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At least 199 records · Page 11

Decoupling Complex Multi–Length–Scale Morphology in Non–Fullerene Photovoltaics with Nitrogen K–Edge Resonant Soft X–ray Scattering

Complex morphology in organic photovoltaics (OPVs) and other functional soft materials commonly dictates performance. Such complexity in OPVs originates from the mesoscale kinetically trapped non-equilibrium state, which governs device charge generation and transport. Resonant soft X-ray scattering (RSoXS) has been revolutionary in the exploration of OPV morphology in the past decade due to its chemical and orientation sensitivity. However, for non-fullerene OPVs, RSoXS analysis near the carbon K-edge is challenging, due to the chemical similarity of the materials used in active layers. Here, an innovative approach is provided by nitrogen K-edge RSoXS (NK-RSoXS), utilizing the spatial and orientational contrasts from the cyano groups in the acceptor materials, which allows for determination of phase separation. NK-RSoXS clearly visualizes the combined feature sizes in PM6:Y6 blends from crystallization and liquid-liquid demixing, while PM6:Y6:Y6-BO ternary blends with reduced phase-separation size and enhanced material crystallization can lead to current amplification in devices. Nitrogen is common in organic semiconductors and other soft materials, and the strong and directional N 1s → π* resonances make NK-RSoXS a powerful tool to uncover the mesoscale complexity and open opportunities to understand heterogeneous systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Metal Oxide vs Organic Semiconductor Charge Extraction Layers for Halide Perovskite Indoor Photovoltaics

Halide perovskite indoor photovoltaics (PVs) are highly promising to autonomously power the billions of microelectronic sensors in the emerging and disruptive technology of the Internet of Things (IoT). However, how the wide range of different types of hole extraction layers (HELs) impacts the indoor light harvesting of perovskite solar cells is still elusive, which hinders the material selection and industrial–scale fabrication of indoor perovskite photovoltaics. In the present study, new insights are provided regarding the judicial selection of HELs at the buried interface of halide perovskite indoor photovoltaics. This study unravels the detrimental and severe light–soaking effect of metal oxide transport layer–based PV devices under the indoor lighting effect for the first time, which then necessitates the interface passivation/engineering for their reliant performance. This is not a stringent criterion under 1 sun illumination. By systematically investigating the charge carrier dynamics and sequence of measurements from dark, light–soaked, interlayer–passivated device, the bulk and interface defects are decoupled and reveal the gradual defect passivation from shallow to deep level traps. Thus, the present study puts forward a useful design strategy to overcome the deleterious effect of metal oxide HELs and employ them in halide perovskite indoor PVs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Decoupled few-femtosecond phase transitions in vanadium dioxide

Abstract The nature of the insulator-to-metal phase transition in vanadium dioxide (VO 2 ) is one of the longest-standing problems in condensed-matter physics. Ultrafast spectroscopy has long promised to determine whether the transition is primarily driven by the electronic or structural degree of freedom, but measurements to date have been stymied by their sensitivity to only one of these components and/or their limited temporal resolution. Here we use ultra-broadband few-femtosecond pump-probe spectroscopy to resolve the electronic and structural phase transitions in VO 2 at their fundamental time scales. Our experiments show that the system transforms into a bad-metallic phase within 10 fs after photoexcitation, but requires another 100 fs to complete the transition, during which we observe electronic oscillations and a partial re-opening of the bandgap, signalling a transient semi-metallic state. Comparisons with tensor-network simulations and density-functional theory calculations show these features result from an unexpectedly fast structural transition, in which the vanadium dimers separate and untwist with two different timescales. Our results resolve the structural and electronic nature of the light-induced phase transition in VO 2 and establish ultra-broadband few-femtosecond spectroscopy as a powerful tool for studying quantum materials out of equilibrium.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Decoupling of catalysis and transition state analog binding from mutations throughout a phosphatase revealed by high-throughput enzymology

