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DOE OSTI2025

Hot Droughts and Forest Tree Dynamics in the Amazon - Statistical Models, Scripts, Data, and Outputs

This package contains data, outputs, equations, and R scripts for analyses for manuscript entitled "Hot droughts in the Amazon: A window to a future hypertropical climate" by J. Chambers et al., in particular it contains statistical models and analyses for the INPA BIONTE tree mortality study. The Models folder contains details for all statistical models in PDF files. The Scripts folder contains the R scripts for Bayesian Hierarchical Models (two text files) and SEMs (one text file) are separate and reasonably annotated. All data associated with these scripts are in the data folder. The Data folder contains two of the three CSV files used for the analyses and are called by the R scripts. Two of them are part of published datasets (`BIONTE_mortality-rates.csv` from Lima et al. 2024, DOI:10.15486/ngt/1898910 and `SPEI.csv` from Pastorello et al. 2023 DOI:10.15486/ngt/1958257) and also provided in this package for convenience (please see the corresponding datasets for usage and citation terms). The third dataset (`BIONTE_gapfilled_wd.csv`) contains sensitive information and can be obtained by contacting the manuscript lead author. The Outputs folder contains the two output files that provide extra information about the analyses. The file `figuresFeb2025d.pdf` contains all the figures from the manuscript - captions are in the manuscript. The file `ChambersMS.pdf` contains primary results from Bayesian statistical models, regression analyses, and validation steps applied to the tree mortality data from the INPA experiments. The document includes visual summaries, model diagnostics, and leave-one-out (LOO) validation results. A breakdown of file contents can be found in the README file that is part of this package.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Reference data, predictors, and probability grids for forest degradation classes in three sites in the Brazilian Amazon

Forest degradation by fires and selective logging is widespread in the Amazon region. We implemented a gradient boosted classification modeling framework to classify intact, logged, and burned forests at three Amazonian sites: Feliz Natal Municipality and Xingu Indigenous Territory in Mato Grosso State, and Saracá-Taquera National Forest in Pará State. We used forest degradation history from Landsat time-series as reference data and textural metrics derived from PlanetScope images as predictors. Textural metrics were computed using the Gray-Level Co-Occurrence Matrix (GLCM) textural technique. Included in the attached zip file are ten files: - a shapefile containing the reference data (fire and selective logging polygons and year of event) for each site; - a multiband tif file containing the 8 GLCM metrics used as predictors (Mean, Variance, Homogeneity, Contrast, Dissimilarity, Entropy, Angular Second Moment, Correlation) at the original PlanetScope resolution (3.125m) for each site; - a multiband tif file containing the 72 aggregated GLCM metrics used as predictors (Mean, Variance, Homogeneity, Contrast, Dissimilarity, Entropy, Angular Second Moment, and Correlation aggregated using the mean, first quartile, third quartile, maximum, median, minimum, root mean square, standard deviation, and skewness statistics) at 562m resolution for each site; - a multiband tif file containing the 3 probability grids for either intact, logged, or burned forests at the aggregation resolution (562m) for each site.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Canopy tree mortality and crown exposure data from the Amacayacu Forest Dynamics Plot, Northwestern Amazon

