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At least 217 records · Page 12

Building a new multiphysics workflow in MOOSE: application to tritium migration, trapping and advection in TMAP8

Fusion devices are anticipated to produce and consume several kilograms of tritium per year. This rare fuel resource is both highly mobile and radioactive, making tracking inventories a priority for operation and safety. The fusion safety program at the Idaho National Laboratory has been developing the Tritium Migration and Analysis Program (TMAP), of which the latest version is a MOOSE-based application. TMAP8 is verified against its predecessors and possesses additional multi-dimensional tritium migration modeling capabilities. As we extend its capabilities towards both whole device (in multiple dimensions) and whole plant (with multiple components) simulations, the syntax of inputs must become compact, descriptive, compatible with quality assurance processes, and as error-proof as achievable. The new Physics system developed MOOSE can set up equations and instantiating them on plant components. The system permits the automatic definition of complex discretization with a consistency between object parameters achieved programmatically. The Physics system can currently instantiate the equations for heat conduction and Navier Stokes weakly compressible flow. In MOOSE-terms, it automates the definition of kernels, boundary conditions, and several core and helper materials and fields. As part of this effort, Physics classes were developed for tritium migration, trapping and advection within either a multi-dimensional Navier Stokes fluid dynamics simulation, or a 1D thermal hydraulics piping system. In this presentation, we will showcase the new syntax, its application to several verification and validation cases which were already studied using the classical TMAP8 syntax, and a demonstration of the new coupling capabilities for the migration of tritium into blanket coolant channels and the subsequent advection into the coolant loop.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

EVOLUTION OF A NUCLEAR GAS DISK AND GAS SUPPLY TO THE GALACTIC CENTER. I. MIGRATION OF MASSIVE GAS CLUMPS

We investigate the gas supply process from a nuclear gas disk to the Galactic center by performing two-dimensional hydrodynamic simulations including self-gravity and radiative cooling. We assume that the gas is supplied to the nuclear gas disk by the host galaxy disk. We show that many gas clumps are formed in the nuclear gas disk after the nuclear gas disk becomes massive enough to become gravitationally unstable. Coalescence of the gas clumps leads to the formation of more massive gas clumps. Gravitational encounters between these massive gas clumps induce angular momentum transfer between the gas clumps. Massive gas clumps that lose their angular momentum due to gravitational encounters move to the galactic center. In this way, the gas supply to the galactic center is realized. We also perform a numerical simulation with twice the spatial resolution to check numerical resolution effects. Time evolution of azimuthally averaged surface density distributions in both models agree well with each other. The high-mass part of the clump mass function in the low-resolution model is in good agreement with that of the high-resolution model, and lower mass clumps are well resolved in the high-resolution model. Therefore, we conclude that massive gas clumps play a major role in the angular momentum transfer. The gas supply rate to the center is about half of the gas supply rate from the host galaxy when the whole region of the nuclear gas disk becomes self-gravitationally unstable. More massive gas clumps are formed and migrate to the Galactic center in the models of the higher gas supply rate from the host galaxy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

New Tracers of Gas Migration in the Continental Crust

Noble gases are exceptional tracers in continental settings due to the remarkable isotopic variability between the mantle, crust, and atmosphere, and because they are inert. Due to systematic variability in physical properties, such as diffusion, solubility, and production rates, the combination of helium, neon, and argon provides unique but under-utilized indices of gas migration. Existing noble gas data sets are dominated by measurements of gas and fluid phases from gas wells, ground waters and hot springs. There are very few noble gas measurements from the solid continental crust itself, which means that this important reservoir is poorly characterized. The central goal of this project was to enhance understanding of gas distribution and migration in the continental crust using new measurements of noble gases in whole rocks and minerals from existing continental drill cores, with an emphasis on helium, neon, argon. We carried out whole-rock and mineral-separate noble gas measurements on Precambrian basement samples from the Texas Panhandle. The Texas Panhandle gas field is the southern limb of the giant Hugoton-Panhandle oil and gas field; it has high helium contents (up to ~ 2 %) and 3He/4He of 0.21 (± 0.03) Ra. Because the total amount of helium in the Panhandle gas field is relatively well known, crustal isotopic data and mass balance calculations can be used to constrain the ultimate source rocks, and hence the helium migration paths. The new 3He/4He data range from 0.03 to 0.11 Ra (total), all of which are lower than the gas field values. There is internal isotopic heterogeneity in helium, neon, and argon, within all the samples; crushing extractions yield less radiogenic values than melting, demonstrating that fluid inclusions preserve less radiogenic gases. The new data suggest that the Precambrian basement has lost significant amounts of helium, and shows the importance of measuring helium with neon and argon. The 4He/40Ar values are particularly useful in demonstrating helium loss because all the data falls well below the production ratio.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Studying methane migration mechanisms at Walker Ridge, Gulf of Mexico, via 3D methane hydrate reservoir modeling

