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At least 217 records · Page 12

Robust calibration of non-perturbative models with history matching

We apply, for the first time, Bayes Linear Emulation and History Matching to the calibration of non-perturbative models in Monte Carlo event generators. In contrast to the usual approach of "Monte Carlo tuning", History Matching does not result in best-fit plus ellipsoidal parameter uncertainty estimates but instead identifies all parameter space regions that are consistent with data. This approach leads to a systematic and robust quantification of parametric uncertainties in the models, especially in those challenging cases where different, possibly disjoint, regions of parameter space deliver similar results, which are usually not properly treated with current methodology. We highlight the power of this method with the hadronisation models available through Sherpa : the built-in cluster fragmentation Ahadic and string fragmentation through an interface to Pythia .

Iskauskas, Andrew [Durham U. (main)] (ORCID:000000↗

1D model of tokamak scrape-off layer and divertor plasmas: Dimensionless parameters and the results of numerical simulations

Solutions of a 1D model of the scrape-off layer and a divertor plasma in a tokamak are analyzed on the basis of dimensionless parameters governing the physics of both plasma and neutral transport and atomic physics processes. Numerical simulations based on fluid plasma and Monte Carlo neutral modeling confirm earlier results obtained with simplified analytic considerations and numerical simulations performed with fluid neutral description and demonstrate bifurcation of plasma parameters. Further, these simulations also confirm that the major physical reasons for the rollover of the plasma flux to the target, which is the key feature of the phenomenon of divertor plasma detachment, are the impurity radiation loss and plasma recombination. It is suggested that simulations of the edge plasma based on dimensionless parameters provide a powerful tool for checking the consistency of the physics incorporated in existing complex 2D codes used for edge plasma modeling.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dynamic data-driven multiscale modeling for predicting the degradation of a 316L stainless steel nuclear cladding material

Here, we have developed a long short-term memory stacked ensemble (LSTM-SE) surrogate modeling approach that can provide rapid predictions of microstructural evolution and the resultant mechanical properties of American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) 316L series stainless steel (316LSS) fuel cladding under conditions of varying temperature and radiation dose rate. To acquire training data, we developed and implemented a kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) model to simulate precipitation kinetics of M 23 C 6 , γ', and G phases within SS316L cladding. Experimentally reported precipitation kinetics of SS316L in literature were linked to the kinetic parameters of the simulated precipitation in our KMC model. The model was then used to simulate microstructure evolution under synthetically generated treatments of varying temperature and radiation dose rate, for periods of up to 3000 hours. Changes in volume fraction, number density, and particle size of precipitates were recorded, and particle area fractions were correlated using statistical methods to develop the surrogate model. Simultaneously, the mechanical properties of the simulated microstructures were evaluated using microstructure-based finite element method (FEM) analysis to determine the elastic modulus, yield stress, ultimate tensile strength, and elongation to failure of the aged microstructures. Using this approach, our surrogate model can predict precipitation behavior within 0.25% volume fraction and mechanical properties within 6% relative error from the values predicted by the KMC and FEM models using 50 training simulations as input. The trained recurrent neural network-based model can return estimations of precipitation kinetics and mechanical properties ~1000 times faster than the physics-based codes. This work demonstrates, as a proof of concept, that reactor material service lifetimes under variable service conditions can be predicted for a statistics-based model from a practicably obtainable dataset.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dynamic Data-Driven Multiscale Modeling for Predicting Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of 316L Stainless Steel

