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At least 217 records · Page 12

Generalized Bayesian Framework for Evaluation of Integral Benchmark Experiments

A recently published generalized Bayesian optimization framework has provided a way to retract any or all of the three common assumptions underlying the conventional Generalized Linear Least Squares (GLLS) optimization method based on the concepts introduced in reference two. These assumptions are: 1. Perfection: The model used for data evaluation and the prior probability distribution function (PDF) of generalized* data are perfect; 2. Normality: The prior and posterior PDF are normal; and 3. Linearity: The model is linear. In this work we outline how the framework in 1 could be directly adopted for improved evaluation of nuclear criticality integral benchmark experiments (IBEs) by: 1. Removing the first assumption alone by utilizing the concept of imperfections introduced in 1 to enable evaluation in the presence of discrepancies between the data and model or of missing covariance information by a GLLS method that will be seen as a generalization of the conventional GLLS method employed by the TSURFER code, and by 2. Removing the remaining two assumptions by implement- ing a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for computation of the posterior PDF in the SAMPLER code, where TSURFER and SAMPLER are the uncertainty quantification (UQ) codes for IBEs in the SCALE code system based on the GLLS, and the stochastic method, respectively.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

TEX-HEU: Integral Experiments with Highly Enriched Uranium and Polyethylene [Slides]

This presentation discusses Thermal/Epithermal eXperiments (TEX) in relation to integral experiments spanning a wide range of fission energy spectra utilizing existing NCSP fissile material assets, TEX-Pu for plutonium, and TEX-HEU highly enriched uranium (HEU) for highly enriched uranium. It also discusses the TEX-HEU design, the use of HEU fuel, and polyethylene parts. The experiment, executed in the Nuclear Criticality Experiment Research Center of the Nevada National Security Site is discussed, specifically how it was assembled on the Comet Universal Critical Assembly Machine. Measured quantities and various critical configurations are listed. In conclusion, the presentation states that they successfully assembled and documented the baseline TEX-HEU experiments, that six critical configurations and one reproducibility measurement were produced, and that they are compiling results to submit to the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project. A future experiment campaign is planned in 2021 with Hafnium as a diluent.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Recognizing Unrecognized Sources of Uncertainty (USU) in Nuclear Data

Historically, time-of-flight (TOF) nuclear cross section measurements on different nuclides are assumed to be uncorrelated if they were recorded in different facilities with identical methods, identical facilities with different methods, and even identical facilities with identical methods. Ideally, measurements of different nuclides would truly be uncorrelated thus providing independent assessments of some cross section. In reality, correlations exist between measurements but are simply assumed to be unimportant. To eliminate these qualitative assumptions, in this paper we make a counter-intuitive suggestion to perform an intentionally correlated measurement of energy-differential fission and capture reactions for nuclides in a single criticality safety benchmark during a single experimental campaign. While this would introduce undesirable correlations, it would fully quantify correlations between datasets, rather than assume that the correlations do not exist.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A Python Tool for Aqueous Plutonium Nitrate Density Law Input Preprocessing in MCNP6

Here, this work develops a predictive density tool in Python, named Plutonium Nitrate Solutions (PuNS), to reduce bias and uncertainty in nuclear criticality safety calculations for plutonium nitrate systems. The Pitzer method and an empirical method were implemented into the PuNS tool to generate atom densities for use in MCNP6 material cards. These material cards are directly prepared into an MCNP6 input text file and are calculated based on customizable user inputs of plutonium content, nitric acid content, temperature, and plutonium isotope weight percentages. The PuNS tool is validated and verified against the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project Handbook experiments and is observed to predict densities within a root mean square error of 0.89% for the Pitzer method and 1.82% for the empirical method. These errors in density lead to up to 1569 pcm difference in MCNP6 calculated k eff for the Pitzer method and up to a 1751 pcm difference for the empirical method when compared to experimental benchmarks. Simultaneous work is also being performed at Los Alamos National Laboratory and the University of New Mexico to create a similar tool for plutonium chloride solutions, named Plutonium Chloride Solution, which aims to provide the accreditation of the chlorine absorption. These capabilities will not only provide more accurate models but also facilitate an improved understanding of solution systems and a potential relaxation in the conservatism of current aqueous plutonium processing criticality safety limits.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Validation of KENO Delayed Neutron Fraction Capabilities