Data on the mortality of 984 canopy trees, their crown exposure to light (relative to total crown area), growth deviations (relative to conspecifics), tree size, and species’ wood density collected between 2013 and 2019 in 18 ha of the Amacayacu Forest Dynamics Plot, Northwestern Amazon. This dataset contains a single CSV data file. Variable definitions: 1. Species: [character] species identification 2. Family: [character] family of the species 3. tag: [character] unique consecutive for the tree 4. status: [character] status of the tree in the third census (ALIVE or DEAD) 5. wsg: [numeric]: species’ wood density (g cm-3) 6. growth_r1: [numeric]: annual growth rate of the tree between the first and second census (cm y-1) 7. growth_r2: [numeric]: annual growth rate of the tree between the second and third census (cm y-1) 8. gt1: [numeric] modulus transformed growth rate with a lambda of 0.4 for the annual growth rate of the tree between the first and second census (cm y-1) 9. gt2: [numeric]: modulus transformed growth rate with a lambda of 0.4 for the annual growth rate of the tree between the second and third census (cm y-1) 10. rgr1: [numeric] relative growth rate between the first and second census (cm y-1) 11. rgr2: [numeric] relative growth rate between the second and third census (cm y-1) 12. sa_gt: [numeric] species-adjusted modulus transformed growth rate 13. sa_rgr: [numeric] species-adjusted relative growth rate 14. gr_n: [numeric] number of individuals of the species used to calculate the mean and species modulus transformed growth rate 15. dbh_flight: [numeric] diameter at breast height (1.3 m) estimated at the time of the drone flight (cm) 16. eca: [numeric] exposed crown area calculated as the area of the crown polygon delineated in the orthomosaic (m2) 17. total_ca: [numeric] total crown area estimated from a crown area model (m2) 18. rcel: [numeric] relative crown exposure to light (m2) 19. time_flight_census3: [numeric] time in years from the drone flight date to the third census for that tree (yr)

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Rapid growth of anthropogenic organic nanoparticles greatly alters cloud lifecycle in the Amazon rainforest

Atmospheric nanoparticles can significantly influence Earth’s climate if they grow to sizes large enough to nucleate cloud droplets. While the contribution of extremely low volatility vapors to nanoparticle growth has been discussed extensively, the role of semivolatile organics has been largely overlooked. Here we examine the growth and impacts of air pollution nanoparticles from an isolated metropolis amidst the Amazon rainforest. Although extremely low volatility organics are necessary for the initial growth of nanoparticles, model analysis suggests that dynamic gas-particle partitioning of semivolatile oxidation products of anthropogenic and natural hydrocarbons is predominantly responsible for the observed rapid growth to 50 nm. Furthermore, cloud-resolving simulations demonstrate that the grown particles appreciably modify shallow cloud droplet size distribution, suppress precipitation, and enhance the transition to deep clouds. With condensable semivolatile organics typically formed in greater proportion, similar nanoparticle growth and impacts on clouds could likely occur in heavily urbanized forested regions globally.

Zaveri, Rahul A↗
DOE OSTI2020

DATASET: Rapid growth of anthropogenic organic nanoparticles greatly alters cloud lifecycle in the Amazon rainforest

Atmospheric nanoparticles can significantly influence Earth’s climate if they grow to sizes large enough to nucleate cloud droplets. While the contribution of extremely low volatility vapors to nanoparticle growth has been discussed extensively, the role of semivolatile organics has been largely overlooked. Here we examine the growth and impacts of air pollution nanoparticles from an isolated metropolis amidst the Amazon rainforest. Although extremely low volatility organics are necessary for the initial growth of nanoparticles, model analysis suggests that dynamic gas-particle partitioning of semivolatile oxidation products of anthropogenic and natural hydrocarbons is predominantly responsible for the observed rapid growth to 50 nm. Furthermore, cloud-resolving simulations demonstrate that the grown particles appreciably modify shallow cloud droplet size distribution, suppress precipitation, and enhance the transition to deep clouds. With condensable semivolatile organics typically formed in greater proportion, similar nanoparticle growth and impacts on clouds could likely occur in heavily urbanized forested regions globally.

