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The challenges of theory-software translation

Background: Software is now ubiquitous within research. In addition to the general challenges common to all software development projects, research software must also represent, manipulate, and provide data for complex theoretical constructs. Ensuring this process of theory-software translation is robust is essential to maintaining the integrity of the science resulting from it, and yet there has been little formal recognition or exploration of the challenges associated with it. Methods: We thematically analyse the outputs of the discussion sessions at the Theory-Software Translation Workshop 2019, where academic researchers and research software engineers from a variety of domains, and with particular expertise in high performance computing, explored the process of translating between scientific theory and software. Results: We identify a wide range of challenges to implementing scientific theory in research software and using the resulting data and models for the advancement of knowledge. We categorise these within the emergent themes of design, infrastructure, and culture, and map them to associated research questions. Conclusions: Systematically investigating how software is constructed and its outputs used within science has the potential to improve the robustness of research software and accelerate progress in its development. We propose that this issue be examined within a new research area of theory-software translation, which would aim to significantly advance both knowledge and scientific practice.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Solvent-free synthesis of Co single atom and nanocluster decorated N-doped carbon for efficient oxygen reduction

The advancement of efficient, cheap, and durable catalysts for oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) to substitute Pt/C in metal-air batteries is of paramount importance. However, traditional solvent-based methods fall short in terms of environmental benign and scalability. Herein, a solvent-free organic-inorganic self-assembly approach is explored to construct cobalt single atom and cobalt nanocluster decorated nitrogen-doped porous carbon spheres (Co-SA/NC@NCS). The solvent-free synthesis demonstrates an impressively high yield (282 g/L) and the resultant Co-SA/NC@NCS possesses a high N content (6.9 wt%). Density functional theory calculations disclose that the Co-SAs and Co-NCs are able to optimize the surface oxygen adsorption capability and enhance the conductivity of the NCS, thereby facilitating the ORR performance. Here, the solvent-free synthesis is also feasible for the synthesis of other non-noble metal element (Fe, Ni, and Zn) decorated nitrogen-doped porous carbon spheres.

Nitrogen-doped carbon↗

Comparative Ergonomic Evaluation of Spacesuit and Space Vehicle Design

With the advent of the latest human spaceflight objectives, a series of prototype architectures for a new launch and reentry spacesuit that would be suited to the new mission goals. Four prototype suits were evaluated to compare their performance and enable the selection of the preferred suit components and designs. A consolidated approach to testing was taken: concurrently collecting suit mobility data, seat-suit-vehicle interface clearances, and qualitative assessments of suit performance within the volume of a Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle mockup. It was necessary to maintain high fidelity in a mockup and use advanced motion-capture technologies in order to achieve the objectives of the study. These seemingly mutually exclusive goals were accommodated with the construction of an optically transparent and fully adjustable frame mockup. The construction of the mockup was such that it could be dimensionally validated rapidly with the motioncapture system. This paper describes the method used to create a space vehicle mockup compatible with use of an optical motion-capture system, the consolidated approach for evaluating spacesuits in action, and a way to use the complex data set resulting from a limited number of test subjects to generate hardware requirements for an entire population. Kinematics, hardware clearance, anthropometry (suited and unsuited), and subjective feedback data were recorded on 15 unsuited and 5 suited subjects. Unsuited subjects were selected chiefly based on their anthropometry in an attempt to find subjects who fell within predefined criteria for medium male, large male, and small female subjects. The suited subjects were selected as a subset of the unsuited medium male subjects and were tested in both unpressurized and pressurized conditions. The prototype spacesuits were each fabricated in a single size to accommodate an approximately average-sized male, so select findings from the suit testing were systematically extrapolated to the extremes of the population to anticipate likely problem areas. This extrapolation was achieved by first comparing suited subjects performance with their unsuited performance, and then applying the results to the entire range of the population. The use of a transparent space vehicle mockup enabled the collection of large amounts of data during human-in-the-loop testing. Mobility data revealed that most of the tested spacesuits had sufficient ranges of motion for the selected tasks to be performed successfully. A suited subject's inability to perform a task most often stemmed from a combination of poor field of view in a seated position, poor dexterity of the pressurized gloves, or from suit/vehicle interface issues. Seat ingress and egress testing showed that problems with anthropometric accommodation did not exclusively occur with the largest or smallest subjects, but also with specific combinations of measurements that led to narrower seat ingress/egress clearance.

