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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Benchmarking and Performance of the NASA Multiscale Analysis Tool

The NASA Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT) is as a “plug and play,” software package which utilizes multiscale recursive micromechanics as a platform for massively multiscale modeling of hierarchical materials and structures subjected to thermomechanical. This paper is intended to give an overview of the design of NASMAT and how the design supports modularity, upgradability and maintainability, interoperability, and utility. First, the software architecture and hierarchy will be explored. Details on each of the 11 NASMAT procedures and the arrangement of NASMAT data will be presented. Application program interfaces (APIs) that were developed to facilitate the communication of NASMAT with other programs will be described. The intended application for NASMAT is massively multiscale modeling on high performance computing systems. As such, results benchmarking the performance of the integration of NASMAT with the Abaqus commercial finite element method software are also presented.

Multiscale Modeling↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Pragmatic Stress Prediction on Additively Manufactured Coupons

Prediction of residual stresses from process parameters for additively manufactured large metal parts is computationally expensive. NASA is currently developing meter-scale parts with direct energy deposition. Practically, the predictive computational methods need to efficiently scale-up to meter-scale parts. Coupled thermal-mechanical multi-physics simulations have been developed with the pragmatic method using ABAQUS, COMSOL Multiphysics, ALE3D software. The residual stresses are a result of the manufacturing process which creates thermal cycling of the build layers. The pragmatic method uses lumped thermal layers for stress predictions to reduce computational costs. The stress predictions as well as deformations of the different codes are compared with each other and with ANSYS Additive using identical material models, boundary and initial conditions. The codes were used to simulate three different geometries: a thin wall, hollow cylinder and twin-cantilever part. The coupon parts were then manufactured with Inconel-625. The residual stresses in these parts were measured using X-ray diffraction as well as neutron beam diffraction at NIST. The stress measurements for the two technologies are compared. The pragmatic stress prediction method enabled predictions of the multi-centimeter scale parts using desktop computer workstations in only a few hours for each coupon. The results of the simulated stress predictions compared favorably with the measured stresses even though thermally lumped layers were employed. Finally, a two-meter scale nozzle was simulated using ANSYS Additive. The simulations were used to examine the build orientation trade-space with respect to resulting geometric deformation. The predicted deformations were compared to measurements of an actual subscale part manufactured with direct energy deposition.

Additive Manufacturing↗
NASA NTRS2021

Micromechanics-based Modeling of Laminated SiC/SiC Ceramic Matrix Composites

The behavior and response of ceramic matrix composites (CMCs), in particular silicon carbide fiber reinforced silicon carbide matrix (SiC/SiC), is affected by many factors such as variation of fiber volume fraction, residual stresses resulting from processing of the composites at high temperature, random microstructures, and the presence of matrix flaws (e.g., voids, pores, cracks etc.) as well as general material nonlinearity and heterogeneity that occurs randomly in a composite. Residual stresses arising from the phase change of constituents are evaluated in this paper and it is shown that they do influence composite strength and need to be properly accounted for. Additionally, the microstructures (location of fiber centers, coating thickness etc.) of advanced CMCs are usually disordered (or random) and fiber diameter and strength typically have a distribution. They rarely resemble the ordered fiber packing (square, rectangular, or hexagonal) that is generally assumed in micromechanics-based models with periodic boundary conditions for computational expediency. These issues raise the question of how should one model such systems effectively? Can an ordered hexagonal packed repeating unit cell (RUC) accurately represent the random microstructure behavior? How many fibers need to be included to enable accurate representation? Clearly, the number of fibers within an RUC must be limited to insure a balance between accuracy and efficiency. NASA’s in-house micromechanics-based code MAC/GMC provides a framework to analyze such RUCs for the overall composite behavior and the FEAMAC computer code provides linkage of MAC/GMC to the commercial FEA code, ABAQUS. The appropriate level of discretization of the RUC as well as the analysis method employed, i.e., Generalized Method of Cells (GMC) or High Fidelity Generalized Method of Cells (HFGMC), is investigated in this paper in the context of a unidirectional as well as a cross-ply laminated CMC. Results including effective composite properties, proportional limit stress (an important design parameter) and fatigue are shown utilizing both GMC as well as HFGMC. Finally, a few multiscale analyses are performed on smooth bar test coupons as well as test coupons with features such as open-hole and double notches using FEAMAC. Best practices and guidance are provided to take these phenomena into account and keep a proper balance between fidelity (accuracy) and efficiency. Following these guidelines can account for important physics of the problem and provide significant advantages when performing large multiscale composite structural analyses.