Zaveri, Rahul A↗
DOE OSTI2021

Canopy position influences the degree of light suppression of leaf respiration in abundant tree genera in the Amazon Forest

Leaf respiration in the dark (R dark ) and light (R day ) is poorly characterized in diverse tropical ecosystems, and little to no information exists on the degree of light suppression in common tree species within the Amazon basin, and their dependences upon plant functional traits and position within the canopy. We quantified R dark and apparent R day using the Kok method and measured key leaf traits in 26 tree individuals of different species distributed in three different canopy positions: canopy, lower canopy, and understory. To explore the relationships between the leaf traits we used the standardized major axis (SMA). We found that canopy trees had significantly higher rates of R dark and R day than trees in the understory. The difference between R dark and R day (the light suppression of respiration) was greatest in the understory (68 ± 9%, 95% CI) and lower canopy (49 ± 9%, 95% CI) when compared to the canopy (37 ± 10%, 95% CI). We also found that R day was significantly and strongly correlated with R dark (p < 0.001) for all the canopy positions. Also, leaf mass per area (LMA) and leaf Phosphorus concentration (P) had a significant relationship with R dark (p < 0.001; p = 0.003), respectively. In addition, a significant relationship was found for LMA in the canopy and lower canopy positions (p = 0.009; p = 0.048) while P was only significant in the canopy (p = 0.044). Finally, no significant relationship was found between R dark and nitrogen, sugars, and starch. Our results highlight the importance of including representation of the light suppression of leaf respiration in terrestrial biosphere models and also of accounting for vertical gradients within forest canopies and connections with functional traits.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Morning boundary layer conditions for shallow to deep convective cloud evolution during the dry season in the central Amazon

Observations of the boundary layer (BL) processes are analyzed statistically for dry seasons of 2 years and in detail, as case studies, for 4 shallow convective days (ShCu) and 4 shallow-to-deep convective days (ShDeep) using a suite of ground-based measurements from the Observation and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon 2014/5) Experiment. The BL stages in ShDeep days, from the nighttime to the cloudy mixing layer stage, are then described in comparison with ShCu days. Atmospheric thermodynamics and dynamics, environmental profiles, and surface turbulent fluxes were employed to compare these two distinct situations for each stage of the BL evolution. Particular attention is given to the morning transition stage, in which the BL changes from stable to unstable conditions in the early morning hours. Results show that the decrease in time duration of the morning transition on ShDeep days is associated with high humidity and well-established vertical wind shear patterns. Higher humidity since nighttime not only contributes to lowering the cloud base during the rapid growth of the BL but also contributes to the balance between radiative cooling and turbulent mixing during nighttime, resulting in higher sensible heat flux in the early morning. The sensible heat flux promotes rapid growth of the well-mixed layer, thus favoring the deeper BL starting from around 08:00 LST (UTC-4 h). Under these conditions, the time duration of morning transition is used to promote convection, having an important effect on the convective BL strength and leading to the formation of shallow cumulus clouds and their subsequent evolution into deep convective clouds. Statistical analysis was used to validate the conceptual model obtained from the case studies. Despite the case-to-case variability, the statistical analyses of the processes in the BL show that the described processes are very representative of cloud evolution during the dry season.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Lifecycle of updrafts and mass flux in isolated deep convection over the Amazon rainforest: insights from cell tracking

Long-term observations of deep convective cloud (DCC) vertical velocity and mass flux were collected during the Observations and Modelling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon2014/5) experiment. Precipitation echoes from a surveillance weather radar near Manaus, Brazil, are tracked to identify and evaluate the isolated DCC lifecycle evolution during the dry and wet seasons. A radar wind profiler (RWP) provides precipitation and air motion profiles to estimate the vertical velocity, mass flux, and mass transport rates within overpassing DCC cores as a function of the tracked cell lifecycle stage. The average radar reflectivity factor (Z), DCC area (A), and surface rainfall rate (R) increased with DCC lifetime as convective cells were developing, reached a peak as the cells matured, and decreased thereafter as cells dissipated. As the convective cells mature, cumulative DCC properties exhibit stronger updraft behaviors with higher upward mass flux and transport rates above the melting layer (compared with initial and later lifecycle stages). In comparison, developing DCCs have the lowest Z associated with weak updrafts, as well as negative mass flux and transport rates above the melting layer. Over the DCC lifetime, the height of the maximum downward mass flux decreased, whereas the height of the maximum net mass flux increased. During the dry season, the tracked DCCs had higher Z, propagation speed, and DCC area, and were more isolated spatially compared with the wet season. Dry season DCCs exhibit higher Z, mass flux, and mass transport rate while developing, whereas wet season DCCs exhibit higher Z, mass flux, and mass transport rates at later stages.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1980