England, Scott↗

Scale Up of High-Performance REBCO Tapes in a Pilot-Scale Advanced MOCVD Tool With In-Line 2D-XRD System

We have reported the development of an Advanced Metal-Organic Chemical Vapor Deposition (AMOCVD) method featuring ohmic heating of the substrate for REBCO film growth, direct tape temperature monitoring, and laminar precursor flow. This A-MOCVD method has been used to fabricate 4 – 5 m thick film REBCO tapes with record high performance: critical currents exceeding 8700 A/12 mm at 30 K, 3 T; and engineering current density of 5200 A/mm 2 at 4.2 K, 15 T. Recently, we constructed a pilot-scale reel-to-reel A-MOCVD system to scale up the technology to long tapes. Preliminary batches of tapes exhibit consistent performance and good uniformity along the length. An in-line 2D X-ray Diffraction (XRD) system has been integrated into the pilot A-MOCVD tool to monitor the REBCO texture and composition, RE 2 O 3 content, and the dimensions of BaMO 3 (BMO, M=Zr,Hf) nanorods that act as artificial pinning centers. Specifically, the streaking angle between REBCO (103) and BZO (101) has been found to correlate well with (Ba+M)/Cu of the film, lift factor in critical current over a range of temperatures and magnetic fields, and the size of the BMO nanorods. Furthermore, the in-line 2D-XRD is expected to serve as a valuable quality measuring tool supporting realtime feedback control for the process to yield uniform and consistent manufacturing of high performance REBCO tapes by Advanced MOCVD.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Machine-learning force-field models for dynamical simulations of metallic magnets

We review recent advances in machine-learning (ML) force-field methods for Landau–Lifshitz–Gilbert simulations of itinerant electron magnets, focusing on their scalability and transferability. Built on the principle of locality, a deep neural-network model is developed to efficiently and accurately predict electron-mediated forces governing spin dynamics. Symmetry-aware descriptors constructed through a group-theoretical approach ensure rigorous incorporation of both lattice and spin-rotation symmetries. The framework is demonstrated using the prototypical s-d exchange model widely employed in spintronics. ML-enabled large-scale simulations reveal novel nonequilibrium phenomena, including anomalous coarsening of tetrahedral spin order on the triangular lattice and the freezing of phase-separation dynamics in lightly hole-doped, strong-coupling square-lattice systems. These results establish ML force-field frameworks as scalable, accurate, and versatile tools for modeling nonequilibrium spin dynamics in itinerant magnets.

Artificial neural networks↗

The use of designed experiments in the process development of continuous propellant mixing

A continuous mix pilot plant was constructed at Aerojet Propulsion Division in Sacramento, California to develop a robust propellant mixing process for the full scale plant that was to be built at the NASA Advanced Solid Rocket Motor facility Yellow Creek, Mississippi. The plant was used to conduct dozens of subsystem and full system mixing tests for evaluation of equipment, processing methods, and control schemes for later use at the production plant. As a culmination to this work, a series of designed experiments were conducted using an eight run Taguchi analysis with four factors at two levels each to determine the primary effect of processing parameters on propellant ballistic and mechanical properties. The factors examined in these runs included the propellant production rate (454 (1000) and 622 kg/hr (1371 Ib/hr)), the product temperature out of the mixer (49 (120) and 63 deg C (145 deg F)), mixer screw speed (75 and 90 rpm), and the deaerator excess capacity (20 and 80 percent). Measured response variables included the uncured and cured density, Crawford Bomb liquid strand burning rates, and selected mechanical properties. The experiment revealed that several of the response variables displayed significant changes from run-to-run with the product temperature being the single most important factor. After concluding this experiment, a twenty-six hour confirmation run was conducted to verify the conclusions reached in the designed experiment. The extended run produced over 12,250 kgs (27,000 lbs) of propellant meeting all of the pre-run targeted properties including density (1.803 g/cc (0.065 lb/in(exp 3)) with a 0.12 percent coefficient of variation (CV) at 25 deg C (77 deg F)), liquid strand burn rate (0.889 cm/s (0.350 in/s) with a 0.69 percent CV at 4210 KPa (610 psig), 15.6 deg C (60 deg F)), nominal maximum stress (828 KPa (120 psig) with a 2.84 percent CV, S&E at 25 deg C (77 deg F), 5.08 cm/min (2 in/min)), strain at nominal maximum (47.4 percent with a 3.96 percent CV), and initial tangent modulus (5349 KPa (775 psig) with a 7.26 percent CV).

