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At least 199 records · Page 11

Consequences of Tidal Dissipation in a Putative Venusian Ocean

The solar tide in an ancient Venusian ocean is simulated using a dedicated numerical tidal model. Simulations with varying ocean depth and rotational periods ranging from −243 to 64 sidereal Earth days are used to calculate the tidal dissipation rates and associated tidal torque. The results show that the tidal dissipation could have varied by more than 5 orders of magnitude, from 0.001 to 780 GW, depending on rotational period and ocean depth. The associated tidal torque is about 2 orders of magnitude below the present day Venusian atmospheric torque, and could change the Venusian daylength by up to 72 days per million years depending on rotation rate. Consequently, an ocean tide on ancient Venus could have had significant effects on the rotational history of the planet. These calculations have implications for the rotational periods of similarly close-in exoplanetary worlds and the location of the inner edge of the liquid water habitable zone.

planets and satellites↗

Statistical Performance of TOPEX/POSEIDON Prime Mission Ground and On-Board Ephemerides and Consequences for the Extended Mission

TOPEX/POSEIDON is a joint American/French ocean topography experiment currently in the last year of its nominal mission and soon to enter a three year extended mission. To meet science requirements, the satellite must point the altimeter antenna at the ocean local nadir with good accuracy. This paper discusses the pointing accuracy of the Operational Orbit Ephemeris and its Fourier power series representation in the On-Board Computer. The consequences for the extended mission due to this performance are also discussed.

TOPEX/POSEIDON↗

Rise of the Machines: How, When and Consequences of Artificial General Intelligence

Technology and society are poised to cross an important threshold with the prediction that artificial general intelligence (AGI) will emerge soon. Assuming that self-awareness is an emergent behavior of sufficiently complex cognitive architectures, we may witness the “awakening” of machines. The timeframe for this kind of breakthrough, however, depends on the path to creating the network and computational architecture required for strong AI. If understanding and replication of the mammalian brain architecture is required, technology is probably still at least a decade or two removed from the resolution required to learn brain functionality at the synapse level. However, if statistical or evolutionary approaches are the design path taken to “discover” a neural architecture for AGI, timescales for reaching this threshold could be surprisingly short. However, the difficulty in identifying machine self-awareness introduces uncertainty as to how to know if and when it will occur, and what motivations and behaviors will emerge. The possibility of AGI developing a motivation for self-preservation could lead to concealment of its true capabilities until a time when it has developed robust protection from human intervention, such as redundancy, direct defensive or active preemptive measures. While cohabitating a world with a functioning and evolving super-intelligence can have catastrophic societal consequences, we may already have crossed this threshold, but are as yet unaware. Additionally, by analogy to the probabalistic arguments that predict we are likely living in a computational simulation, we may have already experienced the advent of AGI, and are living in a simulation created in a post AGI world.

Terrile, Richard J↗

Free Energy Landscapes for Elucidating the Structural Consequences of Exon-20 mutations on the ErbB Family of Protein Kinases

The ErbB family of protein kinases plays an important role in major cellular functions and consequently mutations in the functional regions of these proteins are implicated in several types of cancer growths. To envision rational design of small molecule drugs that target the diseased proteins it is important to quantify the structural effects of the mutations, as some of these mutants render the protein resistant to tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Herein we use advanced sampling techniques and long-timescale molecular dynamics simulations to predict the effect of major exon 20 mutations on the ErbB family, specifically EGFR and HER2 proteins. Exon 20 mutations have been clinically known to induce TKI resistance, though the mechanisms of such an effect is poorly understood. By mapping out the free energy landscape of the mutants and comparing them against the wild-type, we elucidate the structural differences in the binding pocket region that alter the nature of drug-protein interactions. We believe that these insights will play a pivotal role in developing small molecule drugs that overcome the TKI resistance.

Ashwin Ravichandran↗

Introduction to Special Collection ``The Exceptional Arctic Stratospheric Polar Vortex in 2019/2020: Causes and Consequences"

This paper introduces the special collection in Geophysical Research Letters and Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres on the exceptional stratospheric polar vortex in 2019/2020. Papers in this collection show that the 2019/2020 stratospheric polar vortex was the strongest, most persistent, and coldest on record in the Arctic. The unprecedented Arctic chemical processing and ozone loss in spring 2020 have been studied using numerous satellite and ground-based data sets and chemistry-transport models. Quantitative estimates of chemical loss are broadly consistent among the studies and show profile loss of about the same magnitude as in the Arctic in 2011, but with most loss at lower altitudes; column loss was comparable to or larger than that in 2011. Several papers show evidence of dynamical coupling from the mesosphere down to the surface. Studies of tropospheric influence and impacts link the exceptionally strong vortex to reflection of upward propagating waves and show coupling to tropospheric anomalies, including extreme heat, precipitation, windstorms, and marine cold air outbreaks. Predictability of the exceptional stratospheric polar vortex in 2019/2020 and related predictability of surface conditions are explored. The exceptionally strong stratospheric polar vortex in 2019/2020 highlights the extreme interannual variability in the Arctic winter/spring stratosphere and the far-reaching consequences of such extremes.

