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At least 217 records · Page 12

Validation of prediction capability of operating space for plasma initiation in MAST-U

DYON is a plasma initiation modelling code that solves the differential equation system of the full circuit equations (plasma current, active coil currents and eddy currents in full passive structures) and 0D global energy and particle balance equations (Kim 2022 Nucl. Fusion 62 126012). In order to test the capability of the full electromagnetic plasma initiation model to predict individual discharges in experiments and thus the operating space in the device, a dedicated experimental database was built in MAST-U by scanning the prefilled gas pressure p 0 and the induced loop voltage V loop . In the experimental operating space of p 0 and V loop the lower and the upper limits of p 0 are determined by the plasma breakdown failure and the plasma burn-through failure, respectively. The lower limit of V loop is determined by the plasma burn-through failure. By directly reading the control room data used in each discharge (i.e. currents in the solenoid, poloidal field coils, and toroidal field coils, p 0 , and gas puffing rate), the full electromagnetic DYON consistently predicted the failed breakdown, failed burn-through, and successful plasma initiation discharges in the experimental database, demonstrating its capability to predict the operating space for inductive plasma initiation. The Paschen curve calculated with the effective connection length in MAST-U indicates a much higher p 0 required for plasma breakdown than the experimental data, indicating that individual field line evaluation is necessary to calculate the quantitative requirements for Townsend breakdown. The demonstration in this paper shows that the full electromagnetic DYON could be a useful simulation tool to assess the feasibility of inductive plasma initiation and to optimise operating scenarios in future devices.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Quantitative Analysis and Prediction of Thermal Runaway Metrics of High-Nickel Oxide Cathodes by Machine Learning Models

The pursuit of higher energy density in lithium-ion batteries has made high-nickel (Ni) layered oxides leading cathode candidates for next-generation electric vehicles. However, their poor thermal stability, particularly at Ni contents ≥ 90%, increases the risk of cathode-initiated thermal runaway. Furthermore, we present a data-driven framework combining linear and nonlinear machine learning models to predict key thermal runaway descriptors from a high-throughput differential scanning calorimetry database. With cathode composition and state of charge (SOC) as input features, the ensemble model accurately predicts peak temperature, heat release, and peak heat flow. SHAP analysis identifies Ni content and SOC as the dominant factors controlling thermal runaway temperature, while SOC primarily governs heat release and peak heat flow. Al, Mg, and Mn improve thermal stability by strengthening metal–oxygen bonding and delaying structural transformation, whereas B mainly reduces heat release through surface passivation. Validation with a new cathode composition confirms accurate prediction of SOC-dependent thermal runaway behavior and critical SOC.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

An Overview of Argonne’s Advanced Mobility Technology Laboratory Vehicle Systems Instrumentation and Evaluation Methodology

This report will provide a general overview of the testing facilities, research equipment, and general testing methodologies Argonne utilizes to conduct vehicle technology evaluations of advanced technology research vehicles. Data is captured from vehicle evaluations that provide powertrain operation and corresponding energy consumption based on a combination of in-depth instrumentation and focused testing. This resulting dataset of hundreds of time-resolved vehicle signals provide a basis for direct analysis and model validation of vehicle specific technologies. Argonne has attempted to standardize the approach to vehicle instrumentation and testing at Argonne, but it should be noted that each vehicle, and the corresponding assessment, remains unique. It is suggested that the reader reference vehicle specific testing reports for an overview of the unique aspects for each test vehicle. Additionally, the datasets for research vehicles are made publicly available through the Advanced Mobility Technology Laboratory’s Downloadable Driving Database (D3) at www.anl.gov/d3.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

