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At least 199 records · Page 11

Gearbox bearing crack growth prognostics and uncertainty quantification with physics-informed machine learning

This paper introduces the extreme theory of functional connections (X-TFC), a physics-informed machine learning algorithm, and tailors it to estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of wind turbine gearbox bearings experiencing fatigue crack growth. Unlike purely data-driven methods, X-TFC embeds a physics model, based on Head's theory in this work, into its training objective. The core of X-TFC is a random-projection single-layer neural network trained via an extreme learning machine, which requires only limited damage progression data and solves for output weights with a least-squares optimization algorithm. A composite loss function balances the network's fit to observed degradation data against the residuals of the governing crack growth differential equation, ensuring the learned damage trajectory remains physically plausible. When applied to a vibration-based health-index (HI) dataset measured during the growth of a crack on the inner ring of a high-speed bearing in a wind turbine gearbox (Bechhoefer and Dubé, 2020), X-TFC achieves near-zero prediction bias. Even when trained on only the first 10 %–20 % of the damage progression data, with sufficient physics weighting its predictions remain monotonic and smooth, delivering high prognosability and trendability. To quantify the epistemic uncertainty, we employ a Monte Carlo ensemble of independently initialized X-TFC models trained on noise-perturbed data, which yields confidence intervals around each RUL estimate and captures both model-parameter and epistemic uncertainty. In addition to a vibration-based HI, we demonstrate that the proposed framework can be directly applied to a supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data-based HI (Eftekhari Milani et al., 2026) measured during similar wind turbine gearbox bearing crack faults, preserving its accuracy and interpretability. This extension shows the versatility of our approach, which is applicable to bearings of multiple gearbox manufacturers, models, and ratings using only SCADA data. By integrating domain knowledge with machine learning, X-TFC offers a rapid, reliable tool for crack prognostics. Its adaptability to other bearing failure modes, such as pitch bearing ring cracks, positions X-TFC as a powerful enabler of data-driven, physics-informed asset management in the wind energy sector and beyond.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Quantifying disorder one atom at a time using an interpretable graph neural network paradigm

Abstract Quantifying the level of atomic disorder within materials is critical to understanding how evolving local structural environments dictate performance and durability. Here, we leverage graph neural networks to define a physically interpretable metric for local disorder, called SODAS. This metric encodes the diversity of the local atomic configurations as a continuous spectrum between the solid and liquid phases, quantified against a distribution of thermal perturbations. We apply this methodology to four prototypical examples with varying levels of disorder: (1) grain boundaries, (2) solid-liquid interfaces, (3) polycrystalline microstructures, and (4) tensile failure/fracture. We also compare SODAS to several commonly used methods. Using elemental aluminum as a case study, we show how our paradigm can track the spatio-temporal evolution of interfaces, incorporating a mathematically defined description of the spatial boundary between order and disorder. We further show how to extract physics-preserved gradients from our continuous disorder fields, which may be used to understand and predict materials performance and failure. Overall, our framework provides a simple and generalizable pathway to quantify the relationship between complex local atomic structure and coarse-grained materials phenomena.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impact Modeling and Testing of Pouch and Prismatic Cells

Understanding battery response under impact is critical to improve the safety of electrified vehicles. Nevertheless, predicting the impact behaviors of batteries is not straightforward since a battery cell usually contains hundreds of thin layers with dramatically different material properties and multiple physical processes occur simultaneously during cell deformation. Here we utilized both empirical tests and numerical models to capture the failure process of pouch and prismatic cells in various impact scenarios. In each test, a cell was hit once by an indenter dropped from a certain height. During which the cell penetration, loading force, voltage and temperature were monitored to characterize the cell’s response. Meanwhile, numerical models were developed to capture the coupled mechanical, electrical, electrochemical and thermal responses of batteries. In these models, the cell bulk was treated as a homogeneous part to achieve computational efficiency required by large-scale simulations, and it was represented by the geologic cap model that allows both shear and compaction deformation. Simulation results showed agreement with experimental data in essential features of cell behaviors during impact. Details of the test setup, model development and cell failure behaviors are presented in this paper. Additionally, capabilities, limitations and future improvement of the battery safety modeling are discussed.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Molecular insights into the structure-property relationships of 3D printed polyamide reverse-osmosis membrane for desalination

