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At least 199 records · Page 11

Cumulative Spatial Impact Layers: A Novel Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Analytical Summarization Tool

Scientific inquiry often requires analysis of multiple spatio-temporal datasets, ranging in type and size, using complex multi-step processes demanding an understanding of GIS theory and software. Cumulative Spatial Impact Layers (CSIL) is a GIS-based tool that summarizes spatio-temporal datasets based on overlapping features and attributes. Leveraging a recursive quadtree method, and applying multiple additive frameworks, the CSIL tool allows users to analyze raster and vector datasets by calculating data, record, or attribute density. Providing an efficient and robust method for summarizing disparate, multi-format, multi-source geospatial data, CSIL addresses the need for a new integration approach and resulting geospatial product. The built-in flexibility of the CSIL tool allows users to answer a range of spatially-driven questions. Example applications are provided in this paper to illustrate the versatility and variety of uses for this CSIL tool and method. Use cases include addressing regulatory decision-making needs, economic modeling, and resource management. Performance reviews for each use case are also presented, demonstrating how CSILs provides a more efficient and robust approach to assess a range of multivariate spatial data for a variety of uses.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Bayesian network ensemble as a multivariate strategy to predict radiation pneumonitis risk

Purpose: Prediction of radiation pneumonitis (RP) has been shown to be challenging due to the involvement of a variety of factors including dose–volume metrics and radiosensitivity biomarkers. Some of these factors are highly correlated and might affect prediction results when combined. Bayesian network (BN) provides a probabilistic framework to represent variable dependencies in a directed acyclic graph. The aim of this study is to integrate the BN framework and a systems’ biology approach to detect possible interactions among RP risk factors and exploit these relationships to enhance both the understanding and prediction of RP. Methods: The authors studied 54 nonsmall-cell lung cancer patients who received curative 3D-conformal radiotherapy. Nineteen RP events were observed (common toxicity criteria for adverse events grade 2 or higher). Serum concentration of the following four candidate biomarkers were measured at baseline and midtreatment: alpha-2-macroglobulin, angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE), transforming growth factor, interleukin-6. Dose-volumetric and clinical parameters were also included as covariates. Feature selection was performed using a Markov blanket approach based on the Koller–Sahami filter. The Markov chain Monte Carlo technique estimated the posterior distribution of BN graphs built from the observed data of the selected variables and causality constraints. RP probability was estimated using a limited number of high posterior graphs (ensemble) and was averaged for the final RP estimate using Bayes’ rule. A resampling method based on bootstrapping was applied to model training and validation in order to control under- and overfit pitfalls. Results: RP prediction power of the BN ensemble approach reached its optimum at a size of 200. The optimized performance of the BN model recorded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83, which was significantly higher than multivariate logistic regression (0.77), mean heart dose (0.69), and a pre-to-midtreatment change in ACE (0.66). When RP prediction was made only with pretreatment information, the AUC ranged from 0.76 to 0.81 depending on the ensemble size. Bootstrap validation of graph features in the ensemble quantified confidence of association between variables in the graphs where ten interactions were statistically significant. Conclusions: The presented BN methodology provides the flexibility to model hierarchical interactions between RP covariates, which is applied to probabilistic inference on RP. The authors’ preliminary results demonstrate that such framework combined with an ensemble method can possibly improve prediction of RP under real-life clinical circumstances such as missing data or treatment plan adaptation.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

An improved Method for Determining Transient Fuel Dilution of Oil in an Internal-Combustion Engine Using Laser-Induced Florescence and Multivariate Least Square Calibration

An optical diagnostic, based on laser-induced fluorescence (LIF), has been developed for on-engine measurements of real-time fuel dilution of engine oil or fuel in oil (FIO). Fuel dilution of oil is broadly relevant to advancing engine technology including durability, calibration, and catalyst-system management, and believed to promote destructive stochastic pre-ignition (SPI) during high-load engine operations. While standard (e.g., ASTM D3524-90) methods are not capable of real-time transient measurements, the LIF technique resolves transient dilution on the minutes time scale. We have expanded on our original FIO instrument development by introducing an improved analysis based on multivariate least square chemometrics analysis. The measurement uses a fuel dye (180–1300 parts per million, by mass) and monitors for its presence in the oil using 532 nm excitation and LIF. While the original FIO instrument utilized a two-color ratio method for analysis, the improved chemometric analysis uses the fully resolved LIF dye spectra to provide better predictive FIO accuracy (>92%) over a wide FIO range (1.5–14%) typical of engine application. We also investigate the effect of oil temperature on the LIF signal. Limited engine applications for demonstrating and validating the improved FIO instrument are shown, and the related data used to quantify practical detection limit and sensitivity. The improved analysis is insensitive to laser power fluctuation and change in detector integration time, providing an excellent FIO sensitivity (1–2%) and detection limit (0.01 %FIO) over a wide range of loads and injection timings, illustrating this updated approach to be a promising tool for advancing engine technology.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Localization of polyhydroxybutyrate in sugarcane using Fourier-transform infrared microspectroscopy and multivariate imaging