SFCOMPO Database of Spent Nuclear Fuel Assay Data – the Next Frontier

SFCOMPO is the world’s largest database for measured spent nuclear fuel assay data. An international effort coordinated by the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) resulted in a significant expansion of the database and its release online in 2017 as a downloadable application. The SFCOMPO Technical Review Group (TRG) was recently formed under the direction of NEA’s Nuclear Science Committee/Working Party on Nuclear Criticality Safety and was mandated to maintain and further coordinate the development of SFCOMPO. This TRG is currently focused on (1) critical evaluation of the experimental assay data by independent experts and (2) development of benchmarks and benchmark models that can be applied to validate burnup codes. This will improve the quality and documentation of the experimental datasets and enable their use by the international community to support code validation for design and safety analysis of spent nuclear fuel transportation, storage, and repository applications. It follows the precedent and draws on the experience gained from similar NEA efforts in the International Reactor Physics Experiment Evaluation Project and the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiment Project. Ongoing SFCOMPO evaluations have served as a test bed to develop templates for documenting evaluations, develop review guidance, improve approaches for a global uncertainty analysis, and devise a strategy focused on providing practical information of highest value to the user community. The current effort, status, and associated challenges are discussed.

Ilas, Germina↗

Incorporating Flexibility Effects into Metal–Organic Framework Adsorption Simulations Using Different Models

High-throughput calculations based on molecular simulations to predict the adsorption of molecules inside metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) have become a useful complement to experimental efforts to identify promising adsorbents for chemical separations and storage. For computational convenience, all existing efforts of this kind have relied on simulations in which the MOF is approximated as rigid. In this paper, we use extensive adsorption–relaxation simulations that fully include MOF flexibility effects to explore the validity of the rigid framework approximation. We also examine the accuracy of several approximate methods to incorporate framework flexibility that are more computationally efficient than adsorption–relaxation calculations. We first benchmark various models of MOF flexibility for four MOFs with well-established CO 2 experimental consensus isotherms. We then consider a range of adsorption properties, including Henry’s constants, nondilute loadings, and adsorption selectivity, for seven adsorbates in 15 MOFs randomly selected from the CoRE MOF database. Our results indicate that in many MOFs adsorption–relaxation simulations are necessary to make quantitative predictions of adsorption, particularly for adsorption at dilute concentrations, although more standard calculations based on rigid structures can provide useful information. Finally, we investigate whether a correlation exists between the elastic properties of empty MOFs and the importance of including framework flexibility in making accurate predictions of molecular adsorption. Our results did not identify a simple correlation of this type.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of mechanistic, microstructure-informed BISON models for fission product-induced failure mechanisms in advanced nuclear fuels

The US continues to prioritize commercial deployment of advanced reactors—particularly those utilizing U-Zr metallic and TRISO particle fuels. Fission product-induced failure mechanisms for these systems include fuel–cladding chemical interaction in metallic fuel rods, which threatens cladding integrity, and Pd penetration in TRISO particles, which degrades SiC layer properties. Empirical models can be applied within the bounds of existing irradiation databases, but their utility is limited when considering new designs or investigating fundamental material behaviors. The Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation Program is therefore developing mechanistic models for these behaviors, which are expected to aid in fuel design, assist in development of failure mitigation strategies, and provide support for qualification and licensing. These efforts leverage multiscale capabilities to capture the microstructural features and processes that govern these behaviors. This talk summarizes past and ongoing efforts to develop and validate these models for the BISON fuel performance code.

FCCI↗

Machine learning enhanced predictions of ICRF heating: Overcoming numerical limitations via data curation

In this work, we present the development of robust surrogate models for Ion Cyclotron Range of Frequencies (ICRF) and High-Harmonic Fast Wave (HHFW) heating predictions in fusion plasmas. Building upon our previous efforts to achieve real-time capable models, we identify the cause of the outliers found using TORIC in certain HHFW heating scenarios. The outliers are observed to be spurious ion Bernstein wave (IBW)-like modes caused by a wavelength control algorithm designed to address challenging scenarios with high perpendicular wavenumbers. The effect arises from the modulation in the perpendicular susceptibility, which can induce sign reversal and IBW-like propagation for scenarios featuring normalized ion Larmor radius λ i ≫ 1. We use TORIC with this algorithm disabled to generate a novel HHFW-NSTX database that is free of outliers. Surrogate models trained on this database, including Random Forest Regressor (RFR), Multi-Layer Perceptrons, and Gaussian Process Regressors (GPR), demonstrate the ability to accurately predict HHFW heating profiles, with regression scores of R 2 ∈[0.93−0.99]. Additionally we demonstrate that it is possible to generalize predictions beyond training data by the use of both RFR and GPR models, enabling the prediction of scenarios previously limited to the original model. GPR models also provide uncertainty quantification, offering insights into model confidence. This work introduces a comprehensive Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification methodology for surrogate modeling, applicable not only to ICRF heating but also to other RF heating challenges and fusion physics problems. Beyond accelerated inference, these models show effective extrapolation capabilities, providing an alternative for addressing numerical challenges.