We have developed a 3D methane hydrate reservoir simulator to model marine methane hydrate systems. Our simulator couples highly nonlinear heat and mass transport equations and includes heterogeneous sedimentation, in-situ microbial methanogenesis, the influence of pore size contrast on solubility gradients, and the impact of salt exclusion from the hydrate phase on dissolved methane equilibrium in pore water. Using environmental parameters from Walker Ridge in the Gulf of Mexico, we first simulate hydrate formation in and around a thin, dipping, planar sand stratum surrounded by clay lithology as it is buried to 295mbsf. We find that with sufficient methane being supplied by organic methanogenesis in the clays, a 200x pore size contrast between clays and sands allows for a strong enough concentration gradient to significantly drop the concentration of methane hydrate in clays immediately surrounding a thin sand layer, a phenomenon that is observed in well log data. Building upon previous work, our simulations account for the increase in sand-clay solubility contrast with depth from about 1.6% near the top of the sediment column to 8.6% at depth, which leads to a progressive strengthening of the diffusive flux of methane with time. By including an exponentially decaying organic methanogenesis input to the clay lithology with depth, we see a decrease in the aqueous methane supplied to the clays surrounding the sand layer with time, which works to further enhance the contrast in hydrate saturation between the sand and surrounding clays. Significant diffusive methane transport is observed in a clay interval of about 11m above the sand layer and about 4m below it, which matches well log observations. The clay-sand pore size contrast alone is not enough to completely eliminate hydrate (as observed in logs), because the diffusive flux of aqueous methane due to a contrast in pore size occurs slower than the rate at which methane is supplied via organic methanogenesis. Therefore, it is likely that additional mechanisms are at play, notably bound water activity reduction in clays. Three-dimensionality allows for inclusion of lithologic heterogeneities, which focus fluid flow and subsequently allow for heterogeneity in the methane migration mechanisms that dominate in marine sediments at a local scale. Incorporating recently acquired 3D seismic data from Walker Ridge to inform the lithologic structure of our modeled reservoir, we show that even with deep adjective sourcing of methane along highly permeable pathways, local hydrate accumulations can be sourced either by diffusive or advective methane flux; advectively-sourced hydrates accumulate evenly in highly permeable strata, while diffusively-sourced hydrates are characterized by thin strata-bound intervals with high clay-sand pore size contrasts.

Nole, Michael↗

Linear and Nonlinear Spectroscopic Probing of Solute Interactions with Chemically Modified Silica Surfaces

Solar energy conversion through biology would provide a renewable and nonpolluting abundance of energy. The bacterium Halobacterium salinarum converts solar to electrical energy by virtue of a transmembrane protein, bacteriorhodopsin. This transmembrane protein pumps protons across a nonconducting bilayer upon irradiation with green light. The bacterium evolved to perform this function inefficiently. If we were able to understand this process to engineer this protein for efficiency, then inexpensive energy production could be achieved. There are tens of thousands of different types of halobacteria, giving the opportunity to study different efficiencies and relating these to the protein structures. Technology does not yet exist to perform such screening. The goal of this research is to generate new separation technology that can ultimately enable such screening. This involves creating a method for separating oriented and functional transmembrane proteins that remain in an electrically insulating lipid bilayer, with aqueous solutions on either side of the bilayer. A pH change across the lipid bilayer upon irradiation of a known concentration of proteins would probe function. Differences in proton pumping efficiency for different proteins variants would provide structure-function information for engineering the proteins. A schematic diagram from the original proposal is shown here. The idea is that (a) a lipid bilayer supported on a hydrophilic polymer film will make the bilayer fluid, and (b) applying an electric field will cause electrophoretic migration of the transmembrane proteins. We demonstrated this concept experimentally in a paper that was published just after this new grant period started (Lipid Bilayers on Polyacrylamide Brushes for Inclusion of Membrane Proteins, Emily A. Smith, Jason W. Coym, Scott M. Cowell, Victor J. Hruby, Henry I. Yamamura, Mary J. Wirth, Langmuir, 21, 9644-9650, 2005). The electrophoretic mobility was slow (10{sup -8} cm{sup 2}/Vs), and we project that a two order of magnitude increase would make this a practical tool. We are investigating two ways of improving electrophoretic mobility: better polymer supports, and a novel nanoporous medium that suspends the bilayer over free solution.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Feasibility of Geophysical Monitoring of Carbon-Sequestrated Deep Saline Aquifers

