Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Trade Study”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 217 records · Page 12

Computational investigation of the impact of metal–organic framework topology on hydrogen storage capacity

Metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) are promising, tunable materials for hydrogen storage. For application under cryogenic operating conditions, past work has run into a ceiling on performance due to a trade-off in the volumetric deliverable capacity (VDC) versus the gravimetric deliverable capacity (GDC). In this study, we computationally constructed and screened 105 230 MOF structures based on 529 nets to explore the effect of underlying topology on the hydrogen storage performance of the resulting materials. A machine learning model was developed based on simulated hydrogen uptake to facilitate screening of the entire dataset, and it successfully identified the top 10% of materials with a root-mean-square error of approximately 1 g L −1 as validated by subsequent grand canonical Monte Carlo simulations. We identified a promising structure based on the tsx topology that exhibits both VDC and GDC higher than the current benchmark material, MOF-5. Our data-driven analysis indicates that nets with higher net density yield MOFs with enhanced volumetric and gravimetric surface areas, thereby improving maximum VDC while shifting the capacity trade-off toward higher GDC.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Performance trade-offs in reconfigurable networks for HPC

Designing efficient interconnects to support high-bandwidth and low-latency communication is critical toward realizing high performance computing (HPC) and data center (DC) systems in the exascale era. At extreme computing scales, providing the requisite bandwidth through overprovisioning becomes impractical. These challenges have motivated studies exploring reconfigurable network architectures that can adapt to traffic patterns at runtime using optical circuit switching. Despite the plethora of proposed architectures, surprisingly little is known about the relative performances and trade-offs among different reconfigurable network designs. We aim to bridge this gap by tackling two key issues in reconfigurable network design. First, we study how cost, power consumption, network performance, and scalability vary based on optical circuit switch (OCS) placement in the physical topology. Specifically, we consider two classes of reconfigurable architectures: one that places OCSs between top-of-rack (ToR) switches—ToR-reconfigurable networks (TRNs)—and one that places OCSs between pods of racks—pod-reconfigurable networks (PRNs). Second, we tackle the effects of reconfiguration frequency on network performance. Our results, based on network simulations driven by real HPC and DC workloads, show that while TRNs are optimized for low fan-out communication patterns, they are less suited for carrying high fan-out workloads. PRNs exhibit better overall trade-off, capable of performing comparably to a fully non-blocking fat tree for low fan-out workloads, and significantly outperform TRNs for high fan-out communication patterns.

Teh, Min Yee↗

Environmental and socio-economic Pareto-front trade-off analysis of U.S. PET packaging material in a circular economy

Various recycling technologies are emerging to implement circular economy in plasticssupply chain systems. However, the environmental and socio-economic trade-offs of in circular economy are not well understood at a systems level. Particularly, quantifying these trade-offs as a function of end-of-life (EOL) management decisions, including transition of recycling technologies, systems level metrics such as circularity, recycled content, and the need for fossil-derived plastics are not well understood. Here, the present study addressed these research gaps by applying a systems analysis modeling approach that utilizes material flow analysis, life cycle assessment, socioeconomic data, and system optimization techniques for polyethylene terephthalate (PET) packaging supply chains in the United States. Pareto-front trade-offs between conflicting environmental and socio-economic impacts as well as those between socioeconomic impacts and circularity were explored using the epsilon constraint method. The Pareto-front trade-off analysis revealed the transition of EOL management strategies for PET packaging systems, including changes in selection of recycling technologies, to aid decision making process by quantifying studied system metrics. Transitioning from environmentally optimal to socio-economically optimal systems led to increased employment (by 17%), wages (by 26%), and revenues (by 6%) but also led to increased global warming potential (GWP; by 65%), energy consumption (by 59%), and reliance on fossil PET in the system (by 78%). Finally, the results show that there is not a unique set of recycling technologies to achieve a sustainable circular economy of PET packaging system, instead it depends on the decision maker’s objectives and targeted metrics of the system.