Using high-throughput microfluidic enzyme kinetics (HT-MEK), we measured over 9,000 inhibition curves detailing impacts of 1,004 single-site mutations throughout the alkaline phosphatase PafA on binding affinity for two transition state analogs (TSAs), vanadate and tungstate. As predicted by catalytic models invoking transition state complementary, mutations to active site and active-site-contacting residues had highly similar impacts on catalysis and TSA binding. Unexpectedly, most mutations to more distal residues that reduced catalysis had little or no impact on TSA binding and many even increased tungstate affinity. These disparate effects can be accounted for by a model in which distal mutations alter the enzyme’s conformational landscape, increasing the occupancy of microstates that are catalytically less effective but better able to accommodate larger transition state analogs. In support of this ensemble model, glycine substitutions (rather than valine) were more likely to increase tungstate affinity (but not more likely to impact catalysis), presumably due to increased conformational flexibility that allows previously disfavored microstates to increase in occupancy. These results indicate that residues throughout an enzyme provide specificity for the transition state and discriminate against analogs that are larger only by tenths of an Ångström. Thus, engineering enzymes that rival the most powerful natural enzymes will likely require consideration of distal residues that shape the enzyme’s conformational landscape and fine-tune active-site residues. Biologically, the evolution of extensive communication between the active site and remote residues to aid catalysis may have provided the foundation for allostery to make it a highly evolvable trait.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Electrochemical CO 2 Utilization: Scalable System Operation for Formic Acid Production

In recent years, research into the electrochemical reduction of CO 2 has grown exponentially. Formic acid (FA) has become a particular value product from CO 2 due to its versatility [1], optimal atom economy [2], and thermodynamic favorable [3]. FA can be produced electrochemically via a direct two-electron transfer process involving CO 2 with a proton source, requiring less energy input and fewer reaction steps than the conventional Kemira process. However, product selectivity, electrode stability, and low faradic efficiency due to increased resistance under constant current, remain key issues for CO 2 reduction to FA [4]. University of Kentucky’s Center for Applied Energy Research (UK CAER) is currently investigating reactor designs to address the challenges associated with electrochemical CO 2 conversion to FA [5]. The current reactor system employs: (1) an organic-based charge carrier which shuttles charge directly to the catalyst to enable CO 2 reduction to FA; (2) novel electrode materials to mitigate large voltages and improve conductivity; and (3) a flow system which not only allows for the volumetric scale-up of both charge carrier and catalyst, but also decouples the charger carrier re-energized and FA production processes to protect the catalyst’s stability due to overpotential. Through careful adjustment of electrode, charge carrier, and electrolyte selection, cell resistances have decreased by over 15%, facilitating conduction necessary for effective CO 2 reduction to FA. The system uses a highly specific engineered catalyst, which has produced over 100 mM FA at a rate of over 10 mM FA/hour following the aforementioned electrode/charge carrier changes. System design considerations (flow rate, bulk volume) and modeling of the system will also be discussed.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Ultrabroadband flying-focus using an axiparabola-echelon pair

Flying-focus pulses promise to revolutionize laser-driven secondary sources by decoupling the trajectory of the peak intensity from the native group velocity of the medium over distances much longer than a Rayleigh range. Previous demonstrations of the flying focus have either produced an uncontrolled trajectory or a trajectory that is engineered using chromatic methods that limit the duration of the peak intensity to picosecond scales. Here we demonstrate a controllable ultrabroadband flying focus using a nearly achromatic axiparabola-echelon pair. Spectral interferometry using an ultrabroadband superluminescent diode was used to measure designed super- and subluminal flying-focus trajectories and the effective temporal pulse duration as inferred from the measured spectral phase. The measurements demonstrate that a nearly transform- and diffraction-limited moving focus can be created over a centimeter-scale—an extended focal region more than 50 Rayleigh ranges in length. This ultrabroadband flying-focus and the novel axiparabola-echelon configuration used to produce it are ideally suited for applications and scalable to >100 TW peak powers.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

High Yield, Economical and Environmentally Benign Production of Rare Earth Elements from Coal Ash [Abstract]

Fly ash stored in landfills and ponds across the United States is an attractive, abundant domestic resource for the cost-effective recovery of rare earth elements (REE) and other critical minerals (CM). Physical Sciences Inc. (PSI) and its team members, Winner Water Services (WWS) and University of Kentucky/Center for Applied Energy Research (UK/CAER) successfully executed a multiphase program that developed and demonstrated pilot plant operations for cost-effective and environmentally-friendly production of rare earth element oxide (REO) concentrates, and the critical minerals scandium and aluminum (in the forms of salts or oxide products). We constructed and operated a sub-scale (0.5 kg/day) micropilot facility to demonstrate the key physical and chemical processing operations, predict yields, and troubleshoot process bottlenecks. The project team then designed, constructed and operated two decoupled pilot plant operations: (1) an operational pilot plant for physical separation processes with a capacity of 0.4 metric tons per day (tpd) where we optimized processes to produce selected ash fractions as the feedstock for chemical processing as well as valuable byproducts such as cement substitute, cenospheres, magnetic ash and secondary fuel carbon, and (2) an operational pilot plant for chemical processing with a capacity of 0.5 tpd that developed optimized processes for the production of: (a) REO concentrates, (b) critical minerals recovery (Sc, Al), and (c) beneficiated ash as valuable byproduct suitable for cement applications.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Parametric Testing and Evaluation of a Novel Biphasic Absorption Process for Post-Combustion Carbon Capture

