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At least 217 records · Page 12

GCM Simulations of Cirrus Clouds and Cloud Feedbacks

Cirrus clouds are a particularly uncertain component of general circulation model (GCM simulations of long-term climate change for a variety of reasons: (1) They encompass a wide range of optical thicknesses and altitudes, from thin tropopause cirrus to thick anvil cirrus that descend to the freezing level, and thus can exert both positive and negative forcing and feedback on the climate; (2) The dynamical processes that create them are poorly resolved in climate GCMs and different in the tropics and midlatitudes; (3) Predictions of their formation and microphysical properties depend on the accuracy of dynamical transports of small concentrations of water vapor to and within the upper troposphere; (4) The relative humidity conditions at which they form depends on the nature and concentration of nucleating particles and is poorly understood; (5) They are more difficult to observe than other cloud types, and hence their parameterization is more loosely constrained by available data. We will illustrate the potential sensitivity of the perturbed climate to uncertainties in cirrus cloud formulation. We will also examine the processes that form cirrus in climate models and discuss the accuracy with which climate GCMs represent these processes. We will also discuss ways in which GCM grid-scale parameterizations might be derived from cloud-scale observations. Finally, we will emphasize the types of global observations needed to constrain parameterizations of cirrus in climate GCMs.

DelGenio, Anthony D.↗

Technology Assessment in Support of the Presidential Vision for Space Exploration

This paper discusses the process and results of technology assessment in support of the United States Vision for Space Exploration of the Moon, Mars and Beyond. The paper begins by reviewing the Presidential Vision: a major endeavor in building systems of systems. It discusses why we wish to return to the Moon, and the exploration architecture for getting there safely, sustaining a presence, and safely returning. Next, a methodology for optimal technology investment is proposed with discussion of inputs including a capability hierarchy, mission importance weightings, available resource profiles as a function of time, likelihoods of development success, and an objective function. A temporal optimization formulation is offered, and the investment recommendations presented along with sensitivity analyses. Key questions addressed are sensitivity of budget allocations to cost uncertainties, reduction in available budget levels, and shifting funding within constraints imposed by mission timeline.

technology↗

Astrophysics to z approx. 10 with Gravitational Waves

The most useful characterization of a gravitational wave detector's performance is the accuracy with which astrophysical parameters of potential gravitational wave sources can be estimated. One of the most important source types for the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is inspiraling binaries of black holes. LISA can measure mass and spin to better than 1% for a wide range of masses, even out to high redshifts. The most difficult parameter to estimate accurately is almost always luminosity distance. Nonetheless, LISA can measure luminosity distance of intermediate-mass black hole binary systems (total mass approx.10(exp 4) solar mass) out to z approx.10 with distance accuracies approaching 25% in many cases. With this performance, LISA will be able to follow the merger history of black holes from the earliest mergers of proto-galaxies to the present. LISA's performance as a function of mass from 1 to 10(exp 7) solar mass and of redshift out to z approx. 30 will be described. The re-formulation of LISA's science requirements based on an instrument sensitivity model and parameter estimation will be described.

Stebbins, Robin↗

A duality-based coupling of Cosserat crystal plasticity and phase field theories for modeling grain refinement

High-rate deformation processes of metals entail intense grain refinement and special attention needs to be paid to capture the evolution of microstructure. In this article, a new formulation for coupling Cosserat crystal plasticity and phase field is developed. A common approach is to penalize kinematic incompatibility between lattice orientation and displacement-based elastic rotation. However, this can lead to significant solution sensitivity to the penalty parameter, resulting in low accuracy and convergence rates. To address these issues, a duality-based formulation is developed which directly imposes the rotational kinematic compatibility. A weak inf-sup-based skew-symmetric stress projection is introduced to suppress instabilities present in the dual formulation. An additional least squares stabilization is introduced to suppress the spurious lattice rotation with a suitable parameter range derived analytically and validated numerically. The required high-order continuity is attained by the reproducing kernel approximation. It is observed that equal order displacement-rotation-phase field approximations are stable, which allows efficient employment of the same set of shape functions for all independent variables. The proposed formulation is shown to yield superior accuracy and convergence with marginal parameter sensitivity compared to the penalty-based approach and successfully captures the dominant rotational recrystallization mechanism including block dislocation structures and grain boundary migration.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Analytic Sensitivity and Approximation of Skin Buckling Constraints in Wing-Shape Synthesis

Explicit expressions for terms of the stiffness and geometric stiffness matrices are derived for the buckling analysis of trapezoidal fiber composite wing skin panels. The formulation is based on Ritz analysis using simple polynomials, and leads to explicit expressions for the analytic sensitivities of the stiffness and geometric stiffness matrices with respect to layer thickness, fiber directions, and panel shape. Integration with wing box analysis using either the equivalent plate approach or the finite element method, makes it possible to obtain sensitivities of panel buckling constraints with respect to wing planform shape or locations of internal ribs and spars. The analytic sensitivities are used to construct approximations of panel buckling constraints for integrated wing/panel design synthesis.