54 - ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES/GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ↗

Assessment of software methods for estimating protein-protein relative binding affinities

A growing number of computational tools have been developed to accurately and rapidly predict the impact of amino acid mutations on protein-protein relative binding affinities. Such tools have many applications, for example, designing new drugs and studying evolutionary mechanisms. In the search for accuracy, many of these methods employ expensive yet rigorous molecular dynamics simulations. By contrast, non-rigorous methods use less exhaustive statistical mechanics, allowing for more efficient calculations. However, it is unclear if such methods retain enough accuracy to replace rigorous methods in binding affinity calculations. This trade-off between accuracy and computational expense makes it difficult to determine the best method for a particular system or study. Here, eight non-rigorous computational methods were assessed using eight antibody-antigen and eight non-antibody-antigen complexes for their ability to accurately predict relative binding affinities (ΔΔG) for 654 single mutations. In addition to assessing accuracy, we analyzed the CPU cost and performance for each method using a variety of physico-chemical structural features. This allowed us to posit scenarios in which each method may be best utilized. Most methods performed worse when applied to antibody-antigen complexes compared to non-antibody-antigen complexes. Rosetta-based JayZ and EasyE methods classified mutations as destabilizing (ΔΔG < -0.5 kcal/mol) with high (83–98%) accuracy and a relatively low computational cost for non-antibody-antigen complexes. Some of the most accurate results for antibody-antigen systems came from combining molecular dynamics with FoldX with a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.46, but this was also the most computationally expensive method. Overall, our results suggest these methods can be used to quickly and accurately predict stabilizing versus destabilizing mutations but are less accurate at predicting actual binding affinities. This study highlights the need for continued development of reliable, accessible, and reproducible methods for predicting binding affinities in antibody-antigen proteins and provides a recipe for using current methods.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Resilience-Oriented DG Siting and Sizing Considering Stochastic Scenario Reduction

In this paper, a fuel-based distributed generator (DG) allocation strategy is proposed to enhance the distribution system resilience against extreme weather. The long-term planning problem is formulated as a two-stage stochastic mixed-integer programming (SMIP). The first stage is to make decisions of DG siting and sizing under the given budget constraint. In the second stage, a post-extreme-event-restoration (PEER) is employed to minimize the operating cost in an uncertain fault scenario. In particular, this study proposes a method to select the most representative scenarios for the SMIP. First, a Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) is introduced to generate sufficient scenarios considering random fault locations and load profiles. Then, the number of scenarios is reduced by the K-means clustering algorithm. The advantage of scenario reduction is to make a trade-off between accuracy and computational efficiency. Finally, the SMIP is solved by the progressive hedging algorithm. Here, the case studies of the IEEE 33-bus and 123-bus test systems demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in reducing the expected energy not served (EENS), which is a critical criterion of resilience.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Tuning gas separation performance of polyimide membranes with macrocyclic crown ether units

Membrane-based gas separation is an energy-efficient alternative to conventional thermally-driven separation processes. However, polymer membranes face the permeability-selectivity trade-off challenge, which stems from the broad size distribution of free volume voids. Here, this study reports a molecular design strategy to address this challenge through incorporating macrocyclic crown ether (CE) moieties into the backbone of Matrimid® polyimide, a commercial gas separation membrane. A series of CE-containing Matrimid®-like copolyimides were synthesized with systematically varied CE molar contents ranging from 3 to 20%. These copolyimides formed ductile, defect-free thin films suitable for membrane fabrication. Gas permeation tests revealed a non-monotonic relationship between permeability/selectivity and CE content. Notably, the copolyimide with only 5% CE demonstrated a 61% increase in CO 2 /CH 4 selectivity and a 13% increase in CO 2 permeability relative to pristine Matrimid®. Higher CE contents did not yield further performance improvements, which is likely due to the competing effects of chain packing disruption and π–π interactions among CE moieties at high content. This hypothesis was supported by wide-angle X-ray scattering (WAXS) analysis, density measurements, and fractional free volume calculations. These findings highlight the potential of macrocyclic crown ether incorporation strategies in fine tuning the microstructure of commercial polyimide gas separation membranes to surpass the traditional permeability-selectivity trade-off.

