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DOE OSTI2022

Thermoelectric Figure of Merit of a Superatomic Crystal Re 6 Se 8 I 2 Monolayer

Superatomic materials are newly emerging candidates for high-performance thermoelectric (TE) devices due to their intrinsic ultralow thermal conductivities. However, the low TE power factor becomes a huge obstacle to reaching the required the dimensionless figure of merit (ZT) values for practical applications. Here, motivated by the recently synthesized superatomic Re 6 Se 8 I 2 monolayer [J. Am. Chem. Soc. 144, 74 (2022)], we study its superior thermoelectric properties by using density functional theory combined with phonon Boltzmann transport theory and deep potential molecular dynamics. We show that the large mass and anharmonic Re-I bonds introduce strong phonon scattering and result in low lattice thermal conductivity of 1.20 W m -1 K -1 at 300 K, while the strong and harmonic Re-Se network ensures the high TE power factor of 4344 μW m -1 K -2 in b direction for n-type doping. This is an order of magnitude higher than that of other cluster-based materials. Due to the low thermal conductivity and high TE power factor, Re 6 Se 8 I 2 exhibits high ZT values of 1.20 (500 K) and 1.43 (900 K) with n-type doping along the b direction among all the cluster-based thermoelectric materials reported so far.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2026

National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) 2025 U.S. Geothermal Market Report

The 2025 U.S. Geothermal Market Report updates and expands on the 2021 U.S. Geothermal Power Production and District Heating Market Report with the inclusion of geothermal heat pumps (GHPs) for both distributed and centralized heating and cooling applications. The report updates technology and cost trends in the geothermal power generation industry as well as an uptick in market activities, especially those of next-generation geothermal power technologies, including enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) and closed-loop geothermal (CLG). This report also tracks policy and market drivers that have influenced the direction and growth pace of the U.S. geothermal industry over the years, and especially since 2020.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Frequency-domain computing using nonlinear acoustic-wave device on lithium niobate

Abstract Multiply-accumulation are crucial computing operations in signal processing, numerical simulations, and machine learning. In recent years, optical analog approaches have demonstrated higher computing performance and better power efficiency than their digital counterparts. However, analog computing chips usually need large areas and complex structures for parallel computing, as a single device element only executes one computing operation at a single time. Here, we demonstrate frequency-domain computing using the nonlinear acoustic-wave devices on lithium niobate, featuring a normalized external second-harmonic generation conversion efficiency of ~ 5.7 × 10-4 W-1. The second-order sum-frequency nonlinear process of lithium niobate enables multiplication of inputs encoded in the frequency domain. Compared to the analog schemes, our device features a notably simpler design, and nanofabrication requires only one lift-off. Using a single acoustic-wave device within an area of 0.03 mm2, we can simultaneously conduct over 130,000 multiply-accumulation operations. Our acoustic-wave device shows applications in real and complex vector convolutions and image processing. This demonstration sets the stage for experimental realizations into frequency-domain integrated nonlinear acoustic computing systems, potentially shaping future developments in acoustic neural networks and quantum computing.

chai, mingzhao (ORCID:0009000466226341)↗

DOE OSTI2022

tell: a Python package to model future total electricity loads in the United States

The purpose of the Total ELectricity Load (tell) model is to generate 21st century profiles of hourly electricity load (demand) across the Conterminous United States (CONUS). tell loads reflect the impact of climate and socioeconomic change at a spatial and temporal resolution adequate for input to an electricity grid operations model. tell uses machine learning to develop profiles that are driven by projections of climate/meteorology and population. tell also harmonizes its results with United States (U.S.) state-level, annual projections from a national- to global-scale energy-economy model. This model accounts for a wide range of other factors affecting electricity demand, including technology change in the building sector, energy prices, and demand elasticities, which stems from model coupling with the U.S. version of the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM-USA). tell was developed as part of the Integrated Multisector Multiscale Modeling (IM3) project. IM3 explores the vulnerability and resilience of interacting energy, water, land, and urban systems in response to compound stressors, such as climate trends, extreme events, population, urbanization, energy system transitions, and technology change

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Uncertainty-aware photovoltaic generation estimation through fusion of physics with harmonics information using Bayesian neural networks