The delayed neutron fraction, which is necessary for the safe operation of reactors, varies by fissionable material and neutron spectrum. A prompt fission neutron spectrum has been included in the SCALE 6.2 release to account for the removal of delayed neutrons from precursor materials from the neutron balance. This paper describes how experimental measurements from criticality safety benchmarks were used to validate the SCALE calculational procedure for the delayed neutron fraction. Additionally, the effect of nuclear data uncertainty on the KENO calculation of β eff was examined with the SAMPLER sequence.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Sensitivity/Uncertainty Comparison Study Involving IRSN, LANL, and ORNL Tools to Support Validation

Under a DOE Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) task involving Analytical Methods, three Laboratories collaborated in a comparison of results obtained from Sensitivity/Uncertainty (S/U) packages relevant to validation of transport codes. The task involves Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) comparing results of MORET 5/MACSENS V3.0, MCNP6.2/Whisper-1.1, and SCALE 6.2.3/TSUNAMI/USLSTATS respectively. All Monte Carlo transport code results utilize nuclear data from ENDF/B-VII.1 evaluation. This study examines five cases from the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments (ICSBEP Handbook) selected as application models: IEU-MET- FAST-002-001, LEU-COMP-THERM-001-001, LEU-SOL-THERM-004-001, MIX-COMP- THERM-001-001, and U233-SOL-THERM-001-001. This is a continuation of a previous study to examine Pu and HEU cases: HEU-MET-FAST-013-001, HEU-SOL-THERM-001-008, PU-MET- FAST-022-001, and PU-SOL-THERM-001-001. Ultimately, comparison is made between Upper Subcritical Limits (USLs) obtained using each code package for each application case. Since differences exist in whether packages take into account margin of subcriticality (MOS), the USL is computed using only bias and bias uncertainty, also known as the calculational margin (CM) in ANSI/ANS-8.24. Results comparison appears to show that benchmark selection has a greater influence on the USL than the method used for calculation of bias and bias uncertainty.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

The PARADIGM Project: Case Study in Balancing Experiment Uncertainty with Design simplicity

Accurate nuclear data are required for simulations of many applications including nuclear criticality safety. Actinide nuclear data at intermediate energies (from 1 to 100s of keV) are imprecise and inaccurate, because of scarce differential data, and an insufficient theory approach to capture the structures expected in the data to yield evaluated nuclear data, and lack of integral data for proper validation. This is a known deficiency but has proved challenging to address. More specifically, only 5% of integral experiments in the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) benchmark suite address intermediate energies (Fig. 1). Associated calculated effective multiplication factor, k eff , values for these experiments are far outside the experimental uncertainties and are 25× further from experiment than for fast energies. These differences could either stem from systematic biases in nuclear data, experiments or both. The goal of the PARADIGM (PARallel Approach of Differential and InteGral Measurements) project is to significantly reduce (by more than tens of percent) the uncertainties of intermediate energy actinide nuclear data. The PARADIGM project designed and intends to execute LANSCE (Los Alamos Neutron Science CEnter) and NCERC (National Criticality Experiments Research Center) intermediate experiments in parallel. They will specifically address a high priority nuclear data need—reducing bias and uncertainty in intermediate plutonium nuclear data. The two experiment will achieve that by informing each other and nuclear theory. By doing all these steps in parallel, the timeline to deliver improved nuclear data to users will significantly be reduced. This work will focus on the integral experiment final design and the balance of design and modeling simplicity while minimizing experiment uncertainty.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Towards an Era of Low-Temperature Integral Critical Experiments: Surrogate Testing of Low-Temperature TEX Configurations

United States and IAEA regulations for the transportation of radioactive materials require that fissile materials must be subcritical under expected ambient temperatures ranging from -40°C to 38°C. While historical experiments have been conducted at room and elevated temperatures, no criticality integral benchmarks exist for temperatures below room temperature. The Low-Temperature Thermal Epithermal eXperiments (LT-TEX) aim to provide benchmark evaluations down to -40°C. The LT-TEX design incorporates stacked HEU plates interspersed with varying thicknesses of polyethylene disks to provide varying levels of moderation, with five configurations at 20°C having already been benchmarked. A novel vacuum/cryogenic chamber was fabricated to contain the LT-TEX configurations in a thermally isolated environment and cool it to -40°C. Prior to testing with fissile materials, testing with surrogate fuel plates was performed to characterize the thermal properties of the system, ensure no condensation forms on the stack, and to test that the uranium plates would not warp, or fracture during the thermal cycling. Surrogate testing has characterized the cryogenic chamber and verified its viability to perform the benchmark experiments, allowing for the next steps in the LT-TEX experimental campaign. The results of the surrogate testing are discussed and compared to heat transfer calculations performed as part of the experiment design process, to establish confidence in the thermal behavior of the system.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