CO2 separation↗

Multimodel validation of single wakes in neutral and stratified atmospheric conditions

Previous research has revealed the need for a validation study that considers several wake quantities and code types so that decisions on the trade-off between accuracy and computational cost can be well informed and appropriate to the intended application. In addition to guiding code choice and setup, rigorous model validation exercises are needed to identify weaknesses and strengths of specific models and guide future improvements. Here, we consider 13 approaches to simulating wakes observed with a nacelle-mounted lidar at the Scaled Wind Technology Facility (SWiFT) under varying atmospheric conditions. We find that some of the main challenges in wind turbine wake modeling are related to simulating the inflow. In the neutral benchmark, model performance tracked as expected with model fidelity, with large-eddy simulations performing the best. In the more challenging stable case, steady-state Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes simulations were found to outperform other model alternatives because they provide the ability to more easily prescribe noncanonical inflows and their low cost allows for simulations to be repeated as needed. Dynamic measurements were only available for the unstable benchmark at a single downstream distance. These dynamic analyses revealed that differences in the performance of time-stepping models come largely from differences in wake meandering. This highlights the need for more validation exercises that take into account wake dynamics and are able to identify where these differences come from: mesh setup, inflow, turbulence models, or wake-meandering parameterizations. In addition to model validation findings, we summarize lessons learned and provide recommendations for future benchmark exercises.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Ultrafast and selective gas transport through highly ordered black phosphorene nanochannels

Two-dimensional (2D) materials bring a great opportunity to fabricate molecular sieving membranes that can potentially break the permeability-selectivity trade-off. Although 2D laminar membranes with interlayer nanochannels as molecular sieving channel were widely studied, for most of reported 2D laminar membranes, it is of a great challenge to fabricate highly ordered interlayer nanochannels for mass transport. Herein, we report a novel kind of black phosphorene membrane which is made from the stacking of highly ordered 2D black phosphorene nanoflakes. The as prepared black phosphorene membrane shows H 2 permeance > 1000 GPU and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity > 100 for H 2 /CO 2 mixed gas, demonstrating an extremely high gas separation performance. The DFT calculation results demonstrate that the interlayer galleries in the black phosphorene membrane allow the H 2 passing through easily while block the other gases with bigger kinetic diameters, matching well with the experimental findings. In conclusion, the present results indicate that the interlayer galleries in the black phosphorene membrane can be applied as molecular sieving channels for gas separation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of Module Configuration on Lithium-Ion Battery Performance and Degradation: Part I. Energy Throughput, Voltage Spread, and Current Distribution

Batteries are commonly connected in series and parallel to create modules that fulfill the power and energy requirements of specific applications. However, conclusions about battery performance and degradation under different conditions, as well as predictive models, are often derived from single cell cycling results. In this study, we evaluate the performance of six different series-parallel configurations of commercial lithium nickel manganese cobalt cells over hundreds of cycles. Each cell within the modules was individually instrumented for voltage, current, and temperature monitoring. We quantified the impact of module configuration on overall energy throughput, the voltage spread among series-connected cells, and the current heterogeneity in parallel-connected cells. This module cycling study, one of the broadest reported to date, supports systematic evaluation of the performance trade-offs, pack penalty, and safety implications of different module configurations.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Methods and Comparisons Between Computer Vision and Radar Based Vehicle Location

Measuring vehicle locations relative to a driver's vehicle is a critical component in the analysis of driving data from both postanalysis (such as in naturalistic driving studies) or in autonomous vehicle navigation. In this work we describe a method to estimate vehicle positions from a forward-looking video camera using intrinsic camera calibration, estimates of extrinsic parameters, and a convolutional neural network trained to detect and locate vehicles in video data. We compare the measurements we achieve with this method with ground truth and with radar data available from a naturalistic driving study. We identify regions where video is preferred, where radar is preferred, and explore trade-offs between the two methods in regions where the preference is more ambiguous. We describe applications of these measurements for transportation analysis.