We develop an aggregate photovoltaic generation estimation methodology that uses diverse inputs and can reason on its current input-dependent predictive uncertainty. Named PVPHEst, for PhotoVoltaic Physics- & Harmonics-driven Estimator, the resulting tool is intelligently weighing and fusing information carried by the output of physics models, harmonics, and line sensors, using Bayesian neural networks and related techniques aimed at solving machine learning problems with intrinsic uncertainty quantification. As each of the three input classes carries heterogeneous information that only sheds light on one facet of the estimation problem but its value can diminish in the face of diverse grid phenomena, PV-PHEst with its estimation and uncertainty reasoning capabilities perform a nontrivial and potentially mission-critical task of value to grid operators.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Efficient ECCD non-inductive plasma current start-up, ramp-up, and sustainment for an ST fusion reactor

The elimination of the need for an Ohmic heating solenoid may be the most impactful design driver for the realization of economical compact fusion tokamak reactor systems. However, this would require fully non-inductive start-up and current ramp-up from zero plasma current and low electron temperature of sub-keV to the full plasma current of ~10–15 MA at 20–30 keV electron temperature. To address this challenge, an efficient solenoid-free start-up and ramp-up scenario utilizing a low-field-side-launched extraordinary mode at the fundamental electron cyclotron harmonic frequency (X–I) is proposed, which has more than two orders of magnitude higher electron cyclotron current drive (ECCD) efficiency than the conventional ECCD for the sub-keV start-up regime. A time dependent model was developed to simulate the start-up scenarios. For the Spherical Tokamak Advanced Reactor (STAR) (Menard et al 2023 Next-Step Low-Aspect-Ratio Tokamak Design Studies (IAEA)), it was found that to fully non-inductively ramp-up to 15 MA, it would take about 25 MW of EC power at 170 GHz. Because of the relatively large plasma volume of STAR, radiation losses must be considered. It is important to make sure that high Z impurities are kept sufficiently low during the early current start-up phase where the temperature is sub-keV range. Since the initial current ramp up takes place at a factor of ten lower density compared to the sustained regimes, it is important to transition into a higher bootstrap fraction discharge at lower density to minimize the ECCD power requirement during the densification. For the sustainment phase an array of eight gyrotron launchers with a total of about 60 MW of fundamental O-mode was found to be sufficient to provide the required axis-peaked external current drive. High efficiencies between 19–57 kA MW –1 were found with optimal aiming, and these were resilient to small changes in aiming angles and density and temperature profiles.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning guided selection of broad-spectrum epitope-specific functional antibodies for "Disease X"

Our project established and demonstrated a transfer learning framework that enables prediction of antibody–antigen interactions across related viruses. The approach focused on three major activities: 1. Conserved region and epitope identification – We compared viral protein structures and sequences to identify shared receptor-binding domains and neutralizing epitope regions across variants and related viruses. These conserved features formed the foundation for discovering broadly functional antibodies. 2. Machine learning model development – We built neural network–based models that integrate epitope features with antibody sequence information. Instead of relying solely on structural or physical properties, the models learned transferable patterns that describe antibody binding potential across different viral families. 3. Transfer learning and validation – Using SARS-CoV-2 and Ebola as source systems, we successfully transferred learned epitope features to predict antibody interactions for SARS CoV-1 and Marburg virus. Iterative cycles of dataset generation, retraining, and evaluation improved generalization and predictive power, ensuring the framework can adapt to new threats.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Phenomenological model of the third-harmonic magnetic response due to superconducting fluctuations: Application to Sr 2 RuO 4

Here, we employ the phenomenological Lawrence-Doniach model to compute the contributions of the superconducting fluctuations to the third-harmonic magnetic response, denoted here by $\bar{M_3}$, which can be measured in a precise way using ac magnetic fields and lock-in techniques. We show that, in an intermediate temperature regime, this quantity behaves as the third-order nonlinear susceptibility, which shows a power-law dependence with the reduced temperature ε = $\frac{T-T_c}{T_c}$ as ε -5/2 . Very close to T c , however, $\bar{M_3}$ saturates due to the nonzero amplitude of the ac field. We compare our theoretical results with experimental data for three conventional superconductors—lead, niobium, and vanadium—and for the unconventional superconductor Sr 2 RuO 4 (SRO). We find good agreement between theory and experiment for the elemental superconductors, although the theoretical values for the critical field systematically deviate from the experimental ones. In the case of SRO, however, the phenomenological model completely fails to describe the data, as the third-harmonic response remains sizable over a much wider reduced temperature range compared to Pb, Nb, and V. We show that an inhomogeneous distribution of T c across the sample can partially account for this discrepancy, since regions with a locally higher T c contribute to the fluctuation $\bar{M_3}$ significantly more than regions with the “nominal” T c of the clean system. However, the exponential temperature dependence of $\bar{M_3}$ first reported by Pelc et al. [Nat. Commun. 10, 2729 (2019)] is not captured by the model with inhomogeneity. We conclude that, while inhomogeneity is an important ingredient to understand the superconducting fluctuations of SRO and other perovskite superconductors, additional effects may be at play, such as non-Gaussian fluctuations or rare-region effects.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2024