Ceramic Matrix Composites↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Progressive Damage Failure Analysis of Post-Buckled Composite Single-Stringer Panel with Teflon Inserts

The high strength-to-weight and stiffness-to-weight ratio materials, such as laminated composites, are advantageous for modern aircraft. Laminated composites with initial flaws are susceptible to delamination under buckling loads. PDA tools help enhance the industry’s understanding of the mechanisms for damage initiation and growth in composite structures while assisting in the design, analysis, and sustainment methods of these composite structures. The global-local modeling approach for the single-stringer post-buckled panel was evaluated through this effort, using Teflon inserts to simulate the defect of damage during manufacturing. This understanding is essential for designing the post-buckled structure, reducing weight while predicting damage initiation location, and addressing a potential design review for future aircraft repairs. In this work, the initial damage was captured with Teflon inserts as the starting configuration; and any reference to the damage initiation refers to any damage beyond the “initial unbonded region.” The effort aims to develop, evaluate, and enhance methods to predict damage initiation and progression and the failure of post-buckled hat-stiffened panels using multiple Abaqus FEA Virtual Crack Closure Technique (VCCT) definitions. Validation of the PDA using the VCCT material model was performed on a large single-stringer panel subjected to compressive loading. The compressive loading of the panel caused the skin to buckle before any damage began to occur locally. In addition, comparisons are made for critical aspects of the damage morphology, such as a growth pattern that included delamination from the skin-stiffener interface to the skin and ply interfaces. When compared against the experimental data produced through the NASA Advanced Composites Project (ACP), the present model captured damage migration from one surface to another, and model validations were within 4% of the experimental data.

PDA↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Pragmatic Stress Prediction on Additively Manufactured Coupons

Prediction of residual stresses from process parameters for additively manufactured large metal parts is computationally expensive. NASA is currently developing meter-scale parts with direct energy deposition. Practically, the predictive computational methods need to efficiently scale-up to meter-scale parts. Coupled thermal-mechanical multi-physics simulations have been developed with the pragmatic method using ABAQUS, COMSOL Multiphysics, ALE3D software. The residual stresses are a result of the manufacturing process which creates thermal cycling of the build layers. The pragmatic method uses lumped thermal layers for stress predictions to reduce computational costs. The stress predictions as well as deformations of the different codes are compared with each other and with ANSYS Additive using identical material models, boundary and initial conditions. The codes were used to simulate three different geometries: a thin wall, hollow cylinder and twin-cantilever part. The coupon parts were then manufactured with Inconel-625. The residual stresses in these parts were measured using X-ray diffraction as well as neutron beam diffraction at NIST. The stress measurements for the two technologies are compared. The pragmatic stress prediction method enabled predictions of the multi-centimeter scale parts using desktop computer workstations in only a few hours for each coupon. The results of the simulated stress predictions compared favorably with the measured stresses even though thermally lumped layers were employed. Finally, a two-meter scale nozzle was simulated using ANSYS Additive. The simulations were used to examine the build orientation trade-space with respect to resulting geometric deformation. The predicted deformations were compared to measurements of an actual subscale part manufactured with direct energy deposition.

pragmatic method↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Mechanics of Structure Genome-Based Nonlinear Shell Analysis

In this paper, a mechanics of structure genome (MSG)-based nonlinear shell theory is introduced. The theory uses an implicit algorithm combining the Euler’s and Newton’s method that can be applied for shell modeling as well as 3D homogenization. This theory has been implemented into the general-purpose constitutive modeling code SwiftComp, which was originally developed for linear analyses. For the convenience of implementing different nonlinear material models, the SwiftComp user material (SCUMAT), which has a similar interface to the Abaqus user subroutine UMAT, is developed. The capability of the MSG-based nonlinear shell is validated with numerical examples with different material models. A 2-step nonlinear homogenization, with a micromechanics step and a shell analysis step, is demonstrated.