Campbell, J. A.↗

Characterization of 10-ft. Diameter Aluminum Alloy 2219 Integrally Stiffened Cylinders

The integrally stiffened cylinder (ISC) process, pioneered by NASA Langley Research Center, offers significant savings for launch vehicle structures. The ISC process is a near net shape, advanced manufacturing method for fabrication of single-piece, thin-walled barrels with internal longitudinal stiffeners, eliminating the need for longitudinal welding and machining. A cost-benefit analysis of the ISC process estimated a 50 % reduction in manufacturing costs and a 10% weight savings over the current multi-piece, machined and welded construction approach for stiffened barrels. In 2017, commercial-scale manufacturing trials were pursued, leading to a successful manufacturing demonstration of 10-ft. diameter ISC barrels fabricated from Al alloy 2219. Some cracking was observed in the stiffeners during fabrication. Optical metallography was performed to evaluate the as-formed microstructures to identify potential causes of cracking, along with mechanical testing to evaluate formability. Results revealed that cracking in the stiffeners was attributed to three likely causes: 1) large Al-Cu stringer particles, 2) stick-slip friction between the mandrel and ISC due to non-optimized lubrication, and 3) differences in material flow rate between the wall and stiffener locations. Testing to gauge formability revealed a significant decrease in ductility in the longitudinal directional for the as-formed condition, attributed to reduced ductility due to the large Al-Cu stringer particles. These results provide guidance toward materials and processing modifications for future ISC forming trials.

Tayon, Wesley A.↗

Snowmass2021 Computational Frontier White Paper: Cosmological Simulations and Modeling

Powerful new observational facilities will come online over the next decade, enabling a number of discovery opportunities in the "Cosmic Frontier", which targets understanding of the physics of the early universe, dark matter and dark energy, and cosmological probes of fundamental physics, such as neutrino masses and modifications of Einstein gravity. Synergies between different experiments will be leveraged to present new classes of cosmic probes as well as to minimize systematic biases present in individual surveys. Success of this observational program requires actively pairing it with a well-matched state-of-the-art simulation and modeling effort. Next-generation cosmological modeling will increasingly focus on physically rich simulations able to model outputs of sky surveys spanning multiple wavebands. These simulations will have unprecedented resolution, volume coverage, and must deliver guaranteed high-fidelity results for individual surveys as well as for the cross-correlations across different surveys. The needed advances are as follows: (1) Development of scientifically rich and broadly-scoped simulations, which capture the relevant physics and correlations between probes (2) Accurate translation of simulation results into realistic image or spectral data to be directly compared with observations (3) Improved emulators and/or data-driven methods serving as surrogates for expensive simulations, constructed from a finite set of full-physics simulations (4) Detailed and transparent verification and validation programs for both simulations and analysis tools. (Abridged)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Physics‐based iterative reconstruction for dual‐source and flying focal spot computed tomography

