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At least 199 records · Page 11

Seismic Tomographic Modeling of the Crust and Upper Mantle beneath Israel and the Middle East: Improved Resolution through Optimized Model Parameterization

Accurate regional seismic travel-time (RSTT) predictions rely on regional phases (e.g., Pg, Lg, Pn, Sn ) to account for 3D effects in the crust and upper mantle that are not captured by 1D models traditionally used for real-time location. The RSTT prediction model accounts for regional-scale crust and upper mantle structure globally by incorporating regional seismic phases into its travel-time calculations. Previous versions of the RSTT model have used a constant grid cell size of 1°. To improve the tomographic accuracy of recovering velocity structure at regional scales, we, in this study, perform data-driven grid refinement on the RSTT model down to a 0.125° grid (~14 km) in pursuit of two main goals: (1) to test the limits of RSTT capability and accuracy of determined velocity structure through variable grid refinement and (2) to image smaller structures in Israel and the Middle East and illuminate upper mantle dynamics operating in this complex tectonic area. We investigate the effects of model parameterization as grid cell size decreases and the trade-offs between recovered velocity structures. Our final dataset includes 4751 events and 499 stations that recorded 79,344 Pn and 7489 Pg . The variable grid refinement method allows recovery of finer-scale velocity structures and reduces travel-time residuals in areas with the highest data coverage. At smaller grid cell sizes, longer paths need to be upweighted to stabilize the inversion. Results illuminate tectonic features undefined in coarser grid-size models; in particular, we observe mantle perturbations related to the subduction zone around the Cyprian arc and crustal anomalies near the Dead Sea fault and throughout the Anatolian plate.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Improving Short Term Predictability of Hydrologic Models with Deep Learning

Focal Area: Focal Area 2. Predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components; the use of AI and other tools to design a prediction system comprising of a hierarchy of models (e.g., AI driven model/component/parameterization selection). Science Challenge: A major challenge exists in the lack of reliable predictive modeling of water-cycle extremes using macro-scale hydrologic models that are driven by atmospheric climate data. This causes a critical knowledge gap in understanding the magnitudes, probabilities, and severity of droughts, rainfall, and flooding. Improved understanding of these extreme events requires more accurate modeling at high spatial and temporal resolutions. This shortcoming is especially apparent when complex couplings between atmospheric quantities and engineered systems emerge, such as during extreme precipitation or drought events and at intersections of atmospheric-land-fluvial-ocean systems. Added complexity around representing operations of engineered infrastructure leads to a limited capability to analyze the temporal and spatial implications of compounding extreme events across inland and coastal regions. This results in profound challenges for water and power systems operators, agriculture production, and regional infrastructure planning. The science challenge can be summarized as How can we use AI/ML to improve short term predictability of extreme water-cycle events and associated risk, especially compounding events and extreme rainfall patterns that result in flooding, to inland and coastal communities under different climate scenarios?

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stochastic Continuous-time Flexibility Scheduling and Pricing in Wholesale Electricity Markets

Large-scale integration of intermittent renewable energy sources (RES) is calling for additional flexibility resources as well as more advanced modeling and optimization techniques to account for the increasing uncertainty and variability in power systems operation. As the RES integration gains momentum, the magnitude and frequency of their variations increase, which may trigger ramping scarcity events in real-time power systems operation. This necessitates revisiting the present definition of power systems flexibility and reserve services to reflect their robustness and adequacy towards sub-interval variations of the load and RES, as well as adjusting the operation models to accommodate the new reserve services. This project took a fundamental approach and aimed at developing continuous-time scheduling and pricing model that accurately models the continuous-time variations of load and RES and efficiently deploys the ramping capability of flexible resources to compensate the sources of variability and uncertainty in the market. In this regard, this project pursued the following goals: Developing stochastic multi-fidelity continuous-time optimization models for scheduling of energy storage (ES) systems and flexible loads in wholesale energy markets; Developing the theory and practices of continuous-time locational marginal pricing for valuating energy storage systems and flexible loads in wholesale energy markets; Developing function space solution approach to convert the proposed stochastic multi-fidelity continuous-time optimization models into tractable mixed-integer linear optimization models; and Defining flexibility reserve as a new type of reserve in markets that would enable ultimate participation of energy storage devices in provision of services to compensate the variability and uncertainty of RES in electricity markets. This project successfully completed all five major tasks defined in the SOPO, and produced 8 high-impact journal papers, 6 conference papers, 3 published U.S. patents, and one web-based software for continuous-time operation optimization of power systems. The application of the proposed flexibility reserve and the stochastic multi-fidelity continuous-time operation scheduling models would modify the forward commitment and schedule of generating units, ES devices and flexible loads, and would line up the resources in such a way that the composition of available resources is better prepared to respond to the sub-hourly variations of the load and renewable resources in real-time operation. Therefore, this project paves the way to sustainable, reliable, and economic integration of renewable energy resources in power system, supporting the progress towards reaching the national targets on energy independence. Even if the proposed models offers a radically different point of view as compared to existing models, it does not alter fundamentally the architecture of power systems operations, nor the complexity of the scheduling problem, so the integration of this project in power systems is extremely practical.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline Deployment: Siting, Safety, and Regulation