Artificial neural networks↗

Predicting Partial Atomic Charges in Metal–Organic Frameworks: An Extension to Ionic MOFs

Molecular simulation is an invaluable tool to predict and understand the usage of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) for gas storage and separation applications. Accurate partial atomic charges, commonly obtained from density functional theory (DFT) calculations, are often required to model the electrostatic interactions between the MOF and adsorbates, especially when the adsorbates have dipole or quadrupole moments, such as water and CO 2 . Machine learning (ML) models have been previously employed to predict partial charges and avoid the computational cost associated with DFT calculations. However, previous ML models suffer from small training data sets, which limit their scope of application. In this work, we introduce two novel machine learning models, PACMOF2-neutral and PACMOF2-ionic, aimed at predicting the density-derived electrostatic and chemical (DDEC6) partial atomic charges for both neutral and ionic MOFs. These models not only yield DFT-level accuracy at a fraction of the computational cost but also demonstrate a remarkable improvement in prediction of adsorption, as validated with grand canonical Monte Carlo simulations. Furthermore, the robustness and fast computational time of the PACMOF2 models, along with their transferability to other porous materials such as covalent organic frameworks and zeolites, underscores their potential in high-throughput screening of MOFs for diverse applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

ENDF/B-VIII.0 Augmented Covariance Data The first iteration [Slides]

Nuclear data are necessary for reliable modeling and simulation of the next generation of nuclear reactors. However, the variation in the ratio of the computed to experimental values (C/E) for certain types of nuclear systems is much less than predicted by evaluated nuclear data file (ENDF)/B covariances. Figure 1 provides an example of a set of metal-plutonium-fueled, fast-spectrum (PU-MET-FAST) integral experiments from the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) in the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) VALID database. The variation in the C/E values, shown with one standard deviation error bars, is 100% covered by both the SCALE and ENDB/VIII.0 covariance data. This is due to the comparisons to integral data that are essential during the evaluation process. However, the ENDF evaluations represent uncertainties and correlations in differential data only; they do not reflect the impact of the comparison to integral data in the covariance evaluations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Parametric Study of the Vacuum Permeator for the Tritium Extraction eXperiment

Tritium breeding is a critical component of any self-sustaining future fusion reactor. The liquid metal eutectic, PbLi, is of particular interest as a tritium breeder material due to its favorable thermophysical and neutronic properties. One of the several remaining challenges facing PbLi breeder blankets is the need to design and validate a highly efficient tritium extraction system. The vacuum permeator is a promising extraction concept that utilizes tritium permeation through a highly permeable metal membrane. The Tritium Extraction eXperiment (TEX) is a forced-convection PbLi loop constructed to investigate tritium extraction from PbLi with vacuum permeators. Accurate thermal-hydraulic and tritium transport models are required to establish appropriate test matrices, predict experiment outcomes, and analyze data. However, the hydrogen transport properties of PbLi and permeator materials have large uncertainties. A database is collected, and a parametric analysis is conducted on the effect of hydrogen transport material properties: diffusivity of H in PbLi and permeator, solubility of H in PbLi and permeator, and permeator surface recombination constant on the expected tritium extraction efficiency for a vacuum permeator installed in TEX. As a result, we observe solubility of H in PbLi and the permeator and the recombination constant of the permeator have the largest effect on the extraction efficiency.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

An open-access simulated earthquake ground-motion database for an M7 Hayward Fault earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Region