Purpose For single‐source helical Computed Tomography (CT), both Filtered‐Back Projection (FBP) and statistical iterative reconstruction have been investigated. However, for dual‐source CT with flying focal spot (DS‐FFS CT), a statistical iterative reconstruction that accurately models the scanner geometry and acquisition physics remains unknown to researchers. Therefore, our purpose is to present a novel physics‐based iterative reconstruction method for DS‐FFS CT and assess its image quality. Methods Our algorithm uses precise physics models to reconstruct from the native cone‐beam geometry and interleaved dual‐source helical trajectory of a DS‐FFS CT. To do so, we construct a noise physics model to represent data acquisition noise and a prior image model to represent image noise and texture. In addition, we design forward system models to compute the locations of deflected focal spots, the dimension, and sensitivity of voxels and detector units, as well as the length of intersection between x‐rays and voxels. The forward system models further represent the coordinated movement between the dual sources by computing their x‐ray coverage gaps and overlaps at an arbitrary helical pitch. With the above models, we reconstruct images by an advanced Consensus Equilibrium (CE) numerical method to compute the maximum a posteriori estimate to a joint optimization problem that simultaneously fits all models. Results We compared our reconstruction with Siemens ADMIRE, which is the clinical standard hybrid iterative reconstruction (IR) method for DS‐FFS CT, in terms of spatial resolution, noise profile, and image artifacts through both phantoms and clinical scan datasets. Experiments show that our reconstruction has a higher spatial resolution, with a Task‐Based Modulation Transfer Function (MTF task ) consistently higher than the clinical standard hybrid IR. In addition, our reconstruction shows a reduced magnitude of image undersampling artifacts than the clinical standard. Conclusions By modeling a precise geometry and avoiding data rebinning or interpolation, our physics‐based reconstruction achieves a higher spatial resolution and fewer image artifacts with smaller magnitude than the clinical standard hybrid IR.

Wang, Xiao↗

Evaluation of the Reconstruction Accuracy of the Ultrasound Model–Based Image Reconstruction (U-MBIR) Method for Concrete to Optimize Damage Detection

Reinforced concrete is a critical structural material used to construct nuclear power plants (NPPs). As such, its safety and performance must be thoroughly examined throughout the life cycle of the NPP infrastructure system. Ultrasonic measurements have been an industry standard for both surface and subsurface inspections. To support the development of these techniques, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) has researched and developed advanced image reconstruction algorithms to capture internal damage. The results and discussion presented herein summarize the current state of the ultrasonic model–based iterative reconstruction (U-MBIR) algorithm developed at ORNL. In the work documented in this report, the U-MBIR methodology was applied to four sets of ultrasonic data collected from concrete specimens. The results demonstrate that the U-MBIR algorithm can successfully detect defects within the four concrete samples. The reconstruction images help identify the specimen thickness, regions of delamination, and location of rebar embedded within the concrete. The reconstruction images allow engineers and technicians to characterize the internal defects within concrete specimens and structural members. Ultimately, this knowledge can guide engineers in making informed decisions regarding the performance, safety, and reliability of structural materials (i.e., reinforced concrete) throughout the life cycle of NPPs.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

The Pursuit of K: Reflections on the Current State-of-the-Art in Stress Intensity Factor Solutions for Practical Aerospace Applications