Background: Slow-degrading, fossil fuel-derived plastics can have deleterious effects on the environment, especially marine ecosystems. The production of bio-based, biodegradable plastics from or in plants can assist in supplanting those manufactured using fossil fuels. Polyhydroxybutyrate (PHB) is one such biodegradable polyester that has been evaluated as a possible candidate for relinquishing the use of environmentally harmful plastics. Results: PHB, possessing similar properties to polyesters produced from non-renewable sources, has been previously engineered in sugarcane, thereby creating a high-value co-product in addition to the high biomass yield. This manuscript illustrates the coupling of a Fourier-transform infrared microspectrometer, equipped with a focal plane array (FPA) detector, with multivariate imaging to successfully identify and localize PHB aggregates. Principal component analysis imaging facilitated the mining of the abundant quantity of spectral data acquired using the FPA for distinct PHB vibrational modes. PHB was measured in the chloroplasts of mesophyll and bundle sheath cells, acquiescent with previously evaluated plant samples. Conclusion: This study demonstrates the power of IR microspectroscopy to rapidly image plant sections to provide a snapshot of the chemical composition of the cell. While PHB was localized in sugarcane, this method is readily transferable to other value-added co-products in different plants.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Multivariate Dynamic Spatial Factor Model for Speciated Pollutants and Adverse Birth Outcomes

Evidence suggests that exposure to elevated concentrations of air pollution during pregnancy is associated with increased risks of birth defects and other adverse birth outcomes. While current regulations put limits on total PM2.5 concentrations, there are many speciated pollutants within this size class that likely have distinct effects on perinatal health. However, due to correlations between these speciated pollutants, it can be difficult to decipher their effects in a model for birth outcomes. To combat this difficulty, we develop a multivariate spatio-temporal Bayesian model for speciated particulate matter using dynamic spatial factors. These spatial factors can then be interpolated to the pregnant women’s homes to be used to model birth defects. The birth defect model allows the impact of pollutants to vary across different weeks of the pregnancy in order to identify susceptible periods. Here, the proposed methodology is illustrated using pollutant monitoring data from the Environmental Protection Agency and birth records from the National Birth Defect Prevention Study.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Monitoring task loading with multivariate EEG measures during complex forms of human-computer interaction

Electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings were made while 16 participants performed versions of a personal-computer-based flight simulation task of low, moderate, or high difficulty. As task difficulty increased, frontal midline theta EEG activity increased and alpha band activity decreased. A participant-specific function that combined multiple EEG features to create a single load index was derived from a sample of each participant's data and then applied to new test data from that participant. Index values were computed for every 4 s of task data. Across participants, mean task load index values increased systematically with increasing task difficulty and differed significantly between the different task versions. Actual or potential applications of this research include the use of multivariate EEG-based methods to monitor task loading during naturalistic computer-based work.

NASA Discipline Space Human Factors↗

Multivariable State-Space Identification in the Delta and Shift Operators

This paper develops algorithms for multivariable state-space identification which can be used to estimate models in any operator of interest i.e., delta-rule, shift, Laplace s, etc. The approach is based on the State-Space from Frequency Data (SSFD) algorithm which was designed specifically to eliminate distortions from windowing effects.

multivariable state-space identification SSFD wind↗

Evaluation of Meterorite Amono Acid Analysis Data Using Multivariate Techniques

The amino acid distributions in the Murchison carbonaceous chondrite, Mars meteorite ALH84001, and ice from the Allan Hills region of Antarctica are shown, using a multivariate technique known as Principal Component Analysis (PCA), to be statistically distinct from the average amino acid compostion of 101 terrestrial protein superfamilies.

meteorites Amino acids Multivariate Analysis↗

Analysis of Multivariate Experimental Data Using A Simplified Regression Model Search Algorithm