Yufei Long↗
NASA NTRS2021

Origami-Inspired Optical Shield for a Starshade Inner Disk Testbed: Design, Fabrication, and Analysis

In 2019, a 10 m-diameter starshade inner disk test article was assembled; this test article demonstrated deployment accuracy sufficient for starshade mission concepts. Here, we describe the design, fabrication, and computational structural analysis of a key inner disk component realized for this effort: the origami-folded optical shield. The optical shield is a 10 m-diameter lightweight cover that makes the inner disk opaque. It stows within a 2.3 m-diameter volume by using an origami-inspired wrapping pattern, and is deployed passively by the inner disk perimeter truss. The fold pattern was generated by a custom algorithm based one existing generative design approaches. This prototype demonstrated critical functions: stowage in a compact volume, static equilibrium when stowed and deployed, and low strain when stowed. Four separate computational structural analysis models of the optical shield were de- veloped, at varying levels of fidelity and using a variety of software solutions: Abaqus, RAPID, and ADAMS. These models were intended to pathfind approaches for modeling the stowage and deployment of the inner disk, and to demonstrate that the optical shield is amenable existing structural modeling approaches. These models were found to adequately capture pertinent stowage and deployment behavior of the optical shield prototype.

Hoffman, Laura↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

FEA-Based Failure Analysis of Post-Buckled Composite Multi-Hat Stiffened Panel Under Static Compression

The aerospace industry uses composite multi-hat stiffened panels for skins because of their high strength-to-weight and stiffness-to-weight ratios. However, laminated composites with initial flaws are susceptible to delamination under buckling loads. The goal is to ensure damage initiation occurs past the buckled state, only stable damage progression at loads below the ultimate compressive load, and debonding failure past the ultimate compressive load. This approach reduces weight and addresses a potential design review for future aircraft repairs. The need exists to better understand damage initiation and growth mechanisms in composite structures while assisting in the design, analysis, and sustainment methods. Teflon inserts simulate damage defects during manufacturing, while barely visible impact helps capture human error during manufacturing. This work shows the interaction between the skin-stringer and ply-ply separations at the post-buckled state for both defect events using Abaqus Virtual Crack Closure Technique (VCCT). The initial configuration for the Teflon case was to leave the Teflon region unbonded, and the initial impact damage region approximation came from the experimental data and was considered the initial configuration. When compared against the experimental data produced through the NASA Advanced Composites Project (ACP), the present model captured damage transition from skin-hat to ply1-ply2. The model validations were within ~5% of the experimental data.

composite↗
NASA NTRS2022

Design of Rigid-Flex PCB Robotics Leveraging Validated Finite Element Simulations

The use of rigid-flex printed circuit board (PCB) as primary structure has the potential to reduce the weight and volume of robotic systems. In the case of robotics for interplanetary exploration, these systems can leverage origami-inspired folding for increased mobility options and reduced storage volume. Folding rigid-flex PCB robotics can be constructed with rigid PCB connected by short Nomex fabric hinges coupled with flex PCB ribbon cables that permits enhanced system flexibility and energy dissipation to promote impact survivability. This paper presents a design methodology of rigid-flex PCB systems with an emphasis on impact resistance. The design process considers solder joint adequacy, panel bending, and fracture using a finite element (FE) model. The proposed design methodology is developed using a case study with NASA JPL's Pop-Up Folding Flat Explorer Robot (PUFFER). First, the finite-element (FE) modeling methodology is presented with consideration to both frequency and time-domain modeling applications, which include operational self-contact analysis and high impact scenarios. The time-domain impact modeling methodology utilizes hyperelastic material properties for the Nomex hinges. This modeling method is validated using image correlation of PUFFER drop tests. A flowchart is presented to guide users through a validated Abaqus modeling procedure for highly flexible rigid-flex systems. Next, a case study is presented in which PUFFER is subject to drop heights representative of falls into Lunar pits and then the design is refined for a more optimum impact performance. Finally, the results of the case study are used to inform a generalized design methodology for rigid-flex PCB robotics subject to high-impact loads with the considerations presented.

John Bell↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Integration of Fatigue R-Curve Effects into VCCT for Durability Predictions, Part 1: Buckled Composite Single-Stringer Stiffened Panels