The elastic stress intensity factor (SIF, commonly denoted as K) is the foundation of practical fracture mechanics (FM) analysis for aircraft structures. This single parameter describes the first-order effects of stress magnitude and distribution as well as the geometry of both structure/component and crack. Hence, the calculation of K is often the most significant step in fatigue analysis based on FM. This presentation will provide several reflections on the current state-of-the-art in SIF solution methods used for practical aerospace applications, including a brief historical perspective, descriptions of some recent and ongoing advances, and comments on some remaining challenges. Newman and Raju made significant early contributions to practical structural analysis by developing closed-form SIF equations for surface and corner cracks in simplified geometries, often based on empirical fits of finite element (FE) solutions. Those solutions (and others like them) were sometimes revised as new analyses were conducted or limitations discovered. The foundational solutions have exhibited striking longevity, despite the relatively "coarse" FE models employed many decades ago. However, in recent years, the accumulation of different generations of solutions for the same nominal geometry has led to some confusion (which solution is correct?), and steady increases in computational capabilities have facilitated the discovery of inaccuracies in some (not all!) of the legacy solutions. Some examples of problems and solutions are presented and discussed, including the challenge of maintaining consistency with legacy design applications. As computational power has increased, the prospect of calculating large numbers of SIF solutions for specific complex geometries with advanced numerical methods has grown more attractive. Fawaz and Andersson, for example, have been generating literally millions of new SIF solutions for different combinations of multiple cracks under simplified loading schemes using p-version FE methods. These data are invaluable, but questions remain about their practical use, because the tabular databases of key results needed to support practical life analysis can occupy gigabytes of storage for only a few classes of geometries. The prospect of using such advanced numerical methods to calculate in real time only those K solutions actually needed to support a specific crack growth analysis is also tempting, but the stark reality is that the computational cost is still so high that the approach is not practical except for specific, critical application problems. Some thoughts are offered about alternative paradigms. Compounding approaches are some of the earliest building blocks of SIF development for more complex geometries. These approaches are especially attractive because of their very low computational cost and their conceptual robustness; they are, in some ways, an intriguing contrast and complement to the brute-force numerical methods. In recent years, researchers at NRC-Canada have published remarkable results showing how compounding approaches can be used to generate accurate solutions for very difficult problems. Examples are provided of some successes--and some limitations--using this approach. These closed-form, tabulated numerical, and compounding approaches have typically been used for simple remote loading with simple load paths to the crack. However, many significant cracks occur in complex stress gradient fields. This is a job for weight function (WF) methods, where the arbitrary stress distribution on the crack plane in the corresponding uncracked body (typically determined using FE methods) is used to determine K. Several significant recent advances in WF methods and solutions are highlighted here. Fueled by advanced 3D numerical methods, many new solutions have been generated for classic geometries such as surface and corner cracks with wide ranges of geometrical validity. A new WF formulation has also be developed for part-through cracks considering the arbitrary stress gradients in all directions in the crack plane (so-called bivariant solutions). Basic WF methods have recently been combined with analytical expressions for crack plane stresses to develop a large family of accurate SIF solutions for corner, surface, and through cracks at internal or external notches with very wide ranges of shapes, sizes, acuities, and offsets. Finally, WF solutions are much faster than FE or boundary element solutions, but can still be much slower than simple closed-form solutions, especially for bivariant solutions that can require 2D numerical integration. Novel pre-integration and dynamic tabular methods have been developed that substantially increase the speed of these advanced WF solutions. The practical utility of advanced SIF methods, including both WF and direct numerical methods, is greatly enhanced if the FM life analysis can be directly and efficiently linked with digital models of the actual structure or component (e.g., FE models for stress analysis). Two recent advances of this type will be described. One approach directly interfaces the FM life analysis with the FE model of the uncracked component (including stress results). Through a powerful graphical user interface, simplified FM life models can be constructed (and visualized) directly on the component model, with the computer collecting the geometry and stress gradient information needed for the life calculation. An even more powerful paradigm uses expert logic to automatically build an optimum simple fracture model at any and every desired location in the component model, perform the life calculation, and even generate fatigue crack growth life contour maps, all with minimal user intervention. This paradigm has also been extended to the automatic calculation of fracture risk, considering uncertainty or variability in key input parameters such as initial crack size or location. Another new integrated approach links the engineering life analysis, the component model, and a 3D numerical fracture analysis built with the same component model to generate a table of SIF values at a specific location that can then be employed efficiently to perform the life calculation. Some attention must be given to verification and validation (V&V) issues and challenges: how good are these SIF solutions, how good is good enough, and does anyone believe the life answer? It is important to think critically about the different sources of error or uncertainty and to perform V&V in a hierarchal, building-block manner. Some accuracy issues for SIF solutions, for example, may actually involve independent material behavior issues, such as constraint loss effects for crack fronts near component surfaces, and can be a source of confusion. Recommendations are proposed for improved V&V approaches. This presentation will briefly but critically survey the range of issues and advances mentioned above, with a particular view towards assembling an integrated approach that combines different methods to create practical tools for real-world design and analysis problems. Examples will be selectively drawn from the recent literature, from recent enhancements in the NASGRO and DARWIN computer codes, and from previously unpublished research