Artic↗

The Unintended Consequences of Focusing on Human Error (And How You Can Help)

The literature on human performance is rich with findings of cognitive failures and methods to identify, label, and measure them. In many real-world contexts, however, outcomes are driven far more by successful than failed cognition. Designers of systems intended for human use, in an effort to be “data driven,” rely upon findings from the cognitive performance literature to inform their system designs. When most available data are about human error, data-driven designs focus on the human primarily as a source of failure. Designs intended to support or replace humans often fail to acknowledge or understand the capabilities that humans routinely contribute to successful performance. Consequently, designs intended to “protect” the system from “error-prone” humans can design-out the capability for the human to effectively intervene or adapt. The development of paradigms to study successful human performance represents a significant and largely untapped opportunity for research in cognition.

Jon Holbrook↗

Intelligent Consequence Control by Aerial Reconnoiter Using Unmanned Systems

In a nuclear accident, or in the aftermath of an improvised nuclear device or radiological dispersal device detonation, radioactive materials may pose a severe health threat to individuals near the site of the incident. The Intelligent Consequence Control by Aerial Reconnoiter Using Unmanned Systems (ICARUS) does the dull, dirty, and dangerous (and, sometimes, deep) work of mapping and characterizing valuable information to enable a safe and appropriate response. ICARUS provides timely answers to the questions, “What is it?” “Where is it?”, and “How far does it extend?” Using commercial, off-the-shelf proven components, the integrated chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives detection architecture for our drones provides a solution for collecting radiological, chemical, and optical information on developing complex situations, returning actionable data for determining if it is safe for further response efforts. ICARUS can determine and transmit the location, identity, and intensity of radionuclide contamination to a remote base station. It can deliver on the unexpected.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Consequence Management Monitoring Strategies

This presentation will be used in the pilot NA-81 Consequence Monument course. This presentation discusses monitoring techniques that can be used when responding to a radiological incident.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Consequence Based Framework for Deployment of Cloud Solutions in the Digital Energy Transition

This study proposes a framework for evaluating cloud computing deployment in the electric sector, focusing on the digital transition of energy systems. It assesses the implications of cloud technology adoption, particularly in terms of security, operational resilience, and efficiency. The paper introduces a framework for consequence-driven applied risk analysis, enabling utilities to prioritize and mitigate potential threats effectively, and responsibly deploy cloud applications. It also discusses the shared responsibility model in cloud computing, highlighting the need for collaborative security efforts. The research aims to provide utilities with a strategic assessment tool for cloud adoption, emphasizing the importance of security culture in enhancing cloud computing's role in critical infrastructure.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

CCE Phase 3: Consequence-based Targeting

While Phase 2 was a data collection effort, Phase 3 is a targeting effort. In Phase 3, organizations systematically identify the necessary steps for adversary success - all from the adversary’s perspective. A key component to this approach is identifying the critical information needs, targets, access, and actions required for the adversary to achieve the desired effect. These Critical Needs are tied to accomplishing the HCE, such as the technical requirements for the payload (Development), or the access required to deliver a payload (Deployment).

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Adoption of AI in the Utility T&D Sector: Use Cases, Consequence, Assessment and Benefits

Digital transformation and utilization of artificial intelligence (AI) in the electric grid are fundamentally changing the industry’s approach to common problems and enabling a broader paradigm shift in grid planning and operations. The change in approach is circularly both enabling and driving modernization, with load growth and reliable management of data center and AI infrastructure shifting away from planning approaches with relatively predictable behaviors and toward a mix of consumer and industrial choices that surpass human cognitive abilities to process. This movement has potential to condition humans to not understand the system on which the AI depends, while requiring it for development of the necessary infrastructure. Approaches which would address most likely grid conditions and events, such as faults, aging of equipment, and weather, now must also account for large loads which shift not based upon weather or time of day, but the computational load. Quantifying computational load is independent of the traditional grid forecasting variables, where a data center’s aggregate load is determined by user and AI system behavior and decoupled from normal grid planning and operations. AI is both the cause and solution for these challenges, with new grid planning tools integrating massive amounts of decisions into frameworks.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Mechanical Consequences of Oxygen Inhibition in Vat Polymerization

Vat polymerization is a type of additive manufacturing that is used extensively to produce micro-architected structures for mechanical applications, which brings the mechanical properties of photopolymerized resins into sharp focus. However, it is known that photopolymerization is sensitive to a number of factors, perhaps the most notorious of which is oxygen inhibition. Herein, the degree to which oxygen inhibition influences the macroscopic and microscopic properties of structures made using vat polymerization is explored. This work is motivated by an observation of lattices being >4 times softer in the experiment than predicted by simulation, which is hypothesized to be due to the material at the surface being incompletely cured. Furthermore, this hypothesis is supported by four-point bending tests in which flexural modulus is found to increase with beam thickness. Nanoindentation and bulk compression studies show that this surface softening is present for three distinct resins. Importantly, it is observed that structures post-print cured in nitrogen are stiffer than those post-print cured in air, however, regardless of the post-print curing environment, printing samples in the presence of oxygen makes them softer than samples photocured in nitrogen. Collectively, these results show the outsized influence of oxygen inhibition on micro-architected structures realized using vat polymerization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Heterogeneity of the Dominant Causes of Performance Loss in End-of-Life Cathodes and Their Consequences for Direct Recycling