Impedance Scan of Inverter-Based Resources and Diesel Generator for Stability Analysis

Impedance-based methods are widely used for power system stability analysis with inverter-based resources (IBRs), e.g., assessing dynamic interactions between the power grid and an IBR, control interactions between multiple IBRs, and the sub-synchronous oscillation and damping phenomenon. Since it is difficult to get a numerical model 100% matching with the hardware IBR, using the hardware inverter directly to obtain its output impedance has become a prominent approach nowadays. Therefore, this article presents the impedance scan using hardware IBRs, and also a hardware diesel generator as it still stays with the grid before the grid completely goes to renewable. The devices under test (DuTs) for the impedance scan includes two 3-..phi.., 480 V, 60 Hz commercial grid-forming IBRs (one of 250 kVA and another of 125 kVA rating) in series with ..delta..-Y transformers, one 3-..phi.., 480 V, 60 Hz commercial grid-following IBR (of 125 kVA rating), and a 3-..phi.., 480 V, 60 Hz commercial diesel generator (of 187.5 kVA rating). Using voltage signals perturbed with sub-, inter-, and higher harmonic components, and measuring the current response, the positive-sequence impedances are computed via an offline-based post-analysis. Moreover, best-fit transfer functions are estimated that closely resemble the measured data points of the positive-sequence impedances. Based on the observations from various outcomes of the hardware experiments, this article also provides some fundamental insights on the equivalent positive-sequence impedance of a combination of multiple hardware components by comparing the estimated and the empirically computed impedances. A comparative insight on the damping capability of the DuTs using the positive-sequence impedances of the hardware is also discussed.

current measurement↗

DOE OSTI2024

Impedance Scan of Inverter-Based Resources and Diesel Generator for Stability Analysis: Preprint

Impedance-based methods are widely used for power system stability analysis with inverter-based resources (IBRs), e.g., assessing dynamic interactions between the power grid and an IBR, control interactions between multiple IBRs, and the sub-synchronous oscillation and damping phenomenon. Since it is difficult to get a numerical model 100% matching with the hardware IBR, using the hardware inverter directly to obtain its output impedance has become a prominent approach nowadays. Therefore, this article presents the impedance scan using hardware IBRs, and also a hardware diesel generator as it still stays with the grid before the grid completely goes to renewable. The devices under test (DuTs) for the impedance scan includes two 3-..phi.., 480 V, 60 Hz commercial grid-forming IBRs (one of 250 kVA and another of 125 kVA rating) in series with ..delta..-Y transformers, one 3-..phi.., 480 V, 60 Hz commercial grid-following IBR (of 125 kVA rating), and a 3-..phi.., 480 V, 60 Hz commercial diesel generator (of 187.5 kVA rating). Using voltage signals perturbed with sub-, inter-, and higher harmonic components, and measuring the current response, the positive-sequence impedances are computed via an offline- based post-analysis. Moreover, best-fit transfer functions are estimated that closely resemble the measured data points of the positive-sequence impedances. Based on the observations from various outcomes of the hardware experiments, this article also provides some fundamental insights on the equivalent positive- sequence impedance of a combination of multiple hardware components by comparing the estimated and the empirically computed impedances. A comparative insight on the damping capability of the DuTs using the positive-sequence impedances of the hardware is also discussed.

grid following inverter↗

DOE OSTI2023

Shaping Micro-Bunched Electron Beams for Compact X-ray Free-Electron Lasers with Transverse Gradient Undulators

Laser-modulator-based micro-bunching of electron beams has been applied to many novel operating modes of X-ray free-electron lasers from harmonic generation to attosecond pulse production. Recently, it was also identified as a key enabling technology for the production of a compact XFEL driven by a relatively low-energy beam. In traditional laser modulator schemes with low-energy and high-current bunches, collective effects limit the possible working points that can be employed, and thus it is difficult to achieve optimal XFEL performance. We propose to utilize transverse longitudinal coupling in a transverse gradient undulator (TGU) to shape micro-bunched electron beams so as to optimize their performance in a compact X-ray free-electron laser. We show that a TGU added to a conventional laser modulator stage enables much more flexibility in the design, allowing one to generate longer micro-bunches less subject to slippage effects and even lower the slice emittance of the micro-bunches. We present a theoretical analysis of laser-based micro-bunching with an added TGU, simulation of compression with collective effects in such systems, and finally XFEL simulations demonstrating the gains in peak power enabled by the TGU. Although we focus on the application to compact XFELs, what we propose is a general phase space manipulation that may find utility in other applications as well.