3D-printing is an emerging method for manufacturing polyamide (PA) reserve osmosis (RO) membranes for water treatment and desalination, which can precisely control membrane structural properties, such as thickness, roughness, and resolution. However, the synthesis-structure (i.e., degree of cross-linking (DC), m-phenylenediamine/trimesoyl chloride (MPD/TMC) ratio, and membrane thickness) to property (permeability and water-salt selectivity) relationships for these membranes has not been well understood. At the same time, a microscopic understanding of the physical mechanism of water and salt transport is needed to guide the design of high-performance 3D-printed membranes and improve the printing efficiency. Furthermore, the atomic-scale transport features and energetics of water and salt ions are studied at high pressure for the 3D-printed PA RO membranes with the different DCs and MPD/TMC ratios through non-equilibrium molecular dynamics (NEMD) simulations. Factoring in membrane structure properties, rejection ratio of salt ions and pressure-dependent water flux, 3D-printed PA membranes having an MPD/TMC ratio of 3.0:2.0 and a DC between 80%~90% attains ideal performance: high water flux, high rejection of salt ions, and excellent structural integrity. Mechanistically, water permeability for highly cross-linked PA RO membranes depends on the temporary on-and-off channels that allow water molecules to jump from one cavity to another at high pressure. In addition, higher pressures cause rapid compaction of PA membranes’ free volume and membrane thickness. Membrane failure at high pressure is determined by the DC and MPD/TMC ratios-dependent compressive yield strength. In short, these findings provide physical insights for optimizing existing PA membranes and designing next-generation desalination membranes at the molecular level.

3D-printed PA RO membrane↗

Crystal plasticity modeling and analysis for the transition from intergranular to transgranular failure in nickel-based alloy Inconel 740H at elevated temperature

The precipitation-strengthened Nickel alloy Inconel® 740H® (IN740H) exhibits increased ductility at higher applied strain rates during quasi-static tensile tests at an elevated temperature of 760°C. The examination of fracture surfaces in this context reveals a noteworthy transition of underlying fracture mechanisms from transgranular to intergranular fracture as the applied strain rate decreases from 1×10 -3 / s to 0.83×10 -4 / s . To thoroughly understand the mechanical response of IN740H under these conditions, this study develops a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) model. Further, this model incorporates various deformation mechanisms including dislocation slips, climb, and grain boundary sliding, which are relevant to the test conditions. The model is calibrated using data from both tensile tests at different strain rates and creep tests across a broad stress range at 760°C, enabling the accurate determination of model parameters for each mechanism. Simulation results well captured the experimental observations of different failure modes. At higher strain rates, the model shows a dominance of dislocation slip leading to heterogeneous plastic deformation and formation of transgranular shear bands causing the failure, while at lower strain rates, an increased activity of grain boundary sliding causes grain boundaries crack leading to intergranular failure.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Success of digital adiabatic simulation with large Trotter step

The simulation of adiabatic evolution has deep connections with adiabatic quantum computation, the quantum approximate optimization algorithm, and adiabatic state preparation. Here we address the error analysis problem in quantum simulation of adiabatic process using Trotter formulas. Here we show that with additional conditions, the circuit depth can be linear in simulation time T. The improvement comes from the observation that the fidelity error here can't be estimated by the norm distance between evolution operators. This phenomenon is termed the robustness of discretization in digital adiabatic simulation. It can be explained in three steps, from analytical and numerical evidence: (1) The fidelity error should be estimated by applying adiabatic theorem on the effective Hamiltonian instead. (2) Because of the specialty of Riemann-Lebesgue lemma, most adiabatic process is naturally robust against discretization. (3) As the Trotter step gets larger, the spectral gap of effective Hamiltonian tends to close, which results in the failure of digital adiabatic simulation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Quadrupole-mediated dielectric response and the charge-asymmetric solvation of ions in water

Treating water as a linearly responding dielectric continuum on molecular length scales allows very simple estimates of the solvation structure and thermodynamics for charged and polar solutes. While this approach can successfully account for basic length and energy scales of ion solvation, computer simulations indicate not only its quantitative inaccuracies but also its inability to capture some basic and important aspects of microscopic polarization response. Here, we consider one such shortcoming, a failure to distinguish the solvation thermodynamics of cations from that of otherwise-identical anions, and we pursue a simple, physically inspired modification of the dielectric continuum model to address it. The adaptation is motivated by analyzing the orientational response of an isolated water molecule whose dipole is rigidly constrained. Its free energy suggests a Hamiltonian for dipole fluctuations that accounts implicitly for the influence of higher-order multipole moments while respecting constraints of molecular geometry. Finally, we propose a field theory with the suggested form, whose nonlinear response breaks the charge symmetry of ion solvation. An approximate variational solution of this theory, with a single adjustable parameter, yields solvation free energies that agree closely with simulation results over a considerable range of solute size and charge.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Federated Learning for Efficient Condition Monitoring and Anomaly Detection in Industrial Cyber-Physical Systems