CraigMcClung, R.↗

Advances in fluid dynamics

Various papers on advances in fluid dynamics are presented. Individual topics addressed include: nonunique solutions of the Euler equations; numerical solution of the biharmonic equation using a spectral multigrid method; finite-volume shape and placement for efficiency, accuracy, and physics; NND schemes and their application to numerical simulation of complex plume flow problems; symbolic analysis and computational algorithm construction; and velocity and mass flux distribution measurements of spherical glass beads in air flow in a 90-deg vertical-to-horizontal bend. Also discussed are: hyperbolic solution adaptive mesh generation; progress and future directions in CFD; numerical simulation of shock focusing; microbubble formation and splitting in a turbulent boundary layer for turbulence reduction; numerical study of spherical Taylor-Couette flow, trajectories of vortex lines beneath a free surface or above a plane; and a mathematical model for response of the coronary circulation to high sustained gravitational force fields.

Ballhaus, W. F., Jr.↗

Mechanical Testing of IN718 Lattice Block Structures

Lattice block construction produces a flat, structurally rigid panel composed of thin ligaments of material arranged in a three-dimensional triangulated truss-like structure. Low-cost methods of producing cast metallic lattice block panels are now available that greatly expand opportunities for using this unique material system in today's high-performance structures. Additional advances are being made in NASA's Ultra Efficient Engine Technology (UEET) program to extend the lattice block concept to superalloy materials. Advantages offered by this combination include high strength, light weight, high stiffness, and elevated temperature capabilities. Recently under UEET, the nickel-based superalloy Inconel 718 (IN718) was investment cast into lattice block panels with great success. To evaluate casting quality and lattice block architecture merit, individual ligaments, and structural subelement specimens were extracted from the panels. Tensile tests, structural compression, and bending strength tests were performed on these specimens. Fatigue testing was also completed for several bend test specimens. This paper first presents metallurgical and optical microscopy analysis of the castings. This is followed by mechanical test results for the tensile ligament tests and the subelement compression and bending strength tests, as well as for the fatigue tests that were performed. These tests generally showed comparable properties to base IN718 with the same heat treatment, and they underscored the benefits offered by lattice block materials. These benefits might be extended with improved architecture such as face sheets.

Krause, David L.↗

Blue Rock CropSpanPV - Low Cost Racking for Agricultural Solar Photovoltaics

In this work, a total of four solar panel layouts, applied to Agrivoltaics, are investigated. This study presents two hypotheses: 1. Prefabrication - Lower total cost can be achieved by constructing a pre-assembled, pre-wired solar array in a factory, with automation, then rapidly deploying it in the field. 2. Tension Structures - Using tension structures in a way to suspend an overhead solar array also reduces costs when compared to conventional support methods. Designs are presented for frames to hold the panels. Configurations are advanced to connect the frames into arrays. Supports and foundations to hold the arrays in the desired layout are calculated, selected and presented. Cost models are prepared for the four layouts, which include definition of the business enterprise, the manufacturing operation, and the required facility for production at scale. Cost models include, detail material and task/labor take-offs for both manufacturing and installation. Comparisons with conventional system adapted to Agrivoltaics reveal that the two hypotheses do not hold true. A prefabricated array requires additional material that is not needed in the base system and the cost of this additional material is not outweighed by the cost savings of reduced field installation. The cost of wire rope for a tension structure does result in an economy of material, however, the cost of end connections and tensioning devices adds significantly to the cost of the overall tension structure. Foundation loads with tension structures, especially the large wind uplift seen with a fixed tilt solar array, impose significant constraints and high costs. The following conclusions are recommended for further consideration: 1. Best Case Agrivoltaic Configuration - The best value/lowest cost configuration for agrivoltaics is the installation of solar panels mounted on a single axis tracker in either a 2-in-portrait or 2-in landscape arrangement. This is useful for grazing lands and for staple crops which require high light levels. These applications represent the vast majority of the potential agrivoltaic market. Important elements in this configuration are the specific geometric layout coordinated with the various field operations and a control system linked between the farm equipment and single axis tracker. The control system is to monitor location and orientation, then actively tilt the solar panels or brake the field equipment to provide clearance and avoid collisions. 2. Long Span Applications - The use of tension structures for an overhead fixed tilt array is beneficial where long spans are a necessity, especially where the base support in the project location has consolidated rock near the surface or some other solid structure. One application is spanning wide irrigation canals. Another may be as an installation at the top deck of parking structures. 3. Direct Ground Mount Configuration – Having skids at the base of a pre-fabricated array that extend when the array is deployed, could be a successful design. This could be a useful strategy for dense, flat, ground-mount configurations like that employed by a couple of successful commercial operations (5G Maverick and Erthos). Arrays would be orientated north and south, deployed very low on prepared grade. Arrays would be aligned closely next to each other and anchored with small ground screws or simply with ballast. This same product arrangement could be very useful for rapid deployment and set-up of solar arrays for temporary deployments, disaster response and the military operations