Comprehensive understanding of earthquake ground motions, particularly in the near-fault region of large-magnitude events, is limited by gaps in strong-motion data. This challenge is prominent in areas with high seismic hazard but infrequent large earthquakes where data is sparse and difficult to interpret. These data limitations lead to uncertainties in the development of site-specific ground motions, which are crucial for engineering risk assessments. To address these challenges, physics-based regional-scale ground-motion simulations have been developed. With the emergence of exaflop-scale computing ecosystems, it is now possible to simulate regional earthquake processes at unprecedented fidelity and generate the large number of fault rupture realizations necessary to characterize both intra- and inter-event ground-motion variability. This article introduces a new database of simulated earthquake ground motions, created for applications in earthquake engineering, earthquake planning, and emergency response. The inaugural version of the database features simulated ground motions for a magnitude 7 Hayward Fault earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Region (SFBR), using the EarthQuake SIMulation (EQSIM) simulation framework and the Graves–Pitarka kinematic rupture model. The aim is to provide high-fidelity, spatially dense, three-component motions generated on the Department of Energy’s (DOE) newest generation of graphics processing unit (GPU)-accelerated supercomputers. These motions are being made openly available to the engineering, scientific, and disaster planning communities. In addition, this work develops protocols for the efficient dissemination of these large data sets and emphasizes community engagement to build confidence in their application. This article discusses the methodology behind the data, underlying software verification and validation, scalable data management, and a user interface for data access. The goal is to facilitate widespread use and elicit expert feedback to maximize the utility and exploitation of simulated motions. While the initial focus is on the San Francisco Region, simulations for additional regions will be added as the DOE program progresses.

Simulated ground-motion database↗

Evaluating WRF-Solar EPS cloud mask forecast using the NSRDB

Improving the accuracy of day-ahead solar forecasts using numerical weather prediction models requires improving the forecasting of cloud occurrence and properties. Validating cloud forecasts is challenging because this requires evaluating different types of clouds over a wide variety of regions. This study analyzes the cloud occurrence (or cloud mask) over the contiguous United States (CONUS), predicted by the Weather Research and Forecasting-Solar Ensemble Prediction System (WRF-Solar EPS), to identify the strengths and limitations of the model in reproducing cloud fields. To enable the in-depth analysis of cloud mask forecasts covering CONUS, we use satellite observations from the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB). Two evaluation methods are implemented to consider all clouds and partially removed clouds from the 2-km NSRDB in evaluating the 9-km WRF-Solar EPS cloud mask. Cloud detection metrics as well as the frequency of cloud occurrence are used to quantify the monthly performance of WRF-Solar EPS. Mismatched cloud frequency (MCF) is used to assess the model's capability to predict different types of clouds, which are classified using three levels of cloud optical depth (COD) and cloud top height (CTH). The day-ahead forecasts covering the full year of 2018 demonstrate that WRF-Solar EPS produces MCFs ranging from 27%-46%, 13%-34%, and 8%-19% for thin, mid-thickness, and thick clouds, respectively. For three CTH levels, the model shows MCFs ranging from 19%-46%, 16%-33%, and 8%-27% for low-level, middle-level, and high-level clouds, respectively. This comprehensive characterization of model performance helps identify model weakness and will eventually lead to improvements in cloud and solar radiation forecasting.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Novel Framework for Performance Evaluation and Design Optimization of PCM Embedded Heat Exchangers for the Built Environment