Detecting and localizing anomalies in cyber-physical systems (CPS) has become increasingly challenging as systems grow in complexity, particularly due to varying sensor reliability and node failures in distributed environments. While federated learning (FL) offers a foundation for distributed model training, existing approaches lack mechanisms to handle these CPS-specific challenges. This paper presents an enhanced FL framework that introduces three key innovations: adaptive model aggregation based on sensor reliability, dynamic node selection for resource optimization, and Weibull-based checkpointing for fault tolerance. Our framework enables reliable condition monitoring while addressing the computational and reliability challenges of industrial CPS deployments. Experiments on NASA Bearing and Hydraulic System Datasets demonstrate superior performance over state-of-the-art FL methods, achieving 99.5% AUC-ROC in anomaly detection and maintaining accuracy under node failures. Statistical validation using Mann-Whitney (U) test confirms significant improvements (p < 0.05) in both detection accuracy and computational efficiency across diverse operational scenarios.1

Marfo, William [University of Texas at El Paso,Dep↗

Real-Time Lifetime Prediction of Semiconductor Devices Using Hardware-in-the-Loop

This paper presents a unique approach to enable real-time lifespan prediction of semiconductor power modules using a Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) system. By integrating the module's overall loss characteristics-specifically switching and conduction losses-with a thermoelectric model of the thermal management system, this research demonstrates that the model can dynamically estimates the junction temperature profile of the semiconductor devices in response to a changing torque demand profile for the motor drive system. This capability enables continuous monitoring of the module's operational time and cumulative stress induced on the devices to compute accumulated remaining lifetime or time-to-failure (TTF). This study provides an architectural framework for the HIL system with high-fidelity component models of multiple physical domains, allowing simulation of dynamic behaviors of a closely-coupled motor drive system. The advanced real-time computation and measurement functionalities of the HIL system allow for both dynamic lifetime calculations based on simulated data and aggregate lifetime predictions utilizing historical data. Moreover, this paper details an algorithm that not only computes cumulative damage but also synthesizes these data into a comprehensive aggregated lifetime metric. This methodology can enhance the maintenance scheduling strategies and operational reliability of semiconductor devices in critical applications, ultimately extending their service life while optimizing performance.

hardware-in-the-loop (HIL)↗

Hydrogen-enhanced compatibility constraint for intergranular failure in FCC FeNiCoCrMn high-entropy alloy

The fundamental mechanism of hydrogen embrittlement was investigated in the high-entropy alloy FeNiCoCrMn using slow strain rate tensile tests with and without internal hydrogen. Hydrogen induced intergranular failure and reduced the average grain elongation parallel to the tensile axis, but also increased the local plasticity within grains. Here, the influence of hydrogen on plasticity establishes a compatibility constraint across grain boundaries, which results in failure along the hydrogen-weakened grain boundaries. This study is the first to directly confirm the presence of the hydrogen-enhanced compatibility constraint in a high-entropy alloy and highlights the importance of developing a physical understanding of grain-scale interactions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microbial electrolysis cell recovery after inducing operational failure conditions

Microbial Electrolysis Cells (MECs) are often documented for their ability to produce hydrogen through new sources and new configurations. However, few studies attempt to document the recovery of the bioanode after being exposed to operational failure conditions. This study attempted to compare the behavior and recovery of MECs after being exposed to four operational failure conditions: acidification, aeration, osmotic shock, and voltage reversal. For each failure condition, three time points were tested: before failure, immediately after failure, and after recovery efforts. Of the modes tested, acidification caused the largest loss in performance and operational efficiency, while osmotic shock caused the second largest loss in performance. Aeration and voltage reversal caused negligible losses in performance immediately after failure conditions and after the recovery period. Aeration and voltage reversal had a minimal effect on the removal of individual compounds. However, acetate accumulated after acidification, and propionic acid accumulated after osmotic shock. Furthermore these findings could be useful for determining if failure will require more significant repair efforts in commercially deployed devices. While acidification created permanent losses to performance, if device failures like aeration, osmotic shock, and voltage reversal are caught early (less than 15 min), full recovery without bioanode replacement is likely.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Advanced Reactor Cyber Analysis and Development Environment (ARCADE) for System-Level Design Analysis