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Aerodynamic Shape Sensitivity Analysis and Design Optimization of Complex Configurations Using Unstructured Grids

A three-dimensional unstructured grid approach to aerodynamic shape sensitivity analysis and design optimization has been developed and is extended to model geometrically complex configurations. The advantage of unstructured grids (when compared with a structured-grid approach) is their inherent ability to discretize irregularly shaped domains with greater efficiency and less effort. Hence, this approach is ideally suited for geometrically complex configurations of practical interest. In this work the nonlinear Euler equations are solved using an upwind, cell-centered, finite-volume scheme. The discrete, linearized systems which result from this scheme are solved iteratively by a preconditioned conjugate-gradient-like algorithm known as GMRES for the two-dimensional geometry and a Gauss-Seidel algorithm for the three-dimensional; similar procedures are used to solve the accompanying linear aerodynamic sensitivity equations in incremental iterative form. As shown, this particular form of the sensitivity equation makes large-scale gradient-based aerodynamic optimization possible by taking advantage of memory efficient methods to construct exact Jacobian matrix-vector products. Simple parameterization techniques are utilized for demonstrative purposes. Once the surface has been deformed, the unstructured grid is adapted by considering the mesh as a system of interconnected springs. Grid sensitivities are obtained by differentiating the surface parameterization and the grid adaptation algorithms with ADIFOR (which is an advanced automatic-differentiation software tool). To demonstrate the ability of this procedure to analyze and design complex configurations of practical interest, the sensitivity analysis and shape optimization has been performed for a two-dimensional high-lift multielement airfoil and for a three-dimensional Boeing 747-200 aircraft.