A novel biphasic CO2 absorption process (BiCAP) is being developed at the University of Illinois. BiCAP is enabled by using a new class of biphasic solvents developed based on multi-property criteria for postcombustion carbon capture. The process was previously demonstrated at the lab-scale, including in 10 kWe absorption and desorption column systems. In the current study, the process has been scaled up by building and testing a 40 kWe integrated capture skid at a power plant. Parametric tests for two biphasic solvents were conducted with the synthetic flue gas made of bottle CO2 gas and air to validate the performance and operational flexibility of the unit with respect to varying process or operating conditions. Operation of the phase separator, which is unique equipment to BiCAP, was verified to be stable and efficient. Two liquid phases could be separated via static settlement based on a density difference and >90% of the CO2 absorbed was concentrated in the separated CO2-rich phase. Results of parametric tests showed that the minimum heat duty appeared at the optimal stripping pressure. A higher stripping temperature was more favourable to improve overall energy performance. Introducing a secondary cold solvent feed stream to the top of the stripper via bypassing the cross heat exchanger helped reduce the heat loss carried with water vapour. Test results also revealed that the heat duty requirement was comparable when the CO2 concentration in flue gas decreased from ~11 to 4 vol.% as the phase separation decoupled the absorption and desorption steps in BiCAP. Under typical steady-state conditions, both biphasic solvents lowered the process heat duty by >40% compared with the reference 30 wt.% monoethanolamine solvent.

Absorption↗

Energy shift of Fe-K fluorescence lines due to low ionization demonstrated with XRISM in Centaurus X-3

The Fe K$\alpha$ fluorescence line at 6.4 keV is a powerful probe of cold matter surrounding X-ray sources and has been widely used in various astrophysical contexts. The X-ray microcalorimeter spectrometer onboard XRISM can measure line shifts with unprecedented precision of ${\sim }$0.2 eV, equivalent to a line-of-sight velocity of ${\sim }$10 km s$^{-1}$. At this level of accuracy, however, several factors that influence the line energy must be carefully considered prior to astrophysical interpretation. One such important factor is the ionization degree, Fe$^{q+}$. The K$\alpha$ line shifts redward by ${\sim }$4 eV as q increases from 0 (neutral) to 8 (Ar-like). Additionally, the accompanying Fe K$\beta$ line at 7.06 keV shifts blueward by ${\sim }$30 eV from $q=0$ to 8. We demonstrate that this effect is actually observable in the XRISM data of the high-mass X-ray binary Centaurus X-3 (Cen X-3). We advocate that the differential energy shift between the K$\alpha$ and K$\beta$ line provides a robust estimate of q by decoupling from other effects that shift the two lines in the same direction. We derived $q \sim 5$ (Sc-like) for the fluorescing matter by comparing the observation with atomic structure calculations of our own and in the literature. By accounting for the derived charge state and the corresponding shift in the rest-frame line energy, we made corrections for this effect and reached a consistent residual shift among the K$\alpha$, K$\beta$, and the optical measurement attributable to the systemic velocity of the system. Consequently, we obtained a new constraint on the location of the cold matter. This ionization effect needs to be assessed in all use cases of the Fe K$\alpha$ line shift beyond Cen X-3, and the proposed metric is generally applicable to all of them.