Livne, Eli↗

Design sensitivity analysis of rotorcraft airframe structures for vibration reduction

Optimization of rotorcraft structures for vibration reduction was studied. The objective of this study is to develop practical computational procedures for structural optimization of airframes subject to steady-state vibration response constraints. One of the key elements of any such computational procedure is design sensitivity analysis. A method for design sensitivity analysis of airframes under vibration response constraints is presented. The mathematical formulation of the method and its implementation as a new solution sequence in MSC/NASTRAN are described. The results of the application of the method to a simple finite element stick model of the AH-1G helicopter airframe are presented and discussed. Selection of design variables that are most likely to bring about changes in the response at specified locations in the airframe is based on consideration of forced response strain energy. Sensitivity coefficients are determined for the selected design variable set. Constraints on the natural frequencies are also included in addition to the constraints on the steady-state response. Sensitivity coefficients for these constraints are determined. Results of the analysis and insights gained in applying the method to the airframe model are discussed. The general nature of future work to be conducted is described.

Murthy, T. Sreekanta↗

Online Model-Free Chance-Constrained Distribution System Voltage Control Using DERs

This paper proposes an online data-driven distributed energy resource management system (DERMS) optimization method using chance-constrained formulation to address distribution system voltage regulation. This is achieved via the local sensitivity factor (LSF)-enabled reformulation of the DER control into a linear programming (LP) problem, which is easy and computationally efficient to solve. The LSF is estimated using online measurements and does not need the assumption of node load information. The latter is usually required for existing optimization-based methods but is difficult to obtain in practice. To mitigate measurement uncertainties, a scenario-based chance-constrained formulation is constructed. Compared with other control methods, the results carried out in a realistic distribution system show that the proposed method can effectively eliminate voltage violation issues.

chance-constrained optimization↗

Online Model-Free Chance-Constrained Distribution System Voltage Control Using DERs: Preprint

This paper proposes an online data-driven distributed energy resource management system (DERMS) optimization method using chance-constrained formulation to address distribution system voltage regulation. This is achieved via the local sensitivity factor (LSF)-enabled reformulation of the DER control into a linear programming (LP) problem, which is easy and computationally efficient to solve. The LSF is estimated using online measurements and does not need the assumption of node load information. The latter is usually required for existing optimization-based methods but is difficult to obtain in practice. To mitigate measurement uncertainties, a scenario-based chance-constrained formulation is constructed. Compared with other control methods, the results carried out in a realistic distribution system show that the proposed method can effectively eliminate voltage violation issues.

chance-constrained optimization↗

An initial investigation into methods of computing transonic aerodynamic sensitivity coefficients

The primary accomplishments of the project are as follows: (1) Using the transonic small perturbation equation as a flowfield model, the project demonstrated that the quasi-analytical method could be used to obtain aerodynamic sensitivity coefficients for airfoils at subsonic, transonic, and supersonic conditions for design variables such as Mach number, airfoil thickness, maximum camber, angle of attack, and location of maximum camber. It was established that the quasi-analytical approach was an accurate method for obtaining aerodynamic sensitivity derivatives for airfoils at transonic conditions and usually more efficient than the finite difference approach. (2) The usage of symbolic manipulation software to determine the appropriate expressions and computer coding associated with the quasi-analytical method for sensitivity derivatives was investigated. Using the three dimensional fully conservative full potential flowfield model, it was determined that symbolic manipulation along with a chain rule approach was extremely useful in developing a combined flowfield and quasi-analytical sensitivity derivative code capable of considering a large number of realistic design variables. (3) Using the three dimensional fully conservative full potential flowfield model, the quasi-analytical method was applied to swept wings (i.e. three dimensional) at transonic flow conditions. (4) The incremental iterative technique has been applied to the three dimensional transonic nonlinear small perturbation flowfield formulation, an equivalent plate deflection model, and the associated aerodynamic and structural discipline sensitivity equations; and coupled aeroelastic results for an aspect ratio three wing in transonic flow have been obtained.