We have developed a long short-term memory stacked ensemble (LSTM-SE) surrogate modeling approach that can provide rapid predictions of microstructural evolution and the resultant mechanical properties of American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) 316L series stainless steel (316LSS) fuel cladding under conditions of varying temperature and radiation dose rate. To acquire training data, we developed and implemented a kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) model to simulate precipitation kinetics of M 23 C 6 , γ', and G phases within SS316L cladding. Experimentally reported precipitation kinetics of SS316L in literature were linked to the kinetic parameters of the simulated precipitation in our KMC model. The model was then used to simulate microstructure evolution under synthetically generated treatments of varying temperature and radiation dose rate, for periods of up to 3000 hours. Changes in volume fraction, number density, and particle size of precipitates were recorded, and particle area fractions were correlated using statistical methods to develop the surrogate model. Simultaneously, the mechanical properties of the simulated microstructures were evaluated using microstructure-based finite element method (FEM) analysis to determine the elastic modulus, yield stress, ultimate tensile strength, and elongation to failure of the aged microstructures. Using this approach, our surrogate model can predict precipitation behavior within 0.25% volume fraction and mechanical properties within 6% relative error from the values predicted by the KMC and FEM models using 50 training simulations as input. The trained recurrent neural network-based model can return estimations of precipitation kinetics and mechanical properties ~1000 times faster than the physics-based codes. This work demonstrates, as a proof of concept, that reactor material service lifetimes under variable service conditions can be predicted for a statistics-based model from a practicably obtainable dataset.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Anisotropic angular scattering models of elastic electron-neutral collisions for Monte Carlo plasma simulations

Many laboratory and industrial plasma applications require accurate modeling techniques to understand the interplay between microscopic and macroscopic processes. A prime example of this interplay is how particle and Monte Carlo (MC) simulation codes describe angular scattering of electrons following elastic scattering events. The forward peaked nature of high energy electron elastic scattering is relatively trivial to accurately describe in plasma simulations. However, for lower energy collisions, which produce near isotropic or backward peaked differential cross sections, there is not a strong consensus among the plasma modeling community on how to best describe these angular scattering trends. Here, in this study, we propose a systematic method to approximate the aforementioned non-trivial angular scattering behavior with a formula that can be readily implemented in particle-in-cell (PIC) and/or MC plasma simulation codes. The present approach is specifically applied to fusion relevant atomic hydrogen and helium, as well as for molecular hydrogen, and results are also applicable to the atomic isotopes and homonuclear molecular isotopologues of these species. Comparisons between the present angular distribution function and benchmark scattering data were used to validate the proposed models. In addition, two-term Boltzmann calculations and PIC direct simulation MC simulations revealed that the proposed angular distribution function is accurate, agreeing very well with benchmark convergent close-coupling scattering calculations, and electron transport measurements. These studies confirmed that the present angular distribution function model can be utilized without the need of renormalization to the momentum transfer cross section (as opposed to using the elastic scattering integrated cross section), which has been suggested by several studies in order to correct for deficient angular scattering models, and to agree with transport measurements. Hence, the present anisotropic angular scattering model can be utilized to accurately model the momentum transfer as well as the electron trajectories of elastic collisions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dynamical tuning of the chemical potential to achieve a target particle number in grand canonical Monte Carlo simulations

We present a method to facilitate Monte Carlo simulations in the grand canonical ensemble given a target mean particle number. The method imposes a fictitious dynamics on the chemical potential, to be run concurrently with the Monte Carlo sampling of the physical system. Corrections to the chemical potential are made according to time-averaged estimates of the mean and variance of the particle number, with the latter being proportional to thermodynamic compressibility. Here, we perform a variety of tests, and in all cases find rapid convergence of the chemical potential—inexactness of the tuning algorithm contributes only a minor part of the total measurement error for realistic simulations.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Shape of atomic nuclei in heavy ion collisions

In the hydrodynamic model description of heavy ion collisions, the final-state anisotropic flows v n are linearly related to the strengths of the multipole shape of the distribution of nucleons in the transverse plane, ε n : v n ∝ε n . The ε n , for n=1, 2, 3, 4, are sensitive to the shapes of the colliding ions, characterized by the quadrupole β 2 , octupole β 3 , and hexadecapole β 4 deformations. This sensitivity is investigated analytically and also in a Monte Carlo Glauber model. One observes a robust linear relation, $\langleε^{2}_{n}\rangle$ = $a^{'}_{n} + b^{'}_{n}β^{2}_{n}$, for events in a fixed centrality. The $\langleε^{2}_{1}\rangle$ has a contribution from β 3 and β 4 , and $\langleε^{2}_{3}\rangle$ from β 4 . In ultracentral collisions, there are little cross contributions between β 2 and ε 3 and between β 3 and ε 2 , but clear cross contributions are present in noncentral collisions. Additionally, $\langleε^{2}_{n}\rangle$ are insensitive to nonaxial shape parameters such as the triaxiality. This is good news because the measurements of v 2 , v 3 , and v 4 can be used to constrain simultaneously the β 2 , β 3 , and β 4 values. This is best done by comparing two colliding ions with similar mass numbers and therefore nearly identical $a^{'}_{n}$, to obtain a simple equation that relates the β n of the two species. Finally, this opens up the possibility to map the shape of the atomic nuclei at a timescale (<10 –24 s) much shorter than probed by low-energy nuclear structure physics (<10 –21 s), which ultimately may provide information complementary to that obtained in the nuclear structure experiments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Modeling the Transmission of Optical Lightning Signals Through Complex 3‐D Cloud Scenes