As carbon dioxide (CO{sub 2}) is sequestered from the bottom of a brine reservoir and allowed to migrate upward, the effects of the relative permeability hysteresis due to capillary trapping and buoyancy driven migration tend to make the reservoir patchy saturated with different fluid phases over time. Seismically, such a patchy saturated reservoir induces an effective anisotropic behavior whose properties are primarily dictated by the nature of the saturation of different fluid phases in the pores and the elastic properties of the rock matrix. By combining reservoir flow simulation and modeling with seismic modeling, it is possible to derive these effective anisotropic properties, which, in turn, could be related to the saturation of CO{sub 2} within the reservoir volume any time during the post-injection scenario. Therefore, if time-lapse seismic data are available and could be inverted for the effective anisotropic properties of the reservoir, they, in combination with reservoir simulation could potentially predict the CO{sub 2} saturation directly from the time-lapse seismic data. It is therefore concluded that the time-lapse seismic data could be used to monitor the carbon sequestrated saline reservoirs. But for its successful implementation, seismic modeling and inversion methods must be integrated with the reservoir simulations. In addition, because CO{sub 2} sequestration induces an effective anisotropy in the sequestered reservoir and anisotropy is best detected using multicomponent seismic data compared to single component (P-wave) data, acquisition, processing, and analysis is multicomponent seismic data is recommended for these time-lapse studies. Finally, a successful implementation of using time-lapse seismic data for monitoring the carbon sequestrated saline reservoirs will require development of a robust methodology for inverting multicomponent seismic data for subsurface anisotropic properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

SECARB Initial Injection Period Reservoir Modeling Report

The Southeast Carbon Sequestration Partnership Phase III Anthropogenic Test at Citronelle Field is the United States’ largest CO 2 capture and transportation, injection, storage and monitoring project using CO 2 derived from a coal-fired power station. The project represents a U.S. Department of Energy research and development initiative designed to demonstrate deep underground injection and containment of 100,000 tonnes or more of anthropogenic-source CO 2 . A series of reservoir modeling runs will be performed during the pre-injection, injection, and post-injection phases of the project and will be used to predict plume migration and areal extent. Pressure, temperature, and downhole measurements (seismic, fluid and logging), all data collected as a part of the monitoring program, are utilized as reservoir performance parameters to tune the existing geophysical and geochemical simulation models. The ability to represent site injection activities with the produced detailed simulation models lend credence to long-term forecasts of CO 2 fate and the progress of the CO 2 plume. This report provides an assessment of the simulation model results for CO 2 injection at the Citronelle Anthropogenic Test site from the period of August 20, 2012 to August 31, 2013.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

SECARB Second Injection Period Reservoir Modeling Report

The Southeast Carbon Sequestration Partnership Phase III Anthropogenic Test at Citronelle Field is the United States’ largest CO 2 capture and transportation, injection, storage and monitoring project using CO 2 derived from a coal-fired power station. The project represents a U.S. Department of Energy research and development initiative designed to demonstrate deep underground injection and containment of 100,000 tonnes or more of anthropogenic-source CO 2 . A series of reservoir modeling runs will be performed during the pre-injection, injection, and post-injection phases of the project and will be used to predict plume migration and areal extent. Pressure, temperature, and downhole measurements (seismic, fluid and logging), all data collected as a part of the monitoring program, are utilized as reservoir performance parameters to tune the existing geophysical and geochemical simulation models.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

The Study of Leukocyte Functions in a Rotating Wall Vessel

The objective of this study was to investigate the behavior of leukocytes under free-fall conditions in a rotating wall vessel. In such a vessel, the tendency of a cell to fall in response to gravity is opposed by the rotation of the vessel and the culture medium within, keeping the cells in suspension without fluid shear. Previous reports indicated that such functions as lymphocyte migration through collagen matrix or monocyte cytokine secretion are altered under these conditions, and these changes correlate with similar functional defects of cultured cells seen during spaceflight.