New capabilities of the MORET 6 Monte Carlo neutron transport code

The MORET code is a simulation tool that solves the transport equation for neutrons using the Monte Carlo method. It allows users to model complex three-dimensional geometrical configurations in a user-friendly way. New features have been introduced to extend the application field of MORET beyond the usual criticality calculations for which it has been initially designed. The most important change is the addition of an analog fixed source mode which allows studies of systems of any reactivity combined with very flexible outputs. Other useful improvements have been added concerning the geometric part, the fission matrix, the multigroup sensitivity coefficients and the outputs. This paper presents an overview of these new features. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

CERBERUS: CEDT Phase-1 Preliminary Design for Cu Critical Experiment

The goal of the Critical Experiment Reflected By copper to bEtteR Understand Scattering [CERBERUS] is to design a critical experiment that maximizes sensitivities to Cu reactions, particularly in the intermediate energy region (0.625 eV – 100 keV). Despite the number of experiments evaluated in the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook1, there is still a gap of benchmarks sensitive to neutrons in the intermediate energy region. Of the ICSBEP benchmarks sensitive to neutrons in the intermediate energy region, very few are also sensitive to Cu in that region. One of the primary intermediate energy benchmark evaluations is the ZEUS series, which uses a Cu reflector. However, concerns have been brought up about the nuclear data associated with Cu scattering in the reflector. Improving Cu nuclear data is important outside of the ZEUS series, because it is present in many bronze and aluminum alloys, which are used in various nuclear operations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

ARC Software Validation Work for the FFTF Reactor

Extensive efforts have been carried out at ANL for the verification and validation of the Argonne Reactor Codes (ARC) software package currently used for the design of Versatile Test Reactor (VTR). The ARC software package consists of steady state neutronics and thermal hydraulics modeling capabilities which are being used by the VTR program to develop most of the VTR reactor design details which will be part of the licensing application. It is anticipated that this software will continue to be used for the design work and for initial operations although additional software may be introduced at a later time. The validation work was focused primarily on obtaining validation data consistent with VTR and usable for the ARC software. Because no critical facilities or operating fast spectrum reactors are available to do experiments for the VTR, the next best option is to identify historical experimental data that can be used as validation data. Early on in VTR, the ZPPR-15 set of experiments was identified as good validation data because of 1) the availability and quality of the data, 2) existing staff that are already familiar with the experimental machine and measurements, 3) most of the ZPPR-15 loadings of interest have already been processed into ARC models, and 4) a full uncertainty quantification has already been done for several loadings of ZPPR-15. The FFTF startup and operations data was identified as the most consistent reactor type that has validation data usable for VTR. Finally, the EBR-II fuel depletion measurements were identified as the best available validation data for VTR. It is important to note that both the FFTF and EBR-II reactors typically come with higher uncertainties than the ZPPR. In the frame of the discussed verification and validation efforts, the present document discusses the analysis of selected FFTF measurements included in the benchmark specifications of the International Reactor Physics Experiment (IRPhE) handbook. The FFTF reactor core configurations from the benchmark specification are presented in Section 2. The analysis is performed with the use of the ARC code suite available at ANL for fast reactor studies and is discussed in Section 3. The reactor parameters from the benchmark include criticality, neutron spectra, effective delayed neutron spectra, control rod worth, isothermal temperature coefficient and low energy gamma-ray spectra. The calculated values and the comparison with the experimental data is discussed in Sections 4 to 9 for each considered reactor parameter. Finally, conclusions are presented in Section 10.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Godiva IV Thermal Neutron Dosimetry Modeling and Variance Reduction

The transfer of the Godiva IV experiment from the Los Alamos Critical Experiments Facility (LACEF) to the National Critical Experiments Research Center (NCERC) introduced a vastly different experiment room return to the neutron flux. The contribution of the background to the burst neutron energy spectrum is significant in the thermal and epithermal neutron energies. Target materials may be placed in various locations in the Godiva room, or outside of the room, for thermal neutron activation. Modeling of this dosimetry problem in Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) presented a novel challenge compared to previous Godiva IV glory hole irradiation simulations. An advanced dosimetry modeling framework for high efficiency calculations in locations far from the Godiva IV fission source was desired. The mesh-based weight windows and point detector advanced variance reduction techniques in MCNP were implemented and tested using adaptations of the critical experiment benchmark model of the Godiva IV problem. The models were validated against measured activations of Nickel, Indium, Scandium, and Cobalt foils at locations 2 meters from the Godiva IV core. Dosimetry measurements were performed in collaboration with Sandia National Laboratory. The weight windows and point detector variance reduction coupled method resulted in the highest problem efficiency.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Application of a Density Law via Python for Aqueous Plutonium Nitrate