Astronomy and AstroPhysics↗

A multiphysics model of the versatile test reactor based on the MOOSE framework

The traditional modeling approach for sodium fast reactor cores relies on separate physics models, where the fuel performance, thermal–hydraulics, and neutronics calculations required to predict the core physics characteristics for nominal conditions are decoupled by relying on user-imposed boundary conditions. Here, this paper aims at evaluating the impact of multiphysics simulations for predicting the core characteristics of the Versatile Test Reactor, which is being designed as a 300-MWt sodium-cooled fast reactor. The purpose of the Versatile Test Reactor is to accelerate the testing of advanced nuclear materials in the United States. The proposed multiphysics model relies on the Griffin reactor physics code, the SAM thermal–hydraulic system code, the BISON fuel performance code, as well as generic Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment capabilities implemented in the open-source tensor mechanics module. For k eff calculations, the introduction of a tight coupling between the neutronics, thermo-mechanical and thermal–hydraulics models induces a change of around 543 pcm in the eigenvalue, compared to the traditional standalone neutronics calculation where approximate temperature profiles are used. The multiphysics model is then employed for quantifying the impact of the thermal conductivity uncertainties on some of the key figures of merit, such as the fuel centerline temperature, assembly powers, and keff for nominal core conditions. As anticipated, uncertainties on fuel thermal conductivity mostly impact the fuel centerline temperature, and to a lesser extend the k eff .

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Relativistic gas accretion onto supermassive black hole binaries from inspiral through merger

Accreting supermassive black hole binaries are powerful multimessenger sources emitting both gravitational and electromagnetic (EM) radiation. Understanding the accretion dynamics of these systems and predicting their distinctive EM signals is crucial to informing and guiding upcoming efforts aimed at detecting gravitational waves produced by these binaries. To this end, accurate numerical modeling is required to describe both the spacetime and the magnetized gas around the black holes. In this paper, we present two key advances in this field of research. First, we have developed a novel 3D general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics (GRMHD) framework that combines multiple numerical codes to simulate the inspiral and merger of supermassive black hole binaries starting from realistic initial data and running all the way through merger. Throughout the evolution, we adopt a simple but functional prescription to account for gas cooling through photon emission. Next, we have applied our new computational method to follow the time evolution of a circular, equal-mass, nonspinning black hole binary for ∼200 orbits, starting from a separation of 20⁢𝑟 𝑔 and reaching the postmerger evolutionary stage of the system. We have shown how mass continues to flow toward the binary even after the binary “decouples” from its surrounding disk, but the accretion rate onto the black holes diminishes. We have identified how the minidisks orbiting each black hole are slowly drained and eventually dissolve as the binary compresses. We confirm previous findings that the system’s luminosity decreases by a factor of a few during inspiral; however, we observe an abrupt increase by ∼50% in this quantity at the time of merger, likely accompanied by an equally abrupt change in spectrum. Lastly, we have demonstrated that during the inspiral, fluid ram pressure regulates the fraction of the magnetic flux transported to the binary that attaches to the black holes’ horizons.

Accretion disk & black-hole plasma↗

Input specific neural networks

Neural networks have emerged as powerful tools for mapping between inputs and outputs. However, their black-box nature limits the ability to encode or impose specific structural relationships between inputs and outputs. Many scientific and engineering problems, such as constitutive modeling in solid mechanics, require networks that can enforce convexity, monotonicity, or other structural constraints to ensure physical consistency. Here, we introduce the Input Specific Neural Network (ISNN), a new architecture that enables multiple, distinct constraints to be imposed on different input subsets for scalar-valued outputs. This framework unifies convex, monotone–convex, monotone, and arbitrary mappings within a single network for the first time. Two ISNN architectures with analytical first- and second-order derivatives are developed. We demonstrate the performance on synthetic toy problems, inverse problems in isotropic hyperelasticity, and finite element simulations. ISNNs achieve improved extrapolation behavior, require fewer invariant inputs than standard input convex networks for polyconvex potentials, and enable significant computational savings via manual differentiation. We also show how ISNNs can be used to learn structural relationships between inputs and outputs via a binary gating mechanism. Particularly, ISNNs are employed to model a homogenized anisotropic free energy potential in a decoupled multiscale setting. The network learns whether or not the potential should be modeled as polyconvex and retains only the relevant layers while using the minimum number of inputs. ISNNs provide a flexible foundation for embedding structural priors into neural networks, enhancing both interpretability and stability. They are broadly applicable across computational mechanics and other scientific domains requiring constrained functional relationships.