Trial, JoAnn↗

Kinematics of the 2015 San Ramon, California earthquake swarm: Implications for fault zone structure and driving mechanisms

Earthquake swarms represent a sudden increase in seismicity that may indicate a heterogeneous fault-zone, the involvement of crustal fluids and/or slow fault slip. Swarms sometimes precede major earthquake ruptures. An earthquake swarm occurred in October 2015 near San Ramon, California in an extensional right step-over region between the northern Calaveras Fault and the Concord–Mt. Diablo fault zone, which has hosted ten major swarms since 1970. The 2015 San Ramon swarm is examined here from 11 October through 18 November using template matching analysis. The relocated seismicity catalog contains ~4000 events with magnitudes between -0.2 < M d < 3.6. The swarm illuminated three sub-parallel, southwest striking and northwest dipping fault segments of km-scale dimension and thickness of up to 200 m. The segments contain coexisting populations of different focal-mechanisms, suggesting a complex fault zone structure with several sets of en échelon fault orientations. The migration of events along the three planar structures indicates a complex fluid and faulting interaction processes. We searched for correlations between seismic activity and tidal stresses and found some suggestive features, but nothing that we can be confident is statistically significant.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Experimental and numerical analysis of parallel reactant flow and transverse mixing with mineral precipitation in homogeneous and heterogeneous porous media

Formation of mineral precipitates in the mixing interface between two reactant solutions flowing in parallel in porous media is governed by reactant mixing by diffusion and dispersion and is coupled to changes in porosity/permeability due to precipitation. The spatial and temporal distribution of mixing-dependent precipitation of barium sulfate in porous media was investigated with side-by-side injection of barium chloride and sodium sulfate solutions in thin rectangular flow cells packed with quartz sand. The results for homogeneous sand beds were compared to beds with higher or lower permeability inclusions positioned in the path of the mixing zone. In the homogeneous and high permeability inclusion experiments, BaSO 4 precipitate (barite) formed in a narrow deposit along the length and in the center of the solution–solution mixing zone even though dispersion was enhanced within, and downstream of, the high permeability inclusion. In the low permeability inclusion experiment, the deflected BaSO 4 precipitation zone broadened around one side and downstream of the inclusion and was observed to migrate laterally toward the sulfate solution. A continuum-scale fully coupled reactive transport model that simultaneously solves the nonlinear governing equations for fluid flow, transport of reactants and geochemical reactions was used to simulate the experiments and provide insight into mechanisms underlying the experimental observations. Lastly, migration of the precipitation zone in the low permeability inclusion experiment could be explained by the coupling effects among fluid flow, reactant transport and localized mineral precipitation reaction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Oil-free centrifugal hydrogen compression technology demonstration

One of the key elements in realizing a mature market for hydrogen vehicles is the deployment of a safe and efficient hydrogen production and delivery infrastructure on a scale that can compete economically with current fuels. The challenge, however, is that hydrogen, being the lightest and smallest of gases with a lower viscosity and density than natural gas, readily migrates through small spaces and is difficult to compresses efficiently. While efficient and cost effective compression technology is crucial to effective pipeline delivery of hydrogen, the compression methods used currently rely on oil lubricated positive displacement (PD) machines. PD compression technology is very costly, has poor reliability and durability, especially for components subjected to wear (e.g., valves, rider bands and piston rings) and contaminates hydrogen with lubricating fluid. Even so called “oil-free” machines use oil lubricants that migrate into and contaminate the gas path. Due to the poor reliability of PD compressors, current hydrogen producers often install duplicate units in order to maintain on-line times of 98-99%. Such machine redundancy adds substantially to system capital costs. As such, DOE deemed that low capital cost, reliable, efficient and oil-free advanced compressor technologies are needed. MiTi’s solution is a completely oil-free, multi-stage, high-speed, centrifugal compressor designed for flow capacity of 500,000 kg/day with a discharge pressure of 1200 psig. The design employs oil-free compliant foil bearings and seals to allow for very high operating speeds, totally contamination free operation, long life and reliability. This design meets the DOE’s performance targets and achieves an extremely aggressive, specific power metric of 0.48 kW-hr/kg and provides significant improvements in reliability/durability, energy efficiency, sealing and freedom from contamination. The multi-stage compressor system concept has been validated through full scale performance testing of a single stage with helium similitude gas at full speed in accordance with ASME PTC-10. The experimental results indicated that aerodynamic performance, with respect to compressor discharge pressure, flow, power and efficiency exceeded theoretical prediction. Dynamic testing of a simulated multistage centrifugal compressor was also completed under a parallel program to validate the integrity and viability of the system concept. The results give strong confidence in the feasibility of the multi-stage design for use in hydrogen gas transportation and delivery from production locations to point of use.

