-ray crystal structure of the AmphNO adduct of adult human hemoglobin as the Hb [ α -Fe III (H 2 O)][ β -Fe II (AmphNO)] derivative. We show that the binding of AmphNO to the β subunit is enabled by an E helix movement and stabilization of ligand binding by H-bonding with the distal His63 residue. We also observe an AmphNHOH group in the Xe2 pocket in close proximity to the α heme site in this derivative. Additionally, UV–vis spectroscopy was used to characterize this and related wt and mutant Mb adducts. Importantly, our X-ray crystal structure of this Hb-nitrosoamphetamine complex represents the first crystal structure of a wild-type heme protein adduct of any amphetamine metabolite. Our results provide a framework for further studies of AmphNHOH/AmphNO interactions with Hb and Mb as viable processes that potentially contribute to the overall biological inorganic chemistry of amphetamine drugs.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Pyridine-containing substrate analogs are restricted from accessing the human cytochrome P450 8B1 active site by tryptophan 281

The human oxysterol 12α-hydroxylase cytochrome P450 8B1 (CYP8B1) is a validated drug target for both type 2 diabetes and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, but effective selective inhibitors are not yet available. Herein, steroidal substrate-mimicking compounds with a pyridine ring appended to the C12 site of metabolism were designed as inhibitors, synthesized, and evaluated in terms of their functional and structural interactions with CYP8B1. While the pyridine nitrogen was intended to coordinate the CYP8B1 active site heme iron, none of these compounds elicited shifts in the CYP8B1 Soret absorbance consistent with this type of interaction. However, when CYP8B1 was cocrystallized with the pyridine-containing compound with the 3-keto-Δ4 steroid backbone most similar to the endogenous substrate, it was apparent that this ligand was bound in a channel leading to the active site, instead of near the heme iron. Inspection of this structure suggested that tryptophan 281 directly above the heme might restrict active site binding of potential inhibitors with this design. This hypothesis was supported when a CYP8B1 W281F mutation did allow all three compounds to coordinate the heme iron as designed. These results indicated that the design of next-generation CYP8B1 inhibitors should be compatible with the low-ceiling tryptophan immediately above the heme iron.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