Cybersecurity is a persistent concern to the safety and security of Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs), but has lacked data-driven, evidence-based research. Rigorous cybersecurity analysis is critical for the licensing of advanced reactors using a performance-based approach. One tool that enables cybersecurity analysis is modeling and simulation. The nuclear industry makes extensive use of modeling and simulation throughout the decision process but lacks a method to incorporate cybersecurity analysis with existing models. To meet this need, the Advanced Reactor Cyber Analysis and Development Environment (ARCADE) was developed. ARCADE is a suite of publicly available tools that can be used to develop emulations of industrial control system devices and networks and integrate those emulations with physics simulators. This integration of cyber emulations and physics models enables rigorous cyber-physical analysis of cyber-attacks on NPP systems. This report provides an overview of key considerations for using ARCADE with existing physics models and demonstrates ARCADE’s capabilities for cybersecurity analysis. Using a model of the Small Modular Advanced High Temperature Reactor (SmAHTR), ARCADE was able to determine the sensitivity of the primary heat exchangers (PHX) to coordinated cyber-attacks. The analysis determined that while the PHX’s failures cause disruption to the reactor, they did not cause any safety limits to be exceeded because of the plant design, including passive safety features. Further development of ARCADE will enable rigorous, repeatable, and automated cyber-physical analysis of advanced reactor control systems. These efforts will also help reduce regulatory uncertainty by presenting similar types of cybersecurity analyses in a common format, driving standard approaches and reporting.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A new coupled multiphase flow–finite strain deformation–fault slip framework for induced seismicity

Production of hydrocarbons and water from subsurface reservoirs are known to cause permanent deformation of the reservoir and seismicity along faults both of which are detrimental to sustainable development of natural resources. Most of the prior studies on understanding fluid flow-induced plasticity and seismicity have focused on one or the other phenomenon due to the numerical difficulty associated with simultaneous modeling of the two failure phenomena because stress and deformation evolve non-linearly in both plasticity and seismicity. However, in reservoirs undergoing long-term production, plastic failure can alter the stress paths of points on a fault such that the onset, location, and magnitude of actual seismic events can no longer be predicted by a poroelastic simulation due to inaccurate stress and deformation history. We present a computational framework for coupled multiphase flow, finite strain poroplastic deformation, and dynamic fault slip and use it to understand the impact of plastic deformation on the onset, location, and magnitude of induced fault slip events. We evaluate the impact of plasticity on reservoir pressure, deformation, induced stress, and fault slip by comparing infinitesimal strain elastic and finite strain poro-elastoplastic models. For real-world applications, we consider different scenarios where the reservoir is either mechanically weaker or stronger than the caprock. We analyze the stress evolution as a function of the change in reservoir pressure to understand the role of contrast in reservoir and caprock elastic moduli on geomechanical stability. The results show that the poroplastic reservoir exhibits larger vertical deformation and delayed slip than the poroelastic reservoir after the same amount of oil production. For the same amount of pressure drop, a reservoir with a smaller modulus than the caprock displays a larger vertical displacement and an earlier onset of both plastic failure and fault slip. For a reservoir with a larger modulus than the caprock, vertical displacement is larger on the reservoir top boundary and smaller on the ground surface, and a higher pressure drop is needed to induce plastic failure and fault slip.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Benchmarking Soft Sensors for Remote Monitoring of On-Site Wastewater Treatment Plants

On-site wastewater treatment plants (OSTs) are usually unattended, so failures often remain undetected and lead to prolonged periods of reduced performance. To stabilize the performance of unattended plants, soft sensors could expose faults and failures to the operator. In a previous study, we developed soft sensors and showed that soft sensors with data from unmaintained physical sensors can be as accurate as soft sensors with data from maintained ones. The monitored variables were pH and dissolved oxygen (DO), and soft sensors were used to predict nitrification performance. In the present study, we use synthetic data and monitor three plants to test these soft sensors. We find that a long solids retention time and a moderate aeration rate improve the pH soft-sensor accuracy and that the aeration regime is the main operational parameter affecting the accuracy of the DO soft sensor. We demonstrate that integrated design of monitoring and control is necessary to achieve robustness when extrapolating from one OST to another in the absence of plant-specific fine-tuning. Additionally, we provide a unique labeled dataset for further feature and data-driven soft-sensor development. Our benchmarking results indicate that it is feasible to monitor OSTs with unmaintained sensors and without plant-specific tuning of the developed soft sensors. This is expected to drastically reduce monitoring costs for OST-based sanitation systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Physical Properties of Hilti HIT-RE 500 V3 After Irradiation: Slant Shear, Tensile, Flexural, and Compressive