Abstract Space‐based lightning imagers have shown that complex cloud scenes consisting of multiple tall convective features, anvil clouds, and warm boundary cloud layers are illuminated by lightning in many different ways depending on where the lightning occurs and how energetic it is. Modifications to the optical lightning signals from radiative transfer in the cloud medium can lead to reductions in detection efficiency and location accuracy for these instruments and can also cause some of the optical signals that are detected to have unexpected spatial energy distributions. In this study, we perform Monte Carlo radiative transfer simulations of optical lightning emissions in clouds with complex 3‐D geometries to shed some light on the origins of certain irregular radiance patterns that have been recorded from orbit. We show that diffuse reflections off nearby cloud faces can explain lightning signals in nonelectrified clouds, tall clouds can result in poor optical transmission and suppressed radiances that could lead to missed events and that particularly favorable viewing conditions can cause otherwise normal lightning to produce a superbolt that is orders of magnitude brighter than the same flash seen from a different angle.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ferroelectric Ordering in Nanosized PbTiO 3

The insight into the three-dimensional configuration of ferroelectric ordering in ferroelectric nanomaterials is motivated by the application of the development of functional nanodevices and the structural designing. However, the atomic deciphering of the spatial distribution of ordered structure remains challenging for the limitation of dimension and probing techniques. Here, in this paper, a neutron pair distribution function (nPDF) was utilized to analyze the spontaneous polarization distribution of zero-dimensional PbTiO 3 nanoparticles in three dimensions, via the application of reverse Monte Carlo (RMC) modeling. The comprehensive identification with transmission electron microscopy verified the linear characteristics of polarization along the c-axis in the main body, while electric polarization distribution on the surface was enhanced abnormally. In addition, the correlation of dipole vectors extending to three unit cells below the surface is retained. This work shows an application of the micro/macroscale information to effectively decode the polarization structure of nanoferroelectrics, providing new views of designing nanoferroelectric devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Migration energy barriers and diffusion anisotropy of point defects on tungsten surfaces

We report tungsten is one of the most promising candidates for plasma-facing materials in future fusion devices, owing to its high performance under extreme irradiation conditions. However, irradiation-induced surface morphology varies significantly, depending on the irradiation type, fluence, and flux. Therefore, it is critical to examine the dynamics of point defects on tungsten (W) surfaces to understand how irradiation affects surface morphology. In this study, we employ the Self-Evolving Atomistic Kinetic Monte Carlo (SEAKMC) method to search for potential migration paths of point defects on W (1 0 0), (1 1 0) and (1 1 1) surfaces. The first-principles calculations are then used to accurately determine the migration energy barriers. The obtained paths and barriers are incorporated into a kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) model to determine trajectories and diffusivities, which are described by diffusion tensors to demonstrate their anisotropic features. Multiple diffusion mechanisms have been identified on different surfaces, with various anisotropy factors. Particularly, point defects on the W (1 1 0) surface have the highest diffusivities, with anisotropy factors independent of temperatures. In comparison, the anisotropy of the W (1 0 0) surface decreases as temperature increases, while the W (1 1 1) surface is isotropic for point defects. This study provides insights into defect transport properties on different surfaces, which are essential for understanding the early stages of irradiation-induced microstructural evolutions and surface morphology of tungsten.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Adaptive tau-leaping methods for microscopic-lattice kinetic Monte Carlo simulations

