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A monthly newsletter containing progress reports and accomplishments that occurred for various projects at Los Alamos National Laboratory throughout January 2023.
A monthly newsletter containing progress reports and accomplishments that occurred for various projects at Los Alamos National Laboratory throughout February 2023.
For the Ta equation of state (EOS) model introduced in our recent publication (Gorman et al., 2023), we have made a fairly accurate analytic fit to this EOS over a limited range. The detailed functional form and associated parameters of this fit are presented here.
This presentation covers the results of new QC bounds generated using data from 10 TP89 reference specimen scans and 30 water scans acquired between January 12 and February 2, 2023. All scan data were acquired on the DSTL HMEX MCT system (in lead cabinet). All data presented were from DSTL’s reconstructions of recent HMEX scans.
Monthly summary of top achievements at Los Alamos National Laboratory in May 2023, including nuclear security; science, technology, and engineering; mission operations; and community relations.
This report provides an overview and status update on U.S. state renewables portfolio standards (RPS) and has been expanded from previous editions to also cover 100% clean electricity standards (CES) adopted by a growing number of states. The report, published in slide-deck form along with accompanying data files, describes recent legislative revisions, key policy design features, compliance with interim targets, past and projected impacts on clean electricity development, and compliance costs. The 2023 edition presents historical data through year-end 2022 and projections out to 2050. Key trends from this edition of the report include the following: -Evolution of state RPS and CES programs: States continue to refine and revise their RPS policies, often by adopting higher targets and/or broader CES policies. Among the 29 states plus DC with an RPS, 16 states have RPS targets of at least 50% of retail sales, and 17 states have a 100% CES or RPS target. -Historical impacts on renewables development: Roughly half of all growth in U.S. renewable electricity (RE) generation and capacity since 2000 is associated with state RPS requirements, though that percentage has declined in recent years, representing 30% of all U.S. RE capacity additions in 2022. Within some regions, particularly the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, RPS policies play a more central role in motivating RE growth. -Future RPS and CES demand and incremental needs: RPS and CES policies will require roughly 300 terawatt-hours (TWh) of additional clean electricity supply by 2030 and 800 TWh by 2050, requiring total U.S. non-hydro RE generation to reach 28% of electricity sales by 2050 (compared to 17% today). This amounts to roughly one-quarter of EIA’s projected RE growth through 2050. -RPS target achievement to-date: States have generally met their interim RPS targets in recent years, with only a few exceptions reflecting unique, state-specific issues. Most CES targets are not yet in force. -Renewable energy certificate (REC) pricing trends: Prices for NEPOOL Class I RECs remained at roughly $\$40$ /MWh over the past year, just below alternative compliance payment (ACP) rates in the larger state markets, while PJM Tier I REC prices continued to rise, reaching $\$30$ /MWh by year-end. Prices for solar RECs (or SRECs) remained relatively stable, and continue to exhibit wide variation across states, with the highest prices ($\$200-450$ /MWh) in NJ, MA, and DC. -RPS compliance costs: RPS compliance costs average roughly 3.5% of retail electricity bills across RPS states, though vary widely from state to state, with the highest costs (8-12% of retail bills) in states with solar carve-outs and high SREC prices.
This presentation, part of an NREL-hosted webinar in March 2023, discusses end-use savings shapes and public datasets.
A monthly summary of top achievements at Los Alamos National Laboratory from June, 2023.
Electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure continues to rapidly change and grow. Using data from the U.S. Department of Energy's Alternative Fueling Station Locator, this report provides a snapshot of the state of EV charging infrastructure in the United States in the first calendar quarter of 2023 by charging level, network, and location. Additionally, this report measures the current state of charging infrastructure compared with a 2030 infrastructure requirement scenario. This information is intended to help transportation planners, policymakers, researchers, infrastructure developers, and others understand the rapidly changing landscape of EV charging infrastructure. This is the thirteenth report in a series. Reports from previous quarters can be found in the Alternative Fuels Data Center (AFDC) and National Renewable Energy Laboratory publication databases, as well as the AFDC Charging Infrastructure Trends page (https://afdc.energy.gov/fuels/electricity_infrastructure_trends.html).