Jadoon, Asghar A. [Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX (Uni↗

Application of a temporal multiscale method for efficient simulation of degradation in PEM Water Electrolysis under dynamic operating conditions

Hydrogen is emerging as a vital energy carrier, driven by the need to reduce carbon emissions. Proton Electrolyte Membrane Water Electrolysis (PEMWE) enables hydrogen production under fluctuating renewable power conditions but requires improved understanding and stability of the anode catalyst layer under dynamic operating conditions, especially with low noble metal loadings. Long-term degradation experiments are both time-consuming and costly; therefore, a systematic, model-aided approach is essential. In the present work, a temporal multiscale method is applied to reduce the computational effort of simulating long-term degradation processes in PEMWE, with an exemplary focus on catalyst dissolution. A mechanistic model incorporating the oxygen evolution reaction, catalyst dissolution, and hydrogen permeation from the cathode to the anode was hypothesized and implemented. In this way, the local periodicity of transport and reaction processes in dynamic PEMWE operation, which influence the gradual degradation of the catalyst layer, is captured. The temporal multiscale method significantly reduces the computational effort of simulation, decreasing processing time from hours to mere minutes. This efficiency gain is attributed to the limited evolution of Slow-Scale variables during each period of time P of the Fast-Scale variables. Consequently, simulation is required only until local periodicity is achieved within each Slow-Scale time step. Hence, the fully resolved dynamic problem is decoupled into these two scales, employing a heterogeneous multiscale technique. The developed approach effectively accelerates parameter estimation and predictive simulations, supporting systematic modeling of PEMWE degradation under dynamic conditions.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Understanding resistances in capacitive deionization devices

The desalination characteristics of capacitive deionization (CDI) are significantly impacted by the cell resistance. Here we apply electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) to analyze the resistive properties of a CDI device, which include EIS measurements on a complete assembled cell (in two wire mode) and EIS measurements with additional contacts to decouple electrode/electrolyte and contact impedances (four wire mode). These measurements shed light on the interface between current collector and electrode as well as the internal capacitive and resistive elements of the cell. With two-wire and four-wire EIS measurements, we find that the often observed high-frequency arc(s) in the impedance spectra can be due to contact effects and/or an internal ionic-transfer resistance that is locally in parallel with macropore wall capacitance. In some cases, the two associated arcs in the Nyquist plot are overlapping and present simultaneously, making their identification in the EIS spectra difficult unless both two-wire and four-wire measurements are made. Despite causing a large high-frequency arc in the Nyquist plot, we find that the apparent internal ionic-transfer resistance is negligible compared to the resistances of the electrode, separator, and external electronic components. Here, an investigation of the contact impedance between the electrode and current collector reveals a parallel RC arc that can grow over time if an improper material is used (e.g., titanium). In our system, the electrode ionic resistance dominates the total Ohmic power dissipation, which has implications for scale-up of CDI systems and future improvements of cell design.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Distributed Grid-Sensing Service Layer: A System Architecture Blueprint

In this report, a scalable, decentralized, sensor-oriented communication blueprint is introduced. The proposed architecture has been specifically designed to support the mass deployment of sensors and also enable data consumers to access the underlying data streams using a distributed systems approach. With the proposed approach, sensors and data clients can be decoupled from the physical communication infrastructure and migrated into a modern, software-defined infrastructure ecosystem that can be configured to suit the end application’s requirements. In its current iteration, this blueprint defines the interactions, processes, and expected outcomes that each individual component within the architecture must support the overall ecosystem’s needs. Within this work, such an assembly of services is called the data bus; it represents the heart of the distributed grid sensing services architecture, a multiyear project that aims to design, implement, and test a reference sensor-data dissemination network that can support the needs of the extended grid state. We expect this blueprint to guide our future implementation efforts

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Bi-Level Adaptive Storage Expansion Strategy for Microgrids Using Deep Reinforcement Learning

Battery energy storage (BES) is a versatile resource for the secure and economic operation of microgrids (MGs). Prevailing stochastic optimization-based approaches for BES expansion planning for MGs are computationally complicated. This work proposes a data-driven bi-level multi-period BES expansion planning framework to determine the siting, sizing, and timing of BES installations. The proposed planning framework unifies deep reinforcement learning (DRL) and linear programming, thereby decoupling the determinations for the integer and continuous decision variables in two time scales, respectively. In the upper level, a rainbow DRL agent with quantile regression is trained to provide dynamic planning policies to accommodate stochastic renewable energy resources (RESs), load, and battery price changes efficiently. Further, the lower level computes the optimal operation of MGs with frequency constraints to hedge the islanding contingency. The two levels communicate with one another by exchanging storage configuration and operating expenses in order to accomplish the shared goal of minimizing investment and operation costs. Comparative case studies on an MG are carried out to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed DRL-based solution to the mixed-integer linear programming counterpart on efficiency, scalability, and adaptability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Alternating Direction Decomposition with Strong Bounding and Convexification (ADDSBC) for Solving Security Constrained AC Unit Commitment Problems