Geological mapping in the Amazon Jungle: A challenge to side-looking radar

A brief outline of the physical environment and vegetation characteristics peculiar to the Amazon Jungle is given to provide the background for the discussion of energy target interaction models. Examples of radar images of the central part of the jungle are used to illustrate a common approach to geologic mapping in this environment. During the initial phase of interpretation, the interaction phenomenon is evaluated and textural and tonal characteristics of the radar image are observed. Field checking of selected areas is the next phase of a geologic mapping program. Reinterpretation of radar images and auxiliary data (aerial photographs, Landsat images, and field data) is the last phase of geologic mapping.

Correa, A. C.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Remote sensing in forestry: Application to the Amazon region

The utilization of satellite remote sensing in forestry is reviewed with emphasis on studies performed for the Brazilian Amazon Region. Timber identification, deforestation, and pasture degradation after deforestation are discussed.

Dejesusparada, N.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The Amazon and climate

The climatologies of cloudiness and precipitation for the Amazon are reviewed. The physical causes of observed features are explained. The question whether deforestation leads to a reduction in evapotranspiration into the atmosphere is examined, as well as the reduction in precipitation and its implication for the global climate. There are indications that for large scale clearing of tropical rain forests there would indeed be a reduction in rainfall, which would have global effects in terms of climate and weather.

Nobre, C. A.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Information for space radar designers: Required dynamic range vs resolution and antenna calibration using the Amazon rain forest

Calibration of the vertical pattern of the antennas for the SEASAT scatterometer was accomplished using the nearly-uniform radar return from the Amazon rain forest. A similar calibration will be attempted for the SIR-B antenna. Thick calibration is important to establish the radiometric calibration across the swath of the SIR-B, and the developed methodology will provide an important tool in the evaluation of future spaceborne imaging radars. This calibration was made by the very-wide-beam SEASAT scatterometer antennas because at 14.65 GHz the scattering coefficient of the rain forest is almost independent of angle of incidence. It is expected that the variation in scattering coefficient for the rain forest across the relatively narrow vertical beam of the SIR-B will be very small; even at L band the forest should be essentially impenetrable for radar signals, the volume scatter from the treetops will predominate as at higher frequencies. The basic research elements include: (1) examination of SIR-B images over the rain forest to establish the variability of the scattering coefficient at finer resolutions than that of the SEASAT scatterometer; (2) analysis of the variability of SIR-B data detected prior to processing for either azimuth compression or; possibly, range compression so that averages over relatively large footprints can be used; (3) processing of data of the form of (2) using algorithms that can recover the vertical pattern of the antenna.

Moore, R. K.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Transient convection over the Amazon-Bolivia region and the dynamics of drought over Northeast Brazil

A two layer, nonlinear, equatorial beta-plane model, in p-coordinates is used to study the atmospheric response to a large scale prescribed heat source varying in time. The heat source is meant to represent a convective burst with total duration of approximately 48 hours over the Amazon/Bolivia region. The boundary conditions used are meridional velocity zero at 60 deg S, omega w = 0 at the top and zero geometric velocity at the lower boundary. Sensitivity study was done which includes initial state at rest, compared with realistic initial flow. The scale of the heat source is 1500 km in latitude and longitude and it is centered at 10 deg S. Special attention is paid to the distribution and intensity of the induced vertical motion. The model is integrated for two days and the preliminary results show agreement with the observed 200 mb flow. Of interest is the establishment of a trough and descending motion to the northeast of the heat source. A conjucture is thus made that the Amazon heat source and its fluctuations bear some relationship with the drought problem over Northeast Brazil.