08 HYDROGEN↗

TIDAL HEATING IN A MAGMA OCEAN WITHIN JUPITER’S MOON Io

Active volcanism observed on Io is thought to be driven by the temporally periodic, spatially differential projection of Jupiter's gravitational field over the moon. Previous theoretical estimates of the tidal heat have all treated Io as essentially a solid, with fluids addressed only through adjustment of rheological parameters rather than through appropriate extension of the dynamics. These previous estimates of the tidal response and associated heat generation on Io are therefore incomplete and possibly erroneous because dynamical aspects of the fluid behavior are not permitted in the modeling approach. Here we address this by modeling the partial-melt asthenosphere as a global layer of fluid governed by the Laplace Tidal Equations. Solutions for the tidal response are then compared with solutions obtained following the traditional solid-material approach. It is found that the tidal heat in the solid can match that of the average observed heat flux (nominally 2.25 W m{sup −2}), though only over a very restricted range of plausible parameters, and that the distribution of the solid tidal heat flux cannot readily explain a longitudinal shift in the observed (inferred) low-latitude heat fluxes. The tidal heat in the fluid reaches that observed over a wider range of plausible parameters, and can also readily provide the longitudinal offset. Finally, expected feedbacks and coupling between the solid/fluid tides are discussed. Most broadly, the results suggest that both solid and fluid tidal-response estimates must be considered in exoplanet studies, particularly where orbital migration under tidal dissipation is addressed.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Stereo Imaging Velocimetry

Stereo imaging velocimetry (SIV) will permit the collection of quantitative, three-dimensional flow data from any optically transparent fluid that can be seeded with tracer particles. This includes such diverse experiments as the study of multiphase flow, bubble nucleation and migration, pool combustion, and crystal growth. This technique will be useful to the microgravity science community as our investigations of fluid behavior in reduced-gravity environments enhance our knowledge of heat transfer, surface tension, concentration-gradient-driven anomalies, and residual effects from g-jitter. In its proposed configuration, the NASA Lewis Research Center's Stereo Imaging Velocimeter will consist of at least two charged coupled device (CCD) cameras, oriented at some relative angle with respect to each other. The cameras will observe a fluid experiment that has been seeded with tracer particles that are neutrally buoyant to permit accurate flow tracking. Except for the tracer particles, this measurement technique will be nonintrusive. Velocity accuracies will be on the order of 1 to 5 percent of full field. Each camera will make a two-dimensional record of the motion of the seed particles in the observation volume. Three-dimensional data will be obtained by computationally combining the two-dimensional information.

Source record↗

Thicknesses of Chemically Altered Zones in Shale Matrices Resulting from Interactions with Hydraulic Fracturing Fluid

Hydraulic fracturing of unconventional shale reservoirs increases the fracture network surface area to access hydrocarbons from the low permeability rock matrix. Porosity and permeability of the matrix, through which hydrocarbons migrate to fractures, are important for determining production efficiency and can be altered by chemical interactions between shale and hydraulic fracturing fluids (HFFs). Here, we present results from an experimental study that characterizes the thickness of the alteration zone in the shale matrix after shale–HFF interactions. Experiments were conducted with whole cores submerged in HFF both with and without added barium and sulfate to promote barite scale formation. After 3 weeks of reaction at 77 bar and 80°C, the cores were characterized using X-ray microtomography, synchrotron X-ray fluorescence microprobe imaging, and synchrotron X-ray absorption spectroscopy. Our results show that the thickness of the altered zone depends on shale mineralogical composition and varies for different chemical reactions. Reactions between the low-carbonate Marcellus shale and HFF, pyrite (FeS 2 ) oxidation manifests as both a thick zone of sulfur oxidation (>0.5 cm) and a thinner zone of iron oxidation (100–150 $μ$m). Carbonate dissolution extended 100–200 μm into the matrix, with the resulting observable secondary porosity localized at the shale–fluid interface where mineral grains were removed by either dissolution or mechanical erosion. In solutions oversaturated with respect to barite, barite precipitates were observed in the reaction fluid and at the shal–HFF interface. In contrast, the carbonate dissolution zone in the high-carbonate Eagle Ford was only 30–40 μm thick, within which a uniform texture of increased porosity was observed. Pyrite oxidation in the Eagle Ford was evident from an iron oxidation zone (150–200 μm thick), while sulfur oxidation was minor and hard to observe. Barite precipitation extended 1–2 mm into the matrix when the initial HFF was oversaturated with respect to barite, filling shale microcracks down to the submicrometer length scale. Our findings provide a scientific basis to predict the extent of chemical alteration in shale reservoirs during hydraulic fracturing and its impacts on hydrocarbon production.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Grain detachment and transport clogging during mineral dissolution in carbonate rocks with permeable grain boundaries