eSASE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic embedding of effective harmonic normal mode vibrations in all-atomistic energy gap fluctuations: Case study of light harvesting 2 complex

Environmental effects in excitation energy transfer have mostly been modeled by baths of harmonic oscillators, but to what extent such modeling provides a reliable description of actual interactions between molecular systems and environments remains an open issue. Here, we address this issue by investigating fluctuations in the excitation energies of the light harvesting 2 complex using a realistic all-atomistic simulation of the potential energy surface. Our analyses reveal that molecular motions exhibit significant anharmonic features, even for underdamped intramolecular vibrations. In particular, we find that the anharmonicity contributes to the broadening of spectral densities and substantial overlaps between neighboring peaks, which complicates the meaning of mode frequencies constituting a bath model. Thus, we develop a strategy to construct a minimally underdamped harmonic bath that has a clear connection to all-atomistic dynamics by utilizing actual normal modes of molecules but optimizing their frequencies such that the resulting bath model can best reproduce the all-atomistic simulation results. By subtracting the underdamped contribution from the entire fluctuations, we also show that identifying a residual spectral density representing all other contributions with overdamped behavior is possible. We find that this can be fitted well with a well-established analytic form of a spectral density function or, alternatively, modeled as explicit time dependent fluctuations with muti-exponential or power law type correlation functions. We provide an assessment and the implications of these possibilities. The approach presented here can also serve as a general strategy to construct a simplified bath model that can effectively represent the underlying all-atomistic bath dynamics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Low Space Harmonic Content Windings (LSHWs) Applied to Improve the Pareto Front in Design Optimization of Electric Machines

In design optimization of high performance electric machines where the power density is increasingly a key metric, it is often desirable to maximize the average torque output within a given volume. However, if a smooth output is also required, the torque ripple may become a hurdle as it tends to increase with the average torque for conventional windings. A direct benefit of low space harmonic content windings (LSHWs), featuring the suppression or elimination of targeted non-working orders in the winding magnetomotive force (MMF), is the torque ripple reduction. This paper provides a detailed analysis of torque ripple pairs and the space-time harmonic order mapping, with concise results that applies to both distributed windings and fractionalslot concentrated windings (FSCWs) of any slot/pole combination. Metamodel-based optimizations are performed to compare two LSHWs with a conventional winding. Improved Pareto fronts are validated, which confirms higher torque producing capabilities at various torque ripple thresholds for LSHWs.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2025

SVM-Based Synchronized Fault Detection for 100% Renewable Microgrids

Traditional protection schemes face significant challenges when applied to microgrids with high penetrations of renewables with inverter-based resources (IBRs). The proliferation of advanced sensing and communication technologies has generated copious data, offering an opportunity to overcome these limitations using data-driven machine learning approaches. This work proposes a novel approach based on a support vector machine (SVM) for detecting faults within a 100% renewable microgrid. The approach encompasses a systematic offline training stage for the development of a linear SVM-based fault detection algorithm. This process covers offline data collection from the microgrid under study, the extraction of features such as positive- and negative-sequence components and the total harmonic distortion of the voltage and current measurements of the relays, and the design of the linear SVM-based classifier. During the online implementation, however, different classifiers can exhibit asynchronicity in detecting the fault inception at different subcycle-to-cycle period-level delays. To circumvent this asynchronicity issue, a separate algorithm is developed for each relay to estimate the fault inception time as close to the real fault time. The performance of the proposed SVM-based synchronized fault detection method is evaluated using online time-domain simulation studies on a microgrid test system. The results corroborate the reliability of the fault detection scheme when tested under various fault cases (fault types, locations, and impedances) and non-fault cases during both grid-tied and islanded operation modes.

100% microgrid↗

DOE OSTI2024

SVM-Based Synchronized Fault Detection for 100% Renewable Microgrids: Preprint

100% microgrid↗

DOE OSTI2026

Heteroepitaxial control of thickness, strain, and domain architecture in few-layer ferroelectric tin monochalcogenides