Carlson, Leland A.↗

Effect of PBX prill size on the compressive properties of PBX 9502

Plastic-Bonded Explosive (PBX) prills are agglomerates a few millimeters in diameter composed of High Explosive crystals non-uniformly distributed in and surrounded by a polymer binder. When pressed at elevated temperatures at or above the binder melt temperature the polymer flows to uniformly coat the HE crystals to create a well-consolidated compaction. In reality it does so imperfectly, such that x-ray tomographic scans often look like a collection of prills mashed together. It is speculated that the larger the prill, the more non-uniform the binder distribution, but this has never been proven. Even if that were not so, the larger the prill the farther binder must flow toward the middle to homogenize during pressing. Thus, the degree of homogenization depends in part on prill size. The degree to which binder flows during pressing in turn affects the void distribution within pressed charges, which one suspects will affect shock sensitivity and material strength. In this paper we explore, for ~30 PBX 9502 formulation batches using the same TATB powder lot, how prill size affects the compressive mechanical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Adjoint Sensitivity Computations for an Embedded-Boundary Cartesian Mesh Method and CAD Geometry

Cartesian-mesh methods are perhaps the most promising approach for addressing the issues of flow solution automation for aerodynamic design problems. In these methods, the discretization of the wetted surface is decoupled from that of the volume mesh. This not only enables fast and robust mesh generation for geometry of arbitrary complexity, but also facilitates access to geometry modeling and manipulation using parametric Computer-Aided Design (CAD) tools. Our goal is to combine the automation capabilities of Cartesian methods with an eficient computation of design sensitivities. We address this issue using the adjoint method, where the computational cost of the design sensitivities, or objective function gradients, is esseutially indepeudent of the number of design variables. In previous work, we presented an accurate and efficient algorithm for the solution of the adjoint Euler equations discretized on Cartesian meshes with embedded, cut-cell boundaries. Novel aspects of the algorithm included the computation of surface shape sensitivities for triangulations based on parametric-CAD models and the linearization of the coupling between the surface triangulation and the cut-cells. The objective of the present work is to extend our adjoint formulation to problems involving general shape changes. Central to this development is the computation of volume-mesh sensitivities to obtain a reliable approximation of the objective finction gradient. Motivated by the success of mesh-perturbation schemes commonly used in body-fitted unstructured formulations, we propose an approach based on a local linearization of a mesh-perturbation scheme similar to the spring analogy. This approach circumvents most of the difficulties that arise due to non-smooth changes in the cut-cell layer as the boundary shape evolves and provides a consistent approximation tot he exact gradient of the discretized abjective function. A detailed gradient accurace study is presented to verify our approach. Thereafter, we focus on a shape optimization problem for an Apollo-like reentry capsule. The optimization seeks to enhance the lift-to-drag ratio of the capsule by modifyjing the shape of its heat-shield in conjunction with a center-of-gravity (c.g.) offset. This multipoint and multi-objective optimization problem is used to demonstrate the overall effectiveness of the Cartesian adjoint method for addressing the issues of complex aerodynamic design. This abstract presents only a brief outline of the numerical method and results; full details will be given in the final paper.

Nemec, Marian↗

Unsteady PSP in the NASA Transonic Dynamics Tunnel

For the first time, unsteady pressure sensitive paint (uPSP) has been applied in the NASA Langley Transonic Dynamics Tunnel. Obtaining global surface pressure measurements using the uPSP technique required the development of a new paint formulation for use in the low oxygen heavy gas atmosphere, as well as environmental enclosures to protect sensitive electro-optical components from the high temperature, low pressure environment present during tunnel operation. A high-speed datalink connecting the wind tunnel to Langley’s local high performance compute resource was also established for this test to enable near real time processing of the large datasets that were obtained throughout the campaign. A high-speed lifetime measurement technique was also utilized to yield steady state surface pressures at each condition using the same equipment that was used to provide unsteady measurements. Important metrics such as pressure time histories and power spectral density are compared against traditional unsteady pressure point measurements, and more advanced data products such as dynamic mode decomposition are also explored to provide insight into the underlying flow phenomena.

Daniel T. Reese↗

Large-Eddy Simulation of Laminar-Turbulent Transition in a Swept-Wing Boundary Layer

A continuous adjoint approach for obtaining sensitivity derivatives on unstructured grids is developed and analyzed. The derivation of the costate equations is presented, and a second-order accurate discretization method is described. The relationship between the continuous formulation and a discrete formulation is explored for inviscid, as well as for viscous flow. Several limitations in a strict adherence to the continuous approach are uncovered, and an approach that circumvents these difficulties is presented. The issue of grid sensitivities, which do not arise naturally in the continuous formulation, is investigated and is observed to be of importance when dealing with geometric singularities. A method is described for modifying inviscid and viscous meshes during the design cycle to accommodate changes in the surface shape. The accuracy of the sensitivity derivatives is established by comparing with finite-difference gradients and several design examples are presented.

Huai, X.↗

On the sensitivity of a residual circulation model to differences in input temperature data

The residual mean circulation (RMC) formulation of zonally averaged transport in the middle atmosphere produces a circulation which depends on the distributions of net diabatic heating and temperature. Such circulations are from two temperature data sets, using the same radiative transfer code (Rosenfield et al. 1987). These circulations are then used to transport N2O in a photochemical model. The circulations and the resulting N2O distributions are notably different during the Northern Hemisphere winter, with that based on the NMC temperatures producing too much upward transport in the tropical stratosphere, as judged by comparison with the stratospheric and mesoscale sounder data. The experiment demonstrates that model calculations, in general, and perturbation assessments, in particular, are likely to be quite sensitive to the choice of input temperature data (where this is not computed self-consistently). It also reveals what appears to be a seasonally dependent bias in NMC zonally averaged temperatures with respect to those obtained from the LIMS instrument during 1978/1979.