This research sheds light on the performance evaluation and design optimization of PCM-HXs for the built environment, addressing several barriers to practical issues to PCM-HX commercialization such as modeling aspects (i.e., modeling expertise and computational / time investment, etc.), manufacturing aspects (i.e., at-scale manufacturing, cost assessments, etc.) and experimental performance assessment (i.e., reliable experimental data, assessment of multiple PCM-working fluid combinations, etc.). We present a novel, comprehensive, and experimentally-validated design optimization framework for PCM-HXs capable of simulating any PCM-HX geometry with reasonable accuracy and significant computational time savings when compared to traditional CFD-based design practices. The framework was validated for a wide range of PCM-HX configurations, including a design optimization for a domestic hot water heater application where TES partially replaces electrical heating input. The resulting PCM-HXs were found to deliver 34-68% of the total daily hot water supply with only 5-10% package volume increase from the water heater, thus within U.S. DOE targets for TES systems. To identify the most promising HXs for PCM applications, first-order geometry and cost analyses were conducted based on off-the-shelf HX products. As part of this work, 9 PCM-HX prototypes were manufactured using additive and conventional manufacturing methods. Detailed economy-of-scale assessments were conducted for the most promising PCM-HXs and were found to have a good outlook for the next 5-10 years. The PCM-HX design optimization framework was validated through comprehensive in-house experimental testing using newly-developed PCM-to-fluid test facilities. In total,10 total in-house component-level experiments were conducted using these prototypes, including 9 with water and 1 with refrigerant (R410A) as the working fluid. It was found that the framework can successfully predict experimental thermal-hydraulic performance within ±10-20% the first time without manual design changes, eliminating the need for time-consuming and expensive prototyping efforts as part of the design process. As part of this work, a publicly-available PCM web tool was released which includes a PCM property database (531 PCMs) and PCM-HX modeling tool to assist the design community on common PCM-HX use-cases, e.g., single/multiple flow path(s) fluid-to-PCM and air-to-fluid-to-PCM configurations (https://ceeeweb.umd.edu/pcmapp/). This work will accelerate the design and time to market for next generation PCM-HXs.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Synthesizing realistic sand assemblies with denoising diffusion in latent space

Abstract The shapes and morphological features of grains in sand assemblies have far‐reaching implications in many engineering applications, such as geotechnical engineering, computer animations, petroleum engineering, and concentrated solar power. Yet, our understanding of the influence of grain geometries on macroscopic response is often only qualitative, due to the limited availability of high‐quality 3D grain geometry data. In this paper, we introduce a denoising diffusion algorithm that uses a set of point clouds collected from the surface of individual sand grains to generate grains in the latent space. By employing a point cloud autoencoder, the three‐dimensional point cloud structures of sand grains are first encoded into a lower‐dimensional latent space. A generative denoising diffusion probabilistic model is trained to produce synthetic sand that maximizes the log‐likelihood of the generated samples belonging to the original data distribution measured by a Kullback‐Leibler divergence. Numerical experiments suggest that the proposed method is capable of generating realistic grains with morphology, shapes and sizes consistent with the training data inferred from an F50 sand database. We then use a rigid contact dynamic simulator to pour the synthetic sand in a confined volume to form granular assemblies in a static equilibrium state with targeted distribution properties. To ensure third‐party validation, 50,000 synthetic sand grains and the 1542 real synchrotron microcomputed tomography (SMT) scans of the F50 sand, as well as the granular assemblies composed of synthetic sand grains are made available in an open‐source repository.

Vlassis, Nikolaos N.↗

A Data Processing Pipeline for Adversarial Socio-Technical Network Analysis

With the rapid adoption of emerging technologies, there is a need to catalog and model sociotechnical interdependencies that have been historically used to influence the operation of Critical Infrastructure networks including the impacts of mergers and acquisitions, hostile takeovers, and foreign investment. Our research intends to address this need with two primary contributions. First, we have developed a data curation and processing pipeline to generate sociotechnical networks extracted from a variety of data sources including SEC filings and infrastructure asset databases. The pipeline, implemented in Apache Airflow, extracts and normalizes the representation of entities and relations, specified within ontologies. Our intent is to provide an extensible, machine-actionable approach to quickly communicate such models, reproduce previous results, and adapt them to new, unanticipated situations. Second, networks produced by our pipeline enable the development of graph-theoretic metrics that consider the properties of network components in addition to its topology. Metadata associated with network components---whether semantic, temporal, or geospatial---affects the alignment of generated networks with assumptions underlying complexity metrics. Validation of generated networks relative to component types defined by an ontology, may allow the research community to adapt metrics to the semantics of the domains being studied. Generated networks may be processed as knowledge, dynamic, or spatial graphs and enables a variety of analyses including automated reasoning and measures of network complexity. Automated reasoning views extracted entities and relations as a knowledge graph; this enables application of inference rules that represent historically-attested adversarial business methods and applies that behavior to a specific geographic context. Measures of network complexity, including degree distribution, reachability analyses, temporal analysis, and community detection can be adapted to indicate adversarial organizational influence.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