Composite structures have become popular in modern aircraft because they help reduce weight and increase durability. In addition, hat-stiffened panels provide the stability that the airframe skin needs. However, they can be subject to delamination in the post-buckling regime. Progressive damage analysis (PDA) methods can help predict interlaminar and intralaminar failure events. Many aircraft structures are subject to cyclic loading in the post-buckling regime. Hence, fatigue life prediction becomes essential for design and sustainment purposes. Under the NASA Advanced Composites Project (ACP), composite panels stiffened with single hat-stringers were subject to a cyclic loading sequence from a pre-buckling state to a post-buckling state. This test campaign aimed to provide damage initiation and growth data for three initial damage scenarios: nominally pristine, initial Teflon inserts representing manufacturing defects, and impact-induced damage. This work uses the Abaqus FEA Virtual Crack Closure Technique (VCCT), capabilities enhanced through a novel empirical method integrating fatigue R-curve effects (different from R-ratio) into the Paris Law via user-defined subroutine to simulate the fatigue response of the panels with single hat-stringers. The analysis predictions were within 5% of the test results using this novel method.

single hat↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Integration of Fatigue R-Curve Effects into VCCT for Durability Predictions, Part 2: Buckled Composite Multi-Stringer Stiffened Panels

Composite structures with hat-stiffened panels have gained traction in modern aircraft because they help reduce weight, increase durability, and provide stability to airframe skins. For weight reduction, skins should be designed to operate in the post-buckling regime. This causes possible interlaminar and intralaminar failure. However, composite panels stiffened with multiple hat-stringers are subject to cyclic loading even in the post-buckling regime. Under the NASA Advanced Composites Project (ACP), composite panels with multiple hatstringers were subject to a cyclic loading sequence from a pre-buckling state to a post-buckling state. This effort aimed to predict interlaminar failure for cyclic compression loading with pre-existent impact-induced damage. This work uses the Abaqus FEA Virtual Crack Closure Technique (VCCT), capabilities enhanced through an empirical method to integrate fatigue R-curve effects (different from R-ratio) into the Paris Law via user-defined subroutine to simulate the fatigue response o

ACP↗
NASA NTRS2022

Design of Rigid-Flex PCB Robotics Leveraging Validated Finite Element Simulations

The use of rigid-flex printed circuit board (PCB) as primary structure has the potential to reduce the weight and volume of robotic systems. In the case of robotics for interplanetary exploration, these systems can leverage origamiinspired folding for increased mobility options and reduced storage volume. Folding rigid-flex PCB robotics can be constructed with rigid PCB connected by short Nomex fabric hinges coupled with flex PCB ribbon cables that permits enhanced system flexibility and energy dissipation to promote impact survivability. This paper presents a design methodology of rigidflex PCB systems with an emphasis on impact resistance. The design process considers solder joint adequacy, panel bending, and fracture using a finite element (FE) model. The proposed design methodology is developed using a case study with NASA JPL’s Pop-Up Folding Flat Explorer Robot (PUFFER). First, the finite-element (FE) modeling methodology is presented with consideration to both frequency and time-domain modeling applications, which include operational self-contact analysis and high impact scenarios. The time-domain impact modeling methodology utilizes hyperelastic material properties for the Nomex hinges. This modeling method is validated using image correlation of PUFFER drop tests. A flowchart is presented to guide users through a validated Abaqus modeling procedure for highly flexible rigid-flex systems. Next, a case study is presented in which PUFFER is subject to drop heights representative of falls into Lunar pits and then the design is refined for a more optimum impact performance. Finally, the results of the case study are used to inform a generalized design methodology for rigid-flex PCB robotics subject to high-impact loads with the considerations presented.

de la Croix, Jean-Pierre↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Design and Analysis of Shape Memory Spring Tires for Martian and Lunar Rover Vehicles

