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Event Title: 2021 ANS Virtual Annual Meeting https://www.ans.org/meetings/am2021/ Start Date: 6/12/2021 End Date: 6/16/2021 Monday, June 14, 2021|10:00–11:45AM (1:00–2:45PM EDT)
Constructing accurate statistical models of critical system responses typically requires an enormous amount of data from physical experiments or numerical simulations. Unfortunately, data generation is often expensive and time consuming. To streamline the data generation process, optimal experimental design determines the 'best' allocation of experiments with respect to a criterion that measures the ability to estimate some important aspect of an assumed statistical model. While optimal design has a vast literature, few researchers have developed design paradigms targeting tail statistics, such as quantiles. In this project, we tailored and extended traditional design paradigms to target distribution tails. Our approach included (i) the development of new optimality criteria to shape the distribution of prediction variances, (ii) the development of novel risk-adapted surrogate models that provably overestimate certain statistics including the probability of exceeding a threshold, and (iii) the asymptotic analysis of regression approaches that target tail statistics such as superquantile regression. To accompany our theoretical contributions, we released implementations of our methods for surrogate modeling and design of experiments in two complementary open source software packages, the ROL/OED Toolkit and PyApprox.
The NRC’s Non-Light Water Reactor Vision and Strategy report discusses the MACCS code readiness for nearfield analyses. To increase the nearfield capabilities of MACCS, the plume meander model from Ramsdell and Fosmire was integrated into MACCS and the MACCS plume meander model based on U.S. NRC Regulatory Guide 1.145 was updated. Test cases were determined to verify the plume meander model implementation into MACCS 4.1. The results using the implemented MACCS plume meander models match the comparisons with other codes and analytical calculations. This verifies that the additional MACCS plume meander models have been successfully implemented into MACCS 4.1. This report documents the verification of these model implementations into MACCS and a comparison of the results using
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This Laboratory Directed Research and Development project developed and applied closely coupled experimental and computational tools to investigate powder compaction across multiple length scales. The primary motivation for this work is to provide connections between powder feedstock characteristics, processing conditions, and powder pellet properties in the context of powder-based energetic components manufacturing. We have focused our efforts on multicrystalline cellulose, a molecular crystalline surrogate material that is mechanically similar to several energetic materials of interest, but provides several advantages for fundamental investigations. We report extensive experimental characterization ranging in length scale from nanometers to macroscopic, bulk behavior. Experiments included nanoindentation of well-controlled, micron-scale pillar geometries milled into the surface of individual particles, single-particle crushing experiments, in-situ optical and computed tomography imaging of the compaction of multiple particles in different geometries, and bulk powder compaction. In order to capture the large plastic deformation and fracture of particles in computational models, we have advanced two distinct meshfree Lagrangian simulation techniques: 1.) bonded particle methods, which extend existing discrete element method capabilities in the Sandia-developed , open-source LAMMPS code to capture particle deformation and fracture and 2.) extensions of peridynamics for application to mesoscale powder compaction, including a novel material model that includes plasticity and creep. We have demonstrated both methods for simulations of single-particle crushing as well as mesoscale multi-particle compaction, with favorable comparisons to experimental data. We have used small-scale, mechanical characterization data to inform material models, and in-situ imaging of mesoscale particle structures to provide initial conditions for simulations. Both mesostructure porosity characteristics and overall stress-strain behavior were found to be in good agreement between simulations and experiments. We have thus demonstrated a novel multi-scale, closely coupled experimental and computational approach to the study of powder compaction. This enables a wide range of possible investigations into feedstock-process-structure relationships in powder-based materials, with immediate applications in energetic component manufacturing, as well as other particle-based components and processes.
The Laboratory of Plasma Studies (LPS), Cornell University, proposed to carry out a comprehensive series of gas-puff z-pinch experiments on a 1 MA pulsed power machine for the purpose of understanding the dynamics of imploding magnetized high energy density plasmas in the presence of Rayleigh-Taylor Instabilities (RTI). Cornell’s pulsed power facilities, including the associated diagnostic instruments, are largely supported under the auspices of the Center for Pulsed-power-driven High-energy-density Plasmas (the Center), an NNSA-sponsored Center of Excellence. The proposed experiments were carried out predominantly by LPS graduate student, Sophia Rocco (the “primary grad student”), in collaboration with other graduate students and the scientific and technical staff of the Center using Cornell’s 1 MA COBRA pulsed power facility and all of its associated diagnostic instruments.
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With consumers’ growing interest in electric vehicles, extreme fast charging stations are poised to provide high-power charging to rapidly recharge light-duty passenger vehicles. High-power charging requires high-level communication between vehicle and charger to govern the charging process. The coupling of power and communication increases the potential scale of cyberattacks. Using a full Western Electricity Coordinating Council planning model, load manipulation from high-power charging infrastructure is investigated. Two cases of load manipulation are studied: (i) a discrete, widespread system event and (ii) loads modulated near the Western Interconnect’s resonant frequency. In (i) some generation trips and in (ii) oscillations are observed on the California Oregon Intertie. Neither scenario results in significant adverse effects to the grid.
With the approval of President Franklin D. Roosevelt to begin the research on a nuclear bomb in 1941 to the last test conducted by the U.S. in 1992, the fifty-year history of the nuclear weapons testing program has been an expansive topic of research. The program's growth is credited to the race to build the first atomic weapon for war. The termination of the Soviet Union and many other factors, including concerns about the adverse health effects of radioactive fallout, influenced the decline of the need for the program. The discovery of the negative health effects caused by low-level radiation and the subsequent studies influenced sitting U.S. presidents in passing policies that significantly impacted the nuclear weapons testing program.
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