A predictive density tool has been developed in Python to reduce bias and uncertainty in nuclear criticality safety calculations for plutonium nitrate systems. The Pitzer Method and an empirical method were implemented into the tool, allowing for plutonium nitrate density calculations. Additionally, the Python tool can generate atom densities for a MCNP6.2 material card using the density from the selected method and directly the densities into a prepared MCNP6 input text file. The material card and density are calculated based on customizable user inputs of plutonium content, nitric acid content, temperature, plutonium isotope weight percentages and impurity concentrations. The Python tool has been validated and verified against the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments to predict densities within a root mean square error of 1.0% for the Pitzer method and 1.8% for the empirical method. These errors in density were shown to lead to a ±0.5% error in MCNP6.2 calculated k effective for the Pitzer method and a ±1.7% error for the Empirical method. Simultaneous work is also being done at the University of New Mexico and Los Alamos National Laboratory to create a similar tool for plutonium chloride solutions, which aims to provide the accreditation of the chlorine absorption. These capabilities will not only provide more accurate models but also lead the way towards a better understanding of solution systems and potential relaxation in the conservatism of the current aqueous plutonium processing limits.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Reactivity Coefficient Measurements to Aid in Reducing Compensating Errors in Plutonium Nuclear Data

Compensating errors between several nuclear data observables in a nuclear data library can adversely impact application simulations. The primary goal of the EUCLID project (Experiments Underpinned by Computational Learning for Improvements in Nuclear Data) is to reduce compensating errors between fast (0.1–5 MeV) 239Pu nuclear data for prompt fission neutron spectra (PFNS), average prompt fission neutron multiplicities, and neutron induced fission, capture, elastic, and inelastic cross sections. This work will focus on the design and execution of void reactivity coefficient measurements in the EUCLID experiment, performed on the Planet vertical lift critical assembly machine at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC). Two different base configurations were designed and measured, one with high neutron leakage, and one with low neutron leakage. Both were primarily made up of plutonium metal (Zero Power Physics Reactor plates) without interstitial moderators and reflected by half-inch aluminum. Design optimization showed that void reactivity coefficient measurements in three locations per configuration was most impactful to reduce nuclear data uncertainties due to the varying impacts from elastic and inelastic scattering, as well as fission and capture. The locations for measurements were chosen based on preliminary studies which balanced measurement uncertainty and measurement practicality. The measurements were also selected to have sensitivities maximally complementary to previous arrangements. Comparisons across nuclear data libraries highlight the potential impact.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

S/U Comparison Study with a Focus on USLs

Under a DOE Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) task involving Analytical Methods, three Laboratories collaborated in a comparison of results obtained from Sensitivity/Uncertainty (S/U) packages relevant to validation of transport codes. The task involves Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) comparing results of MORET 5/MACSENS V3.0, MCNP6.2/Whisper-1.1, and SCALE 6.2.3/TSUNAMI/USLSTATS respectively. All Monte Carlo transport code results utilize ENDF/B-VII.1. Four cases from the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments (ICSBEP Handbook) were selected as application models: HEU-MET-FAST-013-001, HEU-SOL-THERM 001-008, PU-MET-FAST-022-001, and PU-SOL-THERM 001-001. Ultimately, comparison is made between Upper Subcritical Limits (USLs) obtained using each code package for each application case. Since differences exist in whether packages take into account margin of subcriticality (MOS), the USL may be computed using bias and bias uncertainty, also known as the calculational margin (CM) in ANSI/ANS 8.24. Application of portions of MOS to the USL for nuclear data uncertainty of and potential code margin is referred to as USL herein. In either case, additional MOS is considered for actual application cases.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Analysis of SCALE Criticality and Sensitivity Calculations for Reflected HEU Cylinders