Shape memory alloys (SMAs) have played an important role in various innovative engineering and medical applications, such as aerospace actuators, vibration damping devices, and coronary stents. In applications, shape memory alloys are commonly utilized in two fundamentally different ways: (i) making use of the superelasticity/ pseudoelasticity (SE/PE) phenomena, as in applications in biomedical engineering, and (ii) taking advantages of the shape memory effect (SME), as is used for actuators. Their ability to act in such vastly different capacities is mainly due to their unique capability to recover large amounts of deformation produced by either applied stresses or temperature changes. One recent emerging application in use of SMAs has been in the area of non-pneumatic tire designs for Martian or Lunar roving vehicles. These vehicles require tires that are capable of traversing rugged terrain while withstanding extreme temperatures and atmospheric conditions. Inspired by the flexible wire mesh tires used on three Lunar Roving Vehicle (LRV) missions to the Moon on Apollo 15, 16, and 17, a new compliant tire technology was developed by the NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) and Goodyear Tire & Rubber, known as the Spring Tire. The Spring Tire consists of several hundred coiled springs woven into a flexible mesh and formed into the shape of a tire. Like the LRV wire mesh tires, the original Spring Tires were made from spring steel and were prone to permanent deformation when undergoing high localized loads. Later, a new iteration of this technology was invented, known as the ‘Superelastic Tire’. This new technology incorporated the use of superelastic SMA springs, which could effectively undergo approximately 30 times more reversible deformation than the steel spring. It also provided even greater durability and allowed for more flexibility in design, such as the use of other structural forms to reduce mass or increase load carrying capacity. Because of the unique nature of both the SMA material and the complex interactions between the springs, designing Spring Tires for a specific application requires extensive effort. Historically, design decisions have relied on full-scale empirical testing; however, this is very expensive and time consuming, especially when multiple iterations are needed. Therefore, developing a large-scale, robust, and predictive numerical model entailing complex spring interactions and the shape memory material behavior within a tire construct is the first essential step towards a successful design program. The current work focuses on implementation of the user-defined Shape Memory Alloy (SMA) model, otherwise known as SMA-GVIPs, in the Finite Element analysis (FEA) program ABAQUS for large-scale simulations of the GRC-developed Spring Tires made of SMA. The novelty of this work lies in the thorough, detail-oriented, and computationally efficient finite element analysis of full-scale SMA tires. A well-thought material characterization plan followed by model validation and a systemic sensitivity study on SMA tires has never been reported in the previous literature. The main objective of this study is to help the team improve and optimize the structural design of the SMA tires through in-depth numerical analysis and sensitivity studies. Various design variables (wire diameter, coil diameter, pitch, bead angle, and number of springs) were varied to study their influence on the global load-displacement response of the tire construct. A detailed investigation of the three-dimensional stress states was also carried out to enhance our understanding of the local changes as the tire goes through global deformation. It was concluded that a robust numerical model with a good predictive capability, together with a thoughtfully crafted sensitivity study can result in improved design iterations required to reach a desired tire performance while, significantly reducing manufacturing, labor and testing expenses. A summary of the Finite Element (FE) model construction will be presented together with a description of the user-defined SMA model, characterization process, experimental results, model validation, and numerical sensitivity study results.

shape memory alloys↗
NASA NTRS2024

Development and Implementation of Large-Scale Numerical Models for Shape Memory Mars Spring Tires

The current work focuses on implementation of the user-defined shape memory alloy (SMA) model in the finite element analysis program ABAQUS for large-scale simulations of the Spring Tires made of SMA developed at the NASA Glenn Research Center. The main objective of this study was to improve and optimize the structural design of the SMA tires through in-depth numerical analysis and sensitivity studies. Various design variables (wire diam., coil diam., pitch, spring length, and bead angle) were varied to study their influence on the global load-displacement response of the tire construct. A detailed investigation of the three-dimensional stress states was also carried out to enhance understanding of the local changes as the tire goes through global deformation. It was concluded that a robust numerical model with a good predictive capability, together with a thoughtfully crafted sensitivity study, can result in reduced design iterations required to reach a desired tire performance. This will, in turn, lead to significantly reduced manufacturing time, required labor, and testing expense.

shape memory alloys↗
NASA NTRS2023

A Finite Element Approach for Simplified 2D Nonlinear Dynamic Contact/Impact Analysis

In this paper, a simplified numerical approach for finite element dynamic analysis of an inelastic solid structure subjected to solid object impact is presented. The approach approximates the impacting solid as the selected multiple nodes, for which mass of the impactor is distributed. The node-to-segment contact formulation with the penalty constraint technique incorporated is employed to impose contact conditions between the nodes and the surface of the receiver structure. The node-to-segment algorithm is integrated into Newton–Raphson time integration scheme and the Lagrange multiplier technique is applied to enforce the identical displacements for the selected nodes throughout the analysis process. The approach is verified using two-dimensional plane strain models considering elastic-perfectly-plastic material behavior. The results obtained using the proposed approach are in a good agreement with those simulated using a commercial finite element code, ABAQUS dynamic/implicit, in terms of displacements and stress distribution fields. The proposed approach is shown to be computationally superior to general finite element method-based contact/impact analysis without significantly sacrificing the accuracy.