Traditional Kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) approaches, rooted in Gillespie’s stochastic simulation algorithm, become computationally demanding in systems with a large range of timescales. The goal of this work is to propose and study new adaptive lattice-KMC time integration strategies for spatially non-uniform systems. To that end, two novel adaptive tau-leaping methods and their corresponding time integration strategies are developed based on the idea of the “n-fold” direct KMC method. These strategies allow for the simultaneous execution of multiple reactions, advancing time by adaptively selected coarse increments. We present numerical experiments comparing the proposed methods with existing approaches in a catalytic surface kinetics application involving ammonia decomposition.

Bimolecular reactions↗

Engineering defect energy landscape of CoCrFeNi high-entropy alloys by the introduction of additional dopants

The concept of high-entropy alloys (HEAs) focusing on tuning the overall chemical complexity represents a novel alloy design strategy. In contrast, alloying of a metallic matrix with minor doping elements with limited and localized tunability has been a common practice to improve material performance. Combining the idea of globally engineering defect energy landscape in HEAs and the localized doping strategy in dilute alloys, in this work, we explore doping effects of minor elements in a HEA matrix to further enhance the overall and localized chemical tunability, aiming to improve its irradiation resistance. Specifically, we study the influence of minor Al, Cu, Ti, and Pd substitutional doping elements on defect energetics in a CoCrFeNi model HEA based on density-functional theory (DFT) calculations. The DFT results indicate that the formation and migration energies of vacancies can be strongly influenced when a dopant is introduced at the first nearest neighbor shells around a vacancy. On the other hand, interstitial energetics are only slightly affected. Among the four elements, Ti and Pd generally decrease vacancy formation energies and increase vacancy migration energies more significantly than Al and Cu. The doping effects become more pronounced when the concentration of the substitutional dopants increases. Based on the energy distributions obtained from DFT, we build a kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) model to assess the impact of dopants on vacancy-mediated diffusivity in the doped HEAs. Our results suggest that Ti and Pd can lower the tracer diffusivity in the considered HEAs and act as trapping sites, whereas Cu may enhance the atomic transport. This work indicates that substitutional doping in HEAs is an effective strategy in metallurgy to further tune the defect and transport properties of complex alloys.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Sensitivity evaluation of the Kudryavtsev permafrost model

Modeling is an important way to assess current and future permafrost spatial distribution and dynamics, especially in data poor areas like the Arctic region. Here, we evaluate a physics-based analytical model, Kudryavtsev's active layer model, which is widely used because it has relatively few data requirements. This model was recently incorporated into a component modeling toolbox, allowing for coupled modeling of permafrost and geomorphic processes over geological timescales. However, systematic quantitative assessment of the influence of its controlling parameters on permafrost temperature and active layer thickness predictions has not been undertaken before. In this work, we investigate the sensitivity of the Kudryavtsev's active layer model by Monte Carlo simulations to generate probability distributions for input parameters and compare predictions with a comprehensive benchmark dataset of in-situ permafrost observations over entire Alaska. Predicted permafrost surface temperature is highly dependent on mean annual air temperature (r = 0.78 on average), annual temperature amplitude (–0.41), and winter-averaged snow thickness (0.30). Uncertainty of predicted permafrost temperature is relatively small (RMSE = 1 °C), when air temperature and snow depth are well constrained. Similarly, RMSE between simulated and observed ALT at stations is ~0.08 m. However, under given air temperature and snow conditions, soil water content bias can significantly affect modeled active layer thickness (RMSE = 0.1 m or 40% of the observed active layer thickness). If soil water content has a large bias, improvements in other parameters may not significantly improve the active layer predictions of the Kudryavtsev's model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Fundamental Phenomena and Applications of Swift Heavy Ion Irradiations