There are various applications in which epoxy adhesives may be used within hot-cell environments. These epoxies currently see limited use within hot cells since it is known that organics see degradation after small doses even as low as 50 kilogray (kGy). These losses in physical property strengths limit the use of these epoxies to non-structural applications. In modern construction, however, the use of epoxies to bond structural components such as rebar or threaded anchors is becoming increasingly prevalent. To employ these types of materials the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has begun investigating the specific degradation properties of epoxies for use in structural applications in environments where radiation is present. Hilti HIT-RE 500 V3 is used extensively in new construction and renovation projects across the world. The INL has conducted various tests on this epoxy for low dose environments. These tests include tensile, flexural, compression, and slant shear tests following the American Society for Testing Material International (ASTM) standards D638, D790, D695, and C882/882M respectively. Two sample sets for each test were created where the baseline specimens were not irradiated, and another set was irradiated to an accumulated dose of approximately 50-60 kGy. All the samples were destructively tested and analyzed focusing on the change in physical properties, examples of these tests are shown in Figures 1-4. Tensile testing results indicate a 0.9% loss in maximum load capacity, a 0.5% loss in tensile stress at maximum load, a 1.4% loss in tensile strain at break, and a 15% decrease in modulus of elasticity. Flexural testing results display an increase in all the following: 12% in strain at maximum load, 10% in maximum load capacity, 5% in stress at maximum load, and 3% in young’s modulus. The compressive physical properties after irradiation display a 1% increase in maximum load, a 3% decrease in stress at yield, and a 5% decrease in modulus of elasticity. The maximum compressive stress saw no measurable change after irradiation. The slant shear specimens after irradiation displayed a 2% increase in maximum load capacity and maximum compressive stress. Though a structural analysis would have to be completed as is normal for building design the increases and decreases in the measured physical properties indicate that this material may be used for structural applications in low dose hot-cell environments without adhesive failure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Physics informed neural network can retrieve rate and state friction parameters from acoustic monitoring of laboratory stick-slip experiments

Various machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques have been recently applied to the forecasting of laboratory earthquakes from friction experiments. The magnitude and timing of shear failures in stick-slip cycles are predicted using features extracted from the recorded ultrasonic or acoustic emission (AE) signals. In addition, the Rate and State Friction (RSF) constitutive laws are extensively used to model the frictional behavior of faults. In this work, we use data from shear experiments coupled with passive acoustic (variance, kurtosis, and AE rate) interleaved with active source ultrasonic monitoring (transmitted wave amplitude) to develop physics-informed neural network (PINN) models incorporating the RSF law and AE rate generation equation with wave amplitude serving as a proxy for friction state variable. This PINN framework allows learning RSF parameters from stick-slip experiments rather than measuring them through a series of velocity step experiments. We observe that when the stick-slip cycles are irregular, the PINN models outperform the data-driven DL models. Transfer learning (TL) PINN models are also developed by pre-training on data collected at one normal stress level followed by forecasting shear failures and retrieving RSF parameters at other stress levels (i.e., with different recurrence intervals) after retraining on a limited amount of new data. Our findings suggest that TL models perform better compared to standalone models. Both standalone and TL PINN-estimated RSF parameters and their ground truth values show excellent agreements thus demonstrating that RSF parameters can be retrieved from laboratory stick-slip experiments using the corresponding acoustic data and that the transmitted wave amplitude provides a good representation of the evolving frictional state during stick-slips.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Physics-based model of irradiation creep for ferritic materials under fusion energy operation conditions

Irradiation creep is known to be an important process for structural materials in nuclear environments, potentially leading to creep failure at temperatures where thermal creep is generally negligible. While there is a great deal of data for irradiation creep in steels and zirconium alloys in light water reactor conditions, much less is known for first wall materials under fusion energy conditions. Lacking suitable fusion neutron sources for detailed experimentation, modeling, and simulation can help bridge the dose-rate and spectral-effects gap and produce quantifiable expectations for creep deformation of first wall materials under standard fusion conditions. In this paper, we develop a comprehensive model for irradiation creep created from merging a crystal plasticity representation of the dislocation microstructure and a defect evolution simulator that accounts for the entire cluster dimensionality space. Both approaches are linked by way of a climb velocity that captures dislocation-biased defect absorption and a dislocation strengthening term that reflects the accumulation of defect clusters in the system. Here, we carry out our study in Fe under first wall fusion reactor conditions, characterized by a fusion neutron spectrum with average recoil energies of 20 keV and a damage dose rate of ≈3×10 –7 dpa/s at temperatures between 300 and 800 K.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