United States Nuclear Power Reactor Used Nuclear Fuel Database and Applications

The Unified Database (UDB) within STANDARDS serves as the foundational data infrastructure for managing the United States' spent nuclear fuel inventory of 315,111 discharged assemblies totaling 91,036 metric tons of heavy metal. The database organizes this complex inventory through over 200 interconnected tables structured into eight primary attribute categories, supporting integrated analyses across storage, transportation, and disposal domains. Data enters the UDB through the GC-859 Nuclear Fuel Data Survey, which transitioned to web-based collection in 2023, improving data quality through real-time validation. The UDB enables automated generation of input files for nuclear safety analyses, reducing preparation time from weeks to hours while maintaining traceability. Applications include national inventory reporting, Certificate of Compliance assessments, and facility optimization. The three-tier distribution model balances accessibility with security requirements for federal agencies, national laboratories, and research organizations. The UDB provides essential data infrastructure as spent fuel management transitions from site-specific to integrated national campaigns.

Stefanovic, Peter↗

Appendix Q: Recommendations for Developing Molecular Assays for Microbial Pathogen Detection Using Modern In Silico Approaches

We describe the use of in silico approaches to improve the process of molecular assay development and reduce time and cost by utilizing available databases of whole genome pathogen sequences combined with modern bioinformatics and physical modeling tools. Well-characterized assays are needed for accurately detecting pathogens in environmental and patient samples and also for evaluation of the efficacy of a medical countermeasure that may be administered to patients. The polymerase chain reaction (PCR) remains the gold standard for pathogen detection due to the simplicity of its instrumentation, low cost of reagents, and outstanding limit of detection (LOD), sensitivity, and specificity. However, creation of such PCR assays often involves iterations of design, preliminary testing, and thorough validation with clinical isolates and testing in relevant matrices, which can be time consuming, costly, and result in suboptimal assays. Since formal validation (e.g., for Emergency Use Authorization [EUA] or Food and Drug Administration [FDA] licensure) of an infectious disease assay can be very expensive and can require extensive time of development, having a well-designed assay up front is a critical first step. Yet, many assays described in the literature utilized limited design capabilities and many initially promising assays fail the validation process, resulting in increased costs and timelines for successful product development. While the computational approaches outlined in this document by no means obviate the need for wet lab testing, they can reduce the amount of effort wasted on empirical optimization and iterative redesigns and also guide validation studies. The proposed computational approaches also result in higher performing assays with better sensitivity, specificity, and lower LOD and reduce the possibility of assay failure due to signature erosion. To provide clarity, an extensive glossary of defined terms is provided.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Prevention of resistive wall tearing mode major disruptions with feedback

Resistive wall tearing modes (RWTMs) can cause major disruptions. A signature of RWTMs is that the rational surface is sufficiently close to the wall to interact with it. For (m,n) = (2,1) modes, a RWTM requires normalized minor radius of the rational surface ρ q2 ≥ 0.75, which can also be expressed as q 75 ≤ 2. Major disruptions can occur when the criterion is satisfied. This is confirmed in simulations and theory and in a DIII-D locked mode disruption database. The q 75 < 2 criterion is valid at high β as well as at low β. A very important feature of RWTMs is that they can be feedback stabilized. If the ρ q2 criterion is not satisfied, or if the wall is ideally conducting, then the mode does not produce a major disruption, although it can produce a minor disruption. Feedback, or rotation of the mode at the wall by complex feedback, can emulate an ideal wall, preventing major disruptions. The ρ q2 criterion depends weakly on the wall radius. A simple geometric model of its dependence on wall radius is given.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