Carbon capture, utilization, and storage technology has significant potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the impact of climate change, particularly in hard-to-decarbonize industrial and commercial sectors. Unless utilization or storage occurs at the same location as carbon capture, which is rare, carbon must be transported from a point source to a utilization or storage site. Pipelines offer significant advantages for large-scale transportation of carbon dioxide over other methods. While studies show that reaching net-zero carbon emissions in the United States by 2050 will require between 29,000 and 66,000 miles of carbon pipelines, the U.S. had deployed fewer than 6,000 miles of carbon pipelines by 2022. Although closing this gap is important to achieving low-carbon goals, carbon pipelines operate in a complex and uncertain local, state and federal regulatory landscape and face public concerns about safety and siting. This report covers numerous regulatory issues surrounding carbon pipeline development, including the current narrow federal definition of carbon dioxide and the considerable variation in state and local governments’ laws and regulations. The report serves as a primer for regulators and stakeholders who seek to better understand the regulatory challenges and opportunities facing this critical infrastructure

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Effects of Carbonate Minerals on Shale-Hydraulic Fracturing Fluid Interactions in the Marcellus Shale

Natural gas extracted from tight shale formations, such as the Marcellus Shale, represents a significant and developing front in energy exploration. By fracturing these formations using pressurized fracturing fluid, previously unobtainable hydrocarbon reserves may be tapped. While pursuing this resource, hydraulic fracturing operations leave chemically complex fluids in the shale formation for at least two weeks. This provides a substantial opportunity for the hydraulic fracturing fluid (HFF) to react with the shale formation at reservoir temperature and pressure. In this study, we investigated the effects of the carbonates on shale-HFF reactions with a focus on the Marcellus Shale. We performed autoclave experiments at high temperature and pressure reservoir conditions using a carbonate-rich and a decarbonated or carbonate-free version of the same shale sample. We observed that carbonate minerals buffer the pH of the solution, which in turn prevents clay dissolution. Carbonate and bicarbonate ions also scavenge reactive oxidizing species (ROS), which prevents oxidation of shale organic matter and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). Carbonate-free samples also show higher pyrite dissolution compared to the carbonate-rich sample due to chelation reactions. This study demonstrates how carbonate minerals (keeping all other variables constant) affect shale-HFF reactions that can potentially impact porosity, microfracture integrity, and the release of heavy metals and volatile organic contaminants in the produced water.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

HOLISTIC ENERGY EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIFIED OFF-HIGHWAY MATERIAL HANDLER: FROM DRIVE CYCLE CHARACTERIZATION TO POWERTRAIN, HYDRAULIC, AND THERMAL SYSTEM PERFORMANCE

Three complexities surrounding the operation and testing of hybrid electric, heavy-duty nonroad machines have been addressed experimentally and using 1D simulation. Their resolutions have been intertwined with the development of a prototype machine that was proven to reduce fuel consumption in excess of 20%. A real-world drive cycle that leveraged hydraulic cylinder position was developed and utilized to ensure accurate reproduction of hydraulic work between the baseline and hybrid machines, while simultaneously maintaining less than 5% RMS error in position for main load handling functions. The newly developed, machine-specific drive cycle also contributed towards making equivalent comparisons in energy consumption between machine types through composite performance metrics that were extrapolated over a typical shift duration. Lastly, this work addressed thermal management energy consumption, a topic of increasing popularity when discussing electrified vehicles, by proposing a 1.4% energy savings through special mechanization and control of cooling system components.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Mapping the performance of a versatile water-based condensation particle counter (vWCPC) with numerical simulation and experimental study