This presentation is titled American Nuclear Society 2023 Student Conference and is led by with introductions from a few of the students. This presentation touches on how operations serve the mission, and everyone is a part of it. In order for anyone to operate with special nuclear material (SNM) the responsible contractor or licensee must comply with several regulations. The presentation touches on how there are several roles involved in operations. This talk also includes a page of references, regulations, standards and guidance. The presentation concludes with a section on Material Balance Areas (MBA).
The 2023 Water Brief for Energy Applications provides 27 maps related to energy applications water use, water availability and water stress.
Experimental and numerical studies in support of developing the integrated Elastic–Perfectly Plastic (EPP) plus Simplified Model Test (SMT) design methodology, referred to as the EPP+SMT method, continued in FY 2023. This report focuses on the methods for extrapolating the EPP+SMT creep-fatigue life curves at long hold times and low strain ranges at elevated temperatures. In this work, the available uniaxial creep-fatigue failure data on Alloy 617 at temperatures of 950°C and 850°C were analyzed to provide a guidance on the development of the extrapolation method and the creep-fatigue failure criteria. A viscoplastic constitutive model for Alloy 617 was adopted to extrapolate the mechanical responses to low strain ranges and long hold times. A set of design curves of Alloy 617 at temperatures of 950°C, 850°C, and 800°C with tensile hold times of 1 hr, 100 hr, and 1,000 hr are developed. Furthermore, creep-fatigue testing on two notch specimen geometries, shallow-notch and sharp V-notch, on Alloy 617 was performed 950°C to understand the multiaxial stress relaxation behavior. The experimental and numerical results on the notch specimens were compared with those on the standard uniaxial smooth bar specimens. The effect of multi-axial stress state combined with elastic follow-up on the stress relaxation behavior was investigated in this report.
A collaborative research and development effort in support of the Alloy 709 Code Case qualification in the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, Section III, Division 5, High Temperature Reactors is being carried out at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne). In FY 2023, ORNL has continued to conduct a subset of the Code Case testing for tensile, creep rupture, fatigue and creep-fatigue on Alloy 709. This report also updates the key Code Case testing status and results on the first two commercial heats and the preliminary results on the third commercial heat of Alloy 709. The three commercial heats of Alloy 709 are all in plate product form.
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and collaborators have created a clear-sky probability analysis to help guide viewers to the 2023 annular solar eclipse and the 2024 total solar eclipse. Using cloud and solar data from the NREL National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB), the analysis provides cloudless-sky probabilities specific to the date, time, and location of each eclipse with a 4-km resolution. Though not intended to be an eclipse weather forecast, the detailed maps can help guide eclipse enthusiasts to likely optimal viewing locations. Additionally, high-resolution data are presented for the centerline of the path of each eclipse, representing the likelihood for cloudless skies and atmospheric clarity. The NSRDB provides industry, academia, and other stakeholders with high-resolution solar irradiance data to support feasibility analyses for photovoltaic and concentrating solar power generation projects.
David Andersson (Materials Science in Radiation and Dynamic Extremes, MST-8) is the recipient of the 2023 American Nuclear Society (ANS) Mishima Award. The award recognizes outstanding contributions of an individual in research and development work on nuclear fuels and materials. Andersson is a staff scientist on MST-8’s Modeling of Radiation Effects team. An expert in atomistic modeling of nuclear fuels—both traditional UO 2 light water reactor fuel and advanced accident tolerant fuel concepts—he has been involved in numerous international and national multiscale simulation efforts to develop models for use in nuclear fuel performance simulations.
The Offshore Wind Market Report: 2023 Edition provides detailed information on the U.S. and global offshore wind energy industries to inform policymakers, researchers, and analysts about technology, economic, and market trends. This presentation highlights the main points of the report to help provide a summary.
Monthly summary of achievements from Los Alamos National Laboratory in July, 2023.