In this paper, we explore the effect of permeable grain boundaries on carbonate rock dissolution in order to improve our understanding of grain detachment and migration during reactive flow. To do so we investigated the effects of grain size and enhanced reactivity along grain boundaries on global dissolution kinetics. Variations of permeability and porosity were calculated, and exponential relationships were observed in fractured rocks. Our model employed a reactive transport framework based on the Darcy-Brinkman equation to simulate calcite dissolution in carbonate rocks composed of microporous grains and, included fluid transport along grain boundaries. The model includes fluid flow, solute transport by advection–diffusion, heterogeneous reaction between fluid and minerals and grain detachment with subsequent grain transport in macropores. The migration of solid particles due to dissolution was based on cluster analysis and local movement, and the results show that grain detachment can lead to significant decreases in permeability due to the clogging of transport pathways. Microporous media with smaller grain sizes (fine grains in this study) showed a higher average reaction rate than those with coarser grains. In addition, as the overall rates of geochemical processes are commonly affected by the presence of texture heterogeneities such as fractures, a single fracture (macropore) introduced into a microporous matrix composed of permeable grains and grain boundaries was modelled as a large channel connecting the inlet and outlet of the simulation domain. It was found that macropore clogging by grain detachment temporary decreased permeability, lowering the long-term global reaction rates. Lastly, we observed that increases in flow rate can reduce detachment and fracture clogging by reducing local dissolution along grain boundaries.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Susceptibility of Juvenile American Shad to Rapid Decompression and Fluid Shear Exposure Associated with Simulated Hydroturbine Passage

Throughout many areas of their native range, American shad (Alosa sapidissima) and other Alosine populations are in decline. Though several conditions have influenced these declines, hydropower facilities have had significant negative effects on American shad populations. Hydropower facilities expose ocean-migrating American shad to physical stressors during passage through hydropower facilities, including strike, rapid decompression, and fluid shear. In this laboratory-based study, juvenile American shad were exposed separately to rapid decompression and fluid shear to determine their susceptibility to these stressors and develop dose–response models. These dose–response relationships can help guide the development and/or operation of hydropower turbines and facilities to reduce the negative effects to American shad. Relative to other species, juvenile American shad have a high susceptibility to both rapid decompression and fluid shear. Reducing or preventing exposure to these stressors at hydropower facilities may be a potential method to assist in the effort to restore American shad populations.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Biological carbon pump estimate based on multidecadal hydrographic data

The transfer of photosynthetically produced organic carbon from surface to mesopelagic waters draws carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. However, current observation-based estimates disagree on the strength of this biological carbon pump (BCP). Earth system models (ESMs) also exhibit a large spread of BCP estimates, indicating limited representations of the known carbon export pathways. Here we use several decades of hydrographic observations to produce a top-down estimate of the strength of the BCP with an inverse biogeochemical model that implicitly accounts for all known export pathways. Our estimate of total organic carbon (TOC) export at 73.4 m (model euphotic zone depth) is 15.00 ± 1.12 Pg C year –1 , with only two-thirds reaching 100 m depth owing to rapid remineralization of organic matter in the upper water column. Partitioned by sequestration time below the euphotic zone, τ, the globally integrated organic carbon production rate with τ > 3 months is 11.09 ± 1.02 Pg C year –1 , dropping to 8.25 ± 0.30 Pg C year –1 for τ > 1 year, with 81% contributed by the non-advective-diffusive vertical flux owing to sinking particles and vertically migrating zooplankton. Nevertheless, export of organic carbon by mixing and other fluid transport of dissolved matter and suspended particles remains regionally important for meeting the respiratory carbon demand. Here, the temperature dependence of the sequestration efficiency inferred from our inversion suggests that future global warming may intensify the recycling of organic matter in the upper ocean, potentially weakening the BCP.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