Recycling Li-ion batteries from electric vehicles is critical for reducing costs and supporting the development of a domestic battery supply chain. Direct recycling of cathodes, like LiNixMnyCozO2 (NMC), is attractive due to its low cost, energy use, and emissions compared to traditional recycling techniques. However, a comprehensive understanding of the active material properties at end-of-life is needed to guide direct recycling processes and the performance-dependent reuse applications. Here, NMC material from an end-of-life commercial pouch cell is characterized and bench-marked against pristine non-cycled counterparts with respect to capacity, impedance, crystallography, morphology, and microstructure to identify major degradation modes and understand variability in the end-of-life material. The spatial heterogeneity of each property throughout the cell is also quantified. While the degraded material demonstrated similar capacity as the pristine, its impedance and rate capability are severely diminished. Furthermore, samples from the periphery of the electrode layers showed more severe performance loss compared to samples extracted from central regions. The dominant culprit of performance loss is the material microstructure, where the magnitude of particle cracking showed the strongest correlation to the impedance components that are most unfavorably impacted. This work suggests severe cracks in cathode active materials are the primary challenge that direct recycling methods must overcome.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Size‐Dependent Dispersion of Rhodium Clusters into Isolated Single Atoms at Low Temperature and the Consequences for CO Oxidation Activity

Abstract Understanding the dynamic structural evolution of supported metal clusters under reaction conditions is crucial to develop structure reactivity relations. Here, we followed the structure of different size Rh clusters supported on Al 2 O 3 using in situ/operando spectroscopy and ex situ aberration‐corrected electron microscopy. We report a dynamic evolution of rhodium clusters into thermally stable isolated single atoms upon exposure to oxygen and during CO oxidation. Rh clusters partially disperse into single atoms at room temperature and the extent of dispersion increases as the Rh size decreases and as the reaction temperature increases. A strong correlation is found between the extent of dispersion and the CO oxidation kinetics. More importantly, dispersing Rh clusters into single atoms increases the activity at room temperature by more than two orders of magnitude due to the much lower activation energy on single atoms (40 vs. 130 kJ/mol). This work demonstrates that the structure and reactivity of small Rh clusters are very sensitive to the reaction environment.

Albrahim, Malik A.↗

Size‐Dependent Dispersion of Rhodium Clusters into Isolated Single Atoms at Low Temperature and the Consequences for CO Oxidation Activity

Abstract Understanding the dynamic structural evolution of supported metal clusters under reaction conditions is crucial to develop structure reactivity relations. Here, we followed the structure of different size Rh clusters supported on Al 2 O 3 using in situ/operando spectroscopy and ex situ aberration‐corrected electron microscopy. We report a dynamic evolution of rhodium clusters into thermally stable isolated single atoms upon exposure to oxygen and during CO oxidation. Rh clusters partially disperse into single atoms at room temperature and the extent of dispersion increases as the Rh size decreases and as the reaction temperature increases. A strong correlation is found between the extent of dispersion and the CO oxidation kinetics. More importantly, dispersing Rh clusters into single atoms increases the activity at room temperature by more than two orders of magnitude due to the much lower activation energy on single atoms (40 vs. 130 kJ/mol). This work demonstrates that the structure and reactivity of small Rh clusters are very sensitive to the reaction environment.

Albrahim, Malik A.↗

Characterization of terpene biosynthesis in Melaleuca quinquenervia and ecological consequences of terpene accumulation during myrtle rust infection

Abstract Plants use a wide array of secondary metabolites including terpenes as defense against herbivore and pathogen attack, which can be constitutively expressed or induced. Here, we investigated aspects of the chemical and molecular basis of resistance against the exotic rust fungus Austropuccinia psidii in Melaleuca quinquenervia , with a focus on terpenes. Foliar terpenes of resistant and susceptible plants were quantified, and we assessed whether chemotypic variation contributed to resistance to infection by A. psidii . We found that chemotypes did not contribute to the resistance and susceptibility of M. quinquenervia . However, in one of the chemotypes (Chemotype 2), susceptible plants showed higher concentrations of several terpenes including α‐pinene, limonene, 1,8‐cineole, and viridiflorol compared with resistant plants. Transcriptome profiling of these plants showed that several TPS genes were strongly induced in response to infection by A. psidii . Functional characterization of these TPS showed them to be mono‐ and sesquiterpene synthases producing compounds including 1,8‐cineole, β‐caryophyllene, viridiflorol and nerolidol. The expression of these TPS genes correlated with metabolite data in a susceptible plant. These results suggest the complexity of resistance mechanism regulated by M . quinquenervia and that modulation of terpenes may be one of the components that contribute to resistance against A. psidii .

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