The global effort to curb carbon emissions is accelerating demand for clean energy technologies and the materials they rely on. Demand for these materials will only continue to grow, especially as some nations aim to achieve net zero emissions by 2050. While some major materials like steel, copper, and aluminum are already powering the fossil fuel economy, others are more minor materials with potential supply risks. These risks could jeopardize the ability to reduce greenhouse gas emissions within the desirable timeframe to avoid significant climate change. In some cases, it may be necessary to take action to improve the resilience of material supply chains and mitigate supply risks. Understanding the importance of individual materials to clean energy and the supply risks associated with them is necessary to identify which materials may serve as potential roadblocks to a clean energy future. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) issued a series of 13 supply chain deep dive assessment reports on various energy technologies in 2022 in response to President Biden’s Executive Order on America’s Supply Chains (E.O. 14017). These reports emphasized that supply chain bottlenecks can occur at any stage of the value chain from mining and refining to component and even sub-system manufacturing. The bottlenecks are a combination of factors such as material availability, equipment availability, work force availability and quality, logistics, regulatory framework, and market conditions. These bottlenecks were worsened during the global Covid-19 pandemic. Its lingering impacts have hindered capacity expansion for material supply chains and prevented product lead-time recovery. One approach to reduce supply chain risks for the United States is to have a strong domestic manufacturing sector with a diverse set of producers. Boosting responsible domestic production would require leveraging the latest science not only in material extraction but also in developing substitutes, recycling, reuse, and remanufacturing. This report is an updated analysis of previous Critical Materials Strategy (CMS) reports published by the DOE in 2010, 2011, and 2019 based on national and global priorities, technology advancement, and technology adoption trends. Like the CMS reports, this analysis presents the results of a formal material criticality assessment to identify which materials are critical to the continued deployment of clean energy technologies globally. The analysis in this report leveraged the DOE supply chain deep dive assessments to develop the initial list of materials to evaluate. This DOE Critical Materials Assessment (CMA) is conducted independently of criticality assessments performed by other U.S. government agencies, such as that conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). This analysis complements the USGS critical minerals determination in three aspects. First, the DOE assessment is performed from a global perspective, while the USGS analysis focusses on the importance of minerals to the U.S. economy. Second, this report focuses on the importance of materials to clean energy technologies, rather than to the economy in general. Lastly, this study is forward looking to 2035 based on clean energy deployment scenarios, whereas the USGS assessment is retrospective. Materials evaluated in this report that do not appear in the USGS Critical Minerals List include copper, uranium, electrical steel, and SiC. A draft version of this report received ~80 public comments related to supporting data and methodological improvement. Those comments have been incorporated as much as possible where appropriate. Highlights of findings from this 2023 CMA include: Rare earth materials (neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium) used in magnets in electric vehicle (EV) motors and wind turbine generators continue to be critical. While dysprosium (Dy) and terbium (Tb) are both heavy rare earth elements that serve the same function in magnets, the criticality of Tb is slightly lower than that for Dy in the short term due to the widespread use of Dy in high-grade magnets and Tb’s present role as a substitute. Similarly, praseodymium (Pr) is critical in the medium term but only near critical in the short term because it is more substitutable in magnets than neodymium (Nd); Materials used in batteries for EVs and stationary storage are now considered to be critical. While cobalt (Co) was found to be critical in this and previous reports, lithium (Li) becomes critical in the medium term due to its broader use in various battery chemistries and the rampant growth of the EV industry. Natural graphite is a new addition in this assessment and is also found to be critical; Platinum group metals used in hydrogen electrolyzers, such as platinum (Pr) and iridium (Ir), are critical due to an increased focus on hydrogen technologies to achieve net zero carbon emissions, while those used in catalytic converters, such as rhodium (Rh) and palladium (Pd), were screened out due to the decreased importance of catalytic converters in the medium term; Gallium (Ga) continues to be critical due to its use in light-emitting diodes (LEDs). In addition, the use of Ga has increased in magnet manufacturing and in semiconductor in forms such as gallium arsenide (GaAs) or gallium nitride (GaN); Major materials like Aluminum (Al), copper (Cu), nickel (Ni), and silicon (Si) move from noncritical in the short term to near critical in the medium term due to their importance in electrification; Electrical steel is near critical due to its use in transformers for the grid and electric motors in EVs.