Taylor, Arthur C., III↗

Setting the Bar for the Replacement of the Probability of Collision Metric

To date, satellite conjunction assessment (CA) risk analysis has largely embraced the probability of collision (Pc) as the omnibus metric to evaluate collision likelihood, and its use in such assessments has mostly been straightforward: at the point at which a conjunction mitigation decision is required, the calculated Pc is compared to a threshold; and if the calculated Pc exceeds that threshold, then a mitigation action is warranted. With only minor variation, this approach is employed by major CA risk assessment centers (e.g., NASA, EUSST, CNES, JAXA) and is advanced as the preferred method in the published CA best practices handbooks. Despite this near unanimity of operational practice, there is a major strain of secondary literature critical of the Pc and willing to propose alternatives. Alfano (2005) pointed out the ability of the Pc to underrepresent the risk in certain situations and counselled a maximum Pc construct. Carpenter (2017, 2019) reiterated this criticism and proposed using instead a confidence interval on the miss distance. Balch et al. (2019) identified what they argued was a defect in the entire Bayesian Pc construct and believed that the use of a more conservative methodology based on covariance ellipsoid overlap was necessary. Delande (2022) introduced the framework of collision “plausibility” to the risk assessment process and sketched out how this might be used operationally. Elkantassi (2022) published a full development of the miss distance confidence interval approach and applied it to several worked examples. While these different approaches to collision risk assessment do differ in their details, they all converge on two central points: first, the Pc’s failure to give an adequate expression of the risk in dilution region situations is a fatal flaw; and second, a conjunction should be presumed risky and in need of mitigation until the evidence of the situation can establish otherwise. These criticisms, if correct, would counsel a number of modifications to current CA operational practice; as such, they force a re-examination of fundamental aspects of the CA problem, including the following: 1. Is the CA risk assessment a probability problem, a statistics problem, or something else? 2. If it is a statistics problem, does it lend itself naturally to a hypothesis test construction? 3. If it can be construed as a hypothesis test, what form should the null hypothesis take, to wit: what constraints exist on the choice of the null hypothesis, what selections are in best alignment with all of the attendant parameters of the problem, and what is implied philosophically by different choices? 4. What are the implications of using the different proposed risk assessment parameters for CA? This question should be answered both in determining how frequently the dilution region situation cited by the critics of the Pc actually appears in an operationally significant manner and the missed detection and false alarm rates of all of the proposed risk assessment metrics, compared both to the Pc and to each other. This paper explores and offers preliminary answers to the above questions, presenting a researched treatment of the philosophical nature of the CA problem and the null hypothesis choice that achieves the greatest consistency with all of the different aspects of operational CA conduct. It then profiles all of the different proposed risk assessment metrics enumerated in the earlier paragraph against an extremely large database of conjunction events at both the 550km and 700km altitudes. The combination of the philosophical exploration of the CA problem and the results of the profiling activity articulates what a risk assessment metric will need to demonstrate, in terms of both innate construction and performance, in order to be a true competitor to the Pc.

conjunction assessment↗

pystorms: A simulation sandbox for the development and evaluation of stormwater control algorithms

Advances in cyber–physical technologies have enabled real-time sensing and adaptive control of stormwater infrastructure. These smart stormwater systems allow for inexpensive, minimally-invasive stormwater control interventions in lieu of new construction. Importantly, however promising the area of smart stormwater control, there still remain barriers – for experts and novices alike – to access shared tools and methods for investigating, developing, and contributing to it. In an effort to make smart stormwater control research more methodical and accessible, we present pystorms, an open-source Python-based simulation sandbox that facilitates the quantitative evaluation and comparison of control strategies. pystorms consists of a collection of real world-inspired smart stormwater control scenarios on which any number of control strategies can be applied and tested via an accompanying Python programming interface and coupled stormwater simulator. pystorms provides a framework for the rigorous and efficient evaluation of smart stormwater control methodologies across diverse watersheds with only a few lines of code.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Development of Polycrystalline Photoelectrodes with Optimum Compositions and Morphologies for Solar Fuel Production via Electrochemical Synthesis (Final Technical Report)

Photoelectrochemical cells (PECs) can utilize solar energy for water splitting to produce H 2 as a clean fuel. The most critical components of a water-splitting PEC are semiconductor electrodes (photoelectrodes) that absorb solar energy to generate photoexcited charge carriers and transport them to the electrode/electrolyte interface for water reduction and oxidation reactions. While efficient PEC hydrogen production has been successfully demonstrated on the laboratory scale, the commercial viability of PECs depends critically on the cost of H 2 produced by the PECs, which is affected by the cost of PEC construction. Therefore, identifying promising inexpensive semiconductor electrodes is important. The goal of this project was to bring an advancement in the synthesis and understanding of inexpensive polycrystalline photoelectrodes based on oxides. Oxide-based semiconductors are inexpensive, easy to fabricate, and relatively more stable in aqueous media compared to other types of semiconductors. This project developed new electrodeposition methods to produce a variety of oxide-based semiconductor electrodes with precisely controlled compositions and morphologies to enhance photon absorption, electron-hole separation, and the use of electrons and holes for desired chemical reactions. The resulting high-quality photoelectrodes were investigated to establish the structure-composition-morphology-photoelectrochemical property relationships to identify the advantages and limitations of each oxide semiconductor system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