Aykac, Deniz↗

Industrial Load Flexibility, the U.S. Power Grid and Ammonia

A variable renewable power grid is a new technological regime that involves real time harvesting and low-cost availability of energy resources coupled with storage to meet additional needs. Decarbonization through electrification of end uses formerly met by combustion processes will be a concurrent trend. Taken together, these two changes may make flexibility on the demand side more valuable to the grid and to industrial users. Industry accounted for 26% of US power demand in 2021. Traditionally, industrial processes for producing ammonia and other basic materials have been optimized for a system based on fossil resources, where energy can be called upon according to needs. Large capital expenditures as well as safety considerations have favored plants running at steady state at close to their maximum capacity. It is possible, however, that the renewable energy transition will offer opportunities to sectors that can operate in a more flexible manner. Innovations that make use of flexibility to enhance their business model to move forward, individuals and groups active in their development, use and regulation, together with institutions and infrastructures, can be considered as a technological innovation system (TIS). Beyond economic and technical factors on their own, the TIS is an important analysis framework for studying the development and diffusion of technologies. This work attempts to map the TIS of flexible industrial loads and their interaction with electric power in the US, with a particular focus on ammonia as a case study. We have conducted interviews with stakeholders involved in ammonia projects, working in system operators, trade groups, regulators and utilities. We assess to what extent a technological innovation system is functioning and document characteristics that allow industries to operate flexibly.

ammonia↗

Decision Points and Practical Considerations for AI Projects

In this presentation, I will present business-relevant decisions, risks, and considerations for practical implementations of AI projects. I will use energy efficiency and renewable energy AI projects at NREL as examples and case-studies highlighting the journey from concept to implementation. First, I present challenges, questions, and trade-offs related to system inputs: the data. Next, I will examine issues with system behavior and trust, presenting examples, risks, and mitigation strategies. Finally, I will discuss challenges to effective widespread deployment of AI systems including energy, compute, and time requirements.

AI↗

ASEAN Technical Exchange Workshop for System Operators, Regulators, and Policymakers

This presentation provides an in-depth exploration of power system planning, cross-border electricity trading, and battery energy storage systems (BESS), offering actionable insights for system operators, regulators, and policymakers. The first section delves into power system planning and analysis, focusing on capacity expansion models and resource adequacy studies, including their role in optimizing system efficiency, managing emissions, and addressing system reliability risks. Key considerations, such as integration of transmission into generation planning and the forecasting versus optimization of customer distributed energy resources (DER) technologies, are explored. The session highlights critical trade-offs in spatial granularity and model runtimes, as well as the feasibility of aligning distribution investments with capacity expansion efforts. The second section examines cross-border electricity trading, with an emphasis on resource adequacy concepts such as reliability targets, loss of load expectation (LOLE), and planning reserve margins (PRM). Case studies on reserve market design and coordination across US regions provide insights into improving reserve deliverability and managing interregional power balance and congestion. This section also addresses market-to-market congestion management, including advanced strategies for high-voltage direct current (HVDC) optimization and ancillary service delivery. Finally, the presentation covers the rapid evolution of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), highlighting their operational growth, regulatory frameworks, and use cases in grid flexibility, energy storage, and reliability. The discussion focuses on the benefits of BESS for system stability, resilience, and integration of renewable energy, offering insights into its role as a vital component in the transition toward a more sustainable and flexible grid. Key performance parameters, such as throughput, round-trip efficiency, and state of charge, are also examined.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Traceable and Scalable Food Balance Sheets from Agricultural Commodity Supply and Utilization Accounts (2010–2022)

Abstract The Food Balance Sheets (FBS), compiled by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), serve as a cornerstone dataset for studies on agricultural development, food security, and dietary health, providing a broad overview of global and regional food systems. However, its limited transparency and scalability hinder its application in empirical analysis and multisector dynamic modeling. Here, we present a traceable Food Balance Sheets (T-FBS) dataset, developed from detailed Supply Utilization Accounts (SUA) using a novel Primary Commodity equivalent (PCe) aggregation approach. This framework enables the aggregation of commodity flows along supply chains while ensuring consistency and balance across multiple dimensions. The T-FBS dataset includes 57 PCe commodities across 195 regions for the period 2010–2022, consolidated from over 500 SUA products. While T-FBS closely aligns with FAO-FBS at aggregate levels for dietary energy and macronutrients, it identifies key uncertainties in other elements (e.g., feed, trade, stocks). By enhancing methodological transparency, traceability, and scalability, T-FBS strengthens the robustness of food system studies and fosters future research and collaboration within the open-source community.