Accurate airborne aerosol instrumentation is required to determine the spatial distribution of ambient aerosol particles, particularly when dealing with the complex vertical profiles and horizontal variations of atmospheric aerosols. A versatile water-based condensation particle counter (vWCPC) has been developed to provide aerosol concentration measurements under various environments with the advantage of reducing the health and safety concerns associated with using butanol or other chemicals as the working fluid. However, the airborne deployment of vWCPCs is relatively limited due to the lack of characterization of vWCPC performance at reduced pressures. Given the complex combinations of operating parameters in vWCPCs, modeling studies have advantages in mapping vWCPC performance. In this work, we thoroughly investigated the performance of a laminar-flow vWCPC using COMSOL Multiphysics® simulation coupled with MATLAB™. We compared it against a modified vWCPC (vWCPC model 3789, TSI, Shoreview, MN, USA). Our simulation determined the performance of particle activation and droplet growth in the vWCPC growth tube, including the supersaturation, $D$ p,kel,0 (smallest size of particle that can be activated), $D$ p,kel,50 (particle size activated with 50 % efficiency) profile, and final growth particle size D d under wide operating temperatures, inlet pressures $P$ (30–101 kPa), and growth tube geometry (diameter $D$ and initiator length $L$ ini ). The effect of inlet pressure and conditioner temperature on vWCPC 3789 performance was also examined and compared with laboratory experiments. The COMSOL simulation result showed that increasing the temperature difference (Δ$T$) between conditioner temperature $T$ con and initiator $T$ ini will reduce $D$ p,kel,0 and the cut-off size $D$ p,kel,50 of the vWCPC. In addition, lowering the temperature midpoint ($T$ mid = $\frac{T_{con}+T_{ini}}{2}$ increases the supersaturation and slightly decreases the $D$ p,kel . The droplet size at the end of the growth tube is not significantly dependent on raising or lowering the temperature midpoint but significantly decreases at reduced inlet pressure, which indirectly alters the vWCPC empirical cut-off size. Our study shows that the current simulated growth tube geometry ($D$=6.3 mm and $L$ ini =30 mm) is an optimized choice for current vWCPC flow and temperature settings. The current simulation can more realistically represent the $D$ p,kel for 7 nm vWCPC and also achieved good agreement with the 2 nm setting. Using the new simulation approach, we provide an optimized operation setting for the 7 nm setting. This study will guide further vWCPC performance optimization for applications requiring precise particle detection and atmospheric aerosol monitoring.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Domain knowledge-informed, process-mapping AI graph for designing Fe-based alloys

<span style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt;">Continuous improvement in efficiency of a power plant relies on designing materials for use at increasingly higher temperature and/or pressure, for 100,000s hours of operation. Due to complexity, non-linearity and high-dimensionality of the problem, traditional Machine Learning (ML) approaches require unreasonably large datasets for the data-driven model development. Science-based material and process engineering complements hard data with, sometimes soft and intuitive, empirical domain knowledge. Artificial Intelligence (AI) was used in this study to incorporate such knowledge into computational graph architecture (process-mimicking artificial neuron design, causal layer and graph structures, ensemble modeling of latent states) and learning procedures (variable transformation, fuzzy physics pre-training and freezing of deep layers, virtual microstructure representation, and adversarial multi-objective optimization). The first alloys design pathways suggested by the AI tool (pyroMind) passed a preliminary engineering review on soundness and transparency.</span>

Romanov, Vyacheslav↗

Y-12 Nuclear Criticality Safety Program Health Model: Development, Use and Benefits

The Y-12 National Security Complex (Y-12) operates seven diverse enriched uranium processing facilities and maintains a comprehensive nuclear criticality safety (NCS) program. Given the magnitude of the hazard, the NCS program receives significant oversight. Describing the scope and health of the Y-12 NCS program to sometimes non-expert stakeholders with limited time had historically focused on recent events and “hot topics” which did not always convey sufficient context (i.e., how to differentiate between an individual performance issue and a systemic concern). Y-12 created the NCS Program Health (NCSPH) Model to provide a complete and holistic framework to quantify and communicate NCS program health. The model is constructed in a tiered fashion with the top tier broken into three (3) Tier 2 elements, fourteen (14) Tier 3 elements, and 104 Tier 4 and 5 elements. This granularity ensures every feature of the NCS Program is accounted for and stakeholders can see how these features support the collective whole. The model is used as the framework for NCS communications including program plans, reports, health surveys, and meeting agendas. The model has substantially improved stakeholder appreciation for the entirety of the NCS program and how events and assessment results factor into an overarching conclusion on NCS program health. While some details are Y-12 specific, the NCSPH model can easily be tailored for any other site with an NCS program.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Fault Characterization and Diagnostics Supporting Condition-Based Operation and Maintenance of Gas Turbine Engines