Thin-film epitaxy and epitaxial strain have been widely exploited to tune domain configurations, switching behavior, and ferroic properties in conventional three-dimensional ferroelectric thin films; however, its application to controlling the properties of two-dimensional (2D) ferroelectrics has remained largely unexplored. Here, using SnX (X = Se, S) as a model system, we demonstrate heteroepitaxial control of thickness, strain state, and domain architecture in few-layer ferroelectric SnX via growth on monolayer MoS2 van der Waals (vdW) templates. Compared with conventional growth, MoS2-templated heteroepitaxy promotes epitaxial alignment, yielding ultrathin SnSe films with improved crystalline quality, full areal coverage, and enlarged lateral dimensions. Strong interfacial epitaxial coupling induces pronounced in-plane strain and stabilizes a hierarchical ferroelastic domain architecture, in which long-range 90° stripe domains are further subdivided into nanoscale rotational variants, as revealed by scanning transmission electron microscopy and synchrotron X-ray microscopy. Piezoresponse force microscopy and second-harmonic polarimetry confirm robust in-plane polarization, while ferroelectricity in SnSe is established through polarization-electric field hysteresis and nonvolatile ferroelectric resistive switching with on/off ratios approaching 1000. A nonvolatile, switchable ferroelectric diode effect further evidences direct coupling between polarization and charge transport. Notably, ferroelectric switchability exhibits a strong thickness dependence and is preserved only below ∼10 layers. This vdW heteroepitaxial strategy is further extended to ferroelectric SnS. The seamless heteroepitaxial integration of 2D ferroelectrics with CMOS-compatible, wafer-scale MoS2 templates provides a general and scalable route for strain-enabled structural and ferroelectric engineering in emerging memory and low-power optoelectronic applications.

Wang, Yueyin↗

DOE OSTI2020

Metrology of Time-Domain Soft X-Ray Attosecond Pulses and Reevaluation of Pulse Durations of Three Recent Experiments

Attosecond pulses in the soft x-ray (SXR) to water-window energy region offer the tools for creating and studying target-specific localized inner-shell electrons or holes in materials, enabling monitoring or controlling charge and energy flows in a dynamic system on attosecond timescales. Recently, a number of laboratories have reported generation of continuum harmonics in the hundred-electron-volt to kilovolt region with few-cycle long-wavelength mid-infrared lasers. These harmonics have the bandwidth to support pulses with durations of a few to a few-ten attoseconds. But harmonics generated in a gas medium have attochirps that cannot be fully compensated by materials over a broad spectral range; thus, realistically what are the typical shortest attosecond pulses that one can generate? To answer this question, it is essential that the temporal attosecond pulses be accurately characterized. By reanalyzing the soft x-ray attosecond metrology reported in three recent experiments using a newly developed broadband phase retrieval algorithm, we demonstrate here that the generated attosecond pulses in the first two papers have durations of about 60 as, longer than what they have reported. Similarly, the duration from the third experiment is retrieved to be about half of the 322-as upper limit cited in that work. We also introduce the autocorrelation (AC) of the streaking spectrogram. By comparing the ACs from the experiments and from the retrieved SXR pulses, the accuracy of the retrieved results can be directly visualized. Our retrieval method is fast and accurate, and it shall provide a powerful tool for the metrology of the emerging few-ten-attosecond pulses.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Reliability and resilience of environmental flows under uncertainty: reconsidering water year types and inconsistent flow requirements in California

Abstract Environmental water allocation in California is a complex legal process involving various government agencies and stakeholders. E-flow requirements can be based on annual runoff typologies called water year types (WYTs), which dictate water volume, timing, and duration. In this study, we examined hydropower licensing documents of the major water and power projects in the Central Sierra Nevada to catalog e-flow requirements by WYT. In this study case, we identify how WYT classification systems and categories vary across and within different basins. Additionally, we assessed the impacts of climate change on hydrology, the frequency of WYTs identified, and the reliability and resilience of e-flows using future projections (2031–2060) of 10 Global Circulation Models (GCMs). We then propose a potential adaptation strategy using a 30 year moving percentiles approach to recalculate WYTs. We identified eight WYT classifications systems were identified, and their WYT distributions statistically significantly changes across all GCMs, even though most GCMs indicate no statistically significant change in hydrology. Disparities in future impacts are observed among and within hydropower projects, with some river reaches showing negative impacts on reliability and resilience. The adaptation strategy can generally boost resilience and improve reliability, but simply updating existing WYT thresholds without flexible regulatory frameworks reconsidering WYTs and e-flows thresholds, may not yield substantial improvements. Challenges in managing e-flows in California within regulatory and hydroclimatic contexts are intricate due to the lack of standardized approaches, leading to inconsistencies and potential conflicts among stakeholders, that will likely be exacerbated by climate change. Thus, we emphasize that targeted, site-specific, and adaptive management strategies are crucial, besides the need for a harmonized and consistent approach to defining and applying WYT categories and methods and/or e-flow assessments.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