Guthrie, Paul D.↗

On-line parameter estimation using a high sensitivity estimator

An on-line parameter identification method is presented. The method is based on a recursive formulation of the maximum likelihood method, with a significant modification on the gains of the state estimator. In the conventional maximum likelihood method, the Kalman gains are used in the state estimator. This produces unbiased, minimum variance parameter estimates in the presence of process noise and measurement noise, but it also slows the convergence rate when the identification is done on-line. Here we suggest choosing the gains to maximize a measure of the sensitivities of the state estimates to parameter variations. One such criterion is to minimize the trace of the inverse information matrix. This increases the convergence rate significantly. After one or two time constants, the gains are switched to the Kalman values to assure unbiased, minimum-variance estimates. The state estimate will initially be nonoptimal, and may not be adequate for control purposes. In this case, a parallel Kalman filter which uses the identifier's parameter estimates can be used. This method is applied here for the identification of a simple first-order system, and for the identification of short-period stability derivatives of an F-8 aircraft from simulated data.

Mishne, D.↗

Opportunities for wave energy in bulk power system operations

Wave energy resources have high, yet largely untapped potential as candidate generation technology. In this paper, we perform a data-driven analysis to characterize the impact of wave energy integration on bulk-scale power systems and market operations. Through data-driven sensitivity studies centered on an optimization-based production cost modeling formulation, our work characterizes the inflection point beyond which wave integration starts impacting power system operations, considering present day transmission infrastructure. Furthermore, our analysis also considers the joint effects of wave energy integration and system-wide transmission expansion. Finally, potential resilience scenarios such as wildfire-driven transmission contingencies and heat wave events are investigated, whereby the contributions of grid-integrated wave energy in alleviating the effects of the resilience events are analyzed. As our demonstration test bed, we consider a reduced-order network topology for the U.S. Western Interconnection with wave energy generation integrated at carefully selected sites across the coastal areas of Washington, Oregon, and northern California. Our results indicate that over a representative year of operations, wave energy integration systematically reduces locational marginal prices (LMPs) of energy and price volatility, especially during periods of high wave resource availability (winter months for the U.S. west coast). Average, maximum, and minimum of hourly LMPs over a typical year of operation was reduced by 2.95, 51.28, and 1.13 $\$$/MWh respectively (over a baseline scenario with no wave energy integration), when the selected network model had a total of 5000 MW wave power installed capacity during the representative year of study. The effects of wave energy integration can remain localized with existing transmission infrastructure (identified to be most pronounced in the Pacific Northwest region in the example we studied). However, with concurrent transmission expansion, the impacts of wave energy integration are likely to have a higher geographical spread. Our results also indicate that wave energy may be able to assist power system operations during resilience events such as major transmission contingencies and heat wave events, although such benefits might be dependent on factors such as proximity of affected area to wave resources, availability of adequate resource potential and adequate transmission capacity.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Sensitivity-based voltage constraints for optimal power flow in low-voltage distribution feeders

The optimal power flow (OPF) problem for distribution systems can include network details down to the low-voltage (LV) points of interconnection of individual customers. This paper addresses the implementation of voltage magnitude constraints, and sets forth a practicable approach for capturing the effects on voltage from the switching behavior of loads (e.g., heat pumps, air conditioners, water heaters, or pool pumps) and from the variability of renewable generation (e.g., rooftop solar). The proposed method adjusts the OPF voltage constraints based on forecasts of load and generation upper and lower bounds, in conjunction with sensitivity factors derived from the power flow equations. An illustrative OPF formulation is also provided, which incorporates transformer models that include core loss. We demonstrate that accurate modeling of these LV network components is critical to avoid voltage violations at customer points of interconnection. Furthermore, the ideas are validated through numerical case studies on a realistic distribution feeder.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Resolving the ultracollinear paradox with effective field theory

Naive intuition about scale decoupling breaks down in the presence of fermion masses. Kinematic enhancements can greatly extend the range where one needs to keep a finite mass in calculations to obtain a correct result at even the O ( 1 ) level. Treating a light fermion as massive though, leads to a known but somewhat obscure paradox, a seeming leading-order sensitivity to an arbitrarily small mass. We show how a proper formulation in effective field theory not only resolves the physical conundrum but also answers the very practical question of when fermion masses are required. This has important implications for the development of shower Monte Carlo event generators above the weak scale. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