Condition-Based Operation and Maintenance (CBOM) is the state-of-the-art in maintenance approaches for gas turbine engines. CBOM applies engine sensor information to the optimization of future operation and maintenance procedures; this technique reduces costs for engine operators by minimizing unplanned outages and catastrophic engine degradation. However, due to the complexities of gas turbine operation and the lack of available engine sensors, further development is required to fully realize the benefits of CBOM. In the turbine section, rotating components interact with high temperature flows, which creates intense thermal and mechanical stresses. As a result, there are numerous mechanisms of component degradation in the turbine section. Furthermore, turbine components – like stator vanes and rotor blades – are among the most expensive in the engine because they are complex to design and manufacture. For these reasons, this dissertation addresses two main questions: (i) which parameters or faults within the turbine section are most important to monitor, and (ii) how can these parameters or faults be monitored in an engine-relevant environment? Although many turbine parameters and faults have been investigated in the open literature, there are some faults that are still not well understood. Rotor-casing eccentricity, which causes a non-constant blade tip clearance around the annulus, has not been investigated in terms of its effects on turbine efficiency. Therefore, the first study in this dissertation quantifies overall and local turbine efficiency for varying levels of rotor-casing eccentricity. Results showed negligible variations to overall turbine efficiency, meaning rotor-casing eccentricity only becomes relevant to CBOM when its severity causes rotordynamic issues. Purge flow is critical to turbine hardware longevity because it prevents ingestion of hot main gas path (MGP) flow into the under-platform regions. Despite its importance, there are currently no methods for monitoring purge flow performance in an engine environment. Therefore, the second study in this dissertation develops a predictive model for sealing effectiveness using inputs from two fast-response pressure sensors. Results exhibited low prediction errors across a full range of purge flow rates, which supports the viability of the modelling approach for CBOM. The final two studies in this dissertation address blade coolant flow monitoring. This cooling flow is responsible for protecting the turbine blades from the MGP flow, which exits the combustor at temperatures greater than the blade melting point. These studies showed that temperature measurements on the blade surface can be used to accurately predict blade coolant flow rate, and that defining the candidate features relative to the coolant trajectory is important for maintaining accuracy as coolant flow rate degradation occurs. This work enables blade coolant flow monitoring, which is currently not possible through existing condition monitoring techniques.

condition-based, gas turbines, diagnostics,↗

Learning nonlinear operators in latent spaces for real-time predictions of complex dynamics in physical systems

Abstract Predicting complex dynamics in physical applications governed by partial differential equations in real-time is nearly impossible with traditional numerical simulations due to high computational cost. Neural operators offer a solution by approximating mappings between infinite-dimensional Banach spaces, yet their performance degrades with system size and complexity. We propose an approach for learning neural operators in latent spaces, facilitating real-time predictions for highly nonlinear and multiscale systems on high-dimensional domains. Our method utilizes the deep operator network architecture on a low-dimensional latent space to efficiently approximate underlying operators. Demonstrations on material fracture, fluid flow prediction, and climate modeling highlight superior prediction accuracy and computational efficiency compared to existing methods. Notably, our approach enables approximating large-scale atmospheric flows with millions of degrees, enhancing weather and climate forecasts. Here we show that the proposed approach enables real-time predictions that can facilitate decision-making for a wide range of applications in science and engineering.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Algebraic ER=EPR and complexity transfer

We propose an algebraic definition of ER=EPR in the G N → 0 limit, which associates bulk spacetime connectivity/disconnectivity to the operator algebraic structure of a quantum gravity system. The new formulation not only includes information on the amount of entanglement, but also more importantly the structure of entanglement. We give an independent definition of a quantum wormhole as part of the proposal. This algebraic version of ER=EPR sheds light on a recent puzzle regarding spacetime disconnectivity in holographic systems with $\mathcal{O}$(1/G N ) entanglement. We discuss the emergence of quantum connectivity in the context of black hole evaporation and further argue that at the Page time, the black hole-radiation system undergoes a transition involving the transfer of an emergent type III 1 subalgebra of high complexity operators from the black hole to radiation. We argue this is a general phenomenon that occurs whenever there is an exchange of dominance between two competing quantum extremal surfaces.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A rotor-based multileaf collimator for beam shaping