The SCALE code package offers multiple nuclear data libraries and sensitivity and uncertainty (S/U) methods supporting and derived from Monte Carlo (MC) transport. The CSAS and TSUNAMI-3D sequences use KENO MC, utilizing either continuous-energy (CE) cross sections or multigroup (MG) cross section libraries. TSUNAMI-3D has two CE calculational methods: the iterated fission probability (IFP) method, and the Contribution-Linked eigenvalue sensitivity/Uncertainty estimation via Tracklength importance CHaracterization (CLUTCH) method. Previous work has shown poor agreement between CLUTCH and confirmatory direct perturbation calculations in specific applications (e.g., fissionable and polyethylene reflectors). The HEU-MET-FAST-084 (HMF-084) International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project evaluation consists of 27 cylindrical highly enriched uranium metal cores with 14 unique reflector materials of 0.5 and 1 in. thicknesses. Included in this list of reflector materials are natural uranium and polyethylene. This work utilized SCALE 6.2.4 models of the HMF-084 evaluation, with additional non-physical configurations to test both the MG bias and CLUTCH functionality across a variety of reflector material thicknesses. The evaluation’s use of concentric cylinders allowed for examination of several MG self-shielding methods: infinite homogenous, cylindrical, and spherical. The results indicate that the use of polyethylene reflectors with CLUTCH is not fundamentally impossible but sensitive to geometry. The poor performance of CLUTCH with fissionable reflectors was reaffirmed. The 2 in. and greater polyethylene-reflected calculations demonstrate the necessity of using the 302-group library for fast systems. The nickel MG bias was substantial, as discussed in a companion paper, as were cobalt and iron.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Pulsed-Neutron Experiments at the Inherently Safe Subcritical Assembly

The pulsed neutron technique is a powerful, dynamic method to assay the reactivity of a multiplying system. This work presents the novel application of the pulsed neutron technique to the Inherently Safe Subcritical Assembly, an experimental configuration accepted by the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project Handbook. The experiments were replicated with COG11.3, a continuous-energy Monte Carlo code. The pulsed neutron data were analyzed using the Sjöstrand and Gozani area-ratio methods and by extracting the prompt neutron decay constant. Subsequent static k-eigenvalue and 𝛼-eigenvalue simulations were also performed for the same configurations. Neutron detector dead-time effects from the experiments were corrected using the Backwards Extrapolation Method and shown to have a negligible impact on the estimated reactivities. The results highlight that capturing time-dependent effects like delayed neutron precursor buildup are essential to accurately reproduce experimental results. They also highlight the importance of shielding the detectors from generator source neutrons in deeply subcritical configurations.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Discovery of AMPX Thermal Scattering Law Processing Issue for Solid Moderators

The 2020 edition of The International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook includes a newly produced plastic-moderated evaluation, identified as PU-MET-MIXED-002 and referred to as PMM002. The 2021 edition should include another new plastic-moderated experiment, HEU-MET-THERM-004, referred to as HMT-004. These evaluations are of particular interest, as PMM-002 is moderated with polyethylene, and HMT-004 is moderated with polymethyl methacrylate (Lucite), allowing for investigation of the differences in the thermal scattering laws (TSLs) available for these materials. ENDF/B-VIII.0 includes newly produced data for 1 H-based scattering materials, including Lucite and yttrium hydride. Other available 1 H TSLs include polyethylene, light water, zirconium hydride. The unbound 1 H (free-gas) cross sections were also used. ENDF/B-VIII.0 also includes revisions made to the ENDF/B-VII.1 light water and polyethylene evaluations. Zirconium hydride was unchanged from ENDF/B-VII.1. As of this writing, there are no benchmarks included in the Verified, Archived Library of Inputs and Data (VALID) that are primarily moderated with any solid moderator, so validation that includes the PMM-002 and HMT-004 evaluations would expand the coverage to two new moderators. A study was undertaken at Oak Ridge National Laboratory with two purposes: to provide validation data based on systems that are primarily moderated with polyethylene and Lucite, and to demonstrate the reactivity changes that can result from use of different 1 H TSLs in these plastic-moderated systems. The first objective was mainly to test data and code for SCALE and AMPX, whereas the second objective was to provide useful data for practitioners on the potential variability of predicted $k_{eff}$ based on TSL changes. The use of an exactly correct TSL is often not possible given the materials involved (e.g., lubricants), but this study was intended to provide some indication of the magnitude of the changes among similar materials that can manifest through application of different TSLs in hydrogenous systems over a range of different neutron energy spectra. Unfortunately, the nominal $k_{eff}$ results exposed deviations between SCALE and Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP). Some of the results using different TSLs were also unexpected and difficult to explain. An investigation revealed a processing issue in AMPX that was caused by an ambiguous description of the data for incoherent elastic scattering in the ENDF manual. This issue is discussed in detail in a SCALE User Notification, and it affects some solid moderators, but it does not apply to 1 H bound in water. This issue highlights the importance of validating all TSLs used in safety analysis calculations. The remainder of this paper provides a more detailed examination of the results that triggered the investigation and a summary of the findings of that investigation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