Buchmann, J.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Atmospheric surface and boundary layers of the Amazon Basin

Three phases of work were performed: design of and preparation for the Amazon Boundary Layer Experiment (ABLE 2-A); execution of the ABLE 2-A field program; and analysis of the ABLE 2-A data. Three areas of experiment design were dealt with: surface based meteorological measurements; aircraft missions; and project meteorological support. The primary goal was to obtain a good description of the structure of the atmosphere immediately above the rain forest canopy (top of canopy to a few thousand meters), to describe this region during the growing daytime phase of the boundary layer; and to examine the nighttime stratified state. A secondary objective was to examine the role that deep convective storms play in the vertical transport of heat, water vapor, and other trace gases. While significant progress was made, much of the analysis remains to be done.

Garstang, Michael↗
NASA NTRS1987

C-13/C-12 ratio in methane from the flooded Amazon forest

The C1-C4 hydrocarbon concentrations and the C-13/C-12 ratio in CH4 detected in air samples collected in the Amazon region (3.5 deg S latitude and 5.9 deg W longitude) are analyzed. It is observed that the CH4 concentrations of each sample are enhanced over the background concentration for remote locations, and the C-13/C-12 ratio in this biogenic methane is depleted in C-13 relative to atmospheric CH4. It is concluded, from the C2-C4 hydrocarbon data, that minor yields of C2-C4 hyrocarbons are released coincident with CH4; however, the minor yields do not contribute to the regionally enhanced concentrations of hydrocarbons found in Amazonia and the global atmosphere release of C2-C4 compounds.

Tyler, Stanley C.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Airborne and spaceborne radar images for geologic and environmental mapping in the Amazon rain forest, Brazil

Spaceborne and airborne radar image of portions of the Middle and Upper Amazon basin in the state of Amazonas and the Territory of Roraima are compared for purposes of geological and environmental mapping. The contrasted illumination geometries and imaging parameters are related to terrain slope and surface roughness characteristics for corresponding areas that were covered by each of the radar imaging systems. Landforms range from deeply dissected mountain and plateau with relief up to 500 m in Roraima, revealing ancient layered rocks through folded residual mountains to deeply beveled pediplain in Amazonas. Geomorphic features provide distinct textural signatures that are characteristic of different rock associations. The principle drainages in the areas covered are the Rio Negro, Rio Branco, and the Rio Japura. Shadowing effects and low radar sensitivity to subtle linear fractures that are aligned parallel or nearly parallel to the direction of radar illumination illustrate the need to obtain multiple coverage with viewing directions about 90 degrees. Perception of standing water and alluvial forest in floodplains varies with incident angle and with season. Multitemporal data sets acquired over periods of years provide an ideal method of monitoring environmental changes.

Ford, John P.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Isoprene over the Amazon Basin

Data obtained during the 1985 ABLE expedition to the Amazon are used to describe the diurnal and vertical variations of isoprene. Isoprene is a natural hydrocarbon emitted by many species of trees, particularly those in tropical forests. The concentrations of isoprene at lower levels in the atmosphere undergo large diurnal variations, with the highest concentrations during midday and the lowest during the night. At ground level, outside the forest, peak concentrations of about 3-parts per billion by volume (ppbv) of isoprene were observed around midday. Concentrations were nearly zero before sunrise, increased to their maximum values during the day, and declined after sunset. Concentrations of 1-2 ppbv of isoprene were observed up to 300 m. Near the canopy level, up to 8 ppbv of isoprene were observed. In the forest, concentrations are generally quite low below the canopy and are highest at the level of the canopy. Since the reaction of isoprene with OH radicals is extremely fast, its concentrations fall off rapidly with altitude, so that practically none of it was seen above the boundary layer. During nighttime, however, concentrations comparable to daytime values were observed at altitudes of 300 m and above.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