A new regression model search algorithm was developed in 2011 that may be used to analyze both general multivariate experimental data sets and wind tunnel strain-gage balance calibration data. The new algorithm is a simplified version of a more complex search algorithm that was originally developed at the NASA Ames Balance Calibration Laboratory. The new algorithm has the advantage that it needs only about one tenth of the original algorithm's CPU time for the completion of a search. In addition, extensive testing showed that the prediction accuracy of math models obtained from the simplified algorithm is similar to the prediction accuracy of math models obtained from the original algorithm. The simplified algorithm, however, cannot guarantee that search constraints related to a set of statistical quality requirements are always satisfied in the optimized regression models. Therefore, the simplified search algorithm is not intended to replace the original search algorithm. Instead, it may be used to generate an alternate optimized regression model of experimental data whenever the application of the original search algorithm either fails or requires too much CPU time. Data from a machine calibration of NASA's MK40 force balance is used to illustrate the application of the new regression model search algorithm.

multivariate experimental data↗

Multivariate Linear Models for In Situ Monitoring of Low-Activity Nuclear Waste Using Infrared and Raman Spectroscopy - 20218

This paper presents the use of in situ monitoring tools for molecular analysis of non-radioactive species found in the supernatant liquid and dissolvable salt cake of nuclear waste at Hanford. We have selected two in situ spectroscopic techniques that do not require any sample preparation or consumables: infrared (in the form of attenuated total reflectance Fourier transform infrared or ATR-FTIR) and Raman spectroscopy. This work aims to evaluate their performance for liquid waste simulants representative of the Hanford DFLAW (Direct Feed Low-Activity Waste) feed. In addition, we have evaluated the performance of four multivariate linear models that extract concentrations from spectral measurements for a data set that was designed to include key molecular species found in liquid low-activity waste. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Prediction of MeV electron fluxes throughout the outer radiation belt using multivariate autoregressive models

The Van Allen radiation belts surrounding the Earth are filled with MeV-energy electrons. This region poses ionizing radiation risks for spacecraft that operate within it, including those in geostationary orbit (GEO) and medium Earth orbit. In order to provide alerts of electron flux enhancements, 16 prediction models of the electron log-flux variation throughout the equatorial outer radiation belt as a function of the McIlwain L parameter were developed using the multivariate autoregressive model and Kalman filter. Measurements of omnidirectional 2.3 MeV electron flux from the Van Allen Probes mission as well as >2 MeV electrons from the GOES 15 spacecraft were used as the predictors. Furthermore, we selected model explanatory parameters from solar wind parameters, the electron log-flux at GEO, and geomagnetic indices. For the innermost region of the outer radiation belt, the electron flux is best predicted by using the Dst index as the sole input parameter. For the central to outermost regions, at L≥4.8 and L ≥5.6, the electron flux is predicted most accurately by including also the solar wind velocity and then the dynamic pressure, respectively. The Dst index is the best overall single parameter for predicting at 3 ≤ L ≤ 6, while for the GEO flux prediction, the K P index is better than Dst. Finally, a test calculation demonstrates that the model successfully predicts the timing and location of the flux maximum as much as 2 days in advance and that the electron flux decreases faster with time at higher L values, both model features consistent with the actually observed behavior.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Multivariate quadrature for representing cloud condensation nuclei activity of aerosol populations

Here, sparse representations of atmospheric aerosols are needed for efficient regional- and global-scale chemical transport models. Here we introduce a new framework for representing aerosol distributions, based on the quadrature method of moments. Given a set of moment constraints, we show how linear programming, combined with an entropy-inspired cost function, can be used to construct optimized quadrature representations of aerosol distributions. The sparse representations derived from this approach accurately reproduce cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activity for realistically complex distributions simulated by a particleresolved model. Additionally, the linear programming techniques described in this study can be used to bound key aerosol properties, such as the number concentration of CCN. Unlike the commonly used sparse representations, such as modal and sectional schemes, the maximum-entropy approach described here is not constrained to pre-determined size bins or assumed distribution shapes. This study is a first step toward a particle-based aerosol scheme that will track multivariate aerosol distributions with sufficient computational efficiency for large-scale simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

2D Multivariate‐Metal‐Organic Frameworks (2D‐M 2 OF) for High Yield Ammonia Synthesis from Nitrate

Ammonia synthesis from nitrate offers a promising approach for both nitrate removal and nitrogen recycling. In this study, a series of 2D multivariate-metal-organic frameworks (M 2 OFs) is synthesized, incorporating transition metals such as Co, Ni, Mn, and Ag to enhance these processes. These M 2 OFs exhibit remarkable ammonia production performance, with the highest performance achieved using the quaternary structure exceeding a current density of 1 A cm −2 at −0.8 V vs RHE, with an ammonia Faradic efficiency (F.E.) of ≈90%, and a yield rate of 68 mg h −1 cm −2 . Our findings reveal that the synergy among different metal centers in M 2 OFs provides a new efficient reaction pathway for nitrate reduction via surface hydrogen co-adsorption, a mechanism not attainable with single-metal MOFs.