Seungwook Seok↗
NASA NTRS2024

Filament Wound Composite Analysis Using the NASA Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT) and Finite Element Analysis

Fiber reinforced composite materials, owing to their tailorable thermomechanical and functional properties, allow one to produce a structure that is stronger, stiffer, and lighter than its metal counterpart while performing the same function, yielding a more efficient structure. This not only allows for the improvement of current technologies like aircraft structures, but also enables new technologies like gaseous hydrogen storage for mobility applications, which are otherwise impractical when manufactured using traditional metals due to weight and space restrictions or material embrittlement. However, the use of composites imposes greater design and manufacturing challenges on an engineer, since they are heterogenous, having a distinct structure across multiple length scale, behave generally anisotropically at the structural level and require complex manufacturing and processing methods. Capturing this complex behavior requires detailed numerical simulations, including the modeling of microstructural features like undulations, voids, and fiber alignment. In this paper, multiple repeating unit cells (RUCs), representing filament wound composites, are developed (via a script provided in the Appendix) and analyzed. The refinement of these RUCs is varied, and the analyses are performed using both the Abaqus finite element software and the NASA Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT). A study is undertaken to compare the predicted effective elastic properties of the wound RUC to a laminate representation of the wound RUC, which neglects the undulations. Additionally, two different sets of periodic boundary conditions (PBCs) have been examined. One approximates the real boundary conditions using a standard approach and the other represents the PBCs exactly through the use of an offset. Lastly, a comparison of the local elastic stress fields is made among the models and approaches. Since wound structures are often approximated as laminated structures, it is important to understand the degree to which this assumption is valid, namely by first comparing the elastic constants and local elastic fields. This will provide, on the one hand, information concerning the bulk mechanical behavior and, on the other hand, insights concerning local load distributions and likely damage initiation sites.

Composites↗
DOE OSTI2021

MRP and NEAMS Meeting - Current Modeling to Support Experiments

Heat-pipe cooled micro-reactor is currently being actively investigated in the NS&T department at INL. Given the high operation temperature and large temperature gradients in the system, the induced thermal stresses need to be well analyzed and kept within the safety margin. Two commercial FEM software (ABAQUS and STAR-CCM+) have been proposed to simulate and compare for both the temperature and stress distributions for the single heat pipe experiments, with the middle single heat pipe and 6 heaters surrounded. This presentation file is aimed to provide the latest updates for the researchers who is under NEAMS program and involved with the DOE micro-reactor program

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainty Quantification of Calculated Temperatures for the AGR 5/6/7 Experiment

This report documents the quantification of uncertainty of the calculated temperature data for the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) 5/6/7 fuel irradiation experiment conducted in the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory in support of the Advanced Reactor Technologies? research and development program. Recognizing uncertainties inherent in physics and thermal simulations of the AGR 5/6/7 capsules, the results of the numerical simulations are used in combination with statistical analysis methods to improve qualification of measured data. The calculated fuel temperatures for AGR tests are also used for validation of the fission product transport and fuel performance simulation models. These crucial roles of the calculated fuel temperatures in ensuring achievement of the AGR experimental program objectives require accurate determination of the model temperature uncertainties. This report covers temperature uncertainty results for each of the five AGR 5/6/7 capsules. To quantify the uncertainty of calculated temperatures determined using the ABAQUS finite element heat transfer code, this study identifies and analyzes model parameters of potential importance to the calculated temperatures of fuel compacts and thermocouples. The selection of input parameters for uncertainty quantification is based on the ranking of their influences upon temperature predictions. Thus, selected input parameters include those with high sensitivity and those with the largest uncertainty. Propagation of model parameter uncertainty and sensitivity is then used to quantify the overall uncertainty of calculated temperatures. Measurement uncertainty, analysis of modeling assumptions, and expert judgment are used as the basis to quantify the uncertainty range for selected input parameters. The input uncertainties are dynamic, accounting for the effect of unplanned events and changes in thermal properties of capsule components over extended exposure to high temperatures and fast neutron irradiation. The sensitivity analysis performed in this work went beyond the traditional local sensitivity. Using experimental design, analysis of pairwise interactions of model parameters was performed to establish sufficiency of the time dependent first order (linear) expansion terms in constructing the temperature response surface. To achieve completeness, uncertainty propagation made use of pairwise noise correlations of model parameters. Furthermore, using an interpolation scheme over the input parameter domain, the analysis obtains time dependent sensitivity over the test campaign duration. This allows computation of uncertainty for the calculated fuel temperatures and the calculated graphite temperatures at thermocouple locations during the entire irradiation period.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