This project aims to develop efficient and robust computational methods for solving the security-constrained unit commitment and alternating current optimal power flow problem (SC-UC-ACOPF). The SC-UC-ACOPF problem is at the center of the short-term operation of the U.S. Power Grid. It is solved every week, every day, and every 10 minutes to plan for the optimal action of electricity generation and consumption by minimizing the generation cost and maintaining power system reliability against potential disruptions of equipment failures. In mathematical terms, SC-UC-ACOPF is a challenging large-scale mixed-integer nonlinear optimization model. This means that the decisions involve both discrete variables, e.g. the turning on and off of generators and switching of transmission lines and transformers, and continuous decisions, e.g. the amount of energy generated by each generator and the power flows in the power grid. The physics of the power flow is described by nonlinear equations involving real and reactive power and bus voltages. Another key feature is the large number of contingencies, i.e. the system needs to stay reliable in face of failure of any one equipment, such as transmission lines and generators. The U.S. power grids are extremely complicated and large scale with more than 5,000 generators, 50,000 buses, and 100,000 high-voltage transmission lines, making the SC-UC-ACOPF a very large-scale computation challenge. The research developed in this project aims to solve the SC-UC-ACOPF problems in the three timescales, i.e. weekly, daily, and every 10-min. The proposed computational methods are built on a principled algorithmic approach of decomposition and penalization. More specifically, the algorithm develops spatial and temporal decomposition by exploiting the strong temporal coupling and weak spatial coupling of the UC problem and the complementary feature, i.e. weak temporal coupling and strong spatial coupling of the ACOPF problem. The algorithm also leverages recent progresses in strong convex relaxation of ACOPF. A unique feature of the proposed approach is that it generates a valid, global upper bound on the optimal maximum profit. In this way, a global optimality gap is available to measure the quality of the solution. To further speed up computation, the research team has developed a plethora of effective heuristics to strengthen the iterative penalty-based decomposition framework. For instance, a heuristic is developed to construct inner approximations of the time coupling constraints within the time decoupled problems. Contingencies are pre-screened and low-rank matrix computation is exploited to find the almost unique solution to each contingency. A novel heuristic for line switching is proposed and tested with positive impacts on instances where line switching is beneficial. Taking a systematic approach and carefully handling every detail of the problem pays off. The TIM-GO’s performance throughout the trials and the final event was stellar. TIM-GO garnered the second highest total prize money and is ranked in the top three positions across all categories of comparison.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Decoding Golden Eagle Movement Behavior from High-Resolution, Variable-Rate Telemetry Data Through Bayesian Filtering

The recent advances in animal tracking technology have enabled the collection of a vast amount of in situ data regarding the movement of wildlife at high spatiotemporal resolution. These data are usually available at variable time resolutions and contains noise (error) originating from GPS fixes. Decoding movement characteristics, particularly of flying animals, from telemetry data while handling these factors is a challenging yet important task for conservation purposes. Typically, this task is broken into two subtasks: resampling, and model calibration. The resampling subtask converts the variable rate positional data into a constant time interval data, while the model calibration subtask uses the resampled data to tune time-invariant parameters of the proposed models. For telemetry data at high temporal resolutions (order of 1 second), it is very challenging to decouple noise from actual movements using interpolation-based resampling techniques. Any errors introduced during resampling can significantly alter the the calibration and prediction attributes of the movement model. We address this problem through a unified Bayesian state-space framework that can handle both the resampling and calibration tasks in a single step. In addition, we use the speed and heading of the bird from telemetry data to regularize the position information of the bird. We use a Kalman filtering approach to include these nonlinearly related motion parameters within the state space framework. We cross-validated to quantify how this inclusion affects the model performance in estimating true bird movements. The relationship between the true state of the bird and environmental and topographical covariates is then represented parametrically. These parameters are then tuned using stochastic sampling strategies like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). We use the telemetry data collected from golden eagles in the western USA to demonstrate the applicability of this approach to build a predictive, probabilistic movement model. Our preliminary results show that this approach provides improved predictive performance in terms of capturing higher-order motion parameters such as angular and horizontal accelerations, which may have simpler and more direct relationships with environmental covariates than corresponding speeds. In this talk, we will demonstrate how this state-space approach benefits the prediction capabilities of a movement model in simulating golden eagle paths through a wind power plant in Wyoming given certain atmospheric conditions. The model outcomes are aimed at informing mitigation strategies that can minimize the potential for collisions of golden eagles with wind turbines.

Bayesian methods↗