This review concentrates on the specific properties and characteristics of damage structures generated with high-energy ions in the electronic energy loss regime. Irradiation experiments with so-called swift heavy ions (SHIs) find applications in many different fields, with examples presented in ion-track nanotechnology, radiation hardness analysis of functional materials, and laboratory tests of cosmic radiation. The basics of the SHI-solid interaction are described with special attention to processes in the electronic subsystem. The broad spectrum of damage phenomena is exemplified for various materials and material classes, along with a description of typical characterization techniques. This review also presents state-of-the-art modeling efforts that try to account for the complexity of the coupled processes of the electronic and atomic subsystems. Lastly, a brief discussion at the end of this review on SHI phenomena induced by fission fragments in nuclear materials will highlight the relevance of energetic ion irradiation in nuclear technology applications.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Photon detector response function methodology using MCNP and shift hybrid radiation transport code for wide-area contamination assay applications

Here, radiation transport modeling using the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) radiation transport code and Monte Carlo code, Shift, were employed to model detector responses for a variety of wide-area photon contamination scenarios. In this study, 2" × 2" and 3" × 3" cylindrical NaI(Tl) scintillation detector configurations at source detector-distances of 0.5 cm, 1 cm, 2.54 cm, 10 cm, and 30 cm were modeled. Media of soil, concrete, and steel were evaluated for contamination depths ranging from surface to a depth of an infinite thickness in each medium for photon energies ranging from 20 keV to 3 MeV, which correspond to the energies that current detectors can discern. Monoenergetic photon surface contamination detector responses for each of the media, source–detector distances, and detectors were estimated using MCNP v6.2. Shift was harnessed for improved variance reduction of particle transport in highly attenuating media to obtain average cell fluxes in the two MCNP NaI(Tl) scintillation detector configurations. Average cell flux values in Shift were coupled with detector responses from MCNP to convert average cell flux in a void to energy distribution of pulses in the NaI(Tl) scintillation detector crystal of interest. An optimized detector response function methodology was developed by coupling the MCNP radiation transport method with the Consistent Adjoint Driven Importance Sampling (CADIS) hybrid radiation transport method built into Shift to significantly decrease the runtime of thousands of MCNP pulse height simulations. The methodology may be utilized to quickly and accurately facilitate the assessment of a broad range of wide-area environmental contamination assay and decommissioning cleanup applications.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

The structure of CaO–MgO–Al 2 O 3 –SiO 2 melts and glasses doped with FeO X –NiO

Neutron and x-ray diffraction measurements have been performed on CaO–MgO–Al 2 O 3 –SiO 2 (CMAS) glasses doped with NiO–Fe X O at room temperature, along with x-ray measurements on aerodynamically levitated liquids at ≥2000 K. The disordered structures have been modeled using empirical potential structure refinement to investigate the relation between the aluminosilicate network and the modifying cations. The SiO 4 and AlO 4 tetrahedra are found to have wider Si–O and Al–O bond distance distributions in the glass, and the first Ca–O n coordination shell is highly distorted, redistributing different populations of long and short bonds between the liquid and the glass. The addition of Fe and Ni at low aluminosilicate content increases the number of free oxygens not bonded to AlO 4 or SiO 4 . Mg–O and Fe–O are both found to be predominantly fourfold and fivefold in the liquid and glassy states. Despite these low coordination numbers, their bond angle distributions indicate that they are predominantly in nontetrahedral-type geometries, with ferrous and ferric iron possessing similar coordination environments. The Ca–O and Mg–O average coordination numbers and enthalpies of solution are consistent with their higher reactivity within relatively acidic aluminosilicate melts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modelling Development in Radical (Co)Polymerization of Multivinyl Monomers

Radical polymerization (RP) of multivinyl monomers (MVMs) provides a facile solution for manipulating polymer topology and has received increasing attention due to their industrial and academic significance. Continuous efforts have been made to understand their mechanism, which is the key to regulating materials structure. Modelling techniques have become a powerful tool that can provide detailed information on polymerization kinetics which is inaccessible by experiments. Many publications have reported the combination of experiments and modelling for free radical polymerization (FRP) and reversible-deactivation radical polymerizations (RDRP) of MVMs. Herein, a minireview is presented for the most important modelling techniques and their applications in FRP/RDRP of MVMs. This review hopes to illustrate that the combination of modelling and wet experiments can be a great asset to polymer researchers and inspire new thinking for the future MVMs experiment optimization and product design.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