2D-M2OF↗

Single‐Atom Electrocatalysts from Multivariate Metal–Organic Frameworks for Highly Selective Reduction of CO 2 at Low Pressures

Abstract Single‐atom catalysts (SACs) are of great interest because of their ultrahigh activity and selectivity. However, it is difficult to construct model SACs according to a general synthetic method, and therefore, discerning differences in activity of diverse single‐atom catalysts is not straightforward. Herein, a general strategy for synthesis of single‐atom metals implanted in N‐doped carbon (M 1 ‐N‐C; M=Fe, Co, Ni and Cu) has been developed starting from multivariate metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). The M 1 ‐N‐C catalysts, featuring identical chemical environments and supports, provided an ideal platform for differentiating the activity of single‐atom metal species. When employed in electrocatalytic CO 2 reduction, Ni 1 ‐N‐C exhibited a very high CO Faradaic efficiency (FE) up to 96.8 % that far surpassed Fe 1 ‐, Co 1 ‐ and Cu 1 ‐N‐C. Remarkably, the best‐performer, Ni 1 ‐N‐C, even demonstrated excellent CO FE at low CO 2 pressures, thereby representing a promising opportunity for the direct use of dilute CO 2 feedstock.

Jiao, Long↗

Single-Atom Electrocatalysts from Multivariate MOFs for Highly Selective Reduction of CO 2 at Low Pressures

Single-atom catalysts (SACs) are of great interest because of their ultrahigh activity and selectivity. However, it is difficult to construct model SACs according to a general synthetic method, and therefore, discerning differences in activity of diverse single-atom catalysts is not straightforward. Herein, a general strategy for synthesis of single-atom metals implanted in N-doped carbon (M 1 -N-C; M=Fe, Co, Ni and Cu) has been developed starting from multivariate metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). The M 1 -N-C catalysts, featuring identical chemical environments and supports, provided an ideal platform for differentiating the activity of single-atom metal species. When employed in electrocatalytic CO 2 reduction, Ni 1 -N-C exhibited a very high CO Faradaic efficiency (FE) up to 96.8 % that far surpassed Fe 1 -, Co 1 - and Cu 1 -N-C. Remarkably, the best-performer, Ni1-N-C, even demonstrated excellent CO FE at low CO 2 pressures, thereby representing a promising opportunity for the direct use of dilute CO 2 feedstock.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An adaptive, multivariate partitioning algorithm for global optimization of nonconvex programs

We develop an adaptive, multivariate partitioning algorithm for solving nonconvex, Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Programs (MINLPs) with polynomial functions to global optimality. In particular, we present an iterative algorithm that exploits piecewise, convex relaxation approaches via disjunctive formulations to solve MINLPs that is different than conventional spatial branch-and-bound approaches. The algorithm partitions the domains of variables in an adaptive and non-uniform manner at every iteration to focus on productive areas of the search space. Furthermore, domain reduction techniques based on sequential, optimization-based bound-tightening and piecewise relaxation techniques, as a part of a presolve step, are integrated into the main algorithm. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm on well-known benchmark problems (including Pooling and Blending instances) from MINLPLib and compare our algorithm with state-of-the-art global optimization solvers. With our novel approach, we solve several large-scale instances, some of which are not solvable by state-of-the-art solvers. We also succeed in reducing the best known optimality gap for a hard, generalized pooling problem instance.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Combinations of NIR, Raman spectroscopy and physicochemical measurements for improved monitoring of solvent extraction processes using hierarchical multivariate analysis models

The reliability of chemical processes can be greatly improved by implementing inline monitoring systems. Combining multivariate analysis with non-destructive sensors can enhance the process without interfering with the operation. Here, we present here hierarchical models using both principal component analysis and partial least square analysis developed for different chemical components representative of solvent extraction process streams. A training set of 380 samples and an external validation set of 95 samples were prepared and Near infrared and Raman spectral data as well as conductivity under variable temperature conditions were collected. The results from the models indicate that careful selection of the spectral range is important. By compressing the data through Principal Component Analysis (PCA), we lower the rank of the data set to its most dominant features while maintaining the key principal components to be used in the regression analysis. Within the studied data set, concentration of five chemical components were modeled; total nitrate (NO 3 - ), total acid (H + ), neodymium (Nd 3+ ), sodium (Na + ), and ionic strength (I.S.). The best overall model prediction for each of the species studied used a combined data set comprised of complementary techniques including NIR, Raman, and conductivity. Finally, our study shows that chemometric models are powerful but requires significant amount of carefully analyzed data to capture variations in the chemistry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