We introduce a new style of multileaf collimator which employs rotors with angularly dependent radius to control the masking aperture: a rotor-based multileaf collimator (RMLC). Using a padlock-inspired mechanism, a single motor can set dozens of rotors, i.e. leaves, independently. This is especially important for an ultra-high vacuum (UHV) compatible MLC, since this reduces the number of actuators and vacuum feedthroughs required by more than an order of magnitude. This new RMLC will complement previous work employing a UHV compatible MLC with an emittance exchange beamline to create arbitrarily shaped beams on demand. A feed-forward control system which abstracts away the complexity of the RMLC operation, and is adaptable to real beamline conditions, is discussed and demonstrated in simulation.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Building Krylov complexity from circuit complexity

Krylov complexity has emerged as a probe of operator growth in a wide range of nonequilibrium quantum dynamics. However, a fundamental issue remains in such studies: the definition of the distance between basis states in Krylov space is ambiguous. Here we show that Krylov complexity can be rigorously established from circuit complexity when dynamical symmetries exist. Whereas circuit complexity characterizes the geodesic distance in a multidimensional operator space, Krylov complexity measures the height of the final operator in a particular direction. The geometric representation of circuit complexity thus unambiguously designates the distance between basis states in Krylov space. This geometric approach also applies to time-dependent Liouvillian superoperators, where a single Krylov complexity is no longer sufficient. Multiple Krylov complexity may be exploited jointly to fully describe operator dynamics. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Lv, Chenwei (ORCID:0000000250952582)↗

Spin-transparent storage rings for quantum computing

Spin-transparent storage rings, where any spin direction repeats after one full turn, can be used in conjunction with ion traps as a new quantum computing platform [1]. Advantages of spin-transparent rings for quantum computing include: large numbers of stored qubits; long quantum coherence times of up to several hours; long storage lifetimes; and room temperature operation. These exceptional qualities mean rings could provide a scalable way to implement algorithms with deep complexity requiring many quantum operations while simultaneously providing a large number of qubits. This new platform where the qubit has long quantum coherence time can also be used as a quantum sensor or a part of a quantum memory.

Accelerator Physics↗

Liouville operators over the Hardy space

The role of Liouville operators in the study of dynamical systems through the use of occupation measures has been an active area of research in control theory over the past decade. This article investigates Liouville operators over the Hardy space, which encode complex ordinary differential equations in an operator over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Efficient Application of the Factorized form of the Unitary Coupled-Cluster Ansatz for the Variational Quantum Eigensolver Algorithm by Using Linear Combination of Unitaries

The variational quantum eigensolver is one of the most promising algorithms for near-term quantum computers. It has the potential to solve quantum chemistry problems involving strongly correlated electrons with relatively low-depth circuits, which are otherwise difficult to solve on classical computers. The variational eigenstate is constructed from a number of factorized unitary coupled-cluster terms applied onto an initial (single-reference) state. Current algorithms for applying one of these operators to a quantum state require a number of operations that scale exponentially with the rank of the operator. We exploit a hidden SU(2) symmetry to allow us to employ the linear combination of unitaries approach, Our Prepare subroutine uses n+2 ancilla qubits for a rank-n operator. Our Select (U) scheme uses O(n) Cnot gates. This results in a full algorithm that scales like the cube of the rank of the operator n 3 , a significant reduction in complexity for rank five or higher operators. This approach, when combined with other algorithms for lower-rank operators (when compared to the standard implementation), will make the factorized form of the unitary coupled-cluster approach much more efficient to implement on all types of quantum computers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A python package for analyzing Resilience of Complex Systems (pyRoCS) v.0.0

SAND2024-01040O PyRoCS software synthesizes mathematical equations from several domains—including information theory, ecology, and engineering sciences—to support resilience analysis for complex systems. Resilience is the ability of the complex system being analyzed to withstand, operate through, and recover from a disruption. The complex system can be a physical system such as an electric grid, an organization such as a company, or even a subfunction of an organization. Existing mathematical equations for resilience analysis are found within multiple domains including information theory, biological sciences, and complex systems. This package synthesizes and refactors equations from these various domains to make them more generalizable for application across different types of complex systems relevant for resilience analysis. Users will be able to apply these equations to characterize different components of complex systems based on available data. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Verzi, Stephen↗