agriculture↗

United States plastics: Large flows, short lifetimes, and negligible recycling

Given increasing concerns for the marine environment and human health, as well as trade restrictions from Asian countries, plastics have become a great challenge for the United States. This study addresses the seven commonly used plastics: low-density polyethylene/linear low-density polyethylene, high-density polyethylene, polyethylene terephthalate (PET), polypropylene, polystyrene, polyvinyl chloride, and other plastics. Material flows of the seven polymers were tracked from production into fabrication, manufacturing, flow into use, waste management, and recycling in the United States in 2015. Low- and high-density polyethylene and polypropylene were found to be the largest in both production and product manufacture. More than 88% of the plastics went into three end-use sectors: Packaging, Consumer and Institutional Products, and Building and Construction. In-use lifetimes across the plastics are generally short. Virgin plastics were mainly exported, while intermediate plastic products were largely imported. The actual end-of-life recycling rate of the plastics as a group was no more than 6.2%, with PET and the polyethylene family the most recycled. Here, the high yearly plastic throughput and low recycling rate pose a serious challenge to the sustainability goals of the United States and is in stark contrast to the vision of a circular economy of plastics.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Investigation of the Performance and Explainability Tradeoffs for Machine-Learning Models for Predictive Maintenance of Circulating Water Systems in Nuclear Power Plants

Predictive maintenance (PdM) has shown great potential for achieving substantial cost savings and enhancing the economic competitiveness of nuclear power plants (NPPs) in today's energy market. Among the different modeling approaches that exist, machine learning (ML) tools in particular have a demonstrated ability to handle high dimensional and multivariate data and to extract hidden relationships within data in industrial environments. While ML methods show great potential, their lack of explainability---especially for black-box models---is a major hurdle to their adoption. Moreover, considering the supposed trade-off between explainability and performance challenges, careful consideration must be made as to which of these quality aspects takes precedence in light of multiple modeling options, resource availability, and domain characteristics. The present work evaluates the performance of six ML models, each with a different degree of explainability, in classifying the conditions of circulating water pumps (CWPs) by utilizing sensor data from nuclear power plants. To determine the drivers behind the trade-offs presented by this array of models, this work also tests different combinations of CWP units as the training and testing data, degrees of data imbalance, and objective functions for hyperparameter tuning. It was found that black-box models tend to afford superior performance in cases where there are far more instances of one type of labeled data than of any other type. It is recommended that a guided procedure be followed for designing and delivering an ML system that is sufficiently explainable to all involved stakeholders.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A comprehensive academic and industrial survey of blockchain technology for the energy sector using fuzzy Einstein decision-making

The global energy sector is undergoing a significant transformation driven by decarbonization and digitalization, leading to the emergence of Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) — particularly blockchain — as a promising tool for enhancing transparency, security, and efficiency in modern power systems. This study aims to provide a comprehensive academic and industrial survey of blockchain applications in the energy sector and develop a robust decision-making framework to identify and prioritize the most promising real-world use cases based on multidisciplinary criteria. A three-stage methodology was adopted: (i) a literature and market review encompassing over 300 academic publications and commercial blockchain initiatives in energy, (ii) an in-depth evaluation of the evolution and viability of blockchain initiatives in energy with the help of expert surveys, and (iii) a novel decision-making model using a q-rung orthopair fuzzy Multi-Attributive Border Approximation (q-ROF-MABAC) method under the Einstein operator. The results were compared with existing decision models to validate consistency and robustness. Nine key blockchain use case categories were identified and ranked based on technical, economic, and governance dimensions. The results demonstrated that integrating expert insights into a fuzzy logic framework helps filter out overhyped claims in the literature and prioritize realistic and high-impact applications such as green certificates, grid services, and peer-to-peer energy trading. The model’s rankings remained stable across varying weight configurations, confirming the robustness of the methodology. This study provides an evidence-based decision-support tool for researchers, industry stakeholders, and policymakers to better understand, evaluate, and adopt blockchain technologies in the energy sector.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